WESTERN HEMISPHERE BRIEF 173-75. 4

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010075-7
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 22
• Document Creation Date: December 12, 2016
• Document Release Date: February 23, 2001
• Sequence Number: 75
• Publication Date: November 10, 1975
• Content Type: CABLE

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JESTERP? HEMISPHERE BRIEF 174--7S.Y
VENEZUELA: T11E GOVERNING DEMOCRATIC ACTION PAP'Y {AD} JON A
JARROW VIMYRY OVER FOUR LEFTIST PARTY SLATES IN ELECTIONS FOR THr.
LEADERSHIP OF SUTRAHIERRO, THE SIN6LE UNIO4 THAT NOW REPRESENTS TIE
COUNTRY'S IRON b$ORKERS.Y
AD WON THE 'TWO PRINCIPAL POTITIONS ON THE NOIJE-F1rMPER EXECUTIVE
COMMITTEE--SECRETARY GENERAL AND ORGANIZATION SECRETARY- -RUT FAILED TO
GAIN) A MAJORITY ON THE COMMITTEE OR IN ANY OF THE DISTRICT UNION
COUNCILS OR THE IMPORTANT D!SCIPLIMARY COMMITTEE- THE LEFTIST
MOVEMENT OF THE REVOLUTIONARY LEFT CNIR} AND THE MOVEMENT TOJAR'D
SOCIALISM CHAS} PLACED SECOND AND THIRD RESPECTIVELY. 40T A PARTIES
CAN OE CONSIDERABLY EUCO iRAGED OY THE ELECTION RESULTS. THEY
SUCCEEDED IN THEIR YEAR-LONG MASSIVE EFFOc T TO GIAN A FOOTHOLD At1OMG
THE YORKERS OF THE GUYANA IROP3 MINING REGION AMP TO CAPITALIZE ON
T4E HARD FEELINGS GENERATED RY THE GOVERNMENT'S TOUt ?t HA,!'DLING OF
LJILDCA,T STRIKES IN JANUARY AND MAY.Y
AD LEADERS, ALT-HOUGH PUBLICLY PLEASED WITH THE ELECTIOU RESULTS,
STILL LACK THE FIRM CONTFOL OVER THE UNION THAT THEY NEED TO PREVENT
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A REPETITION OF THE LABOR DISPUTES THAT IIAVE DISRUPTED PRODUCTION
THIS YEAR. BOTH MIR AND MAS Aft : IN A STRONG POSITION NOW TO EN-
COURAGE LABOR UNREST IN THE INDUSTRY IF THEY CHOOSE. A FIRST TEST
OF THE GOVERNIENT'S CONTROL OVER THE WORKERS WILL OCCUR IN 1976 0P-IEN
THE NEW UNION LEADEkS RENEGOTIATE WORKING CONTRACTS. {CONFIDEiITIAL}
E-2 IMPDET ? rI
DO/DDI----~-
NOVEMBER ]1] 1475
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1. MOROCCO-SPANISH-SAHARA: KING HASSAN ABRUPTLY CANCELED HIS
MASS MARCH INTO SPANISH SAHARA SUNDAY, STRONGLY IMPLYING THAT HE HAD
THE BASIS OF AN AGREEMENT WITH SPAIN FOR A NEGOTIATED SETTLEMENT
FAVORABLE TO MOROCCO.Y
IN A BRIEF SPEECH FROM AGADIR, KING HASSAN ORDERED HIS
COUNTRYMEN TO RETURN TO TARFAYA, THE. CLOSEST ASSEMBLY POINT
IN SOUTHERN MOROCCO FOR THE MARCH. HE SAID THE MARCH HAD
"ACCOMPLISHED ITS MISSION" AND HINTED THAT MOROCCO'S CLAIM
