CHINA'S MERCHANT FLEET EXPANSIOIN SINCE 1971

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Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP86T00608R000500230016-6
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RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
19
Document Creation Date: 
December 9, 2016
Document Release Date: 
February 14, 2000
Sequence Number: 
16
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
June 1, 1975
Content Type: 
REPORT
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PDF icon CIA-RDP86T00608R000500230016-6.pdf671.35 KB
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nc~ wl~~'~l i ~une~ Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000500230016-6 Secret Nn 1?iirril;a l~ii~~n1 China's Merch~rnt .Meet F.~ j~~rusir~~t .Since 1971 Secret ER RP 75.16 June 1975 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000500 op 0016 2 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000500230016-6 NATIONAL SECURITY INFORMATION Unauthorized Disclosuro Sublact to Criminal Sanctions CI~~~1/Nd by O16J1D CM~mpl /rom p~n~r~l d~cl~s~I/1:~IMn ~cAWul~ o/ l.O. 11E64, ~~~mpibn cat~pory: 4 60(11, (Z1, end (J) Aulorrollc~IM d~cl~~~ItNd on: D~t? Impo~~IDI~ to D~I~rmM~ Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000500230016-6 $ncrot Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :~i~kwF~DR~3&T00608R000500230016-6 CIIINA'S MI?ItCIIAN'1' 1~ 1.,1:1:'1' I~;XI'ANSIUN 'iINCI~: 1 x)71 SUMMARY ANG CONCLUSIONS I. C'hina's international ntert:h;utl Ilcel is growing rapidly. Since the end of 1971 it h;~s acynirecl ntorc than 2 million t!~adwcight tons (I)W'I'), enabling the I'K(' lu carry a larger portion ol~ its I'orcign track ant) reduce ch;rrtcring costs. Acquisitions have included the inlern;tlional Ilcct's first l;utkcrs ar:d hnik carriers, accounting for SO'/~ ol? lltc new lonnat;c acquired. '. Oscan shipping tonnage now cxcectls (, million I)W"('. The international Ilcet antl its joint stock companies control about, '?.~) million I)W'I', while C'hina's Ilong Kong 17ec1 owns another 1.4 million I)W'I'. The. coastal f7cet nuut;~ges the rcntainint; 2.1 million UW7', Z. ('hina is cauticnrsly movint; into r?cw shipping technologies. ('untaincrir.ation began with a limited China-Johan scrti?ice in 1973 antl expanded with an additional service to the United States and Western I?uropc from Flong Kong in 1974. "I'hrcc major PIZC ports now arc b~int, cc~uipped for handling containers. 4. 'I'hc sham. of IyRC trade carried by Chinese ships increased from Iess than 10'/. before 197? to about one-third in 1974. h~ addition, the acquisition of substantial tanker ;:nd bulk carrier tonnage has allowed the 17ect to carry a larger portion of China's l;rowing petroleum exports as well as grain, ore, and fcrtilircr. "I'he international lleet should approach 4 million I)WT by the end of the Fourth Five-Yc;tr flan (1971-75), with tankers and bulk carriers accounting for more than one-third of the total. 77tc role of the Ilong Kong Ilect vtiill dccainc as the international ~`~cet expands and international restrictions on Chinese-flag ships arc cased. Note: Comments and queries regarding this publication arc welcomed. They may be directed to of the Office of Economic Research, Code 143, Ex tcrsion 7931. 