[DEFENSE & FOREIGN AFFAIRS HANDBOOK 1967/77]

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CIA-RDP88-01314R000100430013-4
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December 15, 2016
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August 30, 2004
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Approved For Release 2004/09/03: CIA-RDP8 From the publishers of ? The Weekly Report on Strategic Latin American Affairs ? Defense & Foreign Affairs Digest ? Defense & Foreign Affairs Daily - ? The Weekly Report on Strategic Middle Eastern Affairs -x Defense & Foreign Affairs Handbook 1976/77 is published by the editors and proprietors of what is acclaimed as one of the most prestigious publications in the world, the monthly Defense & Foreign Affairs Digest. The Digest is read by a select coterie of only a few thousand people, scattered in every - literally every - country of the world: they are the people who make the major national decisions. They are the heads-of-state, cabinet ministers, chiefs of staff, diplomats and intelligence managers. For that unique audience a unique publication has been produced; the Digest - apolitical and unattached - is the only journal of Grand Strategy studies, analyzing current world problems from an overview which considers the political, the economic, military, ideological, historical, ethnic, linguistic and social factors. But the Defense & Foreign Affairs Group produces more: each day, a newsletter of current intelligence anal sis Defense & Foreign Affairs Dail oes.o a ea ek o two specia ize regions r s: he Weekly Report on Strategic Middle Eastern Affairs and its cmpan;an ee y eport on atin American Affairs. The same editors, working in bureaux in London, Paris, Washington and San Francisco, bring you the Handbook. It draws on the invaluable live files of the publications which are the essential fare of the world's decisionmakers This Handbook can be yours for USS50, or the. equivalent in foreign currency. And each year thereafter you will find the successive editions equally indispensible. Fill in and return the coupon below to either the London or San Francisco office? and indicate if you'd like to see sample copies of the Daily, the ee fy-Feports and the Digest. Order your copy now of Defense & Foreign Affairs Handbook 1976/77 In EUROPE, send coupon to: Defence Publications, 18 Charing Cross Road, London WC2H OHR, UK. Elsewhere, send coupon to: Defense & Foreign Affairs, 337 World Trade Center, San Francisco; Ca. 94111, USA. a---------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- AppFoved For Release 2004/09/03 : CIA-RDP88-01314R000100430013-4 . Where caAnpryeod Fuor ~e~asa200a4fOhC-RJ%jjL AVROO0100430013-4 Y jl jij political, defense, economic, demographic and defense production data on ever country and major colony in the world ? In one place ? Nowhere ! Except efense & Forein Affairs Handbook TTACHE (THE) pl:fl.. A t'I.1hl,,hd 1962 Bi-monthly, #6.50 p.a. l?rc,nationa review dealing with all aspects of defence. vR~ AiIST PUBLICATIONS 40441/2.ce Drive, Pyrford, GU22 SRZ Surrey, g. Millon. Advt. Mgr: Philip A. King. r...t RAn;: #250 Type area: 234x 178. Screen: 148. Dt f?OSE & FOREIGN AFFAIRS DIGEST t,,,,t+li,hed 1973 Monthly, #25 p.a. +et[ PUBLICATIONS, 18 Charing Cross Road, WC2H OHR. Tel: Ol--40 3936. ,a~TUR: Gregory Copley. Advt. Exec.: Dudley Masters. r,w,r RATE: on application. Type area: 254 x 178 mm. Screen: ;,;it Offset. D SEN NEWS re, SKI 3UA. Tel: (061-477) 0395/6. SIa:3 porryCh~ 5heel.fcd litho. p,6,erer. 3p, 6 yearly, 57p p.a. Magazine for women. Salvationist pub fishing & Supplies Ltd., Judd Street, WCIH9NN. Tel: ol?387 1656. Edit: International H.Q., 101 Queen Victoria Street, EC4P 4EP. 'Tel : 01-236 5222. President and Publisher: Gen. c'arence Wiseman. Editor: Major Joan Woods. (No advts.) DENMARK teased publication. DENTAL INFORMATION SERVICE Esublished*1968 5 a year Published Jan, Mar, June, Sep, Nov. Product information cards. Controlled circulation. urn FARREN LTD., 5-7 Southwark Street, SE1 IRQ. Tel: 01-407 --^ 1. v-_xL ISHER & ADVT. DIR: C. Farren. .D%"r. Ram: #220 (one card). Type area: 6 x 31 in. Screen: 120. n DENTAL PRACTICE E.uabiished 1969 Monthly, #5 p.a. Published 1st week tiers of developments in dental practice of importance to the .s-.W practitioner, with feature articles. TAL PUBLICATIONS LTD., 172 Kingston Road, Ewell, Epsom, Surrey. Tel: 01-393 0941. N. a MAN. DIR: A. E. Morgan. Editor: Mary Newing. Advt. Dr: Stanley R. Terry. ?.mT. RATE per s.c. cm #1.80. cw 40 mm. cL 368 mm. Nc 6. K eb offset. CHMN. & MAN. DIR: Dr. A. Marcus. Editor: Dr. Peter Anderson. Advt. Mgr: Robert J. Clarke. Sales Dir: R. Hargreaves. PAGE RATE: #342. Type area: 254 x 178 mm. Litho. DEPARTMENT OF EMPLOYMENT GAZETTE Retitled Employment Gazette Der Roller. Established 1957. 9 yearly, 75p p.a. For third- and fourth-year students of German. Mary Glasgow Publications Ltd., 140 Kensington Church Street, w 8. Tel: 01-229 9531. (No advts.) Derby Diocesan Clergy Link. Quarterly. Clergy newsletter. 1 The College, Derby, DEl 3DY. Derby 45234. Editor: Rev. K. A. Hugo. Derby Diocesan News. Monthly. 1 The College, Derby, DEl 3DY. Tel: 0332 45234. Editor: Rev. K. A. Hugo. Derby Enterprise. 5p monthly; #1.50 p.a. Published 24th. Estab- lished 1935. Journal of the Derby and Derbyshire Chamber of Commerce, Britannic House, 5-7 St. Mary's Gate, Derby, DEl 3JH. Tel: (0332) 47031. Editor: M. A. Harrison. PAGE RATE: #20. cw: 31 in. cL: 9 in. NC: 4. Screen: 120. DERBY TRADER Established 1966 Free, weekly Published Wed. Consumer advertising, situations vacant, general news, features, etc. 5A Irongate, Derby, DEl 3AQ. Derby 42099/32041. clmaa: L. Pickering. Editor: A. Mather. Advt. Mgr: B. Churchill. ADVT. RATE per s.c. cm: #1. Type area: 406 x 260 mm. cw: 40 mm. CL: 381 mm. NC: 6. Web offset. Derbyshire Farmer. 5p monthly. Free to members. Published 3rd Fri. Official organ of the Derbyshire County Branch of NFU. NFU County Publications Ltd., 19 High East Street, Dorchester, Dorset. Dorchester 4555. Gen. Mgr: A. L. A. Bishop. Editor: G. W. Johnson. PAGE RATE: #50. Type area: 8 x 6W in. Screen : 100. DERBYSH RE LIFE AND COUNTRYSIDE Established 1931 25p monthly, #4.50 p.a. Published 1st County magazine. DERBYSHIRE COUNTRYSIDE LTD., Lodge Lane, Derby, DEl 3HE. (0332) 47087. MAN. DIR: B. C. Wood. Editor: Vivienne Irish. PAGE RATE: #115. Type area: 260 x 194 mm. Screen: 48 (b. & w.); 54 (colour). ABC CIRCULATION: 13,245. DESCENT-the Magazine for Cavers & Potholers 35p every 8 weeks, #2.50 p.a. EDrroRIAL & ADvTs: Descent Publications, 30 Drake Road, Wells, Somerset, BA5 3LE. Tel: (0749) 72864. EDITOR: B. L. Bedford. PAGE RATE: #20. Type area: 173 x 144 mm. Offset. DOTAL PRACITITONER AND DENTAL DESIGN Established 1949 50p monthly, #6.90 p.a. Published 1st Articles and illustrations dealing with the design of manufactured products at home and abroad. DESIGN COUNCIL, The Design Centre, 28 Haymarket, SW1Y 4SU. Tel: 01-839 8000. EDrroR: Mark Brutton. Advt. Mgr:.Stanley Enright. PAGE RATE: #195. Type area: 282 x 185 mm. Screen: 120. ABC CIRCULATION: 20,581. DESIGN AND COMPONENTS IN ENGINEERING Ceased publication. For its of Periodicals by trade, industry or subject-there is a comprehensive Classified Index starting on P4-`_ Approved For Release 2004/09/03 : CIA-RDP88-01314R000100430013-4 RECORD (THE) Retitled Journal of Dentistry [-e" Tmhakian (The). 13p monthly, #1.56 p.a. The Dental Tech- -`.an Ltd., 26 Sheen Park, Richmond, Surrey. Tel: 01-940 8371. 'u.r. RATE: #54. Type area: 8x 51 in. Screen: 100. UI=yTAL UBATE t-+Iahlivhed 1973 `.I,nK:al and ergonomic information for the dental practitioner. "ATE PUBLICATIONS LTD., 33134 Alfred Place, WCIE 7DP. Tel: )t-537 4544. BENN'S GUIDE TO NEWSPAPERS AND PERIODICALS OF THE WORLD annual 125th issue NEWSPAPE PRESS DIRECTORY 1976 FIRST PUBLISHED '1846 ? Benn Brothers Limited, 1976 All Rights Reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without the prior permission of Benn Brothers Limited. BENN BROTHERS LIMITED SOVEREIGN WAY - TONBRIDGE ? 