REQUIREMENTS FOR THE TRIP OF PRESIDENT REAGAN AND SECRETARY SHULTZ TO MEXICO, JANUARY 3, 1986

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 22
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: November 24, 2010
• Sequence Number: 9
• Publication Date: November 23, 1985
• Content Type: MEMO

Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
EXECUTIVE SECRETARIAT -
ROUTING SLIP
ACTION
INFO
DATE
INITIAL
1
DCI
2
DDCI
3
EXDIR
4
D/ICS
5
DDI
X
6
DDA
7
DDO
X
8
DDS&T
9
Chm/NIC
10
GC
11
IG
12
Compt
13
D/OLL
14
D/PAO
15
D/PERS
16
VC/NIC
X
17
NIO/LA
18
CILAID0
19
20
D/OCR/DI
X -
-
21
22
5 NOV 85
;637 ('Oa')
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
 + Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
Original to:
Copies to:
S/S-S Dir-2 _% 'tiwr?
S/S-S(IA)-2
Tm-A LIMITED OFFICIAL USE
Tm-B (With SECRET Attac ments)
Tm-C
RF:njs
STAT
8534902 thru 8534935
United States Department of State
Washington, D. C. 20520
'85 NOV 23 P7:25 November 23, 1985
D
P
E
T
M
C
A
AF
ARA
CA
EAP
EB
EUR
HA
INM
INR
10
L
NEA
OE S
PA
PM
RP
S/CPR
S/CT
S/P
AID
CIA
INR/B
NSC
USIA
USTR
Commerce
Treasury
- Mr. Whitehead
- Mr. Armacost
- Mr. Wallis
- Mr. Schneider
- Mr. Spiers
- Mr. Derwinski
- Mr. Lamb
- Mr. Crocker
- Mr. Abrams
- Ms. Clark
- Mr. Wolfowitz
- Mr. McMinn
- Ms. Ridgway
- Mr. Schifter
- Mr. Thomas
- Mr. Abramowitz
- Mr. Keyes
- Judge Sofaer
- Mr. Murphy
- Mr. Negroponte
- Mr. Kalb
- Mr. Holmes
- Mr. Purcell
- Ms. Roosevelt
- Mr. Oakley
- Mr. Rodman
- Mr. Meyer
Mr. Hirsch
- Mr. Martin
- Mr. LaSalle
- Mr. Frierson
- Ms. Robbins
- Mrs. Cooksey
Requirements for the Trip of President Reagan
and Secretary Shultz to Mexico, January 3, 1986
Perry Shankle, Director, ARA/MEX, 632-9894,
Room 4258
James Landberg, Deputy Director, ARA/MEX,
632-9292, Room 4258
SUBJECT:
ARA COORDINATOR:
ARA DEPUTY
COORDINATOR:
s/S-S
ACTION OFFICER:
S/S-S BACKUP:
Keith A. Eddins, 632-8338, Room 7241
Glyn Davies (Alternate), 632-8338, Room 7241
Angus Simmons, 632-1522, Room 7241
LIMITED OFFICIAL USE
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
LIMITED IFf ICMAI USE
This memorandum assigns responsibilities for preparing
briefing materials for use by President Reagan and Secretary
Shultz during their trip to Mexico. Requirements have been
discussed with the NSC. Bureaus wishing to suggest additions
or changes to this tasker should contact the S/S-S Action
Officer as soon as possible.
I. BRIEFING MATERIALS FOR THE PRESIDENT
1. ANNOTATED AGENDA. ARA should prepare an annotated
agenda (sample attached) for the President on plain bond paper.
The agenda is due in S/S-S by COB December 4.
2. MEMORANDUM TO THE PRESIDENT FROM THE SECRETARY.
ARA should prepare a briefing memorandum from the Secretary to
the President, which should serve as a scope paper. The memo
should follow the 'four questions' tick and bullet format
(sample attached), should not exceed three pages, and should be
submitted under cover of an Action Memorandum, fully cleared
(including S/P and P), by COB December 16.
3. TALKING POINTS FOR THE PRESIDENT'S MEETINGS. ARA
should prepare talking points for the President Ts meetings.
They should not exceed two pages in length, and should be
prepared on plain bond paper (sample attached). All talking
points are due in S/S-S by COB December 4. Final revisions, as
necessary, should be received in S S-S by COB December 16.
