USSR: GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT ACCOUNTS, 1970

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November 1, 1975
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STAT Approved For Release 2003/09/29 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Research mid. USSR: Gross National Product Accounts, 1970 A (ER) 75-76 November 1975 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 This publication is prepared for the use of U.S. Government officials. The format, coverage and contents of the publication are designed to meet the specific requirements of those users. U.S. Government officials may obtain additional copies of this document directly or through liaison channels from the Central Intelligence Agency. Non-U.S. Government users may obtain this along with similar CIA publications on a subscription basis by addressing inquiries to: Document Expediting (DOCEX) Project Exchange and Gifts Division Library of Congress Washington, D.C. 20540 Non-U.S. Government users not interested in the DOCEX Project subscription service may purchase reproductions of specific publications on an individual basis from: Photo.luplication Service Lib-ary of Congress Washington, D.C. 20540 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 USSR: Gross National Product Accounts, 1970 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Page Summitry .......................................................... I 1. Introduction ................................................. 2 II. The Statistical Results ........................................ 2 III, Incomes and Outlays in Established Prices for 1970 .............. 13 A. The Accounting System .................................... 13 13. Boundaries. ...., ......................................... 13 C. The Income and Outlay Accounts ........................... 14 IV. GNP in Established Prices .................................... 15 A. By End Use ............................................... 15 B. By Sector of Origin ........................................ 15 C. Reliability and Accuracy ................................... 15 D. Comparison with Official Soviet National Income ............ 17 E. Comparability with Becker's 1958-64 Accounts............... 19 F. Comparison with US GNP-Coverage and Classification...... 19 V. The Factor Cost Adjustment .................................. 20 VI. Directions of Future Research ................................. 20 Page A. Sources for Table 1. USSR: Household Incomes, 1970. . ............ 23 B. Sources for Table 2. USSR: Household Outlays, 1970 ............... 39 C. Sources for Table 3. USSR: Public Sector Incomes, 1970 ............ 45 D. Sources for Table 4. USSR: Public Sector Outlays, 1970..... .. .. . . .. 51 E. Sources for Table 6. USSR: Gross National Product in Established Prices, by End Use, 1970......... .......................... 61 F. Sources for Table 7. USSR: Gross National Product in Established Prices, by Sector of Origin, 1970 ................................ 65 G. Sources for Table 8. USSR: Gross National Product at Factor Cost, by Sector of Origin, 1970 ...................................... 79 H. Sources for Table 9. USSR: Gross National Product at Factor Cost, by End Use, 1970 ............................................. 89 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003#09.rA% , gDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Page 1. USSR: Household Incomes, 1970 .................................. 3 2. USSR: Household Outlays, 1970 .................................. 4 3. USSR: Public Sector Incomes, 1970 ............................... 5 4. USSR: Public Sector Outlays, 1970 ................................ 6 5. USSR: Gross National Product Account, 1970 ...................... 7 6. USSR: Gross National 'Product in Established Prices, by End Use, 1970. 8 7. USSR: Gross National Product in Established Prices, by Sector of Origin, 1970 ................................................... 9 8. USSR: Gross National Product at Factor Cost, by Sector of Origin, 1970 ......................................................... 10 9. USSR: Gross National Product at Factor Cost, by End Use, 1970 ...... 11 Page A-1. USSR: Disposition of Output of Commodities Included in Farni Household Consumption-in-Kind, 1970 ......................... 27 A-2. USSR: Valuation of Farm Household Consumption-in-Kind, 1970... 32 A-3. USSR: Meat Production-Slaughter Weight, Live Weight-by Type and by Producer, 1970 ...................................... 38 C-1. USSR: Subsidies on Government Purchases of Agricultural Products, 1969-71 .................................................... 49 D-1. USSR: Valuation of the Net Addition to Livestock Inventories, 1970 ....................................................... 57 D-2. USSR: Public Sector Inventories, 1969-70 ....................... 58 D-3. USSR: Collective Farm Working Capital, 1968-70 .. ............ 59 F-1. USSR: Gross National Product Originating in Industry, in Established Prices, 1970 ................................................. 69 F-2. USSR: Wages and Social Insurance Deductions in Branches of Industry, 1970 .............................................. 72 F-3. USSR: Fixed Capital in Branches of Industry, 1970 .............. 74 F-4. USSR: Gross National Product Originating in Services, in Established Prices, 1970 ................................................ 75 G-1. USSR: Derivation of Net Working Capital of State and Cooperative Enterprises and Organizations, 1970 ........................... 83 G-2. USSR: Gross National Product Originating in Industry, at Factor Cost, 1970... ............................................ 85 G-3. USSR: Gross National Product Originating in Services, at Factor Cost, 1970 .................................................. 86 II-1. USSR: Factor Cost Adjustment, by Originating Sector, 1970 ...... 92 iv Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 USSR: GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT ACCOUNTS, 1970 ' 1. Calculated according to US national income accounting standards, the gross national product (GN1') of the USSR in 1970 as 381 billion rubles in established prices and 340 billion rubles at factor cost. 2. The valuation in established prices uses official Soviet prices; the valuation at factor cost adjusts these prices up or down to take account of the actual resource cost involved in production. Most of the adjustments take the form of subtracting taxes, adding subsidies, or imputing costs of pro?- ductive factors not adequately recognized in Soviet accounting procedures. Because taxes, subsidies, and imputations have n.n uneven effect on the prices of different kinds of economic activity, the distribution of Soviet GNP by sector of origin differs widely depending on the method of valuation. 3. The distribution of Soviet GNI' by end use also differs depending on which price basis is used, but, not nearly as much. 4. A great deal of effort has gone into unearthing, adjusting, and piecing together Soviet economic data in order to construct the GNP accounts pre- sented in this publication. Nonetheless, this detailed work can only partially compensate for the deficien- cies in the official Soviet data. In particular, defense expenditures cannot be unambiguously identified in the "other public sector expenditures," and certain defense activity lies buried in investment and consumption accounts. In Established Prices a At Factor Cost a Gross National Product Billion Rubles Percent Billion Rubles Percent By sector of origin ....................... :180.7 100.0 340.2 100.0 Industry ............................. 157.1 41.3 07.5 28.7 Construction .......................... 25.4 6.7 30.1 8.8 Agriculture ........................... 70.5 18.5 09.4 2(1.4 Transportation ........................ 28.8 7.0 2(3.5 7.8 Communications ...................... 2.8 0.7 2.0 0.8 Trade ................................ 16.7 4.4 20.7 13.1 Services .............................. 40.(3 10.7 74.7 22.0 Military personnel ..................... 5.3 I .4 0.6 1 .1) Other and unallocated ................. 33.0 0.8 12.3 3.6 By end use ............................. 380.7 100.0 340.2 100.0 Consumption ......................... 219.6 57.7 194.6 57.2 Goods .............................. 1137.4 .14.0 115.6 34.0 Services ............................ 52.3 13.7 711.0 23.2 Investment ........................... 120.1 31.6 106.1 31.2 New fixed investment ................ 80.4 22.7 77.0 22.0 Capital repair ....................... 18.0 4.1) 14.9 4.4 Inventories ......................... 15.2 .1.0 14.2 4.2 Other public sector expenditures......... 40.9 10.8 39.6 11.7 General administration and iniscellane- ............. 10.0 2.6 8.7 2.6 ous services .......... Research and development (civilian and military) ......................... Outlays not elsewhere classified (n.e.o.)- tlefense, net exports, and unidentified outlays-and statistical discrepancy. 21.0 5.5 109.1 5.6 a Because of rounding, components may not add to the totals shown. ---- -- - - Note: This publication was prepared by the Office of Economic Research, Central Intelligence Agency. Questions on the publication should be addressed to the Director of Economic Research, Central Intelligence Agency, Washington, D.C. 20505. 1 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 5. The Office of Economic Research (OER) of CIA is called upon to make annual estimates of Soviet GNP in rubles, its rate of growth, its size relative to US GNP, and its allocation among consumption, investment, defense, and other end uses. The statistical weights used in these estimates are derived from detailed accounts of GNP by sector of origin and by end use constructed by OEM, analysts for particular base years. Previous base years were 1960 and 1968, with the accounts for 1968 being considerably less detailed than those for 1960. Because it major price reform took place in 1967, followed by additional changes in 1969 (the first overall --rice reforms since 1955), we have needed it detailed ,et of national accounts for some year after 1969. The year 1970, the final year of the Eighth Five-Year Plan, was the most recent year for which data were relatively plentiful. 6. The Soviet government does not publish it set of national accounts comparable with those of Western countries. Rather, it publishes national income data that are geared to its own definitions of economic phenomena and its own political re- quirements. Accordingly, official Soviet national income data have a number of major deficiencies: (1) they exclude most services-for example, it substantial portion of transportation, communica- tion, and government services; (2) defense expend- itures are huried in accumulation and consumption; and (3) detailed methodology and subcomponents are not published. In view of these problems, OER has followed the practice of US academic specialists in the field and has constructed GNP accounts that are independent of the Soviet national ag- gregates, using detailed but fragmentary data on economic activities published by the Soviet govern- ment, various Soviet economists, and other reputable Soviet writers. 7. This report presents the GNP of the USSR in 1970 in four ways----by sector of origin and by end use, each valued in established prices and at factor cost. The established prices are (1) prices fixed by the Soviet government, (2) officially approved market prices, or (3) costs of government services its reflected in official statistical data. Factor cost prices are established prices adjusted to better reflect the full resource cost of capital and labor; for example, government subsidies must be added to the price of it commodity to reflect its full resource cost. 8. The ensuing sections present the statistical results and describe the accounting system and valuation for the 1970 accounts. Detailed documen- tation of the derivation of the numbers is given in the appendixes. II. The Statistical Results 9. The Soviet GNP in established prices is based on two sets of income and outlay tables, namely, the incomes and outlays of households (Tables I and 2) and of the public sector (Tables 3 and 4). Table 5 shows gross national product as derived from the information in Tables 1-4. Table 6 shows GNP by end use, and 'f'able 7, GNP by sector of origin. Tables 8 and 9 present GNP at factor cost by sector of origin and by end use. Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : IA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 USSR: Household Incomes 1970 1. State wages and salaries ..................................... 1:32.059 a. Worker and employee wage and salary bill .................. 132.032 b. Profits distributed to consumer cooperative members......... 0.027 2. Net income of households from agriculture ..................... 41.577 a. Money wage payments by collective farms .................. 14.453 (1) Payments to collective farm members ................... 14.040 (2) Payments to hired workers ............................. 0.413 b. Net income from sales of farm products ..................... 8.264 c. Net farm income-in-kind .................................. 18.860 (1) Consumption-in-kind .................................. 18.347 (2) Investment-in-kind ................................... 0.513 3. Income of the armed forces .................................. 5.320 a. Military pity ............................................. 3.320 b. Military subsistence ...................................... 2.000 4. Other money income currently earned and statistical discrepancy.. 13.708 a. Private money income currently earned ..................... 2.669 b. Unidentified money income and statistical discrepancy........ 11.039 5. Imputed net rent ........................................... 1.080 6. Imputed value of owner-supplied building services .............. 0.880 7. Total income currently earned ................................ 194.624 8. Transfer receipts ............................................ 24.256 a. Pensions and allowances................................... 21.955 h. Stipends ................................................ 1.300 c. Interest income .......................................... 1.035 d. Net new bank loans to households .......................... -0.034 9. Total income ............................................... 218.880 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 USSR: Household Outlays' 1970 1. Retail sales of goods for consumption .......................... 147.015 a. State, cooperative, and commission sales .................... 143.180 b. Collective farm ex-village market sales ...................... 3.835 2. Consumer services .......................................... 25.932 a. Trade union and other dues ............................... 2.092 b. Housing ................................................. 3.429 (1) Cash rents ........................................... 1.091 (2) Imputed net rent ..................................... 1.080 (3) Repair .............................................. 1.258 c. Other services ............................................ 20.411 (1) Utilities ............................................. 3.478 (2) Transportation ....................................... 7.200 (3) Communications ...................................... 1.200 (4) Repair and personal care .............................. 4.674 (5) Recreation and culture ................................ 2.647 (6) Education ........................................... 1.064 (7) Health .............................................. 0.148 3. Consumption-in-kind ........................................ 20.347 a. Farm consumption-in-kind ................................ 18.347 b. Military subsistence ...................................... 2.000 4. Total outlays for consumption ................................ 193.294 5. Investment ................................................ 2.542 a. Private housing construction ............................... 2.029 b. Farm investment-in-kind .................................. 0.513 6. Total outlays for consumption and investment .................. 195.836 7. Transfer outlays ............................................ 23.044 a. Net savings .............................................. 9.720 b. Direct taxes ............................................. 12.737 c. Other payments to the state ............................... 0.587 8. Total outlays ............................................... 218.880 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 USSR: Public Sector Incomes 1 1970 1. Net income retained by organizations ......................... 34.782 it. Retained income of collective farms ......................... 7.186 b. Retained profits of state enterprises. . . . . ,.. , ? .. , ....... , . 26.481 c. Retained profits of consumer cooperatives ................... 0. 794 d. Retained profits of other organizations ...................... 0.321 2. Charges to economic enterprises for special funds ................ 12.414 a. Social insurance and social security ................ ...... . . 9.436 b. Education; research ...................................... 2.978 3. Taxes and other payments to the budget ....................... 126.517 a. Tax on income of collective farms .......................... 0.666 b. Tax on income of consumer cooperatives and other organizations. 0.11569 c. Deductions from profits of state enterprises .................. 53.110 d. Turnover tax ............................................ 49.380 e. Miscellaneous charges ..................................... 22.792 4. Allowance for subsidized losses, n.e.c ......... . ................ -19.454 5. Consolidated total charges against current product, net of deprecia- tion ..................................................... 154.259 6. Depreciation ............................................... 31.827 7. Consolidated total charges against current product .............. 186.086 8. Transfer receipts ............................................. 23.044 a. Net livings of households ................................. 9.720 b. Direct taxes ............................................. 12.737 c. Other payments to the state ............................... 0.587 9. Consolidated net income ..................................... 209.130 5 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 USSR: Public Sector Outlays 1 1970 1. Communal services .......................................... 20.351 a. Education ............................................... 15.034 b. Art ..................................................... 0.756 c. Health .................................................. 10.016 d. Physical culture .......................................... 0.545 2. General administrative and miscellaneous services ............... 9.971 a. General agricultural programs .............................. 1.130 b. Forest economy ........................................... 0.822 c. State administration (apparal) ............................. 3.952 d. Municipal and related services ............................. 4.067 (1) Culture .............................................. 1.379 (2) Municipal services .................................... 0.712 (3) Civilian police ........................................ 1.562 (4) Administrative organs of social organizations ............. 0.414 3. Gross investment ........................................... 117.537 a. Fixed capital ............................................ 102.433 b. Inventories .............................................. 15.154 4. Research and development (civilian and military) ............... 9.927 5. Outlays n.e.c. (defense, net exports, and unidentified outlays) and statistical discrepancy ..................................... 21.038 6. Consolidated total value of goods and services, exclusive of sales to households ............................................... 184.874 7. :Cransfer outlays ............................................ 24.256 a. Pensions and allowances ................................... 21.955 b. Stipends ................................................ 1.300 c. Interest payments to households ........................... 1.035 d. Net new bank loans to households .......................... -0.034 8. Consolidated total outlays ................................... 209.130 6 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 USSR: Gross National Product Account 1 1970 1 ncontes 1. Total income of households currently earned ................. 194. 624 2. Consolidated charges of government, social, and economic organi- zations against current product, not of depreciation ......... 154.259 3. Net national product ...................................... 398.883 4. Depreciation ............................................. 31.827 5. Gross national product .................................... 380.710 Outlays 1. Total outlays of households for consumption and inve., ,ment... 195.836 2. Consolidated total value of goods and services disposed of by government, social, and economic crganizations, exclusive of sales to households ...................................... 184.874 3. Gross national product .................................... 380.710 Incomes from 'T'ables I and 3; outlays from 'T'ables 2 and 1. Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 USSR: Gross National Product in Established Prices by End Use 1 1970 1. Consumption ............................................... 219.645 it. Goods .................................................. 167.362 (1) Food ................................................ 107.667 (2) Soft goods ........................................... 45.720 (3) Durables ............................................ 13.975 b. Services ................................................. 52.283 (1) Trade union and other dues ............................ 2.092 (2) Housing ............................................. 3.429 (3) Utilities ............................................. 3.478 (4) Personal transportation ................................ 7.200 (5) Personal communications .............................. 1.200 (6) Repair and personal care .............................. 4.674 (7) Recreation, art, and physical culture .................... 3.948 (8) Education ........................................... 16.098 (9) Health .............................................. 10.164 2. Investment ................................................ 120.129 it. New fixed investment ..................................... 86.364 (1) Machinery and equipment ............................. 25.300 (2) Construction and other capital outlays .................. 57.009 (3) Net addition to livestock inventories ................... 4.055 b. Capital repair ............................................ 18.611 c. Inventories .............................................. 15.154 3. Other public sector expenditures .............................. 40.936 a. General administrative and miscellaneous services ............ 9.971 b. Research and development (civilian and military) ............ 9.927 c. Outlays n.e.c. (defense, net exports, and unidentified outlays) and statistical discrepancy ............................... 21..038 4. Gross national product ...................................... 380.710 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 C)C)rn-r(C10Ir)CDC) rn ?., , ? t, 00 IC) N co O N M tr -+ M -r h- 00 CD cC M -r IQ 64 0 00 C'I CO o IC) o 00 cq -V M -4 W - MN?'N t.M rr 00 00 00 C) O 00 00 O M '" ko C) to 'O M ~ C? FS y v v' w c' [- 0 0 0 N O O CD .-~ 10 H N .-~ O O M cV I- O p N N to co - O. to O O O bA 07 00 CC O M '-~ 00 N M O O CO 9 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 CI Ir,, 00 co CO I) C) CO t~ O It CO t' 0 00 -r -M t. CIA -r-4-r1 c0 to 10 to c0 , (M M. r.11 rN I- M C4 M C11 -V CII I- CO CO -,r 10 cm ~ - 10 -,V 10 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86TOO608ROO0500110017-8 '.4 CO Q) - CO i0 C) 0 o Q) ti o i9 09 0J --M m C) O cCA c~ mrJ -I '0 -t' 0. 0 0 0 0 .M?1 Cy W C'J O) C j 00 t + O N. 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CO N N O O ?-~ to O, O O J O J 0 C. 0 0 00 a= C) I'. O (D 0 O I- 00 t t to 'r C) t N to `r -r N CV tD O O - M M M h ?-+ -}? M tD O N M .r onto I- -r 00 0 0 C U o o U Approved s a u - d O C C O. O ;a O. a c~+ o E v G_ w % F N L ? ? ? ?~ tb ~ ' L 01 C C C C C y b .N O 0 y 4 t0i wa C.o .C y h 0 .C E c C u o ;~ d aa, ?o o F? ~Ft~aaxtxr~x NU z CL >~ U.? ~C7 C) In 0 O C O h 1- ,M-i p h h N 'fl a C p 0 M 0) cm t O O O -r -r Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 III. Incomes and Outlays in Established Prices for 19711 A. The Aceoiiniml/ Sylslcnt I(1. The 011,11, accounting system for Soviet GNP is similar to the system developed by Abram Bergson and followed by RANI) Corporation re- searcherS in it series of studies far 1949-66.) Abraham Becker authored the most elaborate of these studies, for 1958-64, and our procedures follow his closely. 11. In brief, the accounting system encompasses all economic activity within two sectors, the houseliold'sector and the public sector. The public sector is defined to include government, the pro- ducing enterprises, and public organizations, such as the Communist Party, trade unions, and volun- tary associations. Since incomes and outlays must be equal conceptually, the discrepancies in the. two sectorial accounts provide it crude measure of the incompleteness or uncertainty of the data. 12. The income and outlay accounts are ab- breviated compared with standard Western na- tional accounts. The consolidation of government and producing enterprises and organizations into a single sector sacrifices completeness and detail but is consistent with Soviet organization and report- ing. All major economic activities wherever per- formed are planned or regulated by the govern- ment; many economic reports combine the trans- actions of the government and producing enterprises. The government, moreover, does not report many activities for which it has accounts. Because of the accounting consolidation, transac- tions between one part of the public sector and another are not shown. These transactions would be very illuminating if available: for example, those between economic enterprises and govern- ment or between banks and government. 13. The income and outlay tables are not separated according to kind of transaction-that is, the production, appropriation, and capital t Abram Bergson and hams Ilevtnann, Jr., .Soviet National Income and Product, 1940-48, Columbia University Press, New York, 19514; Oleg Iloeffding and Nancy Nimitz, Soviet National Income and Product, 191,9-1955, RAN 1) Corporation, I01- 2101, April 1951); Abram Bergson, The Real National I ncone of Soviet Russia since 1928, Harvard University Press, Cambridge, 1901; Abraham S. Becker, Soviet National Income, 1958--1961, National Accounts of the USSR in the Seven Year Plan Period, University of California Press, Berkeley and Los Angeles, 1969; and Sally Anderson, Soviet National Income, 196?1966, in Established Prices, RAND Corporation, 111Nt-5705-PR, Sep- tember 1968. accounts are not estimated. 'l'liis elaboration of the accounts would have been pursued if it would have facilitated the use of additional available information. ']'his does not seem to be the case. So far as is known, all relevant published informa- tion, with one exception, has been mobilized in these accounts. The exception is it series of Soviet input-output tables published in part for 1959, 1966, and 1972.2 Use of the input-output (1-0) data would not require an elaboration of the accounting system by type of transaction. Pri- marily, the 1-0 tables would permit it more detailed account of G 'N i' by sector of origin. Whether they would lead to it more accurate calculation of GNP and its major parts remains to be seen. The I-0 data are classified differently from the previously published national economic data, and the difficult job of identifying the differences and reconciling the two is still in midlabyrinth. B. Boundaries 14. The coverage of economic activity in these accounts generally follows the practice of the Bureau of Economic Analysis of the US Depart- ment of Commerce. Government purchases of goods and services other than by government productive enterprises are included in final product. In both the United States and the USSR these consist of some or all outlays on health, education, art, physical culture, defense, research and develop- ment, investment, and government administration. In the OER Soviet accounts government activities are valued at cost, as are government services in the US accounts. 15. The overall coverage of economic activities depends on the boundary between final and inter- mediate product. Differences between our Soviet accounts and the US accounts arise particularly in activities that are treated as enterprise costs in the United States but, because of different account- ing standards, as final product in the USSR-for example, some research and development. In ad- dition, the division of activities between govern- ment and nongovernment is so different in the two countries that serious problems of comparability arise. (A more detailed discussion of the compara- bility of the Soviet and US accounts is given in a later section.) 16. The USSR is predominantly socialist. None- theless, various private economic activities are officially sanctioned, such as agriculture on private 2'1'h(! 1972 table has just been published (.January 1975) in an incomplete form and has not yet been reconstructed by US economists as have been the 1951) and 1966 tables. Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 plots, marketing of the produce of private plots, private home building (for use but not for sale), and repair and personal services. In addition, it great deal of illegal production goes on. Bootleg production of alcoholic beverages is widespread, and many examples of using state equipment and materials for private production are cited in the Soviet press. Much of this activity produces useful services and fills interstices in the economy that the official system cannot fill. Although we ex- plicitly count only legal production of goods and services (as do the US national income analysts), some illegal incomes may be counted implicitly in the statistical discrepancy for household incomes. 17. Finally, we attempt to follow US practice regarding imputations and include in GNP: (1) consumption-in-kind of home produced food, (2) subsistence of personnel in the military forces, (3) farm investment-in-kind, (4) owner-supplied labor in private home construction, and (5) rental value of owner-occupied housing. C. The Income and Outlay Accounts 18. Household incomes in Table 1 include all wages and salaries, income from sales of farm product, imputed incomes, and transfer receipts. Although most incomes are reported by the govern- ment, imputed and private incomes must be estimated, along with military pay.' 19. The largest part of household outlays in Table 2 is represented by retail sales, which are officially reported. Stat.;-provided serviced are not, in general, reported and must be estimated piece- meal. Private services are also estimated, as are imputed values, such as rent of private homes, consumption-in-kind, and investment-in-kind. 20. Household outlays (including transfers) are accepted as the control total for household incomes. This generates a residual or statistical discrepancy of unidentified money incomes. The significance of this discrepancy is discussed below. 21. Public sector incomes is a more complex account, consisting of the unduplicated incomes of producing enterprises, public organizations, and the various levels of government. These incomes are mainly (1) the net income retained by enter- prises and organizations after taxes and (2) the taxes and revenues of government. To these are added expenditures of enterprises that are charged as costs but that really represent an allocation of incomes for taxes or final product expenditures on social insurance' and social security, education, and research. Finally, subsidies to ttroducers paid out of. government revenues are deducted, and depreciation and transfer receipts are added. 22. The total of taxes and other identified pay- ments to the budget in Table 3 does not equal the total receipts of government. The reported state budget. includes a large unidentified category of revenues' about which little is known. We have no way of determining how much of this residual income originates in the transfer of assets--such as confiscation of property and sales of reserves (gross or net)--or whether receipts from foreign trade are ,handled on a, gross or net basis. The procedure used here follows Becker in assuming that three-quarters of the unidentified revenues should be charged against the current product of the public-sector. The remainder is considered as receipts that are netted out of public sector outlays (for example, net additions to state reserves or unspent funds from the 1969 budget balanced against 1970 funds transferred to the 1971 budget), or as fictitious in some son le. In addition, we wish to exclude any accounting profits accruing from foreign trade operations so that GNP will be an approximate measure of the level of productive activity. (See Appendix C, item 3, e.) Accepting three-quarters as the dividing line is a crucial assumption, since total public sector charges against current product (Table 3) are part of the control total for GNP-GNP as the sum of household incomes and public sector incomes (Table 5). 23. Public sector outlays include all purchases of final goods and services by government, enterprises, and organizations. These are communal services provided primarily by government to households, administration and other government services, investment, research and development, outlays n.e.c., and transfer outlays. Investment outlays originally included in services, administration, and research and development have been netted out. They are included in the consolidated investment entry. All explicit public sector expenditures other than investment are current expenditures. 24. Outlays n.e.c. are the residual between ex- plicit public sector outlays and the total of public sector incomes. Conceptually, the residual includes those defense expenditures not included in other expenditure accounts, net exports at domestic prices, net expenditures on strategic reserves, other 14 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 unidentified outlays, and I. i?71ttistical discrepancy. The major components are a, t.ivitics about which the Soviet government publishes incomplete infor- mation or none at all. 28. Both the statistical discrepancy in household incomes and miscellaneous charges from budget revenues have been left in an unallocated row. 't'heir treatment in deriving GN.l' weights is discussed in the section on factor cost adjustment below. A. By End Use 25. GNP is derived from the income and outlay accounts as shown in Table 5. Total incomes of households and the public sector (net of transfers) are equal to total outlays of households and the public sector (net of transfers)-and to GNP. The breakdown of GNP by end use in Table 6 is taken from the outlay tables; outlays of households for services and for investment are merged with cor- responding outlays by the public sector. Consump- tion of goods is the sum of retail sales and consumption-in-kind, including military subsist- ence. Expenditures for defense are included in research and development as well as in outlays n.e.c. Outlays for military purposes may also be included in other end-use aggregates-for example, investment, education, and health. B. By Sector of Origin 26. The breakdown of GNP into value added by sector of origin in established prices is shown in Table 7. The components are wages, other and imputed income, social insurance, profits, deprecia- tion, and indirect taxes, less subsidies. The compo- nent totals are taken from the household and public sector income accounts, Tables 1 and 3. 27. The breakdown of the components of value added by sector requires a painstaking examination and rearrangement of Soviet data. In general, data for distributing state wages, social insurance, profits, depreciation, and indirect taxes among industry, construction, agriculture, transportation, communications, other branches, and trade-with services as a residual-are available from Soviet sources3 Other and imputed income, incomes of military personnel, and subsidies were estimated, sometimes from very indirc t evidence. The assign- ment of subsidies on agricultural products entirely to industry involves some overstatement, since a (relatively small) portion of these products passes directly into the trade net without industrial processing. a A further breakdown of value added into industrial branches and individual services is given in Appendix F, Tables F-I and F-4. C. Reliability and Accuracy 29. Efforts to estimate Soviet GNP are flawed by the same uncertainties that caused the studies to be undertaken in the first place. The difficulties include (1) secrecy regarding defense and related fields, penal populations and activities, strategic reserves including gold, and balance of payments; (2) inadequate reporting of services of all kinds, private activities, and many details of farm activi- ties; (3) confusion between intermediate and final outputs; (4) frequent reporting in constant prices without corresponding current price values; and (5) a pervasive tendency to withhold detailed definitions and explanations of methodological procedures. 30. We assume from the outset that the flows reported by the Soviet government are essentially complete within the framework of Soviet account- ing. That is, although some expenditures may be hidden in a budget residual or otherwise disguised or mislabeled, they are not omitted entirely. The outright omission of expenditures would require that some source of funds-perhaps enterprise profits-be correspondingly understated. This would amount to the "double set of accounts" that Westerners have speculated about for some years. Although such omissions cannot be ruled out, there is no evidence that they exist. In contrast, we assume that there is room for concealment of substantial amounts in the many unidentified (and identified) funds already included in our accounts. 31. In spite of these difficulties and uncertainties the GNP total in this publication seems plausible and accurate enough for most analytical purposes. The discussion below suggests that the GNP figure reflects errors in the order of billions of rubles, rather than tens of billions. In comparison with a total GNP of 381 billion rubles, this degree of error is not serious. It is certainly a much smaller problem than the difficulties in identifying and measuring growth in real Soviet economic activity and in making comparisons with other countries possessing different socioeconomic systems. The unknowns and uncertainties have a particularly serious effect on the analysis of the defense component of end use. Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 32. The accuracy of the estimated G N 1' depends defensible- an implied range of - 7 to + 4 billion on the control totals for.incornes and outlays. These rubles COutpti'ed With the ('stimate. The iiiIowaLI)CC are taken from household outlays and public sector for subsidized losses includes an estimate for hous- incornes. Household outlays appeal, to be nearly ing subsidies based on very indirect evidence. The complete, with the consumption-in-kind estimates major subsidy for meat and milk products, although resting or) reasonably good data. The estimates of not announced, is implicit in Soviet data. Subsidies nonagricultural private activity are weaker. These for agricultural inputs, the press, and tuts were include estimates of private home construction, repair, and services (based on information reported or estimated by Soviet writers) and estimates of private health and education services (judged to be 1'%, of the wage bill for the corresponding state services). The estimates may be too small. Many other kinds of private activities are referred to in the Soviet press; for the roost part they are illegal, such its pilfering or the use of private cars for hire, and probably not very large. If private incomes are understated, outlays also are. As an offset, retail trade includes commission sales of secondhand goods, and transportation and recreation include it part of business travel expense. (This overstatement is perhaps not much worse than it is in US accounts.) 33. The statistical discrepancy between explicit household income: and total household outlays is 11 billion rubles, or 51%, of total outlays. Becker's accounts for 1958-64 showed discrepancies ranging from 5Y2%) to 10%.4 The 1970 discrepancy im- plicitly covers a long list of incomes that could, not be estimated, such as prisoners' wages These incomes are individually minor but collectively may account for a substantial part of the dis- crepancy. This suggests that if outlays are over- stated, the magnitude of the overstatement is not disturbingly large. The same judgment applies to the personal consumption portion of GNP by end use, which comes from the household outlays table. 34. The public sector total for incomes and outlays is more uncertain. Most of the incomes are reported, and the accounting procedures are reason- ably clear. Thus, the figures for retained incomes, major tax revenues, depreciation, and social in- surance and social security appear to be acceptable. But enterprise charges for education and research and miscellaneous charges in budget revenues involve large margins of error. The former is not reported, and the estimate could conceivably err by 1 billion rubles. More important, miscellaneous charges were estimated to include three-quarters of unidentified budget revenues from the socialized sector. One-half or nine-tenths would perhaps be I Becker, op. cit., p. 19. o See Appendix A, item ?1, b. pieced together from fragmentary data. Although there may be other subsidies that we have failed to detect, it is unlikely that these could he large. On balance, however, the public incomes total of 209 billion rubles does not seem to be grossly wrong. 35. On the public outlays side, communal serv- ices and research and development seem to be properly accounted for in Soviet accounting terms. Conversely, the items under general administrative and miscellaneous services are not announced budget categories. They are estimated from employ- ment and wage statistics plus an allowance for materials expenditures. They are assumed to be funded ? 'ndcr the budget categories "financing the national economy" and "social-cultural measures," as well its in the provision for administration (1.7 billion rubles). The small item for administrative organs of public organizations (such as trade unions and the Communist Party) is paid for by membership dues paid by households. Total public outlays should also include defense expenditures, expenses of militarized security organizations, net foreign investment, and changes in strategic reserves. None of these are reported. Finally, in- vestment may include some funding of defense durable goods and defense construction. 36. Given these uncertainties in outlays, the public sector incomes total is accepted as the total for outlays. In an attempt to test the reasonableness of using public sector incomes as a control total, the outlays n.e.c. component of the public sector, out- lays in Table 4 can be compared with estimates of the entry's possible components. Total outlays n.e.c. are 21 billion rubles. Net exports of goods in domestic prices can be roughly estimated at a minus 6 billion rubles from estimated conversion ratios for exports and imports.! This leaves 27 billion rubles to cover (1) the part of announced budget expenditures for defense of 17.9 billion ruble., (as well as undisclosed defense spending) that is not covered in other expenditure accounts, tl Barry L. Kostinskv and Vladimir U. 'Trend, Draft Version of i'orciyn Trade !'ricers in the Sorid Union: Exports and Imports in the 1066 input-Ontp,d Table, forthcoming publica- tion of US Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Foreign Economic Reports, no. 8. Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 (2) ot-tltt l,~t~iQKt ~t~TiQi~r ~~,~3~Q)~C ~LOt~,t c~~1 o~lA- ~vl$,Lq tT P?RPRI MA1,1P0c1tirP inco-uc is the 1 billion rubles, and (3) changes in strategic reserves. 37. Because 1070 was it good harvest year (and 1069 was It poor year), net additions to grain reserves were presumably positive, however, I billion rubles would cover 10 million tons of grain. All gold production might have been added to reserves. ']'his would probably amount to no more than 0.3 billion rubles. On the basis of these rough calculations, some 26 billion rubles of the outlays n.e.c. category would be left over for unstated defense or other unidentified expenditures. Taking into account possible errors in miscellaneous revenues and in the education and research outlays charged to enterprise costs---the total might be 8 billion rubles too high Or 5) billion rubles too low. 38. Although somewhat inconclusive as It test of the public sector incomes total, the examination of the outlays n.e.c. residual does not suggest that the estimate of public sector incomes is too high or Loo low. The uncertainty in household outlays --the control total for household incomes-probably is considerably less than the uncertainty in the esti- mate of public sector incomes. Thus total GNP, which is the suns of public sector and household incomes (both net of transfers), does not seem to be seriously in error. 39. The individual components of end use other than consumption are less satisfactory. As noted above, some defense expenditures may be included in fixed investment. Furthermore, the breakdown of research and development between civilian and military cannot be deduced from financial flow data. '10. The sector-of-origin components are based on direct reporting for it very large part of their total values. Agricultural income-in-kind is based on reasonable estimates of prices and quantities. Other and imputed nonagricultural and private incomes and nonagricultural subsidies are less soundly based, but errors in estimates would be small in absolute terms and cannot seriously distort the distribution of value added by sector. The chief problems in the sector-of-origin breakdown lie in the unallocated row consisting of unidentified household incomes, miscellaneous budget charges, and it small part of depreciation. D. Comparison with Official Soviet National Income 41. The OEIt estimate of Soviet GNP cannot be compared directly with official Soviet national income because the coverage is quite different. A reconciliation, however, can be attempted by ad- justing GNP to the Soviet coverage and definition, insofar as this is known. The principal difference exclusion from Soviet national income of (I) most personal services as well its services provided by government ("nonproductive branches" of the economy in Marxist terminology 7) and (2) deprecia- tion on fixed capital ill branches of material pro- duction (the "productive" branches). Both cate- gories must be deducted from the Ol:lt estimate of GNP in 1970 to approximate Soviet "national income produced" as defined in official USSIt statistics. In addition, allowance must be Made fOr differences in the price basis of farm houschol(I incomme-in-kind and for the inclusion in Soviet national income of an "account of price difference,;" arising in foreign trade. 'I'll(! reconciliation of OER's estimate of Soviet G N P and Official Soviet national income produced in 1970 is shown below: (INI' (in established prices) I ...................... Less: 'I'll,' value added in nonproductive serviees~.... ,, I'etsotutl t.1,: nsport and cotntuuuivations't...... \Iilitary personnel costs I ................... . . Othat' nonprotltietive service. ?I ................ 5erviet ;s included in unallocated G N I''' ......... Depreciation on productive fixed capital ?........ capital.l .................................... Plus: IIU?m household imvnae-in-kind valuation adiust- tttettt? ..................................... "Account of pricy differenCts in foreign trade" I' .... hqu:tls: 61':13 implicit "national incowe produced," Sovietconcept ................................ Official Soviet national 111(01W' produced 10 .......... Differcuee ...................................... See 't'able 7. z fieri~?ed Its the sum of the parts. Billion Rubles 5151,9 5.:3 3(1.2 -1.11 25.3 302.1) 289.9 12.1 " Personal transport. Mid communications at9? estimated lit :30% of the total GNP originating in transportation and coin- ntunicatioa:. (33.11 billion rubles- Table 7). The nonproduetit9' shut',' is the ratio of nonproduclivc fixed capital to total filed capital ill the tao siclors ('l'sSU, A'orodnogc kho:)/ay.elro SSS1l r 1968 pelt, Moscow, 1960, p. 60 tit, hereafter referred to as A''trl,?ho: 1968, and situilanly for tither years in the series of official Soviet statistical studbooks) I Other nonproductive services are derived as the difference between total (1NP ot?iginsting in services (40,31 billion rubles 'fable 7 and Appvwlix F, 'I'nble I"-)) and services included in Soviet national income: (I) all productive personal services, that is, those included in industry (1.5 billion rublesAp- pendix I", Table F-2): utilities (2.0 billion rubles); and forest economy (0.5 billion rubles). (Sec Appendix h, 'fable F-1.) 1n Souicl accounting practice the main nonproductive branches are government administration, science (resenn'eh stud development), credit Will insurance, military personnel costs, health, education, housing, personal transportation and com- munications, recreation, and personal care. 17 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 r, Services Included II unfillovatod GNI' are estimated fir. I.1.7')4, of the total GNP not allocated to individual seetols (33.1 billion rubles--'t'able 7). 'I'll(, share is the ratio of the. total value added In personal tl'allspnl't and rummunicatious, military petwonnel costs, fill(] other nonproductive services to total allocated (.Nil, 11 Depreciation on productive fixed capital Is derived as the difference between total depreciation (31.8 billion rubles-- Table 7) and the sum of unalloatted depreciation (0.11 billion rubles---Table 7) and the depreciation on nonproductive fixed capital estimated to be included in the total (2.0 billion rubles). The latter includes depreciation allocated to housing; repair and personal care; reereatiou, art, and physical culture; and 30% of depreciation in transportation and couanultications. (See Appendix F, 't'able F-4, and 't'able 7.) 7 The residual book value of retired productive fixed capital is estimated on the basis of (1) the residual book value of re- tired fixed capital in industry in 1070 (0.837 billion rubles- V. K, Senchagov, Rinansal i effcklivnost' proizvadstrenrthkh fondov, Moscow, 1070, p. 1011) art(] (2) the share that industrial fixed capital represented of the total prodnrtive fixed capital (53%). Total productive fixed capital is derived its the stun of annual average fixed capital in industry, construction, agricul- ture, trade, and 70%, of the fixed capital in transportation and communications (Appendix G, item 4, tabulation, and note 3, above). 8 OER estimate. 11 Soviet national income produced includes it valuation in domestic prices of the gain or loss of resources resulting from it precise balance of trade in foreign exchange prices (at [,it(! actual level of exports or imports, whichever is lower). This valuation is estimated at TO billion rubles on the basis of the trade balance in foreign trade prices (Na rkhoz 1970, p. 615) and the estimate of the trade balance in domestic prices (p. 16, above). IoNarkhoz 1072, p. 533. 42. Soviet official national income produced and the OER implicit "national income produced" are arrived at by quite different accounting procedures, and, as a result, discrepancies and unallocated categories are different and differently handled. The Soviet calculation starts with the value of final product of the productive branches, including total transportation and communications. Deduction of the value of personal transportation and communi- cations gives final product of the productive branches. This total includes the value of household consumption of material products, materials pur- chases by the nonproductive branches, and gross investment in both productive and nonproductive branches. Then, depreciation of fixed capital in the productive branches is subtracted to obtain official national income produced. Thus, Soviet national income implicitly includes nonproductive deprecia- tion, since only productive depreciation is deducted from gross investment. 43. The OER calculation starts with estimatt,., gross national product, from which value added in the nonproductive branches is subtracted to obtain the 'ntlue of final product of the productive branches. As in the ease of the Soviet calculation, this remainder includes the purchases of materials by nonproductive branches, the consumption of material products, and gross investment, both productive and nonproductive. From this re- mainder, depreciation on productive fixed capital is subtracted to get the equivalent of the Soviet national income. 44. There is considerable uncertainty in this attempted reconciliation: (1) the content and coverage of nonproductive services in the Soviet accounting is far from clear; in particular, the breakdown of the unallocated value added of 33 billion rubles from Table 7 into productive and nonproductive activity is quite arbitrary; (2) Soviet accounting probably includes in final product-that is, the sum of net outputs-activities that OER does not consider to be value added; a:id (3) the Soviet calculations of farm income-in-kind and price differences arising in foreign trade cannot be duplicated closely. Nonetheless, the resulting dis- crepancy of 12.1 billion rubles, or 4.2oio of official national income, suggests a gross consistency between the components used in constructing GNP and those in Soviet national income. 45. Similarly, personal consumption as reported by the Central Statistical Administration can be compared with household outlays for consumption in the OER estimate of Soviet GNP. The reconcilia- tion of OER's estimate of household outlays for consumption and official Soviet personal consump- tion in 1970 is shown below: Billion Rubles Household outlays for consumption (in established prices) I ...................................... 103.3 Less: Services omitted in official Soviet consumption Trade union and other clues ................. 2.1 Housing-rent and repairs ................... 3.2 Other services 4 .............................. 1.1.1 Plus: Farm household income-in-kind valuation adjust- mertt5 ..................................... 0.1 Depreciation on housing e ...................... 7.0 Equals: Estimated Soviet "personal consumption". .. 181.0 Official Soviet personal consumption 7 .............. 177.9 Difference ...................................... 3.1 I See Table 2, item 4. 2 See Table 2, item 2, a. I Outlays for housing are derived its the difference between the total outlays of households for rent and repair of housing (3A billion rubles--Table 2, item 2, h) and households' pur- chases of state-provided repair (0.2 billion rubles-Appendix B, item 2, b, (3)). 18 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 'I Other servlees fire derived as Lhe difference between the total outlays of households for other servie,w (2(64 billion rubles---'f'able 2, item 2, e) and the sum of outlay's for (I) utilities (3.5 billion I'll bles?-Tabl+ 2, item 2, c, (I)) and (2) services included In Soviet retail trade (2,8 billion rubles). The bitter is the sum of (1) film rentals ((62 billion rubles -Ap- pendix 13, item 1, a) and (2) all other services included in retail trade, with the exception of state-provided housinu'repair (2.8 billion rubles has 0.2 billion rubles---Appendix 13, item I, it, and Appendix 13, item 2, b, (3)). r, Oh,R estimate, o See Appendix G, Table G-3, item 11. 7 Narkho: 11)7 2, p. 533. Once again there seems to be it general consistency, hearing in mind some substantial uncertainties about Soviet procedures and some information gaps. For example, commission sales in retail stores are excluded from Soviet consumption but included in OER's GNP because we do not know how large they are. 46. A reconciliation of the major sectors of origin in the Soviet breakdown and the OER breakdown in Table 7 does not seern to be feasible. There are important and unquantifiable differences in cover- age and definition. The major problem is the extent to which Soviet sectors are on a "pure" or commod- ity classification basis; in contrast, the OER sectors are on an establishment basis. E. Comparability with 13ecker's 19.58-6/ Accounts 47. The OER accounts closely follow Becker's format, classifications, and procedures. Hence, they are generally comparable except in the few cases where later evidence has called for some deviations. 48. The choice of control totals for both house- hold and public sectors is the same. Becker, how- ever, accepts an adjusted Soviet-reported tote.l for household consumption that is larger by 30/x, or 2.7 billion rubles in 1960, than the sum of his estimated consumption outlays. In the 1970 accounts, esti- mated household consumption outlays are slightly larger than the corresponding adjusted Soviet consumption and are used here as the consumption total. 49. In the public sector the only significant differcc:ce between the OER and the Becker accounts is in the approach to administration. Becker simply uses the budget item, administra- tion. In this publication outlays for "administration and miscellaneous services" are 10.0 billion rubles, compared with a budget item for "administration" of 1.7 billion rubles. The effect of this change in approach is to reduce radically the outlays n.e.c. The categories in Becker's accounts comparable to the 1970 n.e.c. are defense plus internal security minus civilian police plus his outlays n.e.c. Includ- ing civilian police, these sums range from 16.1 billion rubles, or 18.1% of total outlays in 1960, to 15.6 billion rubles, or 13.3% in 1964. In our 1970 accounts the outlays n.e.c. plus civilian police total 22.6 billion rubles, or 10.8% of public sector outlays. F. Comparison with US GNP--Covcratle and Classification" 50. US government expenditures, as reported, cover a wide variety of activities, some of which have to be separated and reclassified in order to compare US and Soviet line items. For example, producing enterprises of the US government-TVA facilities, for example-probably should be com- bined with private production. Health and educa- tion e- )enditures of the US government must be coma anod with similar private expenditures to get health and education totals comparable to those in the OER Soviet accounts. In addition, US GNP accounts do not initially separate current from capital expenditures of government as is done in the Soviet accounts. In particular, US government expenditures on highways, airports, utilities, hous- ing, schools, health facilities, and research facilities should be separated from current outlays on government. 