(UNTITLED)

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP88-00798R000200180007-6
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 15
• Document Creation Date: January 12, 2017
• Document Release Date: June 21, 2011
• Sequence Number: 7
• Publication Date: January 3, 1986
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved For Release 2011/06/21: CIA-RDP88-00798R000200180007-6
ff Directorate of
Intelligence
Economic & Energy
Indicators
DI EE186-001
3 January 1986
Approved For Release 2011/06/21: CIA-RDP88-00798R000200180007-6
 Approved For Release 2011/06/21: CIA-RDP88-00798ROO0200180007-6
This publication is prepared for the use of US Government
officials, and the format, coverage, and content are designed to
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 Approved For Release 2011/06/21: CIA-RDP88-00798R000200180007-6
Economic & Energy
Indicators
Economic Industrial Production 1
Gross National Product
Consumer Prices
Money Supply
Unemployment Rate
Foreign Trade
Current Account Balance
Export Prices in US $
Import Prices in US $
Exchange Rate Trends
Money Market Rates
Agricultural Prices
Industrial Materials Prices
Energy World Crude Oil Production, Excluding Natural Gas Liquids 8
Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption 9
Big Seven: Crude Oil Imports 9
OPEC: Crude Oil Official Sales Price 10
OPEC: Average Crude Oil Official Sales Price (Chart) 11
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Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
1st Qtr 2d Qtr 3d Qtr
United States 2.5 -2.1 3.4 6.6 3.7 1.1 3.0
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
United States
Japan
0.7
2.3
United Kingdom
11.9
8.6
4.6
5.0
7.1
9.1
3.0
1.9
1.5
4.3
Italy
19.3
16.4
14.9
10.6
10.1
10.2
7.3
2.5
7.2
6.5
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Money Supply, M-1 a
Percent change from previous period
seasonally adjusted at an annual rate
a Based on amounts in national currency units.
b Including MI-A and MI-B.
1st Qtr 2d Qtr 3d Qtr Sep Oct Nov
Japan 2.2 2.4 2.7 2.7 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8
West Germany 5.6 7.7 9.2 9.1 9.2 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.2 9.2
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United States n
Exports
233.5
212.3
200.7
217.6
Imports
261.0
244.0
258.2
325.6
Balance
27.5
-31.6
-57.5
-108.0
Japan
Exports
149.6
138.2
145.5
168.2
Imports
129.5
119.6
114.1
124.1
Balance
20.1
18.6
31.5
44.1
West Germany
Exports
175.4
176.4
169.5
171.8
Imports
163.4
155.3
152.8
153.1
Balance
11.9
21.1
16.6
18.8
France
Exports
106.3
96.4
95.1
97.5
Imports
115.6
110.5
101.0
100.3
Balance
-9.3
-14.0
-5.9
-2.8
United Kingdom
Exports
102.5
97.1
92.1
93.7
Imports
94.6
93.1
93.7
99.1
Balance
7.9
4.0
-1.6
-5.3
Italy
Exports
75.4
73.9
72.7
73.5
Imports
91.2
86.7
80.6
84.4
Balance
-15.9
-12.8
-7.9
-10.9
Canada
Exports
70.5
68.5
73.7
86.5
Imports
64.4
54.1
59.3
70.6
Balance
6.1
14.4
14.4
15.9
Seasonally adjusted.
h Imports are customs values.
Imports are c.i.f.
1st Qtr
United States
6.3
-8.1
-46.0
-107.4
-24.2
Japan
4.8
6.9
20.8
35.0
6.8
West Germany
-6.8
3.3
4.2
6.0
1.7
France
--4.7
United Kingdom
15.3
Italy
-8.6-
--5.7
0.6
-3.2
-2.9
Canada
-5.0
2.1
1.4
1.9
0.5
Seasonally adjusted; converted to US dollars at current market
rates of exchange.
