ECONOMIC & ENERGY INDICATORS

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP88-00798R000800500003-8
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 15
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: October 13, 2011
• Sequence Number: 3
• Publication Date: February 27, 1987
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved For Release 2011/10/13: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800500003-8
Directorate of
Intelligence
Economic & Energy
Indicators
27 February 1987
DI IEEW 87-009
27 February 1987
Approved For Release 2011/10/13: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800500003-8
 Approved For Release 2011/10/13: CIA-RDP88-00798ROO0800500003-8
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Approved For Release 2011/10/13: CIA-RDP88-00798ROO0800500003-8
 Approved For Release 2011/10/13: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800500003-8
Economic & Energy
Indicators
Industrial Production
Gross National Product _
Consumer Prices
Money Supply
Unemployment Rate
Foreign Trade
Current Account Balance
Export Prices in US $
Import Prices in US $
Exchange Rate Trends
Money Market Rates
Agricultural Prices
Industrial Materials Prices
World Crude Oil Production, Excluding Natural Gas Liquids
Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption
Big Seven: Crude Oil Imports
Crude Oil Prices
8
9
9
10
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 Approved For Release 2011/10/13: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800500003-8
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
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 Approved For Release 2011/10/13: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800500003-8
Money Supply, M-18
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
United States b 7.1 6.6 11.2
7.0
9.1
Japan 3.7 7.1 3.7
2.8
5.0
West Germany 1.1 3.6 10.2
3.3
4.4
France 12.2 13.9
8.8
United Kingdom NA NA 13.0
Italy 11.2 11.6 15.1
12.3
13.7
Canada 3.8 0.7 10.1
3.4
4.2
Based on amounts in national currency units.
b Including MI-A and MI-B.
7.5 9.6 9.4
7.4
7.1
2.2 2.4 2.7
2.7
2.6
West Germany 5.6 7.7 9.2
9.1
9.3
France 7.6 8.4 8.6
9.8
10.2
United Kingdom 10.0 11.6 10.7
11.1
11.3
Italy 8.4 9.1 9.9
9.9
10.1
Canada 7.5 11.1 11.9
11.3
10.5
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
3dQtr
4th Qtr
Dec
9.0
16.4
17.5
18.2
35.1
7.3
9.6
9.6
9.2
-6.6
9.8
11.3
7.4
9.9
-1.1
15.9
2.0
8.4
-0.1
-15.4
22.0
26.1
30.7
14.2
-13.8
8.4
2.3
5.5
-4.3
-1.7
15.8
14.6
-3.4
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
3d Qtr
4th Qtr
Jan
6.9
7.0
6.8
6.7
6.6
2.6
2.8
2.9
2.8
9.1
9.0
8.8
8.7
8.7
10.1
10.4
10.5
10.5
10.5
11.5
11.6
11.6
11.4
11.3
10.9
10.7
10.7
9.7
9.6
9.7
9.4
9.7
