STAFF NOTES: WESTERN EUROPE (Classified) INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP86T00608R000400120025-9
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RIPPUB
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S
Document Page Count: 
24
Document Creation Date: 
December 9, 2016
Document Release Date: 
March 18, 1999
Sequence Number: 
25
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Publication Date: 
February 7, 1975
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REPORT
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f /l/~ 7 7 v ,l ~ O~ I \ e ~ N W E C Iced Fad Rele ~~ ^I4 ~~a-RDP86T~10608R000~200~~ ~ ~ ~ ,~ / ~ ?~ ~ / ~ D t l !fff..?rrr ~~~/// VVV vvesre~rnf Burp a intErr~a~t~on~i yr an~zatrons ~, ~ ~ No ,. Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000400120025-9 Secret No Porcigrr Di.r.renr Western Europe InternationalO~ganizations Secret :~. ~~ 3 No. 0127-75 February 7, 1975 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000400120025-9 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000400120025-9 aaekground Use Only/ControZZed OisRem Warning Notice Sensitive Intelligence Sources and Methods Involved NATIONAL SECURITY INFORMATION Unauthorized Disclosure Subject to Criminal Sanctions Classified by 005827 Exempt from general declassification schedule of E. O. 11652, exemption category: ? 5B (1-, (2-, and (3) Automatically declassified on: Date Impossible to Determine Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000400120025-9 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000400120025-9 sLC1z~ ~7~ WESTERe~ EUROPE INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIaN; This hublic~.tion is prepared for regional specialists in the Washington com- munity by the Western Europe Division, Office o{ Current Intelligi nre, wrtlr r~rcasional contributions from other offices within the Directorate of Intelligence. Comments and queries are welcome. They should be directed to the authors ~f the individual articles. Strikes by Government Employees in Spain Add to Labor Unrest. 3-4 Prospec~s for Progress in Euro-Arab Dialogue 6 Third SesGion of the Preparatory Committee for the NPT Conference Tackles T}iorny Issues 7-10 Franco Said Preparing to Relinquish Spanish Headship of. StatE .12-13 Italian Government to Face Confidence Vote 14 Talks on Formation of Government Collapse in Denmark 15 Arab Moves to Expel Israel From t-..'.:F? I.LO 16 ANNEX: EC Cements Ties with 46 Developing Gauntries .17-21 February 7, 1975 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 : e~`RD~P`86~T00608R000400120025-9 25X6 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000400120025-9 Next 1 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000400120025-9 Approved For Release 2000/09/14: CI3;~2J~P~~~0608R000400120025-9 ~~11~~11 25X1 A Phone: 143-5135 Strikes b Government Employees in ~ ain Add to La or Unrest The current labor unrest has spread to the midc37.e class as employees in at least five government ministries staged unprecedentea work stoppages for several hours this week. This was followed by a petition to Prime 1"linist,er Arias, signed by several Hundred government empJ.oye.es, including some second-echelon officials. The government employees appear to have been influenced by the general labor unrest in recent months, as well as by stirrings on the Spanish political scene. Beth Franco and Arias in their recent state-of-the-nation speeches spoke of opening the government to wider participate tion. The recent discussions about forming political associations, which became legal last month, undoubtedly have encouraged government workers to express their frustrations. Both the strikers and the petitioners cited problems of pay, professional status, and worki:~g conditions. The petition also called for the government to carry out long-promised reforms of public administration and to institute political neutrality. The government--no doubt perturbed by the unprecedented work stoppages by civil servants-- is rumored to be planning to announce substantial pay increases for government employees. It will probably couple this with administrative punishment of a few of the ringleaders. Additional unrest among the middle class is evident in ttie strike by small shopkeepers in Madrid as well as a strike by Madrid's actors and actresses over professional issues which has closed Madrid's theaters. The key issue here as in some industrial conflicts, is the lack of worker representation in the regime's labor organization. This middle class discontent may force the government to make a decision on whether to grant the right to strike. February 7, 1975 SECRET Approved For Release 2000/09/14: CIA-RDP86T00608R000400120025-9 Approved For Release 2000/09/14: CIA-RDP86T00608R000400120025-9 SE(:RET Meanwhile, industrial strike