SYMPOSIUM, U.S., JAPAN, AND HIGH TECHNOLOGY IN THE 21ST CENTURY

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP90G00993R000400010002-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 11
• Document Creation Date: December 23, 2016
• Document Release Date: January 17, 2012
• Sequence Number: 2
• Publication Date: August 28, 1987
• Content Type: MEMO

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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/17: CIA-RDP90GO0993R000400010002-0
28 August 1987
STAT
MEMORANDUM FOR: Editorial Board, Studies in Intelligence
Director, center tor the Study of Intelligence
STAT
SUBJECT: Symposium, U.S., Japan, and High Technology
in the 21st Century
1. This will remind you that during the last meeting of
the Board I mentioned that the Center would sponsor a conference
on "Superpower and Superstate: The United States, Japan, and
High Technology for the 21st Century." The Conference will be
held at the Xerox Management Training Site, Leesburg, Virginia
from 15 - 17 September.
2. This invites your participation in that Conference.
We have arranged with Xerox sleeping accommodations and meals
for 50 participants for the duration of the Conference (with
early check-in the evening of 14 September). Meals will be
provided for those who wish to commute, and plan their
attendance around particular agenda items. If need be, the
contract can be expanded.
3. We are attaching for your information, a statement
of the conference's purpose, a partial list of those invited
to attend and an agenda.
Attachments
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JUYLI11rv'1Lrc. JIVNl) . UYtIColtidL.
TI lE 1f v I TED STATES , JAPAN X. ii I GH TECH?'NOi,OGY FOR THE 21ST CENTURY
In 1970, in his book entitled The Emerging Japanese Superstate,
Her:-.an Kahn predicted the rise of a new kind of state -- militarily
contained, but economically, technically, and politically powerful enough
to influence the future course of the world. This prospect caused no
reaction in Washington or Moscow. Indeed, the response at the Kremlin
may very well have echoed Stalin's disdain when he asked of the Vatican,
"How many divisions does the Pope have?" A high-tech-driven,
economically powerful Japan, however, now threatens to disrupt both
superpowers' preoccupation with mutual destruction with a challenge that
threatens the preeminence of their economic systems.
The specter of England's decline has made Japan far more sensitive to
the requirement for continuing modernization. The superpowers, in their
mutual distrust, have not fared as well. While each of the superpowers
sought dominance in high-tech weaponry, the Japanese sought dominance of
high-tech commerce. The resulting transformation in the world trade
balance has been dramatic. The trauma of defeat in World War 11
impressed upon the Japanese that the real basis of their country's
security is social and political stability under the US nuclear
umbrella. Therefore, when the OPEC oil crisis reawakened an age-old
sense of vulnerability to outside energy sources and foreign political
pressures, Japai was ready to embrace high technology to produce
high-quality, energy-efficient goods for world markets. Japan's reliance
on leading-edge technology and long-term developmental timetables has set
a standard for high-tech competitiveness that is now being, widely
emulated by the newly-industrializing- countries of the pacific Basin, an-'
countries such as China, North Korea, and Vietnam must no? consider the
lihelihoo' of economic backu;ard,iess.
Today Japan is undergoing sweeping changes aimed at the 21st century
twat could LLideraine- all our assumptions about tI c utility of hid:
technology. Japanese product development, which is first rate, will get
even better , the Japanese are well into creative and innovative Ri,D, ani
Japes: is already the foremost provider of capital in the world, a role
previously played by Great Britain and the United States.
What steps should the United States take? Should US-Japanese
relations be governed by cooperation or confrontation. After World War
I, Lenin was alleged to have said that the key to Soviet hegemony in Asia
was war between Japan and the United States. Will the trade war of the
1930s be repeated? We hope that this symposium will bring together some
of t:ie best minds from the public, private, and academic sectors to
discuss strategies for the rejuvenation of American high-tech
competitiveness. The starting point is a realistic assessment of the
challenges that will carry Japan into the 21st century and their
implications for US national interests.
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Participants in Conference
15 - 17 September 1987
Zerox Training Center
Mr. Justin Bloom
President, Technology International Inc.
