OPERATIONAL STATUS OF IRANIAN AIRCRAFT

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP91T01115R000100160002-6
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RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
15
Document Creation Date: 
December 28, 2016
Document Release Date: 
December 2, 2010
Sequence Number: 
2
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
March 1, 1984
Content Type: 
REPORT
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PDF icon CIA-RDP91T01115R000100160002-6.pdf349.26 KB
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Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/02 : CIA-RDP91TO1115R000100160002-6 Directorate of Intelligence Secret Operational Status of Iranian Aircraft (s) Secret d 8_1~2~C March 1984 25X1 17 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/02 : CIA-RDP91TO1115R000100160002-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/02 : CIA-RDP91T01115R000100160002-6 Warning Notice Intelligence Sources or Methods Involved (WNINTEL) National Security Unauthorized Disclosure Information Subject to Criminal Sanctions Dissemination Control NOFORN (NF) Not releasable to foreign nationals Abbreviations NOCONTRACT (NC) Not releasable to contractors or contractor/consultants REL... FGI A microfiche copy of this docu- ment is available from OCR/ DLB rinsed co ies from CPAS/IM Regular receipt of DDI reports in either microfiche or printed form can also be arranged through CPAS/IMC. Caution-proprietary information involved Dissemination and extraction of information controlled by originator Declassify: OADR Derived from multiple sources Abbreviations for compartmented codewords are: U -UMBRA Z - ZARF G -GAMMA 25X1 25X1 LOA I Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/02 : CIA-RDP91T01115R000100160002-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/02 : CIA-RDP91TO1115R000100160002-6 Intelligence 25X1 Operational Status of Iranian Aircraft (s) Information available as of 31 December 1983 has been used in the preparation of this report. (U) March 1984 !A RA-100)A!' 25X1 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/02 : CIA-RDP91TO1115R000100160002-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/02 : CIA-RDP91TO1115R000100160002-6 Operational Status of Iranian Aircraft (s) Summary Imagery analysis of Iranian fighter and military transport air- craft indicates that only a small portion of the prewar service- able fighter aircraft are now operational, while most of the military transport aircraft are still serviceable. Of a prewar inventory of about 450 fighters, only 30 to 36 F-4s, 17 to 21 F-5s, and 14 to 20 F-14s appeared to be operational as of 31 December 1983. Another 40 to 46 fighters seen at airfields and repair facilities were identified as derelicts. The rest of the prewar inventory of fighter aircraft have been lost in combat or are nonoperational aircraft that are being stripped of parts to keep other aircraft in service. These findings tend to corroborate a May 1982 CIA report, based largely on nonimagery sources, which assessed a substantial decrease in Iranian air power since the beginning of the Iran-Iraq War. We estimate from imagery that Iran has an operational fleet of military transport aircraft consisting of 12 Boeing 747s, eight Boeinq 707s, 28 to 37 C-130s, 12 Fokker F.27s, 14 Falcon 20s, and one or two P-3s. One to three C-130s, one Boeing KC-707, and three or four P-3s were judged to be nonoperational as of 31 December 1983. Most of the Iranian military air transport fleet is based at Tehran Mehrabad Airfield. Imagerv shows a slight increase,) 25X1 in the number of operational fighter and milit'25X1 transport aircraft in Iran's inventory. We would have expecLea the opposite to have occurred--that war losses and maintenance problems would have caused a reduction in the number of opera- tional aircraft. We are unsure how the Iranians managed to increase their operational aircraft during this period, but we speculate that they may have developed a more effective program of cannibalizing parts from derelict aircraft to make others operable or that they may be flying more marginally capable aircraft. 