51. Another set of problems involves the Soviet classification of activities as intermediate and final. The categories in question include research and development, economic administration, and "capi- tal repair." In these categories, some activity in the United States is financed by private business and is written off as a current expense; therefore, it is recorded as intermediate product rather than as final product. In each case a much larger part is included with final product in Soviet practice and cannot be separated. Consequently, direct international comparisons (such as those requiring conversion of Soviet GNP to dollars or US GNP to rubles) must reconcile the coverage of these categories. "Cc,mperison of Soviet GNP in established prices with US GNP in market prices raises questions of interpretation too numerous to be con:;'dered here. Some of these relate to the extent to which Soviet accounting actually reflects the cost of resources used. These problems are reviewed and attacked in the discussion of the factor cost adjustment in the next section. 19 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 V. The Factor Cost Adjustment 52. The objective of the factor cost, adjustment is to provide It measure of the resources actually allocated to various economic activities. An adjust- ment is required because established prices gravely distort relative value shares by sector or product group. For example, the incidence of turnover taxes r-rerstates the resource cost of the products of food and light industries relative to other sectors, and the absence of it depreciation charge for housing understates the amount of real resource use in that sector. In addition, Soviet prices do not accurately reflect interest on capital--a resource cost--but do include turnover and other indirect, taxes, state subsidies, and profits, which do not represent resource costs or represent them imperfectly. ? 53. The conversion of values in established prices to values at factor co,( then consists mainly of (1) adding charges on fi.:ed and working capital, subsidies, and depreciation in nonproductive serv- ices and (2) subtracting profits and indirect taxes. The adjustment to factor cost is first calculated for GNP by sector of origin (see Table 8 and Appendix G). An adjustment is also made to wages (including in-kind payments) and social insurance of military personnel to reflect the opportunity cost of military conscripts. The unallocated entry under indirect taxes of 2'.469 billion rubles disappears by defini- tion in the factor cost adjustment; unallocated "other and imputed income" remains and must he allocated by sector before the sector values can be used as weights for sector growth indexes. 54. Having estimated the factor cost adjustments for the sectors of origin, we then distribute these adjustments among the end-use categories (see Table 9 and Appendix H). The natural link be- tween GNP by sector of origin and GNP by end use is an 1-0 table, which shows interindustry transactions in a matrix form. With such a matrix, (1) the GNP sector-of-origin data can be thought of as the value added or third quadrant of an I-0 table, and (2) the GNP by end use can be thought of as the final demand or second quadrant of an 1-0 table. The interindustry matrix forms the first quadrant linking the two sets of data. Using an interindustry matrix that we have estimated on the basis of a Soviet 1-0 table for 1966, the changes in deliveries to final demand resulting from changes ? Although the new industrial prices introduced in 1066-67, excluding turnover tax, reflect real production costs more completely than did their predecessors, prices in most other sectors do not reflect interest charges adequately. in value added (that. is, the factor cost, adjustments) are determined. 55. These changes in the value of deliveries to filial demand are then distributed among the various end uses based on at percentage distribution of each producing sector's final demand among the end-use sectors. This assumes that the factor cost adjustment for any economic activity does not vary according to the identity of the customer for that activity. The separate factor cost adjustments for the various services (for example, liousing) were transferred directly to the corresponding end uses. The 1-0 table could not be used for this purpose, since it relates only to material production in accordance with Soviet concepts. 56. The present GNP estimates for 1970, al- though they represent a major research effort and contain at good deal of useful information, are only part of it program of continuing research. The components of the two totals, GNP by end use and GNP by sector of origin, are used by OER as weights in calculating two indexes of real Soviet GNP, both at least partially independent of the official Soviet national income series in constant prices. In particular, the OER index of GNP by sector of origin avoids insofar as possible the use of Soviet price indexes, which are largely unex- plained and are widely mistrusted by Western and Soviet economists. A subsequent report will present the indexes of growth of GNP and its components, together with it description of the methodology and sources employed. 57. Another promising area of research centers on the growing volume of 1-0 statistics. An attempt is being made to integrate the reconstructed 1-0 tables for the USSR with the OER GNP accounts. With a Soviet 1-0 framework extended to include the services included in GNP, the analytical useful- ness of the 1-0 tables should be enhanced-for example, in testing the consistency and feasibility of Soviet plans. At the same time, the scrutiny of 1-0 information may well lead to improvements in the GNP accounts. 58. Finally, basic material must be accumulated against the day that a new benchmark set of ac- counts becomes necessary. Soviet planners change prices with greater frequency than in the past. Certainly, price relations are unlikely to remain undisturbed for a period as long 'ws the time Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 betwei,t~RPFopy,RM Fug6i- glgf BRA, 0IR (QWi7:' 11 -RI E 6T006Q8R00050101c100~17-8utnbcn relations consequence, GNP estimates based on 1970 ac- and to show the structure of the economy more counts will have 'o give way in time to new esti- nearly its Soviet leaders see it. Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Sources for Table 1. USSR: Household Incomes, 1.970 1. State wages and salaries at. Worker end employee wage and salary bill The wage and salary bill for workers and em- pl,iyees of 132.032 billion rubles is derived as the product of the number of wage and salary workers (90,186,000-Nar/c/toz 1972, p. 504) and their an- nual average wage (1,464 rubles-Ibid., p. 516). b. Profits distributed to consumer cooperative members' I'rofits distributed to consumer cooperative members are estimated at 0.027 billion rubles, 2.02% of consumer cooperatives' net profits of 1.321 billion rubles (Ibid., p. 697). The share is taken its the salve percentage as experienced in 1962-65, when distributions to members amounted to 6,;.4 million rubles (P. I..Lyuskon, editor, 50 let sovetskoy potrebitcl::koy kooperatsii, Moscow, 1967, p. 142) out of consumer cooperatives' net profits for the period of 3.389 billion rubles (Narkhoz 1963, p. 637; Narkhoz 1965, p. 757). (2) Payments to hired workers front outside of agriculture (so-called "at:.racl,ed workers") are estimated at6 0,413 billion rubles on the basis of (1) the estimated number of hired workers employed in agricultural activity on collective farms (0.5 mil- lion) and (2) the assumption that these workers were paid the same implied annual average money wage its that earned by members (826 rubles per worker). The number of these workers is estimated on the basis of the total number employed by both collective and state farms (0.6 million--Nar/c/toz 1972, p. 406) and, in line with the past, the attribu- tion of no more than 0.1 million to state farms (see TsSU, Strana sovclov za 50 let, Moscow, 1967, p. 162--163). The implied annual average money wage earned by members is calculated by dividing the total money payments (14.040 billion rubles) by the annual average number of member-workers (17.0 million-Nark/toz 1972, p. 406). b. Net income from sales of farm products Not income of households from sales of farm products is derived its follows: 2. Net income of households from agriculture at. Money wage payments by collective farms (1) Payments to collective farm members are estimated at .14.040 billion rubles on the basis of (1) total wrge payments (money plus in-kind) of 15.0 billion rubles made by collective farms to members for their work in the various forms of socialized activity-agriculture, subsidiary indus- trial enterprises, the housing-communal economy, cultural-welfare institutions, eonstrl?ction, and capital repair (Narkhoz 1972, p. 388) and (2) the share constituting money paymouts only-93.6% (V. N. Zhurikov and V. L Solomakhin, compilers, Spravochnik po opiate lruda v kolkhozakh, Moscow, 1973, p. 10). Of total payments, the bonuses paid from profits accounted for 1.;i%, or 0.225 billion rubles (Ibid., p. 11). *Unless otherwise specified, all data in the appendixes refer to the year 1970. Billion Rubles Grossiuconu .................................. 9.2381 Sale, to state procurement and state and coopera- tive trade organizations .................... :3.169 Collective farm ex-village market and toininission sales ..................................... 1.309 Sales of livestock to collective farms.... . ...... 1.000 Less: Money expenses of production ............. 0.9711 Purchases of materials and services....... 0.924 Indirect tuxes ......................... 0.050 Equals: Net income from sr.:es .................. 8.264 1 Derived its the ,rum of the pmts. -----------------.--- Income of households from (1) sales to state procurement and state and cooperative trade arganizations and ;2) sales in collective farm ex- village markets and commission trade is derived for each entry as the difference between total receipts of collective farms and househo!ds from such sales and receipts of collective farms only. Data regard- ing total receipts of collective farms and households Approved For Release 2003/09/29 2bA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 from sales I~CiQt~e~rFIQIi i~~ ~l~c~'0}Q 99,( i~ CIIRn~I+~R~161TA~11~Q~$iI~t9AAx~k10~~ti~-4AIi4,7p9-oli:tsps UN! cooperative trade orgltniraLiot-s are available in I'sSll, Sei'.skolle khozt/n//sl,o SSS/t, slulisNclles/cill .sbornilc, Moscow, 1971, p. 90 91 (hereafter referred to its Set's/collc klutzyay.stvo, I97I ); rile total volume of MlleeLive ftu?u- ex-village -uarket sales is pre- sented in Nurlchoz /1172, p. 573; the gross volume of cotr-utissiun sales is available in Nurlchoz 11/72, P. 588. Net comtuission sales are estimated at 85'%o of gross commission sales. Receipts of collective farms are computed from data regarding collective fat s' total income and its sources presented in Ekommnika, sel'skol/o khozyayrava, no. 7, 1972, p. 33; I. F. Chernyavskiy, ltcalizalsilla .sei'skokhozyay- stvennoll lu?odnktsii i cffeklivnosl' /rroizvodstva, i/los- cow, 1974, p. 90; and S. V. Rogachev, Elcononti- cheskiye zakon.ll i razvitiye sel'skoyo khozyaystva, Moscow, 1973, p. 31-32. Income of households from sales of livestock to collective farms in 197( is estimated on the basis of sales in 1909 (0.834 billion rubles---G. I. Shruelev, Lichnoyc horlsohnoye lclcozyaystvo i ycgo svyazi s ohshchcslvcnnllnt lrroizvodstvont, Moscow, 1971, p. 18). The estimate takes into account the substan- tial increase in livestock procurement prices paid private producers in 1970. The assumption is made that collective farms would have to match state procurement prices in order to compete with pro- curement organizations as potential buyers of these private livestock. While an allowance of 1 billion rubles may seem generous because of the probability that the value of sales in 1969 reflects distress sales in it poor crop year, it should be noted that Shmelev also refers to--but does not quantify- similar sales to state farms by stat'~ farm workers. Since no estimate is made for this additional source of income of households, the allowance seems acceptable. Purchases of material and services used in production of agricultural products are estimated at 10% of households' gross income from sales of farm products. Out of total current pt!: chases (0.924 billion rubles), one-half (0.462 billion rubles) is assumed to represent purchases of producer goods (mixed feed, fertilizer, tools, and the like) in the state and cooperative ti -le net, and the remainder is assumed to account for purchases from collective farms of livestock feed, seed and other materials, and services. Household purchases of livestock feed (grain, hay, and straw) from collective farms are estimated at 0.332 billion rubles on the basis of data regarding quantities sold and prices paid in 1970 in collective farm in-village markets, the trade made. (See Itogachev, op, cit., p. 184, 218; Voprosy ilhonomiki, no. I, 1973, 1). 57; G. V. Kulik, et (d., compilers, Spr?avocltnik ekonontisla lcollchoza i sot'/chozu, Moscow, 1970, p. 344.) Purchases of seed and other materials are arbitrarily estimated at 0,030 billion rubles. Purchases of services (rental of draft animals, trucks, and other equipment; veteri- nary services; and other services) are derived Its 0.100 billion rubles, the difference between total current ptu?elutses from collective farms and pur- chases of livestock feed, seed, and other materials. Indirect taxes paid by farm households consist largely of collective farm muarket fees. Livestock owl: lrship fees have been sharply cttt in It series of decrees and are assumed to have been insignificant by 1970. ;Market fee payments by households are estimated) at 0.050 billion rubles on the basis of (I ) the it um her Of calk^tive farmers claimed to be, found daily in the markets ("700,000 collective farmers; or it matter of 250 million man-days in it year"--V. K. Logvinenko, Kollchoznaya sohsiven- nost' i voprosy yeye razvitiya ho pcrekhode Ic kom- munizmrc, Kiev, 1966, p. 103) and (2) the daily fee rates ( D. V. 13urtnistrov, Nalogi i shory s naseleniya v SSSR, Moscow, 1908, p. 101). Fees levied on sellers in collective farm markets vary from 10 kopeks to I ruble based on the space used to conduct sales. A flat rate of 20 kopeks was used for the computation on the assumption that collective farmers sell for the most part from the hand or ground rather than from wagons or trucks. c. Net farm income-in-kind (1) Consumption-in-kind-Soviet ''farm households," which comprise the private plot agriculture of both rural and urban residents, receive an important part of their income in the form of income-in-kind, consisting of agriculturtt: products received as labor payments-in-kind and agricultural products raised on their own plots. The value of this consumption-in-kind is estimated at 18.347 billion rubles in Tables A-I and A-2. In Table A-1 an estimate of consumption-in-kind in physical units is derived for each of eight farm products-grain, potatoes, vegetables, sunflower seeds, meat, milk, wool, and eggs. With the excep- tions of the estimates for grain and sunflower seeds-for which see sources to Table A-l-these estimates are based on data regarding gross output nonmarketed production use (seed, feed, and waste), and off-farm ("urban") marketings (state procurements, collective farm ex-village market and commission sales, and decentralized procure- ments). In Table A-2 the estimate for each coin- 24 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 v d or 1Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 nwdity hr ~tt~~aite( at t le average realized price payments to the population that are known to he for urban rnarketings, derived by valuing each excludc(i from these estimates tire travel and type of marketing at the appropriate price and moving allowances of all kinds; certain types of dividing the stun of the values by the sun of the training and expense allowances; incomes from the quantities. In part 10, the summary of 'f'able A-2, sale of personal property through commission consumption-in-kind of each of the eight products, stores and other outlets; payments for the collec- tin allowance for consumption-in-kind of all other Lion and sale of scrap, waste paper, and the like; products, and total consumption-in-kind are shown payments to blood donors and compensation for in millions of rubles. h msi l I ca (2) Investment-in-kind, it monetary valuation of the net addition to private livestock inventories, is estimated at 0.513 billion rubles on the basis of the change in numbers of catt!:,,, hogs, sheep, and goats and the estimated average realized price per head for each animal. The calculation is presented in Appendix 1), Table D-1. 3. Income of the armed forces it. Military pay CIA estimate. b. Military subsistence CIA estimate. The entry includes food, estimated at 1.410 billion rubles, and clothing, estimated at 0.590 billion rubles. 4. Other money income currently earned and statistical discrepancy a. Private money income, currently earned Private money income is estimated at 2.669 bil- lion rubles, the sum of private earnings in construc- tion (0.239 billion rubles-see item 6, below) and in services (2.430 billion rubles). Earnings in services are the sum of estimated private income from housing repair (0.957 billion rubles-Appendix B, item 2, b, (3)); other private repair and personal care (0.843 billion rubles-Appendix B, item 2, c, (4)); recreation services in the form of private room rentals (0.484 billion rubles-Appendix B, item 2, c, (5)); education (0.093 billion rubles-Appendix B, item 2, e, (6)); and health (0.053 billion rubles- Appendix B, item 2, c, (7)). b. Unidentified money income and statistical discrepancy The entry is derived as the difference between total income (item 9, below) and the sum of items 1; 2; 3; 4, a; 5; t; and 8. An effort has been made to include in items 1; 2; 3; 4, a; and 8 all money incomes that are reported in Soviet sources or that can be estimated from these sources with a reasonable degree of accuracy. Money i y Injury, tin( earnings from hunting and income from fishing cooperatives. Moreover, wages paid to prison labor may be entirely or partly excluded. No estimates have been made for it variety of private activities such as domestic service, taxi service, and handicraft activities. Transfer receipts other than those included in official statistical handbook data on pensions and allowances and stipends may exist. Finally, no estimate has been made for the net change in installment rlebt. Two wage funds are referred to in Soviet ac- counting practice-the "wage fund of wage and salary workers" and the "comprehensive (polnyy) wage fund." (See the following studies of Soviet wage statistics: Abram Bergson, "A Problem in Soviet Statistics," Review of i:cononcic Statistics, Vol. 29, no. 4, 1947, p. 234-242; Janet G. Chapman, Real Wages in Soviet Russia since 1928, Cambridge, 1963, p. 110-113; and Gertrude E. Schroeder in Vladimir G. Treml and John P. IIardt, editors, Soviet Economic Statistics, Durham, North Carolina, 1972, p. 293-294.) The wage fund of wage and salary workers refers to the aggregate wage bill that is obtained as the product of published data on average wages and annual average employment. The comprehensive wage fund is not published, and no description of its contents is available. Presumably, this fund-on which the Central Statistical Administration compiles quarterly and annual reports, based upon reports of ministries and organizations rather than upon direct enter- prise reporting-includes all money incomes and is used for planning the annual "balance of incomes and expenditures of'the population." Sotr-e of the items believed to be included in this "comprehen- sive fund" are estimated in items 1, b; 2, a; 3, a; and 4, a, above. Other items are presumably included in item 4,,b. 5. Imputed net rent Appendix B, item 2, b, (2). 6. Imputed value of owner-supplied building services The imputed value of owner-supplied building services in construction of private housing is esti- 25 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 mates) at, 0.880 billion rubles on the basis of (1) the value of private housing construction (2,020 billion rubles---Appendix Ii, item 5, a); (2) the assumption that materials account for 35%, (0.710 billion rubles) and wages for (15% (1.319 billion rubles) of the value of private housing construction (tile latter share is set at approximately double the wage share in costs of the construction industry----as reported in Narkhoz 1972, p. 498----because of the highly labor-intensive nature of private housing construction); and (3) the assumption that of the labor component of private housing investment, payments for hired building services account for one-third (0.439 billion rubles) and the value of unpaid owner-supplied labor two-thirds (0.880 bil- lion rubles). The assumption is further made that of purchased building services of 0.439 billion rubles, state-provided services amounted to 0.200 billion rubles, or roughly half the amount reported as outlays of the population on "construction and repair of housing" (Ibid., p. 021) and private hired services the remainder, or 0.239 billion rubles. 7. Total income currently earned Derived as the sum of items 1 through 6. 8. Transfer receipts it. Pensions and allowances Pensions and allowances ire &,rived as 21.955 billion rubles, the difference between total outlays for social security and social insurance, including pensions (22.8 billion rubles-Ibid., p. 726) and the sum of outlays (Ibid., p. 728) for health resorts and sanitoria (0.551 billion rubles), outlays for kinder- gartens and pioneer cralnps (0.191 billion rubles), find IiiisCClhLncOUM outlays (0,103 billion rubles). The latter three categories are health expenditures. (See Appendix D, 1, e.) 1). Stipends Ibid., p. 535. c. Interest inco>rc Interest income of 1.035 billion rubles is the sun) of estimated interest on savings accounts (0.935 billion rubles) and loan service of subscription bonds (0.100 billion rubles). For the latter see Narkhoz 1970, p. 732. Interest on savings accounts is calculated at 2.2'%o of the population's annual aver- age savings deposits in 1970 of 42.498 billion rubles (derived from end-1909 and end-1970 data in Narkhoz 1970, p. 564). The rate is the same as that calculated for 1965, when interest amounted to 0.383 billion rubles ( Vestnik statisliki, no. 1, 1967, n. 22) on the population's annual average savings deposits.of 17.217 billion rubles (derived from end- 1964 and end-1905 data in Narkhoz 1965, p. 602). Net new bank loans to households are estimated at -0.034 billion rubles, the difference between long-term loans outstanding to the population at end-1970 and at end-1969 (Narkhoz 1970, p. 735). Equal to total outlays (Table 2, item 8). 26 Approved For Release 2003/09/29: CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Appr CJ ved For' ilea? 2~G /29 : C19 'RDP86TO0 O aLC O cl ,~ y b 'Ci 'M 0II .) O O .-I 1. -M C^ U1 M M CI b _ O O CO M O C-C 4.2 0 14 In 'f' 11 Gi+ b ~cn CI to N 0. a ~! E ci . d , 0. 0. . G d. O w m a ato a a a a a am 0. a q In a a M cs M a to o rI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 y O a b 8 y a Ol O 0 0 0 0 0 %J 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 I. V b M = .C f3 Y..1 ? CI o 00 I -$ m to w to ac 0) ?u E In O O lr CO C1 C~1 CM. CO E?. Ch ..: o -r C' CO IO I 0 ddd ddo c c,aa 0. as aaa aaa aaaa 0. CL CL cd C7 a1 CO CO 0 co CO CO c0 CO w CI CI -+ CV -M O In CI 1~. O O In 01 O Cl M CC 1^ CO CI 00 I0 O n CO n Cl .. N CI M O - M 1 O Cl M 'M CO 00 Co In n CI CO CO CO C'I 'r 00M 00000000ocv oo 01 -$C CO 49 CI C1 t 0 In CO "I ~ Co M O CO -t? O O O O O (m M 00 n 0 In -M O O O O O 1~ 'M 00 M 00 O CC 'N W C>D O 1~? In -M 00 M O CO -M E 10 Cj ml ? d ?d, n 0 Ci -1' 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ? ,~ 40 N OC '1' '1' 00 O u fs,I RI CC 00 CI -r d ? .9 CI O -1? p u O In r R. ~ o C7 0 14 In M Cl `}? Cl O 00 I~ O 00 O O a O 0? O M Cl ~-? C1 M CC M n m CL O 'I' C3 & . O 0 O~ C) 00 cA CI O O Cl O ?--~ ?-~ 00 V V V V V U V V V U U 'Q Ol Cl 0 d 0) Oa Q) CJ 0) W d E E E E E E E E E E E C 0 C 0 C 0 0 C C C C M M n W g CC m CO Cti y C rn m w Cn w v, Cn Cn CO Cn 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 O O 0 0 O O 0 0 O O O .0.0 .0 .0 .0 .0.0 .0 t t .C FFFFE-IFF FE-~FE~ ul O , . Approved For Release ~603/Q9%2 o 6I'-; 2DP85T0Q60 u to en,~ 0 (+I .0 _O O CI 1.. o rn CI O O In Co ~-+ E ._ . ~ o? u b r -. L C N V 'OJ U Approved 1 Sources: unit A. (.roses Output For till couunuditles, with Lit(, exception of amuit, set! Sel'nkol/e khozyuy,sii o, 1971, as follows: grain, p, 154-18.5; potatoes, p, 20(1; vegetables, 11. 21 It sunflower seeds, p. 203; milk and milk prod(lVts l!x1)rissini III Lernls of milk, p. 300-3(11; wool, physleul weight, p. 310-317; and eggs, p. 300, For 111001 see 'f'able A-3. Column 11. Used in Production (Seed, Feed, and Waste) Grain; sunflower seeds The eitillillte for elteh commodity is derived Its It I'es1d11111, the difference between gross output (colunin A) told till, suln of the total marketed output (column C) find Lit(! Output Consumed in-kind by farm households (Column L), The entry ill Volition 11 records (I) x0011 requirements for tit(! 111'011 sowln to caoh crop In the following year (1971), (2) the quantity of the crop set aside for livestock feed, and (3) the ovm?stute(I tonnage--moisture and trash, weed seeds, and postharvest losses incurred in the handling of the commodity between the coaib',ne un(1 storage facilities- that results when "bunker weight" (its measured in the harvesting nutchine) is used in determining the size of the harvest. l', aide, I'otittots used in production front the 1070 crop consist of the quantity of potatoes required to seed the area sown to the 11(71 crop and the quantity allocated to livestock feed, with Lh(! litter reduced by the quantity of marketed output used for feed (which is recorded in this table in column 1) rather than in coltunn 13). Seed allocution of potatoes is calculated at 19.74 million tens, the. quantity required to seed 7.894 million hectares sown to potatoes in 1971 (Narkhoz 1922--72, p. 2.13) at the all-USSR actual 1967-70 average seeding rate of 25 centers per hectare (Zakitpki ecl'skokhozj1al/strennykh produkloe, no. 3, 11)73, p. 18). The quantity of potatoes fed to livestock front the 1970 crop is estimated at 37.6 million tons on the basis of (1) the actual quantity fell in 1970 (30.9 million tons-(lath provided the 1671 US Feed-Livestock Delegation by the USSR Ministry of Agriculture); (2) the quantity estinuatoil to have been fed in 1971 (:38 million tons--estimated from ministry data in line with the five-year annual average in 1906-70 but, in order to reflect the larger 1970 crop, set above the 1970 level of feeding); till(] (3) the assumption that the quantity fed in year it origi- nated one-third from the crop of year it and two-thirds front the crop of year it - 1. Thus, % of 30.1) + 2 of 38 = 37.6 million tons. Ill order to avoid (Iouble-rounthlg, this cstlluute Is In turf reduced by ((.5 million tons representing till IIIlOWam?e for I )OtiltlIS fed front spollltge In slllq)llls Of till! state 1111d e001N'ra- Live trade net (lull heron! counted in iularketed output I ite procurelueuts- here). 'T'his allowance Is bused oil claiion that annually about 10'%) cf praem?emcnLs are wasted and t.hnt about 40'%) of these losses ill-(! snlveged for livestock feed (N. A. I.otov, editor, Orpanizalnil/a i ploniroeallil/e olrunlrll narodnolp) kho.'yaynh4t, Issue 13, Kiev University, 19(1)), p. 1:30). Vc'uelables The entry for column 13 is tilt estimate of vegetables fed to IIvcntock Gd'iikited at 20%) of gross (01lpllt of vegetables. 'Phis share caul be stibstillitliited for seVel'!al years based Oil actual on-form feeding of vegetables by collective null state farms (F. T. Zenilyanskly, i'konomiku podsobnykh predprillatip i prolnl/sloe a kolkhozakh, Moscow, 11(71, p. 195-196) !111(1 it state- nient regarding the general level of vegetable feeding by the private sector (P. A. Ignatovskiy, Solsiul'no-e kononmichcskille iz mcnenil/u a son etsko)l dcrcl ac, Moscow, 11(00, p. 38:3). Not included lit this estimate is the quantity of vegetables fed from spoilage lit supplies of the state 1111(1 cooperative trade net (reeer(ICd in this table in nuirketed output-state procure- alents), Evidence indidlttes that annually about 7%, of the vegetables procured spoil mid that about 40%) of these losses are salvaged f 'r livestock feed (Leto v, op. cit.). 41filk and milk products expressed in terms of milk Official (lata regarding the amount of whole milk fed to livestock by all of agriculture in 1970 are front Cosudar trennt/r/ pr/ulilelnil/ plan razrilil/a narodnotlo khozazr/alea SSS/R na 1971-- 1975 pody, Moscow, 11)72, p. 175 (hereafter referred to as Cosudarstnennlll/ pyalilchli9 plus 1971--1975). l: flux The number of eggs used in production is estimated its the number of eggs needed for complete replacement of layers using it hatch into of 65%,. Column C. Marketed Output, Total For till commodities, with the exceptions of merit and wool, accounting weight, see A'urkhoz 1922-72, p. 226. 