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
3d Qtr
Oct
Nov
55.7
84.4
-28.7
52.6
86.4
-33.8
52.6
84.5
-31.9
17.4
27.6
-10.2
40.5
28.9
11.6
42.5
29.5
13.0
43.5
29.4
14.0
15.6
10.5
5.1
41.0
36.5
4.6
43.7
37.1
6.5
48.6
41.7
6.9
16.7
14.5
2.3
16.4
14.1
2.3
22.5
23.6
-1.1
24.4
24.7
-0.4
26.1
26.8
-0.7
9.7
9.6
0.1
9.5
9.6
-0.1
22.7
24.1
-1.4
25.4
25.7
-0.3
25.5
26.2
-0.7
9.0
9.0
0
9.1
9.3
-0.2
17.7
21.6
-3.8
18.3
21.9
-3.6
20.4
21.2
-0.8
7.3
7.9
-0.6
22.0
17.9
4.1
21.8
18.5
3.4
21.7
19.4
2.3
8.0
6.3
1.6
2d Qtr
3d Qtr
Sep
Oct Nov
-27.7 -30.5
13.3 13.3 4.9 4.8
3.1 2.1 1.6 2.3 1.8
0 -1.1
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Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
Import Prices in US $
Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
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Percent change from previous period
at an annual rate
France
-5.1
-6.1
-4.7
-2.1
0.9
4.8
9.9
United Kingdom
2.5
-2.1
-5.0
-2.5
-10.5
39.9
16.7
Italy
-9.2
-5.1
-1.6
-3.1
-1.3
-10.5
-9.7
United States
90-day certificates of
deposit, secondary market
16.24
12.49
9.23
10.56
8.76
8.04
7.90
7.99
7.90
Japan
loans and discounts
(2 months)
7.79
7.23
NA
6.66
6.55
6.54
6.50
6.48
West Germany
interbank loans
(3 months)
12.19
8.82
5.78
5.96
6.12
5.80
4.86
4.81
4.93
France
interbank money market
(3 months)
15.47
14.68
12.51
11.74
10.64
10.32
9.81
9.34
9.25
United Kingdom
sterling interbank loans
(3 months)
13.85
12.24
10.12
9.91
12.98
12.61
11.67
11.50
11.65
Italy
Milan interbank loans
(3 months)
Canada
finance paper (3 months)
18.46
14.48
9.53
11.30
10.59
9.87
9.32
8.88
Eurodollars
3-month deposits
16.87
13.25
9.69
10.86
9.04
8.29
8.14
8.21
8.15
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Bananas 177 214 217 232 243 110.4 111.6 110.9 110.1 NA
Fresh imported,
(Total world, $ per metric ton)
Beef (c per pound)
Australia 125.2 112.1 108.4 110.7 101.1 100.2 93.3 93.6 96 100
(Boneless beef,
f.o.b. US Ports)
United States 104.3 100.0 101.4 97.6 100.9 96.6 81 80.4 88.3 98.1
(Wholesale steer beef,
midwest markets)
Cocoa (Q per pound) 113.5 89.8 74.3 92.1 106.2 99.2 96.4 98.4 102.5 97.9
Coffee ($ per pound) 1.54 1.28 1.40 1.32 1.44 1.44 1.42 1.33 1.40 1.56
Corn 150 150 123 148 150 133 133 118 111 118
(US #3 yellow,
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
Cotton 93.20 72.69 74.48 85.71 63.91 62.27 63.78 56.76 48.80 48.03
(World Cotton Prices, "A"
index, c.i.f. Osaka, US c/lb.)
Palm Oil 583 571 445 502 730 605 606 417 356 362
(United Kingdom 5% bulk,
c.i.f., $ per metric ton)
Rice ($ per metric ton)
US (No. 2, milled, 598 632 481 514 514 496 496 481 475 470
4% c.i.f. Rotterdam)
Thai SWR 522 573 362 339 310 254 243 236 255 245
(100% grade B
c.i.f. Rotterdam)
Soybeans 296 288 244 282 283 240 236 213 205 208
(US #2 yellow,
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
Soybean Oil 598 507 447 527 727 651 658 518 450 443
(Dutch, f.o.b. ex-mill,
$ per metric ton)
Soybean Meal 257 252 219 238 197 159 146 152 170 174
(US, c.i.f. Rotterdam
$ per metric ton)
Sugar 29.03 16.93 8.42 8.49 5.18 3.69 2.96 4.21 5.01 5.53
(World raw cane, f.o.b.
Caribbean Ports, spot prices ? per pound)
Tea 101.4 91.0 89.9 105.2 156.6 126.9 82.8 72.3 78.7 80.2
Average Auction (London)
(Q per pound)
Wheat 209 210 187 183 182 177 169 154 168 177
(US #2. DNS
c.i.f. Rotterdam, $ per metric ton)
The food index is compiled by The Economist for 14 food commodities which enter international trade. Commodities are weighted by 3-
year moving averages of imports into industrialized countries.