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 Approved For Release 2011/10/13: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800500003-8
United States b
Exports 233.5
212.3
200.6
218.0
213.1
53.0
53.2
55.3
55.9
18.3
Imports 261.0
244.0
258.4
326.3
346.1
91.6
88.3
93.4
96.7
30.8
Balance -27.5
-31.6
-57.9
-108.3
-133.0
-38.6
-35.1
-38.1
-40.8
-12.5
Japan
Exports 149.6
138.2
145.5
168.1
173.9
47.8
51.4
54.0
52.2
17.1
Imports 129.5
119.6
114.0
124.1
118.0
29.9
28.9
28.0
26.2
8.4
Balance 20.1
18.6
31.4
43.9
55.9
17.9
22.4
26.0
26.0
8.7
West Germany
Exports 175.4
176.4
169.5
171.9
184.3
55.2
60.8
63.2
64.7
22.2
Imports c 163.4
155.3
152.9
153.1
158.9
44.9
47.9
48.1
50.5
16.8
Balance 11.9
21.1
16.6
18.8
25.3
10.3
12.9
15.1
14.2
5.4
France
Exports 106.3
96.4
95.1
97.5
101.9
30.4
29.8
32.4
32.7
11.0
Imports 115.6
110.5
101.0
100.3
104.5
30.3
30.9
32.1
32.2
10.4
Balance -9.3
-14.0
-5.9
-2.8
-2.6
0.1
-1.1
0.3
0.5
0.6
United Kingdom
Exports 102.5
97.1
92.0
93.7
100.9
26.1
26.9
26.1
27.5
9.4
Imports 94.6
93.1
93.3
99.4
103.5
28.2
29.3
30.6
31.3
10.5
Balance 7.9
4.0
-1.3
-5.7
-2.6
-2.1
-2.4
-4.5
-3.8
-1.1
Italy
Exports 75.4
73.9
72.8
73.5
78.9
23.3
24.4
24.9
25.2
7.7
Imports 91.2
86.7
80.7
84.4
90.8
26.0
24.4
24.2
25.3
7.4
Balance -15.9
-12.8
-7.9
-10.9
-11.9
-2.7
0
0.7
-0.1
0.3
Canada
Exports 70.5
68.5
73.6
86.6
88.1
21.8
21.1
21.7
22.6
7.5
Imports 64.4
54.1
59.3
70.6
75.3
20.2
19.3
20.3
20.6
6.8
Balance 6.1
14.4
14.3
16.0
12.8
1.7
1.8
1.4
2.0
0.7
Seasonally adjusted.
b Imports are customs values.
Imports are c.i.f.
1st Qtr
2d Qtr 3d Qtr
4th Qtr
Nov
Dec
United States 6.3
-8.1
-46.6
-106.5
-117.7
-34.0
-34.4 -36.3
Japan 4.8
6.9
20.8
35.0
49.2
12.7
23.1 24.4
25.8
8.1
9.4
West Germany -6.8
3.3
4.3
6.7
13.8
6.9
8.3 8.0
13.2
4.8
4.3
Seasonally adjusted; converted to US dollars at current market
rates of exchange.
Approved For Release 2011/10/13: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800500003-8
 Approved For Release 2011/10/13: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800500003-8
Export Prices in US $
Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
United States
9.2
1.5
1.0
1.4
-0.6
-0.5
1.8
5.0
5.6
3.2
Japan
5.5
-6.4
-2.4
0.2
-0.6
26.1
24.9
12.0
6.9
-3.0
West Germany
-14.9
-2.8
-3.2
-7.1
0
40.7
16.5
30.3
-12.3
23.4
France
-12.0
-5.5
-4.8
-2.9
2.5
33.3
-0.6
20.1
-18.8
United Kingdom
NA
NA
-6.2
-5.1
2.3
-2.6
7.2
-7.4
5.1
12.3
Import Prices in US $
Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
United States
5.3
-2.0
-3.7
1.7
-2.4
-6.5
-9.6
-1.6 -3.9 -8.3
Japan
3.6
-7.4
-5.0
-2.8
-4.3
-5.3
-49.2
-12.6 -2.0 16.2
West Germany
-8.6
-4.7
-5.2
-4.8
-1.5
10.0
-11.1
5.3 -17.8 15.8
France
-7.8
-7.2
-7.0
-3.8
-0.4
11.0
-11.8
1.0 -13.8
United Kingdom
NA
NA
-5.7
-4.5
0.5
-0.5
2.4
- 8.5 10.0 31.7
Italy
1.0
-5.3
-6.6
-3.7
-1.0
10.6
-19.1
- 2.7 -8.7
Canada
8.7
-1.1
0.6
1.0