'T'otal nmr- keted output of pleat, live weight, is estimated oil the basis of (1) total marketed output of meat, slaughter weight (Scl'skoye khozyoystvo, 1971, p. 49); (2) the percentage share of the total marketed by each producer (Narkhoz 19:12--72, p. 227); and (3) overall dressing percentages for each producer (derived in Table A-3). This calculation is set out below: Total marketed output of meat..... 100 9,400 State farms and other state agri- cultural enterprises .......... 41 3,850 62.3 6,180 Collective farms ............... 42 3,950 62.3 6,340 Private producers ............. 17 1,600 65.2 2,454 Column 2 divided by column 3, except for the column's total entry, which was derived its the suns of the parts. 29 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Total Intui ltlc~l~~(IQY)~rldo~~t~n1.`rryel pI iY'r?fA1:1i ~t(,~~{nr CI'IAcT,T) P,,?fl?l'r)7f)Qr, r7'?rrrTlf,ll r7, Ps/ )// ~,~Jlt'$rrrHli ll(J()Hf1rJ11 11, Hwu of state procurornents (coluu)u I)), Holes III collective farm 24 20 Alur?eh lllfib, s/eiuyr'ufirlivskill orchel, Moscow, I1)115, ex-VIlItg(' I(farI(etH aa(I co)((iiiiHHlon Lritdo ((UInin(n .1), find dveentrallze(I procurementH (oolunin K). Jlnrltet('(I output of wool, accounting weight, is estbntted on the 1)11H1H of (I) (tut)) for marketed output. of wool, physical wi-Ighl, and (2) tit(! It4811(iIl)LIn11 (,)till phyHleal weight wits 88,11'%1 of ficcounting weight ((.lie relationship obtalniug for wool procurements presented la Narkhoz 1x170, p. 282). Column I). State Procurements, Total For all commodities, with the exceptions of (neat by type and wool, physical weight, see Sc!'Nko//e k/io iu1lsIvo, 1117 1, Its follows: grain, p. 54 55; potatoes, p. 201;; vegetables, p. 211; sunflower seeds, p. 203; local, p. 74-75; milk and milk products expressed in (ernes of milk, p. 78. 71); wool, accounting weight, p. 8087; and eggs, p. 82-83. State procurements of neat by type are derived its the Huni of state procurements from state farms and other state agricultural enterprises (column E), collective farms (column F), and private producers (column ?(1). For wo?l, physical weight, sec Narkhoz 11170, p. 282. Column E. State Procurements from Slate Farms and Other Stale Agricultural Enterprises For all commodities, with the exceptions of nreit by type, see S&/'skollc khoz1jays1vo, 1971, its follows: grain, p. 1320 (data in source were reduced by I million totes in order to show the repayment of seed loans separately in column il); potatoes fund vegetables, p. (323; sunflower seeds, p. (122; mint and milk and milk products expressed in terms of milk, p. (138-031); wool, accounting weight, and eggs, p. 6.10-(i4I. Total meat procure- ments front state farms and other state agricultural enterprises were differentiated by type of Input on the basis of the assump- tion that procurements would be structured as was socialized sector (neat production, live weight (structure from Table A-3). For fill commodities, with the exceptions of meat, by type, see Scl'skoyc khozyallslvo, 1971, its follows: grain, p. 531 (data in source were reduced by 1 million tons in order to show the repayment of seed loans separately in column II); Potatoes and vegetables, p. 534-535; sunflower seeds, p. 533; meat and milk and milk products expressed in to is of milk, 1). 550-551; wool, accounting weight, and eggs, p. 552-553. Total neat procure- ments from collective farms were differentiated by type of meat on the basis of the assumption that procurements would be structured its was socialized sector meat production, live weight (structure front ','able A-3). Column C. Slate Procurements from Private Plots or Collective Farm Members and Wage and Salary Workers The estimate for each commodity, with the exceptions of neat by type, is derived as the difference between total procure- ments (column 1)) roil the suns of procurements from state farms and other state agricultural enterprises and front collec- tive farms (columns E, F, and If,, where applicable). Total meat procurements from private producers were differentiated by type of anent on the basis of the assumption that procure- ments would bo structure(] as was private sector meat produc- tion, live weight (structure from Table A-3). Column H. Repayment of Seed Loans The general size of annual seed loans is estimated in line with the extension of 2 million tons in early 1965 revelled by Brezhnev at the (,larch 1065 plenum on agriculture (Plc) in p. 10) and the Inst itvallabli explicit evideuco oil these loons - at extension of 1.7 million tons of seed grain to collective and state farms announced in March of 11)118 (FAIN, !)oily licpor'l Soviet Union, 28 ).larch 11168, ce 4). The loins Ill'(- here arbitrar'lly allocated to state fights nod (OlleiUve (gents in equal shares. Column I. Difference Between Physical and Accounting Weight Procurements Official (Into for procurements of vegetables, meat, aa(l eggs Iur given in physical weight. Official data for Procurements of grain, potatoes, sunflower seeds, milk, and wool arc given in accounting weight --that is after adjustment (addition or sub- traction) for divergence of the quality of the products from established standards, (See .SH'skoye khoz/lal/N/ra, 11171, p. (182.) For ex.(niple, in the case of procured milk, all quantities fur expressed In terms of tons of it standard butterfat content; in the case of grain, adjustment is made to It standard content of moisture and extraneous matter. In order to array procurement uitUi that fire in accotu)ling weight with official gross output and marketed output data that are in physical weight, some approximation of the size of this accounting adjustment must be made. 'Though lath regarding the actual relationships of accounting weight to physical weight are not available for coon. des for the whole of agriculture, these data have been published for state farms for 11)130-(37 (L. N, Kassirov, Khozraseher I /sent' a suitsialistlchcskoc, N('/'sko ni kliozyall.tve, \loscow,'10(19, p. 158), and the eight-year average of these relationships (accounting weight expressed as it percent of physical weight) is used to convert data ill accounting weight to physical weight for each commodity (where applicable). In turn, the difference between the derived physical weight data and the official accounting weight data is entered in column I. 'T'hus, for grain, accounting weight procurements are tassuitied to equal 114.2% Of physical weight; potatoes, 1)1).11%; sunflower seeds, 06.5%; and milk till(] milk products expressed in terns of milk, 08,5'%,. Wool is handled differently because total procure- nent data are available in both measures, till(] in turn, total marketed output may be expressed in either nl(gtsmre. Column J. Collective Farm Ex-Village Market and Commission Sales Collective farm ex-village market trade refers to sales ntitd,e by farm producers to the nonfarni population at tin control led prices. Commission trade refers to sales of surplus agricultural commodities accepted by consumer cooperatives front producers for sale on commission. The estimate for cacti conintodity, with the exceptions of meat by type, is derived its it residual, the difference between total marketed (colu11111 C) and the sum of total procurements, the accounting difference, and decentralized procurements (columns U, 1, and K). Total sales of uncut were differentiated by type of went on the basis of the ass if tit pti oils that (I) the total consists of 576,000 tons sold by collective farms (collective farms' total marketed output of meat, 6,340 thousand tons, less their state procurements, 5,704 thousand tons) find of 1,125,000 tons sold by private producers (private producers' total marketed output of meal, 2,45: thousand tons, less their state procurements, 1,321) thousand tons) and (2) sales by these producers could be assumed structured as was their production (structures from 'fable A-3), 'This methodology assumes that state farms and other state agricultural enterprises do not sell in collective farm markets and that collective fnrnts and private producers (lo not market by means of decentralized procurements. 30 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 ~4 roved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Column L' Ifecentrnl zed Pructire menIN (110111 L'LnINlinl ii Ill-kiiiil IN lij)I11'oii111Lt( 'II nn rho basis of till DvvvittraIIzed procurenteuts are minor procureun'ais by astinmte of grltin iv0ilable for loon households' use lit I97(1 and consuuur' cooperatives for public dieing tilt(] for suppleuleutnry food supplies to the population through the trade net. Thu estinlnto for inch eonluu)dity, with the exceptions (if grain, sunflower Herds, Ill)(] Mint by type, is derived its it residual, the difference between total marketed output of suite fill-111h turd other stale agricultural enterprises (Narkhoz 197#', p. 29(1 21)7) and the still) of their state procurements (column E) will their share of the accounting difference (data of colunul I were attributed to state farms and other state agricultural enterprises according to their share in total procurements of the product). The grain entry is Net at an allowance of I million tons; the sunflower seeds entry IN assumed to he zero, 'T'otal deeentritlized procurements of meat were differentiated by type of went on the basis of the ltssnnlptibrl Unit sales could be usstltned struc- tured its was socialized sector meat production, live weight (structure from Table A-3). Column L. Farm Household Consumption-in-Kind The estimate for each commodity, with Pthe exceptions of grain and sunflower seeds, '. derived its it residual, the difference hetween gross output (column A) and the stun of the quantity used in production (erlumn 13) and the quantity uutrketed (column Q. 't'he entry for sunflower seeds is arbitrarily set at half it million tons, approximately half the quantity consumed in-kind in 1961. (See M. S. Abryutina, Sel'skoye kho yaysIio e sixtcmc balansa rturodnogo khozyallstra, Moscow, 1965, p. 116; Narkhoz 1962, p. `233, 272.) till eHtiiniLti'd llispuHltiOll of this NLII)ply. The grain slpply at (he disposal of fuUYn In111NehuldH is estimated at about 1) million (uns, consisting of distributions for labor pity in collective fill ills (I.'S million tons--V, N. Koslnskiy, leuspredeleiille dokhodol, o kolkhozokh, Moscow, 11)71, p. (10); additional sales by collective films to collective flamers at special prices (5,(1 million tonls- Ihid. nod RogacheV, op. CO., p. I8-1); and own prudnctioa (1,9 million toils--,Sel'skoye khozynyxhm, 11)71, p. I54- 155, 522- 523, 6110-611). Disposition of this supply is estitalteLl as follows: 0,2 Million tons for seu.d use (1,08 million hectares seeded it 1,7 eentners per hectare); no sitles to slate procurement. orgalilra- tions; 5.8 million tons, 65%, of the remainder, fed to livestock; trod 3 million tons, fit(, remaining 35'%,, convtnned in-kind by fall households. The estimates of grain fell to livestock lind grain consumed in-kind by farms households take into accomlt (I) the traditional requirement of 4- G trillion tons of feed grain to maintain the livestock holdings of collective farm members (see V. A. Morozov, Trudodcn', dcn'gi, i torgoelya no selc, Moscow, 1965, p. 149. 150) and (2) the sharp decline in consumption- i11-kind of grain by in households in 1911)-7(1 associated With the rise in money pay of labor, the attendant drop in distribu- tions of grain as labor payment-in-kind, and the repiacenlent of in-kind consumption with purchases of breed and bakery products in the state and cooperative trade net. Indeed, today 80'%I of the rural population's need for bread is reportedly met by baked products of cooperative and "tale bakeries. (Scl'skttya zhizn', 3 July 1973, p.:3.) 2 Net of increment of livestock herds. 31 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 1. (train 2. Potatoes Quantity Price Value Quantity Price Value Thousand ?(.0 cs per Mllllon Thousand Robles per Million Metric Tons i:frtric Ton Rubles Metric Tons Metric Ton Rubles it. Marketed output (I) Deliveries of state farms and other state agricultural enterprises..... . 35,772 93 :3,32(1.8 4 3(11 81 355.7 (2) Procurements from collective farms.. 35,512 1(11 :3,586.7 5,01(1 70 352.8 (3) Procurements from private plots of collective farm members and wage and salary workers ............. . (1 - - 1,S02 70 120.1 (4) Repayment of seed loans ........... 2,000 0 0 Not app. - - (5) Difference between physical and ac- counting weight of proettretnents.. (6) Collective farm ex-village market and commission sales ............... . 2,00-1 248 497.0 (1, 002 170 1,074.4 (7) Decentralized procurements........ 1,0()() 2,18 2.18.0 854 171) 152.1) (8) Total marketed output ............. 80,800 103 7,658.5 18,100 114 2,061.9 I). P'arnt household consumption-in-kind.... :3,0()() 10:3 300.0 21,843 114 2,490.1 3. Vegetables 4. Sunflower Seeds Thousand Rubles per Million Thousand Rubles per Million Metric Tons Metric Ton Rubles Metric Tons Metric Ton Rubles a. Marketed output (1) Deliveries of state farms and other state agricultural enterprises ...... (2) Procurements from collective farms.. (3) Procurements from private plots of collective farm members and wage and salary workers .............. (4) Difference between physical and ac- 6,213 4,058 101 112 627.5 45.1.5 871 3,742 173 182 150.7 681.0 counting weight of procurements.. (5) Collective farm ex-village market and commission sales ................ 1,781 381 (178.6 380 273 103.7 (6) Decentralized procurements ........ 1,101 381 419.5 0 273 0 (7) Total marketed output ............. 13,800 163 2,252.6 5,160 187 935.4 b. Farm household consumption-in-kind.... 3,170 163 516.7 500 187 93.5 32 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Table A-2 (Continued) USSR: Valuation of Farm Household Consumption-in-Kind; 1970 5. Meal, Live Weight-' fin. Cattle Quantity Price Thousand Rubles per Metric Tons Metric Ton it. Marketed output (1) Deliveries of state farms and other state agricultural enterprises...... 5,502 I,41(1 (2) Procurements from collective farms.. 5,704 1,524 (3) Procurements from private plots of collective farm members and wage and salary workers .............. 1,329 1,349 (4) Difference between physical and ac- co n ti u i ng we g h t of procurements.. Not app. (5) Collective farm ex-village market and commission sales ............. 1,701 (0) Decentralized procurements ........ 078 (7) Total marketed output ............. 14,974 b. Faris household consumption-in-kind.... 4,428 Quantity Thousand Metric Tons it. Marketed output (1) Deliveries of state farms and other state agricultural enterprises ...... 1,590 (2) Procurements from collective farms.. 1,000 (3) Procurements from private plots of collective farm members and wage and salary workers .............. 526 (4) Difference between physical and ac- counting weight of procurements.. Not app. (5) Collective farm ex-village market and commission sales ................ 611 (6) Decentralized procurements ........ 196 (7) Total marketed output ............. 4,589 b. Farm household consumption-in-kind.... 1,729 Value Quantity Price Value Million Thousnnd Rubles per Million Rubles Metric Tons Metric Ton Rubles 7,050.3 3,054 1423 9,345.8 8,786.2 3,101) 1,531 9,907.3 1,702.8 932 1,202 558.1 - - Not app. - _- 1, 52'1 2,598.8 086 1,108 821.8 1.42; 1)07.2 376 1,108 450.4 1,476 22,101.4 7,747 1,431 11,083.4 1,514 6,702.5 1,503 1,431 2,150.8 5R. Hogs 5C. Sheep and Goats Price Value Quantity Price Value Rubles per Million Thousand Rubles per Million Metric Tou Rubles Metric Tons Metric Ton Rubles 1, 576 2,505.8 501 801 146.4 1,614 2,688.9 525 989 519.2 1 , 417 745.3 - - 1 , 850 1,130.4 187 984 189.0 1,850 362.6 (12 984 61.0 1,620 7,433.0 1,435 935 1,342.4 1,620 2,801.0 522 935 988.1 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 't'able A-2 (Continued) USSR: Valuation of Farm Household ConsuInption-iii-Kin(l; 1970 51). Poultry 6E. Other Ment Animals Quantity 'Price Value Quantity Price Value Thousand Rubles per million Thousand Rubles per Million Metric Tons Metric Ton Rubles Metric Tons Metric Ton Rubles it. Marketed output (1) Deliveries of state farms and other state agricultural enterprises...... 225 1,005 428.(1 132 I,740 22(1.7 (2) Procurements from collective farms., 236 1,825 130.7 1:38 1,740 2,10. 1 (3) Procurements from private plots of collective farm members and wage and salary workers .............. 165 1 (183 277.7 10 1,740 80.0 (4) Difference between physical and ac- counting weight of procurements.. Not app. -- - Not app. - - (5) Collective farm ex-village market and commission sales ................ 164 2, 158 353.0 53 2,051 108.7 (6) Decentralized procurements.... , , .. 28 2, 158 0(1.4 1() 2,(151 32.8 (7) Total marketed output ............. 818 1,896 1,551.3 385 1,796 691.3 b. Form household commmption-in-kind.... 521 1,806 987.8 153 1,790 274.8 6. Milk and Milk Products Expressed in Terms of Milk Quantity Price Value Quantity Price Value Thousand Rubles per Metric Tons Metric Ton a. Marketed output Million Rubles Thousand Metric Tons Rubles per Metric Ton Million Rubles (I) Deliveries of state farms and other state agricultural enterprises ...... 19,291 10.1 / 3,742.5 1(17 4,460 876.6 (2) Procurements from collective farms.. 24,880 192 4,778.7 183 4,037 003.5 (3) Procurements from private plots of collective farm members and wage and salary workers .............. 1,501 174 261.2 61 4,443 271.0 (4) Difference between physical and ac- counting weight of procurements.. 696 J 0 Not app. - - (5) Collective farm ex-village market and commission sales ................ 1,048 316 331.2 3 4,443 13.3 (6) Decentralized procurements........ 575 316 181.7 0 4,443 0 (7) Total marketed output ............. 48,000 196 9,295.3 444 4,650 2,064.4 b. Farm household consumption-in-kind.... 23,516 106 4,600.1 24 4,650 111.6 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86TOO608ROO0500110017-8 Table A-2 (Continued) USSR: Valuation of Farm household ConHumption-in-Kind; 1970 8. Eggs 9, All Other it, NIarketed output (1) Deliveries of state farms and other state agricultural enterprises...... Quantity Million Units 11, 730 ('rice Rubles per Thousand Units 103 Value Million Rubles 1,208.8 Quantity Thousand Metric tons Not app. Price Rubles per Metric Ton Value million Rubles (2) Procurements from collective farms.. 4,340 82 350.4 Not app, (:3) Procurements from private plots of collective fare) members and wage and salary workers .............. Difference between physical and ac- counting weight of procurements.. Collective farm ex-village market and coil) In issio It Hales ............... . 2,522 120 317.8 Not app. (0) Decentralized procurements........ 1 , 524 12(1 11)2.0 Not app. (7) Total marketed output ............. 22,100 lot) 2,220.9 Not app. b. Farm household consumption-in-kind.... 10,703 100 1,070.3 Not app. Million Rubles Grain ........................................ Potatoes ..................................... Vegetables .................................... Sunflower seeds ............................... Meat ........................................ Milk and milk products expressed in terms of milk.. Wool ........................................ Eggs ......................................... All other ..................................... Total ....................................... 300 2,190 517 94 0,702 4,009 112 1,679 1,835 18,347 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86TOO608ROO0500110017-8 Approved l Sourvvm: Quantities For Release 2003/09/29 :CIA-RDP86lT00608 ,t,200500111t0t017, 8x(,111 estimated lit All quantity data line from Table A-I, columns C through L, Prices Average realized prices of ee(rku'tJngs, derived in item a of this table, are used in item / to v:du1' colt) uludities reasoned in-kind by farm households, These prices are (Irr?ive(I by valuing each type of marketing at till, appropriate prier and dividing the sums of the values by the sum of the quantities miarket:nl (excluding those parts of nmrketed output. that n'1' either n(m- nloretary transactions-- tilt, return of seed grain loans--or accounting entries---the difference between proeurenlente ex- pressed lit physical weight and procurements exprest,ed in accounting weight). a. State Procurement Prices (I) State Farm Procurement Prices Prices for grain, potatoes, cattle, hogs, sheep and goats, poultry, milk, and eggs are from L. N. Sineva, llentahel'nost' sovkhoznoyo proizvodslva, Moscow, 1973, p. 72. Prices for vegeta- bles, sunflower seeds, and wool were derived on the basis of (I) data expressing the 197( procurement prices received by state farms as it percent of the 1660 procurement prices realized by these producers (E'konomika sel'skoyo khozyaystva, no. 7, 1972, p. 33) and (2) the 1906 prices (A. NI. Yemel'yanov, Khoz,yay- strennyy raschet v kolkhozakh i sovkhozakh, Moscow, 1968, p. 23; the 11)(35 wool price from Ekonomika sel'skogo khozllaystva, no. 2, 1067, p. 11, is assumed applicable). The price for other meat animals is all average of category I (aid category I I procurement prices for rabbits (V. F. Tarasevieh an(] A. I. Gudaykin, Spravochnik ekonomista kolkhoza i sovkhoza, Minsk, 1974, p. 1(15). (2) Collective /'arm Procurement Prices All prices, with the exception of that for other meat animals (and "meat, live weight".--gee note 2, below), are front Voprosy ekonomiki, no. 1, 1973, p. 57. An average of category I and 11 procurement prices for rabbits was again used as a price for other meat animals ('1'arasevich arnd Gudaykin, all. cit.). (3) Private Producer Procurement Prices Few actual prices paid by the state for procurements from private producers fire available. Given the paucity of hard facts, way attempt to estivate these prices must proceed largely from an understanding of the rules. Under the March 19611) l3rezhnev program for agriculture, procurement prices paid all producers were raised, and additional payments were authorized for above-plan procurements. The latter payments were not extended to private producers. In the succeeding five year's many Adjustments were made to procurement prices. In the case of livestock products, procurement prices for poultry were raised, effective April 1(169 for the socialized sector. In February 1070, the new poultry prices were extended to the private sector as well. At the agricultural plenum of July 11)70, numer- ous procurement price increases were announced for livestock products and were made effective front 1 May 1970. Among increases introduced were new, higher base prices for fill live- stock products that incorporated the earlier "additional" pay- ment into the base and in addition offered a new 50%, nadbavka (increment) to the base price for above-plan deliveries. While the new base prices were extended to all producers, private producers were again excluded from receiving the new additional payments. Against this background, 1970 procurement prices paid private producers for potittccs and vegetables were assumed to be equal to procurement prices received by collective farms for It)'%, hviow those received by colL?otive arms hr 11)71) of the 1tHH(iluptlnri t.hllt att. least 10%, of till- collective farms procluenent price was attr'ihutllhlc to additiam(I pnyllIt'll ts for above-plane deliveries. The procurement prier for Milk wits est.inutted on the assumptions that (I) procurements made in the first third of the year (that. is, before I May) were purchased by till- state at about 90'%. of th'' procurement price rvallz1'd by collective farms in 19111) (V. A. Karavayev and it. V. Plkul'kin, Cosurlarst- vennyyc zayolovki i st,yl xel'skokl(azytil/xtrcnnolI produk'sii, \1os- cow, 1971, p. 54) while procurements uutde in the retuuining two-thirds of the year were purchased at, the new base procure- ment price (Ekonomike sel'skall) khozyoystva, no. 7, 1972, p. 34), and (2) one-third of the year's procurements was made in the first third of the year find two-thirds in the remainder of the year. Thus, (159 x 110'%) 33.3'%? + (t 90 x 6(1.7'%,) 17.1 rubles per ton, Procurement prices pain oriVate producers for cattle, hogs, shop, and goats were l-stinuitcd on the ((ssunlption that, proclu?enlcnts nude in till' first third of the year were purchased by the sure :Lt the level of 1068 priers realize(] by private producers fund that procurements nUde in the remaining two- thirds of the year were purchased at about 0(1% of the procure- ment, price realized by collective farms in the last two-thirds of 1970 (thus attributing at least 10% of the collective farm procurement price to additional pli intents for above-,clan deliveries--increments, as noted above, not, paid private producers). Again the usstmlption was node that one-third of the year's procurements was 111(011' in the first third of the year till(] two-thirds in the remainder of the year. The poultry price paid collective farms for their procurenlantx in 1(1(39 was assumed applicable as the price paid private producers for the whole of 1970, since, its note(] above, poultry priers obtaining for the socialized sector from April 19(19 were also extended to the private sector its of I February 1970. Since no nadhavki existed for poultry prices in 1069, no adjustment to ill(, price was needed. Finally, the procurement price for rabbits w?tis again used to value other neat animals. Sources fire its follows: for cat lie and hog priers received by private producers in 1968, see Scriya (ken,'-nichc.skaya, n' ll., 11)7(1, p. 33. The sheep price is estimated on !h1' assumpl ion the!. the 10(38 sheep procurement price realized b~ collective farms (1'oprosy ekomfa1iki, no. 8, 1970, p. ?13) Was, its in the elfe of cattle, 130'%,-135'%, of the price pail private produere 1. o- curernent prices paid collective farms in 19130 are from Karaveyev find Pikul'kin, op. cit., and 1970 procur("ruent prices paid collective farms are front Voprosy ckonomiki, no. 1, 1973, p. 57. The rabbit price is front Tarasevich till(] (1udaykin, op. Cit. The derivation of the livestock procurement prices paid private producers is set out below. Cattle: (i) To calculate the cattle procurement price received by collective farms in the last two-thirds of 1070: 1,534 = procurement price realized by collective farms for the whole of 1970 1,303 = 1969 procurement price realized by collective farms 0.333(1,303) + 0.667x = 1,534 x = 1,649 rubles per ton, live weight (ii) To calculate the 1070 procurement price paid private producers for cattle: 907 = 1968 procurement price realized by private producers 1,649 x 90'%,, or 1,484 =estimated price paid private pro- ducers for procurements made in final two-thirds of 1970 '0.333(907) +0.607(1,484) = 1,292 rubles per ton, live weight 36 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Hogs: (i) To calculate the hog procurement price received by col- lective tar ins in the last two-thirds of 1070: 1,011 = procurement price realized by collective Gums for the whole of 1070 1,405 = 1000 procurement price realized by collective faints 0.333(1,405) +0.007x = 1,014 x - 1.073 rubles per ton, live weight (ii) To calculate the 1070 procurement price pit!([ private producers for hogs: 1,238 = 11)(18 procurement price realized by private pro- ducers 1,073 x 00'%,, or 1,500 = estimated price paid private pro- ducers for procurements nude in final two-thirds of 1070 0.333(1,238) -I 0.007(1,506) = 1,417 rubles per ton, live weight Sheep and yoalsr (i) To calculate the sheep and goats procurement price received by collective farms in the last two-thirds of 1070: 080 = procurement price realized by collective farms for the whole of 11)70 871 = 11)00 procurement price realized by collective farms 0.333(871) + 0.607x = 080 x = 1,048 rubles per ton, live weight (ii) To calculate the 11)70 procurement price paid private producers for sheep and goats: 585=approximated 1008 procurement price realized b- private producers 1,048 x 009A4, or 9,13 = estimated price ? paid Iaivate pro- ducers for procurements made in final two-thirds of 11)70 0.333(585)+0.007(043)=824 rubles par ton, live weight b. Collective Farm Ex-Village Market-Connni;mioH Sales Prices The estim,ttad all-USSR collective farm ex-village market-commission sales price for each commodity, with the exceptions of meat (live weight), meat by type, smdtowcr seeds, and wool, was derived for 1070 on the basis of (1) the commodity's 1000 all-USSR collective farm market-commission sales price (estimated by Jerzy F. hare.:' his Appendix to "Quantitative Analysis of the Colleens, "arm Jhar'1 ??t," American Economic Review, Vol. LIV, no. 4, June 1001' !ted (2) an estimated price index for the commodity derived h? extending an official 1000-08 price index for the ommodit. in collective farm markets of 264 cities (Narkhoz 1968, p. ("tit; through 1070 by means of the 1008-70 increes, in the commorf- ity's average commission sales price (Ibid., '. 022; Narkhoz 1972, p. 588). The price for meat, slaughter weight, t `:??reby derived, was in turn expressed on it live woi;;l:t Last.: b}? ci(' acting (I) ~~t? total value of collective farm market-cuc'? cissioc ~:aies of I:Ia at, slaughter weight [derived as the protium of tie gwau its sold (1,003 thousand tons, slaughter weight--converted ho m live weight meat-by-type data of '1 able A-I, column ,1, using dressing percentages of Table A-3, column 2) and the slaughter weight price I.,r collective farm aan?ket-eontatission hales of meat (2,378 rubles per ton)] by (2) the quantity Hold express(,(] In live weight,, 1,701 thousand tons (Table A-1, coluat .1). Implicit here is the assumption that the till usabics- Hutt is, the difference between live weight and slaugtiff weight - are of zero value. In turn, the total meat (live weight) price was differ- entiated by type of treat on the basis of (I) collective farm market prices received by collective farms for cavil type of meat (live weight) In 1070 (the prices were calculated for cattle, hogs, and poultry from ltogachev, op. cit., p. 184; approximatte(I for sheep on the basis of the cattle price and the relationshil) between sheep till(] cattle prices received by collie Live frills in collective farm markets in 1009 --- and i itul'kin, op. cit.; and set for "other meat aniauals" below the poultry price according to the relationship between poultry and rabbit procurement prices); (2) the relation of these prices for types of meat to it derived average collective form market price for all meat (calculated by weighting these live weight prices by live weight quantities sold in collective farm markets In 1970---- Table A-1, column .f); and (3) the assumption that these rela- tives could, in turn, be applied to the estimated all-115811. collective farm market-commission sales price for live weight meet. 