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Copley EDITOR: David Harvey EDITORIAL RESOURCES, INC. 858 National Press Bldg., 20045 332-2267 Alcoholism & Alcohol Education Drugs & Drug Abuse Education EDITOR: David Howell EDP NEWS SERVICES OF WASHINGTON (HQ) 7620 Little River Turnpike Annandale, VA 22003 (703) 354-9400 Computerdaily Data/Communications EDP Weekly EFTS Federal Computer Market Government Computer Procurement Mini/Micro Peripherals Weekly Software Digest World Trade Approved For Release 2004/09/03 : CIA-RDP88-01314R000100430013-4 Jay Bloombecker Daniel Casolaro Henry Heffernan Joshua Kaufman Approved For Release 2004/09/03 : CIA-RDP88-01314R000100430013-4 Approved For Rele D efe n f`1~f r~ Foeign Affairs V" December 12 - 18, 1983 Volume IX, Number 48 Number 63, Third Series Weekly Update: Thai Fighter; Algeria/UK; Singapore Trainer; Pucares THAI DECISION NEAR: Royal Thai Air Force officials began deliberations December 1 on a choice for a new attack fighter: decision is due by the end of the year. The prime contenders are the Fairchild-Republic A-10 Thunderbolt II and the Vought A-7 Corsair H. Sources tell the Weekly that the Thais favored the A-10 on technical/performance grounds, but strongly favored the A-7 on price. Look for a decision to go with the A-7, with 18 A-7s acquired from ex-US Navy stocks via a USN Foreign Military Sales (FMS) contract at $ 1-million each, with a refurbishing contract to Vaught at $42-million, to bring them up to front-line capability, with modern avionics, weapons and weapons control systems. The A-IOs were reportedly offered at $18-million each, a difference which might not be sufficiently compensate for by the performance advantage. There was a suggestion that some of the upgrading on the A-7s would be handled by Singapore's aerospace industry on subcontract. ALGERIAN-BRITISH DEAL: The long-anticipated Algerian-British defense agreement may well be signed by the end of the year, sources tell the Weekly. The British Aerospace Hawk trainer and light attack aircraft has been one of the systems under discussion, and the deal may also include the Rapier SAM and the Swingfire anti-tank missile. (British discussions on naval cooperation are also known to have taken place.) The deal comes at a time when a French defense deal with Algiers is also in the air (see this page, last week), and Algeria's ties with the US are also warming. NO SINGAPOREAN DECISION: Despite published reports that Singapore has decided to favor the Italian SIAI-Marchetti S-211 as a trainer and light attack aircraft, sources say the decision is still open, and the other contender - Spain's CASA 101 Aviojet -- is not out of the running. NIGERIAN SWINGFIRES: Well-placed sources confirm that Nigeria recently concluded a deal for a "substantial number" of Swingfire anti-tank missiles, made by British Aerospace Dynamics Group. The sale, following other recent UK buys by Lagos, may represent a sign that difficulties in the Nigerian- UK defense relationship are now overcome. PUCARAS FOR VENEZUELA: After drawn-out talks (the Weekly, April 18-24, 1983), sources sug- gest that a sale of 24 Argentine FMA IA 58 Pucard attack aircraft to Venezuela is on. Venezuela had been insisting on Garrett TPE3 31. turbine engines for the aircraft, instead of the standard French Turbomeca Astazou XVI G turboprops. (A prototype called the IA 66 with Garrett engines was built and flown by FMA). But French engine representatives carried the day in Caracas, according to an observer, and the Turbomeca-equipped aircraft will be sold to Venezuela. NEW TROUBLES IN ADEN? There are signs of new splits inside the South Yemeni leadership, as the rivalry between President 'Ali Nasir Muhammad and his rivals. former Defense Minister 'Ali 'An- tar and present Defense Minister Salih Muslih Qasim, continues. A scheduled (constitutionally re- quired) congress of the Yemeni Socialist Party, scheduled for October, has been shifted to May, ap- parently due to differences in the leadership, perhaps even 'Ali Nasir's desire to try to consolidate his strengths for another six months in order to avoid being deposed. There are rumors 'Ali Nasir's recent visit to Moscow --- his first in two years - was less than smooth: some say the Soviets have doubts about his reconciliation efforts with North Yemen and Oman. Others think Moscow is backing the rapprochement, hoping Aden will receive much-needed Gulf aid, easing Moscow's own burden. R#R 607 70763 Page Two ? December 12 - 18, 1983 Foreign Affairs Latin America: Brazilian Weapons Sales kly Brazil has sold over %2-billion worth of defense equipment this year, according to Brazilian defense in- dustrialist Jose Whittaker Ribeiro, head of IMBEL ordnance factories and founder of the armor maker Engesa. He told the press that arms exports earnings will surpass those from coffee in 198 3. Whittaker Ribeiro noted that over 95 percent of Brazilian arms production is sold overseas, to some 40 countries. He added that one third of Brazil's weapons exports are to the Middle East. In a related development, a Brazilian Foreign Ministry spokesman said that Brazil will not sell weapons to Iran while that country is at war with Brazilian arms customer Iraq. Iranian interest in such sales was expressed earlier this year (see the Weekly, September 5 - It, 1983). Iran is believed to use some Brazilian military hardware, some of which is thought to have come from Libya's arsenals. The London-based Latin American Weekly Report has reported that Iran had proposed investing in the Brazilian defense industry earlier this year, but was turned down because of Brazil's concern over its oil-for-awns relationship with Baghdad. COLOMBIAN AIRCRAFT BUYS: Colombia is negotiating with Lockheed of the US for two C-130 Hercules transport aircraft. The sale will be a direct commercial sale, approved by the US Government. Col- ombia's Air Force lost one C-130 this year when it crashed off the US coast during a logistics flight to the US. Another Colombian buy, according to reports, is of 10 Pilatus PC-6 Turbo-Porters for use as com- mand and communications aircraft connecting the country's widely separated urban centers and trouble spots. The PC-6s are reported to already be in Colombia. A buy aimed at enhancing the military's supply and logistics capability is the reported purchase of two Fokker transports (type unidentified) at a reported cost of $10-million. Fokker officials could not confirm details of the sale. Middle East: Egypt Unveils. First Gazelle Egypt rolled out its first license-assembled Aerospatiale Gazelle helicopter at an Arab Organization for In- dustrialization plant near Cairo December 1. AOI will produce two Gazelles per month until 1985; Egypt is believed to hope to market its locally-assembled helicopters in some Middle Eastern and African states. The French Gazelles are being asembled at the ironcally-named Arab-British Helicopter Company, originally so named before the pullout in 1979 of Egypt's other Arab partners in the AOI, at which time AOI was scheduled to produce the Westland Lynx. SUDAN'S SOUTH WORSENING? There are both direct and indirect indications of a rapid worsening of the situation in the southern Sudan. In addition to reports of buildups of Ethiopian troops along the border (see the Weekly two issues ago), there are reports of increasing fighting with separatist guerillas in the southern Sudan. No sooner had Sudanese leaders announced that they were in full control of Upper Nile province - itself an unusual statement unless serious clashes were taking place - than there came new reports of guerilla operations, some allegedly supplied by Libya from bases inside Ethiopia. In one interview, First Vice President and security chief Maj. Gen. 'Umar Muhammad al- rayyib blamed a Libyan plot, but did admit that "there are camps or pockets" of dissidents in Bahr al-Ghazal province, and that the rebels hope to bring about tile establishment of a separate government in parts of the south. There were indications of increasing Saudi Arabian concern about the troubles, most notably in the extensive coverage given the events in the Saudi press in recent weeks. CISKEIANS IN ISRAEL: Some 18 Ciskeians have arrived in Israel for a year-long pilot training course as part of Israel's military cooperation with Ciskei. The arrival of the Ciskeians came at a time when Israel's policies with regard to the homelands granted independence by South Africa (but not recognized elsewhere), of which Ciskei is one, are the subject of growing controversy. Ciskei's leader, Chief Lennox Sebe, has made a number of visits to Israel; after one of them he announced that Israel would provide weapons and training Defense 6- Foreign Affairs Weekly is successor to Strategy Week and is published weekly (50 times a year) by Defense & Foreign Affairs, Ltd., 1777 T Street NW, Washington DC 20009, USA. Telephone (202) 223-4934. International Telex 64161. Group Editor-in-Cbief ar Publisber: Gregory R. Copley; Editor: David Harvey; Managing Editor: Dr Michael Collins Dunn; Associate Editor: Dr Stefan T. Possony; Assistant Editor: Jacquelyn S. Porth: Wasbington Editorial Staff Dennis J. Culkin; Advertising Director: Dudley Masters (Londan); UK Office: Dudley Masters, 28 Perowne Street, Cambridge, UK. Telephone 22 3-3 149 3 2. Telex; 817672. Circulation Assistant: Barbara Owens. Advertising Coordination and Accounting: Catherine Murphy. Associated Publications: Defense & Foreign Affairs Daily, Defense & Foreign Affairs (magazine), Defense & Foreign Affairs Handbook (annual). The policy of the publication is one of complete non-alignment with any state, cause or industrialist. Copyright ? 