4. "SCENE SETTER" FOR EACH EVENT. For each meeting,
the comments from the annotated agenda should be presented in
tick format on a single sheet of plain bond paper for use in
the President's day book (sample attached). Center and
underline the title of the event or name of the person the
President is meeting with, and classify the page appropriately.
These extracts are due in S/S-S by COB December 4, with final
revisions,as necessary, submitted by COB December 16.
5. INDEX CARDS FOR THE PRESIDENT'S MEETINGS. ARA should
prepare 3x5 index cards for the President's use in his meetings.
The index cards should very briefly cover the key issues to
raise, and should be limited to as few cards as possible. An
extra set of cards should be made for the Secretary. These
cards are due in S/S-S no later than COB December 4, with final
revisions, as necessary, submitted by COB December 16.
6. PUBLIC DIPLOMACY THEMES. ARA should prepare concise
public diplomacy themes (sample attached) on US-Mexican
UNITED OFFICIAL USE
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
LIMITED OFFICIAL USE
PAPER
DRAFT
CLEAR
1.
US-Mexican Relations
ARA
EB, E, P
2.
Central America
ARA
S/SE, P
3.
Narcotics
INM
ARA, DEA, P
4.
Trade and Investment
ARA
EB, USTR, Commerce
5.
Border Cooperation
ARA
E, P
OES,
EPA, EB, P
6.
Fishing Issues
OES
ARA,
EB, L, P
7.
Safety of US Citizens
CA
ARA,
P
8.
Maritime Boundary Treaty
ARA
OES,
L, EB, P
9.
Immigration Reform
CA
ARA,
H, P
10.
Financial Issues
EB
ARA,
Treasury,E,P
11.
Energy Issues
EB
ARA,
OES, DOE,E,P
12.
Earthquake Reconstruction
ARA
EB,
AID, P
13.
Mexican UN Voting Behavior
I0
ARA,
UNA, P
Relations, US Policy in Central America, and other appropriate
issues. These one-page papers are due in S/S-S (cleared by S/P, PA
and P at a minimum) by COB December 4, with final revisions, if
necessary submitted by COB December 16.
7. FACT SHEETS. The following fact sheets (sample attached)
should be prepared on plain bond paper, and should not exceed one
page. All of the papers should be submitted to the ARA Trip
Coordinator. They are due in ARA/MEX with all clearances by COB
December 13, and in S/S-S by COB December 16.
8. PUBLIC STATEMENTS. ARA should prepare drafts of any
public statements (including contingency toasts) to be made by the
President. All drafts should be cleared by S/P, PA and P. State-
ments should be double-spaced on plain bond paper, and submitted
under cover of a Platt-McFarlane memorandum by COB December 4.
9. BIOGRAPHIC MATERIAL. ARA should provide S/S-S with a
list of all significant Mexican officials the President and the
Secretary are likely to meet during their trip. S/S-S will then
request appropriate biographic material. The list is due in S/S-S
as soon as possible, but no later than COB November 22.
II. MATERIALS FOR THE SECRETARY
1. MEMORANDUM TO THE SECRETARY FOR USE IN BRIEFING THE
PRESIDENT. ARA should provide a memorandum to the Secretary for
use in briefing the President before the visit begins. The
memorandum should be prepared as a standard briefing outline, and
is due in S/S-S by COB December 17.
LIMITED OFFICIAL USE
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
LIMITED OFFICIAL USE
2. ACTION MEMORANDUM TO THE SECRETARY REGARDING HIS
PARTICIPATION IN THE TRIP. ARA should provide an Action Memorandum
to the Secretary by COB December 2 with recommendations on his
participation in the trip.
3. BRIEFING THE SECRETARY FOR ANY ADDITIONAL MEETINGS.
ARA should prepare briefing outlines for the Secretary from
Assistant Secretary Abrams for any side meetings the Secretary may
have during the visit. The outlines should not exceed three pages
in length, or, alternatively, may be prepared on 5X8 cards only.
The papers are due in S/S-S, cleared by P and other appropriate
bureaus, by COB December 17.