TO THE TERRITORY WILL BE RESOLVE'-` THROUGH NEGOTIATIONS. IT MAY
TAKE A FEW DAYS FOR ALL THE MARCHERS TO RETURN, BECAUSE A
SECOND COLUMN OF MARCHERS CROSSED THE BORDER SATURDAY SOME
50 MILES EAST OF THE MAIN GROUP.Y
HASSAN STRESSED HIS DESIRE FOR A NEW ERA OF RELATIONS WITH
SPAIN MAD PRAISED THE SPANISH ARMY FOR AVOIDING A CONFRONTATION
WITH THE MARCHERS.Y
TFE KING'S SPEECH CAME AFTER HE HAD HELD TALKS 25XlX
HASSAN DID NOT REVEAL
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ANY SPECIFICS OF AN UNDERSTANDING OR A FRAMEWORK FOR FUTURE
NEGOTIATIONS, BUT HE HAS TOO MUCH PERSONAL PRESTIGE AT STAKE
TO BACK DOWN EMPTY-HANDED.Y
THE CANCELLATION OF THE MARCH WILL DEFUSE TENSIONS IN IHE
AREA AND PROVIDE A MORE CONDUCIVE ATMOSPHERE FOR FURTHER
TALKS WIT[, MADRID. AT THE SAME TIME, HOWEVER, HASSAN WILL BE
UNDER GROWING DOMESTIC PRESSURE TO DEMONSTRATE SOON THAT PROGRESS
IS BEING MADE TOWARD A SETTLEMENT FAVORABLE TO NOROCCO.Y
MOROCCO AND SPAIN WILL STILL HAVE TO OVERCOME OR IGNORE
ALGERIAN OPPOSITION TO A DIRECT TRANSFER OF SPANISH SAHARA
TO MOROCCO AND TO MAURITANIA, WHICH ALSO CLAIMS THE TERRITORY.
HASSAN POINTEDLY IGNORED ALGERIA IN HIS SPEECH; HE OPPOSES
.GERIAN PARTICIPATION IN ANY NEGOTIATIONS ON SPANISH SAHARA.
HE IS UNWILLING TO ACCEPT A REFERENDUM ON SELF-DETERMINATION,
AS ALGIERS HAD DEMANDED, DESPITE SPANISH ASSLIRANCES THAT THE
RESULTS COULD BE MANIPULATED.Y
SEVERAL HOURS AFTER THE KING'S SPEECH, THE SPANISH f:ADIO
BROADCAST AN EDITORIAL EXPRESSING APPROVAL OF HIS ACTION ENDING
DATE:
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THE MARCH. {CONFIDENTIAL}Y
2. ANGOLA: THE ORGANIZATION OF AFRICAN UNITY, WHICH IS MAKING
A LAST-MINUTE EFFORT TO PATCH TOGETHER A COALITION GOVERNMENT OF
ANGOLA'S THREE WARRING LIBERATION GROUPS, ANNOUNCED FRIDAY LEADERS
OF THE GROUPS WERE STUDYING AN OAU PRP03AL THAT WOULD ESTABLISH
AN "INTERIM" GOVERNMENT TO ACCEPT SOVEREIGNTY FROM PORTUGAL
TUESDAY. THE OAU ALSO CONTINUED TO URGE THE ANGOLANS TO ACCEPT
A CEASE-FIRE.Y
THE AFRICAN INITIATIVE, WHICH WAS SUPPORTED BY THE PORTUGUESE,
PROBABLY HAS LITTLE CHANCE OF SUCCESS, DESPITE OPTI;1ISTIC PRE::S,
LIKELY TO WITHDRAW WITHOUT EXTENDING SOVEREIGNTY TO ANY OF THE
LIBERATION GROUPS. THE LAST 2,000 PORTUGUESE TFOOPS WILL LEAVE
THE TERRITORY MONDAY NIGHT. THE PORTUGUESE HIGH COMMISSIONER RECENTLY
REMARKED THAT HE WILL SIMPLY "TAKE DOWN THE FLAG AND SAIL AWAY."'