activity has quickened again, with same 7,500 workers on strike in liilLao, around 9,000 miners idle in nearby Asturias, and shipyard ::orkers on strike in E1 Ferro.l. Thy atmosphere has been further charged by student demonstrations in Madrid, Valladolid, Seville, and Oviedo. The students are demanding more fx?eedom, educational reform, amnesty for political prisoners, and expressing support for striking industrial workers. The government has taken a hard line toward both the student and industrial demonstrators. In the past week, some 36 members of an extremist Catholic labor organization were arrested during a gathering at a Madrid church, stiff fines were levied on a dozen priests in Pamplona for their alleged participation in .recent labor agitation, end a sit-in by employees of Madrid's largest hospital was forcibly ended by the police. (Confidential) February 7, 1975 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 : ~~~ fs~006088000400120025-9 25X6 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000400120025-9 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000400120025-9 Approved For Release 2000/09/14: CIA-RDP86T00608R000400120025-9 SECRET Phone: 143-5205 Prospects for Progress in Euro-Arab Die ogue Arab League Secretary General Riad has expressed increasing interest in getting the dialogue with the EC moving, at least at the level of an exchange of technical ---r-- _ LJ/~ I/~ Z?he Euro-Arab dialogue and the question cf Palestinian Liberation Organization participation in it will be discussed at a meeting of the Nine next week. Riad is still firm in his da:^ands for PLO participation. It is tb.z impression 25X1X of however, that. the Arabs believe that haggling over this issue has unduly delayed the st~::t of talks. An EC internal working group has bee:. charged with preparing project proposals by late February for later presentation to the Arabs. Recognizing the sensitivity of the coming US negotiations in the Middle Eust, the community has taken pains not ?~o publicize these preparatory arrangements. The working group report may provide the basis for implementing the recent French proposal which calls for a meeting between experts representing the EC and Arab League presidencies. The EC would not exclude Palestinian "experts" from those representing the Arab League. The Nine still view the Euro-Arab dialogue as a purely technical forum and have no desire to become embroiled in political issues. They nevertheless acknowledge that a decision to allow PI,O participation at any level could have a political effect. (Confidential No Foreign Dissem/Background Use Only) February 7, 1975 Approved For Release 2000/09/14: CIA-RDP8~T00608R000400120025-9 Approved For Release 2000/09/14: CIA-RDP86T00608R000400120025-9 SEC.I~ET Phone: 1.43-5205 Third SESSlon of the Preparatory Committee for the NPT Conference Tacklos Thorny :issues The third and last session of the preparatory committee for the May conference to review the Non Proliferation Treaty is currently meeting in Geneva. This meeting must still se~tt'.e a number of thorny issues regarding the agenda, organization and financing of the full conference and the com- mittee may be hard pressed to complete its work during the two-week session. The NPT Review Conference--called for in the treaty itself--will provide the first opportunity since the treaty's entry into force five years ago for all NPT adherents to review the treaty's accomplishments and reaffirm their commitment to the treaty's goals. The parties to the treaty hope that international attention aroused by the review exercise will induce additional countries to accede to the treaty. Although the review conference is not a UN- sponsored meetii:g, the UN Secretariat is providing administrative servi~;es for the conference and, in 'line with this responsibility, has drawn up draft rules of procedure for the May meeting. These rules have generated debate, particularly over the manner in which decisions are raache~~ at the con- ference. The solit is over whether t~ require consensus on any conference decisions or to resort to voting if attempts at consensus fail. Some countries are willing to accept a voting require- ment for stalemated procedL,ral decisions, but they argue that substantive matters must be decided by consensus sine; all the parties must support the conference's proposals if these are to have any effect. It is feared that a negative vote could subsegu.ent.ly be used to justify non-compliance. February 7, 1975 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 : ~i-~R~6~00608R000400120025-9 Approved For Release 2000/09/14: CI~E~Q.P~~QQ608R000400120025-9 The preparatory meetings have already estab- lished the basic outline of the conference's organization. Two main committees will probably divide the review work--one group discussing the