-2.1
-8.7
3.4
- 6.8 -15.6 -4.7
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 Approved For Release 2011/10/13: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800500003-8
Exchange Rate Trends
Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
United Kingdom
2.5
-2.1
-5.0
-2.5
2.0
-26.0
9.5
-17.5 -23.8 -2.8
Italy
-9.2
-5.1
-1.6
-3.1
-3.8
5.5
5.2
13.1 3.7 3.0
Canada
0.3
0.2
2.3
-2.3
-3.6
-13.1
1.7
-2.6 -0.6 2.2
Japan
2.7
-12.9
4.6
0
-0.3
32.2
33.5
29.1 -12.4 5.2 41.8
West Germany
-24.6
-7.2
-5.2
-11.5
-3.3
31.3
17.1
25.4 14.6 19.2 54.6
France
-28.7
-20.8
-15.9
-14.7
-2.7
29.7
4.4
18.5 12.2 15.3 45.4
United Kingdom
-13.2
-13.4
-13.3
-11.9
-3.0
1.7
20.8
-5.9 -14.8 15.3 67.9
Italy
-32.8
-18.8
-12.3
-15.6
-8.6
30.1
14.5
24.2 12.4 16.5 42.3
United States
90-day certificates of
deposit, secondary market
Japan
loans and discounts
(2 months)
West Germany
interbank loans
(3 months)
France
interbank money market
(3 months)
United Kingdom
sterling interbank loans
(3 months)
Italy
Milan interbank loans
(3 months)
Canada
finance paper (3 months)
Eurodollars 16.87 13.25 9.69 10.86 8.40 7.90 7.00 6.29 6.15 6.36
3-month deposits
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 Approved For Release 2011/10/13: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800500003-8
Agricultural Prices
Bananas
Fresh imported,
(Total world, $ per metric ton)
Australia
(Boneless beef,
f.o.b. US Ports)
112.4
107.4
111.1
101.0
96.6
NA
97.6
91.3
92.5
NA
NA
United States
(Wholesale steer beef,
midwest markets)
100.0
101.4
97.6
100.9
90.7
NA
87.8
84.4
89.7
NA
NA
Cocoa (0 per pound)
89.8
74.3
92.1
106.2
98.7
89.3
95.7
82.6
90.8
87.9
86.1
Coffee ($ per pound)
1.28
1.40
1.32
1.44
1.43
1.71
2.01
1.73
1.61
1.47
1.20
Corn
(US #3 yellow,
c.i.f. Rotterdam, S per metric ton)
150
123
148
150
125
101
116
116
89
84
81
Cotton
(World Cotton Prices, "A"
index, c.i.f. Osaka, US 4/Ib.)
Palm Oil
(United Kingdom 5% bulk,
c.i.f., $ per metric ton)
US (No. 2, milled,
632
481
514
514
484
348
453
352
294
300
NA
4% c.i.f. Rotterdam)
Thai SWR
573
362
339
310
249
229
236
224
235
221
NA
(100% grade B
c.i.f. Rotterdam)
Soybeans
(US #2 yellow,
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
Soybean Oil
(Dutch, f.o.b. ex-mill,
$ per metric ton)
Soybean Meal
(US, c.i.f. Rotterdam
$ per metric ton)
Sugar
(World raw cane, f.o.b.
Caribbean Ports, spot prices ~ per pound)
16.93
8.42
8.49
5.18
4.04
6.05
5.83
7.45
5.25
5.67
6.47
Tea
Average Auction (London)
(? per pound)
91.0
89.9
105.2
156.6
90.0
87.5
86.4
85.6
86.0
92.1
NA
Wheat
(US #2. DNS
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
The food index is compiled by The Economist for 14 food commodities which enter international trade. Commodities are weighted by 3-
year moving averages of imports into industrialized countries.