THE POPULAR MOVEMENT FOR THE LIBERATION OF ANGOLA ON ONE SIDE
AND THE NATIONAL FRONT FOR THE LIBERATION OF ANGOLA AND THE NATIONAL
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UNION FOR THE TOTAL INDEPENDENCE OF ANGOLA ON THE OTHER WILL
PROBABLY DECLARE RIVAL "GOVERNMENTS" AND INTENSIFY THEIR MILITARY
EFFORT AS THEY VIE FOR INTERNATIONAL RECOGNITION.Y
IN BRAZZAVILLE FRIDAY A SPOKESMAN FOR THE POPULAR MOVEMENT
CLAIMED THAT "ABOUT 80" COMMUNIST, THIRD WORLD, AND AFRICAN STATES
WTLL RECOGNIZE AN INDEPENDENT POPULAR MOVEMENT GOVERNMENT IN ANGOLA
ON NOVEMBER 11. THESE STATES ALREADY HAVE SENT CONGRATULATORY
MESSAGES TO MOVEMENT PRESIDENT AGOSTINHO NETO AND MANY HAVE ACCEPTED
THE POPULAR MOVEMENT'S INVITATIONS TO ATTEND INDEPENDENCE DAY
CELEBRATIONS, ACCORDING TO THE SPOKESMAN. THE ANNOUNCEMENT WAS
DESIGNED TO ENHANCE THE MOVEMENT'S IMAGE AS THE POPULARLY ACCEPTED
SUCCESSOR TO PORTUGAL.Y
THF NATIONAL FRONT AND THE NATIONAL UNION ARE ALSO SOLICITING 25X1C
INTERNATIONAL SUPPORT FOR A RIVAL GOVERNMENT.
THAT THE LEADERS OF THE TWO GROUPS BELIEVE THEY CAN GARNER
SIGNIFICANT SUPPORT, BUT THEY WILL NOT BE ABLE TO MATCH THE POPULAR
MOVEMENT.'
AT PRESENT; HEAVY FIGHTING CONTINUES IN MANY AREAS, BUT REPORTING
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IS SKETCHY AND OFTEN CONTRADICTORY. THE POPULAR MOVEMENT IS STILL
CLAIMING TO CONTROL THE IMPORTANT RAIL AND PORT COMPLEX OF 25X1C
BENGUELA-LOBITO, CONFIRMS
ITS CAPTURE EARLIER BY THE NATIONAL FRONT AND THE NATIONAL UNION.
THE COMPLEX IS A VITAL RESUPPLY POINT AND A SYMBOL OF CONTROL OVER
ANGOLA'S TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM.Y
IN LUANDA, PORTUGUESE OFFICIALS BELIEVE AN ATTACK COULD COME
AT ANY TIME AND HAVE CALLED ON A:.L MEDICAL PERSONNEL TO REPORT
FOR DUTY. WIDESPREAD RIOTING AND LOOTING MAY OCCUR IF THE CITY
IS ATTACKED. POPULAR MOVEMENT CADRES FEAR THE EMERGENCE OF A
NATIONAL FRONT FIFTH COLUMN. POPULAR MOVEMENT MILITARY FORCES IN
THE CITY HAVE BEEN CONFINED TO BARRACKS.Y
IN CABINDA, THE POPULAR MOVMENT'S DOMINANCE REPORTEDLY
CONTINUES TO BE CONTESTED BY THE ZAIRIAN-BACKED FRONT FOR THE
LIBERATION OF THE ENCLAVE OF CABINDA, WHICH IS ALMOST CERTAINLY
ASSISTED BY ZAIRIAN TROOPS. CONGO CONTINUES TO DENY ZAIRIAN
CH'AKGES THAT IT HAS SENT ITS TROOPS INTO THE ENCLAVE. {SECRET}Y
3. ZAIRE-USSR: RELATIONS BETWEEN ZAIRE AND THE USSR HAVE
DATE:
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BECOME SERIOUSLY STRAINED OVER THE TWO NATIONS' SUPPORT FOR RIVAL
LIBERATION GROUPS IN ANGOLA'S CIVIL WAR. PRESIDENT MOBUTU MAY BE
CONSIDERING BREAKING OR SUSPENDING DIPLOMATIC TIES.Y
LATE LAST MONTH THE SOVIET CHARGE IN KINSHASA PRESENTED A
DEMARCHE TO THE ZAIRIAN GOVERNMENT CONCERNING ANGOLA AND, PRESUMABLY,
ZAIRE'S SUPPORT FOR THE NATIONAL FRONT FOR THE LIBERATION OF ANGOLA.
