LETTER TO H. ALLEN HOLMES FROM JOE L. ZARING

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP87R00529R000200190047-2
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 11, 2010
• Sequence Number: 47
• Publication Date: August 27, 1980
• Content Type: LETTER

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THE DIRECTOR OF
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
National Intelligence Officers
27 August 1980
Mr_ H., Allen Holmes
Deputy Assistant Secretary,
Bureau. of European Affairs
Room 6226
Department of State
Dear Mr. Holmes:
I spoke to George Vest a few days ago about
the seminar we are holding here at the Agency on
18 September in support.of an assessment we are
initiating on policy issues between the US and
Western Europe in the-1980s. As you will see from
the enclosed agenda, we propose to discuss some
important questions, and we have found some inter-
esting people to help us do it. George suggested
that you might wish to attend -- I would be de-
lighted if you could. If you cannot, I would
appreciate your passing the invitation on to who-
ever you think might most appropriately represent
the Bureau. We are of course inviting INR.
Sincerely yours,
'Joe L. Zaring
NIO/WE
(03Z- /SG3(c,
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 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/08/11: CIA-RDP87R00529R000200190047-2
National Intelligence Council Seminar
POLICY ISSUES BETWEEN THE US AND WESTERN EUROPE IN THE 1980s
18 September 1980
10:00-11:15 The shaping economic and social forces in Europe today and
tomorrow
Discussion leaders: Dr. Amitai Etzioni, Dr. Robert Lieber
11:15-12:30 The international context -- Western Europe's global inter-
ests and perspectives in the next decade
Discussion leaders: Dr. Andrew Pierre, Dr. George Liska
12:30-1:45 Luncheon: Executive Dining Room
1:45-3:00 The security dimension -- alternative emphases in West
European security policies
Discussion leaders: Dr. Stanley Hoffmann
3:00-4:15 Emergent political. trends in Europe in the 1980s
4:15-5:30- The prospects for. "Europe" -- what kind of Western Europe
the US will be dealing with in the next decade -- how
organized it will be in dealing with its own problems and
with the US
Discussion leaders: Dr. Ronald Inglehart
5:30-7:00 Cocktails and Dinner: Executive Dining Room
7:00-9:30 Potential areas of conflict and convergence between the US
and Western Europe
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POLICY ISSUES BETWEEN THE US AND WESTERN EUROPE IN THE 1980s
18 September 1980
I. The shaping economic and social forces in Europe today and
tomorrow
-- will the organization of production, the sharing out of the
economic and social product, and economic management have
.the same overriding importance in the 1980s that they acquired
in the 1970s?
in what ways will the dominating problems (inflation, low
growth, access to resources and markets, structural obsoles-
cence) and the potential new advantages (better conservation,
new technologies, relative social tranquillity) look different,
or, remain essentially the same?
what will be the dominant trends in the search for more effective
approaches to these problems: reassertion of free market prin-
ciples, social management, neo-corporativism, industrial democ-
racy?
-- in what significant ways might new social (or cultural) trends
impinge on economic management: e.g., aging populations and
generational gaps, retreat from consumerism, quality of life
movements, environmental enthusiams, etc.
-- what major divergences could appear among the Europeans as
those trends unfold, and with what consequences? might tradi-
tional social and economic-idiosyncrasies gain new vigor? how
would Europeans respond?
II. The international context -- Western Europe's global interests and
perspectives in the next decade
:in what ways do we see the changing currents in Europe's internal
situation translating into fewer, more, or a different set of
interests abroad?
-- looking both backward and forward, do the Europeans see their
evolving relationships with the rest of the free industrialized
world becoming more competitive or more cooperative, or both?
--.how do the Europeans perceive developments in the US and in
their relations with the US affecting the American dimension
in global affairs: a declining but still preeminent factor,
competitor but essential partner, recuperable manager of the
international system, etc.?
GL" 61, et 5 2 -~,
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