't'he collective farm market price for sunflower seeds was set at 50'8, above the procurement pr:. e received by collective farms, In line with the relationship be: aaen these prices in 11)7 1 (V. 1'. I3oyev, Sovershcnstrovunillc zakupochnyklt Isen na sel'sko- kho-'yay,stvcnnyl/a produ kisipu, Moscow, 1074, p. 155: Chernyav- n.kiy, op. cit., p. 1(17). The collective farm market price for wool was assumed equal to the procurement price paid private producers. I)cccnlru!'zcr,! Proc',, -ant Prices Coi)ee- , , -m market prices were assu:tned applicable for pricing t;e ,. :a:1 ?:: d procurements. Values Y, r the iuwtiecd products (excluding "meat, live weight"- see note 2, below), the value for each line item, with the excep- tion of total marketed output, is the product of the quantity ad the price. The value of total marketed output is derived as he suns of the parts. 1'hr total value of farm household consumption-in-kind is estimelwi on the assumption that consumption-in-kind of the itemized coin nmodities--grain, potatoes, vegetables, sunflower s,'eds, meat. milk and milk products, wool, and eggs -repre- sented at least 90% of total consumption-in-kind by farts huiaseholds. The remaining 10?A,, or "all other" consumption-in- ,,iad, is assumed to include products such as fruits, nuts, berries, hon,.y, mushrooms, fresh water fish, game animals and their products, tobacco and makhorl:a, tea, and herbs. 2 'Meat, live weight" is it summary of parts 5A through 5L. Prices ere derived by dividing the value data of part 5 by the quantity data of part 5. a Value data of item b for parts I through 0 of this table. Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved F N n 003109!,29 mQlA!?H, P8 T 1O6O8ROOO5OO11 OO17-8 W O CI O, C1 C1 M N bit ti M M w P i a 00 tD O, O to O 00 C111 H N h0 W ~ ,~ N M O N to 00 - O o Q y tD to t. A O .n O, .?-. .-. .r u S ifj W O, `r N b a ? Oi .~+ O O N m 00 p q q0 .r h? .r to M O .?q H N I- M .?. H a .p. M M O> N A V ti 1. 1. .q M .I D+-rt.o.o oo O .. L N O ra a N N yom vi a a0 -?raOD a .- it) a ?~ p? F C1 tD .o ?r cfa V 0 ILI C4 G io M 00 ' CI M O M .o T b O t? .o ?? O 00 a n.clotoC1t U o-rM ti o a o E c7 M O, N 00 w 50 t- to 00 0 a) 'I _ vav7~ (5(-~ OMi .M.~r c] t'- ttO d O 0 M 1O O O CV tl N a, 2O L cJ ? Q v w C VO a ti,;E E o u .C y a T m n C 6 v E'w aS~.C:C +' -a tl Er Leo r. p q ' q W w L _, v .C ar ca q V] .a C eo .~ N o ~e = E 6 O 0 q w v a) d E m L as L ,o n o o b Nom. 11 .0 a a a o. aai n E 0) a u K O L v O O? x d O O O cl a v ? N yv ~! N tp 9 C3 , v o a E o. ^ E E 'O 0 'C 7 h 7 try 7 9 0 CS $ 0 o` ? E v .~, N p .D d C ~. d N ba, tl q O. a, 'A y tl 'C a 'D o~ ?.5 a.>.a> c a.oo a, c %p .cti 6b :< CL .- 0 m ..ft .o ..t to a q d a 'm a, a a 0 ~v0a)a0EE Cl) a C.)aaCUU -~ N O Ci T N .D N N Approved For Release 2003/09/2': CIA-RDP86TOO608ROO0500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Sources for Table 2. USSR: Household Outlays, 1970 1. Retail sales of goods for consumption it, State, cooperative, and commission sales State and cooperative retail sales and commission sales to the population of goods for consumption are estimated as follows: Billion Rubles 'T'otal state and cooperative retail miles, including corn ii fission 8a1S8 ............................ 155.208 Less: Sales to institutions ........................ 7.177 Producer goods sold to farm households...... 0.462 Building materials sold to households ........ 1.221 Kerosene ................................. 0.131 Services included in retail sales .............. 2.842 Filth rentals .............................. 0.105 Equals: Sales of goods to the popntlation for con- sumption ............................... 143.180 Kerosene sales are from Narkhoz 1972, p. 585. These sales are recorded in utilities (2, c, (1), below). Services included in retail sales are derived by summing official statistical handbook data for it list of categories of "productive services" identified by Gosplan as being included in retail trade turn- over.* (See Gosplan SSSR, Mctodicheskiye ulca- zaniya k soslavleniyu flosudarstvennoflo plans razvitiya narodnogo khozyayslva SSSR, Moscow, 1969, p. 452--hereafter referred to as Meto,lichcs- kiye ukazaniya, 1969.) These services, with the exception of "repair and construction of housing services" (which are accounted for in item 2, b, (3), below, and Table 1, item 6), are reflected in repair and personal care (2, c, (4), below). Data from Narlclcoz 1972, p. 621, together with an estimate for "other productive services," are as follows: Million Rubles Data regarding total sales are from Nar/choz 1972, p. 577; institutional purchases, from V. I. Nikitin, Planirovaniyc rc.znichnogo lovarooborola, Moscow, 1972, p. 52. Sales of producer goods to farm households are estimated in Appendix A, item 2, b. Building materials purchased by households are derived as the difference between (1) total retail sales of building materials, 1.550 billion rubles (lumber, cement, and other construction materials, 1.500 billion rubles, and window glass, 0.050 billion rubles-Narkhoz 1972, p. 585) and (2) estimated purchases by institutions (0.329 billion rubles). The latter estimate is calculated at 21.2% of the total on the basis of the 1968-69 share of institu- tional purchases in total retail sales of lumber and building materials (calculated from A. Zaytseva and G. Morvz in Vestnik statistiki, no. 5, 1971, p. 37). ITousei;c!e purchases of building materials are accounted for in outlays for repair and invest- ment (2, b, (3), and 5, a, below). Total ......................................... 2,841.5 Repair and custom narking of shoes............ 340.1) Iiepair and custom sewing of clothing.......... 1,045.1 Appliance and instrument repair .............. 442.8 Repair and manufacture of furniture........... 100.6 Dry cleaning ................................ 95.1 Repair, custom making, and knitting of knitted garments ................................. 120.2 Repair and construction of housing by orders from the populatian ....................... 391. 7 Other productive services ..................... -293 . I I Other productive services are estimated at 50%, of the value of services not explicitly identified in Narkhoz 1972. The share represents an extension of the 1965-07 trend in productive services not explicitly identified, based on the data for all services gi,?en in Narkhoz 1968, p. 664, and the data for nonproductive services given in Narkhoz 1967, p. 773. Film rentals arc estimated at 0.1J5 billion rubles onthebasis of the statement by V. Rutgayzer *The term productir' scrriccs generally includes repair and custom manufacture, although drycleaning and dyeing, laun- dries, and photography shops are also classified its "proiluctive." Nonproductive services include public baths and showers, barber and beauty shops, rental offices, janitorial services, puwnshops, funeral services, and information bureaus. 39 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 (Planovoye kluozyaystvo, no. 3, 1974, p. 110) that film rentals represented 1.2% of tale "gross output, of trade and public dining" in 1070. The gross output, of trade and public dining can be derived as 10;248 billion rubles by dividing the gross output of trade and public dining, excluding film rentals (10.053 billion rubles) by 98.8%. The gross output of trade and public dining, excluding film rentals (16.053 billion rubles) is established from at percent- age breakdown of "total services (excluding science and administration)" given by R,utgayrcr (Ibid., p. 112) and it control total for the breakdown of 71.007 billion rubles. The control total was derived on the basis of (1) an estimate of "nonproductive services (excluding science and administration)" of 48.447 billion rubles and (2) the share held by these services in "total services (excluding science and administration)," (17.0% (Ibid.). The value of nonproductive services (excluding science and ad- ministration) was derived as follow,,: Itutgayzer presents it concept of Soviet gross national produc- tion of goods and services (national'nogo proizvodst- va material'nykh blag i uslug (NPBU)), which is defined as the sum of gross social product, (91.7% of the total) and the monetary value of services in the "nonproductive sphere" (8.3% of the total- Ibid.). Given official statistical handbook data for gross social product in 1970 of 644 billion rubles (Narkhoz 1972, p. 59), NP13U can be calculated at 702.290 billion rubles (644= 91.7?/0) and nonpro- ductive services at 58.290 billion rubles (702.290 X 8.3%). The labor and capital components of ex- penditures on "science and administration" amounted to 9.843 billion rubles in 1970 (Rutgayzer, op. cit., p. 112). Thus, the value of nonproductive services (excluding science and administration) equals 48.447 billion rubles (58.290-9.843). In order to avoid double-counting, film rentals, which are included in the gross output of trade and public dining and are also counted in money ex- penditures of the population on movies (Ibid., p. 110), are here removed and are recorded in recreation and culture (2, c, (5), below). b. Collective farm ex-village market sales Purchases by the population in collective farm ex-village markets are estimated at 3.835 billion rubles, the difference between total collective farm ex-village market sales (4.2 billion rubles-Narkhoz 1972, p. 573) and estimated purchases by institu- tions (0.365 billion rubles). The latter estimate represents 8.7% of total collective farm ex-village market sales, the share established on the basis of (I) the claim that institutional 1)u1'CIlames in the collective farm ex-village Market amounted to 0.342 billion rubies during the last half of 1008 11md the first half of 1909 (Zayts~!Vlt and Moroz, 0/). cit., p. :38) and (2) an csthaate of total collective f11rill Inau?k(t sales for that period of 3.1)51) billion rubles (derived 114 the average of total sales in ;908 of :3.8 billion rubles and in 1909 of 4.1 billion rubles--- Narkhoz 190.1), p. 597). ])ties are estimated at 2.092 billion rubles, the stun of trade union dues (1.370 billion rubles), Communist Party dues (0.410 billion rubles), and other dues (0.300 billion rubles). Trad:o union dues of 1.376 billion rubles are derived on the basis of (1) estimated trade union membership in 1970 of 94 million; (2) an estimated annual average wage of trade union members of 1,404 rubles-assumed to be the same its that for workers and employees in the state sector (Narkhoz 1972, p. 510); and (3) the assumption that clues average I'!/('j of members' annual average earnings. The estimate of membership is based on (1) reported membership of more than 86 million on 1 January 1968 and more than 96 million t.t the end of 1971 (Sovetskoyc profsoyuzy, " ). 5, 1972, p. 0) and (2) an index of state employees, calculated from Murray Feshbach and Stephen Rapawy, "Labor Constraints in the Five-Year Plan," Soviet Isconomic Prospects for the Seventies, Joint Economic Committee, US Congress, Washington, 1973, p. 508-509. The dues rate is that set for earnings of 70 rubles per month and higher (Spra.vochnik profsoyuznngo rabotnika, 1972, p. 463). Though students and some other groups pay it lower rate, this source of overestimation is offset by an under- estimation resulting from the failure to include initiation fees that new members must pay. Communist Party clues of 0.416 billion rubles are derived on the basis of (1) estimated total member- ship in the Party in 1970 of 14,192,174-the average of membership figures for 1 January 1970 and 1 January 1971 given in Partiynaya zhizn', no. 14, 1973, P. 9-10; (2) an estimated annual average wage of Party members of 1,466.4 rubles-assumed to be the same as annual average earnings of em- ployees in state and economic administrative organizations, cooperatives, and social organiza- tions (Narkhoz 1972, p. 517); and (3) reports that Approved For Release 2003/09/29 40:IA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 dues an-ount to 2% of meall(rs' annual ttverttge Op. cit.). The midyear stock of turban private and ('tu'nings, rural housing Is (Ierivetl on the basis of (1) end- Other duos --Konnsonlol, the Voluntary Society for A isisIing the Ai in,y, Air Force, and Navy (DOSAAh'), and many others- -cannot be estimated directly find lure arbitrarily approXi1IILL((I at 9.300 billion rubles. b. llousintl (1) 't'otal cash rents pit!(] for urban public housing are estimated at 1.001 billion rubles, the sum of cash rent on turban public housing (1.016 billion rubles) find ad(litiomu charges ptti(I by members of housing cooperatives for maintenance (0.075 billion rubles). Cash rent on urban public housing is estimated as the product of the total midyear stock of urban public housing (0.690 billion square -neters of living spac(!) and the aver- age rental rate per square meter of living spite(, (1.40 rubles per year-I. N. Shutov, Lichnoye potrcbleni?pc pri solsialismc, Moscow, 1972, p. 170). The midyear stock of turban public housing is derived on the basis of (1) end-year stocks in 1960 and 1970 measured in square meters of "useful space"* (Narkhoz 1970, p. 546) and (2) the coefficient of two-thirds for converting "useful space" to "living space (Willard S. Smith, "Ilous- ing in the Soviet Union-Big Plans, Little Action," Soviet Economic Prospects for the Seventies, Joint Economic Committee, US Congress, Washington, 197:3, p. 406). Additional charges paid by members of housing cooperatives for maintenance are esti- mated as the product of the midyear stock of cooperative housing (0.029 billion square meters of living space) and the charge per square meter of living space (2.59 rubles-calculated from Smith, op. cit., p. 412, 423). (2) Imputed net rent on urban private and rural housing is estimated at 1.080 billion rubles, the difference between gross rent (1.642 billion rubles) and purchased repair by occupants of urban private and rural housing (0.562 billion rubles- 2, b, (3), below). Imputed gross rent on urban pri- vate and rural housing is estimated as the product of the midyear stock of urban private and rural housing (1.125 billion square meters of living space) and the average rental rate for state housing (1.46 rubles per square meter of living space-Shutov, *The term useful SpacC, IN used in Soviet statistics, includes living rooms, bedrooms, kitchens, baths, int,.rior halls, and closets but excludes external halls, stairways, and elevator shafts and the space occupied by walls, Living space refers to living rooms and bedrooms. year stocks in 19(11) and 1970 Inva"ilred ill square -neters of useful space (Urban front Narkhoz 1970, p. 1346; rural from Smith, op. cit., p. 120) and (2) the coefficient for converting useful space to living space of two-thirds for urban stock and three- fourths for rural stock (Ibid., p. 406). (3) Expenditures by the population on repair are estimated ILL 1.258 billion rubles, the stint of outlays by tenants in urban public housing (0.696 billion rubles) and outlays by occupants of urban private and rural housing (0.502 billion rubles). Each estimate is derived its the product of the appropriate midyear stock of living space (urban public stock from 2. b, (1), above; urban private and rural front 2, b, (2), above) and an annual repair expenditure by tenants of state housing of I ruble per square meter of living space (estimated by B. Kolotilkin in Vopros?1 ekonontiki, no. 9, 1972, p. 45) and an assumed annual repair outlay by occupants of urban private and rural housing of one-half that, or 0.5 ruble per square meter of living space. Of the total outlays on repair of 1.258 billion rubles, 0.195 billion rubles are estimated to have been spent on state-provided services--that is, roughly half of outlays on "construction and repair of housing" as reported in Narkhoz 1972, p. 621-and the balance, 1.063 billion rubles, on repair services provided by private persons. Of the latter, 90%, or 0.957 billion rubles, is arbitrarily assumed to be wages or private incomes from housing repair services. c. Other services (1) Utilities expenditures of households of 3.478 billion rubles are the sum of kerosene purchases of 0.131 billion rubles (1, a, above) and outlays of 3.347 billion rubles. The outlays represent the difference between total household outlays in 1970 on "housing-communal" services (4.6 billion ru- bles-V. Ye. Komarov and U. G. Chernyavskiy, Dokhody i potrebleniye naseleniya SSSR, Moscow, 1973, p. 209) and the suns of household payments for (1) cash rent (1.091 billion rubles-2, b, (1), above) and (2) outlays for hotels and the like (0.162 billion rubles). The latter deduction ~:s require(, because Komarov and Chernyavskiy use the expenditure classification system employed by Gosplan in calculating the annual "balance of incomes and expenditures of the population." The Gosplan category "communal services" includes both utility payments and the population's outlays Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 on hotels, dormitories, and sialll-tr facilities, (See f Mclodirheskiye -(kazatei//a, I9(N), p. 5135,) It- the absence of reporte(I (IaLLa, onLlays on hotels -u'e arbitrarily estimated On the assu-nption that out- lays for wages and social insurance represent two- thirds of total current outlays, The wage bill is esti-tnLLe(I at 0,103 billion rubles, the product of employment in hotels (91,000) and the annual average wage reported for "housing-communal economy" (1,134 rubles). The employment figure is obtained by projecting to 1970 an estimate given for 1969 (by Stephen Rapawy, Comparison of US and USSR Civilian Employment in Government: 1950-1969, US Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, International Population Reports Series P-95, no. 69, April 1972, p. 17). The average wage is from Narkhoz 1972, p. 517. Social insurance deductions are estimated at 0.005 billion rubles, 4.7% of the wage bill-the rate for the communal economy (Spravochnik partiynopo rabotnika, vypusk vos'moy, Moscow, 1968, p. 440, hereafter referred to as Spravochnik partiynogo rabotnika). (2) Transportation outlays are given in Komarov and Chernyavskiy, op. cit., p. 209. (3) Communications outlays are given in Komarov and Chernyavskiy (Ibid.). (4) Repair and personal care expenditures of households, excluding their outlays for housing repair, are estimated at 4.674 billion rubles, the sum of state-provided "everyday" services (3.650 billion rubles), privately provided services (0.937 billion rubles), and "other services" (0.087 billion rubles). Data for state-provided "everyday" serv- ices, excluding housing construction and repair, are from Narkhoz 1972, p. 621. Privately provided services, excluding housing, are derived as the difference between an estimate of total private services of about 2.0'billion rubles (V. Azar and I. Pletnikova, Ekonomicheskiye nauki, no. 11, 1973, p. 45) and household purchases of privately pro- vided repair of housing of 1.063 billion rubles (2, b, (3), above). Wages or private income from these privately provided services, excluding housing, are arbitrarily assumed to amount to 90%, or 0.843 billion rubles. Outlays for "other services" are defined in the "balance of incomes and expenditures of the population" to include payments for process- ing agricultural products, transport fees charged by collective farms, fees for khozraschet training courses, and legal and consultation fees. These outlays are derived as the difference between house- Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 holds' expenditures for "otbet' services" of 1.7 billion rubles - bel1(ve(I to Include eertaiu education and health outlays '1(onuLrov and Chernyavskiy, op, cit., p. 209) -Ln(1 that part of these outlays counted elsewhere in the accounts, The outlays counted elsewhere include production services purehILsed front collective farms (0.100 billion rubles----see Appendix A, item 2, h) and fees paid by the population for certain education till(! health fill(] physical culture services (0.971 billion rubles an(] 0.592 billion rubles, respectively--see 2, e, (6) and 2, c, (7), below). (5) Recreation and culture expenditures of households are estimate(] at 2.647 billion rubles, the st--n of (1) outlays for entertainment (1.500 billion rubles-Ibid., p. 209), (2) expenditures on "unorganized leisure" (0,700 billion rubles-Azar and Pletnikova, op. cit., p. 44), and (3) outlays for passes to resorts and the like (0.447 billion rubles). Outlays for "unorganized leisure" consist of ex- penditures on hotels, motels, and the like (0.162 billion rubles-2, c, (1), above) and payments to private persons for room rentals (0.538 billion rubles-of which 90%, or 0.484 billion rubles, is arbitrarily assumed to be wages or private income from such services). Outlays for passes to resorts and the like are derived its the difference between total estimated outlays of the population on public health and physical culture (0.542 billion rubles- 2, c, (7), below) and an estimate of fees paid by parents for children's nursery care (0.095 billion rubles). These fees are calculated as the product of the number of children in nurseries (1,181,500- Narkhoz 1972, p. 693) and the annual charge per child (80 rubles-Solsialislicheskiy Crud, no. 6, 1971, p. 9). (6) Education outlays of households are esti- mated. at 1.064 billion rubles, the sum of outlays for private services (0.093 billion rubles) and fees for public education (0.971 billion rubles). In the absence of data on the substantial private activity that is known to exist in both education and health, outlays for private services are arbitrarily estimated at 1 % of the state wage bill for education. (For the education wage bill, see Appendix D, item 1, a.) Fees paid by the population for public educa- tion are estimated from Rutgayzer's data, which show that 5% of "total education expenditures" were paid by the population in 1970 (Rutgayzer, op. cit., p. 114). "Total education expenditures" used by Rutgayzer are calculated at 19.422 billion rubles, 27.1 % (Ibid., p. 112) of his "total services (exclud- 42 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 lug seienee and adlniniHtration)"- esthnlLted ILL 71,6117 billion rubles in 1, it, above, (7) Health outlays of households are estimated at 0.148 billion rubles, the suet of outlays for pri- vate services (0.053 billion rubles) and fees for public health (0.095 billion rubles). Outlays for private services are arbitrILrily estimated at 1'%0 of the state wage bill for health, (For the wage bill, see Appendix 1), item 1, c.) That part of fees paid by the population for public health services re- corded here is the difference between (1) total fees paid by the population for public health and physical culture (0.542 billion rubles) and (2) fees paid for resort passes and the like (0.447 billion rubles), which are recorded in recreation and culture (2, c, (5), above). Total fees paid by the population for public health and physical culture are derived from Rutgayzer's data, which show that 60/0 of "total health and physical culture" expendi- tures were paid by the population in 1970 (Ibid., p. 114). "Total health and physical culture expendi- tures" used by Rutgayzer are calculated at 9.030 billion rubles, 12.6% (Ibid., p. 112) of his "total services (excluding science and administration)"-- estimated at 71.667 billion rubles in 1, a, above. 3. Consumption-in-kind a. Farm consumption-in-kind Appendix A, item 2, c, M. b. Military subsistence Appendix A, item 3, b. 4. Total outlays for consumption Derived as the sum of items 1, 2, and 3. a. Private housing construction The value of private housing construction is estimated at 2.029 billion rubles by adjusting official handbook data on the value of private housing construction (1.636 billion rubles-Narkhoz 1972, p. 486) upward by 24% in order to express the official series in 1969 estimate prices (Smith, op. cit., p. 418). b. harm irtvestntent-in-kind Appoudix A, item 2, c, (2). 6. 't'otal outlays for consumption and investment Derived as the stun of items 4 and 5. 7. Transfer outlays it. Net savings Net savings by households of 9,720 billion rubles are the stun of (1) net additions to savings deposits between end-1909 and end-1970 (8.203 billion rubles-Narkhoz 1970, p. 562), (2) net bond purchases (0.470 billion rubles-Ministerstvo finansov SSSR, Byudzhetnoye upravleniye, Gosudarstr?nnyy byudzhet SSSIZ i byudzhety soyuz- nykh respublik 1966-1970, statisticheskiy sbornik, Moscow, 1972, p. 12, hereafter referred to as Gosudarstvennyy byudzhct 1966-1970), and (3) net insurance premiums (1.047 billion rubles). The latter estimate is derived as the difference between premiums paid by the population (1.827 billion rubles-Pinansy SSSJ?, no. 4, 1972, p. 3) and indemnities received (0.780 billion rubles-Finansy SSSR, no. 1, 1971, P. 10). b. Direct taxes Gosudarstvennyy byudzhet 1966-1970, p. 12. c. Other payments to the state Other payments to the state are esdimated at 0.587 billion rubles, the sum of net state revenues from lotteries (0.254 billion rubles-Ibid.) and other state budget revenue from the population (0.333 billion rubles). Other state budget revenue from the population is derived as the difference between total state budget revenues from the population (13.844 billion rubles-Ibid.), and the sum of (1) collective farm market fees paid. by households (0.050 billion rubles-Appendix A, item 2, b); (2) net bond purchases (0.470 billion rubles- 7, a, above); (3) direct taxes from the population (12.737 billion rubles-7, b, above); and (4) net lottery ticket purchases (0.254 billion rubles- aluove). 8. Total outlays Derived as the sum of items 6 and 7. Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Sources for Table 3. USSR: Public Sector Incomes, 1970 1. Net income retained by organizations it. Retained income of collective farms Retained income of collective farms is estimated at 7.186 million rubles, the difference between total net income of collective farms in 1970 of 8.097 billion rubles (L'konomika sel'skogo khozyaystva, no. 7, 1972, p. 34) and the sum of (1) income taxes (0.066 billion rubles-Gosudarstvennyy byudzhet 1966-1970, p. 12); (2) premia paid to collective farm members from profits (0.225 billion rubles- Appendix A, item 2, a, (1)); and (3) other taxes (0.020 billion rubles). Other tase': are estimated at tl:e level of these payments in 1999 as derived from data regarding collective farms' total tax payments made from net income (N. F. Panchenko, et at., Industrial'noye razvitiye i effektivnost' kolkhoznoco proizvodstva, Moscow, 1971, p. 30; G. G. Badir'yan, Ekonomika sotsialisticheskogo sel'skogo khozyaystva, Moscow, 1971, p. 463) and their payment of income taxes alone (Gosudarstvennyy byudzhet 1966-1970, p. 12). b. Retained profits of state enterprises Retained profits of state enterprises are estimated at 26.481 billion rubles, the difference between net profits (85.668 billion rubles-Narkhoz 1972, p. 697) and the sum of deductions to the budget (54.157 billion rubles--Gosudarstvennyy byudzhct 1966-1970, p. 11) and bonuses paid from profits (5.030 billion rubles). Official handbook data for profits include profits allocated to various incentive funds from which bonuses are paid to employees. Since these bonuses are included in the state wage bill, they are here deducted in order to avoid doublecounting. Their estimate is derived as the sum of bonuses paid from "material incentive funds" that were formed under the rules of the 1965 economic reform and bonuses paid from two additional profits-financed incentive funds-the "fund for premia for victory in socialist competi- tion" and the "fund for producing consumer goods from waste materials." Bonuses paid from material incentive funds are estimated at 4.730 billion rubles, 43% of enter- prises' total incentive funds of 11.000 billion rubles (Narkhoz 1972, p. 721). The share is that calculated for industrial enterprises based on their 1970 expenditures from the material incentive fund (3.739 billion rubles) and their total incentive funds (8.700 billion rubles-Ibid., p. 722). Bonuses paid from the other incentive funds financed from profits are estimated at 0.300 billion rubles on the basis of total expenditures from each fund--0.334 billion rubles from the first, the "fund for premix for victory in socialist competition"; 0.275 billion rubles from the second, the "fund for producing consumer goods from waste materials" (Ibid., p. 721)-and the assumption that expendi- tures for bonuses constituted 65% of total outlays of the first and 30% of total outlays of the second. These shares are in line with those established for 1967 when: (1) premix paid from the first fund accounted for 0.175 billion rubles, or 65.3% of the tot,.,! fund of 0.268 billion rubles (Narkhoz 1967, p. 880) and (2) estimated premia paid from the second fund, 0.047 billion rubles (approximated by analogy with the first fund, at two-thirds of the joint, entry for "premia and social-cultural meas- ures"), represented 27.8% of the total fund (0.169 billion rubles-Ibid.). c. Retained profits of consumer cooperatives Retained profits of consumer cooperatives are estimated at 0.794 billion rubles, the difference between net profits (1.321 billion rubles-Narkhoz 1972, p. 697) and the sum of (1) profits distributed to cooperative members (0.027 billion rubles- Appendix A, item 1, b); (2) income taxes (0.462 billion rubles); and (3) premia paid to employees (0.038 billion rubles). Income taxes are calculated at 35% of cooperatives' profits, the rate given in V. V. Lavrov, et at., Finansy i kredit SSSR, Moscow, 1972, p. 179.. Premia paid to employees are arbitrarily estimated at one-half of incentive Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 funds of cooperatives of 0,075 billion rubles (Narlchoz 1972, p. 720), d. Retained profits of other organizations Retained profits of other organizations (mainly "social organizations," such as trade unions) are estimated at 0.321 billion rubles, the difference between net profits (0.428 billion rubles) and income taxes (0.107 billion rubles). Not profits of other organizations are estimated as four times the income taxes paid by these organizations, given it tax rate of 25% (Lavrov, op. cit.). Income taxes paid by other organizations are calculated as the difference between total income taxes paid by cooperatives ani other enterprises (0.569 billion rubles-Gosudarstvennyy byudzhet 1966-1970, p. 12) and income taxes paid by consumer coopera- tives (0.462 billion rubles-1, c, above). 