4. SCENARIOS FOR THE SECRETARY. ARA, in consultation with
Embassy Mexico, should prepare individual scenarios for use by the
Secretary for each event in which he will participate. The
scenarios should be prepared on plain bond paper, and are due in
S/S-S in final form by COB December 17.
5. PRESS POINTS. ARA should prepare contingency press
points for use by the Secretary on US-Mexican relations, US Policy
in Central America, and other appropriate issues. Press points
should be on plain bond paper (sample attached), and should be
cleared by S/P, PA, and P at a minimum. They are due in S/S-S no
later than COB December 17.
Q's and A's. In addition to Press Points, ARA should
prepare Q's and A's specifically geared to local issues which are
likely to be raised by the Mexican press. Q's and A's should be
done on plain bond, with answers double spaced, and should be
cleared by PA and S/P. They are due in S/SJ-S no later than COB
December 16.
6. SCHEDULE. ARA should prepare a schedule for the
Secretary showing all events in which he will participate,
including those which diverge from the President's schedule. This
schedule should be on plain bond paper and is due in S/S-S by
COB December 17.
7. PUBLIC STATEMENTS. ARA should prepare drafts of any
public statements (including toasts) to be made by the Secretary.
These drafts, cleared by S/P, PA and P, are due in S/S-S by COB
December 4.
LIMITED OFFICIAL USE
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
LIMITED OFFICIAL USE
8. ECONOMIC DATA SHEETS. ARA should prepare an economic
data sheet and an At a Glance' sheet for Mexico (samples
attached). These items are due in S/S-S by COB December 17.
NOTE: All material sent to the White House must be letter
perfect. S/S-S requires the original plus one copy of all
papers. Drafting and clearing information should appear on
a separate page. Except for Action Memoranda, papers for
the visit should be delivered directly to the S/S-S Action
Officer. They should not be logged in with S/S-I.
/,&I"00 /3'a
Nicholas Platt
Executive Secretary
List of Due Dates
Sample Annotated Agenda
Sample Sec-Pres Memorandum
Sample Talking Points for the President
Sample "Scene Setter"
Sample Public Diplomacy Themes
Sample Fact Sheet
Sample Press Points
Sample Economic Data Sheet
LIMITED DFF!C!!C USE
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
LIMITED OFFICIAL USE
Due Dates for the President's Trip to Mexico
November 22
List of Mexican officials the President and Secretary are
likely to meet
December 2
Action Memorandum to the Secretary Regarding His
Participation in the Trip
December 4
Annotated Agenda
'Scene Setters'
Talking Points for the President
Index Cards for the President's Meetings
Public Diplomacy Themes
Draft Public Statements for the President
Draft Public Statements for the Secretary
December 16
Memorandum to the President from the Secretary
Fact Sheets
December 17
Memorandum to the Secretary for use in briefing the
President
Briefing Memoranda for the Secretary's side meetings
Scenarios for the Secretary
Press Points and Q's and A's for the Secretary
Secretary's Schedule
Economic Data Sheets
LIMITED OFFICIAL USE
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
THE PRESIDENT4-5 TRIP TO EUROPE
Annotated Agenda
THURSDAY, MAY 2
THE PRESIDENT'S V I S I T TO :.-THE FRG
'f-Part.-?1.) - - - ? _._ _ ,
10:05 a.m. Atrival?Ceremon ?at Villa Hamm t-schitnidt,"official
residence of President Richard von Weizsaecker.
President and von Weizsaecker inspect troops. No
-remarks.
10:20 a.m. Meeting with President von" Weizsaecker (35
minutes; no interpretation necessary .- The
posit-ion .of Federal President is 1-a-rgely
ceremonial,. but, -due to 'von Weizsaecker's
-experience and distinguished and eloggent manner,
he exerts considerable influence a-s.moral leader
of Germany. While of .the -same party, Kohl and
von Weizsaecker are not close,?partly..a function
-of their-;"dif-fering personalities: Rohl -- the
man of the people; von Weizsaecker'-- p01ished
and urbane. He is , sophisticated.in'foreign
policy and has travelled recently to the Middle
East and Finland.. Von Weizsaecker will be
interested in our overview df ?tthe state of -the
Alliance (he is . a--great--beli ye'r ;fin NAT?) , -
German-American relations ~a 'fan `-of 'America; the
has no serious reservations -about our relat `turns) ,
and US-Soviet relations (he .is tealistic about
Soviet behavior, but is hopeful for a renewed era
.of detente and meaningfu.l_,-arms contrQ1:) '
11:00 a.m. Meeting with Chancellor Ko l -(-45 *ir}utes - .#
one-on-one, followed by - ':minutes;,:tn plenary;
interpretation required) -Chancellor Kohl faces
reelection in 1987; the D.ut oihe i$ ,nQt :ceztain'
but looks good for Kohl. He :'r-emait)x-`the butt of
-jokes in the media, but is popd~ai `:ii: -the
average German. The German:..ec9nomy -j5 doing ..
