NON-COMMUNIST WORLD: PRODUCTIVE CAPACITY

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP91B00135R000500900026-1
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: C
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: February 20, 2008
• Sequence Number: 26
• Publication Date: February 22, 1983
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved For Release 2008/02/20: CIA-RDP91 B001 35R000500900026-1
CONFIDENTIAL
Non-Communist World: Productive Capacityl
(million b/d)
OPEC
1985 1990
33.5 32.5
23.7 23.4
Saudi Arabia 10.7 10.7
Iran 4.0 3.5
Iraq 4.0 4.5
Kuwait 1.6 1.5
UAE 2.2 2.1
Qatar 0.7 0.7
Neutral Zone 0.5 0.4
OPEC 9.8
A ler. is 1.1 - 0.9
2.2 2.4
2.0 1.9
2-1 2.2
Ecuador 0.2 0.2
Indonesia 1.7 1.4
0.2 .0.1
23.5 23.5
United States 9.8 9.5.
Mexico 4.0 4.5
North Sea 3.2 3.2
Egypt 0.7. 0.8
Other 5.8 5.5
Total 57.0
1 Including natural gas liquids. Estimates are based on the midpoint of the
consensus range of forecasts for maximum sustainable capacity. Capacity estimates
for Kuwait and the UAE are based on the assumption that these two countries will
continue to be reluctant to produce at MSC even during a crisis, although they will
be willing to boost output above the self-imposed ceilings which would prevail in
the absence of.a disruption.
Approved For Release 2008/02/20: CIA-RDP91 B001 35R000500900026-1
 Approved For Release 2008/02/20: CIA-RDP91 B001 35R000500900026-1
-Estimated 1982 Free. World Oil. Supply and Demand
(as of 22 February 1983)
(million b/d)
Production
Available
Capacityl
Consumption
Inventory
Change
Total
43.4
50.6
44.5
-1.1
OPEC
19.8
26.5
2.9
Natural Gas Liquids
1.0
1.0
OPEC Crude
18.8
25.5
Algeria
.7
.9
Ecuador
.2
.2
Gabon
.2
.2
Indonesia
1.3
1.6
Iran
2.3
3.5
Iraq
1.0
1.0
Kuwait
.7
1.2
Libya
1.2
1.8
Neutral Zone
.3
.6
Nigeia
1.3
2.2
,'tar
.3
.6
Saudi Arabia
6.4
8.5
United Arab Emirates
1.3
1.3
Venezuela
1.9
2.4
Non-Q1-P-1EC2
23.5
24.1
41.6
United States3
10.2
10.2
14.7
Canada
1.5
1.7
1.5
Norway
.6
.6
.2
United.Kingdan
2.1
2.1
1.5
Other OECD
.8
.8
15.0
Non-OPEC LDC
6.9
7.2
8.7
of which .
Mexico
3.0
3.1
1.5
Net Communist Exports
1.5
1.5
1 Reflects.government production ceilings.
2 Including natural gas liquids and net communist exports.
3 Excluding refinery gain.
Approved For Release 2008/02/20: CIA-RDP91 B001 35R000500900026-1