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 Approved For Release 2011/10/13: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800500003-8
Major US producer
77.3
76.0
77.7
81.0
81.0
81.0
81.0
81.0
81.0
81.0
81.0
LME cash
57.4
44.9
65.1
56.8
47.2
52.2
51.4
53.1
52.2
52.0
53.1
Chrome Ore
(South Africa chemical
grade, $ per metric ton)
53.0
50.9
50.0
50.0
43.9
40.0
40.0
40.0
40.0
40.0
40.0
Copper a (bar, Q per pound)
79.0
67.1
72.0
62.4
64.5
62.3
64.5
64.5
60.3
59.8
61.5
Gold ($ per troy ounce)
460.0
375.5
424.4
360.0
317.2
366.1
342.6
341.6
376.2
404.1
407.3
Lead a (0 per pound)
32.9
24.7
19.3
20.0
17.7
18.4
16.7
17.6
17.7
21.5
21.8
Manganese Ore
(48% Mn, $ per long ton)
82.1
79.9
73.3
69.8
68.4
65.5
67.2
64.8
65.1
64.8
64.8
Cathode major producer
3.5
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
LME Cash
2.7
2.2
2.1
2.2
2.2
1.75
1.8
1.8
1.8
1.6
1.6
Platinum ($ per troy ounce)
Major producer
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
475.0
517.0
475.0
475.0
517.0
600.6
600.0
Metals week,
New York dealers' price
446.0
326.7
422.6
358.2
291.0
458.1
383.1
420.1
510.8
518.5
493.3
Silver ($ per troy ounce)
10.5
7.9
11.4
8.1
6.1
5.5
5.9
5.2
5.3
5.6
5.4
Steel Scrap d ($ per long ton)
92.0
63.1
73.2
86.4
74.4
73.4
74.0
71.8
73.8
73.9
NA
Tina (0 per pound)
641.4
581.6
590.9
556.6
543.2
280.8
357.4
250.5
244.9
270.4
303.6
Tungsten Ore
(contained metal,
$ per metric ton)
18,097
13,426
10,177
10,243
10,656
6,936
8,673
7,567
6,558
4,945
5,460
US Steel
(finished steel, composite,
$ per long ton)
Lumber Index
(I 980=100)
Industrial Materials Index r
85
71
82
(1980=100)
a Approximates world market price frequently used by major world
producers and traders, although only small quantities of these
metals are actually traded on the LME. As of February 1986 tin
prices from the Kuala Lumpur market.
b S-type styrene, US export price.
Quoted on New York market.
d Average of No. I heavy melting steel scrap and No. 2 bundles
delivered to consumers at Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, and Chicago.
e This index is compiled by using the average of 10 types of lumber
whose prices are regarded as bellwethers of US lumber construction
costs.
The industrial materials index is compiled by The Economist for
18 raw materials which enter international trade. Commodities are
weighted by 3-year moving averages of imports into industrialized
countries.
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World Crude Oil Production
Excluding Natural Gas Liquids
World
55,837
53,092
52,625
53,674
52,931
Non-Communist countries
41,602
38,810
38,228
39,257
38,692
Developed countries
12,886
13,276
.13,864
14,302
14,730
United States
8,572
8,658
8,680
8,735
8,933
Canada
1,285
1,270
1,356
1,411
1,457
United Kingdom
1,811
2,094
2,299
2,535
2,533
Norway
501
518
614
700
785
Other
717
736
915
921
1,022
Non-OPEC LDCs
6,036
6,633
6,823
7,515
7,845
Mexico
2,321
2,746
2,666
2,746
2,733
Egypt
598
665
689
827
874
Other
3,117
3,222
3,468
3,942
4,238
OPEC
22,680
18,901
17,541
17,440
16,117
Algeria
803
701
699
638
645
Ecuador
211
211
236
253
280
Gabon
151
154
157
152
153
Indonesia
1,604
1,324
1,385
1,466
1,235
Iran
1,381
2,282
2,492
2,187
2,258
Iraq
993
972
922
1,203
1,437
Kuwait b
947
663
881
912
862
Libya
1,137
1,183
1,076
1,073
1,069
Neutral Zonec
370
317
390
410
355
Nigeria
1,445
1,298
1,241
1,393
1,464
Qatar
405
328
295
399
302
Saudi Arabia b
9,625
6,327
4,867
4,444
3,290
UAE
1,500
1,248
1,119
1,097
1,146
Venezuela
2,108
1,893
1,781
1,813
1,621
Communist countries
14,235
14,282
14,397
14,417
14,239
USSR
11,800
11,830
11,864
11,728
11,350
China
2,024
2,042
2,121
2,280
2,496
Other
411
410
412
409
393
Preliminary.
b Excluding Neutral Zone production, which is shown separately.
