MEXICO: THE FOREIGN INVESTMENT ISSUE

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CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2
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March 14, 2011
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3
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September 1, 1986
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REPORT
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 ?Secret? Directorate of Intelligence Mexico: The Foreign Investment Issue A Remora Pow GI 86-10062 September 1986 COPY 31 9 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23 : CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Secret Directorate of Intelligence Mexico: The Foreign Investment Issue Reverse Blank A Research Paper This paper was prepared by the Office of Global Issues. Comments and queries are welcome and may be directed to the Chief, Development Issues Branch, OGI) Secret GI 86-10062 September 1986 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127Rnn1nnrmannn_-) 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Secret Summary Information available as ctf I August 1986 was used in this report. Mexico: The Foreign Investment Issue Mexico's longstanding aversion to foreign investment, in our judgment, is a major constraint on much-needed structural economic reform. President Miguel de la Madrid Hurtado has tried to be more receptive to foreign in- vestment than his recent predecessors, but he has been unable to overcome several major barriers: ? Philosophical Biases. Many Mexicans believe foreign investment de- pletes nonrenewable resources and impinges on national sovereignty. As a result, initiatives that might attract more foreign investment are blocked by those?the established business community, government bureaucrats, labor leaders and leftist ideologues?who believe foreign investment is damaging to their interests. ? Restrictive Legal Framework. Foreign direct investment in Mexico is regulated by a comprehensive body of law, established during the 1970s, that discriminates against foreign investors by restricting equity positions and limiting protection of intellectual property. ? Institutional Obstacles. Once an investment proposal is approved, busi- nessmen are confronted with numerous institutional impediments includ- ing subsidized government enterprises, a dearth of local credit, discour- aging price controls, discriminatory incentives, accelerated taxation, import restrictions, and frustrating labor legislation. The Mexican investment climate has, in addition, deteriorated under de la Madrid. Two decrees, for example, implemented by the present adminis- tration have expanded regulatory requirements in the automotive and pharmaceutical sectors where foreign investment is highly concentrated. Moreover, the deterioration of Mexico's economy has further deterred potential investors and structural reform. Despite Mexico City's rhetoric to the contrary, foreign investors have long been discouraged by the unfriendly environment. Our estimates indicate that net foreign direct investment in Mexico averaged only 2.2 percent of gross fixed investment over the last decade and never accounted for more than 5 percent of the total. The Mexicans, instead, have shown a strong preference for borrowing, which was about 12 times greater than net foreign investment in the period 1976-85. iii Secret GI 86-10062 September 1986 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Secret 25X1 Access to foreign credit from commercial banks has given the Mexican Government little incentive to make the reforms necessary to attract foreign investment. Should Mexico City take sufficient steps, foreign direct investment could make an important contribution in Mexico's long term economic development. In our view, the major contribution would not be fi- nancial, however, as even a doubling of last year's direct investment inflow would represent only a small fraction of the foreign borrowing expected this year. Instead, we believe the principal benefits of increased foreign investment arise from transfers of technology and the management practices introduced. Furthermore, Mexican enterprises would be able to form valuable customer and supplier links to foreign firms through their subsidiaries in Mexico. In order for Mexico to attract increased foreign direct investment, we believe Mexico City must first dismantle many barriers. At the margin, even small changes, like continuing to reduce the amount of redtape faced by potential foreign investors, would help. A major improvement in Mexico's foreign investment climate, however, will require structural reforms. Although domestic opposition would be strong, Mexico City could encourage foreign investors by phasing out price controls; liquidating nonstrategic, state-owned enterprises; improving intellectual property pro- tection; and liberalizing restrictions on majority foreign ownership. Secret iv Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23 : CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 ? Secret 25X1 Contents Page Summary 111 Mexico's Philosophy Toward Foreign Investment 1 Framework of Control 1 Present Attitudes 2 Flexible Interpretation of the 1973 Law 2 De la Madrid Decrees Sectoral Regulations 3 The Personal Computer Decree 3 The Automotive Decree 3 The Pharmaceutical Decree 4 Institutionalized Stumblingblocks 4 The Pervasive State 5 The Credit Crisis 5 Discouraging Price Controls 6 Discriminatory Incentives 7 Accelerated Taxation 7 Restricted Imports 8 Frustrating Labor Legislation 8 Ways To Gain Majority Control 9 The Maquiladora Program 9 Buying Out Mexican Partners 9 Section 511 Swaps 12 Impact on Foreign Investment 12 Majority Ownership 13 The Investor Countries 13 Industrial Composition 14 Geographical Dispersion 16 Prospects for Change 16 Appendixes A. The 1973 Foreign Investment Law 19 B. The Transfer of Technology Law 21 C. The Law on Inventions and Trademarks 23 D. Potential for 100-Percent Ownership 25 E. Products Subject to Price Controls 27 Reverse Blank V Secret npHaccified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23 : CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Mexico: The Foreign Investment Issue Mexico's Philosophy Toward Foreign Investment The Mexican Government remains reluctant to grant concessions to foreign investors. According to official reports, this aversion is the outgrowth of what Mexico City views as centuries of unequitable relations with foreign states and investors. In particular, many Mexicans believe that foreign investment has histori- cally resulted in the exploitation and exportation of nonrenewable resources and the excessive outflow of profit, with inadequate compensation through tech- nology transfer and training for Mexicans. Further- more, many Mexican businessmen believe profits are higher in an economy isolated from foreign competi- tion. These attitudes have led Mexico City to imple- ment restrictions and policies that discourage foreign investors. Framework of Control. During the 1970s, a compre- hensive body of law was implemented that established the ground rules for foreign investment in Mexico. Three laws initially enacted under the Echeverria administration remain at the heart of the Mexican system for regulating and controlling direct foreign investment: ? The 1973 Foreign Investment Law aimed to codify previously existing laws, policies, and regulations governing foreign investment. It requires that all foreign investment in Mexico be registered. It estab- lished the Foreign Investment Commission (FIC) to approve or disapprove contracts regarding the trans- fer of technology (for example, royalties, patents, trademarks, and know-how). The FIC rules on all plans for expansion, relocation, or new product lines by existing firms. This law reserves certain activities exclusively for Mexicans (appendix A gives addi- tional details). ? The Trander Qt. Technology Law imposes standards and prior registration requirements for patents, trademarks, technology, and managerial services. It created the National Registry for the Transfer of Technology, which carefully scrutinizes contracts 1 Secret based on a number of criteria, including costs and local availability of technology. This law seeks to reduce Mexico's dependence on foreign technology and provide state support to Mexican purchasers in negotiations with foreign companies (appendix B gives additional details). ? The Law on Inventions and Trademarks may undergo revision. A decree has been proposed that could marginally improve intellectual property rights, although the current proposal still prohibits certain products such as pharmaceuticals, pesti- cides, and herbicides from being patented in Mexi- co. Neither product nor process are recognized as patentable in the case of pharmaceuticals. Patents are good for 10 years and are not renewable. If a patent is not exploited in the first three years, the government can reassign its rights to another com- pany. A certificate of invention can be obtained in some cases where a patent is refused. A certificate has the same rights as a patent except for exclusive exploitation. The law also requires that all products fabricated in Mexico be labeled with a distinctive Mexican trademark, which must be at least equally linked when used in conjunction with a foreign trademark. This last provision produced so much controversy that it has yet to be implemented (appendix C gives additional details). While the Technology Transfer Law and the Law on Inventions and Trademarks have deterred foreign investors by limiting intellectual property rights, the most restrictive of the three laws is the one that established the FIC in 1973. The FIC is composed of seven Cabinet-level secretaries who screen all applica- tions for potential investment in line with 17 criteria contained in Article 13 of the law. These criteria attempt to ensure that the proposed investment will: not displace national companies that are operating satisfactorily or be directed into areas adequately covered by national companies; have a positive effect Secret neclassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Secret on the balance of payments, particularly by expanding exports; increase local employment opportunities; in- corporate local inputs into its products; and offer technological assistance to the country. Technically, permission for foreign investment is to be issued by the Cabinet-level agency that would have jurisdiction over the company applying. In practice, decisions are left to the FIC, which analyzes proposals on a case-by-case basis, according to official reports. Prior to the FIC's establishment under the 1973 law, foreign investors were free to begin their negotiations at 100-percent ownership; subsequently, investors have usually started from a 49-percent equity posi- tion. In addition, acquisition of more than 25 percent of capital or 49 percent of fixed assets in an existing Mexican company requires written FIC authorization under the law. Present Attitudes. Mexico under President Miguel de la Madrid has attempted to be more receptive to foreign investment than have recent administrations, but the US Embassy reports de la Madrid believes he cannot change the rules for foreign investment and that, if