WE DO NOT KNOW THE SUBSTANCE OF THE DEMARCHE, BUT IT WAS IMMEDIATELY
AND PUBLICLY REJECTED BY THE ZAIRIANS.Y
SINCE THE, THE ZAIRIAN MEDIA AND MOBUTU'S OFFICIAL PARTY HAVE
KEPT UP A STEADY BARRAGE OF ATTACKS ON THE SOVIET UNION. THE SO-
VIETS HAVE BEEN CHARGED WITH ENCOURAGING FRATRICIDAL WARFARE IN
ANGOLA, WITH WAGING A DIPLOMATIC EFFORT TO INTIMIDATE ZAIRE INTO
CEASING ITS SUPPORT FOR ANGOLA'S TRUE NATIONALISTS, AND WITH AT-
TEMPTING TO TURN ANGOLA INTO "ANOTHER CONGO," AN ALLUSION TO SOVIET
INVOLVEMENT IN THE TURMOIL THAT OCCURRED IN ZAIRE {THE FORMER BEL-
GIAN CONGO} IN THE EARLY 1960S.Y
SO FAR, SOVIET OFFICIALS IN KINSHASA HAVE REMAINED SILENT.
IN MOSCOW, THE MEDIA HAVE BEEN STEADILY INCREASING THEIR COVERAGE
DATE:
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OF THE ANGOLAN CONFLICT AS THE MILITARY FORTUNES OF THE SOVIET-
BACKED POPULAR MOVEMENT FOR THE LIBERATION OF ANGOLA HAVE DECLINED.
SOVIET PROPAGANDA HAS EMPHASIZED FOREIGN INTERVENTION IN ANGOLA,
WITH SPECIFIC REFERENCES TO ZAIRE'S SUPPORT OF THE NATIONAL FRONT.Y
MOBUTU HAS LONG TAKEN A DIM VIEW OF THE USSR, HAVING LED HIS
GOVERNMENT'S FORCES AGAINST SOVIET-SUPPLIED LEFTISTS THAT TRIED
TO TAKE OVER THE COUNTRY IN THE 19605. HE WOULD PROBABLY HAVE NO
QUALMS ABOUT TELLING THE SOVIETS TO LEAVE IF MOSCOW RECOGNIZES,
AS IT MAY, THE UNILATERAL DECLARATION OF INDEPENDENCE THAT THE
POPULAR MOVEMENT PLANS TO PROCLAIM ON NOVEMBER 11. {CONFIDENTIAL}
DATE:
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EAP BRIEF 173-75.Y
VIETNAM: THE VIETNAMESE COMMUNISTS SUNDAY ANNOUNCED PLANS
FOR REUNIFYING THE COUNTRY. ACCORDING TO FADIO HANOI, A RECENTLY
HELD SPECIAL MEETING OF THE NATIONAL ASSEMBLY STANDING COMMITTEE
CALLED FOR "RAPIDLY COMPLETING REUNIFICATION." SAIGON AND HANOI,
ACCORDING TO THE BROADC,ST, WILL APPOINT DELEGATIONS TO A "JOINT
POLITICAL CONFERENCE" TO DRAW UP PLANS FOR NEW NATIONAL ASSEMBLY
ELECTIONS AND NEW "COMMON" STATE ORGANS. NO EXACT TIMETABLE WAS
GIVEN, HOWEVER, AND THE PROCESS MAY NOT BE COMPLETED SOON.
{CONFIDENTIAL}Y E-2 IMPDET.ri ?
