MIDDLE EAST AFRICA BRIEF 156-75.4

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010058-6
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
21
Document Creation Date: 
December 19, 2016
Document Release Date: 
June 14, 2005
Sequence Number: 
58
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
October 7, 1975
Content Type: 
CABLE
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PDF icon CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010058-6.pdf607.27 KB
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Approved For Release 2005/06/22 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000 Secret Approved For Release 2005/06/22 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010058-6 25 X1 Approved For Release 2005/06/22 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010058-6 1. SYRIA: PRESIDENT ASAD, IN ANOTHER SHARP ATTACK ON THE SINAI AGREEMENT, ASSERTED ON MONDAY THAT SYRIA MOULD NOT ENGAGE IN .ANY FURTHER NEGOTIATIONS FOR A GOLAN HEIGHTS ACCORD UNLESS CONCURRENT NEGOTIATIONS ON THE PALESTINIAN QUESTION ARE HELD WITH THE PALESTINE LIBERATION ORGANIZATION-Y THIS APPEARS TO REPRESENT A SERIOUS CHANGE IN SYRIA'S NEGOTIATIN POSITION AND ALL BUT RULES OUT ANY CHANCE OF THE US GETTING TALKS GOING SOON BETWEEN SYRIA AND ISRAEL?M SYRIAN PROPAGANDA ATTACKS ON THE SINAI ACCORD OVER PAST WEEK HAVE BEEN LEADING TOWARD THIS SHIFT. SOME MIDDLE-LEVEL SYRIAN OFFICIALS RECENTLY INDICATED IN PRIVATE THAT SYRIA WAS NO LONGER IN ANY HURRY TO RECOVER A FEW MORE KILOMETERS ON THE HEIGHTS AND NEEDS SOMETHING FOR THE PALESTINIA!JS AS,',JELL BEFORE AN AGREEMENT WITH ISRAEL CAN BE POLITICALLY ACCEPTABLE?Y THIS IS THE FIRST TIME, HOWEVER' THAT ASAD HAS INSISTED IN ?PUBLIC ON A DIRECT LINKAGE BETWEEN SYRIAN-ISRAELI NEGOTIATIONS AND THE PALESTINIAN PROBLEM- IT IS NOT CLEAR WHAT TRIGGERED ASAD'S DATE: ORIG: UNIT: LXT: A V6'0%ff'P6'nr R ~@ ?PO a,?,UI C*.ro R R gOL?UC 9 L4 R9 Id ZWea ol93vMMoe -6 CL2BY: IMPDET 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/06/22 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010058-6 ABOUT-FACE. HE MAY HAVE CONCLUDED FROM FOREIGN MINISTER KHADDAM'S TALKS WITH SECRETARY KISSINGER LAST WEEK IN NEW YORK THAT THERE IS NO HOPE OF RAPID PROGRESS IN NEGOTIATIONS. ASAD MAY, THEREFORE, BELIEVE HE CANNOT AFFORD TO SETTLE FOR WHAT THE ISRAELIS WERE WILLING TO OFFER WITHOUT SUFFERING ACUTE PUBLIC EMBARRASSMENT AND STRONG ATTACKS FROM THE IRAQIS AND HIS DOMESTIC OPPONENTS?Y IT IS NOT CERTAIN WHAT POSITION DAMASCUS WILL NOW TAKE TOWARD THE RENEWAL OF THE MANDATE OF THE UN FORCES ON THE GOLAN HEIGHTS' WHICH EXPIRES ON NOVEMBER 30. ASAD MAY STILL FIND SOME WAY OF RATIONALIZING AN EXTENSION OF THIS MANDATE IN ORDER TO ALLOW THE US MORE TIME TO DEAL WITH THE