25X1 A Approved For Release 2000/09/14 : Cd~r~DP86T00608R0005002~~~0~1~,~~6 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :~+~~f4-RDP86T00608R000500230016-6 S. ('hinn's intcrnalionnl nicrchanl Ileel is cxpandint, rat-idly. Since the end of 1971 it has acldat :rver 2 ;pillion UW'I' al a cost of 't;700-$f300 million. Accpiisitions have inclt~dcd the fleet's first tankcrs* and bulk carriers, utnountin). to nu-rc than one million I)W'1', ctr S(-%~ of the tunnat,~ acyuir~~d during lhi, pcriocl. 6. 'Che international flc~~t was formal in I ~)(~ I with two freighters lransfcrr~; r.1 from dotneslic service and one passenger ship acquired abroad. I~Icuf. growth ~N:,~s steady during the. next decade, with the greatest expansion during Ic~~64-67, w!~~:~n pct additions totaled a!xnit 300,000 I)W'1', and in 1970, when 200,000 UW'I' enlcr~ed the fret. I3y the end of 1971 llte inlcrnational Ilcet Irul rcachc~d more il'uan H00, 000 . )W'I'. 7. Acquisitions accelerated in 1972, reaching 276,000 UW'1', more than twice the tonnage acquired i,~ 197{. I'urclt?.ises rontinucd in 1973 as another SS6,000 DW"I' entered flit Ileet, In 1974, new tonnage exceeded by 60'%~ the total added in the previous two years as about 1.4 million 1)W'I' was purchased for the international fleet. International fleet acquisitions during this pcriocl arc listed in "i'ablc 1. Krrlionale of Clrirrese /~%et /sxpassiurr $. 'fhc Chinese arc expandinZ; their international fleet to cart!; a grcal:cr share of their growing foreign trade anti to cut chartering costs. $~~foir 1972, the fleet carried slightly less than one-fourth of the total in 1973 and abo.:.,: one-third of trade in 1974. liowcvcr, as the fleet expands, severe shortages of shi'~1ed offic;crs and crews arc becoming evident. 9. China is still a major world charterer and a leading client in the London chartering market, with chartering costs exceeding $500 million, or approximately T% of China's import bill in 1974. During early 1975, however, a shortage of foreign ex,;hange curtailed some of this ac~i~~i'ly, T?te fleet's recent growth an.f the change in its composition is allowing Chinese ships to carry cargoes, particularly petroleum and bulk products, previously carried on chartered ships. The international fleet operated a tnnkcr, Hong Hu, between 1966 and 197?. '1'he Ta?Ch7ng 29, :: domestic-fleet tnnkcr, sailed to North Korea under intetnationm fleet rcoistry in 1972 and early 1973. 2 Approved For Release 2000/09/14SeC~lA-RDP86T00608R000500230016-6 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 : CIk~9Q~P86T00608R000500230016-6 ('binn: hrl.?nurllnnnl I~MeI Arqul+lllon., by Country of ('on~InrrNnn _ . _ . _ _ _.._.-__. _ __ Ihnuauul I)rndwrl~hl 7Lnn 1972 74 ...._._. I'l7~ _.... 197.1 _ 197. i'olyd I'alnl Nrw I)~cd 'total Ncw Uu?d '1'olul Ncw Ur,rd Inlnl 2,IH2,9 275.(. 1(1'/ 2 I6SA 536 2 1 rV d' , , 9.3 ;106,7 1,.451.1 .112.9 I,OIH.2 uu onununlvl I,H49.4 2117,H 41.4 IG6.4 493.0 '/H.1 ,19G.7 1,146.6 12H 4 OIH I 2 tiwcdcn 57H H 1117.1 1117.1 4'11 '1 , . 