he tried, his administration would become "illegitimate." de la Madrid and other prominent Mexicans who generally favor foreign investment, such as former Finance Minister Silva Herzog and Bank of Mexico Director Mancera, are from Mexico's technical elite and not well established within the party structure. These bureaucrats have held few elected positions and, as a result, have had fewer opportunities to become ingrained in the Institutional Revolutionary Party's (PRI) patronage system. The PRI dominates Mexican political life, and the party line toward foreign investment is much harsher than de la Madrid's. The party line was expressed at the party's 12th national assembly in 1984 by PRI President Adolfo Lugo Verduzco, who stated that foreign investment, far from strengthening the econo- my, constitutes a permanent drain on foreign ex- change. Furthermore, Lugo said that other nations intervene in the Mexican economy through direct foreign investment, and therefore, one of the PRI's main economic objectives is to fight for its regulation and restriction Secret The financial crisis has intensified these divisions in Mexican attitudes toward foreign investment, espe- cially since credit is increasingly difficult to obtain. Press reports indicate that a relatively small group of progressive bureaucrats and businessmen are working toward opening the economy by underscoring the need for inflows of foreign capital and technology to restart the economy. At the same time, the status quo has broad popular support. resistance to foreign investment comes from highly protected industrialists who do not want to compete with multinational corporations (MNCs), from labor leaders who prefer to negotiate with Mexican businessmen, and from the political left, which blames foreign capital for many of Mexico's social problems. Flexible Interpretation of the 1973 Law. De la Ma- drid's administration has taken a number of actions in an attempt to attract more foreign investment. In February 1984, the FIC published a press release citing selected high-priority industries with the possi- bility of 100-percent foreign ownership (appendix D lists these industries). In August 1984, the govern- ment published another set of changes designed to speed up the processing of foreign investment applica- tions and to remove some of the administrative re- quirements placed on foreign investors. The Under Secretary for Foreign Investment, Adolfo Hegewisch, is generally credited with having pushed through these new guidelines. The government claims the guidelines represent a concrete example of how it plans to flexibly apply existing restrictions on foreign investment. /according to the US Embassy, Secre- tary of Commerce and Industrial Development, Hec- tor Hernandez, told representatives from nine Mexi- can political parties in March 1986 that Mexico will not modify its existing laws on foreign investment and will not indiscriminately accept foreign investment. 2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 De la Madrid Decrees Sectorial Regulations Moves to liberally interpret the 1973 law run counter to the tight controls that the de la Madrid administra- tion has placed on foreign investment in key indus- tries. It introduced an automotive decree in Septem- ber 1983 and a pharmaceutical decree in February 1984, which greatly increase government regulation over sectors where foreign investment has been highly concentrated. The Under Secretary for Industrial Planning, de Maria y Campos, is generally credited with having pushed the automotive and pharmaceuti- cal decrees through the bureaucracy. The two decrees are similar to the personal computer decree imple- mented under the Lopez Portillo administration in 1981 The Personal Computer Decree. This decree limits foreign ownership in personal computer firms to 49 percent. The decree requires that the use of locally made parts increase from at least 35 to 50 percent in the first four years of operation. Manufacturers must export 25 percent of the total value of imports in the first year of operation and 70 percent of imports in the fourth year. A minimum expenditure is required for personal computer research and development in Mexi- co. The decree requires that a price ceiling be set not higher than 50 percent above the US price for comparable equipment produced in Mexico. About 30 companies are approved to assemble person- al computers in Mexico. Most are small and extreme- ly undercapitalized Mexican operations with few em- ployees, using what press reports call screwdriver technology merely to assemble imported components. In 1984, Apple Computer Inc. and Hewlett-Packard entered the Mexican market in compliance with the decree. According to press reports, the Mexican Gov- ernment had offered Apple 100-percent ownership, but Apple declined. With a joint venture, Apple sought to share risks and gain an edge in selling to state-run companies because Mexico gives preference to domestic companies over wholly owned foreign subsidiaries. Despite protests from existing Mexican producers, including Apple de Mexico and Hewlett-Packard, the FIC announced in July 1985 that it had approved a revised proposal by International Business Machines 3 Secret (IBM) for a wholly foreign-owned personal computer plant in the El Salto industrial zone near Guadalaja- ra. IBM claimed special treatment was justified be- cause of the scale of its proposed manufacturing plant and its projected export earnings. The FIC disagreed until IBM presented some dramatic concessions in its revised proposal, including: ? An increase in capital investment from less than $7 million to more than $90 million over the next five years. ? A change in estimated local content from a maxi- mum of 50 percent to 70 percent within three years. ? A promise that the technology gap between what is produced in Mexico and abroad by IBM would be no more than six months. ? A concession that the price differential for the Mexican products would be no more than 15 per- cent above comparable US goods. The Automotive Decree. This was designed to improve the efficiency of the industry, promote research and development, generate employment, standardize com- ponents, and help strengthen Mexico's balance of payments. The decree reduced the number of car lines and models each assembler can produce; however, additional car lines can be earned through the export of components and vehicles. The average local-content requirement for each assembler increases to 60 per- cent for cars and 70 percent for light trucks by the 1987 model year. Even higher levels of domestic content are required for other classes of motor vehi- cles. Assemblers must balance foreign exchange transactions on a model year basis, and no more than 20 percent of foreign exchange earnings may be generated by in-bond industries. The decree reserves the medium-sized truck market for majority- Mexican-owned companies and provides for the con- tinuance of price controls. This last provision has effectively frozen Chrysler Corporation?Mexico's largest medium-sized truck producer?out of the domestic market. Although Chrysler attempted to comply with the decree by linking up with a Mexican partner, the government rejected the proposed joint venture. According to Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-7 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23 : CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Secret press accounts, Chrysler's proposal was received after the Mexican Government had approved joint ventures involving General Motors (GM) and Daimler-Benz. Government planners announced that two truck builders were preferable to three because fewer firms would allow the industry to achieve greater economies of scale. In a related example, US Embassy reporting indicates Ford Motor Company was so upset by certain sections of the automotive decree that it threatened to post- pone indefinitely construction of its new $500 million assembly plant in Hermosillo unless the government revised them. Since the Hermosillo project is the largest foreign investment announced since de la Madrid took office, a postponement would have been a real blow to Mexico's already fragile investment climate. While the FIC gave Ford's plan preliminary approval in 1984, company officers claim that they were not granted 100-percent ownership because of any flexibility in the 1973 Law's application. Ford officials stated the plant simply would not have been built if the Mexican Government had limited their ownership rights to 49 percent. The Pharmaceutical Decree. This was announced in February 1984 but was not effective until April 1985, when amended regulations were published. The de- cree seeks to increase the participation of Mexican- owned firms in this sector and to conserve foreign exchange by reducing Mexico's dependence on im- ported pharmaceuticals. The decree institutes require- ments for local content, export performance, and domestic research and development. In addition, the regulations require retail generic sales, uniform label- ing and packaging, import substitution of active ingre- dients, and price equalization of equivalent drugs. It also calls for an expanded role of the government in the licensing, production planning, sourcing, pricing, and marketing of retail drugs. The decree was given a hostile reception from 16 drug companies that sought injunctions against the decree in Mexican courts. Eventually, a subsidiary of Up- john?a US-based multinational corporation?won a ruling in the courts that declared the decree unconsti- tutional. Other US-based pharmaceutical manufac- turers enlisted the backing of the US Government, Secret which linked the issue to the signing of a bilateral trade agreement benefiting Mexican exporters. Under this combined assault, Mexico decided to soften the impact of these strictures. The April 1985 version of the decree guarantees that firms developing new medicines will retain exclusive marketing and produc- tion rights and that newly developed products will be exempt from generic labeling requirements for 10 years as opposed to three years as originally stipulat- ed. Secretary Hernandez insisted that the revisions in no way affected the essence of the original decree. All three decrees focus on areas where foreign inves- tors are major players. In the computer arena, IBM will immediately dominate the field with projected output 10 times greater than its nearest competitor. Mexico's five largest automotive producers?GM, Chrysler, Ford, Volkswagen, and Nissan?are all foreign owned. While only 75 of the approximately 310 pharmaceutical laboratories in Mexico are for- eign owned, they account for an estimated 75 percent of pharmaceutical sales in Mexico. Reports have been circulating for some time that the Mexican Government is preparing new sectoral de- crees for the electronics and food-processing industry. If implemented, these decrees almost certainly would impinge on the operations of large foreign investments made by General Electric, Westinghouse, Interna- tional Telephone & Telegraph, and Ericsson in the electronics industry, and on Nestle, General Foods, Anderson Clayton, and Carnation in the food- processing industry. Institutionalized Stumblingblocks Beyond the laws and decrees that specifically dis- criminate against foreign investors, several other ma- jor impediments affect all private-sector investment. 