11600 Georgetown Court
Potomac, MD 20854
Dr. Ray E. Chapman
Research Professor
George Mason University
4400 University Drive
Fairfax, VA 22030
Mr. Dean Collins
Director, Systems Components Lab
Mail Station 134
PO Box 655936
Dallas, TX 75265
fir. Michael Cusumano
Sloan School of Management
HIT E52-555
Cambridge, IIA 02319
Dr. Arthur M. Diness
Associate Director of Research
ONR Code 113
Arlington, VA 22217
Mr. Mark Eaton
MCC
3500 West Balcones Circle Drive
Austin, TX 78759
Dr. John Endicott
Director, Institute for National Strategic Studies
National Defense University
Ft. McNair
Washington, D.C. 20319
Norman D. Fast
16 Laurel Avenue
PO 348
Wellesley Hills, MA 02181
[phone]
Dr. Horace Feldman
STAT
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Dr. Ellen Frost
Westinghouse Electric Corporation
1801 K Street Nil
8th Floor
Washington, D.C. 20006
Dr. Herbert Glazer
Chairman, Department of Management
The Kogod College of Business Administration
4400 Massachusetts Avenue, Nil
Washington, D.C. 20016
Dr. Chuck Hall
Martin Marietta Corporation
6801 Rock-ridge Drive
Bethesda, MD
Dr. Mar tiia Harris
U.S. Congress
Office of Technical Assessment
Washington, D.C. 20510
4r. Tim Hauser
Deputy Assistant Secretary for Planning
International Trade Administration
Department of Commerce
Room 3850
1';ashington, D.C. 20230
Dr. A. Hellman
PO 289
Clarksburg, ) 20871
Mrs. Pat Hill Hubbard
Vice President, Educational and Policy
and State Government Operations
American Electronics Association
2670 Hannover Street
PO 10045
Palo Alto, CA 94303
Ms. Sabina Javits
Department of Commerce
Herbert Clark Hoover Building
Room 4833
14th and Constitution Avenue
Washington, D.C. 20418
Mr. Peter A. Marino
1501 US Highway 22
C.S. `1
Plainfield, New Jersey 07061
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Mrs. Nancy Miller
Library of Congress
Congressional Research Service
Room Lm-413
Washington, D. C. 20540
Dr. Ronald A. Morse
Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars
1100 Jefferson Drive, SW
Washington, D.C. 20560
Dr. Charles Owens
National Science Foundation
Division of International Programs
Room 1214
Washington, D.C. 20550
Dr. Michael Parker
Science Advisor
Office of Commanding General
US Army Japan/IX Corps
APO San Fraiicisco, CA 96343
Dr. Stephen Piper
Suite 502
1717 K Street, rr
Washington, D.C. 20036
Mr. Martin Prochnik
Department of State
Director, OES/SCE
Room 4330
Washington, D.C.
Mr. Mark Radtke
Vice President
Venture Economics
Wellesley Hills, MA 02181
Mr. Daniel Reifsnyder
Deputy Director
Office of Cooperative Science f, Technology Programs
OES/SCT
Room 4330
Department of State
Washington, D.C. 20036
Dr. Kay Rhyne
DARPA
1400 Wilson Boulevard
Arlington, VA 22209-2308
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STAT
David Shanyo
Director, Office of International Affairs
NiIS
5285 Port Royal Road
Springfield, VA 22161
Dr. Richard M. Spriggs
Staff Director Board Assessments
on NBS Programs
National Research Council
National Academy of Sciences
2101 Constitution Avenue
Washington, D.C. 20418
Mr. Tim Stone
Motorola, Inc.
Corporation Strategy Office
1303 E. Algonquin Road
Schaumburg, IL 60196
Dr. Nathaniel Thayer
Moodie Turner
NSA Headquarters
International P1aiming and Programs ":ID
400 Maryland Avenue, ?I'
Washington, D.C. 20546
[phone]
Ms. Jan Vardaman
1V1CC
3500 West Balcones Circle Drive
Austin, TX 78759
Mr. JoIni 1. ibbe
Director, NSA
Attn: 3-51
9800 Savage Road
Fort Meade, Mi) 20755
Ms. Deborah Wince
Assistant Director for International Affairs
Office of Science and Technology Policy
Room 5002
New Executive Office Building
Washington, D.C. 20506
[phone]
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Atsusiii Akera
George Mason Inst.