PALESTINIAN ISSUE. IN THE MEANTIME, SYRIA IS LIKELY T4 REDOUBLE ITS EFFORTS TO OBTAIN THE SUPPORT OF OTHER ARABS FOR ITS NEGOTIATING POSITION. B. //MOROCCO-SPAIN s M^DOCCO REPORTEDLY HAS MOVED SOME MILITAi1?Y X1 FORCESI INEAR THE BORDER WITH SPANISH SAHARA. Approved For Release 2005/06/22: CIA-RDP86T00608R0003000lgU4-AN,,,,,c^. IISIIAIINO OM.ICI COO.IOINATINO OPPIC909 CLASIVICATION REPRODUCTION BY OTHER THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE 15 PROHIBITED E 2 IMPDET Approved For Release 2005/06/22 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010058-6 //A MOVE BY MOROCCO AGAINST SPANISH SAHARA IN EITHER THE CENTRAL OR THE EASTERN BORDER AREA WOULD INVOLVE LESS RISK FOR ,. RABAT THAN ONE IN THE COASTAL AREA, WHERE MOST OF THE SPANISH FORCES ARE CONCENTRATED. MOROCCO INITIALLY MIGHT BE ABLE TO GAIN SOME 25X1 SUCCESS IN THE LESS DEFENDED AREAS.//Y Approved For Release 2005/06/22 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010058-6 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/06/22 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010058-6 Approved For Release 2005/06/22 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010058-6 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/06/22 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010058-6 1. PORTUGAL: THE POLITICAL SITUATION DETERIORATED ON MONDAY WHEN THE COMMUNIST PARTY ENDED THE-BACKING IT HAD OSTENSIBLY BEEN GIVING PRIME MINISTER AZEVEDO AND THREW ITS SUPPORT BEHIND A REBELLIOUS LEFT-WING MILITARY UNIT IN LISBON.Y BELIEVING THAT THE POLITICAL TIDE IN LISBON IS TURNING AGAINST AZEVEDO AND HIS SOCIALIST-DOMINATED GOVERNMENT, THE COMMUNISTS APPARENTLY ARE SEEKING TO SHORE UP THEIR RELATIONS WITH LEFT-WING EXTREMISTS WHO ARE-LEADING THE CHALLENGE TO AZEVEDO. THE COMMUNISTS AND EXTREME LEFTISTS HAVE WORKED TOGETHER OCCASIONALLY, BUT THE LEFTIST FRINGE GROUPS.HAVE MORE OFTEN BEEN SHARPLY CRITICAL OF THE COMMUNIST PARTY.Y THE COMMUNISTS TOOK A NEUTRAL STAND WHEN THE MILITARY OCCUPIED RADIO AND TELEVISION STATIONS LAST WEEK. THEY WERE REPORTEDLY IR'fING ,TO AVOID BREAKING WITH THE NEWLY FORMED AZEVEDO GOVERNMENT. THE COMMUNISTS! ACTION ON MONDAY COULD FORESHADOW A DECISION TO WITHDRAW FROM THE GOVERNMENT.Y IN LISBON, 10,000 DEMONSTRATORS, INCLUDING ABOUT 1-000 SOLDIERS DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: Approved For Release 2005/06/22 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010058-6 IILLIASINO O/IIC~G. - COORDINATING OP ICUM AVfH.NTICATINO OIVICIN 25X1 Approved or Release 20101-,15106122 : - - AND SAILORS FROM SEVERAL LEFTIST UNITS IN THE CAPITAL REGION, RESPONDED MONDAY NIGHT TO THE COMMUNIST-BACKED APPEAL TO SHOW SUPPORT FOR THE LISBON LIGHT ARTILLERY REGIMENT'S DEFIANCE