reasonably well, though ,,une-mpl-oyment--?(iQ,~'4J is
high. Anti-nuclear .feel;ngs. have `subsided;, :and
the peace movement is?ilieas ..artftte Discussion
topics will.cover.. develappner%t?s'_;ti Xast-w,esf
relations, including imp'r sgion~,'of :6orbachev,
arms control, SDI (.Kahl-: is '-supportive, of. the
research program and is interested in joint
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
CONFIDENTIAL 2
PLE
cooperation but questions SDI's long-term impact
on European security); economics (Germans are
impressed with the US recovery, which has
stimulated their own economy). In light of the
President's upcoming address before the European
Parliament, he may want to encourage a discussion
on the state of intra-European relations
(prospects for.greater harmonization of policies,
implications of EC enlargement, Franco-German
relationship).
2:15-2:45 p.m. Meeting with Prime Minister Nakasone. The
President can use this meeting to press for
further progress on bilateral trade issues and to
coordinate US-Japanese strategy for the Summit.
3:00-4:00 p.m. Meeting with President Mitterrand. Mitterrand
pressed for this meeting, in part to substitute
for the cancelled lunch in Strasbourg, and
adjusted his arrival in Bonn to fit the
President's schedule. Mitterrand is likely to be
the biggest obstacle to a successful summit,
particularly on a new trade round, and this
meeting will be the best opportunity to bring him
around.
6:00 p.m. Meeting with Prime Minister Thatcher (30 minutes
at Schloss Gymnich). Mrs. Thatcher wanted this
one-on-one meeting to reinforce public perception
of her close relationship with the President.
She may use it for last-minute Summit
coordination, discussion of U.S. domestic
political issues (budget, etc.) and sharing of
views on international issues (East-West, Arms
Control).
1985 ECONOMIC SUMMIT
May 2-4
The Summit will start at 6:30 p.m. on Thursday
with an informal "mix-and-mingle" reception at
Schloss Augustusburg, a baroque palace near
Cologne. Substantive discussions will begin at a
working dinner for Heads of State/Government that
evening.
The formal program on Friday and Saturday will
follow the general format of London and
CKONTIAL
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
WNEID9ffIGL
Williamsburg. In addition to addressing
political issues (and possibly adopting a
declaration commemorating the 40th anniversary of
the end of World War II), we expect the Summit to
recognize the broad convergence that now exists
in the economic policies of Summit countries. We
want to focus attention on the need for
structural change, especially in labor markets,
to promote stable growth of output and employment
in Europe, and on more rapid liberalization of
the Japanese markets. Commitment to a new round
of trade negotiations will be an important
objective (controversial with France, Italy and
the EC Commission). France may insist on
monetary reform negotiations and try to link them
to a new trade round. Other themes will include
international debt, energy, and the manned space
station. For domestic political reasons, Kohl
will want to highlight environmental issues,
particularly acid rain.
rm. inFNTie1
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
SECRET
I .rjRAAIDUM FOR: The President
SUBJECT :
Visit of Egyptian President Mubarak
I. WHERE DOES OUR RELATIONSHIP STAND?
Relations have remained warm and strong since
Mubarax's last visit in March.
o Successful large U.S.-Eqyptian military exercise
(Bright Star 85) held in Egypt this summer.
o Congress appropriated $500 million in
supplementary economic assistance.
o New Egyptian government, led by Prime Minister
-Ali Lotfy, will not affect bilateral relations .
o Egyptian support for our efforts with Jordan or,
behalf of direct negotiations with Israel
o Continued improvement in Frjyptian-Israeli
relations, including return of the Egyptian
Ambassador to Israel and resolution of the Taba
dispute.
o Sharing of candid assessments of situatierF ir.