George Mason University
4400 University Drive
Fairfax, VA 22030
[phone]
Mr. Barry Beringer
Room 4845
Herbert 0. Hoover Building
14th and Constitution Avenue
Washington, D. C. 20230
377-8181
Dr. Tamami Kusuda
Room 4845
Herbert C. Hoover Building
14th and Constitution Avenue
Washington, D. C. 20230
377-6181
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Central Intelligence Agency
Center for the Study of Intelligence
SUPERPOWER AND SUPERSTATE:
TILE UNITED STATES, JAPAN, AND HIGH TECHNOLOGY
FOR THE 21ST CENTURY
15 September 1987
0730-0900
Registration
STAT
0900-0515
Welcoming Remarks
0915-1015
Japan and the 21st Century
Director
Center for the Study
of Intelligence
Dr. Ronald Morse
Wilson Center
1030-1130 Internationalization and
Dr. Martha Harris
Japan
Office of Technology
1130-1230 New Materials Research
Assessment
Dr. Richard Spriggs
1230-1330
National Academy of
Sciences
Science Counselors: Mr. Justin Bloom
The American Presence Technology Inter-
national Inc.
Dr. Charles T. Owens
National Science
Foundation
1445-1500 Break (No Coffee)
1500-1600 Semiconductor Materials Mr. Dean Collins
Texas Instruments
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16 September 1987
0900-1000 United States Military Dr. Stephen Piper
Weapons and Japan Charles L. Fishman PC
1215-1345 Lunch
1445-1500 Break
The Japanese Perspective Mr. William W. Turner
on Space NASA
Prospects for Change in Mr. Tim Stone
Japanese High-Tech Motorola Corporation
Strategies
Preparations for Japanese Mr. Atsushi Akera
Technical Information George Mason University
MITI and the Enterprise Mr. Mark Eaton
State MCC
Biotechnology Developments Dr. Alfred Hellman
in Japan Science Adviser to the
Assistant Secretary
for Trade Development,
Department of Commerce
17 September 1987
Venture Capital and Japan
Mr. Mark Radtke
Vice President
Venture Economics
1000-1130 Whither America?
1130 Conclusion
1200 Lunch
I Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/17: CIA-RDP90GO0993R000400010002-0
 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/17: CIA-RDP90GO0993ROO0400010002-0
Central Intelligence Agency
Center for the Study of Intelligence
SUPERPOWER AND SUPERSTATE:
THE UNITED STATES, JAPAN, AND HIGH TECHNOLOGY
FOR THE 21ST CENTURY
15 September 1987
0730-0900
Registration
STAT
0900-0915
Welcoming Remarks
0915-1015
Director
Center for the Study
of Intelligence
Japan and the 21st Century Dr. Ronald Morse
1030-1130
Wilson Center
Internationalization and Dr. Martha Harris
1130-1230
Japan Office of Technology
Assessment
New Materials Research Dr. Richard Spriggs
1230-1330
National Academy of
Sciences
Science Counselors: Mr. Justin Bloom
The American Presence Technology Inter-
national Inc.
Dr. Charles T. Owens
National Science
Foundation
1445-1500 Break (No Coffee)
1500-1600 Semiconductor Materials Mr. Dean Collins
Texas Instruments
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/17: CIA-RDP90GO0993ROO0400010002-0
 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/01/17: CIA-RDP90GO0993R000400010002-0
16 September 1987
0900-1000 United States Military Dr. Stephen Piper
Weapons and Japan Charles L. Fishman PC
The Japanese Perspective Mr. William W. Turner
on Space NASA
Prospects for Change in Mr. Tim Stone
Japanese High-Tech Motorola Corporation
Strategies
Preparations for Japanese Mr. Atsushi Akera
Techizical Information George Mason University
MITI and the Enterprise Mr. Mark Eaton
State MCC
Biotechnology Developments Dr. Alfred Hellman
in Japan Science Adviser to the
Assistant Secretary
for Trade Development,
Department of Commerce
17 September 1987
Venture Capital and Japan Mr. Mark Radtke
Vice President
Venture Economics
1000-1130 Whither America?
1130 Conclusion
1200 Lunch
Audience Recommendations
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