OF THE GOVERNMENT': ATTEMPTS TO BRING IT TO HEEL. THE REBELLIOUS ARTILLERY MEN HAVE MOUNTED ANTITANK AND MACHINE GUNS OUTSIDE THEIR BARRACKS, CLAIMING THAT GOVERNMENT LEADERS ARE TRYING TO "ANNIHILATE" THE REGIMENT.M THOUSANDS ALSO DEMONSTRA1ED IN PORTO MONDAY NIGHT TO PROTEST THE GOVERNMENT'S DECISION SATURDAY TO DISBAND A MILITARY TRANSPORTATION UNIT THERE- THE DEMONSTRATION IN PORTO-WHERE THERE HAVE BEEN ALMOST CONTINUOUS DISTURBANCES SINCE,SATURDAY-WAS PRECEDED BY A RALLY IN SUPPORT,OF THE GOVERNMENT BY ABOUT 5,000 PEOPLE, LED BY THE CENTRIST POPULAR DEMOCRATIC PARTY. THE POPULAR DEMOCRATS, ALON WITH THE SOCIALISTS, HAVE CALLED FOR ANOTHER RALLY IN PORTO ON TUESDAY." PRIME MINISTER AZEVEDO SHOWS NO SIGN OF BUCKLING IN FACE OF THE PRESSURE FROM THE LEFT, AND HE APPEARS TO HAVE WON THE SUPPORT OF PRESIDENT COSTA GOMES? COSTA GOMES SENT A MESSAGE TO THE ARMED FORCES 4 SUNDAY NIGHT, FOLLOWING HIS RETURN FROM MOSCOW, APPEALING TO THE DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: Approved For Release 2005/06/22 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010058-6 25X1 LEGI Approved For Release 2005/06/22 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010058-6 U 1P FILED ff SOLDIERS NOT TO FOLLOW POLITICAL LEADERS BUT TO OBEY THEIR COMMANDING OFFICERS. A GOVERNMENT OFFICIAL WAS QUOTED IN THE PRESS AS SAYING THAT THERE MAY NOT BE ENOUGH LOYAL-TROOPS IN THE LISBON AREA TO HOLD OUT IF THE LEFT-WING CIVILIAN AND MILITARY GROUPS MAKE A SERIOUS BID FOR POWER?Y IN A PRESS INTERVIEW OVER THE WEEKEND, AZEVEDO SEEMED TO CONFIRM THE SOCIALIST PARTY'S CLAIM THAT THE LEFTISTS HAD PLANNED A TAKE-OVER ,.rie sAL LAST WEDNESDAY. N THE PRIME MINISTER'S OFFICE SAID THAT THE SOCIALISTS HAD MOBILIZED AT THE REQUEST OF ANTI-COMMUNIST MILITARY OFFICERS IN THE GOVERNMENT.M AZEVEDO ALSO SPOKE ABOUT THE NEW MILITARY FORCE WHICH HE SAID HE HAD FORMED LAST WEEK TO END DEPENDENCE ON THE FORCES UNDER GENERAL CARVALHO. CARVALHO HAS SWITCHED SIDES OFTEN IN RECENT DAYS, BUT MOST OFTEN HE APPEARS INCLINED TO THE FAR LEFT. PRESS REPORTS '.INDICATE THAT AZEVEDO IS HAVING TROUBLE GETTING THE NEW FORCE 'ORGANIZED BECAUSE SEVERAL DISSIDENT UNITS ARE REFUSING TO SERVE IN IT. DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: 2. YUGOSLAVIA-CHINA-USSR: YUGOSLAV PREMIER BIJEDIC'S PRECEDENT- Approved For Release 2005/06/22 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010058-6 RELEASING OPPICI COO-IOINA/INO OFFICERS AUTHEIVICATING OFFICE* I ieeuwr- nCCIGRle eonWIRITEn C IIUD __..~._.. _.. ~....