2. Charges to economic enterprises for special funds a. Social insurance and social security Total charges to economic enterprises for social insurance and social security are derived as 9.436 billion rubles, the sum of (1) state budget receipts from social insurance charges (8.300 billion rubles- Narkhoz 1972, p. 724), (2) collective farm payments Sato the All-Union Social Insurance Fund for Collective Farmers (0.356 billion rubles), and (3) collective farm payments into the All-Union Social Security Fund for Collective Farmers (0.780 billion rubles). Collective farm, payments into the All-Union Social Insurance Fund for Collective Farmers are derived as 0.356 billion rubles, 2.4% of the esti- mated total labor pay fund-14.840 billion rubles, including money pay (14.040 billion rubles) and in-kind payments valued in procurement prices (0.800 billion rubles). (See K. S. Kartashova, Finansy, kredit i raschety v kolkhozakh, Moscow, 1970, p. 75.) Official data put the labor pay fund at 15.0 billion rubles, including money pvy (14.040 billion rubles) and in-kind payments valued in state retail prices (0.960 billion rubles-Appendix A, item 2, a, (1)). The in-kind payments were adjusted to a procurement price basis by using the relation- ship between RSFSR state retail and procurement prices for grain. (See G. Ya. Kuznetsov, Tovarnyye otnosheniye i ekonomicheskiye stimuly v kolkhoznom proizvodstve, Moscow, 1971, p. 263.) Collective farm payments into the All-Union Social Security Fund for Collective Farmers are estimated at 0.780 billion rubles, 4%? of collective ftu?ms' gross income of the preceding year (Kartu- shova, op. cit., p. (19; Narlchoz 1970, p. 383). b. Education; research Charges to enterprise costs to finance education (worker training) and research are derived as 2.978 billion rubles, the sum of estimated charges to cost for (1) education (0.400 billion rubles) and (2) research (2.578 billion rubles). The education al- lowance is in line with 13ecker's estimate of 0.250 billion rubles in 1960 and 0.300 billion rubles in 1964. (See Becker, Soviet National Income, 1958- 1961j, National Accounts of the USSR in the Seven Year Plan Period, op. cit., p. 366.) Charges to enterprise costs to finance research are arbitrarily estimated at half the difference between total outlays on science from the state budget and other sources (11.7 billion rubles-Narkhoz 1972, p. 726) and the state budget allocation to "science" (6.543 billion rubles-Gosudarstvennyy byudzhel 1966-1970, p. 25). 3. Taxes and other payments to the budget a. Tax on income of collective farms See 1, a, above. b. Tax on income of consumer cooperatives and other organizations The entry of 0.569 billion rubles is the sum of income taxes of consumer cooperatives (0.462 billion rubles-1, c, above) and income taxes of other organizations (0.107 billion rubles-1, d, above). c. Deductions from profits of state enterprises Deductions to the budget from profits of state enterprises are estimated at 53.110 billion rubles, the difference between total deductions to the budget from profits of state enterprises (54.157 billion rubles-1, b, above) and households' in- surance premiums net of indemnities (1.047 billion rubles-Appendix B, item 7, a). A major portion of net receipts of Gosstrakh, the state insurance organization, is paid into the state budget as profits. (See Becker, op. cit., p. 367.) Since net insurance premiums are included in transfer receipts (8, below), they are here deducted in order to avoid doublecounting. d. Turnover tax Gosudarstvennyy byudzhet 1966-1970, p. 11. 46 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 roved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 AP .f,? c. Al is ancoits changes ing in the rent charged for the use of nonresidential Niliscellaneous charges are derived its 22.792 billion rubles, the stun of forest income (0.41)2 billion rubles----/bid., p. 12), rental income from property of local soviets (0.063 billion rubles--- Ibid., P. 78), price markups on radio and television sets paid to the budget to finance broadcasting (0.510 billion rubles-Azar and Pletnikova, op. cit., p. 44), local taxes and fees paid by enterprises (0.451) billion rubles), and other state budget revenues (21.268 billion rubles). Local taxes and fees paid by enterprises are derived as the difference between total local taxes and fees (0.842 billion rubles-Gosudarstvennyy byudzhet 1966-1970, p. 101) and local taxes and fees paid by the population (0.383 billion rubles). The population's share is derived its the difference between total state budget revenues from the population and the total of the identified revenues from the population (Ibid., p. 12). Other revenues are estimated, following the procedure used by Becker (op. cit., p. 367--368), as 75% of residual state budget revenues "from the socialist economy." Residual budget revenues from the socialist economy are derived as 28.358 billion rubles, the difference between total state budget revenues from the socialist economy (142.859 billion rubles-Gosudarstvcnnyy byudzhet 1966-1970, p. 11) and the sun of (1) the identified sources of these revenues (113.467 billion rubles-Ibid., p. 11-12), (2) rental income from property of local soviets (0.063 billion rubles-above), (3) price markups on radio and television sets paid to the budget to finance broadcasting (0.510 billion rubles-above), and (4) local taxes and fees from enterprises (0.459 billion rubles-above). The total composition of residual budget revenues "from the socialist economy" is not known. The following listing is compiled mainly from Becker, op. cit., p. 367-368, and Daniel Gallik, Cestmir Jesina, and Stephen Rapawy, The Soviet Financial System-Structure, Operation, and Statistics, US Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, International Population Reports Series P-90, no. 23, June 1968, p. 131-133, 163: (1) Special purpose funds-(a) redistributions of local industry profits, (b) deductions from compul- sory property insurance payments to finance prop- erty protection measures, (c) a highway construc- tion and maintenance fund for republic and oblast highways, (d) housing capital repair funds originat- (9Uarters in apartment houses (stores, storage areas, c)1' shops), and (e) deductions from prices of petroleum and natural gas to cover e`utrges for geological prospecting work; (2) Receipts of budgetary institutions; (3) Customs duties paid by import organiza- tions and by private citizens rece?,ving goods directly from abroad; (4) Accounting profits of foreign trade organiza- tions (we assume that accounting profits encompass the losses sustained from exports and the profits earned on imports as it result of the difference between domestic and foreign trade prices); (5) Income from the sale of state property such as property confiscated by the courts and unclaimed shipments; (6) Fees charged by the state for automobile inspections; registration of trademarks; inspection of weights, standards, and measures; fishing licenses; and notary and judicial services; and (7) Amounts recovered from pilferage and from illegal price changes, overdue obligations paid, fines, and other irregular payments to the budget. The category may also include the value of sales from state reserves, repayments of foreign itid extended by the USSR, and unexpended budget funds carried over from previous years. In the listing above only items (5), income from the sale of state property, and (7), amounts recovered-together with the value of sales from that portion of state reserves produced in former years and sold in the current year, repayment of foreign aid extended in prior years, and unexpended budget funds carried over from previous years- clearly represent income not currently earned. Item 4 (accounting profits of foreign trade organiza- tions) should be excluded if GNP is to be a measure of value added in domestic productive activity. (See Franklyn D. Holzman, Foreign Trade Under Central Planning, Harvard University Press, Cam- bridge, 1974, P. 337-338.) On the other hand, if the goal is to measure expenditure on domestically produced output in established prices, the losses arising from buying export goods at domestic prices and selling them abroad at lower prices should be subtracted from value added by sector of origin (Ibid.). Since it is not possible to estimate the share of the items that we want to include in the residual budget revenues, three-fourths of the residual is arbitrarily assigned to current charges. Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 'I'he allowance for subsidized losses, n.e.e., of 19.454 billion rubies is the stint of stet' budget subsidies to industry (I4,3:3 billion rubles), agricul- ture (1.342 billion rubles), trade (0.400 billion rubles), services (3.202 billion rubles), and other branches of material production (0.120 billion rubles). The assumption is made that the official statistical handbook series on net profits (as in item 1, b, above) accounts for operating losses of khozraschet enterprises and organizations, as well its state housing. (See Narkhoz 1972, p. 794.) Subsidies to industry consist of subsidies on government purchases of agricultural pr(ducts. These subsidies, which are estimated in Table C-1 at 14.33 billion rubles, arise when agricultural products purchased by government procurement organizations front farm producers ac various prices are resold to the processing sector and trade organizations at accounting prices that fall below the procurement prices. The difference between the government purchase price and the accounting price at which the processing industry enters the product in its production costs is financed from the budget and is considered a subsidy to industry. (See Finansy SSSR, no. 5, 1974, p. 45.) While allocation of the whole of these subsidies to industry results in some overstatement of industrial sub- sidies, since some part of the subsidized agricultural products passes directly into the trade net without industrial processing, the extent of the overstate- ment is considered snmll. Subsidies to agriculture covering the difference between wholesale prices and lower prices charged farm producers for certain industrial products are estimated at 1.342 billion rubles, the sum of (1) subsidies on purchases of mineral fertilizer, tractors, trucks, agricultural machinery, and land construc- tion machinery, estimated at 0.868 billion rubles- midway between the 1969 flan for these subsidies of 0.737 billion rubles (Finansy SSSR, no. 1, 1969, p. 12) and the 1971 Plan of I billion rubles (Finansy SSSR, no. 10, 1970, p. 6)-and (2) subsidies on purchases of processed feeds, estimated at 0.471 billion rubles. The latter estimate is based on the level of subsidy per ton of processed feed of 20 rubles (V. N. Semenov, Rol' finansov i kredita v razvilii sel'skogo khozyaystva, Moscow, 1973, p. 261) and the assumption that agriculture purchased the whole of 1970 industrial output of processed feeds of 23.7 million tons (Narkhoz 1972, p. 174-175). Subsidies for trade are estimmted budget allocat- tions to covet' losses incurred by retail trod(' enter- prises when they are permitted to sell slow-uaoving goods tit, reduced prices. The estimate for 11)70 of 0,4011 billion rubles is set, somewhat below the annual average level that can be established for these allocations given their 1971 -73 total of 1.3 billion rubles (Finansy 8881t, no. I, 11)74, p. 7). Subsidies to services of 3.262 billion rubles are the sum of subsidies for housing maintenance (2.036 billion rubles) and alt, recreation, and physi- cal culture (1.176 billion rubles). Subsidies for housing maintenance of 2.086 billion rubles are derived as the product of the midyear stock of state housing, 1.043 billion square meters of useful space (calculated from end-year data in ! orkhoz 1970, p. 5.16), and an estimated state subsidy of 2 rubles per square meter. The subsidy rate is based on the statement that the state spends :3 rubles per square meter for -mtintemtnee of state housing, one-third of which is covered by rent ( I'oprosg clconontiki, no. 2, 1973, p. 41). The rate is taken to refer to useful rather than living space. Subsidies for art, recreation, and physical culture of 1.176 billion rubles are the sum of state budget allocations to art and radio broadcasting (0.628 billion rubles-A'arkhoz 1972, p. 727) and estimated subsidies for recreation and physical culture (0.518 billion rubles). Subsidies for recreation and physical culture are derived as the sum of state budget outlays for physical culture (0.047 billion rubles- Ibid.) and estimated subsidies for recreation (0.501 billion rubles), representing support from social in- surance funds for resort passes and institutions providing resort services. This support is the sum of (1) direct outlays from social insurance funds for resort passes (0.343 billion rubles-derived as 43.4% of the full cost of passes to resorts of 0.790 billion rubles) and (2) subsidies from social insurance funds to institutions providing resort services (0.158 billion rubles-derived as 20% of the full cost of passes of 0.790 billion rubles). The shares are from Azar and Pletnikova, op. cit., p. 44. The full cost of passes is derived on the basis of the population's outlays for passes to resorts and the like (0.=117 billion rubles-Appendix B, item 2, c, (5)) and their share in the full cost (56.6%-100% less the share covered by social insurance funds, 43.4%, above). Subsidies to other branches of material produc- tion are the reported state budget allocations to the press (0.120 billion rubles-Narkhoz 1972, p. 727). Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CAA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 5. Consolidated total charges against current vettltl111e fowls v I olkhozalch i sovkhozulch, Moscow, product, net of depreciation 1972, p. 04). Derived as the 8(1111 of items 1 through 4. 7. Consolidated total charges against current 0. Depreciation Depreciation of 31.827 billion rubles is the sum of amortization (10(ItletionM in state-cooperative organizations (29.105 billion ,'tlbles- -Ibid., p. 723) and amortization deductions in collective farits (2.722 billion rubles---Z. 1, Eravehenko, Proizvodsi- product Derived its the suln of items 5 and (1. 8. Transfer receipts 'Appendix 13, item 7. 9. Consolidated net income USSR: Subsidies on Government Purchases of Agricultural Products,' 1969-71 Billion Rubles Total(2 ................................. 7.88 14.33 15.57 Meat ............................... 5.301 8.74'1 9.83 Milk ................................ 1 .38 3.12') 3.22 Wool ............................... Negl. 0.14 7 0.15 Eggs ................................ Not app. 0.03 7 0.04 Grain ............................... 0.568 0.71 0.64 Potatoes ............................ 0.08 0.09 0.0911 Vegetables ........................... 0.11 0.139 0.2111 Sugar beets .......................... 0.1011 0.11 0.10 Sunflower seeds and other oil seeds .... . Hemp, flax, Icenaf, hides ............. Cotton .............................. 1.19 1 Estimates of the subsidies involved in government purchases of agricultural products from socialized and private agriculture at one set of prices and their resale to industry and trade organizations at lower prices were derived for each product on the basis of (1) the level of the product's subsidy in it base year, (2) the assumption that the subsidy would grow as did procurements of the product, and (3) additional adjustments to the subsidy level based on revisions in procurement prices or in wholesale prices. The base year for SUb.biles is 1061) for grain, sugar beets, and oil seeds; it is 11)70 for meat, milk, wool, eggs, and cotton- reflecting the July 1970 Plenum increases in procurement prices for livestock products; Lard it is 1071 for potatoes and vegeta- bles. An index of procurements was calculated for each product from data in official statistical yearbooks. An index of sunflower seeds procurements was used to move the combined entry for all oil seeds and hemp, flax, and the like. Indexes computed from aggregate procurement data are considered acceptable since, for each product, both shares of procurement from the various producers and the relationships among the prices paid each producer have remained stable since the year chosen its the base for the product's index of procurements. 2 Derived as the sum or the parts. :1 Ftnansy SSSR, no. 3, 1069, p. 10. A total of 5.3 billion rubles, given in the source, implies it subsidy of 452 rubles for each of 11,724,000 tons, live weight, procured in 1900 (Scl'skoyc kho:yaystvo, I1)T1, p. 75). -1 Derived as the product of the number of tons procured in 1970 (12,595,00(1 tons, live weight.--A'arkho: 1972, p. $711) and the implied level of subsidy per procured (on, live weight (6161 rubles). The littler is derived by dividing the 1971 Phan meat preeul'II11e11ts Subsidy (0.3 billion rubles --/'iuansy SSS11, no. 5, 1071, p. 65) by the 1071 Plan for meat procurements (13.1 million tons, live weight- Caxudarxlt'crrntlll pyalilclni f/ plan 1971- 1975, p. 349). 11 Derived as the product of the number of tons procured in 1001) (43,782,000-Sel'skoye khozyayelra, 11171, p. 70) and the level of subsidy per procured ton (31411 rubles). The hatter is the difference between the 11)(11) average procurement price of 101 rubles per ton realized by all producers and the accounting price of 12(1.51 rubles at which the processing industry entered the milk in its production costs. The average procurement price is based on quantities procured and 10(10 prices paid each producer (I3adir'ynn, op. cit., p. 36, 48); the accounting price is from 1. G. liudryavtnova, Tsenoohra:oraniyc pishcheroy prornyxhlonnasti, Moscow, 1972, p. 20. (I Derived as the product of the number of tons procured in 11)70 (45,681,000-Narkhoz 1972, p. 380) and the implied level of subsidy per procured ton (08.32 rubles). The latter is derived by dividing the 11(71 Plan milk procurements subsidy (3.3 billion rubles-/'inansy SSSR, no. 4, 1971, p. 65) by the 1971 Plan for milk procurements (48.3 million tons--Gosudarsl- rcnnyy pyatilctniy plan 1971-1975, p. 349). Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 r,Htalml mG4N(p9lFHorr F TIRta s /0909 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 oat fil I I , om to avln'fig(I level of theme pltylllentM (1H cfil('mlIlted pPr Lou of pro- ealHtlltg H(II)))Id!eo (1) pI'oelli'elll('1)tH of livestock 1)1'mduleLH ('('stilt- (millid gl'Idil (InlH' 1)111s Ilh0Ve-plan I)roetll'Plllents--A, 'I'(1, 'tug from the ' procurement In ice Increases of 1117(1 (4, l) pillion rubles.. Selnenov, op, cit., p, 2,13), (2) that, pan, of the addition attributable to meat and milk (4,73 billion rubles- derived below), and (3) the arbitrary nlIooaLion of the reuullnder (0,17 billion rubles) botwecn wool find eg118 by Hhlm'as Of foul'-fifths 1111(1 ono-fifth, respectively. The Ml(IILI(Ill CO the existing Hllhsi(Iy IH tilt(' mill( as (1x11 (S7u-S ), Q?yuantity procured In tens S??HuboIdy in rubles par procured Q711= 12,505,000 (note .I, above) S711-(104 (note 4, above) Sa11='3132 (note :3, ((hove) (1711-'451,081,000 (note 11, above) S711?(38,32 (note (1, above) S(Iu"3L40 (note 13, nbovc) (1711 (S7u- Snu) for meat = 3,013 for milk = 1.68 Total = 4,73 billion rubles in 1969 (135,540,000---Sel', kol/c khnzt/allsivo, 11)71, p, 513) an(I an allowance of 10 rubles per ton to cover budget-financed pay- menLH for above-plan procurements. This is the 1(10(1-70 anuu11l IGunlnnky, cl ol? editors, 1 konar(1(k)) zernocot/o kh0z1lnll,lea, Moscow, 11)7(1, p. 11)0; Venlnik slalisliki, no. (), 11173, p. 17). A'konarnika sel'lkopa khozlp)llslwl, no, 5, 1972, p, 103, 10 Base(' all ttIl ILI'bit I'lu'y allocation Itnlnng Huglu' beets, Hun- fl(iwer seeds, lull cotton of the residultl obtained by deducting Lhe Hut) of fill known entries with the exception of 1)111k ((3.35 billion rubles) from fill till lumHeed plan for budget-financed preen refile nt Hubtidl,'H ((1,5 billion rubles---hinans)1 S,SSIi, no. 1, 1900, p. 12). The plan number IH believed to exclude subsidies for milk, refiecti)ug It new firrangement whereby, effective Jantutry 111(131, the Milk Industry (VI)H to cover Lit(, difference between the procurement price un(1 Its accounting price from 1111 intrfi-Milk Industry special account to be funded by obliga- tory deduction)) in certain highly profitable ):reds of the in(Iuatry (fluid milk, Home cheeses, IUId ice ('('Paul), Poor performmI)ee hec)Lune of "lack of finnnchtl discipline" hits, however, re- quired continuation of Iludget-fhtlutced subsidies for the product, (See A. K. Korovllsllkin, c't al,, Rcgulirovanillt raznits o tscnnkit na sel'skokhmzllo)1sivennH!/m produktsiyu, Moscow, 1972, p, (10-08; Kudry)tvt.Hcwa, op. cit., p, 28-29, 32; 1''inansp SS,SR, no. 5, 1971, p. 65; and Jikonamika sel'skogo khozyal/stca, no. 8, 1971, p. 21.) 11 Derived um the product of the number of tons procured in 1070 (0,800,000--Nark/(oz 1 97.1, p. 332) till(] the subsidy per procured Lon (107 rubles---,Semenov, op. cit., p. 253), Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Total current outlays on each of the categories- education, culture, and art-are as follows: Total current outlays on education, estimated at 15.034 billion rubles, consist of wages (9.333 billion rubles), social insurance deductions (0.513 billion rubles), and materials purchases (5.188 billion rubles). The estimate of total current out- lays on education is based on the assumption that the ratio of outlays for wages and social insurance deductions to total current outlays on education is the same as the ratio of outlays for wages and social insurance deductions to total current outlays on education, culture, and art as it whole. The ratio is established in the first tabulation, below. Total current outlays on each of the categories- education, culture, and art-are presented in the second tabulation, below. The derivation follows that set out above for education; that is, total current outlays on each of the categories-educa- tion, culture, and art-are estimated on the assumption that the ratio of outlays for wages and social insurance deductions to total current outlays on the category is the same as the ratio of outlays for wages and social insurance deductions to total current outlays on education, culture, and art as a whole. Billion Rubles Percent' Total outhrys on education, culture, and art ............................ 23.500 Less: Investment ..................... :3.235 Capital repair ................... 0.825 Stipends ........................ 1.300 Fees paid by the population ...... 0.071 Equals: Total current outlays ............ 17.169 100.00 wages ........................ 10.(158 62.08 Social insurance deductions..... 0.586 3.41 Materials purchases............ 5.9252 34.51 1 Total current outlays data of column l expressed in percent. 2 Derived as the residual entry of column 1. Billion Rubles Education Culture Art Total current outlays ........ 15. (134 1.379 0.756 wages ................... 0.333 0.856 0.469 Social insurance deductions. (1.513 0.047 0.026 Materials purchases I...... 5.188 0.476 0.261 I Derived as it residual, the difference between total current outlays and the sum of outlays for wages and social insurance deductions. Data for total outlays on education, culture, and art (prosvcshcheniye) from the state budget and other sources are from Narkhoz 1972, p. 726. investment is derived its the difference between total investment in 1970 in education, culture, art, and science (4.525 billion rubles--Ibid., p. 479) and estimated investment in science only (1.290 billion rubles-4, below). Capital repair outlays are estimated on the basis of (1) republic budget expenditures for capital repair in education, culture, and art (0.640 billion rubles-Gosudarstvennyy byudzhet 1966-1970, p. 84) and (2) the assumption that these expenditures constituted 77.61% of total outlays for capital repair in these categories. The share is the ratio of state budget outlays on education, culture, and art (18.226 billion rubles-Ibid., p. 25) to total outlays on the categories (23.5 billion rubles-above). Stipends are from Narkhoz 1972, p. 535. Fees paid by the population for kindergartens and other schooling are estimated in Appendix B, item 2, c, (6). Total wages in education, culture, and art are derived as 10.658 billion rubles. the sure of (1) wages in education and culture (10.189 billion rubles) -calculated as the product of the number of workers (8,025,000-Ibid., p. 505) and their annual average wage (1,269.6 rubles-Ibid., p. 517)-and (2) wages in art (0.469 billion rubles). Wages in 51 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 art are derived as the product of the number of wakes and socia insurance deductions workers (412,000--ibid., p. 505) and their average annual wage (1,137.6 rubles-Ibid., p. 517). In turn, wages in education are derived as 9.333 billion rubles, the difference between wages in education lint) culture (10.189 billion rubles-above) and wages in culture (0.856 billion rubles). The wage bill for culture is derived as the product of (1) the number of workers (674,000-estimated at 8.9% of total employment in education and culture on the basis of the share obtaining for 1966-TsSU, 1'rud v SSSR, statisticheskii sbornilc, IVloscow, 1968, p. 27, hereafter referred to as Trod v SSSI?) and (2) the annual average wage (1,269.6 rubles). The wage is assumed to be the same as for education and culture as a whole (above). Total social insurance deductions of 0.586 billion rubles are the stun of social insurance deductions in education (0.513 billion rubles), culture (0.047 billion rubles), and art (0.026 billion rubles). Deductions are calculated at 5.5% of the respective wage bills. (See Spravochnik partignoyo rabotnika, P. 440.) b. Art Total current outlays on art, estimated at 0.756 billion rubles, consist of wages (0.469 billion rubles), social insurance deductions (0.026 billion rubles), and materials purchases (0.261 billion rubles). For the derivation see 1, it, above. c. Health Total current outlays on health, estimated at 10.016 billion rubles, consist of wages (5.319 billion rubles), social insurance deductions (0.292 billion rubles), and materials purchases (4.405 billion rubles). The estimate of total current outlays on health is based on the assumption that the ratio of outlays for wages and social insurance deductions to total current outlays cn health is the same as the ratio of outlays for wages and social insurance deductions to total current outlays on health and physical culture as it whole. The ratio is established in the first tabulation, below. Total current outlays on each of the categories- health and physical culture-are presented in the second tabulation, below. The derivation follows that set out above for health; that is, total current outlays on each of the categories--health and physical culture--are estimated on the assumption that the ratio of outlays for wages and social insurance deductions to total current outlays on the category is the same as the ratio of outlays for to total cur- physical culture as Billion Itublen Percent culture ......................... less: Investment ..................... Cilllital repairr ................... Ices paid by till' population...... bylull4: 'I'oIill current outlay's............ I 190 0.352 0.512 W ages ....................... 5.008 53. 10 Social insuraoec deductions..... 0.308 2.02 Materials purchas(,s............ 4.1145 ~ 43.08 1 Total current outlays data of cOluIIta I expressed in percent. 2 Derived as the residual entry of column 1. Total current outlays on each of the categories- health and physical culture-are its follows: Billion Rubles health Physical Culture 't'otal current. outlays' ................ 10.016 0.515 Wages ........................... 5.311) 11.281) Social i11411I'll flGr deductions......... (.202 0.01(1 Materials purchases 1 .............. 