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EUROPEAN BRIEF 1173-75.Y
1. SPAIN: THE SAHARA PROBLEM HAS GIVEN PRINCE JUAN CARLOS
THE OPPORTUNITY TO CREATE AN INITIAL IMPRESSION OF ENERGETIC
LEADERSHIP, BUT HE FACES SERIOUS TESTS ON THE DOMESTIC FRONT IN
DAYS TO COME-Y'
JUAN CARLOS' SURPRISE VISIT TO THE SAHARA BOOSTED HIS PUBLIC
IMAGE; EVEN THE ILLEGAL OPPOSITION HAS PRAISED IT. PERHAPS MORE
IMPORTANT, THE VISIT STRENGTHENED HIS POLITICAL BASE WITH THE
MILITARY, WHOSE SUPPORT WILL BE CRUCIAL DURING THE TRANSITION
PERIOD.Y
ON HIS RETURN, THE PRINCE IMMEDIATELY CALLED FOR A MEETING
OF THE NATIONAL DEFENSE.000NICIL, OVERRIDING OBJECTIONS THAT IT
WAS SUNDAY NIGHT. THE DEFENSE COUNCIL RECENTLY HAS BEEN CHAIRED
BY PRIME MINISTER ARIAS, BUT JUAN CARLOS EXERCISED HIR PREROGATIVE
TO CONVOKE AND PRESIDE OVER THE MEETING IN A DECISIVE MANNER. IN
CONTRAST TO 1974, WHEN JUAN C',RLOS BRIEFLY HELD POWER, THE
MEETING WAS HELD AT THE PRINCE'S PERSONAL PALANCE, THE ZARAUELA,
INSTEAD OF AT FRANCO'S RESIDENCE, THE PARDO.'r'
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FRANCO'S LINGERING ILLNESS NEVERTHELESS CONTINUES TO PLACE
A GREAT STRAIN ON JUAN CARLOS. THE PRINCE PROBABLY DOES NOT FEEL
FREE TO BEGIN POLICY INNOVATTCNc ON INTERNAL ISSUES UNTIL HE IS
SWORN IN AS KING. MEANWHILE, THE LEFT IS STEPPING UP ITS DEMANDS
FOR LIBERALIZATION.'
SO FAR, FRAGMENTATIvN AND BICKERING WITHIN THE OPPOSITION
HAVE AVERTED A SERIOUS CHALLENGE TO JUAN CARLOS' LEADERSHIP.
THE JOINT COMMUNIQUE ISSUED RECENTLY BY THE TWO LOOSE COALITIONS
OF THE LEFT?--THE COMMUNIST-DOMINATED DEMOCRATIC JUNTA AND THE .
SOCIALIST-DOMINATED PLATFORM OF DEMOCRATIC CONVERGENCE--LACKED
TEETH AND APPARENTLY WAS AGREED TO ONLY AFTER WEEKS OF ARDUOUS
NEGOTIA T IONS'.Y
THE PLATFORM COALITION IN TROUBLED BY INTERNAL SQUABBLES.
THE MOST EXTREME MEMBER, A REVOLUTIONARY CATHOLIC LABOR ORGANIZA-?
TION, HAS WITHDRAWN IN PROTEST OVER THE COALITION'S MODERATE
POSITION TOWARD JUAN CARLOS. ANOTHER PARTY IN THE PLATFORM
GROUP, THE LATE DIONISIO RIDRUEJO'S SOCIAL DEIIOC.?,ATIC PARTY,
HAS SPLIT. THERE HARE ALSO REPORTS OF SERIOUS DIVISIONS WITHIN
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TIERNO GALVAN'S POPULAR SOCIALIST PARTY, THE PRINCIPAL NON-
COMMUNIST GROUP IN THC DEMOCRATIC JUNTA, OVER THE DESIRABILITY OF
REMAINING IN THE COALITION?Y
THE RECENT RASH OF ARRESTS AND DETENTIONS OF STUDENTS AND
MODERATE OPPOSITIONISTS WILL MAKE IT MORE DIFFICULT FOR THE MODERATE
OPPOSITION TO HOLD TO THE LINE OF GIVING JUAN CARLOS A "PERIOD OF
GRACE" IN WHICH TO MOVE TOWARD LIBERALIZATION?Y .
SPANISH OFFICIALS SAID THAT THE-ARRESTS DID NOT FEUFLECT A
HARD-LINE ATTITUDE AT THE UPPER LEVELS OF GOVERNMENT. HE AT-
TRIBUTED THE ACTIONS TO THE "POLICEMAN IN THE STREET" WHO IS USED
TO HAVING HIS OWN WAY FOR THE PAST 35 YEARS.Y
IN A GRIM REMINDER THAT VIOLENT CONFRONTATIONS CAN BE
SPARKED BY EXTREMISTS OF BOTH LEFT AND RIGHT, MASKED GUNMEN--
IDENTIFIED BY POLICE AS RIGHT-WINJG EXTREMISTS--PISTOL-WHIPPED
SEVEN LAWYERS REPRESENTING GROUPS IN THE TWO LEFTIST COALITIONS.
