RESPONSE TO CONGRESS ON FY 88-89 INTELLIGENCE AUTHORIZATION BILL REQUIREMENT

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP90G01353R001800200004-1
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 18
• Document Creation Date: December 27, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 10, 2012
• Sequence Number: 4
• Publication Date: March 9, 1988
• Content Type: MEMO

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IhCmvrtwnvum rvn: jJ l
The attached letters for your
signature and Secretary Carlucci's
signature (he has already signed
these) respond to Senator Nunn's
request for joint DoD/Intelligence
Community net assessments. Mr. Kerr
and Mr. Hutchinson have approved
these letters for your signature,
as has Mr. Gates.
22 arch 1988
STAT
I Date
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Central Intelligence Agency
Washington, D.C. 20505
ER:
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STAT
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79"' 610 DITI
Ol ING AND RECORD SHEET
SUBJECT: (Optional)
Response to Congress on FY 1988-89 Intelligence Authorization Bill Requirement
FROM:
William M. Matz, Jr.
ExtENSION
NO. -
ES/Dept of Defense
DATE
TO: (Officer designation, room number, and
building)
DATE
OFFICER'S
COMMENTS (Number each comment to show from whom
REaIVED
FORWARDED
INITIALS
to whom. Draw a line across column ofter' each comment)
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7.
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15.
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OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY OF DEF
MEMORANDUM FOR EXECUTIVE SECRETARY, CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
AGENCY
SUBJECT: Response to Congress on FY 88-89 Intelligence
Authorization Bill Requirement
Forwarded is a package of letters prepared for joint signa-
tures--of SecDef and..DCI to respond to Congress with our plan
for conducting joint net assessments. This plan, which Doug
MacEachin helped refine, will provide for both intelligence
community involvement in preparation as well as a vehicle for
expression of independent views with regard to net assessments.
When you have obtained Judge Webster's (or Bob Gates')
signature, e
please return the packa _ ge to this office for drstr
~bution
k/W vux
William M. latz, Jr.
Executive S cretary
ft tE c a ^-A ems.- o r. E- Cc ? ee 5
~G 0-114 t-1 D r C 0-t 1 t,, r S7 IC; A.4 0-,0-
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THE SECRETARY OF DEFENSE
WASHINGTON, THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
4 April 1988
The Honorable Les Aspin
Chairman
Committee on Armed Services
House of Representatives
Washington, DC 20515
Dear Mr. Chairman,
The Intelligence Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 1988
.Conference Report requests that the Secretary of Defense and the
Director of Central Intelligence provide a plan for the conduct of
net assessments which allow for independent judgements by the
Intelligence Community.
The JCS 1987 Military Net Assessment and other previous OSD net
assessment studies have historically used extensive input from the
Intelligence Community. On September 8, 1987 Admiral Crowe and
Judge Webster agreed to formalize a plan for Intelligence Community
support of JCS Net Assessments.
Enclosed is our plan for Intelligence Community participation in
net assessments. Admiral Crowe agrees with this plan.
Sincerely,
G,4~ ~Z &A6,e~
Director of Central Intelligence
Secretary of Defense
Enclosures
a/s
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THE SECRETARY OF DEFENSE
4 April 1988
The Honorable David L. Boren
Chairman
Select Committee on Intelligence
United States Senate
Washington, DC 20510
Dear Mr. Chairman,
The Intelligence Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 1988
Conference Report requests that the Secretary of Defense and the
Director of Central Intelligence provide a plan for the conduct of
net assessments which allow for independent judgements by the
Intelligence Community.
The JCS 1987 Military Net Assessment and other previous OSD net
assessment studies have historically used extensive input from the
Intelligence Community. On September 8, 1987 Admiral Crowe and
Judge Webster agreed to formalize a plan for Intelligence Community
support of JCS Net Assessments.
Enclosed is our plan for Intelligence Community participation in
net assessments. Admiral Crowe agrees with this plan.
Sincerely,
WILLIAM H. WEBSTER ;';;FRANK ' C. CARLUCCI
Director of Central Intelligencei;Secretary of Defense
Enclosures
a/ s
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WASHINGTON, THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
4 April 1988
The Honorable Bill Chappell, Jr.
Chairman, Subcommittee on Defense
House of Representatives Committee on Appropriation
Washington, DC 20515
Dear Mr. Chairman,
The Intelligence Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 1988
Conference Report requests that the Secretary of Defense and the
Director of Central Intelligence provide a plan for the conduct of
net assessments which allow for independent judgements by the
Intelligence Community.