4.405 (1.240 1 Derived its It residtill l, the difference between total current outlays cull the suns of outlays for wages and social h s)ranet' deductions. Total outlays on health and physical culture are the sum of outlays from the state budget and other sources (11.8 billion rubles-Narkhoz 1972, p. 726) and outlays for activities which, while classified as "social security," are staffed by workers included in "health and physical culture" employment (0.845 billion rubles-Ibid., p. 728). Investment in health and physical culture is derived on the basis of the estimated level of invest- ment in 1965 and the implied average annual rate of growth in 1966-75 (4.8%-see G'osudarstvenn.yy pyatiletniy plan 1971-1975, p. 225). Capital repair outlays are estimated on the basis of (1) republic budget expenditures for capital repair in health and physical culture (0.2582 billion rubles-Gosudarstvennyy byudzhet 1966-1970, p. 95) and (2) the assumption that these expenditures constituted 73.4% of total outlays for capital 52 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 repair in these categories. 'I'Iie share is the ratio of state budget outlays on health and physical culture (0.284 billion rubles---Narlchoz 1972, u. 727) to total outlays on 110100 1 and physical culture (12,645 billion rubles--above). fees paid by the population are estimated in Appendix 13, item 2, c, (7). Total wages in health and physical culture are derived its 5.(i08 billion rubles, the product of the number of workers (5,080,0')0-Ibid., p. 505) and the annual average wage (1,104 rubles--Ibid., p. 517). Wages in health are derived as 5.311) billion rubles, the difference between total wages sn health and physical cultur (5.608 billion rubles-above) and wages in physical culture (0.289 billion rubles). The wage bill in physical culture is derived as the product of (1) the number of workers (262,000- estimated at 5.15% of total employment in "health and physical culture" on the basis of the share obtaining for 1966-Trull v SSSR, p. 27) and (2) the annual average wage (1,104 rubles). The wage is assumed to be the same as for health and physical culture as it whole (above). Total social insurance deductions of 0.308 billion rubles are the suns of social insurance deductions in health (0.292 billion rubles) and in physical culture (0.016 billion rubles). Deductions a, ' calculated at 5.5% of the respective wage bills. The rate is that reported for medical workers (Spravochnik partiy- nogo rabotnika, p. 440). d. Physical cul; ure This category consists of state-run resorts and sports activities classified in "health." Total current outlays on physical culture, estimated at 0.545 billion rubles, consist of wages (0.289 billion rubles), social insurance deductions (0.016 billion rubles), and materials purchases (0.240 billion rubles). For the derivation, see 1, c, above, 2. General administrative and miscellaneous services a. General agricultural programs General agricultural programs include activities such as ar:mal and plant disease control, veterinary services, seed inspection services, erosion control, and land improvement services. Total current out- lays on general agricultural programs, esti mated at 1.130 billion rubles, consist of wages (0.722 billion rubles), social insurance deductions (0.032 billion rubles), and materials purchases billion rubles). (0.376 Wages are derived its the product of the miiuler of workers (587,000) and their estimated amltlal average wage (1,229.6 rubles), Employment in general government agricultural programs is de- rived as the difference between total employm ent in state agriculture (9,180,000) and employment in state farnis and other state agricultural enter- prises (8,503,000), its reported in Narlhoz 1972, P. 504. The annual average tti,,ge is derived by weighting wage data for "state agriculture" and for "state farms and other state agricultural enter- prises" (Ibid., P. 51(i) by the employment data cited above, Social insurance deductions are calculated at 4.4% of the wage bill. (See Spravochnik partiyncgo rabotnika, p. 440.) Total current outlays are estimated on the as- sumption that, as was approximately the case for education, culture, and art (1, a, above), wages and social insurance deductions (derived above) constitute two-thirds of total current outho s. Materials purchases are the remainder, b. Forest economy Total cur. nt outlays on forest economy, esti- mated at 0.822 billion rubles, consist of wages (0.525 billion rubles), social insurance deductions (0.023 billion rubles), and materials purchases (0.274 billion rubles). Wages are derived as the product of the number of workers (433,000-Narlchoz 1972, p. 504) and their estimated annual average wage (1,212 rubles). The wage is assumed to be the same as that for "state agriculture" (Ibid., p. 516). Social insurance deductions are calculated at 4.4% of the wage bill, the rate reported for state agriculture (Spravochnik partiynogo rabotnika, p. 440). Total current outlays are estimated, as for general agricultural programs, on the assumption that wages and social insurance deductions (derived above) constitute two-thirds of total current out- lays Materials purchases are the remainder. c. State administration (apparat) Apparat includes state administrative bodies at all levels, judicial organs, agencies for public security and defense, and administrative organs of consumer cooperatives. Total current outlays on stat. administration (apparat), estimated at 3.952 billion rubles, consist of wages (2.499 billion rubles), 53 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Rgg as~ 2003/49/29 social insuranc O (educt-ons ion rttb es an(1 materials purchases (1.316 billion rubles), Wages are derived as tho difference between wages for workers in "apparat and administrative organs of social organizations" (2.761 billion rubles) and estimated wages for workers in administrative organs of "social organizations" only (0.262 billion rubles). (Social organizations include the Communist Party, the Komsomol, trade unions, DOSAAF, the Rcrl Cross and Red Crescent societies, sports (;,;, irties, and it number of others. The wages of the administrative organs of social organizations are recorded in 2, d, (4), below.) The wage bill for apparat and administrative organs of social organi- zations is derived as the product of employment (1,883,000-Narkhoz 1972, p. 505) and the annual average wage (1,466.4 rubles-Ibid., p. 517). The wage bill for administrative organs of social organi- zations is derived as the product of (1) the number of workers (179,000-estimated at 9.&1/14 of total apparat employment on the basis of the share obtaining for 1967-Trud v SSSR, p. 29) and (2) an annual average wage assumed equal to that for total apparat (1,466.4 rubles-above). Social insurance deductions are calcula-d at 5.5% of the wage bill. (See Spravochnik pa),aynogo rabotnika, p. 440.) Total current outlays are estimated, by analogy with education, culture, and art (1, a, above), on the assumption that wages and social insurance deductions (derived above) constitute two-thirds of total current outlays. Materials purchases are the remainder. d. Municipal and related services (1) Culture-This category consists mainly of libraries, museums, parks, zoos, clubs, and chil- dren's camps. Total current outlays on culture, estimated at 1.37? billion rubles, consist of wages (0.856 billion rubles), social insurance deductions (0.047 billion rubles), and materials purchases (0.476 billion rubles). For the derivation see 1, a, above. (2) Municipal services-This activity consists mainly of upkeep of city streets and municipal buildings, garbage and trash collections, fire pro- tection, and the like. Total current outlays on municipal services, estimated at 0.712 billion rubles, consist of wages (0.454 billion rubles), social insur- ance deductions (0.021 billion rubles), and materials purchases (0.237 billion rubles). CIA- RDP86T006018R000500110017-8 ages are (ler VW as t L. p-u(luct of the estimated number of workers (400,0('J) and their eMti-nate(1 annual average wage (1, 134 rubles). On the basis of the statement that 12%--1'1% of the total number employed in the "housing-communal economy" were engaged in general city services and adminis- tration (L. N. Gol'tsrnan, Ekonomiku kommunal'nogo l.hr~yaPjslva, uslug, tarify, Moscow, 1966, p. 52), the lumber of workers in general city services is estimated at 13% of the total number of workers in housing-communal economy (3,052,000-?Narkhoz 1972, p. 505). Their annual averalre wage is as- surned to be the same as that for housi.ig-communal economy as it whole (Ibid., p. 517). Social insurance deductions are calculated at the rate reported for the branch (4.7`0-Spravochnik partiynogo rabotnika, p. 440). Total current outlays are estimated, by analogy with education, culture, and art (1, a, above), on the assumption that wages and social insurance deductions (derived above) constitute two-thirds of total current outlays. Materials purchases are the remainder. (3) Civilian police-Total .urrent outlays on civilian police, estimated at 1.562 billion rubles, consist of wages (0.988 billion rubles), social insur- ance deductions (0.054 billion rubles), and materials purchases (0.520 billion rubles). Wages are derived as the product of estimated police employment (675,000) and an annual average wage assumed equal to that for all state employees (1,464 rubles-Narkhoz 1972, p. 516). Police em- ployment is estimated at 67.6% of total reported employment in "other branches of material produc- tion" (998,000-Ibid., p. 505). The share is that for 1969, estimated from Rapawy (op. cit., p. 24) and Narkhoz 1970, p. 511. Social insurance deductions are calculated at 5.5% of the wage bill, the rate reported for "state institutions" (Spravochnik parliynogo rabotnika, p. 440). Total current outlays are estimated, by analogy with education, culture, and art (1, a, above), on the assumption that wages and social insurance deductions (derived above) constitute two-thirds of total current outlays. Materials purchases are the remainder. (4) Administrative organs of social organiza- tions-This category consists of the administrative organs of social organizations such as the Com- 54 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 nlunist Party, the KollltiOlllol, trade unions, I)OSAAI, the lte(I ('rosy and Ite(I Crescent soeioLics, sports societies, and it number of others. Total current outlays on a diiiinistraLive organs of +(.>ciitl organizations, 05tinlitte(1 ILL 0.414 billion rubles, include wages (0.262 billion rubles), social insurance deductions (0.014 billion rubles), and innttel'iitls purchases (0,138 billion rubles). Wages are derived in item 2, c, above. Social insurance deductions are calculated at 5.5% of the wage bill, the rate for state institutions (Spravoch- nik, parliynogo rabotnika, p. 440). Total current outlays are estimated, by analogy with education, culture, and art (1, it, above), on the assumption that wages and social insurance deductions (above) constitute two-thirds of total current outlays. Materials purchases are the remainder. 3. Gross investment it. Fixed capital Investment in fixed capital is derived as 102.433 billion rubles, the sum of the following: Billion Rubles Outlays by public sector (excluding collective harms) ................................... 90.3001 Capital repair ............................... 17,693 Changes in warehouse stocks of equipment re- quiring installation ........................ -0.137 New fixed investment ........................ 72.744 Outlays by collective farms ................... 8.591 Capital repair ............................... 0.918 New fixed investment ........................ 7.673 let addition to livestock inventories In ?:acialized agriculture .................................. 3.542 1 Derived as the sum of the parts. Capital repair outlays of the public sector (ex- cluding collective farms) are estimated on the assumption that the sum of amortization deduc- tions for capital repair (14.663 billion rubles- Narkhoz '972, p. 723) and republic budget expendi- tures for capital repair (2.499 billion rubles- Gosudarslvennyy byudzhel 1966-1970, p. 81) ac- counts for 97% of total outlays for capital repair. (See Voprosy ekonomiki, no. 10, 1960, p. 48-49.) (It should be noted that capital repair expendi- tures in the USSR, cover a broader range of outlays than do capital repair expenditures reported in US accounts. Taxes on business income encourage US firms to charge to production costs many outlays classified as capital repair in the USSR.) Warehouse stocks of uninstitllc(1 e(luipinent de- elined by 0.137 billion rubles in 1970, dropping from it level of 5.017 billion rubles at the end of 1969 to 4.880 billion rubles at the end of 1970 (M(tlcrial'no-lekhnicheslcoye snabzheniyc, no. 4, 1972, p. 68). Public sector new fixed investment in 1970 is derived as the difference between total new fixed investment in the national economy (82,053 billion rubles-Narlchoz 1972, p. 473, 484) and the sum of new fixed investment outlays of the population (1.636 billion rubles-Ibid., p. 486) and collective farms (7.673 billion rubles-Ibid., p. 485). Official statistical handbook investment data are said to be in comparable estimate-cost prices of 1 January 1969. Capital repair outlays of collective farms are from Kravchenko, op. cit., p. 67. The net addition to livestock inventories in socialized agriculture is estimated in Table D-1. b. Inventories Inventory investment of 15.154 billion rubles is the sum of the increment in public sector (excluding collective farms) inventories (14.910 billion rubles- derived in Table D-2) and the increment in collec- tive farm inventories (0.244 billion rubles--derived in Table D-3). 4. Research and development (civilian and military) Total current outlays on research and develop- ment, estimated at 9.927 billion rubles, consist of wages (5.316 billion rubles), social insurance deduc- tions (0.292 billion rubles), and materials purchases (4.319 billion rubles). The derivation starts with the figure for total outlays on "science" (R&D) from the state budget and other sources (11.7 billion rubles-Narkhoz 1572, p. 726): Billion Rubles 't'otal outlays on "science" (R&1)) ............... 11.7(10 Less: Investment ............................... 1.290 Capital repair ............................. 0.483 Equals: 'rotal current outlays ...................... 9.927 Wages ................................. 5.310 Social insurance deductions ............... 0.292 Materials purchases ...................... 4.'A 19 Investment in science is estimated at 28.5% of total investment in education, culture, art,. and 55 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 science (4.525 billion rubles--Ibid., p. 479). The share is derived as follows: (1) Capital outlays on science in 1970 were reported as 1.560 billion rubles (UNESCO, Slalisli- cal Yearbook, 1072, p. 055). Capital outlays on education in 1970 were reported as 3.306 billion rubles (Ibid., p. 520). Since the total of investment in these two categories (4.866 billion rubles) exceeds reported capital investment in "education, culture, art, and science" (4.525 billion rubles-above), the UNESCO data are believed to include it part of capital repair, probably budget-financed repair in these categories. (2) Given this expanded definition of capital outlays, an estimate of capital outlays on education, culture, and art of 3.922 billion rubles wits derived on the assumption that the UNESCO-reported figure for education (3.300 billion rubles) repre- sented 84.3% of total capital outlay,: on education, culture, and art. The share is the ratio of total expenditures on education to total expenditures on education, culture, and art (Narkhoz 1972, p. 726). (3) In turn, total capital outlays on the four categories are derived its 5.482 billion rubles, the sum of capital outlays on education, culture, and art (3.922 billion rubles) and on science (1.560 billion rubles). From this, the science share is calculated as 28.5%. Capital repair is derived on the basis of (1) the estimated outlays for capital repair included in the figure reported to UNESCO (0.270 billion rubles- 1.560 billion rubles less estimated investment of 1.200 billion rubles) and (2) the assumption that these outlays represented 55,9%) of total outlays for capital repair. The share is the ratio of state budget outlays on science (0.543 billion rubles-Gosudar.Yl- vennyll byudzhcl 1966-1970, p. 25) to total out- lays on science (11.7 billion rubles-above). Science wages are calculated as the product of the number of workers (3,238,000-Narkhoz 1972, p. 505) and their annual average wage (1,041.0 rubles-Ibid., p. 517). Social insurance deductions are calculated at 5.5`/ of the wage bill. (See Spravochnik parliynogo rabolnilca, p. 4,40.) Materials purchases are derived as the difference between total current outlays and the sum of out- lays for wages and social insurance deductions. 5. Outlays n.e.c. (defense, net exports, and unidentified outlays) and statistical discrepancy Derived as the difference between total outlays (item 8) and the sum of items 1 through 4 and item 7. 6. Consolidated total value of goods and services, exclusive of sales to households Derived as the sum of items 1 through 5. 7. Transfer outlays Appendix A, item 8. 8. Consolidated total outlays Equal to total incomes, Table 3, item 9. Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : A1A-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Inventory of Animals Net Addition to Livestock -------- Inventories End- End- 19692 - ----- .1970'3 Rubles ---- --- Thousand per Billion Thousand Head Head' Head 5 Rubles (' Total ......................................................................... 4.0557 Cattle ............................ 95,102 91),225 4,003 442 1.796 flogs ............................. 5(i,r.5 67,483 11,428 173 1.977 Sheep and goats ................... 135,803 143.421 7,618 :37 0.282 Socialized sector ............................................................... 3.5427 Cattle ............................ 70,173 74,272 4,(199 442 1.812 Ilogs ............................. 42,225 50,921 8,69(1 173 1.504 Sheep and goats ................... 104,138 110,241 0,103 37 0.226 Private sector ................................................................. 0.5137 Cattle ............................ 24,089 24,953 -36 442 -0.016 Hogs ............................. 13,830 16,502 2,732 173 0.473 Sheep and goats ................... :31,6(15 33,180 1,515 37 0.056 - - - - - - - - - - -- - - A monetary valuation of the net addition to livestock inventories was estimated on the basis of the change in numbers of each of 4 animals-cattle, hogs, sheep, and goats--and the estimated average realized price per head for each type of animal. 2 Narkhoz 1970, p. 352-353. Narkhoz 1922-72, p. 257. Column 2 minus column 1. For each type of animal an average realized live weight price expressed on it per head basis was derived as the product of (1) the average live weight per head procured by the state in 1970-:301) kilograms for cattle, 107 kilograms for hogs, and 40 kilograms for sheep and goats (Scl'skoyc khozyaystvo, 1971, p. 328)-and (2) the average realized price per ton of live weight meat-1,431 rubles per ton for cattle, 1,620 rubles per ton for hogs, and 935 rubles per ton for sheep and goats (from Table A-2, price entry of item a. (7) for parts 5A, 513, and 5C). 4 Column 3 multiplied by column 4, except where otherwise indicated. 7 Derived as the sum of the parts. 57 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 USSR: Public Sector 1 Inventories,2 1969-70 (End-Year Data) Total working capital ..................... 191.389 211 .837 Less: Money assets ........................ 15.502 16.523 Financial claims ...................... 13.014 15.676 Other working capital ................. 0.766 0.847 Expenses of future periods ............. 2.826 2.940 Livestock for fattening and young livestock .......................... 6.405 8.065 Equals: Inventories .......................... 152.876 167.786 Increment during the year. , ......... 14.910 I State and cooperative enterprises and organizations, excluding collective farms. 2 Public sector inventories are derived as the difference between total working capital of state and cooperative enterprises and organizations, excluding collective farms, as presented in official statistical yearbooks, and the sum of (1) financial assets therein-money, financial claims, other working capital, and expenses of future periods-and (2) the value of livestock for fattening and young livestock. Livestock inventories are accounted for in fixed capital. s Total working capital of state and cooperative enterprises and organizations, excluding collective farms, is from Narkhoz 1970, p. 709. Money assets are calculated at 8.1%, financial claims at 6.8%, and "other working capital" at 0.4% of this total (Ibid., p. 710). Expenses of future periods are calculated as 1.9% (Ibid., p. 716) of total stocks of commodity-material values (148.712 billion rubles-Ibid., p. 709). The entry for livestock for fattening and young livestock is calculated at 40.2% (Ibid., p. 724) of total stocks of commodity-material values in state agriculture (15.934 billion rubles-Ibid., p. 709). 4 Total working capital is from Narkhoz 1972, p. 702, Money assets are calculated at 7.8%, financial claims at 7.4%, and "other working capital" at 0.4% of this total (Ibid., p. 703). Expenses of future periods are calculated at 1.8'% (Ibid., p. 710) of total stocks of commodity-material values (163.356 billion rubles-Ibid., p. 702). The entry for livestock for fattening and young livestock is calculated at 43.6% (Ibid., p. 718) of total stocks of commodity-material values in state agriculture (18.497 billion rubles-Ibid., p. 702). Approved For Release 2003/09/29 %A-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 USSR: Collective Farm Working Capital, 1968-70 (End-Year Data) - - - - - - - - - - - - - I V. V. Kochkarev, Oborolnyyc srcdstva kolkhozoi, Moscow, 1072, p. 11-12. 2 Total production assets are from Kochkarev (Ibid., p. 38). 't'otal circulating assets are estimated from Kochkarev its the difference between total circulating assets and that part directed to capital investment (Ibid.). Total working capital is derived as the sum of the parts. Livestock for fattening and young livestock and finished production are estimated at the shares of production assets and circulating assets, respectively, obtaining for the items in 1068. 3 Included in total production assets, above. '1 Included in total circulating assets, above. ? Collective farm inventories are derived as the sum of production assets (excluding livestock for fattening and young livestock) and finished production. Production assets .......................................... 15.580 - 16.862 18.439 Productive stocks Seed ................................................. 1,'111 3 1.55(1 teed ................................................. 2.600 3 2.803 Petroleum products .................................... 3 3 3 Spare parts ........................................... 0.427 3 0.487 Articles of little value which depreciate quicklyy ........... 3 3 3 Other materials ....................................... 3 3 3 Unfinished production Livestock for fattening and young livestock ............... 7.162 8.111 11.337 Expenses for harvest of future year ...................... 1.760 3 2.008 Other unfinished production ............................ 3 3 3 Circulating assets .......................................... 6.164 5.656 6.466 Finished production ..................................... 0.988 0.005 0.798 Money assets ........................................... 4.(120 4.508 Of Which: Current account in Gosbank .......................... 4.348 4.233 Special accounts for advances to collective farm members.. 0.031 1 0.004 Funds in settlement .......... 0.547 1 . 160 Total working capital or collective farms .............' 21.744 22.518 24.905 Of which: Inventories ................................... 11.076? 0.65(15 0.900? Increment during the year .................... 0.560 0.214 59 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Sources for Table 8. USSR: Gross National Product in Established Prices, by End Use, 1970 1. Consumption at. Goods (1) Food-Consumption of food is estimated at 107.667 billion rubles, the sum of retail sales of food and tobacco to the population (84.405 billion rubles), household purchases of food in collective farm ex-village markets (3.617 billion rubles), farm household consumption-in-kind, excluding wool (18.235 billion rubles), and the food portion of military subsistence (1.410 billion rubles). Retail sales of food and tobacco to the population are estimated at 84.405 billion rubles, the difference between total retail sales of food and tobacco (88.948 billion rubles-Narkhoz 1972, p. 584-585) and institutional purchases (4.543 billion rubles). The latter estimate is derived as 63.31%, of total institutional purchases of 7.177 billion rubles (Ap- pendix B, item 1, a). The share is the 1968-69 share of food in total institutional purchases in the retail trade network. (See Zaytseva and Moroz, op. cit., P. 36.) Household purchases of food in collective farm ex-village markets are estimated at 3.617 billion rubles, the difference between total food purchases in collective farm ex-village markets (3.966 biliion rubles) and institutional purchases of food in col- lective farm ex-village markets (0.349 billion ru- bles). Total food purchases in collective farm ex- village markets are derived on the basis of the percentage distribution of total food purchases between state and cooperative trade and collective farm markets (Narkhoz 1972, p. 576) and food purchases in state and cooperative trade alone (86.168 billion rubles-Ibid., p. 584). Institutional purchases of food represent 95.7% of total institu- tional purchases in collective farm ex-village mar- kets (0.365 billion rubles-Appendix B, item 1, b), the share derived for 1968-69 from Zaytseva and Moroz, op. cit., p. 39. Farm household consumption-in-kind, excluding wool, is calculated from Appendix A, Table A-2, part 10. The food portion of military subsistence is from Appendix A, stern 1. b. (2) Soft goods--Consumption of soft goods is estimated at 45.720 billion rubies;, the sum of retail sales of soft goods to the population (44.800 billion rubles), household purchases of soft goods in col- lective farm ex-village markets (0.218 billion ru- bles), farm household consumption-in-kind of wool (0.112 billion rubles), and the clothing allowance in military subsistence (0.590 billion rubles). Retail sales of soft goods to the population are estimated at 44.800 billion rubles, the difference between total retail sales of soft goods (45.852 billion rubles) and institutional purchases of soft goods (1.052 billion rubles). 't'otal retail sales of soft goods are derived as the sum of 44.961 billion rubles of identified retail sales of soft goods less tobacco (Narkhoz 1972, p. 584--585) and 0.891 billion rubles, representing 50% of the difference between (1) reported total retail sales of nonfood goods, less tobacco sales and producer goods, sold to farm households (see Appendix A, item 2, b) and (2) identified retail sales of nonfood goods (includ- ing services and film rentals-see Appendix B, item 1, a) less tobacco (Ibid.). In the absence of more specific data, the difference was allocated equally to soft goods and durables. (Identified retail sales of soft goods include sales of cloth, clothing, knitwear, shoes, laundry soap, synthetic cleaning materials, toilet soap and perfumes, haberdashery, matches, notebooks and paper, and printed goods.) Institutional purchases of soft goods are esti- mated at 1.052 billion rubles, the sum of (1) identified soft goods purchases of 0.703 billion rubles (26.7% of institutions' total nonfood pur- chases of 2.634 billion rubles) and (2) an allowance of 0.349 billion rubles, representing 50% of the difference between institutions' total nonfood pur- chases (2.634 billion rubles) and the sum of their identified purchases of soft goods (0.703 billion rubles), durable goods (0.903 billion rubles), and investment goods (0.329 billion rubles) (1, a, (3), 61 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 below). Insfi(utions' total nonfood purehaHes of 2.