THE SPANISH COMMUNIST PARTY, WHICH REPORTEI-!.Y HAD AGREED
TO HOLD OFF CALLING FOR ANY STRIKES.. NOW HAS APPEALED FOR A GENERAL
STRIKE THROUGH THE COMMUNIST-DOMINATED, CLANDESTINE l; ORKCRS
DATE:
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COMMISSIONS, ACCORDING TO A NON-COMMUNIST LABOR LEADER. THE
APPEAL URGED "DEMOCRATIC ACTION! TO MOBILIZE THE MASSES,"
DATE FOR THE STRIKE HAS NOT BEEN SET, BUT A WEEK TO TEN DAYS
AFTER FRANCO'!p DEATH WOULD BE THE MOST LIKELY TIME.','
MOST OF THE NON-COMMUNIST ELEMENTS IN THE CLANDESTINE LABOR
GROUPS ALLL IEDLY OPPOSE A STRIKE CALL, INDICATING THAT IT IS LIKELY
TO FAIL- ONLY IN BARCELONA AND MADRID, WHERE COMMUNIST CADRr HAVE
CONTROL OVER WORKERS IN SOME FACTORIES, IS THERE LIKELY TO BE A
POSITIVE RESPONSE. A STRIKE EFFORT WOULD BE LIKELY TO PROVOKE POLICE
THE STRIKE CALL MAY BE AN EFFORT BY THE COMMUNISTS TO REGAIN
THEIR REVOLUTIONARY IMAGE. THEY APPARENTLY FEEL IT WAS TARNISHED
BY THEIR PARTICIPATION 'IN THE RECENT JOINT DECLAPATICN OF LEFTIST
OPPOSITION GROUPS, WHICH DI]) NOT. INCLUDE THE COMMUNIST DOG11A
REJECTING JUAN CARLOS AS KING.Y
A SUDDEN CRACKDOWN ON THE PRESS, MEANUHILE, IS LIKELY TO HAVE
RAISED POLITICAL TENSIONS. SEVERAL WEEKLY MAGAZINES THAT URGED REFORM
HAVE BEEN SEIZED, AND OVER THE WEEKEND THE EDITOR OF YA, THE
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IP ES
PRESTIGIOUS MADRID DAILY, WAS CHARGED WITH ATTACKING OTHE
pILCONSTITUTION.
THE CHARGE STEMMED FROM AN ARTICLE PL'NLISIIE; LAST WEEK UKGING CHANGES
DESIGNED TO INCREASE DEMOCRATIC PARTICIPATION AFTER POWER HAS PASSED
TO JUAN CARLOS.Y
THE DECISION TO IMPOSE CENSORSHIP MAY HAVE BEEN MADE IN THE
INFORMATION MINISTRY-WITHOUT CONSULTATION WITH JUAN CARLOS OR HIS
ADVISERS. {SECRETIY
2. PORTUGAL: THE GOVERNMENT, WITH SOLID BACKING FROii THE
RULING REVOLUTIONARY COUNCIL, HAS ANNOUNCED A STRICT CRACKDOWN
ON CIVIL DISRUPTIONS BY ITS FAR-LEFT OPPONENTS. ALTHOUGH THE
GOVERNMENT EVIDENTLY FEELS IT HAS THE MEANS TO FOLLOW THROUGH,
THE USE 0:y FORCE COULD LEAD TO VIOLENT COUNTERMEASURES-ti'
LATEEN THURSDAY. THE CABINET ISSUED A STERN AND SEEMINGLY
UNCOMPROMISING WARNING TO THE LEFT THAT IT WOULD NO LONGER
fG?LERATE BREACHES OF PUBLIC ORDER AND WOULD TAKE ALL MEASURES
NECESSARY TO ENFORCE' ITS AUTHORITY AND ENSURE CIVIL PEACE. THE
STATEMENT WHICH FOLLOWED SEVERAL DAYS OF DISTURBANCES BY THE
LEFTISTS, WAS ANNOUNCED AFTER A JOINT SESSION OF THE CABINET
DATE:
ORIG:
UNIT:
EXT: Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010075-7
 Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010075-7
+ ~ :--ALIGN FIRST LETTER IN THIS BOX,
OUTGOING MESSAGE
TYPE THE WORD "ALIGN" TO REGISTER HERE ---~i ii
SIONAL CENTER U5E ONLY
AO^ COI AC/ TOO TII "no Df.I
OMF 0 0 U 0 0 0 0
SECRET NOFORN
AND THE REVOLUTIONARY COUNCIL.Y
e
I
NO INDEX
(TURN TO PER
THE COUNCIL SUBSEQUENTLY ISSUED AN ENDORSEMENT OF THE
CABINET'S POSITIO.J AND CAUTIONED UNSPECIFIED GROUPS TO REFRAIN
FROM EXPLOITING DISCONTENT AMONG THE 200,000 RECENTLY RETURNED
REFUGEES FROM ANGOLA.Y
THE COUNCIL'S UNQUALIFIED SUPPORT FOR THE GOVERNMENT'S NEW
POLICY TOWARD THE LEFT WAS BOLDLY UNDERLINED FRIDAY WHEN IT
AUTHORIZED PARATROOPERS TO SEIZE AND-DESTROY A LEFTIST-OCCUPIED
RADIO TRANSMITTER OUTSIDE LISBON. THE RADIO HAD CONTRIBUTED
TO UNREST IN THE CAPITAL BY URGING LEFTIST DEMONSTRATORS TO LAY.
SIEGE TO THE INFORMATION MINISTRY?Y
THE CRACKDOWN COMES AS A SHARP CONTRAST TO PREVIOUS INDI-
CATIONS THAT THE GOVERNMENT WOULD ASSERT ITS AUTHORITY GRADUALLY
AND IN AREAS WHERE THERE IS LITTJ.E ORGANIZED OPPOSITION. DIRECT
CONFRONTATION WITH MILITANT LEFTISTS HAS BEEN REGARDED AS A
RISKY POLICY THAT MIGHT MAKE MARTYRS OUT OF THE DISSIDENTS-ti'
IN RECENT WEEKS, HOWEVER, THE GOVERNMENT HAS BEEN ENCOURAGED
BY THE FAILURE OF THE FAR LEFT TO MOUNT EFFECTIVE ANTIGOVERNMENT
DATE:
ORIG:
UNIT:
EXT:
Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010075-7
 Approvvd_EQr Release.2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010075-7
1.. ALIGN FIRST LETTER IN THIS BOX. TYPE THE WORD "ALIGN" TO REGISTER HERE
OUTGOING MESSAGE
SIGNAL CENTER USR ONLY
AGE COI ACP TOO TeS MRO 0-CI
OMF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
SECRET NOFORN
7
9
Y
NO INDEX
RETURN TL PER
0 IP FILES
DEMONSTRATIONS AND BY AN IMPRESSIVE SHOW OF SUPPORT FOR THE
AZEVEDO GOVERNMENT IN THE PROVINCES. IT MAY BE INFLATING ITS
STRENGTH RELATIVE TO THAT OF THE LEFT, HOWEVER, SINCE THE
ANTIGOVERNMENT DEMONSTRATIONS FAILED FOn LACK OF SUPPORT BY THE
COMMUNIST PARTY. THE PROVINCIAL RALLIES HAVE BEEN CAREFULLY
STAGE-MANAGEUD BY THE MILITARY'S GOVERNMENT PARTNERS--THE
SOCIALISTS AND THE POPULAR DEMOCRATS.Y
THE INHERENT DANGER IN THE CRACKDOWN, WHICH HAD TO COME
SOONER OR LATER, IS THAT THE GOVERNMENT STILL MAY NOT HAVE NTEVO
HAD TIME TO PUT TOGETHER THE SECURITY FORCE NECESSARY TO EN-
FORCE ITS WILL UPON A WELL-ARMED, RECALCITRANT LEFT. {SECRET}Y
3. POLAND: ACCORDING TO LOCAL OBSERVERS, WARSAW APPEARS TO
BE FOLLOWING THE PRECEPTS OF ADAM SMITH INSTEAD OF
