30 OCTOBER EXCOM MEETING ON PROPOSED CIA LONG-RANGE PLANNING PROCESS

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP91B00046R000100070002-2
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: C
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: December 27, 2016
• Document Release Date: January 20, 2011
• Sequence Number: 2
• Publication Date: October 28, 1981
• Content Type: MEMO

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28 October 1981
MEMORANDUM FOR: Deputy Director of Central Intelligence .?
THROUGH : Director, Office of Policy and Planning
FROM : Chief,?Planning Staff, OPP
J
SUBJECT : 30 October EXCOM Meeting on Proposed CIA Long-Range
Planning Process
1. I have been asked to present a short introductory briefing to
the Executive Committee on this subject. An outline of my proposed brief-
ing is at Tab A. At Tab B is an outline of the proposed annual planning
cycle for this concept.
2. We have sounded the informal views of Interdirectorate Planning
Group representatives of the EXCOM members. They seem generally supportive
of the concept, but are concerned about two aspects.
- The proposed 10-year projection. seems impractical.
All, except DDS&T which needs longer lead-times for national
systems development, prefer a 5-year projection. Seeing
the difficulties that most components presently have with
projecting their needs beyond one or two years, I would
modify the concept so that the planning projection lies
just at the front edge of the budget formulation process.
In any event, the period should be consistent with the
Intelligence Community Staff 5-year planning process that
you referred to in the 13 October NFIC meeting.
- Many are nervous about dealing with the question of
priorities,.both within and between these target/subject
groupings. -I have no solution to this except to observe
that determining priorities is a basic managerial responsi-
bility and that the various Intelligence Community-level
schemes for determining priorities (DCID 1/2, National Intel-
ligence Topics, NSRL priorities, etc.) need to be brought
systematically into an overall management pattern so that
these kinds of judgements can be brought to bear effectively
on planning and budgeting activities.
I have, however, received strong - though informal - expressions of support
from NFAC, DDA, and IG for this approach to long-range planning.
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3. In an organization as present-minded as CIA, long range planning
will have to be clearly perceived as an important component of management's
decision-making to attract serious attention. Your contined involvement
and endorsement of this approach is critical.
4. The missing ingredient in this presentation is,-how this process
relates to an Intelligence Community planning process. -We have received no
guidance on this process.
Attachments:
Tab A - Outline of Long Range Planning Concept
Tab B - Outline of Annual Planning Cycle
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INTRODUCTION TO PROPOSED CIA LONG-RANGE PLANNING PROCESS
PURPOSE : To Describe an Agency Long-Range Planning Process
BACKGROUND: Three Events That Shape This Concept:
o 1980 EXCOM Long-Range Planning Exercise';
- 10 issue papers
- defined management directions for 1980s
- resulted in 1983 program guidance to the Comptroller
- impacted on recapitalization of infrastructure -
o 1985 Intelligence Capabilities Study
- defined intelligence challenges for mid-80s
- identified present and programmed capabilities
- proposed new programmatic initiatives
- provides guidance to FY 1984 NFIP
o Capabilities Program and Budget System
- structures NFIB Programs in 29 target/subject categories
- establishes multi-year budgeting
- couched in terms of present and future capabilities
- focuses attention on new initiatives
NEED FOR LONG-RANGE PLANNING:
o Focus Attention on Goals and Priorities
o Provide a Strategic Sense of Direction
o Provide Realistic and Practical Guidance for Budget
Management Decisions
PROPOSED LONG-RANGE PLANNING CONCEPT:
o Fits Coherently and Systematically with Capabilities Program
and Budget System, Providing Guidance to Budget Formulation
o Maintains Currency by Requiring Annual Cycle
o Focuses Attention on Capabilities to Be Achieved,
Their Goals and Priorities
o Develops Planning Guidance in Logical Stages:
- Intelligence Needs and Priorities
- Collection, Processing, and Analytic Capabilities
- Support Requirements
o Interacts with Intelligence Community Planning Process
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wtir i uc,iv i ins
PROPOSED CIA LONG-RANGE PLANNING CYCLE
Outlined below is the suggested sequence of actions for implementing this
planning process. Guidance from and interaction with Intelligence Community
planning can be interweaved with this process. Each phase will be subject to
Executive Committee review.
1. Planning Call
The DDCI would issue guidance annually to the Agency's planning
activity. This would establish the planning schedule, suggest areas of
special concern for further study, and identify areas of intended pro-
grammatic thrust. This Call would be developed by the Interdirectorate
Planning Group during the first two weeks in March each year for EXCOM
consideration. The DDCI would issue this Call by mid-March.
2. Intelligence Needs Phase
NFAC would lead in developing the statement of key challenges to the
U.S., resulting problems for intelligence, and likely information needs
for each area/category. Special interest areas would be treated in-depth
and the remainder of the target areas/subjects would be dealt with more
generally. After the first year, this would consist of a review and revision
to the previous year's intelligence challenges. The results of this phase
would be presented to EXCOM for approval and would serve as guidance to
subsequent phases.
3. Collection/Processing Phase
Interdirectorate teams will develop concepts for collection, process-
ing and analysis capability initiatives to meet the intelligence informa-
tion needs defined-in the previous phase. This would occur during the
period early May to July. These concepts would be developed by three
interdirectorate teams chaired by appropriate Directorate representatives:
(b) Technical collection (including SIGINT and interests
in national programs) and the processing needs directly
associated with these activities.
(c) Analysis and directly associated processing needs.
The results of this phase will be presented to the EXCOM.
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4. Support Needs Phase
The statements from earlier phases would be reviewed by DDA, DDS&T and
D/Personnel, respectively, for their impact on the support in frastructure
including: R&D needs, technical support, communications, logistics, etc.
This would occur during the month of July.
5. Planning Summary
OPP would integrate the results of the above phases and develop for
EXCOM consideration in mid-August:
- summary statement of the challenges and needs
- implications for intelligence
- guidance for the budget
An EXCOM review and issuance of this paper would conclude the planning
cycle.
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