4 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 npdassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 25X1 25X1 ? Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Secret These include subsidized government enterprises, the credit crisis, price controls, discriminatory incentives, accelerated taxation, import restrictions, and frustrat- ing labor legislation. The Pervasive State. A major problem facing poten- tial foreign investors is the presence of state-supported competition in almost every industry. According to the Secretariat for Budget and Planning, the state's share of GDP was about 25 percent in 1983. The public's share of accumulated gross fixed investment, however, has been estimated to be over 50 percent in some press reports. According to US Embassy reporting, the Mexican Government owned 820 companies at the end of 1985. The state has virtual or absolute monopolies in bank- ing, petroleum and other hydrocarbons, basic petro- chemicals, radioactive materials and nuclear energy, electricity, certain mining areas, railroads, and tele- graph and wireless communications. The state also operates companies that produce a wide array of products, including food, steel, machinery, automo- biles, chemicals, appliances, railroad cars, and ciga- rette tobacco. The number of state-owned firms has grown substantially in recent years because Nafinsa?a government-owned development bank? or other government organizations have taken over ailing private companies to save jobs. Competition from state-owned enterprises can be intense and often unfair because of heavy subsidies. For example, the 10 largest state-owned companies, excluding Pemex, received 51 percent of their total revenues from federal transfers and external borrow- ing in 1985, according to US Embassy reports. The Embassy further indicated that Mexico planned to transfer 13 percent of the total proposed budget to state-owned companies in 1986. Although the Mexican Government announced anoth- er program to reduce the number of state-owned enterprises in June 1986, several factors diminish the likelihood of its success. According to US Embas- sy reporting, the companies provide government offi- cials with opportunities to siphon off money, to pro- vide sinecures for friends and cronies, and to gain 5 patronage through public employment, which is esti- mated to be 750,000. Press reports indicate many state-owned companies are industrial derelicts that would be unattractive to private investors, even if the government were making a serious attempt to sell them. In May 1986, Mexico City announced the closing of a large state-run steel mill in Monterrey, which was estimated directly and indirectly to have resulted in the loss of 30,000 jobs. Some Mexicans assessed the closure as a token act for the benefit of Mexico's international creditors, and others believe the increase in unemployment resulting from addi- tional closures is politically unacceptable, according to US Embassy reporting. The Credit Crisis. The growing difficulty in obtaining local financing has further deterred potential inves- tors. To finance current deficits and, more important, to service existing debt, the government has increas- ingly monopolized credit. Because banks are national- ized, the government can easily restrict private-sector access to credit by changing the loan portfolio re- quirements of the banks. Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127RoninnnRannryz_-, 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Secret Defusing Mexico's Debt Crisis With Foreign Investment Billion 1985 US L Net external borrowing ME Net foreign investment 30 25 20 15 10 _ . 11 ? L. FL. 0 197^ 5^ 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 We believe foreign direct investment is largely com- plementary to bank lending and should not be seen as a substitute for it. In our opinion, the decline in foreign direct investment is, in many ways, related to Mexico's debt servicing problems. For example, the Mexican Government has implemented price con- trols, restricted imports, accelerated taxation, and monopolized access to domestic credit in response to its current debt problems. All of these measures have also acted to discourage potential foreign investors. Our analysis indicates a significant rise in foreign investment requires that there first be an improve- ment in the debt situation and in growth prospects for Mexico. Although we believe a substantial increase in foreign investment would contribute to Mexico's structural adjustment, development, and capacity to repay debt over the long run, it seems equally clear that foreign direct investment itself cannot solve the debt crisis. Even if Mexico were now able to attract as much foreign investment as it did in 1982?its peak year?the inflow would represent less than 25 percent of the outflow in interest due on the external debt in 1986. 310319 9-86 Secret Exacerbating an already difficult credit situation was the announcement in March 1986 by Pemex and several other state-owned industries of a temporary suspension in payments to their suppliers. Pemex is the largest consumer of goods and services in Mexico, and its decision to delay payments is expected to impact over 3,500 companies. There is speculation that many small- and medium-sized companies might be forced into bankruptcy. Additional credit problems stem from recent changes in Mexican banking regulations reducing the amount of foreign exchange individual banks are allowed to retain, which is aggravating the difficulties of con- ducting international business transactions. Many MNCs are reluctant to increase their foreign ex- change exposure by borrowing outside Mexico. Press reports state most managers believe that, by sticking to local borrowing and paying dollar liabilities as soon as possible, they are doing about as much as they can to limit foreign exchange losses if there is an accelera- tion in the peso's rate of devaluation. Discouraging Price Controls. Price controls have undermined market forces and limited profitable in- vestment opportunities on a broad range of goods. A presidential decree in December 1982 revamped the price control system and institutionalized the three- tiered price control regime in use today. The levels are as follows: products for which prices are frozen, products for which companies may petition for price hikes, and products subject to price registration (appendix E gives a detailed breakdown of each group). The Secretariat of Commerce and Industrial Development (Secofi) takes a tough stance against violators. Some 6,000 wholesale and retail outlets were temporarily closed in 1984; fines totaling 1.1 billion pesos were levied; and, for the first time, wholesalers who intentionally kept basic foodstuffs from the market were imprisoned. Producers reached an agreement with the Secofi in early January 1986 that will permit goods formerly requiring petitioned increases to rise by 80 percent of the previous month's inflation rate, according to US 6 nariaccifipn in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X' 25X' Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Embassy reporting. Any increase above the 80- percent level will require a justification and an exami- nation of the company's accounts. Press reports, how- ever, indicate that firms operating in socially sensitive areas, such as basic foods and pharmaceuticals, will continue to be hard hit by rigid price controls. Price controls discourage production and investment in almost every industry. In the automobile industry, GM reports that its suppliers are allowed to raise prices at the inflation rate, whereas the government restricts GM's increases to less than the inflation rate. In the food processing industry, the US Embassy reports that in response to price controls?the con- trolled price for a liter of milk was 28 cents while the free market price was 74 cents at the end of 1985? milk producers in the State of Jalisco have ceased production and have begun to sell their livestock for meat. A spokesman for the pharmaceutical industry claims that from December 1984 to December 1985 the government authorized a 44- to 52-percent price rise, yet operating costs jumped 82 percent. In many cases, companies suspended production of unprofit- able items until price relief was granted. Discriminatory Incentives. Where special incentives put foreign-owned operations at a competitive disad- vantage with Mexican firms, they discourage foreign investment. While a few majority-foreign-owned firms have been able to negotiate for some incentives, special incentives are generally reserved for majority- Mexican-owned companies. The government offers a broad range of generous incentives that include tax credits, preferential financing, and import duty ex- emptions. The Mexican Government granted about $143 million worth of tax credits (Ceprofi) to Mexican firms in 1984. The value of Ceprofi ranges from 10 to 30 percent of federal corporate taxes, depending on the location of the investment, the type of industry, the number of jobs created, the purchase of equipment and machinery made in Mexico, and the size of the company?with small companies being favored. Ceprofi are valid for five years and may be used for payment of most federal taxes. 7 Secret The government also offers qualified Mexican compa- nies reduced income tax rates in mining, agriculture, fishing, construction, and book publishing. State- owned banks provide funds to: ? Companies in priority development areas and indus- tries to capitalize small- and medium-sized compa- nies by purchasing shares of stock. ? Subsidize loans for export and preexport. ? Subsidize Mexican manufacturers whose products replace imports. ? Export industries at subsidized interest rates for equipment purchases. Companies establishing or expanding operations in certain priority zones of the country can qualify for subsidized petroleum products, natural gas, or elec- tricity. Accelerated Taxation. Much to the dismay of poten- tial investors, the Mexican Government is seeking to generate more revenue to finance its debts by increas- ing the taxes paid by private business. President de la Madrid's administration proposed a new tax package in April 1986 that would mean greatly accelerated tax payments, selective rate hikes, and elimination of some incentives. In particular: ? Advance income tax payments would occur monthly instead of every four months, which is an important change in a high-inflation economy. ? The deadline for paying value-added taxes would be moved up from the 20th to the 10th of the month following a transaction, penalizing those who sell on credit, since the tax is charged from the time of billing. ? The schedules for other tax payments would be stepped up as well. ? The maximum fine for late tax payment would increase from 300 to 500 percent of the total amount due. Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Secret ? Benefits derived from tax credits would be added to taxable income, cutting the value of the credit by more than half and increasing obligatory profit- sharing contributions paid by employers. ? Mandatory social security taxes paid by companies would be raised from 9.4 to 11 percent, while contributions paid by the government would be reduced by the same spread. The proposed bill would also repeal Article 8 of the Mexican Foreign Trade Bank's regulations?allowing 5-percent import financing for capital goods?in an effort to stimulate greater local production. The tax laws already have been changed once this year. Changes enacted in January severely restrict the opportunities of small businesses that had been re- ferred to as minor taxpayers. Another part of this revision increases tax revenues by requiring businesses to adjust all income to show the effects of inflation and exchange rates. these changes have caused large numbers of former taxpay- ers to take the risk of dropping off the taxpaying rolls. Tax specialists estimate that 70 percent of the taxpay- ing population evades taxes to some degree. income tax payments, both corporate and personal, make up about one-fourth of total government income, and 90 percent of the income tax contributions are paid by 10 percent of the contributors, primarily MNCs. Restricted Imports. Import barriers force many Mexi- can producers to use overpriced and low-quality do- mestic inputs. This discourages foreign investments that require low-cost inputs to compete in the interna- tional marketplace. A major tenet of Mexico's eco- nomic strategy has been import substitution, and, as a result, Mexico has instituted high tariffs. In many cases, Mexico calculates tariff duties based on "offi- cial value" rather than customs value. According to the US Embassy, the "official value" is not related to the product's actual value; rather it reflects the Mexican Government's determination of what consti- tutes a fair value and appropriate production cost. Secret In July 1985 the Mexican Government began liberal- izing its import regime, removing most licensing requirements, and reducing tariffs on a wide array of products. Despite this liberalization, Mexico contin- ues to control about 900 items through permit re- quirements, and very high tariffs generally have replaced the import permits on other goods. Where import licensing remains, applications are reviewed on a case-by-case basis and permits are not granted if acceptable substitutes are manufactured locally or if the reviewing officials do not deem the import accept- able. Furthermore, Mexican officials have suggested that import restrictions in the agricultural and certain industrial sectors?steel, automotive, petrochemical? might need to be retained permanently. Recent measures to liberalize import restrictions have been undertaken by Mexico largely to accelerate its admission as a contracting member to the GATT, which was effective in August 1986. one of Mexico's main objec- tives in joining the GATT is to gain most-favored- nation (MFN) trading concessions from the other participant nations. While many Mexican exporters will immediately benefit from MFN status, Mexico City will have until 1994 to reach full compliance with GATT regulations. Because most companies entered Mexico under a protectionist system focused on developing domestic industries without regard to international competitiveness, we expect Mexican and foreign-owned companies will petition the Mexican Government to delay implementation throughout the eight-year transition period. Frustrating Labor Legislation. In our judgment, Mexican labor laws also discourage foreign investors. Large severance benefits have saddled many firms with incompetent and superfluous workers, making foreign investment in Mexico less profitable. The Federal Labor Act of 1970 stipulates that, unless they are dismissed for incompetence or other justifiable causes, laid-off employees are entitled to three months' pay and 20 days' additional pay for each year of service. Workers employed over 12 years are eligible for even greater compensation. If an employee 8 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Secret decides to appeal a dismissal, the employee must be paid from the last day of work until the Mexican courts reach a final decision. The Labor Act establishes several other onerous regulations, which annoy private-sector investors. The Act generally requires that 90 percent of a firm's skilled and unskilled workers be Mexican nationals, that companies with more than 100 employees main- tain a fully equipped infirmary, and that firms with more than 300 employees establish hospital facilities. Although Mexican labor costs are low by internation- al standards, additional payments cut into profit margins: ? Employers are obliged to pay their employees 125 percent of normal pay during vacation periods. ? A Christmas bonus of 15 days' pay is also obligatory and must be paid before 20 December. ? Companies must also contribute to employee profit sharing, the social security system, and the national workers' housing institute. Despite these considerations, most firms still find Mexican labor plentiful and relatively cheap. The serious shortage of skilled labor and management personnel is of greater concern to most companies than is the approximately 60-percent increase in base payrolls caused by fringe benefits. Employee absen- teeism and turnover are also serious problems, which disrupt production and raise training costs. Ways To Gain Majority Control Although a combination of foreign investment laws, sectoral decrees, and institutionalized stumbling- blocks create a foreign investment climate that is less than hospitable, some intrepid investors continue to submit new proposals for Mexican operations. Few proposals gain immediate approval from the FIC for both 100-percent foreign ownership and access to the domestic market. Foreign businessmen, however, who are determined to maintain control over their invest- ments are finding ways. Beyond conventional approv- al by the FIC, three other methods for obtaining majority ownership are becoming increasingly com- mon: investing in maquiladoras, buying out Mexican partners, and Section 511 swaps. 9 The Maquiladora Program. Maquiladoras?also known as in-bond plants?represent 51 of the 70 cases where foreigners gained majority ownership in 1984. The government created the maquiladora program in 1966 to boost employment along the US-Mexican border, but the program did not become popular until the 1980s. Enthusiasm for the maquiladora program stems from internationally competitive labor costs, which are primarily the result of the peso's dramatic devaluation. According to press reports, direct labor savings per employee in the maquiladoras total $15,000 to $20,000 annually over US labor, and, as a result, 52 percent of the total value added in maquila- doras is directly attributable to labor. Besides relatively low-cost Mexican labor, a number of special exemptions are given to maquiladora investors: ? Maquiladoras are not required to have 51-percent Mexican ownership as stipulated in the 1973 Law. ? Capital equipment, components, and raw materials for the operation are allowed duty-free entrance. ? Foreign management and technical personnel may be issued unlimited business visas. Most maquiladoras utilize the US tariff schedule, which stipulates in items 806.3 and 807 that US- made components assembled abroad will be subject to US duty only on the value added, upon reentry. Maquiladoras are typically required to export all of their output. According to press reports, less than 4 percent of all maquiladoras have won government permission to sell some of their product in the domes- tic market. As Mexican corporations, maquiladoras are also subject to all corporate taxes and labor laws. Although the value-added tax applies, it is paid at a lower rate and is refundable. Detailed operation re- ports must be submitted to the Bank of Mexico each month. A deposit equal to one month's operating expenses must be placed with a Mexican bank. Ma- quiladoras must also post bonds equal to 40 percent of the value of components and raw materials and 60 percent of capital equipment. Buying Out Mexican Partners. Although the export- oriented maquiladoras represent the bulk of new majority-foreign-owned companies, some foreigners Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Secret Table 1 Selected LDC Debtors: Summary of Foreign Investment Regulations Country a Entry Ownership Remittances Argentina (2.1) Prior approval by the National Ex- ecutive is required for, inter alia, investments in most public utilities, communications, energy, and in fi- nancial and insurance institutions; as well as for all investments ex- ceeding $20 million. Prior approval by the National Ex- ecutive is required for investments that involve changing the national ownership structure of a local firm with net assets exceeding $10 mil- lion. No prior approval is required for new investments that do not exceed 30 percent of the registered capital of the receiving firm. Annual aftertax profits on registered foreign capital are subject to an addi- tional, progressive tax when they ex- ceed 12 percent of registered capital. In times of severe foreign exchange constraints, profit transfers can be sus- pended and foreign investors will re- ceive the equivalent sum in external public debt securities. Registered foreign investments may be repatriated after three years, unlesss a longer period was fixed when the in- vestment was approved. Brazil (2.3) Foreign investment in certain sec- tors (for example, mining and com- puters) is restricted. Inward transfers are generally un- restricted but, together with any reinvested profits, must be regis- tered to assure repatriation of capi- tal and profits. Oil exploration is controlled by the state petroleum monopoly. Prior approval is required and some sectors require majority local own- ership. No limit on dividend remittances, but net remittances above 12 percent of total registered capital are subject to supplementary taxes of 40 to 60 per- cent. Profit remittances are subject to a 25-percent withholding tax. Remit- tances of royalties by a branch or subsidiary to its head office are not allowed when 50 percent or more of the local firm's voting capital is held by its foreign parent company. Capital repatriation is subject to a capital gains tax. In all cases, the government reserves the right to suspend remittances and repatriation. Korea (0.2) A list of activities and projects closed to foreign investment is maintained by the Ministry of Fi- nance; however, 80 percent of all industries are open to foreign in- vestment. Prior approval is required for all investments, unless foreign owner- ship is less than 50 percent and the capital invested is less than $1 mil- lion. No legal restrictions, according to US Embassy. Mexico (2.2) New foreign direct investment in Mexican banking, insurance com- panies, and investment funds is prohibited. Certain sectors (includ- ing radio and television, public transportation, and forestry) are re- served exclusively for Mexicans. Other sectors (including petroleum, basic petrochemicals, electricity and nuclear energy, railroads, and telecommunications) are reserved for government investment. All for- eign direct investment must be reg- istered. Foreign acquisition of more than 25 percent of the capital of a Mexi- can company requires prior autho- rization by the National Foreign Investment Commission. All new