7 471 Wesrl~cunnnY 1?I,'J SH.9 SH.y 12.11 1?,11 !iI,U 10 4 . 'llp h Yul~u~luvr,r 165.1 ? 7.0 2'1.11 ,.. 6'J,? 6'!.? n'J I . 0'J I . . Nclhcrl,urds 14~S,N .41,.1 {~?1 H7.'J Hl.7 ~ , H 25 H Ilnikd klnl,dum I1~1,11 ?0.1) 26.11 '11.11 71.11 17.(1 ~ . 1) Il IIrIJ~hnn I I H.? .... I I H, 2 ,... , I I H 2 I~inlniul I(17.o 64.6 14.4 50.2 29.11 14.6 14,1 1 14 I~1 1 Nu1w~~V I HS . . .. 11.H .11.H 5,1.5 5 1 5 lal,an H 1.4 ?'/ 7 14.5 I5 ? 5i '1 14 h . , 1'> I Denmark 50.4 . . . '. 50.4 50.1 Ilancc 40.'1 25.0 .... 2.?.11 ,` I .'J . ') ~ I lay I?.5 _. .. 12..'; !J.ti _ . onunmdsl ' a;(.1.5 67.H G7.H .... 61.2 61.2 .... ... 2i4i.5 . 21)x.5 ( mw X10.11 51,2 51,'2 ~:?.l, 42.0 ._ 140.2 140J .... I ;icl Ucnnany ' OH.H 11.9 I1,'J Sd.'J 54 '! _.. ?Icnul 14.0 I4.h 14.0 . trunanl,r 14.1 _ , ?r .... .... - f%lc~ct 1'rofilc 10. The composition of the international f7ect shifted dramatically in 1974. At the end of 1973, general-purpose dry cargo ships accounted for 85`o of the fleet. During 1974, purchases of tankers and bulk carriers totaled nearly 900,000 DWT, reducing the share of dry cargo freighters to GO`%, by' thr end of the year. Pur(;1lascs in 1974 included 16 bulk carriers with a to?al capacity of SOC,000 DWT an(I 7 tankers with a capacity of over 400,000 DWT. With the addition of four more tankers in early 1975, the international t7ect's petroleum-currying capacity exceeds 600,000 DWT. This will allow the I'ItC to carry as much as one-third of 1975~s estimated petroleum capons a. 8 million tons to Japan. Chinese purchases, by ship type, arc reflected in Table 2, and t7eet composition at the end of 1973 and 1974 is shown in Table 3. (For a listing of international fleet ships, sec Appendix A.) 11. As tilt international fleet has expanded, it has improved in size and age. Witil the addition of the larger bulk c,:rncrs ar-d tankers, average size reached 16,000 DWT zt the end of 1974, about the world average and a 40% Increase since 1971. Average age decreased to about clght years. This trend should continue as larger, more modern vessels are purchased. Approved For Release 2000/09/14 : Cl~l~-'14DP86T00608R000500230016-6 5ecrnt Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000500230016-6 ('hiuctir Inlcrrurtitin;rl hlccl Acrluitiitions, by Shilr'fypc . I !)72 1973 1974 "I'ypc of Ship Nurnlxr of !ilrips 'I'housau'I Ileadwcight '1'a-ur Number of Ships 'fhousarrtl 1)eutlweiKhl Tons Number of Ships 7'huus;md 1)endwcight Tans '1't-Ial 2 275.6 37 SS6.2 61 1,35.1 Ury c:ng~r .~? .''1`~.r, ~7 .~42.?. 37 43G (i Bulk c;uricr ' ' ..., .... `- :?I I.0 I(~ , SOO S I ankcr ..,. ... .... .... 7 . 402 2 I'asscngcr/c;ngu .... .... I 3.0 I . 11.8 Chinese Inlcrnutional I~Icrt Composition, by SiuP ~1~YIx ~_ Nun~bcr trr strips ^ Thousand Pcrccnt _ ncadwei he Tuns __ or rlItermodal Shipping Technology 20. China is cautiously approaching new shipping technologies. Containerization, LAST-I (lighter-aboard-ship), and Ro/Ro (roll-on/roll-off) intermodal systems arc capital?intensive technologies requiring large initial investments in specialized ships, equipment, and port facilities. China's abundance of unskilled labor is a ready substitute for these systems at a substantially lower Secret Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000500230016-6 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 : CIAsRrnP86T00608R000500230016-6 cost. The efl~iciencier of these new Icchnolot;ies, however, arc hccominl; more attractive as I'It(' I?oreil;n truck expands. Ar ;~ result, the ('I~iinesc have cntcrecl tltc initial stage ul' conlaincrir.ution and arc actively exploring alternative intcrnxrdal syslcntr. 