Sudan and Libya.
n Bold Egyptian government measures to confront
Egypt's serious economic problems and
continuation of the current economic
dialogue with the U.S.
~. Be tter security cooperr,tior.: specifi(-:,1;.,
Egyptian approval of nuclear-powered wi-_rsi,l!
transits throL-1h the Suez Canril.
0 Selection of Westinghouse-led cpnsortiur^ to l,ui 1':
Egypt's first nuclear power plant.
SECRET
DECL: OADR
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
SECRET
- 2 -
III. WHAT DO THEY WANT?
o Reinforce Mubarak's image as a world leader with
a special relationship with you.
o A more active U.S. role in the peace process:
specifically, an early U.S. meeting with a
Jordanian/Palestinian group.
o Set stage for continued high levels of economic
assistance: specifically to press long-standing
request for FMS debt relief.
IV. WHAT CAN BE ACHIEVED FROM THIS VISIT?
o Reaffirmation of shared commitment to promote
direct negotiations between Israel and a
Jordanian-Palestinian delegation and to improve-
ment in Egyptian-Israeli relations.
o Better B3YPtian understanding of a) limits to our
ability to provide economic assistance and b)
their responsibility to develop long-term
solutions to their economic problems.
o Improved prospects for Westinghouse-led
consortium.
o Perhaps present some ideas on resolving Taba
dispute, depending on status of Bgyptian-Israeli
efforts.
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
 WITE CHANCELLOR KOHL
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
VVl %i ILJLI I I IM.
SUGGESTED TALKING POINTS FOR TEE PRESIDENT'S r:EFTINv
U.S.-GERMAN
RELATIONS
-- Appreciate very much your personal involvement
in trip preparations.
-- Very pleased with personal relationship we
have established, intend to continue close
consultation.
-- We continue to seek reductions to around 5000
strategic ballistic missile warheads for both
sides and reductions to the lowest possible equal
global limits on LRINF missiles. Out negotiators
have great flexibility to strike deal with USSR.
-- Need to retain Western unity as we pursue
multilateral arms control issues: at CD in
Geneva, at CDE in Stockholm, at t3FR in Vienna.
While recent Eastern MSFR proposal offers little
that is new, we are considering it carefully in
determining next steps. Want CDE to deal in
specifics, not unverifiable statements of
intention.
-- In IEF, Soviet revival of familiar moratorium
and reduction proposals is a disappointment; our
position remains sound, and we are prepared to be
flexible if Soviets show seriousness.
D
ARMS Q -- Goal in Geneva is to increase strategic
CCCtROL stability through deep reductions in number and
power of strategic and intermediate-range
offensive nuclear arms.
-- Visit to FRG to close to this importii
9
P F
anniversary underlines reconciliation and close
cooperation as we look to the future.
My friend Charlie 'Kick has told me about
i
k
hi
h h
d
d
i
ve wor
w
00,
mpress
Ambassa
or von
c
e an
ci AVM ,, Staden have done on contacts. I support fully.
-- We will continue to pursue SDI research in e
manner consistent with AB?, Treaty. We see it as
a prudent hedge in light of Soviet efforts.
-- Any deployment would, because of AE?' treaty,
be a matter for negotiation with Soviets.
rn
-- While we hope that effective defenses could
eventually help achieve a world free of nuclear
weapons, this is long-term prospect. For
foreseeable future, we must continue to rely on
effective, modernized nuclear deterrent forces.
Pleased that you have also emphasized this point.
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
 1 _1 1'110- 1 1 t? I I Ili!
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
0
-- What are your thoughts concerning Redu
participation in SDI research?
AST- -- Deeply disturbed by shooting of Maj. Nicholson
'I. by Soviet sentry. Working with Soviets to see
LATIONS that such incidents do not recur.
O.ft New possibilities open in all areas of
U.S.-Soviet relations: arms control, human
rights, regional problems, and bilateral issues.
-- }leased that Gen. Secy. Gorbachev willing to
meet me. Have agreed that we will defer setting
date and venue for time being. Don't expect any
rapid breakthroughs, but summit provides personal
high-level impetus to our relations.
