CODEL HATCH: A USEFUL VISIT WITH THE GOP

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP90B01390R000700900075-2
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: December 27, 2016
• Document Release Date: December 14, 2010
• Sequence Number: 75
• Publication Date: January 14, 1986
• Content Type: CABLE

Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/10/24: CIA-RDP90BO139OR000700900075-2
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DE RUEHIL #0910/01 0140708
ZNY SSSSS ZZH
0 140706Z JAN 86
FM AMEMBASSY ISLAMABAD
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHOC IMMEDIATE 7249
INFO RUEHML/AMEMBASSY MANILA PRIORITY 2838
RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING 9014
RUSBKB/AMEMBASSY KABUL 3619
RUEHLD/AMEMBASSY LONDON 7780
RUEHMO/AMEMBASSY MOSCOW 3038
RUEHNE/AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 5625
RUEHRH/AMEMBASSY RIYADH 1000
RUEHDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK 3625
RUCJACC/USCINCCENT MACDILL AFB FL
RUEHKP/AMCONSUL KARACHI 7209
RUEHLR/AMCONSUL LAHORE 4641
RUEHCR/AMCONSUL PESHAWAR IMMEDIATE 3043
BT
5; G R 9 T ISLAMABAD 00910
EXDIS MILITARY TREAT AS SPECAT EXCLUSIVE
MANILA FOR CODEL HATCH
E.O. 12356: DECL: OADR
TAGS: PREL, OREP, PK,
SUBJECT: CODEL HATCH: A USEFUL VISIT WITH THE GOP
2. CODEL HATCH SPENT TWO INTENSIVE DAYS LOOKING AT THE
ISSUES RELATED TO AFGHANISTAN. THEY MET ALMOST ALL OF
THE KEY PLAYERS (SAVE FOREIGN MINISTER YAQUB KHAN WHO
WAS AT THE OIC FOREIGN MINISTERS' CONFERENCE IN FES).
THE PRESENTATIONS THE CODEL HEARD FROM THE NEW CIVILIAN
LEADERSHIP AND PRESIDENT ZIA WERE NOTABLE FOR THE
CANDOR WITH WHICH THEY SOUGHT TO CONVEY THAT PAKISTAN
IS DIFFERENT THAN IT WAS JUST 15 DAYS AGO. THEY
STRESSED THAT THE NEW CIVILIAN GOVERNMENT IS AND MUST
BE RESPONSIVE TO THE PEOPLE -- THE PRIME MINISTER PUT
IT BLUNTLY IN NOTING THAT PRESIDENT ZIA TWO YEARS AGO
DID NOT NEED TO CONSULT ANYONE BEFORE MAKING HIS
DECISIONS; THE NEW GOVERNMENT MUST BRING ALONG THE
PEOPLE.
3. FROM OUR VIEWPOINT, THE VISIT BY THE CODEL WAS A
NOTEWORTHY SUCCESS. DOUBTLESS WE FOUND PAKISTAN-US
DIFFERENCES OF VIEW BUT, IN THE END, THE VISIT GAVE
BOTH SIDES AN OPPORTUNITY TO EXPLORE EACH OTHER'S
THINKING, BETTER TO GET THE MEASURE OF EACH OTHER'S
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/10/24: CIA-RDP90BO139OR000700900075-2
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4. FOR CODEL HATCH, THERE WAS AN OPPORTUNITY TO
CONGRATULATE THE NEW CIVILIAN GOVERNMENT, TO INDICATE
THE ENORMOUS SATISFACTION AMERICANS FEEL IN THE
PEACEFUL PROCESS OF POLITICAL CHANGE UNDERWAY, AND TO
UNDERSCORE AMERICAN DETERMINATION TO CONTINUE TO
SUPPORT THE INDEPENDENCE AND SOVEREIGNTY OF PAKISTAN.