21. Clrinesc atnlaincriralion began with fhc crtahlirhr~~cnl of a joint Sinn-Japaucrc container scrvicc in September 19'13, Under a preliminary al;rcement, a .rial scrvicc was opened, with orte sailinr, a month by a Japancsc and one by a Chincsc ship. In November 1973 the YcnehenK, a conventional city cargo vessel carrying 30 amlainers to Kohc, hecanre the first Chinese ship to deliver containers abroad. Following the initial success of tltc trial scrvicc, two ,-apancse shipping companies agreed to expand their ser~?~~?~ to eight railings a month during the last half of 19'/4. Verselr in this trade call at Yokohama, Osaka, and Kohc in Japan artd at 'Tientsin and Shanghai in (:'hina. ?2. In the rununcr of 1974, the Chincsc began a limited container scrvicc to the United States and Western Europe from Hong Kong. Working with Danish Ma~~rsk Lines, cargoes arc amtainerired in China and shipped by r;~il to I Ivng Kong, where they arc loaded ors Macnk Lines containcrshiltr. This scrvicc is scheduled to expand in 1975 when Chincsc coastal vessels arc to load containers at Chinese ports and deliver thorn to }Iang Kang fur transshipment. ~3. The Chincsc arc cgttipping port facilities at Shanghai, Canton, and Tientsin for handling sr,~all numbers of containers. The inst;dlations nt Canton and Tientsin -two of C!t~na's major ports -will use spcciaiize~l container-handling equipment, some of i manufactured in Japan and the United Scats s. [3y the end of 1978, two cont~tin~~rship berth:; ~tiill be available at each of thy. three port,. The Role of the Chincsc International Fleet 24. Ships of China's international fleet were used most heavily in the Japancsc trade, followed closely by calls to Western Eurepe. In Western Europe, the Chinese fleet cr;;!ed most often at ports in the N-aherlands, West (;ermany, and Italy -- iml.~~tant sources of machinery, equipment, and fertilizers for the Chincsc economy. Chincsc ships continued to call at East European ports, particularly i., Albania and East Germany, but none has called at a Soviet port :,mce 1966. 25. Bulk carrier and tanker acquisitions totaling more than one million DWT have allowed the intentationai fleet to carry bulk commodities and petroleum in Approved For Release 2000/09/14 : C1,~4~RDP86T00608R000500230016-6 cret Approved For Release 2000/09/14s?`f?fA-RDP86T00608R000500230016-6 C'hina's Iradc for the first tints. ('OS('O's hulk carriers have p;u?licipaled in the grain h?aclc wills ('a~tada, nuslralia, nrgcnlin;t, and .lah:;~t. So far, the rapidly growing tanker fleet has principally r;uriccl ('Itincsc petroleum exports to .lap;ln. 'I'bis itadc is expected to IIICI'easc sh,u?ply in the next I?cw year;;, ol'fcrinE; aclclccl cluliloyntcul I'cr.