1983 by Defense & Foreign Affairs, Ltd. Not to be reproduced in any form without written permission of the publisher. Subscription Rate: US f 3.f? - "ear, airmailed. Subscri tion In uiries: Defense & Foreign Affairs Publications, 1777 T St. NW. Washington Approved For Release 2004/0 3aoQ IAsRDP88-013 4R000100430013-4 Defense & Foreign Affairs ase 2004/09/03: CIA-RDP88-01314R00(~10p243?p113; 11 Page Three for Ciskei's Combined Forces and provide the bases for a. Ciskeian Air Force. The pilot training is part of the latter agreement. Israel maintains trade relations with several of the homelands, as part of its close economic and military cooperation with South Africa. But Israel's attitude towards the independent homelands is controversial, and the present campaign to restore diplomatic relations with black Africa (so far Zaire and Liberia have restored ties) has been hindered by Israel's South Africa ties. Israeli policy has been to refuse to recognize the independent homelands, in keeping with the international refusal to do so, even while maintaining commercial and, in the case of Ciskei, military relations with them. When Sebe visited Israel, he is believed to have done so on a South African passport, and it is presumed that the Ciskeian pilot trainees are also using South African travel. documents. According to reports in the Israeli press, the Israeli Government is now considering means of discouraging the trade ties with the homelands as well, on the grounds that they damage Israel's growing ties with Africa. It is said that Prince Minister Yitzhak Shamir opposes recognition or dealings with the homelands, and that the Government will officially boycott visiting officials from the homelands and ban Government involve- ment in commercial activities. Pressure, it is reported, will be brought on Knesset members and others to end. commercial ties with the homelands, and legal steps might be taken against homelands representatives in Israel who portray themselves as diplomats. How such a hands-off policy would accord with the agreement to train a Ciskeian air force remains unclear. Asia: Japan-[JS M ilitary Tech Transfer Progress The Joint Military Technology Commission (JM'I'C), the primary mechanism through which a decision will be made to transfer Japanese military technology to the US, will include three Japanese and two US Government officials: one representative each from the Japan Defense Agency, the Ministry of International Trade and Industry and from the Ministry of Foreign -Affairs, the US Ambassador to Tokyo and an agent from the US Mutual Defense Assistance office in Japan. A Memorandum of Understanding signed by Japanese and US officials last month put the JMTC in place and established other transfer procedures. The Commission allows for a case-by-case review. US officials envision.Japanese and US aerospace and military firms becoming aquainted with what each produces and then deciding what it is in their best interest to acquire, The [IS has vet to make ,uav specilic tvqursts [Or information because there is still a gap in knmwled,;c of what csacd v is avaUat'lc in 1;t~~at\ t?heLt' hae lwvt t some talk that the US is pa.1iicallatl\ lilt ctr`stcil all tl;tta ht'it;111\illA to 01NIli s ;Mki 1;k% 1v 1N \N A ll fly t~~~~ll{r m~o for robotics. US firms are now free to make deals with Japanese manufacturers just as they do with German, French and other allied countries. The way has been cleared for joint. co-production projects between Japan and the US although no specifics have been ironed out. The two countries are likely to pick areas where they both need a similar type of weapon system and where they are interested in bringing production costs down. Torpedo, missile and future aircraft projects may be on the horizon. The US Government expects most of the transfers to be of a dual-use nature rather than military, however. Where this is the case, the JMTC will be by-passed. INDIAN SECURITY BREACH: India has arrested three senior retired officers and a civilian in a security. case which, if Indian press reports are true, involved the leaking of secret details of India's arms purchases from the USSR to US intelligence. Indian Defence Minister Ramaswamy Venkataraman told Parliament that Army Major General F.D. Larkins, his brother Air Force Air Vice Marshal K.H. Larkins, and Lt. Col. Jasbir Singh (all retired) had been arrested, along with a civilian, Jaspal Singh Gill. Venkataraman merely said the arrests were made under the Official Secrets Act and did not disclose the charges. But press reports claimed that the four had passed information on India's Soviet purchases over a five-year period to the US, and claimed that four US diplomats, two still in New Delhi, were implicated. Venkataraman noted that retired officers would no longer have access to the Armed Forces Defence Library, which contains classified information. Africa.. Plots Claimed in Seychelles, Equatorial Guinea Yet another plot to overthrow the Seychelles Government was revealed when South Africa announced that it was liolApp ofive ved persons Relesse 2004 i9I0c3orii~elcAti j-~ C3~t4 ~ r1~ bvff_Went of Presi- MF1JI VVCU IVI IZCICQ.JC LV V4/V.7/VJ V1M-r\LJF VV-V 1J 14r\VVW ~1~~ Page Four 0 December 12 - 18, 1983. Foreign Affairs qii~ dent France-Albert Rene. Seychellois authorities claimed the plot involved promises of Seychelles passports and prisoners to British businessmen concerned about the end of the Hong Kong lease in 1997. They also claimed that the plotters intended to kill Rene as well as attack the US satellite tracking station on the islands, in an attempt to provoke the US into a Grenada-style invasion to restore order. A British private investigator reportedly infiltrated the group for the Seychelles security forces. South Africa denied reports that a South African Defence Force officer was among those held. Other reports said the plotters included three Britons (one a Zimbabwe citizen) and two Frenchmen. In a much-publicized plot in 1981, a number of mercenaries were arrested with alleged ties to South Africa after an abortive coup. There were allegations of a similar plot in 1982. After the US invasion of Grenada, former Seychellois Prime Minister James Mancham, from his London exile, called for US intervention in the Indian Ocean islands. Most observers considered Mancham's appeal hopeless. AND IN MALABO ... The Spanish media have reported an alleged plot to overthrow the Government of Equatorial. Guinea President Teodoro Obiang Nguema Mbazogo, A Madrid television report claimed that Secretary of State for External Affairs Apolinar Moiche had been arrested and that others, said to be involved in passport irregularities, had also been apprehended. But the Equatorial Guinean ambassador to Spain denied the reports of a coup as "all untrue and all lies". SECRET MEETINGS? Amid continuing speculation of a possible concession by an increasingly beleaguered Angolan Government on the remaining issue in the Namibia negotiations (Cuban withdrawal), South African press reports have claimed that Foreign Minister Pik Botha has been in touch with senior Angolan and Mozam- bican officials during his recent visits to Europe, and that secret meetings may have prepared the way for meetings between Botha and the Angolan and Mozambican leaders. MOVEMENT IN CHAD? The agreement by both Presideet Hissene Ilabre and former President Goukouni Waddeye to attend talks in Addis Ababa marked the first move off dead center in the Chad situation since the crisis of last July. Although the talks - tentatively proposed for December 22 - might mean little in themselves, the fact that Habre had agreed to talk suggested that he had finally realized that France would not support a military victory over Goukouni, but would merely help him resist defeat by the latter's Libyan- backed forces. Goukouni's acceptance suggested that he and his new "National Council of Liberation" (CNL: see Transition, Page Five) might be more eager to negotiate some sort of coalition than to settle for con- tinued de facto partition, in which Goukouni is left with little freedom of action and with far more Libyan control than his past record indicates he finds acceptable. Latin America: Sandinista Peace Offensive Most observers of Central America have either voiced skepticism of Nicaragua's recent "conciliatory" gestures or wondered just what measures would be enough to satisfy the Reagan Administration, but it is possible that neither perspective takes account of the real thrust or significance of the Sandinistas' propos- ed moves. The