political aspects of the NPT and the other con- centrating on tho technical issues arising from the implementation of some of the treaty's articles. Membership in all the committees and access to their deliberations is another sticky problem for thQ preparatory meeting. The treaty itself ~.imits participation in the review conference to treaty parties--those who have both signed a~zd ratified the NPT as well as a required safeguards agreement between the state and the international Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). More than half of the states that have signed the NPT, however, fall into the category of signatories. These are states that, for one reason ar another, have not completed the entire ratification process. Among the signatories alone are a number of important states whose ratification is considered vital for the treaty's future. These countries are primarily the EURATOM states--minus France, which remains aloof from the NPT--and Japan. The EURATOM states negotiated a single safeguards agreement with tYie IAEA which gives EURATOM the responsibility for monitoring and safeguarding nuclear materials within its boundaries. Be- cause of this umbrella safeguards agreemen~c, no individual EURATOM country can become a full NPT party until all EURATOM members have completed the necessary ratification procedures and Gpproved both the treaty and safeguards agreement. For reasons that are not entirely clear but may have something to do with the concerns of a few officials in the foreign ministry over nation- al prestige, Italy is continuing to stall its parliamzntary approval of the two agreements. Because Italy has not ratified them, this has prevented its ETJRATOM allies from becoming NPT February 7, 1975 SECRET Approved For Release 2000/09/14: CIA-RDP86T00608R000400120025-9 Approved For Release 2000/09/14: CIA>~08R000400120025-9 parties as well. As the review conference approaches, however, and as Italy continues to drag its feet, Germany and the Benelt~x countries in particular have begun to agitate strongly for some kind of status at the review conference. For the past several weeks, repre- sentatives of these countries have been pressing the UK and the U5--as two of the treaty's three signatory powers (the USSR is the third)--to allow their participation at the conference. These countries realize that demands for complete participation at the May meeting, with the same status as full NPT parties, ~~:.e likely to gain little support. A major obstacle would undoubtedly be the USSR, all of whose Eastern European allies have ratified both agreements and have IAEA safeguards in place on their facilities. What seems likely to result from the deliberations at the preparatory committee over conference participation rights is the right of NPT signatories to attend as observers. This might grant them the right to speak in the two main committees (possibly only upon written re- quest to the committee's chair~:~an) and to table papersror the committee's consideration. They would not be permitted to vote, however, or to participate in the actual decision making. Financing the three preparatory meetings and the review conference itself poses anther problem. A proposal to finance the four meetings--at an estimated cost of $336,x00--from the regt4lar UN budget was defeated by the UN General Asssmbly in 1973. Since then, the preparatory committF~es have attempted to work out a formula for appor~ tion:ing the costs among the conference's partici- pants--with little success thus far. Proposals range from one presented by some nonali~Yned s~?ates that would require the UK, U5 and USSR to assume 90 percent of the costs to suggestions for February 7 , 1975 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 : C~~ftDP86l`00608R000400120025-9 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 : ~(~ JIiK~'1~T00608R000400120025-9 pro-rating financial assessments on tho regular UN budgot contributions. While no docision hag yet boen taken on tho financing issue, it seems likely that the threo signatory powers will bo required to assume tho lion's sharp of the oxponses. (Confidential) February 7, 1975 -10- SECRET Approved For Release 2000/09/14: CIA-RDP86T00608R000400120025-9 25X6 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000400120025-9 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000400120025-9 Approved For Release 2000/09/14: CIA-RDP86T00608R000400120025-9 SECRET Franco Said Preparing to Relinquish Spanish Headship of State 25X1X 25X1 C ~ General Franco was making preparations as o late January to turn over his position as head of only his post as commander in chief of the armed forces. os, his chosen successor. Juan Carlos has been receiving nightly briefings from Franco for the transfer of power;, this would leave Franco with Rumors have been