~ ('hitrl's tankers. 2h. 'I'hc intcr~tatiunal fleet will continur to expand, increasing C'hina's .;hare of tltc ntoventcnt of its growing; foreign lraclc. I~Iccl tonnage should approach 4 trillion I)W'I' by the cncl of the I~ourlh I~ive-Year I'lun. Uuntestic shipyards arc. e.xpcctetl to dclivct? aver ::00,000 UW'I', and foreign purchases will adct up to I million UW'I'. 2"l. 'I'hc composition of the fleet will continue to shift toward hulk carriers and Lutkcrs. nllhough acduisilions of general carE;o ships wi!I continue, more cntphasis will he placocl colt additional hulk carriers for imports of grain, fertiliser, and other hulk contntodities. The. growth of the tanker fleet, however, will outshadow all other fleet acquisitions. "1'he fleet acquired over 200,000 UW'1' of new tanker tonnage during the first four months of 1975, about HO'i'~ of the. total tonnage aclclccl during this period. China is negotiating for additional tonnage in the 10,00075,000-UW'1' range and is actively socking larger (100,000-DW'I') tankers. 'I'rn growing irtpurtancc of I;etrolcum exports in China's foreign track and balance-of-payments position assures additional tanker pt.trchases through Peking's next live-year plan, beginnint.~ in 197h. 2R. Somalia's cancellation of i-s ~7oi; of convenience in early 1975 may hasten the transfer of the Chinese-controlled Hong Kong fleet -currently regisfercd antler the Somali flag - to China's international feet. A sudden absorption of an ~:;~ditional 1.4 t~tillion DWT, ltowcvcr, would worsen the international fleet's severe sl.ortagr. of skilled officers and crews. 11s a result, the Chinese may allow Hong Kong Chinese or foreigners to sail under the PRC flag or trar. ?fcr the 1-long Kong fleet to other flags of convenicncc. 29. During early 1975, as China encountered foreign exchange shortages, some chartering activity was curtailed and new shipping contracts were being settled in Hong Kong dollars to employ Peking's substantial Hong Kong foreign exchange resources. The foreign exchange problem, however, did not seriously impede fleet expansion, as purchases during the first four months of 1975 approached $(,0 million. Approved For Release 2000/09/14e1:-i'sIA-RDP86T00608R000500230016-6 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000500230016-6 Secret PRC: SHIPS CiF THE INTERNATIONAL MERCHANT FLEET AS OF 31 DECEMBER 1874 Ship Dcndwcight Tons Country Yenr Ycnr Acquired 'I'utrl (178 ships) 2,873,853 "I'icntsin Branch (;17 drips) 627,252 Baci Shan 10,442 West Germany 1959 1974 BoaUrtl; 13,851 Finland 1966 1972 C'hangting 14,605 Finland 1971 1972 Da Fcnl; 13,000 Chins- 1974 1974 D;t 1-.i 13,000 China 1971 1972 Da Xing 13,000 China 1974 1974 1)a 1'c 13,000 China 1972 1972 Uachcrtg 14,522 Japan 1973 l ~i73 Uaminl; 12,35(1 West Germany 1958 1970 Dalian 14,522 Japan 1974 1974 Uatung 12,352 Wcst Germany 1959 1970 Dunhuang 15,340 United Kingdom 1967 1967 Eiaifeng 12,530 East Germany 1969 1969 I'lainen i 2,430 East Germany 1968 1968 Flongmcrt t 3,870 East Germany 1974 1974 rluatinh 14,434 Finland 1972 1973 Jinn flu 50,390 Denmark 1964 1974 Jiangrnen 12,295 East Germany 1966 1966 Jiangting 14,SUcJ Finland 1972 1972 Jin 