-- Support your own efforts to expand contacts
with GDk, Soviet Union, and Eastern Europe. it
is important that the Western Allies pursue a
coherent policy in regard to GDR so that their
common interest in Berlin and Alliance security
is served.
ECONOMIC -- Congratulations on preparations. Meetings
SU will fit in well with our themes of post-war
reconciliation and looking together to the future.
-- Important that we demonstrate the sincerity of
our commitment to fight protectionist, by
explicitly setting an early 1986 date for
be5inning a new trade round.
CENTRAL -- There will be no enduring peace in Central
A1.LRICA America unless there is national reconciliation in
Nicaragua.
-- The Nicaraguan opposition's March 1 peace
offer and my April 4 proposal address this need.
The Church has reiterated its call for dialogue
and agreed to mediate.
-- Duarte crossed the psychological threshold to
dialogue with the armed opposition. European
democrats have a responsibility to help convince
the Sandinistas that they must do the same.
-- Important for European publics to understand
actual state of affairs in Nicaragua and for
Sandinistas to understand that they will not gain
the international legitimacy they seek if they
continue on present course.
-- Preparations for second EC-Central American
conference useful opportunity for getting this
message across.
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
Meeting with Chancellor Rohl
-- 45 minutes one-on-one, followed by 45 minutes in plenary;
interpretation required).
-- Chancellor Kohl faces reelection in 1967; the outcome is not
certain but looks good for Kohl. Be remains the butt of jokes in
the media, but is popular with the average German.
-- The German economy is doing reasonably well, though
unemployment (10.5 t) is high.
-- Anti-nuclear feelings have subsided, and the peace movement
is less active.
-- Discussion topics will cover:
-- developments in East-West relations, including
impressions of Gorbachev;
-- arms control, SDI (Kohl is supportive of the research
program and is interested in joint cooperation but questions
SDI's long-term impact on European security);
-- economics (Germans are impressed with the US recovery,
which has stimulated their own economy).
. -- In light of the President's upcoming address before the
European Parliament, he may want to encourage a discussion on the
state of intra-European relations (prospects for greater
harmonization of policies, implications of EC enlargement,
Franco-German relationship).
SPI, P PE ,-. c J2_
y-
WHADENTIAL
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
Your Meeting axe F DENTIaI
Plenar session, March 16sJ1ro1
10-12
e
l?
Bonn Summit
Atmosphere for Summit is positive: growth
is strong and inflation low.
-- Summit should explicitly endorse new round
of trade negotiations eatly next year; wel-
come Canada's support for this objective.
Political agenda not yet fixed, but terror-
ism and arms talks likely major topics.
CONFlUEN11AL
Plenary Session, March 16, 10-12 a.m. Cont.
Global Economic Issues
Strength of dollar reflects market confi-
dence in US economic performance.
Freeing private sector from regulation and
reducing burden of government are import-
ant steps.
Open trade/investment climate important;
we're working hard to resist protectionist
pressures.
Debt strategy is working; we should en-
courage market-oriented policies for LDCs.
CONFIDETIAI
Pl
enary Session t4arch 18, 20-22 a.m. Cont.
Bilateral Economic issues
I welcome our progress in resolving long-
standing trade/economic disputes.
I look forward to results of your trade
policy review; US ready to respond posi-.
tively to trade liberalizing initiatives.
Your investment regime reforms represent
important first step, towards liberalization
and are encouraging. We look forward to
further progress.
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
-
- I,Lwof-
`__31_V,J1 IM` r --
"&bVc- L?
HUMAN RIGHTS, SOUTH AFRICA, TERRORISM:
FrI
o Human Rights will be very high on the Geneva agenda.
The Soviets committed themselves to respect basic human
rights by signing Universal Declaration of Human Rights
and Helsinki Final Act. Failure of Soviets to meet
commitments is matter of great concern.
o We don't seek to impose our system on others. Not
asking Soviets to violate own laws. Do insist that
they meet international commitments.
o We demand this because our sense of the worth of the
individual would not let us do otherwise. A state that
does not respect the basic rights of its own citizens
cannot be trusted to respect the basic rights of other
countries.
o Improvement in Soviet fulfillment of international
standards of human rights is central to any long-term
improvement in East-West relations.