THEY PROJECTED THE AFGHAN ISSUE AS A DEEPLY IMPORTANT
AND EMOTIONAL ONE WITH THE AMERICAN CONGRESS. WHILE
ACKNOWLEDGING THAT THE AFGHAN POLICY LEAD MUST REMAIN
WITH PAKISTAN, THEY LEFT NO DOUBT THAT THE CONGRESS
FEELS UNDER ENORMOUS PRESSURE TO SHOW THE AMERICAN
PEOPLE THAT THE U.S. IS DOING SOMETHING CONCRETE TO GET
THE SOVIETS OUT OF AFGHANISTAN.
5. THE POLITICAL MARKERS LEFT BY THE CODEL ARE CLEAR
-- START MOVING OVERT HUMANITARIAN ASSISTANCE INSIDE
AFGHANISTAN AND WORK ON A POLITICAL STRATEGY FOR THE
ALLIANCE THAT WILL ENABLE IT TO DEMONSTRATE THE KIND OF
POLITICAL AND ADMINISTRATIVE LEADERSHIP THAT, OVER
TIME, CAN MAKE IT A LEGITIMATE CLAIMANT FOR
AFGHANISTAN'S SEAT IN THE UNITED NATIONS. A KEY TO
THIS WOULD BE BETTER INFORMATION PROJECTION AND ACTIVE
OVERSEAS ALLIANCE OFFICES, STARTING IN NEW YORK. IN
TERMS OF THE WAR, THE CODEL EXPRESSED CONSIDERABLE
DOUBT THAT THE CURRENT LEVEL OF MILITARY PRESSURE IS
ENOUGH TO FORCE A POLITICAL SETTLEMENT. THEY WERE
UNANIMOUS IN EXPRESSING DOUBTS THAT THERE HAS BEEN A
SOVIET CHANGE OF HEART. AT THE FOREIGN MINISTRY,
USEFUL MARKERS WERE ALSO LEFT ON OUR CONCERN ABOUT
NARCOTICS TRAFFICKING (SHARED BY THE GOP), PAKISTAN'S
NUCLEAR PROGRAM, AND OUR HOPES THAT PAKISTAN COULD MAKE
PROGRESS IN REDUCING IRANIAN SUPPORT FOR INTERNATIONAL
TERRORISM (INCLUDING HELPING TO WIN THE RELEASE OF THE
U.S. HOSTAGES IN LEBANON).
6. FROM THE GOP VIEWPOINT, THE NEW GOVERNMENT MADE
CLEAR THAT IT REMAINS COMMITTED TO ACHIEVING A
NEGOTIATED POLITICAL SETTLEMENT BASED ON A WITHDRAWAL
OF SOVIET TROOPS IN AFGHANISTAN. HOWEVER, PAKISTAN'S
FIRST CONCERN MUST BE PAKISTAN. MINISTER OF STATE ZAIN
NOORANI URGED RESPONSIBLE AMERICANS TO TRY TO THINK AS
PAKISTANIS MIGHT THINK WHEN CONSIDERING VARIOUS POLICY
PROPOSALS, WHETHER ON AFGHANISTAN SPECIFICALLY, OR ON
SUCH ITEMS AS INCREASED MILITARY-MILITARY COOPERATION.
PRESIDENT ZIA SAID PAKISTAN MUST BE THE ULTIMATE JUDGE
OF HOW BEST TO TEND THE BOILING AFGHAN POT. ALL THE
CODEL'S INTERLOCUTORS RUMINATED ON THE NEED TO
MANILA FOR CODEL HATCH
E.O. 12356: DECL: OADR
TAGS: PREL, OREP, PK,
SUBJECT: CODEL HATCH: A USEFUL VISIT WITH THE GOP
ACCOMMODATE FOREIGN POLICY ISSUES WITHIN THE LARGER
POLITICAL POLICY FRAMEWORK THAT THE CIVILIAN GOVERNMENT
NOW MUST WORK WITH THE PARLIAMENT AND THE PAKISTANI
PEOPLE.