circulating in Madrid that Franco would step down ever since he resumed power last September after a midsummer illness. ~ 25X1C 25X1C - maintain that Franco is not seriously i11. His condition apparently is complicated, however, by the fact that the medication used to treat his Parkinson's disease is not compatible with the treat- ment. he is receiving for phlebitis. The delicate state of Franco's health has produced an unusual amount nf. political stirring 25X1C in recent months, in Madrid have reported that Juan Carlos has been talking with Frar~co's family about the General's resignation, but that the talks have been deadlocked mover the terms of the financial and other arrangements to be accorded the family when Franco resigns. Other reports centered on the visit to Madrid last month of the ambitious Manuel Fraga Iribarne, who is Spain's ambassador to London. Fraga reportedly was interested in exploring the possibilities of establishing a political association to further his 25X1C political career. Juan Carlos asked Fraga to sound out senior Spanish officers as to whether they would support Juan Carlos were he to begin to apply pressure on Franco to step down. February 7, 1975 -12- SECRET Approved For Release 2000/09/14: CIA-RDP86T00608R000400120025-9 Approved For Release 2000/09/14: CIA-RDP86T00608R000400120025-9 SECRET Franco's illness last summer has made ~4p~ciiards aware of how close the post-Francs period m~..y be. Many were surprised when he reassumed his not and are ready to see him give it up. The u1tr~>,rightists, who persuaded him to come back last fall, will do their best to encourage him to stay on as long as he can. If Juan Carlos is sworn in, his immediate problem, aside from the resen+,;nent he will face from the far right, will be to establish his independence from Franco. The tendency will be strong, as long as Franco is functioning in some capa,city~ to refer vital decisions to him. (Secret No Foreign Dissem/ Controlled Dissem) February 7, 1975 SECRET Approved For Release 2000/09/14: CIA-RDP86T00608R000400120025-9 Approved For Release 2000/09/14: CB~T~0608R000400120025-9 Italian Government to face Confidence Vote The debate now underway in the Italian parlia- ment on reform of t)^.F state radio-TV network has turnea into a major ~cest for the Moro government. Moro has decided to make the vote on this issue a vote of confidence for his government. The proposed law is controversial because it amounts to a dilution of the Christian Democrats' traditional control of the state network. A court ruling last year struck down the laws that gave the Christian Democrats a monopoly on state communi- cations. In the ensuing negotiations on new Legislation, the Christian Democratic leadership was forced to share control of the network management with several of the other parties, including the Communists and Socialists. Christian Democratic right-wingers are dissatis- fied with the new arrangement, however, and Moro has had difficulty holding a majority together in the face of obstructionist tactics by the NPR-fascists, who gained nothing as a result of the new law. He has had to withdraw one version of the law out of fear that disgruntled Christian Democrats would defect to the opposition in any vote on the issue. By turning the balloting on the z~adio-TV question into a confidence vote, Moro is trying to enforce discipline within the coalition. Although Moro could still lose, elements of his majority are less likely to de~ect in a confidence vote since it is taken by a public show of hands. If it was not designated a confidence vote, the balloting would be secret. (Confidential) February 7, 1975 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 : CtR=Rt~P86`T00608R000400120025-9 Approved For Release 2000/09/14: CIA-RDP86T00608R000400120025-9 SECRET Phone: 1 3- Talks on Formation of Government Collapse in Denmark Social Democratic leader Anker Jorgensen took over the task of forming a new government in Denmark after week-ling efforts by President of Parliament Karl Skytte broke down yesterday. Skytte wss name3 by the Queen to head the negotiations on January 29 after Prime P~linister Hartling's Moderate Liberal government resigned over some controversial budget proposals. Seven of the ten Danish political parties took part in the talks that were intended to produce a majority government. The other three, all left- ist parties, dripped out because of Skytte's pre-condition that a new government support Danish membership in the EC and NATO. The most logical combination, a Social Democrat-Moderate Liberal majority coalition, failed }o materialize because of personal animosity between the two party leaders and differences over an economic program. In addition, the Social Democrats were instru- mental in the fall of the Hartling government. The refusal of most of the