investments must have a majority participation of Mexican capital, except for cases specifically ap- proved by the Foreign Investment Commission. Profits and dividends are freely remit- table, subject to foreign exchange availability, and provided a company is registered, meets legal reserve require- ments, and meets tax obligations. Secret 10 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Secret Table I (continued) Country a Entry Ownership Remittances Philippines (0.8) All investment is subject to the prior approval of the Central Bank. Preference is given to projects ap- proved by the Board of Investments (BOI), to export-oriented indus- tries, and to other industries not utilizing domestic credit resources. New enterprises where investment by non-Filipinos exceeds 30 per- cent, and that are not covered by the Investment Incentives Act, re- quire prior approval by the BOI. If purchases of shares by foreign na- tionals would reduce Philippine ownership in a firm to less than 70 percent, permission from BOI is required. There are different ar- rangements for "pioneer" and "preferred" investments. Normal- ly, enterprises owned or controlled by foreigners are allowed only in "pioneer areas of investment," and at least 60 percent of outstanding voting capital stock of enterprises in "preferred areas of investment" must be owned by the Filipinos. Profit remittances are permitted in full, provided they are not financed from domestic borrowing. Full repatri- ation is guaranteed by law for cash investments made after March 1973 in export-oriented industries and for en- terprises approved by the BOI. Noncash investments and cash invest- ments made before March 1973 can be repatriated in a number of annual in- stallments, according to the category of the investment and its net foreign exchange earnings. a Indicates net foreign direct investment expressed as a percentage of gross fixed investment for 1976-85. Source: Chase Econometrics and the International Monetary Fund. have been able to increase their participation in companies where they formerly held minority control by getting government authorization to buy out their Mexican partners. Ithe government approved a plan in July 1985 for a foreign electronics firm to buy out its Mexican partner. The company had been under increasing pressure from the government to increase exports, but the Mexican partner had been unable to provide any capital for improvements or expansion. In fact, the Mexican partner originally borrowed from the foreign firm to purchase 51 percent of the company's stock. Because the Mexican partner had very little equity and was limiting the company's export potential, the government allowed the foreign firm to assume full ownership. 11 Officials also approved the reorganization of a Mexi- can chemical company to 85-percent foreign equity and control. The foreign partner agreed to buy out the Mexican investors because they were unwilling to infuse additional capital to modernize the plant/ the foreign company had concluded similar nego- tiations for 100-percent ownership and control of two other chemical plants earlier in 1985. I Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Secret Section 511 Swaps. Debt-equity swaps also represent a new method for obtaining majority foreign owner- ship in Mexican companies. The Mexican Secretariat of Finance (SHCP) is reviewing an increasing number of proposals from foreign banks and investors interest- ed in converting discounted Mexican foreign-held debt into foreign investment in Mexico. According to US Embassy reporting, the Mexican Government is developing a system to expedite these transactions, which are often referred to as Section 511 swaps because that part of the debt restructuring agreement provides their authorization. According to the US Embassy, one very recent exam- ple of a Section 511 swap was completed by the US chemical company, Rohm and Haas. The company negotiated the purchase of a Matamoras plastics manufacturing company for $1.5 million. Rohm and Haas purchased $1.5 million of Mexico's public- sector debt for 65 cents on the dollar from a commer- cial bank. In turn, they sold the debt to the Mexican Government, at the controlled rate, for 100 cents on the dollar to obtain pesos. The plastics company ended up costing Rohm and Haas about $1 million plus fees. the SHCP already approved three other investment projects uti- lizing discounted Mexican public-sector debt: a $40 million investment by Nissan of Japan, a $17 million investment by Club Med of France, and a $5 million investment by a US consumer products company already in Mexico. Another project reported to be nearing approval involves Dina-Komatsu, a joint ven- ture between a state-owned company and a Japanese firm. Approval would convert the venture to Japanese equity control. Even though investors have redeemed Mexican debt obligations for less than 100 cents on the dollar, swaps have generally worked well so far. Nevertheless, they could result in two very serious problems. First, if Secret Mexico prints pesos to give investors, inflation would accelerate. Second, if a big market develops with commercial banks selling discounted debt to foreign investors, foreign bank regulators may force the banks to write down the value of their remaining Mexican loans. Impact on Foreign Investment While some foreign investors are finding ways to gain majority control over their assets, the influence of foreign investment in the Mexican economy remains limited. Fidel Velazquez?head of the powerful Mexi- can Confederation of Workers?asserts that Mexico would lose its character as an independent and sover- eign nation if the foreign investment laws were changed, but Under Secretary Hegewisch stated that foreign investment represents only 2.5 percent of total investment in Mexico, or about 4.5 percent of total private-sector investment. net foreign direct investments have averaged only 2.2 percent of annual gross fixed investments during the last decade (see table 1). Even at its peak in 1982, foreign investment represented only 4.7 percent of total investment (see figure 1). /total authorized foreign direct investment in 1985 amounted to a single-year record of $1.8 billion. These statistics are compiled by the Directorate General of Foreign Investment and are the numbers most frequently quoted by Mexican officials. The number is based on the total value of projects approved by the FIC plus new foreign invest- ment that is entered in the National Registry for foreign investment without the need for approval. The statistics do not reflect current actual investment because the authorized projects may occur over a period of years, or they may never materialize. The actual capital flow resulting from foreign investment is calculated by the Bank of Mexico. The two mea- sures are quite different concepts. In fact, the flow as measured by the Bank of Mexico has been declining as a percentage of authorized investment as measured by the Directorate General in each of the last three years. The flow represented 67.1 percent of autho- rized foreign investment in 1983, 27.1 percent in 1984, and 26.5 percent in 1985. 12 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Secret Figure 1 Table 2 Mexican Investment by Type, 1975-85 Cumulative Number Foreign Capital Billion 1985 USS of Mexican Firms With Participation, 1981-85 1.11 Net foreign OM Domestic private Total Foreign Participation Number Public Up to Above of 49 Percent 49 Percent 80 Firms Number Share of of Number Share of of 70 Firms Total Firms a Total a 1981 5,731 3,081 53.8 2,650 46.2 60 1982 6,129 3,451 56.3 2,678 43.7 1983 6,390 3,680 57.6 2,710 42.4 50 1984 6,684 3,904 58.4 2,780 41.6 1985 6,964 4,114 59.1 2,850 40.9 0 1975 80 a Includes new maquiladores (in-bond plants), which typically are restricted from selling to the domestic market. Source: Directorate General of Foreign Investments. Embassy estimates that 68 percent of the maquila- 85 doras are either wholly or majority US owned. There are also Japanese, British, Hong Kong, South Korean, Finnish, Spanish, French, Dutch, and Mexican ma- quiladoras. 310620 986 Majority Ownership. Despite Mexico's announced receptiveness to 100-percent foreign ownership in specified sectors, the percentage of majority-foreign- owned companies has declined relative to the number of firms with foreign participation throughout the 1980s. The absolute number of majority-foreign- owned companies, however, increased by 70 per year in 1984 and 1985. Most of the increase was due to new maquiladoras or existing operations where for- eign participation increased from a minority to a majority position (see table 2). Maquiladoras accounted for more than 70 percent of new firms with majority foreign ownership in 1984. there are 800 maquiladora plants, representing more than one- fourth of all majority-foreign-owned firms. The US 13 The Investor Countries. Despite a stated policy of the Mexican Government to achieve a greater balance among foreign investment sources, the United States accounts for more than two-thirds of cumulative authorized foreign direct investment, according to US Embassy reporting. For 1985 the US share of total authorized foreign direct investment jumped to 83.5 percent. Although less than one-third of cumulative authorizations for direct investment has gone to West- ern Europe and Japan, Mexico has particularly tar- geted these areas to provide greater diversification in its sources of foreign investment (see figure 2). Where more complete data are available, as in 1984, it is interesting to note that Mexico rejected more than 60 percent of the combined value of new direct investment proposed by West Germany and Japan Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Secret Figure 2 Cumulative Authorized Foreign Investment in Mexico, 1975-85 Percent Others 9.5 Spain 1.1 France 2.1 Japan 2.1 Switzerland 4.2 United Kingdom 5.3 West Germany 6.3 United States France 0.9 United Kingdom 2.8 Spain 2.8 Switzerland 5.5 Japan 5.5 West Germany 8.3 1975=$9.42 1980=$11.0a Others 4.6 United States Others 5.9 France 1.7 Spain 2.6 United Kingdom 2.9 Switzerland 4.6 Japan 6.0 West Germany 8.1 1985 =$14.72 United States 'Billion 1985 US S. 3103219-86 Secret (see table 3 Hotels and maquiladoras that are subsidiaries of foreign companies are paid for their services by the foreign company, which generally collects receivables and retains profits outside Mexico. In most cases, direct foreign investment in 1985 came from the same countries that have traditionally invest- ed in Mexico. The largest non-US authorizations in 1985 came from West Germany, with 4 percent; Japan, with 3.9 percent; and Switzerland, with 1.8 percent. According to the US Embassy, the most important West German investments in Mexico be- long to Volkswagen, Hoechst, Bayer, BASF, and Siemens. The principal Japanese investors are Nissan and Komatsu. Leading Swiss investors are Nestle, Ciba-Geigy, and Sandoz. Other noteworthy invest- ments are by ICI of the United Kingdom, Renault of France, Ericcson and SKF of Sweden, Olivetti of Italy, and Aurrera of Spain. Over two-thirds of all investments made by non-US sources in Mexico during 1984 resulted from foreign- ers increasing their capital stock in existing firms, according to US Embassy reporting. Although