The JCS 1987 Military Net Assessment and other previous OSD net
assessment studies have historically used extensive input from the
Intelligence Community. On September 8, 1987 Admiral Crowe and
Judge Webster agreed to formalize a plan for Intelligence Community
support of JCS Net Assessments.
Enclosed is our plan for Intelligence Community participation in
net assessments. Admiral Crowe agrees with this plan.
WILLIAM H. WEBSTER -C.'CARLUCCI
Director of Central Intelligencq,,"Secretary of Defense
Enclosures
a/s
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4 April 1988
The Honorable Sam Nunn
Chairman
Committee on Armed Services
United States Senate
Washington, DC 20510
Dear Mr. Chairman,
The Intelligence Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 1988
Conference Report requests that the Secretary of Defense and the
Director of Central Intelligence provide a plan for the conduct of
net assessments which allow for independent judgements by the
Intelligence Community.
The JCS 1987 Military Net Assessment and other previous OSD net
assessment studies have historically used extensive input from the
Intelligence Community. On September 8, 1987 Admiral Crowe and
Judge Webster agreed to formalize a plan for Intelligence Community
support of JCS Net Assessments.
Enclosed is our plan for Intelligence Community participation in
net assessments. Admiral Crowe agrees with this plan.
Sincerely,
7ARAN ' C'. CARLUCCI
Director of Central Intelligence V Secretary of Defense
Enclosures
a/s
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WASHINGTON, THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
4 April 1988
The Honorable John C. Stennis
Chairman, Subcommittee on Defense
United States Senate Committee on Appropriation
Washington, DC 20510
Dear Mr. Chairman,
The Intelligence Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 1988.
Conference Report requests that the Secretary of Defense and the
Director of Central Intelligence provide a plan for the conduct of
net assessments which allow for independent judgements by the
Intelligence Community.
The JCS 1987 Military Net Assessment and other previous OSD net
assessment studies have historically used extensive input from the
Intelligence Community. On September 8, 1987 Admiral Crowe and
Judge Webster agreed to formalize a plan for Intelligence Community
support of JCS Net Assessments.
Enclosed is our plan for Intelligence Community participation in
net assessments. Admiral Crowe agrees with this plan.
(~ 'CARLUCC I
Director of Central Intelligence (/Secretary of Defense
Enclosures
a/s
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4 April 1988
The Honorable Louis Stokes
Chairman
Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence
House of Representatives
Washington, DC 20515
Dear Mr. Chairman,
The Intelligence Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 1988
Conference Report requests that the Secretary of Defense and the
Director of Central Intelligence provide a plan for the conduct of
net assessments which allow for independent judgements by the
Intelligence Community.
The JCS 1987 Military Net Assessment and other previous OSD net
assessment studies have historically used extensive input from the
Intelligence Community. On September 8, 1987 Admiral Crowe and
Judge Webster agreed to formalize a plan for Intelligence Community
support of JCS Net Assessments.
Enclosed is our plan for Intelligence Community participation in
net assessments. Admiral Crowe agrees with this plan.
WILLIAM H. WEBSTER FRANK C. CARLUCCI
Director of Central Intelligence i>-Secretary of Defense
Enclosures
a/s
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PLAN FOR INTELLIGENCE COMMUNITY. SUPPORT OF NET ASSESSMENTS
1. The Secretary of Defense and the Director of Central Intelligence
establish this plan which provides for the full participation of the
Intelligence Community in DOD net assessments. The Intelligence
Community will:
- participate in the development of requirements for,
- participate in the establishment of parameters for,
- provide coordinated intelligence, and
- participate in the conduct of
net assessments by the Department of Defense. The Intelligence
Community will review and comment on net assessments prior to
dissemination external to the Executive Branch, and will have the
right to present independent conclusions based on its review of the
results.
2. Community-agreed intelligence data bases and assessments will be
used for net assessments where possible. However, where the
intelligence input to net assessments is new or comprises material at
variance with earlier Community views, coordination shall be conducted
by a working group consisting of representatives of all interested
members of the Intelligence Community. Coordination will normally be
conducted in a manner similar to that for National Intelligence
Estimates (NIEs).
3. The Intelligence Community will participate in. net assessments with
DOD/JCS in areas critical to the overall effectiveness of US national
security policy, strategy, tactics, and weapons systems. Initially
these net assessments will include such areas as:
a. Total military capabilities. These assessments will include an
analysis of military functional capabilities across the spectrum of
warfare including conventional, strategic nuclear, nonstrategic
nuclear and CBW. Other military capabilities will be analyzed,
including: intelligence, sustainability, mobility, electronic
warfare, special operations forces, reserve forces, command,
control, and communications, and leadership, morale, and training.
b. Regional politico-military balances. These assessments will
analyze the capability of the US and its allies to achieve regional
objectives versus the capabilities of an adversary, principally the
Soviet Union and its allies. These balances may also take into
account significant regional sub-balances (e.g., North Korea/South
Korea).
c. Joint technical net assessments. These assessments will analyze
the standing of US and allied R & D efforts relative to those of
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the Soviet Union in key military and technology areas, such as low
observable technology, new explosives, and directed energy weapons.