KARL MARX AS IT TRIES TO CONVINCE THE POLISH PEOPLE
THAT PRICE HIKES WOULD BENEFIT BOTH THE CONSUMER
AND THE NATIONAL ECONOMY. ALTHOUGH FOOD PRICES
HAVE NOT BEEN SPECIFICALLY MENTIONED, THE AVERAGE
POLE WILL CONCLUDE THAT PRICES ON BASIC FOOD ITEMS--
DATE:
ORIG:
U.%T:
tXi:
Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010075-7
 3. Mf SAGC.iAppe EFieTURelea"92OQ4VX21Ebrm[A 1`1MU24li+EbVN AQiI lM PQ3PK}NIQ075-7
/-ALIGN FIRST LETTER IN THIS BOX. TYPE THE WORD "ALIGN'" TO REGISTER ;`1ERE---~-~ 11',
OUTGOING MESSAGE
SIONM. CENTER USE ONLY
AO^ cot ACP TOTS rpm MHO Oct
UMF 0 G a 0 0
0 0
WHICH HAVE BEEN HELD STABLE FOR MORE THAN FIVE
YEARS--WILL SOON GO UP.Y
ON MONDAY, A POPULAR WARSAW DAILY PRINTED AN
ARTICLE ENTITLED "CHEAP, BUT THERE ISN'T ANY," THAT
IMPLICITLY ARGUED THAT SUPPLY AND DEMAND SHOULD BE-
COME THE MAJOR FORCES IN SETTING PRICES. THE AUTHOR
CANDIDLY AND WITHOUT THE USE OF HEAVY ECONOMIC
JARGON SUGGESTS THAT THE CURRENT PRICE SYSTEM DE-
PRIVES CONSUMERS OF INFLUENCE IN THE SELECTION OF
GOODS, THEREBY CREATING SHORTAGES AND LONG LINES
IN FRONT OF STORES.Y
THE AUTHOR COMPIENTS THAT MANY CONSUMER ITEMS
WHOSE PRICES ARE FROZEN HAVE DISAPPEARED FROM THE
MARKET BECAUSE MANUFACTURERS, MHO LOSE MONEY PRO-
DUCING THEM, TURN OUT ONLY THE MINIMUM REQUIRED
BY THE PLAN. REAL. WAGES, SHE ASSERTS-. UILL CON-
TINUE TO INCREASE AND PRICES SHOULD NOT BE AN UN-
TOUCHABLE "TABOO," BLIT AN INSTRUMENT TO SPUR PRO-
DATE:
ORIG:
UNIT:
'XT:
0 INDEX DISSEM BY:
0 NO INDEX
0 RETURN TO PER
Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010075-7
 2. SEi-MARGIN R&} mvedTF*rReIwsIec200q448F84n: CIA1RE3f86TO0608RO00300010075-7
3, MESSAGES ARE CONSIDERED ROUTINE UNLESS A HIGHER PRECEDENCE IS INDICATED IN TI4E r.DORESSEE LINE
ALIGN FIRST LETTER IN THIS BOX. TYPE THE WORD ' ALIGN " TO REGISTER HERE-
OUTGOING MESSAGE
SIGNAI, CENTER USE ONLY
AGO C01 Ac- TOO Tpu Moto
OMF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
SECRET NOFORN
CONF: INt-O: FILE
DUCTION IN THE DIRECTION THAT WILL BEST SATISFY
THE NEEDS OF SOCIETY.Y
THE ARTICLE DOES NOT ANSWER QUESTIONS ABOUT
HOW FUTURE PRICES DILL BE SET AND FAILS TO POINT
OUT THAT PRICE INCREASES WILL NOT QUICKLY REMEDY
THE MOST IRRITATING SHORTAGES, PAII;TICULARLY OF
MEAT AND MILK PRODUCTS. {CONFIDENTIAL} E-2 IMPDET.d
10 10
INDEX
NO INDIA
RETURN TO
DATE: NOVEMBER 10, 1975 25X1A
ORIG:
"Ali ved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010075-7
EXT: 91,06
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