MINUTES OF THE 233RD NFIB MEETING, 13 JULY 1988, 1000 HOURS

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP90M00551R000200150027-4
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: December 23, 2016
• Document Release Date: July 24, 2013
• Sequence Number: 27
• Publication Date: August 24, 1988
• Content Type: MEMO

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NFIB-M-233
24 August 1988
MEMORANDUM FOR NATIONAL FOREIGN INTELLIGENCE BOARD PRINCIPALS
FROM: Mark J. Sullivan, Jr.
Executive Secretary, NFIB
SUBJECT:
Minutes of the 233rd NFIB Meeting, 13 July 1988, 1000 Hours
Summary of Decisions
The Chairman, Director of Central Intelligence Webster, with the
concurrence of the NFIB principals, approved North Korea: Prospects for the
Succession and Internal Stability (NIE 14.2-88), subject to a meeting of the
representatives to clarify the Estimate's Key Judgments.
Minutes of the Meeting
1. Miscellanea
The Chairman, Director of Central Intelligence Webster, convened the
meeting and welcomed BGen Beans, Director of Marine Corps Intelligence, to his
first Board meeting. General Beans acknowledged the Chairman's welcome and
expressed his pleasure at being a member of the Board.
2. North Korea: Prospects for the Succession and Political Stability
(NIE 14.2-88)
The Chairman next noted the subject of the Estimate to be considered,
which he characterized as interesting and useful. He also noted that three
Korean issues aside from those treated by the Estimate are to be discussed.
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NFIB-M-233
The discussion will be helpful to him both because his views will be the
better informed for having heard those of the other principals and because he
will then be better be able to speak for the Intelligence Community on those
occasions when he is so required. He hopes that the principals will also find
it useful to be able to stay informed on others' views on key issues.
The Estimate, the Chairman continued, is the first that looks at the
succession in North Korea, a country that is one of those in this world that
we know the least about, and about which we are least able to make
predictions. It examines the prospects for the transfer of power from Kim
Il-song to his son, Kim Chong-il, on a graduated basis. It also establishes
some scenarios for political change, assesses their effects on political
stability, and looks at the implications for the United States. The first Key
Judgment highlights the limited information we have available on North Korea
and cautions consumers that our predictions should be read with this lack in
mind.
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The Chairman then turned the floor over to Mr. Ford, the National
Intelligence Officer for East Asia. Mr. Ford, in turn, introduced the
Estimate's drafter, of the Central Intelligence Agency, whom he
described as a national treasure.
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NFIB41-233
6. Secretariat Notes
Since its last meeting, the NFIB by telephone approved on 31 May 1988 the
award of the National Intelligence Distinguished Service Medal to Captain
William H. Dietrich, USN.
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Mark J.Sulllvan, Jr.; r
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NFIB-M-233
Those Attending
Judge William H. Webster, Chairman
Mr. Robert M. Gates, Vice Chairman
Mr. Richard J. Kerr, Deputy Director for Intelligence, Central Intelligence
Agency
Ambassador Morton I. Abramowitz, Assistant Secretary for Intelligence and
Research, Department of State
Intelligence Agen7
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Acting for Director, National Security Agency
Mr. Jimmie D. Hill, Acting for Secretary of the Air Force
Mr. Randall M. Fort, Special Assistant to the Secretary (National Security),
Department of Treasury
Mr. S. Eugene Bacher, Acting for Deputy Assistant Secretary for Intelligence,
Department of Energy
Mr. Thomas DuHadway, Acting for Executive Assistant Director for
Investigations, Federal Bureau of Investigation
Captain James Eglin, USN, Acting for Director of Naval Intelligence
Major General Stanley Hyman, USA, Acting for Deputy Chief of Staff,
Intelligence
Colonel Billy Bingham, USAF, Acting for Assistant Chief of Staff,
Intelligence
Brigadier General James Beans, USMC, Director of Intelligence
Those Attending
OEA/DI
OEA/DI
DIA
Mr. Fritz Ermarth, Chairman, National Intelligence Council
Mr. Carl Ford, National Intelligence Officer for East Asia
Deputy Director for Requirements and Evaluation,
Intelligence Community Staff
Mr. Andre LeGallo, National Intelligence Officer for Counterterrorism
Assistant National Intelligence Officer for East Asia
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SUBJECT: Minutes of the 233rd NFIB Meeting, 13 July 1988, 1000 Hours
Distribution:
Copy 1 -DCI
2 - DDCI
3 - Executive Registry
4 - DDI
5 - DIRNSA
6 - D/DIA
7 - D/INR/State
8 - DoE
9 - FBI
10 - Treasury
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15 - USMC
16 - ES/NFIB/Subject
17 - NFIB Chrono
18 - NFIB Microfiche
19 - D/REO
20 - D/PPO
21 - D/PBO
22 - Chairman,
23 - Chairman,
24 - Chairman,
25 - Chairman,
26 - NIC/PO
27 - ICS Registry
COMIREX
SIGINT
HUMINT
IHC
ES/NFIB/MJSullivan,Jr
(NFIB-4-233) 25X1
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(24 Aug 88) STAT
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