most important of the several planned measures, the amnesty for armed exile opponents and a new "hands-off' policy towards the Atlantic coast Indians, can be seen not as insincere tactical gestures, but as moves that directly attack the already slender political base of the anti-Sandinista forces. By offering contra soldiers (whose prospects for military success has been repeatedly and publicly rated as very low by none other than the US Central Intelligence Agency) an opportunity to disarm and return to Nicaragua., the Sandinistas may be attempting to attack the morale of such groups as the FDN, and inten- ding to materially weaken their strength through desertions. This analysis is supported by the specific exclu- sion of contra leaders from the amnesty, as well as those "accepting foreign assistance" in their fight. And by mending fences with the Miskitos and other disaffected Indian groups, Managua may hope to eliminate one of the most vigorous sources of opposition to Sandinista rule. The moves may.not yield dramatic results, but they are probably aimed straight at the minds of the armed exiles rather than at the US media and public, as is assumed by most analysts. Other measures, such as relaxed censorship of La Prensa and a dialogue with the Church and opposition parties, seem more designed for a foreign audience, but perhaps still not primarily the US. The Sandinistas seem to sense immutable hostility in the Reagan Administration, but they have come to rely on support from other Latin American countries, especially Colombia and Venezuela, and the Socialist International, especially its European affiliates. But lack of pro ess towards democracy has eroded this su ort, and Managua m;tv hP trvino pj*~.y #, W,$ ase 2004109/03 : CIA-RDP88-01314R000100430 13-4 Defense & Foreign Aff airs For Release 2004/09/03: CIA-RDP88n013614 Q0010p~4 30%13-4 Five NO VENEZUELAN SURPRISES: The margin of Jaime Lusinclti's Accion Democratica victory in Venezuela's elections may be unprecedented, but policy changes are expected to be moderate under the new Govern- ment. Economic and foreign debt questions will continue to dominate the agenda. AD's historical pro-Sandinista stance has soured somewhat, and the success of the above-mentioned Nicaraguan campaign to bolster its international support may be judged in part by the reactions of Venezuela's new ruling team. One way to look at yet another democratic and smooth power transition in Caracas: an additional boost to what many assert is a "creeping democratization" of South America in the last year - beginning with Bolivia and (partially) Brazil, extending to Argentina, and now pressuring the rulers of Uruguay and Chile. FFI,IZ NA VIDAD: El Salvador's Secret Anticommunist Army (ESA), one of the organized "death squads" causing such a stir in US-Salvadoran relations, has released a communique in keeping with the Christian holiday season. The message calls on the FMLN to release several Army prisoners (including former Dep. Defense Minister Col. Adolfo Castillo) in return for guerilla captives held by ESA.. "In view of the Christmas holidays, we wish the members of the Armed Forces and the three guerilla commanders to be free and to spend this holiday with their families." Noting that it made the proposal out of "huma.nitairian motives," the ESA concludes by saying that unless the Army prisoners are let go, it will execute the FMLN prisoners "one by one", as well as step up attacks on FMLN "collaborators." Middle East: The US, Syria and the Asad . Question The escalating confrontation between the United States and Syria has spurred further rumors about the fate of Syrian President I Iafiz al-Asad, variously said to have suffered a heart attack, or perhaps two; a stroke; to have been operated on for cancer; to have been seriously wounded in an assassination attempt inside the Presidential palace. There was talk that he would be moved to a hospital in France, or in Switzerland, or in Moscow, and rumors that the security services opposed this. The rumors and reports agree only that the official cover story (appendicitis) is not true: he is said to have had his appendix removed in 197 3 . The publicized photos of Asad raise as many questions as they answer (some believe the photograph of the Ba`tli Party Command meeting was taken in a hospital room; the presence of Defense Minister Mustafa Tlas suggests it was not taken on the day claimed, when he was out of town; and so on). The extreme "celebrations" of Asad's announced "recovery", when not followed by a public appearance or a meeting with a foreign diplomat, merely intensified the sense that the Syrian leadership was adrift and uncertain of its future at a very sensitive and delicate moment in the Lebanese crisis. One published version, by the leftist Paris fortnightly.Afrique-Asie and subsequently repeated by Baghdad Radio, alleged a power struggle is taking place between Rif'at al-Asad\and key party leaders on the one hand; and Chief of Staff Hikmat Shihabi and intlligence bosses 'Ali Duba and Muhammad al-Kholi on the other, after what it claimed was an assassination attempt in which Asad was badly wounded. Most sources favored the heart attack version, but a military vs, party or intra-security services power struggle seemed a real possibility if Asad is unable to return to work quickly. Transition: Recent Appointments and Changes Argentina: Senator Oscar Napoli (Rio Negro) was elected president of the ruling Radical Civic Union (UCR)'s Senate bloc. Brazil: Army General Staff Chief General Tulio Chagas Nogueira was appointed to the Supreme Military Tribunal, and replaced by General Jose Magalha.es da Silveira, Cameroon: President Paul Biya. has announced that Presidential elections will be held early in 1984. Chad: Goukouni Waddeye and his supporters announced the formation of a new National Council of Liberation (CNL) at Bardai in the territory they control with Libyan support in northern Chad. The CNL was described as the "supreme organ of the Chadian Revolution" and apparently is intended to some extent to supersede the previous Transitional Government of National Unity (GUN[). Colombia: In several Army appointments, Gen. Hernando Diaz Sanmiguel is the new commander of the 3rd Division; Maj. Gen. Luis Rodriguez Botiva is commander of the 5th Division; Maj. Gen. Oscar Botero Rostrepo is chief of the 1st Division; and Gen. Jaime Gomez Martinez is the head of the 2nd Depart- ment of the Army G(A po(o_@dF WI*elease 2004/09/03: CIA-RDP88-01314R000100430013-4 Page Six 0 [ jp'ro J d FOrlFWAease 2004/09/03: CIA-RDP88-01314R09 91fS kly Cyprus (1RNC): The newly-declared "Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus" announced that a 70-member constituent assembly was being formed, consisting of the members of the Legislative Assembly, other cabinet members, and selected other representatives. Ghana: Dr Ayirebi-A.cquah has been named to replace Dr J.E. Taylor on the National Defence Committee. Grenada: Anthony Rushford, the-legal adviser to the country's interim advisory Council, has resigned and left the island, expressing unhappiness with Governor General Sir Paul Scoop's running of the Council. In temporary appointments, Barbados Acting Commissioner of Police Mervyn Holder has been named police commissioner, with St. Lucian George Rock becoming deputy police commissioner. Barbadian Lionel Maloney is the temporary commissioner of prisons, with St. Lucian Randolph York as deputy commissioner. Guatemala: Deputy Defense Minister Col. Carlos Enrique Vides Reynoso was replaced by Col. Raul Alburez Arriola. Honduras: Armed Forces Commander General Gustavo Alvarez Martinez was promoted to Division General; Col. Daniel Bali Castillo (Public Security Forces chief) was promoted to Brigadier General along with four other colonels. Lebanon: Sheikh Halim Taqieddin, Chief of the Druze Courts system, was found murdered in Beirut. Morocco: The new Government of National Unity, led by Mohammed Karim Lamrani as Foreign Minister, includes the left-wing Socialist Union of Popular Forces (USFP). Party leaders lost such key posts as Prime Minister and Foreign Minister; there are now eight ministers of state, most of them party leaders: Maati Bouabid, the outgoing Prime Minister and head of the Constitutional Union (UC); M'harned Boucetta, the outgoing Foreign Minister and head of the Istiglal Party; Ahmed Qsman, the King's brother-in-law and head of the Rally of National Independents (RNI); 'Abderrahim Bouabid, in the Government for the first time since he has been leader of the USFP; Mahjoubi Aherdane, former Cooperation Minister and head of the Berber-based, rural Popular Movement (MP); Moulay Ahmed Alaoui, a close adviser and cousin of the King and publisher of Le Matin du Sahara