0 The crisis in South Africa must be settled by South
Africa. We want a peaceful solution. We deplore
apartheid and want it to end. The United States urges
dialogue between the government and representative
black leaders in South Africa that would lead to an end
to apartheid.
o Stamping out terrorism should not jeopardize relation-
ships with friendly governments. All states have an
obligation to cooperate in eliminating terrorism.
o Hundreds of Americans lost their lives to terrorist
actions before we intercepted the airliner, and there
are dangers yet to come.
o We are not going to be cowed by terrorists. If we have
a chance to bring murderers to justice, we will do so.
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4 Lab 2
p, n
purpose: to provide factual background information in a concise
format.
format: one page, using headings in logical progression, with
bullets for main points and ticks for subsidiary points
under each heading. Should provide principal a concise
overview of the issue discussed, including where it
stands and what we should do about it. Incomplete,
telegraphic sentences preferred.
uses: mostly briefing books. Fact sheets'are a condensed
version of the background papers earlier provided for
trips, visits, testimony and to the White House.
Topics covered range from the general, e.g. "US-British
Relations" to the very specific, e.g. "Israeli Cabinet
Formation".
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
 ^ Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
LL l~ FACT SHEET: HUSSEIN-ARAFAT AGREEMENT
HUSSEIN-ARAFAT DIALOGUE
o At Nov. PNC in Amman, Hussein openly challenged the PLO to
accept UNSC Res. 242 & abandon call for independent Palestinian
state.
o Hussein needs Palestinian support for direct negotiations with
Israel on West Bank & Gaza.
o The Jordan-PLO dialogue produced a document, agreed to in
mid-Feb.; different tests & interpretations exist, but basic
points are:
"land for peace formula," but no explicit acceptance of
UNSC 242
Palestinian self-determination w/i confederation with
Jordan, including two states of Jordan & Palestine
Solving'Palestinian refugee problem per UN resolutions
Solving all aspects of Palestine question
International conference with a joint
Jordanian-Palestinian delegation
II. REGIONAL REACTION
o Mubarak has termed Hussein/Arafat agree't a step forward and
suggested a U.S.-hosted preparatory talks betwn Israel &
Jordan-Palestinian delegation.
o Peres has reacted skeptically, but welcomed Mubarak call for
direct talks between Israel & Jordanian-Palestinian delegation
(no PLO).
III. U.S. POSITION
o U.S. ready to support direct talks; remains opposed to
international conference.
o U.S. termed Hussein/Arafat agree't positive if it facilitiates
Jordanian entry into negotiations.
o U.S. supports Palestinian participation at every stage of peace
process; remains committed to Sept. 1 initiative.
U.S. will not recognize or negotiate with PLO until PLO:
recognizes Israel's right to exist, and
recognizes UNSC Res. 242 & 338
IV. KEY QUESTION
0 Are Jordan and Palestinians ready to enter into direct
negotiations with Israel on basis of UNSC Res. 242?
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
Press Points: Central America 98 9 PLE
Our Central America policy of support for democracy and
dialogue is workin . First Reagan term progress needs to be
consolidate in second. El Salvador, Honduras and Guatemala
are joining Costa Rica as democratic societies. The
Sandinistas are preventing Nicaragua from joining the trend.
Our Objectives
-- Successful diplomacy in Central America requires that
we sustain the entire economic and military assistance
program proposed by the President.
Basic Message
Democracy
Trend is strongly toward democratic reformist regimes.
El Salvador situation improved markedly -- decline in
politics violence, economy growing, strict rules on
serial bombardment.
-- Honduras consolidating democratic rule.
-- Democracy making a beginning in Guatemala.
-.Nicaragua
Only in Nicaragua has clock been set back --
Sandinistas intent on establishing one-party state,
with same apparatus of repression found in other
totalitarian states.
Events since sham elections -- censorship increased,
forced relocation of peasants, detention of leading
opposition figure -- show real Nicaraguan intentions.
Rejection of March 3 San Jose opposition manifesto is
setback to peace.
Repression and control of labor and press,
militarization of society_on Cuban model continue.
-- U.S. has moral obligation to help Nicaraguan
opposition. Experience shows pressure on Sandinistas
contributes to negotiations and regional stability.