negotiating parties to participate in a coalition with maverick Progressive Party leader P4ogens Glistrup also contributed to the collapse of the talks. Differences among the parties over a solution to the country's economic problems, which were merely underlined during the latest rand of talks, do not augur well for a coalition government. Jorgensen may have to settle for a one-party minority government. If so, he will need the coopera- tion of tlln non-socialist parties, and may have to water down his legislative program, particularly his economic plan, in order to survive. (Confidential) February 7, 1975 SECRET Approved For Release 2000/09/14: CIA-RDP86T00608R000400120025-9 Approved For Release 2000/09/14 : C~Ll~lt.r.1 06088000400120025-9 25X1A Phone: 143-5205 Arab Moves to Expel Israel From the ILO The confederation of Arab trade unions has decided to mount a campaign to expel Israel from the International Labor Organization.. The Arab trade unionists will reportedly introduce a res- olution proposing Israel's expulsion at the Jui~~e conference of the ILO, arguing that Israel con- tinues to violate the rights of Arab citizens and workers in "Palestine and the occupied ter-? ritories." The ILO constitution does not include a pro- vision for expelling members and the contemplated Arab move could succeed only by flouting ILO con- stitutional procedures. In any case, introduction of such a resolution will dismay those who are in- creasingly concerned about the growing politici- zation of UN agencies. Western labor delegates to the ILO, especially, may threaten to boycott the organization if it becomes a forum for attacks on Israel. (Confidential) February 7, 1975 Approved For Release 2000/09/14: C1~X'RfJP'8~T00608R000400120025-9 Approved For Release 2000/09/14: CIA-~&~T~0~08R000400120025-9 25X1A Fhone:: 143-5205 ANNEX EC Cements Ties with 46 Developing Countries The EC completed negotiations last week on a comprehensive five-year cooperation agreement with S6 African, Caribbean and Pacific countries. It will likely be signed in Lome, Togo, on February 28. The agreement has been hailed by community officials as a model for the West's future relations with the third world, and leaders on both sides say it will mark a turning point in relations between rich and poor nations. Although such claims may be somewhat exaggerated, a provision which guarantees the developing countries "stable" earnings from key commodity exports may in fact prove to be especially significant in i:he growing debate over third- world economic demands. The agreement, to be known as the Lome Convention, provides for free entry to the EC of all industrial products and 96 percent of the agricultural exports of the 46 developing countries. Such preference s, together with financial aid, were also the main ingredients of the community's earlier association arrangements in Africa. But the export stabilization scheme as well as a protocol on industrial cooperation have added new dimensions to the EC's approach to relations with the developing countries. Tn replacing the earlier and more limited trade and aid accords, the Lome Conventionz also extends the EC's links to an additional 18 commonwealth countries and 6 independent African states. The community has for some February 7, 1975 ccFF-17- Approved For Release 2000/09/14: CIA-R6P8ti9'6'0608R000400120025-9 Approved For Release 2000/09/14: CIA-RD~000400120025-9 years had agreements with 19 African states under the Yaounde Convention and with Kenya, Uganda, and Tanzania under the Arusha accords. The 46, led by Senegal and Nigeria, have demonstrated remarkable solidarity throughout these negotiations, given the complexity ~f the economic issues and the political diversity among them--in particular between the Francophone and Anglophone Africans. This accounts, in great part, for the "generosity" of the community in the new arrangements. The EC, nevertheless, hopes to gain in return a considerable measure of goodwill in the third world--a valuable asset in a world concerned with access to raw materials and potential new export market. Export Stabilization The export stabilization scheme responds to the developing countries' long-standing demand for stabilization of earnings from their exports of ra~~ materials and i_s the first such agreement between developed and developing states. The arrangement provides that the EC will make direct loans to those signatories whose earnings from exports to the EC of 12 agricultural commodities and from iron ore fall below a minimum reference level. Although falling short of what the developing states want in the context of their demands for a "new world economic order," the stabiliz- ation scheme may still have an impact on such discussions between developed and developing states at the UNCTAD conference on commodities next