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Chrome Ore
(South Africa chemical
grade, $ per metric ton)
Copper a (bar, Q per pound)
98.7
79.0
67.1
72.0
Gold (S per troy ounce)
612.1
460.0
375.5
424.4
Lead a (g per pound)
41.1
32.9
24.7
19.3
Manganese Ore
(48% Mn, $ per long ton)
Metals week,
New York dealers' price
677.0
446.0
326.7
422.6
Rubber (? per pound)
Synthetic b
Silver ($ per troy ounce)
20.7
10.5
7.9
11.4
8.1
5.9
6.3
6.1
6.2
6.1
Steel Scrap d (S per long ton)
91.2
92.0
63.1
73.2
86.4
83.7
71.9
72.7
NA
NA
Tungsten Ore
(contained metal,
$ per metric ton)
18,219
18,097
13,426
10,177
10,243
11,515
10,974
10,648
9,964
US Steel
(finished steel, composite,
$ per long ton)
Lumber Index e
(1980=100)
100
95
84
114
Industrial Materials Index r
100
84.7
71.2
82.2
(1980=100)
a Approximates world market price frequently used by major world
producers and traders, although only small quantities of these
metals are actually traded on the LME.
b S-type styrene, US export price.
Quoted on New York market.
d Average of No. I heavy melting steel scrap and No. 2 bundles
delivered to consumers at Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, and Chicago.
e This index is compiled by using the average of II types of lumber
whose prices are regarded as bellwethers of US lumber construction
costs.
rThe industrial materials index is compiled by The Economist for
18 raw materials which enter international trade. Commodities are
weighted by 3-year moving averages of imports into industrialized
countries.
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World Crude Oil Production
Excluding Natural Gas Liquids
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985,
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
3d Qtr
Sep
Oct
World
59,793
56,217
53,514
53,098
54,187
53,462
52,380
52,343
53,182
Non-Communist countries
45,243
41,602
38,810
38,228
39,257
38,672
37,610
37,588
38,373
Developed countries
12,859
12,886
13,276
13,864
14,302
14,704
14,617
14,643
14,905
14,845
United States
8,597
8,572
8,658
8,680
8,735
8,871
8,972
8,954
8,978
8,961
Canada
1,424
1,285
1,270
1,356
1,411
1,463
1,445
1,444
1,450
1,450
United Kingdom
1,619
1,811
2,094
2,299
2,535
2,660
2,471
2,399
2,600
2,560
Norway
528
501
518
614
700
719
728
823
840
862
Other
691
717
736
915
921
991
1,001
1,023
1,037
1,012
Non-OPEC LDCs
5,443
6,036
6,633
6,823
7,515
7,733
7,802
7,922
8,023
7,962
Mexico
1,936
2,321
2,746
2,666
2,746
2,711
2,724
2,738
2,800
2,800
Egypt
595
598
665
689
827
877
875
890
875
847
Other
2,912
3,117
3,222
3,468
3,942
4,145
4,203
4,294
4,348
4,315
OPEC
26,941
22,680
18,901
17,541
17,440
16,235
15,191
15,023
15,445
16,920
Algeria
1,020
803
701
699
638
660
634
616
650
650
Ecuador
204
211
211
236
253
274
271
282
280
280
Gabon
175
151
154
157
152
150
150
153
160
160
Indonesia
1,576
1,604
1,324
1,385
1,466
1,152
1,167
1,203
1,070
1,050
Iran
1,662
1,381
2,282
2,492
2,187
2,097
2,299
2,335
2,200
2,400
Iraq
2,514
993
972
922
1,203
1,255
1,340
1,482
1,600
1,700
Kuwait b
1,389
947
663
881
912
914
800
800
800
900
Libya
1,830
1,137
1,183
1,076
1,073
1,051
1,057
933
1,000
1,100
Neutral Zone
544
370
317
390
410
480
333
306
360
300
Nigeria
2,058
1,445
1,298
1,241
1,393
1,590
1,351
1,214
1,450
1,700
Qatar
471
405
328
295
399
292
297
312
295
300
Saudi Arabia b
9,631
9,625
6,327
4,867
4,444
3,659
2,731
2,564
2,800
3,600
UAE
1,702
1,500
1,248
1,119
1,097
1,123
1,120
1,193
1,225
1,225
Venezuela
2,165
2,108
1,893
1,781
1,813
1,538
1,641
1,630
1,555
1,555
Communist countries
14,550
14,615
14,704
14,870
14,930
14,790
14,770
14,755
14,809
USSR
12,030
12,180
12,250
12,330
12,230
11,920
11,870
11,866
11,920
China
2,113
2,024
2,044
2,120
2,280
2,450
2,480
2,474
2,474
Other
407
411
410
420
420
420
420
415
415
Preliminary.
b Excluding Neutral Zone production, which is shown separately.
Production is shared equally between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait.