and Maroc Soir; and M'hamed Bahnini, an independent, Replacing Boucetta as Foreign Minister is Abdelouah.id Belkeziz, who was Minister of Information, Youth and Sports in the outgoing Cabinet. Abdelhaq Tazi remained Secretary of State for Foreign Affairs. Belkeziz was replaced in the Information Ministry by United Nations Ambassador Dr Abdellatif Filali. Driss Basri remains Minister of the Interior. Niger: Recently replaced Prime Minister Oumarou Marnane was named President of the National Coun- cil for Development, ending speculation that he might be in disgrace following the recent coup plot. Nigeria: The chairmen of the Senate's committees for the new session were announced: Sen. Isa Dabai chairs the Defence Committee; Sen. Abubakar Tuggar chairs the Foreign Relations Committee, and Sen. Ahmadu Ali chairs the Committee on Internal Affairs and Police. Philippines: Foreign Minister Carlos Romulo gave notice of his resignation from the Cabinet post due to ill health. His resignation will take effect on January 14, his birthday. A replacement has yet to be named by President Marcos. A new political party, the Lafian Manggagawa, has been formed from 25 labor groups; Jacento Tamayo is its President. Peru: Army Commander General Carlos Briceno Zevallos has announced that his successor will be General Julian Julia Freyre; change of commands normally takes place around the new year. Thailand: Air Marshal Thuanthong Yotawut, who was Assistant Air Force Chief of Staff for Intelligence, has been made Assistant Chief of Staff for Operation of the Supreme Command. Air Vice Marshal Phaithun Toburuni, an Air Force adviser, will fill the Assistant Intelligence Staff Chief slot. Turkey: The generals. who have ruled the country have resigned to become civilian members of a new Presidential Council to advise President Kenan Evren, who resigned his military command earlier. The new Chief of General Staff, replacing Gen. Nurettin Ersin, is General Necdit Urug, formerly Ground Forces Commander. Replacing him in that post is his former deputy, General Haydar Saltik. Air Force Commander General Tahsin Sahinkaya was replaced with General Halil Sozer, and Navy Commander Admiral Nejat Turner was replaced by Admiral Zahit Atakan. Gendarmerie Commander Gen. Sedat Celasun has been replaced with General Mehmet Buyruk. In addition, the majority Motherland Party (ANAP), as expected, elected its candidate, Necmettin Karaduman, as Speaker of the Turkish Grand National Assembly. Uganda: Uganda Army Chief of Staff Maj. Gen. Oyite Ojok died in a helicopter accident, along with five other officers and three civilians. Yemen (YAR): Dr Iiasan Muhammad Muhsin has been named an adviser to President 'Ali Muhammad Salilr. ^ Approved For Release 2004/09/03 : CIA-RDP88-01314R000100430013-4 Defense & [ease 2004/09/03 CIA-R0P88-01314R000100430013-4 i"oreign Affairs December 12 - 18, 1983 O Page Seven The Rumor Mill As negotiations continued over PLO withdrawal from Tripoli, there were claims that Syria was deman- ding that Tripoli Muslim fundamentalist leader Sheikh Sa'id Sha`ban withdraw from tripoli along with Yasir Arafat; Sha'ban's Islamic Unity Movement has ties with the anti-Asad Syrian Muslim Brotherhood and joined with the pro-Arafat forces in the recent fighting ... Reports in Thailand that a Cabinet shuffle is imminent have been dismissed by Thai Prime Minister Preen 'Tinsulanonda ... The Hong Kong press alleges that former PRC Prime Minister and Communist Party Chairman Hua Guofeng tried to commit suicide recently ... Nicaraguan exile radio claims that nine Bulgarian pilots (presumably fighter pilots) recently arrived in Nicaragua; Nicaraguan pilots have allegedly been training on Soviet fighter aircraft in Bulgaria ... Brazilian officials deny a claim out of Argentina that they have granted the UK landing rights for Falklands- bound aircraft in return for help with debt rescheduling ... It has been rumored that Salvadoran rightist leader Roberto D'Aubuisson favors a US military intervention in his country, and has considered launching a coup to provoke such intervention ... Chilean security officials claim that the USSR spends millions of dollars a year for "terrorist" actions in Chile, and that Chilean insurgents are trained in the Libya, Cuba, and Eastern Europe by the USSR. . . Israeli Prime Minister Yitzhak Shamir reportedly rebuked his Deputy Premier, David Levi, for Levi's public complaints that he was not receiving reports from Shamir and Defense Minister Moshe Arens on their conversations in Washington, though he was Acting Prime Minister ... There's new speculation in Lebanon that Druze political and military leader Waled Jumblatt may be near an open falling out with his Syrian allies of the moment (whom he blames for his father's assassination) ... Former Egyptian cabinet member and Presidential adviser (under Sadat) Mansur Hasan, once a fast- rising star of the National Democratic Party who was eclipsed when Husni Mubarak became President, has denied that he plans to join the opposition New Wafd Party ... A French press report claims that Paris secretly recruited 32 mercenaries and sent them to Chad during last July's confrontation there, and that they were headed by Olivier Danet, an ultra-right wing figure in the so-called "black international", suspected of involvement in the 1980 Bologna train station bombing ... Leadership Profile:. Jaime Lusinchi President-eT,ect, Republic of Venezuela The man who recently captured the Venezuelan presidency by the largest margin in 25 years of democratic elections in that country is regarded as a skilled, plain-spoken politician who is expected to bring few radical changes to Venezuelan internal or foreign policy. Born in 1924 in the town of Clarines in Anzoategui state, Lusinchi was educated at local public schools before entering the Central University in Caracas to study medicine, Once at the University, Lusinchi soon became involved in the fight of the Democratic Action (AD) party against the military dictatorship then ruling Venezuela. He quickly achieved prominence within the younger ranks of the party. Lusinchi graduated with his medical degree in pediatrics in 1947. In 1948 a Democratic Action government was overthrown by the military, and Lusinchi joined his AD colleagues in going underground. In 1952 Lusinchi was arrested, imprisoned, and then expelled from Venezuela, beginning six years of exile in Chile, Argentina, and the US. He continued his medical studies during this period, and worked at Bellevue Hospital in New York City. While in New York Lusinchi spent time with AD colleagues also in exile from Venezuela, and in 1958 when the military withdrew from power the group returned to help set up the country's first free elections since 1947. In the following election Lusinchi won his first political post, as a delegate in the House of Deputies. His legislative career lasted 25 years, capped by Lusinchi's choice as AD's congressional leader. Lusinchi campaigned for AD's presidential nomination in 1977, but failed. He worked throughout the last six years to secure the nomination, and took advantage of the country's first economic slump since the oil boom to defeat his COPEI rival, Rafael Caldera. Lusinchi is seen as a moderate with excellent personal political skills whose ability to find consensus will be important in solving Venezuela's financial and economic difficulties. He is also considered a non-ideological politician who will rely on technocrats for policy advice. Lusinchi is married to the former Gladys Castillo (also a pediatrician), by whom he has five children.^ Approved For Release 2004/09/03 : CIA-RDP88-01314R000100430013-4 Approved For Release 2004/09/03 : CIA-RDP88-01314R000100430013-4 Significant transfers of arms and. related equipment to the Middle East, Africa, Latin America, Asia and the Pacific i n the past qu arter. Middle East Aoqukbv Cantry/Gnmp Syakern hemp From Quantity Cat Status Egypt ...... ........ Missiles..... .... Harpoon ship-launched version [McDonnell Douglas) .... .. US .......... .. 18 ..... ... 840m .. .. . Before Congress (September 19831 Egypt ...... ........ Vessels. . ... .... Anti-submarine warfare ships .............. . .. .. PAC .. ...... .. 2 ....... .. , NA . . .. .... Delivered (October 19831 Egypt ...... ........ Missiles..... .... Chaparral missiles (Ford Aerospace) .... .......... .. US . . ...... . 450 .... ... $160m . .... Before Congress (October 19831 Greece ..... ........ Ammunition .. .... HEI-TMK11 and AP-t M81 A 1 cartridges ............. . US .......... .. 900,000 . ... 830m .. .... Before Congress (October 19831 300,000 Greece ..... ........ Aircraft ..... .... F-6 fighter aircraft (Northrop(. . . .... . ..... .... .. Jordan .. .... .. 