week in Geneva. The Nine will at least be able to claim they are taking account of develop- ing country interests. For their part, the 46 also value the protocol on industrial development as evidence of their new "partnership" with the Nine. For the first February 7, 1975 Approved For Release 2000/09/14: CIA~~~fi08R000400120025-9 Approved For Release 2000/09/14: CIA-RDP86T00608R000400120025-9 SECRET time, the EC is embarking on a concerted prograrn of industrial development and diversification that will focus on research and technology adapted to the needs of the participating developing co~~ntries. In their demands for major concessions in trade and aid, the 46 were motivated, in part, by fears that as the EC expanded its Mediterranean policy and its scheme of generalized trade preferences for other developing countries, their special benefits would decrease. The EC will relax its rules specifying how mtach process~.ng a developing country export must undergo before it qualifies for duty- free entry into the community. Developing countries complained that existing rules harm their budding export-or.ie;ited industries ar~d make regional arrangements among the poorF~r states difficult. The EC has approached these negotiations carefully due to fears that. more liberal rules could provide a back door for eni:ry into the EC of cheap manufactures from dF:veloped countries such as Japan. On agricultural issues the EC was more firm, refusing to grant free and unlimited access to EC markets for agricultural products that would seriously compete with community growers. Although 96 percent of the agricultural products of the 46 can enter free of duty, the community decided only t~ grant preferences comparable to what other developing countries receive on the remaining 4 percent, thus preserving the sanctity of the EC's common agricultural policy. The most difficult negotiations centered on the price the EC would pay for imported ? sugar and the community took full advantage of its bargaining power and favorabJ.e market February 7, 1975 SECRET Approved For Release 2000/09/14: CIA-RDP86T00608R000400120025-9 Approved For Release 2000/09/14: CIA-RD~~T.~~~000400120025-9 trends. Caribbean sugar producers, hoping to take advantage of still high world sugar prices, initially c?.emanded four times the current EC price as well as guarantees nn future sugar imports. Responding to pressure from UK refiners of cane sugar, the community agreed o:~.ly to guarantee the import of t.4 million tons of sugar yearly at a price not lower than the EC support price for its sugar. Tn separate negotiations, however, the UX agreed to pay a higher price for its sugar, but this was only about half that demandad by the sugar producers. Reverse preferences--preferential access for EC exports to the developing country markets-- was a highly political issue in the negotiations. The US has always opposed such preferences because the, contribute to dividing up markets in the developing world. In the face of French opposition, the 46 succeeded in eliminating all reciprocal obligations from the new agreement. It is now up to the developing countries to grant reverse preferences if they wish, but only Senegal, the Ivory Coast, and possibly one or two other states will do so. Aid and Institutional Arrangements Over the next five years the EC has agreed to provide approximately $4.1 billion in development assistance through the European Development Fund. This replaces the Third European Development Fund, which since 1969 has made almost $1 billion available to the signatories ~f the Yaounde Convention. Until last week the 46 had persisted in their demands for a $8 billion fund while the Nine, led by Germany and Italy, had resisted any offers of more than $3 billion in development February 7, 1975 SECRET Approved For Release 2000/09/14: CIA-RDP86T00608R000400120025-9 Approved For Release 2000/09/14: CIA-RDQ~@~ '>~000400120025-9 Both sides regard the convention a~ an important step toward "equality" of relations between developing and developed states. The 46 have, in fact, rejected the earlier association label as implying less than full autonomy for the developing countries. Reflecting this sensitivity, the participants to the agreement will meet regularly at the ministerial and the ambassadorial level. Tn addi'~.,ion, they will establisY~ a consultative assembly composed of members of the European Farliament and representatives appointed by the developing states. These institutions may provide a regular channel of communication between the community and the less developed states at a time when other channels between the developed and developing worlds have become increasingly jammed by hostility. (Confidential No Foreign Dissem) February 7 , 197 5 SECRE'T' Approved For Release 2000/09/14: CIA-RDP86T00608R000400120025-9