TERRORISM WARNING AND FORECAST REPORT

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP91B00776R000300050024-8
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 5
• Document Creation Date: December 23, 2016
• Document Release Date: June 11, 2013
• Sequence Number: 24
• Publication Date: May 4, 1987
• Content Type: MEMO

Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/06/11: CIA-RDP91 B00776R000300050024-8
The Director of Central Intelligence
Washington, D.C. 20505
National Intelligence Council
NIC 01958-87
4 May 1987
MJ ORANDUM FOR: Acting Director of Central Intelligence
FROM: Charles E. Allen
National Intelligence Officer for Counterterrorism
SUBJECT: Terrorism Warning and Forecast Report
Representatives of the Intelligence Community met on 24 April to discuss
the following issues: bombing in Djibouti, current Libyan terrorist
activities, and liquid explosives as a terrorist weapon. Attached is my
report.
Char es E. Allen
Attachment:
As stated
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1. Djibouti
On 18 March a briefcase bomb (approximately 15-20 kgs) exploded at a cafe
frequented by the French in Djibouti.
Adouani Hamoudab Hassen, a Tunisian, was arrested at the Djibouti airport
enroute to Aden. He confessed to planting the bomb and claimed he was
recruited in Damascus and charged to kill as many people as possible. He said
he was a member of the Revolutionary Resistance Troops.
It is unclear who is responsible for the attack. There are several
possibilities:
--Djiboutian dissidents. The blast occurred five weeks before the
presidential election. A known dissident, Aden Robleh, has conducted
similar bombings in the past.
--Libya. The anti-France target may be an effort to punish Paris for its
Chad policy. The use of a Tunisian surrogate also suggests Libyan
involvement.
--LAKE. The anti-France nature of the attack fits the threats made
against France afrer the Abdullah trial.
--PFLP-SC.I (points to this group perhaps at the
behest of Libya or LARF (which has a long history of ties to PFLP-SC).
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/06/11: CIA-RDP91 B00776R000300050024-8
 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/06/11: CIA-RDP91 B00776R000300050024-8
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2. Libya
Qadhafi has taken a beating in Chad and appears to be extremely nervous.
France: French targets have received special attention. Hizballah and
Libyans are reportedly targeting French citizens, possibly for kidnaping.
Caribbean clients are being encouraged to carry out attacks. In some places
anti-France tasking has been expanded to include anti-US
Africa: I Tripoli has been active
in numerous sub-Saharan countries including Benin, Chad, Mali, Sudan and Niger.
The 15 April commemoration of last year's US airstrikes sparked some
anti-US activity. In Bangladesh,
indicated that violence on the anniversary ot we airs ri es was too obviously
related to Tripoli but after the anniversary would be easier to mount. In
Turkey, the Ankara LPB is directly across from a US military billet.)
Several crude rockets were fired a
official buildings in Madrid. While the attack may have been inspired by the
anniversary, it does not appear to have been Libyan sponsored.
SECRET)
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/06/11: CIA-RDP91 B00776R000300050024-8
 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/06/11: CIA-RDP91 B00776R000300050024-8
1kCRB
Cyprus: Cypriot authorities have arrested two men believed to have shot
and wounded two British citizens last week. The names match two men sought by
authorities for the attack last August on the British base at Akrotiri. One
of the men may also have played a role in the Karachi hijacking last
September. The most recent Cyprus attack was similar to the Khartoum and
Sanaa attacks on US Embassy personnel last April.
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/06/11: CIA-RDP91 B00776R000300050024-8
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/06/11: CIA-RDP91 B00776R000300050024-8
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2013/06/11: CIA-RDP91 B00776R000300050024-8