15 ..... ... NA .... . . . Reported negotiating (November 19831 Iran .. .... . ....... Amer ...... . .. . . TAM medium tanks ..... .. Argentine ... .100 .... ... NA .... ... Ordered (October 1983) Iran ....... ........ Aircraft ..... .... PC-7.Turbalre/ner (Piletus) ................... .. .. Switzerland .... .. 6 ...... ... NA .... .... Reported (November 19831 Iraq ....... ........ Aircraft ..... . ... Super' Eteridads (AMD Breguetl ................... .. France ....... .. 6 ...... . . . NA .... .... Delivered (October 1983) Kuwait ..... ........ Aircraft ..... .... Hawk trainers IBAe) ............ ............. . . UK ......... .. 12 ..... ... 842.8m . .... Ordered (November 19831 Kuwait ..... . ....... Radars ..... .... Upgrade of elr defense network (Thomson CSF(. ..... .. France ....... .. NA ..... ... $12.6m, .... Ordered (November 1983) Lebe'ar, .... ........ Amax ..... .... M48A5 tanks, ammunition, spares and training ... . US ......... .. 58 :.. . ... 964m .. ....letter of Offer (September 1983) Lebanon ... ..... . Various . .. . .. Artillery, rifles, ammunition, mortars, machineguns ...... . US ......... . .. NA ..... ... NA .. .. . Supplying (September 19831 Lebanon .... ........ Ammo .... .... 155mm ammunition ......... ................ .. Greece ....... .. NA . ..: ... NA .... .. . Delivered (Octobet 19831 Lebanon .... ........ Munltione .... . .. 5.56mm, 7.82mm, .50 caliber, 40mm, 81 min, 105mm . . US . ... ... .. NA ..... ... 8102m . Before Congress (October 1983) 155mm ammo; mines; Fares; hand grenades Lebanon ... ........ Various .... .... Ml 13A2 APC with comm. equipment, M2 .50 caliber.... . US .... . ... .. 253/NA.. ... $81m .. .... Before Congress (October 19831 mechinmguns, spares Nigeria ...... ....... Missiles ..... .... Swingfire anti-tank missiles (BAs Dynamics) . . . ..... .. UK ...... ... .. NA ..... ... NA .... .... Ordered (November 19831 Omen ... ... ....... Construction . .... Army base for Safrat el-Dewh ICoste(n Group] .... . .. . UK ......... .. NA .... .. 8112.5m .... Letter of Intent (November 1983) Oman . . Aircraft International ( PECATI .. ..... ..... . . UK .. . .... .. . 1 .... . ... NA ... . .. Delivered (November 19831 Saudi A. . .. .. . . . . . Armor . . . . . . . . M60-A3 SE I cal ire with . . . . . . . . . ... US . . 100. ... $178m . .... Letter of Offer (September 1983 Seudl Arabia . ry ..... ? ..... pl o .... M-198 156mm towed howitzers ...... . US . . . . . . . . 42 m .. .... Letter of 1883) Offer (September Seudl Arabia .. ....... Su rt f .. Turnkey facilities for F-15 IMetco f & Eddy) .......... ! US ....... .. . NA . 91 S .. 816m .. 1983 O rdered ....Ordered (September 19831 Saudi Arabia .. ....... Support..... .... Contractor Technical Services for F-1 Be (McDonnell Douglas ) US ...... . NA ..... ... 91.6b .. ... Before Congress (October 1983) Saudi Arabia .. ....... Ammunition .. .... 155rnm projectile rounds, propellant charges, fuzes, . . .. US ........ . . . 985,920. ... 8126m . .. . Before Congress (October 1983) percussion primes Saudi Arabia .. ...... Amer... .. .... M578s, M86Aia, M t 08A2s, Ml09A2s, M677A2s, .. ' . .. LIS ........... . 623 ..:. ... 6271 m . .... Before Congress (November 19831 M992s, M113A2s (FMC/BMY( Turkey ...... ....... Aircraft ..... . .. F-18 fiphung Falcons (General Dynamics) .... ..... . . US ... , ...... 180(7) .. ... 84b (est.) .... Selection (September 1903) Turkey .... , . . ..... Aircraft ..... .... AH-1 S Cobra/TOW attack helicopters (Bell) . ... .... .. US ......... .6 .... .$50m .. .... Before Congress (October 1983) Turkey ...... ... .. Aircraft ..... . , .. Components and. subassemblies for UH-1 H helicopters (Bell . US ........... . 15 ..... ... 827m . . .. Before Congress (October 1983) Turkey . .. . ....... Support... . .... For US origin aircraft ... .......... . .... .... . US .......... . NA . ... ... $75m .. . .. Before Congress (October 1983) Africa Burundi . . .,. . . . ' , . NA . . . . . . . . Unspecified Military Assistance ....... . . Egypt . . .. ? ... . NA ...... .. NA .... .... Reported providing (September 19831 Liberia ...... ..... Aircraft ..... ....Areves for Armed Forces, Air Liberia (IAII Israel ? .... , 1/3 ...... .. 81Dm . ....Ordered (September 1983) Asia and the Pacific Australia. .. . ..... Support ..... .... Spores for US-origin aircraft ...................... . US ..... ..... . NA ...... .. 912m ... ... Ordered (September 19831 Australia .... ... .. Avionics .... .... Pave Tack Target Designator (Ford Aerospace ..... .... US .. ...... .1 ....... .. NA ..... ... Delivered (October 1983) & Communications) Australia .... ....... Aircraft ..... .... Ecurevil helicopters (Aeroepetala) ................... . Fiance ....... .6 ....... .. NA . , ... ... Reported ordering l0ctober 19831 India ....... ....... Aircraft ... .. ... Sea Harriers [British Aerospace) .................... . UK ........... . NA .... . .. NA ..... ... Pending negotiation (November 19831 India ..... . . . . . . . . . Rader ...... .... Super Search command and control (MEL) .... ........ . UK ........... . 20 .. . . . 813.6m .. ... Ordered (December 19831 Indonesia .... ... ....Vessel ....... ... KdS7dleaAttack-class petrol boat ............. .... Australia ....... .1 ... ... . NA ..... . ..Delivered (October 1983) Korea IROK) .. ....... Support ...... ... Cooperative ioglstics for LISorigin aircraft ............ US .... ..... . NA .. ... .. 871 m ... ... Letter of Offer (September 1983) Gorse (ROKI .. ....... Support ...... . ... Installation and spares for chaff/Sera countermeasures (Tracer) US ...... .. NA ...... .. 93,7m . . ...Ordered (September 19831 Korea(ROKI .. ....... Support ...... ... ANIAVQ-28 Pave Teckpods, training, support (Ford Aorospace(US... ...... . 8 . .... .680m. . ...Letter of Offer (December 1983) Malaysia..... ....... Radar ....... ... Air defense radar (Hughes Aircraft) . ............... . US . , .... .... NA ... .. .. $180m .. ... Planning to order (October 19831 Pakistan ..... ....... Vessel....... ... l7eadngclass destroyer . ......... . ..... . US .... ..... . 1 ....... .. NA ... . ... Delivered (October 19831 PNG ...... ....... Vassals ....... ... Patrol boats for surveillance ............. ......... . Australia ....... . NA ...... .. NA ..... ... Interest In now construct (Sept 1983) Singapore .... . ..... Aircraft ...... .. E-2C Hawke yes (Grumman) ..................... . . US .. ........ . 4 ....... . 8410m .. . .. Before Congress (October 19831 ? ? l. . .. . . . . . . . Patrol boats for surveillance . ........... ...... . Australia ....... . NA ...... . NA ..... .. Interest In now construct, (Sept. 1983) Tha .. . . Vessel .. . HMS Sonngkhle frigate .. . .............. ..... Italy .......... . 1 ...... . NA ..... ... Delivered (September 19831 Thailand ..... ..... . Aircraft ...... ... Abrad Saarchmasrer (GAF[ ..................... . Australia ...... .4 ..... .. 87.6m .. ... Agreed (October 1983) Latin America Colnrnble .... ....... Aircraft ...... ... PC-6 Afho-Porters IPilatus) ............ .... .. . Switzerland ..... . 10 ...... .. NA ..... ... Reported ordering (December 19831 Colombia .... Cobmble .... .. Aircraft ...... Ai f ... F-27 transports (Fokker) ... .... .............. . Netherlands .... . 2 ....... . NA ..... .. Reported ordering (December 1983) .... ....... rcra t ...... ... C-130 Hercules transports (Lockheed I ...... . .... . US .......... 2 . . .. .. NA ... . ... Pending order(December 19831 Colombia .... Col bi ....... Aircraft ...... A ... PC-B Turbo-Porters (Pllatus) ........ _ ............ . Switzerland ... .10 ..... . , NA .. .. ... Reported delivered (December 1983) om a .... Nicaragua ....... ircraft ...... Vessel ... F-27 transports (Fokker) .............. ......... P l b . Netherlands ..... . 2 ....... .. NA . .. ... Reported ordering December 1983) .... Peru ....... ....... ....... ...... Aircraft ...... ... atro oats .. ............ ......... ........ ... MI-24 Hktd helicopter gunships France ....... USSR .2 .. ... 16 . , NA ..... . Commissioned (September 19831 Peru ....... ....... Infantry equip.. ....... ............ ... Various night vision, other infant. equipm ... ........ ...... FAG . . . . . . ..... . NA . ... .. NA .... .. 832m ... ... Reported (September 1983) ... Reported (September 1983) Venezuela .... ....... Aircraft ...... ... IA-58 Pacers attack aircraft (FMA) ....... . ..... Argentina .... 