this increase resulted in higher total investment, it does not necessarily reflect increased optimism by foreign- ers doing business in Mexico. With foreign exchange difficult to obtain, companies may have decided to place earnings, which might have otherwise been repatriated, back into their operations. The alterna- tives include depositing the funds in Mexico's nation- alized banking system at what have often been nega- tive real interest rates. Industrial Composition. Manufacturing industries have accumulated about 78 percent of all foreign investment in Mexico and 95 percent of all investment 14 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Secret Table 3 Proposals and Approvals for New Direct Foreign Investment in Mexico, 1984 Million US $ Proposed Approved Approved as a Share of Proposed Amount (percent) Denied Pending Total 1,185.8 913.1 77.0 79.0 193.7 United States 971.2 747.3 76.9 35.8 188.2 Liechtenstein 31.3 31.3 100.0 0 0 West Germany 30.8 10.6 34.4 20.2 0 Canada 25.0 17.8 71.2 7.0 0.1 United Kingdom 23.7 23.7 100.0 0 0 Sweden 22.7 22.2 97.6 0 0.5 The Netherlands and Belgium 17.2 11.7 67.9 4.0 1.6 Switzerland 17.0 16.9 99.5 0.1 Panama 16.0 13.7 86.0 2.2 Japan 7.9 4.3 54.2 3.6 Spain 6.0 5.6 93.1 0.4 France 5.7 4.2 73.7 0 1.5 Denmark 4.6 0.5 10.3 4.1 0 Others 6.6 3.3 50.7 1.5 1.8 Note: Approved investment does not represent the actual inflow of foreign direct investment during a year. The flow as reported by the Bank of Mexico was only $391 million in 1984. Proposed may not equal the sum of approved, denied, and pending due to rounding. Source: National Commission for Foreign Investment. authorized in 1984, according to US Embassy report- ing. A more detailed breakdown shows that the areas of greatest investment are also the areas regulated by the automotive, pharmaceutical, and personal com- puter decree. Foreign participation is particularly important in the following segments of Mexican manufacturing: all aspects of ground transportation equipment and components; mainframe and personal computers; chemicals; pharmaceuticals; office equip- ment; soups, sauces, bottled foods, and vegetable freezing within food processing; electrical assemblies and equipment; household appliances; cement; and aluminum (see table 4). 15 The service industries represent the second-highest area of accumulated foreign investment in Mexico, with about 12 percent of the total. Within the service industries, foreign investment is highly concentrated in the lodging and technical consulting fields. The commercial sector represents about 8 percent of cu- mulative foreign investments. Mining industries still maintain almost 2 percent of total foreign investment even though discriminatory tax methods have been used by the Mexican Government to remove foreign influence. In agricultural industries, foreign invest- ment is very small because of deep-seated and wide- spread lack of confidence in land tenure, according to the US Embassy. Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Secret Table 4 Mexican Approvals for New Direct Foreign Investment by Economic Activity, 1984 Million US $ Activity Approved Subtotals Share of Total (percent) Approved Share of Totals Total (percent) Total Manufacturing 913.1 100.0 867.6 95.0 Transport 617.0 67.6 equipment Electric 76.5 8.4 products Machinery 56.7 6.2 and equip- ment Chemical 29.6 3.2 Food 29.3 3.2 processing Other 58.5 6.4 Service 42.6 4.7 Commerce 2.3 0.2 Agriculture Mining 0.7 0.1 0 0 Note: Approved investment does not represent the actual inflow of foreign direct investment during a year. The flow as reported by the Bank of Mexico was only $391 million in 1984. Source: Directorate General of Foreign Investments. Geographical Dispersion. Nearly 80 percent of all foreign direct investment is located in the Federal District and the surrounding State of Mexico, accord- ing to US Embassy reporting (see figure 3). The concentration of both domestic and foreign firms around the capital city is of major concern for the Mexican Government. Although business is attracted by the highly developed infrastructure and the prox- imity to the federal government in Mexico City, a population of about 18 million is straining social services, and pollution from the concentration of industry and vehicles is creating a health hazard. The relocation of businesses and government offices is an announced government policy. The government is offering large tax incentives, mostly to majority- Mexican-owned firms, to relocate. Majority-foreign- owned firms in Mexico City's metropolitan area, on Secret the other hand, are finding their operations increas- ingly restricted by the FIC's refusal to grant expan- sions and new product lines. Besides the Federal District and Mexico, only four other states have accumulated more than 1 percent of the country's foreign direct investment, according to the Directorate General for Foreign Investment in Mexico. The nonborder States of Puebla and Jalisco have significant levels of foreign investment that surround the large cities of Puebla and Guadalajara, respectively. While all of the US border states have pockets of foreign investment as a result of the maquiladora program, the most notable concentra- tions are in the States of Nuevo Leon and Coahuila. Prospects for Change Although foreign investors see many opportunities in Mexico including a large domestic market, low labor rates, and proximity to the US market, we believe it is highly unlikely that new foreign direct investment will play a major role in Mexico's economic recovery. The PRI has firmly implemented policies to restrict for- eign participation in the economy under its longstand- ing philosophy of state-led economic growth. Even in the peak year of 1982, net foreign direct investment represented only a small fraction of gross fixed invest- ment. Beyond restrictive policy, the severity of Mexi- co's economic decline is a major deterrent to potential investors. While de la Madrid views foreign investment more favorably than his recent predecessors, he has not been able to bring about any major structural change. Press reports indicate the established business com- munity, government bureaucrats, labor leaders, and leftist ideologues?all well served under the present system?have blocked structural reforms necessary to attract foreign investment, promote development, and spur economic growth. As a result, we expect most new foreign investment will be in the form of capital stock increases to buoy existing Mexican investments. Some new investments might be made by large MNCs that wield significant political clout and have extensive financial resources, but we anticipate few 16 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Secret Figure 3 Distribution of Foreign Investment by Mexican States, 1985 Coahuila 2.5% Nuevo Leon 4.8% / Federal District 66.7% Mexico 12.5% Puebla 5.1% Jalisco 1.2% The remaining 7.2 percent of investment is divided among the remaining states. 17 Secret 700418 9-08 Declassified in Part- Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Secret other companies will brave the uncertainties of invest- ing in Mexico over the next few years. Under these conditions, we estimate foreign investment inflows will average about $500 million annually through 1990. On the other hand, we believe the debt issue could spark a new wave of radical nationalism with poten- tially disastrous results for foreign investment. If the Mexicans perceive that their creditors are taking an uncompromising position and Mexico City repudiates all or part of the external debt, we would expect inflows of foreign investment to grind nearly to a halt. A temporary suspension in payments, however, would probably leave foreign investors relatively indifferent. In a less likely scenario where Mexico implemented significant reforms, we still would not expect a dra- matic increase in foreign investment. Most potential investors probably would wait and see if Mexico City were committed to lasting change. Foreign direct investment is typically a long-term phenomenon, often requiring more than a decade just to recover costs. Private investors who suspect that liberalizations in policy represent a quick fix to deal with the current economic malaise probably would not change their investment decisions. Should Mexico City take sufficient steps, foreign direct investment could make an important contribu- tion to Mexico's long-term economic development. In our view, the major contribution would not be finan- cial, however, as even a doubling of last year's direct investment inflow would represent only a small frac- tion of the foreign borrowing expected this year. Instead, we believe the principal benefits of increased foreign investment arise from transfers of technology and the management practices introduced. Further- more, multinational corporations establishing subsid- iaries in Mexico would allow Mexican enterprises to form valuable customer and supplier linkages with foreign firms. Secret At the margin, there are some improvements that the Mexican Government might make to improve the investment climate. If Mexico were to continue to reduce and simplify the number of forms and proce- dures that foreigners had to complete for initial approval and normal operations, they would reduce the cost to both the foreign investor and the Mexican taxpayer. The government could also eliminate re- maining import permit requirements. Even if they were replaced with high tariffs, this would remove some of the government's discretionary control over business transactions. By applying tax legislation and fiscal incentives equitably to all firms at levels that currently apply to foreigners, the government would be able to preserve if not increase its revenue. 25X1 25X1 25X1 Structural changes would be harder to implement because of vested interests, but, in our judgment, they would certainly make Mexico more attractive to foreign investors in the long run. Price controls could gradually be lifted by moving products through the various categories of control until they were market determined, with the results being reduced shortages and more efficient resource allocation. A detailed timetable could be established whereby all nonstrate- gic state enterprises would be sold or closed, leading to smaller public-sector deficits. Protection for intel- lectual property?including products, processes, and trademarks?could be strengthened, which would provide greater incentive for research and develop- ment. The obsession with preventing foreign majority control might be dispensed with in a revision of the 1973 Law that specifies those sectors where majority- foreign-owned companies would be absolutely prohib- ited, allowing unrestricted foreign access to all other sectors. 