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Big Seven: Inland Oil Consumption
United States a 16,058 15,296 15,184 15,708 15,807 15,452 15,562 15,115 14,859 15,865
Japan 4,444 4,204 4,193 4,349 4,710 3,577 3,836 3,753
West Germany 2,120 2,024 2,009 2,012 1,993 2,034 2,242 1,955 2,230
France 1,744 1,632 1,594 1,531 1,757 1,342 1,304 1,435 1,546
United Kingdom 1,325 1,345 1,290 1,624 1,874 1,208 1,226 1,286
Italy b 1,705 1,618 1,594 1,513 1,715 1,276 1,416 1,550 1,554
Canada 1,617 1,454 1,354 1,348 1,327 1,292 1,367 1,339
a Including bunkers, refinery fuel, and losses.
b Principal products only prior to 1981.
Big Seven: Crude Oil Imports
1st Qtr 2d Qtr 3d Qtr Sep Oct Nov
United States 4,406 3,488 3,329 3,402 2,545 3,397 3,171 3,213 3,340 3,487
Japan 3,919 3,657_ 3,567 3,664 3,777 3,118 3,001 3,169
West Germany 1,591 1,451 1,307 1,335 1,419 1,265 1,233 1,259
France 1,804 1,596 1,429 1,395 1,578 1,212 1,421 1,442
United Kingdom 736 565 456 482 534 518
Italy 1,816 1,710 1,532 1,507 1,453
Canada 521 334 247 244 188 216
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OPEC average b
30.87
34.50
33.63
29.31
28.70
Algeria
44? API 0.10% sulfur
37.59
39.58
35.79
31.30
30.50
Ecuador
34.42
34.50
32.96
27.59
27.50
Gabon
29? API 1.26 % sulfur
31.09
34.83
34.00
29.82
29.00
Indonesia
35? API 0.09% sulfur
Iran
Light
34? API 1.35% sulfur
34.54
36.60
31.05
28.61
28.00
Heavy
33.60
35.57
29.15
27.44
27.10
Iraq ~
30.30
36.66
34.86
30.32
29.43
Kuwait
31 ? API 2.50% sulfur
29.84
35.08
32.30
27.68
27.30
Libya
36.07
40.08
35.69
30.91
30.40
Nigeria
34? API 0.16% sulfur
35.50
38.48
35.64
30.22
29.12
Qatar
40? API 1.17% sulfur
Saudi Arabia
Berri
39? API 1.16% sulfur
30.19
34.04
34.68
_
29.96
29.52
Light
34? API 1.70% sulfur
28.67
32.50
34.00
29.46
29.00
Medium
31 ? API 2.40% sulfur
28.12
31.84
32.40
27.86
27.40
Heavy
27? API 2.85% sulfur
27.67
31.13
31.00
26.46
26.00
UAE
31.57
36.42
34.74
30.38
29.56
Venezuela
26? API 1.52% sulfur
28.44
32.88
32.88
28.69
27.88
a F.o.b. prices set by the government for direct sales and, in most
cases, for the producing company buy-back oil.
b Weighted by the volume of production.
Beginning in 1981 the price of Kirkuk (Mediterranean) is used in
calculating the OPEC average official sales price.
1st Qtr
2d Qtr
3d Qtr.
4th Qtr
Nov
Dec
28.25
28.11
28.13
28.15
28.15
28.15
30.15
29.50
29.50
29.50
29.50
29.50
26.82
26.50
26.15
26.15
26.15
26.15
28.35
28.00
28.00
28.00
28.00
28.00
28.38
28.05
28.05
28.05
28.05
28.05
27.41
27.35
27.35
27.35
27.35
27.35
28.78
28.43
28.43
28.43
28.43
28.43
27.30
27.30
27.30
27.30
27.30
27.30
30.40
30.40
30.40
30.40
30.40
30.40
28.24
28.37
28.37
28.37
28.37
28.37
28.48
28.11
28.11
28.11
28.11
28.11
28.32
28.00
28.00
28.00
28.00
28.00
27.48
27.40
27.20
27.20
27.20
27.20
26.50
26.50
26.00
26.00
26.00
26.00
28.52
28.15
28.15
28.15
28.15
28.15
27.69
27.60
27.10
27.10
27.10
27.10
1 Approved For Release 2011/06/21: CIA-RDP88-00798R000200180007-6
 Approved For Release 2011/06/21: CIA-RDP88-00798R000200180007-6
OPEC: Average Crude Oil Sales Price
11.29 11.02 11.77 12.88 12.93
1973 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84
Approved For Release 2011/06/21: CIA-RDP88-00798R000200180007-6
 Approved For Release 2011/06/21: CIA-RDP88-00798R000200180007-6
Approved For Release 2011/06/21: CIA-RDP88-00798R000200180007-6