24 .. ... .. NA .... ... Negotiating (December 1983) Approved For Release 2004/09/03 : CIA-RDP88-01314R000100430013-4 Approved For Release 2004/09/03 : CIA-RDP88-01314R000100430013-4 Publisher and Editor-in-Chief Gregory It. Copley Managing Editor Jacquelyn S. forth Assistant Managing Editor Michael Gable Contributing Editors and Consultants David Harvey Dr Stefan T. Possony 1)r Michael C. Dunn Dennis J. Culkin Richard Dana Associate Publisher, Europe Dudley Masters Published Annually by DEFENSE & FOREIGN AFFAIRS, Ltd. washington DC Approved For Release 2004/09/03 : CIA-RDP88-01314R000100430013-4 Approved For Release 2004/09/03 : CIA-RDP88-01314R000100430013-4 Editor's Preface "No inan is an Island, entire of itself, every Man is a piece of the Continent, a part of the main. " John Donnc P robleiiis of the world weighed heavy as the Defense & Foreign Affairs Hand- book, 1983 went to press as evidence of a massacre of civilian Palestinian refugees in Lebanon came to light, while countries on a variety of continents were attempting to cope with staggering debt levels.and extrodinary inflation rates. The past year or so has seen the assassination of a number of political figures around the world, but few can forget the shooting of Egyptian President Anwar Sadat, or the murder of the late President-elect Bashir Gemeyal of Lebanon just days before his inauguration. But as the Middle East -- particularly during the Iran-Iraq War - captured the attention of many, political violence continued in Kampuchea, Afghanistan, El Salvador, in the Horn of Africa between Somalia and Ethiopia, in Ireland, Nicaragua, Chad, Honduras and Peru as well as in many other locations around the globe. Looking back on time since the last edition of the Handbook there are many points worth highlighting for their significance to strategic doctrine and concepts as well as foreign affairs planning. The South Atlantic War will be.studied and restudied throughout the world as furthur details are made available. Recrimina- tions have been made against the UK Government and its intelligence networks for their failure to anticipate the takeover of the islands long claimed by Argentina. At the same time, the Argentine military has faced similar charges for its miscalculation of the British reaction to its maneuvers. The Argentina Junta also failed to accurate- ly gauge international opinion on the seizure of the islands, . Meanwhile, defense manufacturers and tacticians have been supplied with a wealth of data on the performance of weapons as a result of the conflict there. This brief war, in the South Atlantic between Argentina and the United Kingdom resulted in the first carrier-based combat seen since the Korean War, often in the worst weather imaginable. In addition, many weapon systems saw combat use for the very first time. For example, the AM.39 Exocet anti-ship missile was extensively used as was the helicopter-launched Sea Skua missile. The Argentines used their indigenously-made Pucara in a variety of creative roles during the war proving its adaptability in combat. Also, the Super Etendard naval strike aircraft proved its value over and over again. Nor should the important missions of the Harrier aircraft be forgotten in this war: it was the first operational use of V/STOL fighter power, and it was overwhelmingly successful. Lastly, nuclear submarines - although in- conspicous - played a quiet but crucial deterrence role in this crisis. Defense & Foreign Affairs Publications have, during their decade of operation, been covering many international conflicts for its readership. Although the Argentine-UK crisis and the Iran-Iraq war tends to predominate thinking on the sub- ject, it is perhaps not every day that we stop to think about or tally all of the numerous wars which have occurred since World War 11. According to data gathered by the US Department of State, there have been some 130 international or civil wars since that time. The preface of a book. is not the place for an in-depth Approved For Release 2004/09/03 : CIA-RDP88-01314R000100430013-4 Approved For Release 2004/09/03 : CIA-RDP88-01314R000100430013-4 discussion of the breath and far reaching effects of those wars, but a Handbook such as this must act as a reminder of what has come to pass. The Western Sahara War involving Morocco, Algeria, Libya and the POLISARIO has had a widespread influence on its participants, as have the many Arab-Israeli wars in the Middle East. The latter wars have left their scars and problems to the troubled Lebanon which seeks to cope with the stresses and strains of Maronite Christians, Phalangists, Druze, Sunni and Shi'a Muslims, Palestinians, Greek Orthodox and Catholics, Armenians and many other religious actors. Perusal of the relevant country sections of this book will supply all of the other conflicts to numerous to detail here. Apart from the political, military and economic ramifications on this earth, outer space has received more attention than ever before as the realm of the future. The US Columbia space shuttle brought triumph to its Government in the past year, while the Soviet Union continued to maintain its apparent lead in the field of anti- satellite systems (ASATs). The technology of space-based defenses will clearly be a part of the Government mindsets of these two superpowers and others for some time to come. Meanwhile, the US made headway in its efforts to seek international cooperation with the Japanese, Canadians and Europeans in an attempt to launch a space station by the 1990s. All this leads one to imagine that the world of outer space will become a key theater in the global strategy of the future. On another front --- away from much of the public focus - the Soviet Union continued its transition process, awaiting the time when President and CPSU General Secretary Leonid Brezhnev would relinquish the reins of office. This transfer of power, when it comes, will result in considerable change in the way the East-West balance is viewed, and we should be in a position to see the impact of this, probably by the time the next edition of the Handbook appears. The 1983 Handbook has grown ever larger with more crucial and timely infor- mation. This edition is the product of an Herculean effort by Assistant Managing Editor Michael Gable, whose pursuit of the most up-to-date narratives and economic statistics kept him burning the midnight oil throughout the duration of the project. Scrambling to make sense of the battle orders of warring countries such as the United Kingdom and Argentina was another example of just how conscientious Gable was about his task. His meticulousness in tallying Navy Battle Orders has made this editon of the Handbook particulary noteworthy. The Middle East and a number of African sections, particulary Chad must be highlighted for the expertise which Dr Michael Collins Dunn brought to bear. His erudite histories - he is an historian by training - provide enlighting background in complex areas of the world. His analysis of the Iran-Iraq war is the product of many interviews and contacts with both Arab and Iranian sources. The NATO and Warsaw Treaty Organization sections of the book once again received the close scrutiny of defense analyst Richard Dana. These excellent sections should not be overlooked. Because there have been so many coups and changes in Government leaderships in the past year and even while the book was being typeset, please turn to both the Power Tables and the Late Addenda for the most current information. The Arms Transfer Tables - a new feature in last year's edition of the Handbook - have become a regular feature by popular demand. As past readers will note, these have greatly expanded. The Missile Tables and Standard Arms Price Index have been recently updated for incorporation in this issue. A special thanks to Graphics by Gallo for production assistance in the compila- tion of this book and to the entire staff of Defense & Foreign Affairs Publications who have contributed their expertise to the book in many capacities. Jacquelyn S. Porth Approved For Release 2004/09/03 : CIA-RDP88-0 W~ftbdfflB43 O1`924 Approved For Release 2004/09/03 : CIA-RDP88-01314ROO0100430013-4 Conflict Management and Peace Science (Journal of Peach Science), Peace Science Society, Sch. of Management, State Univ. of New York at Binghamton, Binghamton, NY 13901 (607) 798-2465 Ed. Manas Chatterji Promote studies focusing on peace analysis and foster exchange of ideas. SA $16 $8 per copy Circ-1,000 Internatl. No Adv 78pp. Jour. sa (853377) Conflict Quarteiiy Centre for Conflict Studies, Univ, of Brunswick, Fredericton, N.B. E38 5A3, Canada Promotion of peace and social harmony through study and understanding of international & internal conflict situations. ISSN 0227.1311 1980 Q $12.50 Internet). Jour. s [897302] Cohfrontation New Democratic Party, 301 Metcalfe St., Ottawa, Ontario, Canada SM (266005) Connection, The (Libertarian Connection), Erwin S. Strauss, 9850 Fairfax Sq., #232, Fairfax, VA 22031 (703) 273-6111 Ed.