25X1 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/02 : CIA-RDP91TO1115R000100160002-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/02 : CIA-RDP91TO1115R000100160002-6 Prior to the war with Iraq, Iran had an inventory of approxi- mately_ 450 US-manufactured fighter aircraft. This inventory has since dwindled substantially, largely because of combat losses. The lack of spare parts, combat damage, and shortages of qual- ified maintenance personnel have also rendered a large number of fighters nonoperational. Based on the analysis of reports from a number of sources of varying degrees of reliability, a May 1982 CIA study reported about 175 fighters lost during the war and another 175 grounded as of April 1982. (S This study was undertaken to estimate from imagery the number, type, and location of Iranian fighter aircraft that remain operational--that is, capable of flight. The paper begins with a discussion of the methodology used to distinguish operational from nonoperational aircraft. (S On the basis of this methodology, we have estimated the number, type, and location of most operational fighter aircraft, as well as the nonoperational fighter aircraft stored in the open. We have also presented our estimate of the number, type, location, and operational status of medium- and large-sized military transport aircraft. We have not included in this study those transport air raff- that- are used exclusively as civil passenger aircraft. (S Figure 1 Permanent Deployment Bases for Iranian Military Aircraft Tabriz ? 'Tehran Shahroki -- !Shiraz ,Bushehr + Fighter base Transport base 25X1 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/02 : CIA-RDP91TO1115R000100160002-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/02 : CIA-RDP91TO1115R000100160002-6 Iq Next 2 Page(s) In Document Denied Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/02 : CIA-RDP91TO1115R000100160002-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/02 : CIA-RDP91T01115R000100160002-6 Secret Fighter Deployment and Operational Status We estimate Iran had 30 to 36 F-4, 17 to 21 F-5, and 14 to 20 F-14 aircraft operational at the end of December 1983. Another 10 to 16 F-4, 28 F-5, and two F-86 aircraft seen in the open were judoed to be nonoperational, and most of these were obvious dere- licts. The deployment of these aircraft by type and number is shown in tables 1 and 2. We believe that Iran has additional fighters stored in covered shelters and maintenance facilities, but we believe these aircraft are not operational because we see no evidence of the activity normally associated with operational aircraft. (S Because Iran has had difficulty in getting spare parts, some aircraft have been stripped of parts to keep others in service. Most of the nonoperational aircraft parked in the open were probably placed there after being stripped of scarce parts and electronics. Some of these aircraft were randomly parked in groups off the runway, indicating they were junked airframes; others were parked near runwa s, probably to simulate operational aircraft (figure 3). (S 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/02 : CIA-RDP91T01115R000100160002-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/02 : CIA-RDP91TO1115R000100160002-6 Table 1 Estimated Number of Selected Aircraft Types at Iranian Airfields Aircraft Type Operational Nonoperational or By Airfield Aircraft Derelict Aircraft F-4 4-9 10-16 F-5 11-15 1 C-130 17-20 1-3 747 12 707 8 F.27 9 Falcon 20 14 T- 33 3 Tehran Dosan Tappeh T-33 F.27 1-2 3 F-4 4 F-5 2 19 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/02 : CIA-RDP91TO1115R000100160002-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/02 : CIA-RDP91TO1115R000100160002-6 Aircraft Type Operational By Airfield Aircraft F-4 9 F-14 6-8 KC-707 P-3 1-2 C-130 8-12 F-14 8-12 C-130 3-4 F-5 2 Bandar Abbas F-4 Chah Bahard a One C-130 is probably an RC/EC-130. bThe F-4s occasionally deploy to Shiraz Airfield from an unknown location. Only six P- 3s were delivered to Iran. They were originally assigned to Bandar Abbas Airfield. Nonoperational or Derelict Aircraft 1 3-4 The F-5s departed this airfield in December 1983. We are not sure where they are now located. dThis airfield is used as a forward operating base. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/02 : CIA-RDP91TO1115R000100160002-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/02 : CIA-RDP91T01115R000100160002-6 Table 2 Total Estimated Number of Selected Aircraft Types in Iranian Inventory Aircraft Type Operational Aircraft Nonoperational or Derelict Aircraft F-5 17-21 T-33 1-2 F.27 12 P-3 1-2 F-86 2 a Including a possible RC/EC-130. bincluding tanker versions. Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/02 : CIA-RDP91T01115R000100160002-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/02 : CIA-RDP91TO1115R000100160002-6 Secret It appears that most F-4 aircraft maintenance and cannibalization takes place at Iran Aircraft Industries (IACI) , a government- owned aerospace company that provides the majority of all depot- level maintenance for military aircraft. Increasing numbers of F-4s have appeared at IACI since the beginning of 1982, providing evidence of a growing maintenance problem with these aircraft (figures 4 and 5) . According to a reliable source, periodic depot maintenance now takes four to six months to complete for an F-4, compared to the two or three months it took prior to the war. (S ~ 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/02 : CIA-RDP91TO1115R000100160002-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/02 : CIA-RDP91TO1115R000100160002-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/02 : CIA-RDP91TO1115R000100160002-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/02 : CIA-RDP91T01115R000100160002-6 F-5 aircraft have not been noted at IACI, except for one F-5 aircraft fuselage that has been there for over two years. According to various sources, maintenance facilities are available at airfields where F-5s are based. Iran has also had the F-5 longer than any other fighter aircraft, so they have greater familiarity with its equipment and probably have qualified personnel at the airbases to perform maintenance. Maintenance for the F-14 is probably done at both IACI and at the bases of Khatami and Shiraz where these aircraft are assigned (figure 6). (SF_~ 25X1 Military Transport Aircraft Deployment and Operational Status We estimate Iran had 12 Boeing 747, eight Boeing 707/KC-707, 28 to 37 C-130, 12 Fokker F.27, 14 Falcon 20, and one or two P-3 aircraft operational at the end of December 1983. In addition, one to three C-130s, one Boeing KC-707, and three or four P-3 aircraft were judged to be nonoperational. The bulk of the air transport fleet is based at Tehran Mehrabad Airfield. The type and number of trans transport aircraft at each airfield are shown in tables 1 and 2. (S 25X1 The nonoperational C-130 aircraft were parked on aprons at Tehran Mehrabad and were partially disassembled. The nonoperational Boeing KC-707 and P-3 aircraft were located at Shiraz. One of these C-130s and the KC-707, which was also missing its left wingtip have been in nonoperational status for over a year. (s 25X Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/02 : CIA-RDP91T01115R000100160002-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/02 : CIA-RDP91TO1115R000100160002-6 Recent Changes In Operational. Fighter and Military Transport Aircraft Inventories During the latter half of 1983, the overall number of operational fighter and military transport aircraft in Iran's inventory increased slightly, as shown on table 3. We are unsure how the Iranians accomplished the increase in view of Iran's aircraft maintenance difficulties, which has been reported by several sources. We speculate, however, that the recent increases may have resulted from a more effective cannibalization program of removing parts from derelict aircraft and using them to keep a greater number of other aircraft flyable. Alternatively, the Iranians may have elected to fly more aircraft without all of their subsystems operable. If the latter is true, the Iranians would be accepting the risk of flying larger numbers of mar- ginally capable aircraft at reduced levels of effectiveness. Various human sources have previously reported that the Iranians fly some of their aircraft with inoperable subsystems. We have no information to indicate the Iranians have obtained aircraft parts from other countries, although the possibility exists that they may have clandestinely obtained such parts. (S Table 3 Changes in Number of Operational Aircraft in Iranian Inventory Aircraft Operational Type Aircraft as of Note: No changes were observed in the number of operational C-130, T-33, 747, 707, F.27, Falcon 20 and F-86 aircraft in Iran's inventory between Operational Aircraft as of 30-36 17-21 14-20 25X1 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/02 : CIA-RDP91TO1115R000100160002-6 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/02 : CIA-RDP91TO1115R000100160002-6 Secret Secret Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/02 : CIA-RDP91TO1115R000100160002-6