PROPOSED DISCUSSION ITEM FOR YOUR MEETING WITH AMBASSADOR SHAKESPEARE ON 15 APRIL 1986

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP87R00529R000100060040-4
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 30, 2011
• Sequence Number: 40
• Publication Date: April 14, 1986
• Content Type: MEMO

Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/08/31: CIA-RDP87R00529R000100060040-4
SECRET
The Director of Central Intelligence
Washington, D.C. 20505
National Intelligence Council
NIC No. 01907-86
14 April 1986
MEMORANDUM FOR: Director of Central Intelligence
De t
D
FROM:
Fu y
irector of Central Intelligence
is an ational Intelligence Officer for Europe
"'?otut: Proposed Discussion Item for Your Meeting with
Ambassador Shakespeare on 15 April 1986
SUMMARY: Rebuilding Portugal's lost influence in Africa has become
Lisbon's third foreign policy priority behind maintaining EC membership
and good relations with Washington. Because their means are limited,
many Portuguese leaders--including President Soares and possibly Prime
Minister Cavaco Silva--favor cooperative arrangements with the US in
instances when US and Portuguese interests are congruent. Lisbon, for
example, shares the US interest in maximizing Western influence with the
Machel government in Mozambique. The room for cooperation, however, has
limits. Portugal disagrees with US moves in Angola due to Lisbon's
economic interests there and to domestic disputes over how to deal with
Luanda. It also has a separate agenda in South Africa due to concern for
a large Portuguese resident community there and a desire to play the
mediator with black Africa. END SUMMARY
Opportunities for US-Portuguese Cooperation
1. Portugal has military cooperation agreements with all its former
colonies except Angola and offers them non-lethal equipment. It also
provides training--but only in Portugal. Due to limited resources,
however, equipment deliveries are infrequent and inadequate to the need.
Portuguese leaders are open to cooperative arrangements
with the US on military aid and training for countries like
Guinea Bissau and Mozambique where we share an interest in
increasing Western influence with the governments- in power.
2. Portugal's desires for economic influence in Africa cannot be met
due to its own weak economy. So Lisbon is seeking aid arrangements which
would provide US or other financing for development projects using
CL BY SIGNER
DECL OADR
DERV MULTIPLE
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SECRET/NOFORN
Portuguese area expertise and skilled manpower. Such agreements are
already at work in Mozambique, Guinea Bissau and Sao Tome.
-- In our view the Portuguese would be eager to consider
similar new projects to boost Lisbon's influence.
The Constraints
3. Lisbon still has trouble in countering residual bitterness in
some former colonies.
Angola and Mozambique believe that President Soares showed
favor to anti-government rebels in 1983-1985.
These strains are likely to continue. Despite Cavaco
Silva 's efforts to reduce their freedom to operate, rebel
groups still use Portugal for propaganda and other
subversive activites which anger Luanda and Maputo.
5. Portugal similarly has somewhat different priorities in South
Africa.
It agreed to recent EC decisions to withdraw military
attaches but concern for the large Portuguese minority
there and a desire to mantain credibilit
y as a potential
mediator would make it wary of highly visible cooperation
with the US.
6. This memorandum was prepared with substantial input and
assistance from the Office of European Analysis.
SECRET/NOFORN
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Jr- ,Kt I /NUtUKN
NIC No.
14 April 1986
MEMORANDUM FOR: Director of Central Intelligence
D t
FROM:
epu y Director of Central Intelligence
ss'Is an National Intelligence Officer for Europe
JUDUtLI: Proposed Discussion Item for Your Meeting with
Ambassador Shakespeare on 15 April 1986
Distribution:
1 - DCI
1 -DDCI
1 - DDCI-Designate
3 - SA/DCI/IAD/
1 - ER
1 - C/NIC
1 - VC/NIC/Ford
1 - VC/NIC/Fuller
1 - D/EURA
1 - EURA/WE
1 - A/NIO/EUR
1 - NIO/EUR chrono
1 - NIO EUR 1.14
A/NIO/EUR
14APR86
SECRET/NOFORN
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