C Production is shared equally between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait.
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
3d Qtr
Oct
Nov
54,988
55,800
56,678
54,642
55,422
40,395
41,024
41,806
39,722
40,452
15,125
14,198
14,360
14,427
14,367
9,099
8,762
8,455
8,434
8,321
1,412
1,456
1,529
1,527
1,500
2,667
2,378
2,513
2,510
2,468
867
652
892
890
1,018
1,080
950
971
1,066
1,060
7,600
7,887
7,907
7,821
8,097
2,273
2,478
2,509
2,359
2,452
813
787
760
799
938
4,514
4,622
4,638
4,663
4,707
17,670
18,939
19,539
17,474
17,988
652
684
688
662
662
297
299
285
268
268
180
180
180
180
180
1,265
1,342
1,263
1,188
1,188
2,324
2,067
1,537
1,400
2,000
1,750
1,748
1,750
1,750
1,550
1,134
1,402
1,536
1,300
1,300
1,000
1,306
1,242
1,000
1,000
234
305
433
354
373
1,432
1,566
1,542
1,301
1,308
300
334
374
350
374
4,318
4,696
5,676
4,900
5,000
1,230
1,430
1,448
1,236
1,200
1,554
1,580
1,585
1,585
1,585
14,593
14,776
14,872
14,920
14,970
11,540
11,720
11,830
11,880
11,930
2,613
2,613
2,613
2,613
2,613
440
443
429
427
427
Approved For Release 2011/10/13: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800500003-8
 Approved For Release 2011/10/13: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800500003-8
Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption
United States a
16,058
15,296
15,184
15,708
15,726
16,056
15,864
16,172
15,755
16,441
16,051
16,614
Japan
4,444
4,204
4,193
4,349
4,123
4,737
3,658
3,824
3,893
4,117
4,548
Italy b
1,705
1,618
1,594
1,513
1,507
1,691
1,390
1,500
1,656
1,672
Canada
1,617
1,454
1,354
1,348
1,342
1,297
1,308
1,365
1,382
1,386
Including bunkers, refinery fuel, and losses.
b Principal products only prior to 1981.
Big Seven: Crude Oil Imports
United Kingdom
736
565
456
482
523
477
606
638
925
897
689
Italy
1,816
1,710
1,532
1,507
1,462
1,593
1,640
Canada
521
334
247
244
283
346
295
413
400
421
Approved For Release 2011/10/13: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800500003-8
 Approved For Release 2011/10/13: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800500003-8
OPEC Average a 34.50 33.63 29.31 28.70 28.14 23.49 26.17 22.59 22.33 22.86 18.01
(Official Sales Price)
F.o.b. prices set by the government for direct sales and, in most cases, for the producing company buy-back oil. Weighted by the volume
of production.
Approved For Release 2011/10/13: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800500003-8
 Approved For Release 2011/10/13: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800500003-8
Average Crude Oil Sales Pricea
34.50 33.63
30.87 1-1 n
1 1.2 9 1 1.0 2 11.77 1F8 113
3.39
Q
7 27^I6
M N M
O O~
N ^ ~ N
r
vi ?
r O
M pp
N
The 1973 price is derived from posted prices; 1974-84 prices are derived
from OPEC official sales prices; and, beginning in 1985, prices are a
measure of average world sales prices.
Approved For Release 2011/10/13: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800500003-8
 Approved For Release 2011/10/13: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800500003-8
Approved For Release 2011/10/13: CIA-RDP88-00798R000800500003-8