1iu 45,725 Sweden 1963 1974 Jinsha 15,340 United Kingdom 1967 1967 Jiujiang 15,663 Fence 1966 1966 - Lcting 13,893 Finl,+nd 1966 1972 Lqn~, Men 13,600 East Germany 1974 1974 Qimcn 13,870 East Germany 1973 1973 Tian Mcn 13,600 East C,crmany 174 1974 Xing 1-lai 30,525 Wcc' Gcrrnany 1961 1974 Xiu Shan N.A. N.H. N.A. 1974 Yanting 14,555 Finland 1973 1973 Yin Hu 58,555 Sweden 1965 1974 Yong Men 13,870 Easi Germany 1974 1974 Yu Hua 11,765 Netherlands 1958 1974 Yu Men 12,295 East Germany 1965 19!5 Yu Ting 14,200 Finland 1974 1974 Yun Hai 33,700 Sweden 1963 1974 Yushan N.A. N.A. N.A. 1974 Zhenjiang 15,663 France 1966 1966 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 : CqA-RDP86T00608R000500230016-6 Secret Approved For Release 2000/09/14 s~fA-RDP86T00608R000500230016-6 Ship Ucadwcixftt 'Tons 5hanl,hai liranch (Sx ships) 799,7.SS i'ountry Ycur Arquirr;I Anfinl; 14,32.6 Finland I'Ji0 1')71 l3ci An .},(,95 Rnntani:t 1'/74 I'~74 13ei Ilal 23,000 West (iennany 196.3 I')"14 13in 1L?!i 33,001 tiwcdcn 1963 I'?73 Ch:utt.; An 1,500 Rouuuri~t 19b7 1')c,7 Chao Yan}; I :3,4xx Chh:a 1967 1')67 Chonl~ Min}; 14,000 Netherlands 1961 1')74 Ding I~lai 16,205 Swcdcr- 19h.3 1')73 Dung An 4,695 Romania 1')74 I'-74 Dong Ilai? 2x,360 llnit?~d Kingdom 1965 1973 Dunl;fctrl; 13,4xx China 1966 1')66 I~cnl; I)ao 14,x00 (:'hin:t 1974 1')74 l~cng Gc 14,n00 China 1974 1974 I~cn}; Lang 14,H00 ('hina 1974 1971 I~cn}; Min); 14.x00 ('hin:t 1973 1')73 Fcng Qin~; 14.x00 China 1974 1')74 I~cng Xiang 14,x00 China 1')74 1')74 Fcrtg YanG 14,x00 China 1973 1973 I~cnL Yi 14,800 China 1974 1')74 Fcnl~ Yinl; 14.x00 China 1974 1')74 I~cngchcng 7,153 Pula-ui 1971 1971 Fcnbguan^ 14,x00 Chine 1971 1971 Fcnl;lci 14,163 China 1')70 i 970 Han ('boat! 14,000 Yugoslavia 1973 1')73 Flar. Yin 15,184 Wcst Germany 1970 1973 Flargshrti 10,801 Netherlands 1961 1972 liong Qi 15,952 China 1965 19(,5 Flau Yin 15,202 West Germany 19(,9 I7.1 1973 ( on1; Ihul 13,(H)5 5wcdcn 962 1'-73 Ihrlrt 12,514 Wrst (~crtnany I')S8 Ig72 Dade 12,(,23 Wcst Germany 1962 I'-7) Uanh:ll 24,800 llnitcd Kingdom 1063 1974 1)a?~ing 12,625 Wcst GcrnrlnY 19(,2 1')71 I)apu 12,548 Wcst Germany 195'r 19'11 Dcdu 10,2119 Swcdcrt 1962 1')73 Dung Mint; 15,424 Ncthcrl:utds 1964 1')73 Uongshart I I ,1 till Wcst Germany 19G I 1't72 Uunhu:l 12,430 Swc(Icn 1961 1970 Fuh:li 18,490 Ncthcrl:uuls 1963 1')73 Gao ! lu 74.480 Swalcn 1966 1'-74 (;uangllc 16,780 Wcst Gcrrnarty 1972 1')73 Guangrtting 14,987 Ncthcrlanc's 1965 ~ 1 )65 Guangsltlli 9,583 Ncthcrl:ut(1s 1')59 1')73 Guhal 47,750 Swcclcn 1968 ~ 1')74 Ilaining 11,650 Poland 19!9 196') HanNhou 10,020 Fast Germany 1958 1961 Hong liu 5,525 Swcclcn 1965 1974 Huang Ilai 22,140 West Germany 1961 1974 Hulin 13,500 Yugoslavia 1974 1974 Jiang Du 8,198 Finland 1962 1')71 Jianhua 5,400 France 1951 19(17 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 : QIA-RDP86T00608R000500230016-6 Sscret J~CEN Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000500230016-6 fillip ?I?oll,v ('ullnlry Year Yrnr Arquirrd .li:nlr;hlli '-,(,(lh Nclllcrland'+ 19(,1) 1 1 { J fnin7: I I ,740.1 Poland I1)(,(, 1) I nr, k ai I'InN I ti, 151 .Iapall I')h I { I ~)'1 Ku:ulg Ilai 11,45(- NonvaY I')(,S . 197! 1