These areas are critical as they are fundamental to current and future
force planning-and national strategy as set forth in NSDD 238, the
National Security Strategy, and the Defense Guidance.
4. The time table for initiation and completion of net assessments
identified for Intelligence Community participation over the next two
years is as follows:
1988 JCS Net Assessment (Unclassified Document)
Commence: 1 March 1988 Complete: 30 September 1988
Interim 1989 Military Net Assessment
Commence: 1 November 1987 Complete: 30 October 1988
1988 Joint Technical Net Assessment, Low Observable Technology
Commence: 1 April 1988 Complete: 1 December 1988
1989 Military Net Assessment
Commence: 1 November 1987 Complete: 30 June 1989
1989 JCS Net Assessment (Unclassified Document)
Commence: 1 October 1988 Complete: 30 September 1989
5. Dissemination of these net assessments shall include those senior
officials involved in national security policy in the Executive Branch
and to the following committees of the Congress: Senate Armed
Services Committee, Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, Senate
Appropriations Committee, House Armed Services Committee, House Select
Committee on Intelligence, and the House Appropriations Committee.
6. Implementation of the above plan has commenced and will be fully
implemented by 1 October 1988.
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ADN11NISTRATIl - INTERNAL USE ONLY
ROUTING AND RECORD SHEET
SUBJECT: (Optional)
31 May 1988 Meeting with Senate Staff Members on Net Assessments
FROM: MG Larry D. Budge, USA
NIO/GPF
7B07 HQS
TO: (Officer designation, room number, and
building)
NIC# 02036/88
PATE
7 June 1988
David D. Gries
Vice Chairman , NIC
Fritz W. Ermarth
Chairman, NIC
Executive Registry
SA DCI
s.
STAT DDCI
b.
7.
12.
OFFICER'S
INITIALS
MarCONI
"5.1-
?~d't
STAT
STAT
COMMENTS (Number each comment to show from whom
to whom. Draw a line across column after each comment.)
2 to 5,6:
decisions.
This is the latest chapter in a
continuing story. We are making
progress on, net assessments in
collaboration with DoD. There
remains a danger, however, that
Congress (Sen. Nunn) will at some
point impose on the DCI an
obligation to "audit" SecDef
FORM L1 A USE-ntEVtous
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6. My assessment of the meeting is that the staffers understand the
Intelligence Community position and they are somewhat sympathetic to us on
the issue of resources. They are sceptical of DIA's ability to remain
impartial in their role as "primary action agent" for the Intelligence
Community. Although I do not know the results of their meetings with DoD, I
believe that DoD will continue `o resist doing any real weapons systems net
assessments. In that case, I suspect that we will receive further guidance
from the Senate Armed Services Committee. I think it likely that DoD and
the Intelligence Comm irected to do Tateragency Net
Assessments of cert n w selected by the Senate Arm d Services
ommittee. There is also e possibility, which I think is less likely at
this time, that the Intelligence community will be directed to conduct net
assessments on our own. I will keep you informed as more information
becomes available.
cc: Director/OCA
DDI
ADMINISTRATIVE - INTERNAL USE ONLY
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"u'"" I mM 1 1 vt - 1N I LKNAL USE ONLY
The Director of Central Intelligence
Washington, D.C. 20505
National Intelligence Council
NIC# 02036/88
7 June 1988
MEMORANDUM FOR: Director of Central Intelligence
VIA: Deputy Director of Central Intelligence
Chairman, National Intelligence Council
FROM: MG Larry D. Budge, USA
National Intelligence Officer for
General Purpose Forces
SUBJECT: 31 May 1988 Meeting with Senate Staff Members on Net
Assessments
1. On 31 May I met with Jeffrey Smith, General Counsel to the Senate
Armed Services Committee and Senator Nunn's designee to the Senate Select
Committee on Intelligence (SSCI). He was accompanied by Richard D. Finn,
Professional Staff Member to the Senate Armed Services Committee. I was
accompanied b
Ca
t
i
y
p
a
n , Assistant National Intelligence
Officer for-General Purpose Forces. Also-present were
Office of Congressional Affairs, and nd
Soviet Analysis. Office of
2. The staffers asked for the meeting to review the status of
Intelligence Community participation in the net assessment process and to
determine the extent to which Interagency Net Assessments were being
conducted. The Senate Armed Services Committee apparently plans to discuss
net assessment during their review of the Intelligence Authorization Act in
about two weeks. They also suggested that the Committee might provide
further guidance on the subject of net assessment to the Intelligence
Community, DoD, or both. The staffers made it clear that members of the
Senate Armed Services Committee were primarily interested in the net
assessment of specific weapons systems. The Senators want to use results of
these net assessments as a major input into their decisions on DoD requests
to procure the specific weapons systems. Smith acknowledged that this was
expecting a great deal of the net assessment methodology. The Senators were
also interested in strategic net assessments (such as the Chairman's
Military Net Assessment), but this interest was secondary to weapons systems
net assessments.