-Publ. Erwin Strauss Analysis, pro and con, of conventional and libertarian/anarchist thought on political, philosophical and economic issues. Contents consist entirely of unedited subscriber contributions, thus subjects and quality may vary widely. Bk. revs. 1968 8x/yr. $10 $1.50 per copy Circ-100 Internet]. Adv 8 1/2 x 11 Offset 64pp. Mag. c [517603] Conspiracies Unlimited P.O. Box 3085, St. Paul, MN 55165 Articles surveying an extremely wide range of plots, theories in politics, economics and religion. Q NatI. Mag. s [907060] Conspiracy Digest Alpine Enterprises, P,O. Box 766, Dearborn, Ml 48121 Sophisticated, objective effort to look behind the scenes, past and present. Natl, Mag. s [907126] Constantian Constantian Society, 123 Orr Rd., Pittsburgh, PA 15241 ' SM $6 Circ-400 (853398] Constitution Eagle News P.O. Box 1192, Lebanon, MO 65536 Free Nat). Tab. s (906730) Constitutions of The Countries of The World Oceans Publications, Dobbs Ferry, NY, (914) 693-5944 Ed. Albert Blaustein Up-to-date texts of national constitutions in English. $1,200 Lsif. $t [876477] Contemporary Marxism Synthesis Publications, P.O. Box 40099, San Francisco, CA 94140 SA $8 [898443) Coro Foundation Annual Report Coro Foundation, 1370 Mission St., San Francisco, CA 94103 (415) 863-4601 Ed. David Sibbet Covers news of the public affairs training activities of Coro Foundation. 1964 Q Circ-4,500 8 1/2 x 11 Offset 4pp. An. Rpt. as (266089] Cosmopolitan Contact Pantheon Press-General Enterprises, Post Office Box 1566, Fontana, CA 92335 (714) 829-1480 Ed. Irene Anders Pubi. Romulus Rexner Adv. Dir. Nina Norvid Mng. Ed. Maria Monteverdi Circ. Mgr. Alexander Braganza An auxiliary of Planetary Legion which promotes the philosophy of Planetary Universalism. Bk. revs. ISSN 0010-955X 1962 SA $4 $2 per copy Circ-1,500 Internatl. Adv $40 6 x 9 Letrpr. 32pp. Color-2 Newsi, a (266103] Crisis Intervention Crisis Publications, 1790 Broadway, New York, NY 10019 Q $15 Mag. s [906469] Crosscurrents Greenwich-Meridian Press, 516 K South, Saskatoon, Sask. S7M 2E2, Canada (306) 244. 0679 Mng. Ed.-Art Dir. Bob Fink Themes are interdisciplinary. Deal with concrete events, but also with lasting or universal aspects surrounding any issue. ISSN 0704 6588 1975 M $10 $.50 per copy Circ(contr)-750 Newsst-650 Subs-100 Internatl. No Adv 7 x 8 1/2 4pp. Color-2 Newsi. c (536903) Crusader Black Silent Majority Committee, P.O. Box 5519, TX 78201 Q NatI. Spp. Newsp. (905524] Crusader P.O. Box 624, Metairie, LA 70004 Tabloid of Knights of the Kiu Klux Klan. M Natl. Tab. s [905527] Current Louise Dudley, Heidref Publications, 4000 Albemarle St., N.W., Washington, DC 20016 (202) 362-6445 Ed. Grant McClellan Pubi. Cornelius Vahle, Jr. Adv. Dir.-Mng. Ed. Laura Sardo Circ. Mgr. Barbara Marney Reprints of articles on current social, economic, and political issues. ISSN 0011.3131 1960 10x/yr, $25 $4 per copy Circ-6,000 Natl. Adv $275 7 x 10 Offset 64pp. Mag. film fiche c (549058] Current Biography The H.W. Wilson Co., 950 University Ave., Bronx, NY 10452 (212) 588-8400 Ed. Charles Moritz Adv. Dir. Thomas Fitzgerald Articles on people in the news. ISSN 0011.3344 1940 11x/yr, $25 $2.50 per copy Circ?15,406 Internatl. No Adv 6 3/4 x 10 1/8 Web 50pp. Mag. film c [266173) Daily News Digest P.O. Box 39027, Phoenix, AZ 85069 Excerpts and highlights of economics, financial and national security news. W Natl. 9pp. Newsl. s (907270] Defense and Foreign Affairs Daily 2030 M St., N.W., Ste. 602, Washington, DC 20036 Details of defense equipment and procurement plans, strategic news and intelligence. $300 Natl. lpp. Newsi. s [907267] Democracy Common Good Foundation, 43 W. 61st St., New York, NY 10023 (212) 245-0844 Ed, Sheldon Wolin Publ. Max Palensky Adv. Dir. DavidLusterman Circ. Mgr. Andrea Gilbert Art Dir. James Wageman Journal of Political renewal and radical change. Bk. revs.. 1980 Q $12 $4 per copy Circ-10,000 Newsst. 1,000 Subs-9,000 Internatl, Adv $400 6 3/4 x 10 Offset Color-2 Jour. a (827190) Democrat, The (The Commonwealth; The Federationist), Democrat Publications Limited, 517 E. Broadway, Vancouver B.C. V5T 1X4, Canada (604) 879. 4601 Ed. Stephen Brewer Adv. Dir. Brian Emery Mng. Ed. Soren Bach Independent democratic socialist magapaper. Bk. revs. ISSN 0070-3346 1933 lOx/yr. $5 $.50 per copy Circ(contr). 22,000 Subs-22,000 Sworn Local Adv $930 9 3/4 x 15 1/2 Web 16pp. Color-2 Newsp. a [181634] Democratic Left Democratic Socialist Organizing Committee, 853 Broadway, New York, NY 10003 10x/yr. $8 (898422] Democratic Viewpoint Democratic National Committee, 1625 Massachusetts Ave., N.W., Washington, DC 20036 a (776485) Dialogue on Liberty Young Americans for Freedom, inc., Woodland Rd., Call Box 1002, Sterling, VA 22170 (703) 450-5162 Ed. Mark Huber Publ. Sam Pimm Current political controversies with particular emphasis on limited government, individual' freedom, and conservative education of America's youth. 1971 Q $1 $.25 per copy Circ-80,000 Subs. 7,000 Natl. Adv $500 8 1/2 x 11 Web 8pp. Color Newsi. a [379323) Diplomatic History Society for Historians of American Foreign Relations (S.H.A.F.R.), 104 Greenhill Ave., Wilmington, DE 19805 (302) 654.7713 Ed. Warren Cohen Pubi. Daniel Helmstadter Adv. Dir. Barbara Seidler Mng, Ed. Philip Johnson Circ, Mgr, Dale Zentz Art Dir. James Preston Scholarly articles in the fields of diplomatic history and American foreign relations. Bk, revs. ISSN 0145.2096 1977 Q $30 $7.50 per copy Circ-1,300 Subs- 1,300 Adv $125 6 x 9 Offset 125pp. Jour, a (502580] Directory of the American Right Editorial Research Service, P.O. Box 1832, Kansas City, MO 64141 (816) 931-7040 Ed.-Pubi. Laird Wilcox Directory of Anti-Communist. Patriotic, Conservative, Traditionalist, Free Market, Pro- Family, Tax Revolt, Racial Nationalist and other 'right-wing' organizations and serials in the United States and Canada. 2,160 listings. 1969 A $12.95 Circ-800 Internatl. 5 1/2 x 8 1/2 Offset Dir, a (267111] Don Bell Reports P.O. Box 2223, Palm Beach, FL 33480 Analysis and commentary on trends toward expanding non-elected government. W Natl. News(. s (907264] Eden Underground News Service P.O. Box 8410, Fountain Valley, CA 92708 News, information and technique of the "counter . culture", 25x/yr. NatI, Spp. Newsi. s (907261] Emancipation Anarchist Association of America, Box 840, Ben Franklin Sta., Washington, DC 20044 M $3.50 (898415] Exclusive Special Reports, Inc., P.O. Box 727, McLean, VA 22101 W $24 Circ-8,000 [853412] Federal Election Campaign Financing Guide Commerce Clearing House, Inc., 4025 W. Peterson Ave., Chicago, IL 60646 (212) 583- 8500 Ed. Allen Schechter Art Dir. James Merchant Interprets and updates laws covering federal elections. 1976 $175 $140 per copy Circ-1,030 Cubs- Irreg. Natl. No Adv 6 x 9 Web 60pp. LsIf. t (821897) Firing Line P.O. Box 1055, Indianapolis, IN 46206 Analysis of current aims and actions of "militant" groups. M Nati. Spp. Newsl. s [907258] Firing Line American Legion, National Americanism Commission, P.O. Box 1055, Indianapolis, IN 46206 a (776527) First Monday The Republican Nat'l. Committee, 310 First St., S.E., Washington, DC 20003 (202) 484-6550 Ed. Rob Mahaffey Political science news. 1970 M Circ-1,000,000 Offset Meg. as (890652] Florida Perspective Florida Conservative Union, 20 S.E. 8th St., Miami, FL 33131 (305) 358-1711 Ed: Publ. Mike Thompson 1975 M $10 Circ-5,000 Newsl. (833721) Flying Eagle Blue Pond, Malta, 10 83342 M Natl. Bpp. Tab. s (905878] Focus Joint Center for Political Studies, 1301 Pennsylvania Ave., N.W., Washington, DC 20004,. (202) 626-3500 Ed. Catherine lino Pubi. Eddie Williams Topics of political interest to the Black , community. 1972 M $12 Circ-8,500 Natl. No Adv 8 1/2 x 11, Sheetfed Spp. Color-2 Newsl. s [827372] Focus on Governmental Affairs (Focus on Public Affairs), Lutheran Council in the USA, Office for Govt'I Affairs, 475 L'Enfant Plaza S.W., Suite 2720, Washington, DC 20024 (2023 484-3950 Ed. Allan C. Carlson Interaction of church and government in public policy. 1967 M $3 CIrc-2,400 No Adv Offset 4pp. Newsi. (266670) Forge C.P. 346, Station Place d'Armes, Montreal Que. Canada 1975 BW $7 Circ-4,000 11 x 17 (529541) Free Socialist Box 1751, San Francisco, CA 94101 (573086) Freedom Socialist Freeway Hall Publications, 3815 5th Ave., N.E 2nd FIr. W., Seattle, WA 98105 Q $2 Circ-10,000 (857080) Freeman Digest 3740 W. 1987 S., Salt Lake City, UT 84104 Documented background to current problems. 8x/yr. Nati. Mag, s [907114] Freeman Report Freeman institute, Box 7060, Provo, UT 84o0 Ed. David Skousen 1971 SM $12 Circ-1,500 11 x 17 (529567 Approved For Release 2004/09/03 : CIA-RDP88-01314ROO0100430013-4 Approved For Release 2004/09/03 : CIA-RDP88-01314R000100430013-4 Standard Periodical Directory EIGHTH EDITION 1983-84 The Largest Authoritative Guide to United States and Canadian Periodicals... Information on more than 60,000 publications eO X g' R I ~ 0 1 /lT3 ~C1"A' FtI 8B`- ~I4R000100430013-4 New York, Newo