Contadora
-- Contadora has come through a rough period caused by
Nicaraguan intransigence in asylum dispute, now ready
to resume.
-- Key question -- is Nicaragua willing to negotiate?
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
98MNPdE
CONFIDENTIAL
USSR ECONOMIC DATA CHART
1. ECONOMIC INDICATORS:
la. Population (mid-year, million) 267.7
lb. Gross National Product [$(1984)billion] 1,820
lc. GNP Per Capita ($) 6,800
ld. Real GNP (% change based on ruble value) 1.9
le. Investment/GNP ratio ($) 33.0
if. Defense/GNP ratio (%) 13-14
2. AGRICULTURE (July - June Marketing Year)
2a. Grain Harvest (million metric tons) 160
2b. Grain Imports (mmt) 46
2c. Grain Imports from US (mmt) 15
3. ENERGY
3a. Oil Production (million bbls/day) 12.18
3b. Oil Exports (mbd) 3.22
3c. Oil Exports to Non-Communist C. (mbd) 1.22
3d. Natural Gas Production (mil. cu.met./d) 1,274
3e. Natural Gas Exports (mcm/d) 170
3f. Natural Gas Exports to W. Eur. (mcm/d) 85
4. FOREIGN TRADE AND BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
4a. Total Exports ( million) 79,337
4b. Exports to US ($ million) 255
4c. Total imports ($ million) 73,158
4d. Imports from US ($ million) 2,310
4e. Hard Currency Exports($mil, ex. arms) 23,672
4*E. Hard Currency Imports($mil, ex. arms) 27,778
4g. Trade Balance ($ mil., excluding arms) -4,106
4h. Arms Exports ($ million) 4,300
41. Current Account Balance -175
5. EXTERNAL HARD CURRENCY DEBT
Sa. Cross Debt ($ billion) 20.9
5b. Net Debt ($ billion) 12.5
5c. nebt-service ratio (%) 17
1982 1983 1984
270.0 872.5 275.0
1,861 ,902 1,958
6,890 6,980 7,120
2.6 3.7 2.5
34.0 34.0 34.0
13-14 13-14 13-14
180 195 170
32 33 50
6 10 20
12.26 12.32 12.23
3.39 3.59 3.77
1.56 1.75 1.80
1,374 1,467 1,603
167 173 183
76 78 74
87,168 91,652 91,491
214 446 376
77,847 80,445 80,353
2,882 2,119 3,480
26,447 26,418 26,014
27,501 27,707 27,439
-1,054 -1,289 -1,425
5,500 6,000 5,520
4,333 4,663 4,700
20.0 20.5 20.7
10.0 9.5 10.4
16 17 N.A.
1985 E
190
35
9
1.20
1,729
39,900'
170'
42,000*
2,460*
9,600*
14,000*
-4,400'
1,800*
N.A.
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05 CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4
MEXICO AT A GLANCE
9pdC
Now at the end of the second year of a three-year IMF program,
Mexico has made enormous improvements in its external accounts and
will'experience real growth (though not per capita growth) for the
first time since 1981.
Mexico was the first debtor country to reschedule its privately-
held debt on a multiyear basis, achieving longer repayments and lower
spreads. Nevertheless, Mexico is likely to face a new payments
squeeze in 1988-1989, when high levels of amortization resume.
The U.S. role in the Mexican recovery is vital. Mexican exports
to the U.S. are three-fourths of total Mexican exports and equal
eight percent of GDP. Mexico's exports to the rest of the world
have actually fallen over 1982-1984.
1982
GDP ($ Billions) 171
GDP per capita $2,340
Investment/GDP 21.2%
Public Sector Fiscal
Balance/GDP -17.6%
Inflation (CPI) 98.8%
Exports ($ Billions)
Imports ($ Billions)
Debt Service/Exports
(before rescheduling)
Interest Payments/Exports
Current Account Balance
($ Billions)
1983
145
171
$1,930
$2,220
16.5%
N/A
-8.3%
-6.5%
80.8%
60.0%
World/US
World/US
World/US
22 16
14 9
22 17
8 5
25 19
11 7
42.4%
49.8%
47.4%
26.0%
24.7%
27.4%
-5.5
+5.5
+3.5
CONFIDENTIAL
Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/04/05: CIA-RDP87M00539R003205330009-4