PROPOSED AGENDA FOR 24 SEPTEMBER 1985 COUNTERTERRORISM WARNING AND FORECAST MEETING

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP87T00434R000200110002-2
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: December 13, 2010
• Sequence Number: 2
• Publication Date: September 5, 1985
• Content Type: MEMO

Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/13: CIA-RDP87T00434R000200110602-2
SECRET/NOFORN
The Director of Central Intelligence
Washington, D.C. 20505
National Intelligence Council
MEMORANDUM FOR: Distribution
FROM:
NIC 04470-85
5 September 1985
Charles E. Allen
National Intelligence Officer for Counterterrorism
and Narcotics
SUBJECT: Proposed Agenda for 24 September 1985 Counterterrorism
Warning and Forecast Meeting
The Monthly Warning and Forecast Meeting of the Interagency
Intelligence Committee on Terrorism will be held on Tuesday,
24 September 1985 at 1400 hours in Room 7E62. CIA Headquarters. Please
phone your attendance intentions to and have your
clearances verified to us by your security officer by COB
21 September .
The following topics are on the agenda. A brief presentation will be
made by a Community analyst followed by a short disucssion period.
Attendees should come prepared to fullysparticipate in the followup
discussion. Keep in mind that our objective is to address near- to
mid-term threats, make forecasts,, and identify collection gaps, rather
than to review current intelligence. Discussion sou Include comments
regarding intelligence gaps, collection requirements, and
suggestions/recommendations for improving collection and analysis on a
particular threat.
-- Implications of Increased AVC/M-19 Cooperation. (0 DIA I/2hr)
- What is the evidence of more active cooperation between the AVC
and M-19?
25X1
25X1
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-- Potential for More Leftist Terrorist Violence in Chile.
IA hr
Can we expect an increase/decrease in violence in the wake of the
12th anniversary of the Pinochet regime?
What do we know about external support; for example, is Cuba or
the Soviet Union the more dominant actor in Chile or is there a
division of responsibilities?
- What are the prospects for a coordinated campaign against
Pinochet by regional forces headquartered in Argentina?
-- Prospects for Iranian Retaliation A ainst Selected Persian Gulf Arab
States in Res onse to Recent Iraqi acs on har Island.
T_ _] CIA 1/2 hr)
-- Is Iran likely to employ terrorism to retaliate against those
states it believes support Iraq; what are the likely targets; do
we expect to see oil export facilities in Kuwait and Saudi Arabia
targeted?
What are the implications for Bahrain of an Iranian-sponsored
terrorist campaign in the Gulf? How would Saudi Arabia respond
to a threat to topple the Bahrainian government?
- Does Iran have effective control of its assets--Dawa and Radical
Shia--in the Gulf; are they undertaking terrorist operations on
their own?
-- Terrorism in South Africa. CIA 1/2 hr)
- What is the likelihood that terrorist groups will take advantage
of the currnet state of civil unrest and political problems
confronting Pretoria?
- What is the position of the ANC on the use of violence against
the white population/what agitation tactics are being advocated
by the ANC?
- What are the likely prospects that terrorists will attack South
African businesses and Embassies abroad?
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- What foreign backing do these groups enjoy?
-- Other business.
V Ru pest - JSoc
HI4f _ Sus
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Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/12/13: CIA-RDP87T00434R000200110002-2