ADMINISTRATIVE - INTERNAL USE ONLY
In" .
EXEC
REG
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3. I reviewed, briefly, the evolution of NIO/GPF's participation in the
net assessment process since last summer and concluded that we were making
good progress, particularly with the Chairman's Military Net Assessment. I
mentioned that we had had some problems with getting data from DIA but that
the situation had improved significantly. I discussed the role of the Red
Advisory Panel, on which the Intelligence Community is represented, and the
procedures we were using to coordinate issues and data within the
Intelligence Community. While not antagonistic in their reaction, the
staffers pointed out that DIA's serving as the "primary action agent" had
the potential to be self-serving. I pointed out that my involvement was
designed to prevent that happening. DIA had the manpower, the expertise,
and the experience; therefore, it was quite logical for me to appoint them
the "primary action agent." I tried to impress upon the staffers that
Intelligence Community involvement in DoD/JCS net assessments was a new
phenomena and some in DoD were still wary of our participation. However, we
are making progress. I suggested that the Senate Armed Services Committee
wait until they see the Chairman's Military Net Assessment before giving us
any further guidance.
4. The staffers then inquired why there were no more net assessments
than the five listed in the plan sent to congress. In fact, four of these
net assessments are subsets of the Chairman's Military net Assessment so
there are really only two net assessments. My answer was that DoD had not
recommended any others. We had raised the issue of weapons systems net
assessments at the time the plan was drafted and DoD said they had no
weapons systems which required net assessments. I provided the staffers a
copy of the recently developed Net Assessment Coordinating Committee (NACC)
Charter which requires the preparation of an annual plan for Interagency Net
Assessments. The Intelligence Community is an equal participant with DoD in
developing this plan; both the DDI and the NIO/GPF sit on the NACC.
However, DoD should be the one to propose most of the net assessments since
it is normally DoD forces, strategy, and weapons system which are being
assessed. I stressed that the staffers really needed to talk with DoD to
discuss the issue of additional net assessments. They promised that they
would. The staffers asked if the Intelligence Community was prepared to do
weapons system net assessments and I assured them that we were, if and when
the requirement was placed on the table. I also discussed the resource
implications to the Intelligence Community of becoming heavily involved in
this sort of net assessment. Analysts who are tied up doing net assessments
are not doing intellige hich is the primary mission of the
Intelligence Community. STAT
question of numbers, bu at it was numbers of l only a
qualified analysts that created the problem. I have aske oy STAT
develop the manpower fi
ur
s i
g
e
nvolved in providing Intelligence Community
support to the Chairman's Military net Assessment.
5. We also briefly discussed the status of the Net Technical Assessment
on Low Observables. I informed them that we were coming up to speed and
fully expected that we would be able to do it in accordance with the plan.
The staffers were not particularly interested in this assessment as it deals
primarily with pure technology rather than weapons systems.
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6. My assessment of the meeting is that the staffers understand the
Intelligence Community position and they are somewhat sympathetic to us on
the issue of resources. They are sceptical of DIA's ability to remain
impartial in their role as "primary action agent" for the Intelligence
Community. Although I do not know the results of their meetings with DoD, I
believe that DoD will continue to resist doing any real weapons systems net
assessments. In that case, I suspect that we will receive further guidance
from the Senate Armed Services Committee. I think it likely that DoD and
the Intelligence Community will be directed to do Interagency Net
Assessments of certain weapons system selected by the Senate Armed Services
Committee. There is also the possibility, which I think is less likely at
this time, that the Intelligence community will be directed to conduct net
assessments on our own. I will keep you informed as more information
becomes available.
cc: Director/OCA
DDI
Distribution:
Orig - Addressee
1 - DDCI
1 - D/OCR
1 - DDI
1 - C/NIC
1 - Executive Registry
2 - NIO/GPF Files
3
ADMINISTRATIVE - INTERNAL USE ONLY
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