(134 billion rubles are derived as the difference between total institutional purchases (7.177 billion rubles) and their food purchases (4.543 billion rubles) (1, it, (1), above). The share of the total represented by identified purchases of soft goods is that for 1968-69 established from Zaytseva and Moroz, op cit., p. 36-37. household purchases of soft goods in collective farm ex-village markets are estimated at 0,218 billion rubles, the difference between total house- hold purchases in collective farm ex-village markets (3.835 billion rubles--Appendix 13, item 1, b) and household purchases of food in collective farm ex-village markets (3.617 billion rubles-1, it, (1), above). All nonfood goods sold in collective farm ex-village markets are assumed to be soft goods. Farm household consumption-in-kind of soft goods consists of wool consumed in-kind. (See Appendix A, Table A-2, part 7.) The soft goods portion of military subsistence consists of clothing. (See Appendix A, item 3, b.) (3) Durable goods-Consumption of durable goods is estimated at 13.975 billion rubles, the difference between total retail sales of durable goods (15.228 billion rubles) and institutional purchases of durable goods (1.253 billion rubles). Total retail sales of durable goods are derived as the sum of 14.336 billion rubles of identified retail sales of durable goods (Narkhoz 1972, p. 584-585) and 0.892 billion rubles, representing 50% of the difference between (1) reported total retail sales of nonfood goods less tobacco sales and producer goods sold to farm households (see Appendix A, item 2, a) and (2) identified retail sales of nonfood goods (including services and film rentals-see Appendix B, item 1, a) less tobacco (Ibid.). (Identified retail sales of durable goods include sales of furniture and metal beds, carpets, metal dishes, glass dishes, sporting goods, radio goods, musical instruments, toys, bicycles and motorbikes, watches, electrical goods, sewing machines, jewelry, and other household goods.) Institutional purchases of durable goods are estimated at 1.253 billion rubles, the sum of (1) identified durable goods purchases (0.903 billion rubles--34.3% of institutions' total nonfood pur- chases of 2.634 billion rubles) and (2) an allowance for unidentified purchases (0.350 billion rubles). The allowance represents 50% of the difference between institutions' total nonfood purchases (2.634 billion rubles) and the sum of their identified purchaMCH of soft goods (0.703 billion rubles--1, it, (2), above), durable goods (0.003 billion rubles-- above), and investment goods (0.320 billion rubles). Purchases of investment goods by institutions consist of building materials. (See Appendix 13, item 1, a.) Total nonfood purchases of institutions are from 1, it, (2), above. The share of the total represented by identified purchases of durable goods is that for 1068-69 established from Zaytseva and Moroz, op. cit., p. 36-37. (1) Trade union and other dues-Table 2, item 2, a. (2) Housing-Table 2, item 2, b. (3) Utilities-Table 2, item 2, c, (1). (4) Personal transportation-Table 2, item 2, c, (2). (5) Personal communications-Table 2, item 2, c, (3). (6) Repair and personal car,-Table 2, item 2, c, (4). (7) Recreation, art, and physical culture-Table 2, item 2, c, (5); Table 4, item 1, b; and Table 4, item 1, d. (8) Education-Table 2, item 2, c, (6) and Table 4, item 1, a. (9) Health-Table 2, item 2, c, (7), and Table 4, item 1, c. 2. Investment Table 2, item 5 and Table 4, item 3. a. New fixed investment New fixed investment of 86.364 billion rubles is the sum of household outlays for private housing construction (2.029 billion rubles-Table 2, item 5, a); public sector (excluding collective farms) changes in warehouse stocks of equipment requiring installation (- 0.137 billion rubles) and outlays for new investment (72.744 billion rubles) (Appendix D, item 3, a); collective farm new fixed investment (7.673 billion rubles-Appendix D, item 3, a); and the net addition to livestock inventories in the socialized and private sectors of agriculture (4.055 billion rubles-Appendix D, Table D-1). (1) Machinery and equipment-Narkhoz 1972, p. 474. 62 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 ,Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 (2) onvlructaon and other capital outlays are estinnlted at 57.001) billion rubles, the difference between total new fixed investment (80.364 billion rubles--2, it, above) and the sum of Investment in machinery and equipment (25,300 billion rubles-- 2, it, (1), above) and the not addition to livestock inventories (4.055 billion rubles-2, it, (3), below). (3) Net addition to livestock inventories in social- ized and private sectors of agriculture-Appendix D, Table D-1. 'f'able 4, item 3, b. 3. Other public sector expenditures it. General administrative and miscellaneous services Table 4, item 2. b. Research and development (civilian and military) Table 4, item 4. b. Capital repair Capital repair of 18.611 billion rubles is the sum of public sector (excluding collective farms) ex- penditures (17.693 billion rubles) and collective farm expenditures (0.918 billion rubles). See Ap- pendix D, item 3, a. c. Outlays n.e.c. (defense, net exports, and un- identified outlays) and statistical discrepancy Table 4, item 5. 4. Gross national product Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Sources for Table 7. USSR: Gross National Product in Established Prices, by Sector of Origin, 19711 1. Wage bill The total wage bill is derived its 135.352 billion rubles, the sum of state worker and employee wages and salaries (132.032 billion rubles-Table 1, item 1, a) and military pay (3.320 billion rubles- Table 1, item 3, a). The state wage bill in industry is derived as 48.849 billion rubles in Table F-1, item 1. The state wage bills in construction, agriculture, transportation, communicat'-,v, and trade are each derived as the product 'ie sector's annual average employment and its annual average wage (Narkhoz 1972, p. 504-505, 516-517). The deriva- tion is as follows: Sector Annual Average Employment (Million Persons) Annual Average Wage (Rubles) State Wage Bill (Billion Rubles) Construction........ 9.052 1,799 16.285 Agriculture' ........ 8.593 1,211 10.406 Transportation...... 7.985 1, 640 13.095 Communications.... 1.330 1 , 162 1 .515 Trade2 ............. 7.537 1,141 8.600 I State farms and other state agricultural enterprises. 2 Trade, public dining, material-technical supply and sales, and procurement. The state wage bill in "other branches of material production" is derived as 0.473 billion rubles, the product of the estimated number of workers (323,000) and an annual average wage assumed equal to that of total state employees (1,464 rubles-Narkhoz 1972, p. 516). Employment in "other branches of material production" is derived as the difference between total reported employ- ment in "other branches of material production" (998,000-Narkhoz 1972, p. 505) and estimated police employment (675,000-Appendix D, item 2, d, (3)). The state wage bill in services is derived as :32.779 billion rubles, the difference between total stitte worker and. employee wages and salaries (132,032 billion rubles-above) and the sum of the wage bills in industry, construction, agriculture, trans- portation, communications, trittle, and other branches of material production (above). 2. Other and imputed income 'total other and imputed income of 62.223 billion rubles is the sum of the following: Industry-2.200 billion rubles, derived as the sum of charges to enterprise costs for education (0.196 billion rubles-below) and research (2.004 billion rubles-below); Construction-1.564 billion rubles, derived as the sum of private earnings in construction (0,239 billion rubles-Appendix A, item 4, a), the imputed value of owner-supplied building services (0.880 billion rubles-Table 1, item 6), charges to enter- prise costs for education (0.066 billion rubles- below), and charges to enterprise costs for research (0.379 billion rubles-below); Agriculture-41.619 billion rubles, derived as the sum of net income of households from agriculture (41.577 billion rubles-Table 1, item 2) and charges to enterprise costs for education (0.042 billion rubles-below); Transportation-0.152 billion rubles, derived as the sum of charges to enterprise costs for education (0.053 billion rubles-below) and research (0.099 billion rubles-below); Communications-0.017 billion rubles, derived as the sum of charges to enterprise costs for educa- tion (0.006 billion rubles-below) and research (0.011 billion rubles-below); Trade-0.120 billion rubles, derived as the sum of charges to enterprise costs for education (0.035 65 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 billion rubles---below) and research (0.085 billion rubles--below); Services-3.510 billion rubles (Table F-4, item 2); Military personnel-2.000 billion rubles, repre- senting military subsistence (Table 1, item 3, b); Other branches of material production-0.002 billion rubles, representing charges to enterprise costs for education (below); and Unallocated-11.039 billion rubles, representing unidentified money income and the statistical discrepancy (Table 1, item 4, b). Total charges to enterprise costs to finance edu- cation-0.400 billion rubles (Appendix C, item 2, b)-arc distributed among the sectors, with the exception of services (and excluding military per- sonnel), by the percentage distribution of the state wage bill in the sectors (calculated from item 1, above). Total charges to enterprise costs to finance research-2.578 billion rubles (Appendix C, item 2, b)-are distributed among industry, construc- tion, transportation, communications, and trade by the percentage distribution of sebestoimost' (cost of production) in these five sectors. Sebestoimost' in industry, transportation, and communications is derived on the basis of a 1970 input-output table estimated by OER. Sebestoimost' in construction and trade is derived as the sum of wages, other and imputed income, social insurance deductions, and depreciation in the respective sectors (data of this table, items 1, 2, 3, and 5). Total charges to economic enterprises for social insurance and social security are derived as 9.436 billion rubles (Table 3, item 2, a). Social insurance deductions in industry are derived as 3.531 billion rubles in Table F-1, item 3. Social insurance deductions in construction (0.993 billion rubles), transportation (0.694 billion rubles), communications (0.082 billion rubles), trade (0.387 billion rubles), and other branches of material production (0.034 billion rubles) are derived as the product of the respective wage bills (from 1, above) and the following rates: construction, 6.1%; trans- portation, 5.3%; communications, 5.3%; trade, 4.5%; and other branches of material production, 7.2%. Rates, with the exceptions of the rate for communications (for which the transportation rate is used) and the rate for other branches of material production (for which the implied rate for total industry is used---Table V-2), are from Spravohhnik partiynopo rabotnilca, p. 440. Social Insurance deductions in agriculture are derived its 1.612 billion rubles, the sum of (1) deductions in state farms and other state agricul- tural enterprises (0.458 billion rubles-derived as the product, of the total wage bill, 10.406 billion rubles-from 1, above-and the social insurance rate, 4.4%-Ibid., p. 440); (2) social insurance charges paid on wages of hired agricultural workers (0.018 billion rubles-estimated on the basis of Uchet i finansy v kolkhozakh i sovkhozakh, no. 7, 1907, p. 14, at 4.4% of the hired worker wage hill, 0.413 billion rubles, Table 1, item 2, a, (2)); (3) deductions of collective farms into the All-Union Social Insurance Fund for Collective harmers (0.356 billion rubles--Appendix C, item 2, a); and (4) deductions of collective farms into the All-Union Social Security Fund for Collective Farmers (0.780 billion rubles-Appendix C, item 2, a). Social insurance deductions in services are derived as 2.103 billion rubles, the difference between total charges to economic enterprises for social insurance and social security (9.436 billion rubles-above) and the sum of these charges in industry, construc- tion, agriculture, transportation, communications, trade, and other branches of material production (above). Total profits are calculated at 89.154 billion rubles, the sum of profits distributed to consumer cooperative members (0.027 billion rubles-Table 1, item 1, b), net income retained by organizations (34.782 billion rubles-Table 3, item 1), tax on income of collective farms (0.666 billion rubles- Table 3, item 3, a), tax on income of consumer cooperatives and other organizations (0.569 billion rubles-Table 3, item 3, b), and deductions from profits of state enterprises (53.110 billion rubles- Table 3, item 3, c). Profits in industry, transportation, communica- tions, and construction are based on "net" profits of state enterprises and the percentage distribution of official statistical handbook data for profits of state enterprises and economic organizations in 1970. "Net" profits of state enterprises are derived as 79.591 billion rubles, the sum of retained profits of state enterprises (26.481 billion rubles-Table 3, item 1, b) and deductions from profits of state Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : 1A-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Onterprises (53.110 billion rubles-'Pablo 3, itch above), profits distributed to consumer cooperative 3, c), The derivation is its follows: members (0.027 billion rubles---Table 1, item 1, b), Profit" of Stale "Net" Profits E (erprlses, 1970 of State Enterprises, 1970 Billion (Billion Rubles I Percent llobles)2 Total ................. 85.668 100.1) 79.591 Industry ........... .!5.950 (15.3 51 .1)73 Construction........ . 4.739 5.5 4.378 Agriculture:' ........ 5.007 5.9 4.009 Transportation.... . . 10. (183 12.5 1). 0119 Cmouuunieations .... 0,8110 1 .0 0.71)13 Trade ....... . ...... 5,605 6.5 5. 173 Communal economy. (1,984 1.2 (1.055 Other branches...... 1.797 2.1 1.1)71 Narkhoz 1972, p. 097, except as noted below. Profits in state farm other state agricultural enterprises, and procurement organizations are given in the source as (3.117 billion rubles. Profits in procurement organizations of 1.050 billion rubles (estimated at one-half the difference between profits for the joint entry-13.117 billion rubles---and profits is state farms alone-4.018 billion rubles, Ekonontika sel'skogo khozyaystta, no, 7, 1972, p. 34) are removed from "agriculture" and are recorded in trade. Profits In stilt(- farms and other state agricultural enterprises are derived an the difference between the joint total and procurement profits. Profits in transportation and communications are given in the source its 11.523 billion rubles. Profits in transportation are derived as the difference between the total for the two sectors and profits in communications alone of 0.840 billion rubles (TsSU, Transport i svtlaz' SSSR, statislichcskitl sbornik, Moscow, 1972, p. 32, hereafter referred to as Transport i svyaz', 1972). Profits in trade are derived as the stns of (I) the source's entries for trade (2,851) billion rubles) and supply and sales (1.000 billion rubles) and (2) estimated profits of procurement organizations (1.050 billion rubles-above). 2 "Net" profits of state enterprises differ from official statistical handbook data on profits of state enterprises (as presented in column 1) by the amount of profits counted else- where in the accounts: (1) bonuses paid from various profits- financed incentive funds (5.030 billion rubles, included in the wage bill and household income-see Appendix C, item 1, b for derivation) and (2) net receipts of the state insurance organiza- tion (1.047 billion rubles, recorded as transfer receipts of the Public Sector-for explanation, see Appendix C, item 3, c). Total "net" profits are distributed among the sectors by the percentage distribution in column 2. 2 State farms and other state agricultural enterprises. Profits in agriculture are derived as 12.548 billion rubles, the sum of "net" profits in state farms and other state agricultural enterprises (4.696 billion rubies-above), retained income of collective farms (7.186 billion rubles-Table 3, item 1, a), and in- come taxes of collective farms (0.666 billion rubles- Table 3, item 3, a). Profits in trade are derived as 6.456 billion rubles, the sum of "net" profits (5.173 billion rubles- retained profits of consumer cooperatives (0.794 billion rubles-'t'able 3, item 1, c), and income taxes of consumer cooperatives (0.462 billion rubles--see Appendix C, item 1, c). Profits in services are derived as 3.054 billion rubles in Table F-4, item 4. The estimate includes "net" profits of the communal economy and "other branches" (above) and estimated profits in recrea- tion, art, and physical culture (see Table 1'-4, item 4). 5. Depreciation Total depreciation is derived as 31.827 billion rubles (Table 3, item 6). The distribution by sector of the economy is based on official statistical handbook data for amortization deductions of state enterprises and economic organizations and con- sumer cooperatives, adjusted to exclude estimated depreciation on housing (believed included in the official handbook data). The adjustment is made in order to record housing depreciation wholly in services. The allocation of housing depreciation (1.151 billion rubles-derived in Table F-4, item 5) among the sectors (excluding "other branches") is based on the percentage distribution of employ- ment by sector of the economy computed from the following employment data for 1970: industry (31,593,000), construction (9,052,000), agriculture (8,593,000), transportation (7,985,000), communi- cations (1,330,000), trade (7,537,000), and com- munal economy (1,495,000). Employment numbers, with the exception of employment in the communal economy, are frc to Narkhoz 1972, p. 504-505. Employment in the communal economy is derived as the difference between total employment in "housing-communal economy and everyday serv- ices" (3,052,000-Ibid., p. 505) and estimated employment in housing alone (1,557,000-Table F-4, item 1). The derivation is presented in the tabulation following on p. 68. Depreciation in agriculture is derived as 5.561 billion rubles, the sum of amortization deductions in state agriculture, net of housing depreciation (2.839 billion rubles-below) and amortization deductions in collective farms (2.722 billion rubles-Appendix C, item 6). Depreciation in services is derived as 1.752 billion rubies, the Gam of amortization deductions, net of housing depreciation, in the communal economy (0.601 billion rubles-below) and housing deprecia- Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : C1 RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 f)iclribullon of Annortizulion Deductions, Net of Housing Depreciation, by Sector of the Economy Amortization Deductions; 1t170 (Billion Robles) Housing Depreciation;- 1970 (Billion Rubles) Antortizadon Deduclions Net of Housing Depreciation 11 (Billion Rubles) Total ............................. 29.105 1.151 27.954 I n d ust.ry ....................... 15.5.1 1 0.538 1111.1)00 Construction .................... 2.313 0.154 2.151) State agriculture ...... . . . ... . ... 2.085 0. (411 2.8331 Transportation .... . .. . ..... . . . . . 5.002 0. 130 4.800 Conun[licit tloas ................ 0.408 0.1)23 0.385 'T'rade .......................... 1.1108 0.121) I . 1131) Communal economyy . . .... . ... . .. 0.020 0.025 1). 110 I Other branches .................. (1.651) Not app. 0.1)51) n Narkhoz 1972, p. 723, except as noted below. Amortization deductions in trade are derived as the sun) of the source's entries for trade, supply and sides, procurement, and consumer cooperatives. Amortization deductions in transportation and communications are given in the source cu; 5.110 billion rubles. Amortization deductions in transportation are derived as the difference between the total for the two sectors and estimated amortization deductions in communications alone of 0.408 billion rubles. Amortization deductions in communications are derived as 0.8% of the 11)70 annual average stock of fixed capital in communications (0 billion rubles--Transport i setlu:.', 1972, 1).:31; Narkhoz 1969, p. 40; A'u,'kho: 1970, p. III ). 2 The total is distributed among the. sectors, excluding "other branches," on the basis of the follow- ing employment distribution: industry, ?113.7%,; construction, 13.4%,; state agriculture, 12.7%j; transportation, 11_8%; communications, 2.0%; trade, 11.2%; and communal economy, 2.2'%,. Shares are calculated from the employment data( cited above, p. 07. 11 Derived its colutan I less colmnln 2. tion (1.151 billion rubles-derived in Table F-4, item 5). Depreciation in "other branches of material production" is estimated at 0.050 billion rubles on the basis of (1) the stock of fixed capital in these areas in 1966 (as revealed in the 1966 input-output table) and estimated depreciation thereon (see Vladimir G. Treml, Dimitri M. Gallik, Barry L. Kostinsky, and Kurt W. Kruger, The Structure of the Soviet Economy-Analysis and Reconstruction of the 1966 Input-Output Table, Praeger Publishers, Inc., 1972, p. 324) and (2) an allowance for growth in fixed capital in the four-year period. In turn, the difference between the official statistical handbook residual entry for amortiza- tion deductions in "other branches" (0.659 billion rubles-above) and the estimated depreciation in "other branches of material production" (0.050 billion rubles) is entered as unallocated. These amortization deductions are thought to represent depreciation in khozraschet organizations within the nonproductive sphere. However, no means are at hand by which to distribute the depreciation within the service sector. Total indirect taxes of 72.172 billion rubles are the sum of the following: Industry-49.890 billion rubles, derived as the sum of turnover tax (49.380 billion rubles-Table 3, item 3, d) and price markups on radio and television sets paid to the budget (0.510 billion rubles--see Appendix C, item 3, e); Agriculture-0.080 billion rubles, derived as the sum of indirect taxes paid by farm households (0.050 billion rubles-Appendix A, item 2, b); indirect taxes paid by ollective farms (0.020 billion rubles-Appendix C, item 1, a); and indirect taxes paid by state farms (0.010 billion rubles-estimated at one-half the amount paid by collective farms); Trade-0.063 billion rubles, representing rental income of property of local soviets (Appendix C, item 3, e); Services-0.670 billion rubles (Table F-4, item 6); and Unallocated-21.469 billion rubles, derived as the difference between miscellaneous charges (22.792 billion r"bles-Table 3, item 3, e) and the sum of price markups on radio and television sets and indirect taxes in agriculture, trade, and services (above). 7. Subsidies Total subsidies and their distribution by sector of ,the economy are derived in Appendix C, item 4. 8. Total Derived as the sum of items 1 through 6, less item 7. 68 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Industry, total ................ Electric powerr .............. I'elroleunt products and gals... ('oal .............. . ........ Nonferl'ons illetIIls........... Chemicals ..... . .. . ... . ..... Nlaehine building and me(al- working .................. ''errous utel.als . . .. . ......... Forest products . . .. . . ....... Pulp and paper ............. Construction nmterlllls....... Light industryy .............. Processed foods... ......... Other industry .............. State Wage 11111 Other and Imputed Income Social Insurance Profits Depreciation Turnover and Other Indirect 't'axes Less: Subsidies Total 48.849 2.200 3.531 51.97:1 15.006 ?19.890 14.330 157.119 I , 050 0.0,17 0.0(10 3.'222 2.386 0.4114 0 7.2(18 0. (152 0.051 0.055 4,002 1,081 3.5(1(1 0 0.347 3.1104 0, 00(1 0.270 0.780 11.825 0 0 ?1.11-15 1.372 0.072 0.108 2.405 0.780 0 (1 4.827 2,575 0, 12,1 11.216 :3.4311 1 ,330 ((.'1'1'1 (1 8.125 19.180 0.521 1.470 12.881) 2.1(8(1 3.572 (1 10 , 624 2.502 0. 138 0. 108 3.742 1 .5(11 (1. 148 11 8.281) 4.175 0.1(11) 0.1111) 1 .975 0,510 0.1'18 1) 7.110 0.406 0.016 0.1)10 0.4(18 (1.225 0.(140 (1 ' . 183 .3.71.1 0.008 0.227 1.507 1.1105 ((.290 0 6.tii7 5.lit))) (1.356 0.340 11.445 0.075 14.370 1.340 25.1)51 4 . 125 0,522 0.280 0.808 1.276 26.023 12.1)1)0 20.1114 0.095 ((.083 (1.071 4.210 0.300 0.840 6 0.559 I Sources: 1. State wage bill 'I'he state wage bill in industry of 48,819 billion rubles and the wage bills in branches of industry as recorded here exclude wages of industrial workers performing repair and personal care services. These personnel (numbering 1,2.18,000) are, In fact, engaged in "everyday services" and are, together with their wages of 1.700 billion rub s, counted in services instead of industry. The derivation of wage hills in industry as at whole and in branches of industry, including the wages of workers per- forming repair and personal care services, is presented in Table F-2. 2. Other and imputed income Appendix. F, item 2. 3. Social insurance Social insurance deductions in industry of 3.531 billion rubles and social insurance deductions in brunches of industry as recorded here exclude social insurance deductions of 0.120 billion rubles made for industrial workers performing repair and personal care services. (Th(se deductions are counted in services Instead.) The derivation of social insurance deductions in industry as it whole and in branches of industry, of which for workers performing repair and personal care servil es, is presented in Table F-2. "Net" 1 -ofits in industry are derived as 51.973 billion rubles in Appendix F, item 4. The distribution of "net" profits by branch of industry is based on the percentage distribution of official statistical handbook data for profits by branch of industry In 1970. The derivation is presented in the first tabullt- tion following on p. 711. Profits of repair laid personal care services performed by industrial enterprises cannot be estimated for deduction here. These profits, however, are bdlieved to be insignificant. 5. Depreciation Depreciation in industry is derived as 15.0(1(3 Ir .lion rubles in Appendix F, item 5. The distribution of depreciation by branch of industry is based on the percentage distribution of the 1070 annual average stock of industrial fixed capital, net of wear and tear (from Table F-3, column 7). That part of depreciation included in industry for enterprises engaged in repair and personal care services cannot be estimated. Total turnover and other indirect taxes in industry are derived its 49,8(10 billion rubles in Appendix F, item (i. The turnover tax portion-19.380 billion rubles ('f'able 3, item 3, d)-is distributed among the branches of industry according to the percentage distribution calculated from it breakdown of turnover tax payments given for 11)61) in S. V. 13orovik and N. A. Phashchinskiy, Obrazoeanit/c fondly proizrodstrennogo nakoplcniya v promyshlcnnoxti, Minsk, 1972, p. 179. The derivation is presented in the second tabulation following on p. 70. No turnover tax is levied on coal and ferrous metals. (Sec Vladimir G. Trend, Barry L. Kostinsky, Kurt W. Kruger, !aid Dimitri M. Gallik, Conversion of Soviet Input-Output '/'ah:-s to Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 Dlslribullon of "Net" Profits by Brunch of Industry' (Item 4, above, continued) Profits, (970 Net" Profits, 1970 Billion Rubles I Percent (Billion Rubles) 2 't'otal ..................................... 05.956 100.1) 51.973 P;Iectrle power ......................... . 3.164 11,2 3.'222 I'otroloutn products atd gas .............. 4.292 7.7 4.01)2 Cold ................................... 0.844 1.5 0.780 Noufcrrous nietnis ....................... 2.1(1111 1.8 2.405 Chemicals .............................. 3.7(18 06 3 MLchine building and uu'talworking, ...... 1:3.887 2-1,8 12.889 Ferrous Inetuts .......................... 3.91)) 7.2 :3.7,12 Forest products ......................... 1.103 :3.8 1.075 PuIp and paperr ......................... 0.481 0.1) ((.4138 Construction nuttcrlals ................... I.011 2.0 1.5(17 Lightladlistry .......................... 0.962 12.4 (1,?1.1x, Processed foods ......................... 7.:359 13.1 (1,808 Other industry .......................... 1.553 8.1 1.210 I iVarkhoz 11)72, p. (391), except its mead below. Profits it, "other industry" are derived front the source as the difference between total Industrial profits and the stun of profits in the listed bra nehes of industry. Profits in nonferrous metals are estimated on the basis of the ratio of profits in ferrous metals to profits in all metallurgy --511.7%. This ratio is that derived for 1971 front reported profits in ferrous metals of 4.0 billion rubles (Ibid.) and reported profits in all metallurgy of 6.7 billion rubles (N. G. Sychcvu, editor, Firaasi/ predpriyafil/ i otrasley it aroduoyo kho yays1ru, Moscow, 1973, p. I34). 2 The total is distributed among the branches' by the percentage distribution in column 2. Distribution of Turnover Tax by Branch of Industry (Item 6, above, continued) Turnover Tax, 1969 - - - - Turnover Tax; 1970 Billion Rubles Percent (Billion Rubles) Total ..................................... 4.1.792 2 100.0 49.380 Electric power .......................... 0.458 l .0 (1.'194 Petroleum .............................. :3.187 7.1 3.500 Chemicals .............................. 0.927 0.9 0.11.14 Machine building and metalworking....... 2.70.1 6.2 3.002 Ferrous metals .......................... 0.155 ((.3 0.148 Forest products ......................... 0.I4(1 0.3 0.148 Pulp and paper ......................... 0.035:' 0.1 0.049 Construction materials ................... 0.255 0. (1 (1.200 Light industry .......................... 13.031 29. 1 14.370 Processed foods ......................... 23.587 52.7 2(3. (123 Other industry .......................... 0.754 1.7 0.8.10 The total is distributed a along the branches by the percentage distribution in colutnrr, `t. 2 The sum of the entries equals 44.793 billion rubles. The percentage distribution is the when computed with either total, ' Turnover tax for the timber, woodworking, and pulp-paper branches, given in the source as 0.175 billion rubles, is allocated 80% to forest products and 20%. to pulp and paper ;,n the basis of the branches' approximate shares in total profits in the two branches. (See item 4, above.) 70 Approved For Release 2003/09/29 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000500110017-8 oprrovpdl Folrf Release 2)003/09/29ut7CIA~1RIDIP86T00608 billion R0100500110017 1,vIII11lLP(I 54111041(1 II H Inl!nt of (;,)Ap Heolunale iteportm, No, I, -filly 11173, p, 20 21.) ()It gov11'uu,lal, purchliHeH of (1) wool (II,14 billion r'llbh'H); 'T'urnover and otllor Indh'o1t tnx1H In non/him,' bullding mud (2) HIl ufIowI r mild other oil N1edH, Ilcmp, fi