SOVIET/LIBYAN/CUBAN AXIS IN AFRICA

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP88B00443R001103890088-7
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: December 20, 2016
• Document Release Date: July 5, 2007
• Sequence Number: 88
• Publication Date: September 18, 1981
• Content Type: MEMO

Approved For Release 2007/07/05: CIA-RDP88B00443RO01103890088-7
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Pl~ NTIAL SECRET
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Executive Secretary
Approved For Release 2007/07/05: CIA-RDP88B00443RO01103890088-7
 Approved For Release 2007/07/05: CIA-RDP88B00443RO01103890088-7
. SECRET ?
18 September 1981
MEMORANDUM FOR: Chairman, National Intelligence Council
FROM: Director of Central Intelligence
Soviet/Libyan/Cuban Axis in Africa
L LQ-__J
1. We recently did estimates on the Soviets in Africa and the
Horn of Africa. Do you think there is a need for a further estimate
on the Soviet/Libyan/Cuban axis in Africa which would reflect these
subsequent developments:
A. The Libyan/Ethiopian/South Yemen Pact and its: threat to
the Sudan and Somalia;
B. Prospects for the Soviets and Cubans in Shaba;
C. Indications of introduction of modern weapons with strong
conventional capability by a combination of Soviets, Cubans, and East
Germans aimed at Namibia on the east and Mozambique on the west. See
the Evans-Novak article in this morning's Post. I would certainly like
a reevaluation of the prospects presented and the evidence to support it;
D. Possibly include the Libyan/Algerian support of the
Polisario in the southern Sahara; and
E. Possibly an extension of the Libyan/Ethiopian/South .'Yemen
Pact to deal with the kind of weapons which the Soviets have stockpiled
in South Yemen, their unsuitability to African or North Yemen operations,
the match between the Soviets. training battalion in Cuba and the tanks
and weapons carriers stationed in South Yemen and the terrain in Oman,
and the control of Oman over the west bank of the Persian Gulf.
William J. Casey
SECRET
_ Approved For Release 2007/07/05: CIA-RDP88B00443RO01103890088-7