18 neclassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Appendix A' The 1973 Foreign Investment Law The stated purpose of Mexico's Foreign Investment Law of 1973 (1973 Law) is to "promote Mexican investment and regulate foreign investment in order to stimulate a just and balanced development and con- solidate the country's economic independence." The 1973 Law centralizes controls over foreign investment within the National Commission on Foreign Invest- ment. It states that foreign investment "will be re- ceived when it helps to achieve the country's objec- tives and when it acts to complement national investments and does not displace existing business enterprises that operate satisfactorily." Investment Categories Economic activity is divided into four major catego- ries. The first is reserved exclusively for the state and includes petroleum and basic petrochemicals, nuclear energy, most areas of mining, electricity, railroads, telegraphic and wireless communications, and certain other areas as specified by law. The second category is reserved exclusively for Mexicans with an exclusion- of-foreigners clause. This includes radio and televi- sion, automotive and federal highways transportation, domestic air and maritime transportation, forestry resources, gas distribution, and certain other areas. The third category specifies areas in which foreign participation is limited to less than 49 percent. For- eign participation is limited to 34 percent for conces- sions in national mining reserves and to 40 percent for secondary petrochemical operations and for automo- tive parts manufacturing. The other areas fall under the fourth category, which allows foreign ownership of up to 49 percent as long as the foreign interest is not empowered to determine the management of the business. The Government of Mexico can flexibly administer the 1973 Law and has authorized 100- percent majority-foreign-owned ventures, although these are the exceptions rather than the rule. 'This appendix draws entirely on materials from "Investing in Mexico," Overseas Business Reports, US Department of Com- merce, International Trade Administration, December 1985. Secret The National Commission on Foreign Investment (FIC) was established under the 1973 Law. The FIC is formed by the Secretaries of Interior; Foreign Affairs; Treasury; Energy, Mines and Parastatal In- dustry; Commerce and Industrial Development; La- bor and Social Security; and Planning and Budget. Beyond its central function of administering the For- eign Investment Law, the FIC serves as the decision- making body regarding all foreign investment ques- tions not already covered by law. It decides on increases or decreases in foreign percentage ownership allowances in Mexican enterprises?foreigners are allowed to maintain the original proportion between Mexican and US capital but may not increase the percentage of foreign capital without the permission of the FIC?and it must approve any foreign invest- ment in Mexican companies beyond 25 percent of capital or 49 percent of assets. FIC permission must be sought for majority-foreign-owned investment in Mexico, and, as a general rule, the Commission's permission must also be sought for expansions in existing operations. In screening applications to invest in Mexico, the Commission uses 17 criteria stated in Article 13 of the law. In rather general terms, these criteria try to ensure that the proposed investment will have a beneficial effect on Mexico in the following areas: balance of payments, employment, wage and price scales, technology transfer, regional development, to- tal national investment, and national economic policy. Permission to make an investment is often granted subject to meeting additional performance require- ments that are negotiated on a case-by-case basis. The National Registry of Foreign Investment was created pursuant to Article 23 of the 1973 Law. It requires that all foreign investors, Mexican companies with foreign investment, trusts with foreign participa. tion whose purpose is regulated by the 1973 Law, 19 Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Secret foreign-held shares, and FIC resolutions be registered with this entity. Currently, the National Foreign Investment Registry is located within the Secretariat of Commerce and Industrial Development. Penalties for noncompliance with the above-mentioned require- ments are stiff. Companies that fail to register may not pay dividends, and acquisitions that are not registered are considered void. Offenders face expen- sive fines and imprisonment. Special Provisions The law contains certain special provisions of particu- lar interest. The first of these, known as the Calvo Clause with its origins in Article 27 of Mexico's 1917 Constitution, requires foreigners who acquire proper- ties of any kind in Mexico to agree "to consider themselves as Mexican nationals with regard to these properties and not to invoke the protection of their government, with respect to such properties, under penalty, in case of violation, of forfeiting to the Nation the properties thus acquired." In addition, foreign entities are forbidden to hold title for land within 100 kilometers of Mexico's borders or 50 kilometers of the coast. Foreigners may, however, obtain permission to use restricted lands for tourism or industrial purposes through "participation certifi- cates." These are held by Mexican fiduciaries who hold title to the land in question. Foreigners must also Secret obtain permission from the Secretariat of Foreign Affairs to acquire real property outside the forbidden zone. Modifications and clarifications of the 1973 Law are handled by the FIC, which issues occasional resolu- tions. Several resolutions have been designed to deal with the confusion surrounding the expansion of existing businesses and permission to enter new ven- tures. The most important, Resolution 16, issued in September 1977, states that, prior to investing in a new field of economic activity or a new line of products, established corporations must seek the ap- proval of the FIC and the ministry with jurisdiction over the activity. Resolution 16 defines "new field of economic activity" and "new line of products" in broad terms. Often permission to make an investment is granted subject to a company's commitment to adhere to certain performance criteria such as those establish- ing minimum export and local-content levels. Specific requirements are established for the enterprise in order to ensure attainment of objectives set forth in the Foreign Investment Law. These are not made public and are negotiated on a case-by-case basis. 20 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 ? Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Appendix B 2 The Transfer of Technology Law In an attempt to promote the development of indige- nous technology, Mexico promulgated the "Law on the Registration of the Transfer of Technology and the Use and Exploitation of Patents and Trademarks" in 1973. It required the registration of all contracts involving the transfer of technology. The law specified the conditions to be met in order to receive registra- tion and stated 14 reasons for automatic denial. Registration Requirement In 1982, the law was replaced by the "Law on the Control and Registration of the Transfer of Technol- ogy and the Use and Exploitation of Patents and Trademarks." The revised law gives the government increased jurisdiction in this area and expands the number of agreements requiring registration. Failure to register renders an agreement null and void, unen- forceable in the courts, and ineligible for government development support. Furthermore, failure to register a technology agreement is subject to a fine of up to the amount of the transaction or 10,000 times the daily minimum wage in Mexico City. The administrative apparatus for this law is the National Registry of the Transfer of Technology. The law and the registry are administered by the Secretar- iat of Commerce and Industrial Development. The registry carefully scrutinizes contracts based on a number of criteria including costs and the local availability of the technology in question. It will try to negotiate contracts under the law so as to maximize local management. In enacting this law, the Mexican authorities sought to reduce dependence on foreign technology and to provide state support to Mexican purchasers in their negotiations with the foreign companies. In effect, the law reinforces FIC restric- tions on foreign control of Mexican enterprises. The 2 This appendix draws entirely on materials from "Investing in Mexico," Overseas Business Reports, US Department of Com- merce, International Trade Administration, December 1985. Secret following are the agreements, contracts, and other acts that must be registered with the National Regis- try of the Transfer of Technology: ? Concession of use or authorization to exploit works; patents of inventions or of improvements and certifi- cates of inventions. ? Assignment of trademarks and patents. ? Concession of authorization to use commercial names. ? Transmission of technical knowledge through plans, diagrams, models, instruction manuals, formulas, specifications, education and training of personnel, and other means. ? Technical assistance in any form it is rendered. ? Provision of basic or detailed engineering. ? Services of operation or administration of enterprises. ? Counseling, consulting, and supervising services. ? Concession of copyrights that imply industrial exploitation. ? Computer programs, that is, the transactions for transfer of software, not the details of the programs themselves. The following are exempt from registration requirements: ? Foreign technicians coming to Mexico for the instal- lation of factories or machinery or to make repairs. ? Provision of designs, catalogues, or counseling in general that are acquired with the machinery or equipment and that are necessary for their installa- tion if and when it does not imply the obligation to make subsequent payments. ? Assistance in repairs or emergencies if and when they derive from some act, agreement, or contract that has been previously registered. 