7. ON THE WAR, THE GOP SIDE SAW THE MILITARY SITUATION
AS JUST ABOUT RIGHT, ALTHOUGH ZIA CONCEDED A FEW
MID-COURSE CHANGES COULD BE USEFUL. ON HUMANITARIAN
AID, THE GOP REMAINS CAUTIOUS; PAKISTAN WELFARE
INTERNATIONAL IS SET TO GO, BUT THE NEW GOVERNMENT
STILL NEEDS TO BE SATISFIED IT IS THE RIGHT TIME AND
THE RIGHT MECHANISM. SAME WITH POLITICAL STRATEGY AND
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THE ALLIANCE. AS NOORANI PUT IT, THE GOP IS TRYING TO
ACHIEVE UNITY AT THE GRASSROOTS -- PAKISTAN DOES NOT
WANT JUST ANOTHER ARTIFICIAL UNITY OF LEADERS, AND THIS
TAKES TIME.
8. PRESIDENT ZIA PUT PAKISTAN'S AFGHAN POLICY MOST
SUCCINCTLY WHEN HE SAID: AT THE SUPERPOWER LEVEL
PRESIDENT REAGAN SHOULD DEAL WITH GORBACHEV; AT THE
MILITARY LEVEL THE U.S. SHOULD LEAVE IT TO THE
MUJAHIDIN TO DEAL WITH THE RUSSIANS; AND IN PAKISTAN
THE U.S. SHOULD LEAVE IT TO ZIA TO DETERMINE HOW BEST
TO DEAL WITH THE THREE MILLION REFUGEES.
8. THE MOST INTERESTING FACT OF THE DIALOGUE WITH THE
GOP WAS TO SEE THE VARIATIONS IN EMPHASIS BETWEEN
VARIOUS PLAYERS IN THE GOP HIERARCHY. WHERE THE
PREVIOUS GOVERNMENT USED TO GO IN LOCKSTEP, MARCHING TO
THE SAME BEAT, THE NEW ELECTED OFFICIALS SHOWED CLEAR
DIFFERENCES IN EMPHASIS. PRESIDENT ZIA STILL VIEWS THE
WAR AS A "RELIGIOUS" (AND STRATEGIC) CAUSE TO WHICH HE
IS PERSONALLY COMMITTED. THE PM SEES THE WAR MORE
THROUGH THE PRISM OF DOMESTIC POLITICS. DESPITE SUCH
DIFFERENCES, E.G. INCLUDING THE IMPORTANT QUESTION OF
HOW MUCH FAITH TO PUT IN HINTS OF NEW SOVIET
FLEXIBILITY (ZIA PROFESSES SOME HOPE THE SOVIET
POSITION IS CHANGING; NOORANI CALLED SOVIET FLEXIBILITY
A SMOKE SCREEN), THE BOTTOM LINE FOR EACH WAS THAT THE
GOP MUST DO NOTHING THAT WOULD JEOPARDIZE WHATEVER
SLENDER CHANCES THERE MAY BE. IN THIS CONNECTION, IN
AN UNCHARACTERISTICALLY SOMBER AND RAMBLING
AFTER-DINNER TOAST TO THE CODEL, ZIA ALSO EMPHASIZED
OUR LEAKS HURT THE GOP.
9. OVERARCHING THE CONVERSATIONS, FOR US HOWEVER WAS
THE CLEAR MESSAGE THAT AFGHANISTAN MUST COMPETE FOR
PRIORITY WITH A WHOLE SLEW OF ISSUES THE NEW GOVERNMENT
SEES AS IMPORTANT AND ON WHICH IT FEELS THE CLOCK IS
TICKING RELENTLESSLY.
10. KABUL MINIMIZE CONSIDERED.
HINTON
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/10/24: CIA-RDP90BO139OR000700900075-2