GUATEMALA: PROSPECTS FOR THE NEW GOVERNMENT

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP90T00155R001300040004-2
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 5
• Document Creation Date: December 27, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 19, 2011
• Sequence Number: 4
• Publication Date: February 1, 1986
• Content Type: NIE

Director of ecret
Central
Intelligence
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w.w Rert ? At~tA
Guatemala: Prospects for
the New Government
National Intelligence Estimate
Annex C ?
jw-R cret
NIE 82-86
February 196'
Covy 2 3 3
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THIS ESTIMATE IS ISSUED BY THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL
INTELLIGENCE.
THE NATIONAL FOREIGN INTELLIGENCE BOARD CONCURS.
The following intelligence organizations participated in the preparation of the
Estimate:
The Central Intelligence Agency, the Defense Intelligence Agency, the National Security
Agency, and the intelligence organizations of the Departments of State and the
Treasury. .
Also Participating:
The Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of the Army
The Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of the Navy
The Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
The Director of Intelligence, Headquarters, Marine Corps
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N I E 82-86
GUATEMALA: PROSPECTS FOR
THE NEW GOVERNMENT
ANNEX C
Information available as of 30 January 1986 was used
in the preparation of this Estimate, which was
approved by the National Foreign Intelligence Board
on 13 February 1986.
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ANNEX C
FOREIGN SUPPORT TO THE INSURGENTS
Cuba, Nicaragua, and some of the Soviet Bloc
countries have provided Guatemalan insurgents with
training, money, and perhaps some arms. Over the
past few years, however, the success of the Guatema-
lan Government's counterinsurgency campaign and
the failure of the various guerrilla groups to unify
appears to have caused foreign support to the rebels to
diminish. During 1985 Havana and Managua contin-
ued to supply communications support and training
assistance, while Moscow reportedly gave financial aid
to the PGT/O. We have no evidence to confirm that
any significant arms transfers were completed during
e training given to the Guatemalan
extreme left occurs in Cuba, although a limited
amount is provided by the Sandinistas. Managua prob-
ably plays a greater role in facilitating the travel of
a captured insurgent
claimed he received one month of guerrilla training in
Nicaragua and 18 months in Cuba. The insurgent also
reported that two 40-man platoons received similar
training in Nicaragua in preparation for their infiltra-
tion into San Marcos Department, Guatemala, from
Mexico. March
1985 that most FAR commanders and troops were
trained in Cuba and Nicaragua and that most ORPA
commanders and half of their troops also were trained
there. Last July,
that several new guerrilla instructors were
Managua agreed to allow the shipment to pass through
Nicaragua and that the Communist Party of El Salva-
dor would help transfer the arms to the Guatemalans.
Thus far, we have no indication that the guerrillas
arms shipment to the PGT/O.
last summer that Bulgaria was panning to send an
years is sporadic.
Solid evidence of foreign arms support in recent
all traveled as Nicaraguan refugees.
infiltrated from Nicaragua into Guatemala using falsi-
fied Nicaraguan passports. The new instructors report-
edly were Colombian, Nicaraguan, and Chilean, and
have received the Bulgarian shipment.
transport materiel to the Guatemalans.
also report that Guatemalan insurgents receive arms
and other supplies through Mexico, and sometimes
Belize. In addition, we believe that land routes
through Honduras for weapons from Nicaragua des-
tined for the Salvadorans probably are also used to
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