21 Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Secret ? Teaching or technical training furnished by educa- tional institutions, by personnel training centers, or by companies to their workers. ? Industrial exploitation of copyrights relating to the publishing, motion picture, recording, radio, and television industries. ? International agreements for technical cooperation executed between governments. Denial of Registration Certain types of agreements are automatically denied registration. Article 15 of the revised law specifies 17 causes for denial that include: restrictions on improve- ments in the transferred technology, interference in the management practices of the recipient, require- ments to accept supplies from an exclusive source, limitations on the export of the finished product, prohibition of the use of complementary technologies, obligation to sell to one exclusive buyer, directives on personnel use, limitations on volume of production or imposition of sale or resale prices, most obligations to execute exclusive sales or representation contracts with the supplier, obligations to maintain the secrecy of technical information beyond the duration of the agreement, lack of declaration of responsibility by the supplier for infringement of the industrial property rights of third parties, and lack of quality guarantees. Secret Moreover, ordinarily acceptable agreements are de- nied registration when the technology is already avail- able in Mexico, the fee is considered excessive, the duration of the agreement is considered excessive?no agreement may in any case last more than 10 years, or foreign arbitration is enlisted for resolutions of disputes related to or arising from the agreement? the Calvo Clause. The duration standard and confi- dentiality standard established in this law raise some of the most difficult questions facing foreign technol- ogy providers in determining whether to supply tech- nology to Mexico. In essence, the Technology Trans- fer Law has been interpreted and applied to permit the acquisition of foreign technology only by the installment purchase method and not by the lease method. In many of the areas noted above, negotiation is possible with the registry on a case-by-case basis. Exceptions are granted when it is considered in the "best interests of the country." Previously, the in-bond assembly or maquiladora plants had been excluded from registration require- ments under the 1973 Technology Transfer Law. Now maquiladoras must adhere to the registration requirements of the 1982 Law. 22 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Appendix C The Law on Inventions and Trademarks Mexico replaced its 1942 Industrial Property Code in 1976 with the Law on Inventions and Trademarks. The 1976 Law created new categories of nonpatenta- ble items and increased the restrictions on the grant- ing and use of patents and trademarks. The National Registry of the Transfer of Technology was charged with approving contracts concerning patents, trade- marks and trade names. According to Article 10 of the law, the following items are not patentable: ? Plant varieties and animal breeds as well as biologi- cal processes for obtaining the same. ? Alloys. ? Chemical products, with the exception of new indus- trial processes for obtaining the same and their new uses of an industrial nature. ? Chemical-pharmaceutical products and their mix- tures, medicines, beverages, and foods for human or animal use, fertilizers, pesticides, herbicides, fungicides. ? Processes for obtaining mixtures of chemical prod- ucts, industrial processes for obtaining alloys, and industrial processes for obtaining, modifying, or applying products and mixtures to which the pre- ceding paragraph refers. ? Inventions pertaining to nuclear energy and security. ? Antipollution apparatus and equipment of the pro- cesses for manufacture, modification, or application thereof. This appendix draws entirely on materials from "Investing in Mexico," Overseas Business Reports, US Department of Com- merce, International Trade Administration, December 1985. 23 Secret ? Juxtaposition of known inventions, their variation of form, of dimensions, or of materials, except when in fact there is a combination or fusion of these inventions involved in such a manner that they cannot function separately or that the characteristic properties or functions of the same are modified so as to obtain a novel industrial result. ? Application or use in an industry of an invention already known or utilized in another industry and processes that consist simply of the application or use of a device, machine, or apparatus which oper- ates in accordance with previously known principles, even though such application is new. ? Inventions the publication or exploitation of which is contrary to the law, to public order, to health, to public security, to morals, or to good customs. Inventions referred to in the fifth, sixth, and seventh items above may be protected through registration and the issuance of a certificate of invention. The certificate of invention does not provide the right of exclusive use to the inventor. Instead, the certificate guarantees to the inventor the right to collect royalties from any party that wishes to use the invention. A certificate of invention is available as an alternative to a patent for any patentable invention as well as for certain types of nonpatentable inventions as noted above. The certificates have a duration of 10 years. Patents also have a duration of 10 years and may not be extended. Article 40 provides that patents must be used within three years from the date of issuance. Otherwise, during the fourth year, the Secretariat of Commerce and Industrial Development may autho- rize an obligatory nonexclusive license to use the patent. Mexican authorities must approve the amount of royalties to be paid and other terms for such a Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Secret license. If a valid request for a compulsory license is not made during the fourth year, the patent will expire. The duration of trademarks was reduced from 10 to five years by the 1976 Law. The law allows for registration renewal for successive five-year periods but only if the trademark is effective and uninterrupt- ed use during the preceding five-year period is proved. The most troubling aspect of the law regarding trademarks for foreign firms is the one that requires all products produced in Mexico to carry a distinctive Mexican trademark, equally linked to the foreign or international mark and owned by the Mexican entity. This provision produced so much controversy that it has been suspended annually and has yet to be implemented. It may, however, be invoked at any time either in its entirety or on a selective basis. Secret 24 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 ? Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Secret Appendix D 4 Potential for 100-Percent Ownership In February 1984, the FIC published a press release signed by several Mexican Government secretaries that explained foreign investment policy and the reasons for the promotion of foreign investment. It emphasized that foreign investment would be comple- mentary to domestic investment and contribute posi- tively to the development objectives without displac- ing national investments. The Mexican Government said that it intended to promote foreign investment, with the possibility of 100-percent foreign ownership, in selected sectors with a view toward stimulating activities that generate net foreign exchange inflows and contribute to national technological development. The Mexican authorities also said they would favor- ably consider complex industries that otherwise could not be developed in Mexico?industries requiring large investments per employee, industries with high export potential, and in-bond industries. Following is a list of high-priority industries for foreign investment published by the Government of Mexico: ? Machinery and Nonelectric Equipment Agricultural machinery and implements Woodworking machinery Food processing and packaging machinery Machinery for petroleum and petrochemical industries Textile machinery Extruding and molding machinery for the plastics industry Machinery for the graphic arts industry Cranes, pulleys, and similar equipment ? Machinery and Electric Apparatus High-power motors and generators Turbines for industry High-power turbocompressors ' This appendix draws entirely on materials from "Investing in Mexico," Overseas Business Reports, US Department of Com- merce, International Trade Administration, December 1985 Reverse Blank ? Metal-Mechanics High-technology metallurgy High-precision instruments for microsmelting Specialized equipment ? Electronic Equipment and Accessories Telecommunications equipment Magnetic tapes and disks for computers Computer systems, parts, and components Instrumentation and process control equipment Electronic components, parts, and elements Electronic equipment and apparatus for engineering and science Consumer electronics ? Transportation Equipment Motorcycles and similar vehicles with over 350-cc engine displacement Internal combustion engines for vessels and locomotives Ship construction and repair ? Chemical Industry Raw materials and active pharmaceutical substances Synthetic resins and plastics Chemical specialties ? Other Manufacturing Industries Precision measuring apparatus Medical equipment and instruments Photographic material and equipment New high-technology materials ? High-Technology Services Biotechnology ? Hotel Industry Construction and operations related to real property for the hotel industry 25 Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 ? Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Secret Appendix E 5 Products Subject to Price Controls List I: Products for which prices are frozen: Foodstuffs: edible vegetable oils; purified, bottled water; processed baby food; rice; canned tuna; oat- meal; sugar; coffee; beef; ham; powdered chocolate; beans; packed fruits and vegetables; crackers; corn flour; wheat and wheat flour; eggs; pasteurized, pow- dered, condensed, and evaporated milk; corn, corn- meal for tortillas and corn tortillas; bread; pasta; fish; soft drinks; salt; packed sardines. Products of important domestic industries: medicines of all types. List II: Products for which companies may petition for price hikes: Essential raw materials: primary petrochemical prod- ucts?acetaldehyde; hydrocyanic acid, acrilonitryle, anhydrous ammonium, carbonic anhydride, butadi- ene, vinyl chloride, dodecylbenzene, styrene, isopro- panol, methanol, ethylene oxide, polyethylene; and primary chemical products?hydrochloric acid, hy- drofluoric acid, phosphoric acid, denatured alcohol; ethyl alcohol, phosphorus, caustic soda, sodium tripolyphosphate. Basic industrial products: fertilizers?compound, ammonium phosphate, ammonium nitrate, simple and triple superphosphate, urea; insecticides; fungicides; fuel oil; diesel fuel; liquefied gas; natural gas; gaso- line; kerosene; turbosine and other fuels derived from petroleum and natural gas; steel industry products? special steel, wire and wire rope, arrabic, steel bars, iron alloys, tinplate, galvanized and ordinary sheet, mesh, bars, light and heavy shapes, plate, screen, pipe, seamless pipe and construction rods; cellulose; asbes- tos products; animal feed; fishmeal. This appendix draws entirely on materials from Investing, Licens- ing and Trading, Business International Corporation, May 1985. Reverse Blank 27 Products of important domestic industries: ampules; domestic appliances?home water heaters, gas and kerosene stoves, washing machines, blenders, sewing machines, electric boilers, radios, refrigerators, irons, and black and white television sets; bicycles; ballpoint pens; bottles and jars; notebooks; paper products; detergents; light bulbs; laundry soap; bath soap; pen- cils; toothpaste; batteries; automotive products; buses; automobiles; trucks; agricultural tractors; truck trac- tors; basic pharmaceutical products; packaging for general consumption foodstuffs. Other products: agricultural machinery and accesso- ries; machines for making tortillas and parts; corn- meal mills and parts. List III: Products for which prices must be registered: Foodstuffs: prepared cereals from corn, rice, and wheat; cream; prepared beans; powdered gelatin; fruit juices; butter; margarine. Clothing: blouses; brassieres; socks; shoes; underwear; shirts; jackets; skirts; panties; trousers; cotton T- shirts. Essential raw materials: basic chemical products; citric acid; sodium benzoate; chlorine; industrial salt. Basic industrial products: cement; lime; metals; gypsum. Products of important domestic industries: tooth- brushes; mattresses; tires and tubes; razors and razor blades; plate glass. Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2 Secret Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/23: CIA-RDP87T01127R001000840003-2