~...u.u ,rue 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/06/22 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010058-6 SETTING VISIT TO CHINA BEGAN ON A SOUR NOTE ON MONDAY WHEN SOVIET AMBASSADOR TOLSTIKOV LED A WALKOUT AT THE OFFICIAL RECEPTION.' ALL AMBASSADORS FROM THE USSR'.S EAST CUROPEAN ALLIES EXCEPT THE ROMANIAN JOINED TOLSTIKOV IN DEPARTING WHEN FIRST DEPUTY PREMIER TENG HSIAO-PING SAID, "THE MOST DANGEROUS SOURCE OF WAR IS THE SUPERPOWER THAT IS MOST ZEALOUS IN PREACHING PEACE." THE LAST SOVIET PROTEST OF THIS KIND IN PEKING TOOK PLACE IN 1172. THE WALKOUT YESTERDAY IS SIGNIFICANT BECAUSE TENG'S ANTI-SOVIET STATEMENT DID NOT GO BEYOND THE LANGUAGE HE HAD USED AT THE RECENT RECEPTION FOR NORTH VIETNAMESE PARTY CHIEF LE DUAN; TOLSTIKOV DID NOT LEAVE ON THAT OCCASION?Y THE SOVIET ACTION PROBABLY WAS INTENDED AS A DEMONSTRATION OF UNHAPPINESS WITH THE YUGOSLAVS AND THE'ROMANIANS, WHO ALSO HAVE BEEN FLAUNTING THEIR TIES WITH PEKING. EARLIER REPORTS FROM BELGRADEI4JAD SUGGESTED THAT THE SOVIETS ARE LESS THAN HAPPY WITH THE BIJEDIC TRIP, .WHICH COMES IN THE MIDST OF SOVIET-ORCHESTRATED POLEMICS AGAINST MAOISM.Y YUGOSLAV COMMENTARIES ON THE BIJEDIC VISIT GENERALLY HAVE TRIED DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: Approved For Release 2005/06/22 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010058-6 TN\NTCAYINO OA/IC~N AV MLiAAINO O//ICUA COONDINATINO OP M9119 Approved For Release 2005/06/22 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010058-6 TO MAINTAIN A DISCREET DISTANCE FROM THE SINO--SOVIET CONFLICT. ECONOMIC RELATIONS AND AN EXCHANGE OF VIEWS ON FOREIGN AFFAIRS WERE DESCRIBED AS THE PRIME TOPICS ON BIJEDICIS AGENDA. ONE KNOWLEDGEABLE YUGOSLAV COMMENTATOR STATED LAST FRIDAY THAT BELGRADE IS READY TO REOPEN BILATERAL PARTY RELATIONS, BUT HE ADMITTED THIS DEVELOPMENT MAY BE SOME DISTANCE OFF. CHINESE DIPLOMATS IN BELGRADE HAVE CONFIDED THAT THERE IS NO POSSIBILITY FOR AN EARLY RESUMPTION OF PARTY TIES.Y YUGOSLAV LEADERS HAVE LONG SUSPECTED THAT PEKING WANTS TO EMBROIL BELGRADE IN ITS CONFLICT WITH MOSCOW. THE CHINESE CHARGE IN BELGRADE LAST WEEK''SAID.AN AGREEMENT HAD BEEN REACHED TO EXCHANGE TOP-LEVEL MILITARY DELEGATIONS AND THAT THE BIJEDIC PARTY INTENDS TO DISCUSS "STRATEGY" DURING THE VISIT. IF BELGRADE DECIDES 25X1 THAT THESE REPORTS WERE IN ANY WAY BEHIND THE SOVIET PROTEST, TrTO 3. USSR-CYPRUS: NICOSIA ANNOUNCED LAST WEEK THAT IT HAS SIGNED ITS FIRST ECONOMIC AND TECHNICAL COOPERATION AGREEMENT WITH MOSCOW. AS WITH OTHER RECENT SOVIET AGREEMENTS TO EXTEND AID TO DEVELOPING COULD ORDER A SLOWDOWN IN CONTACTS WITH PEKING. DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: 0.4.Ap rove d EViAWRal g ~I~ / i-iu~f '- ce i i 0059-62 IMPDET twsInwTioN PP Approved For Release 2005/06/22 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010058-6 IU PILUS COUNTRIES, NO DOLLAR VALUE WAS PLACED ON THE ASSISTANCE.Y THE AGREEMENT POINTS UP PRESIDENT (iAKARIOS' DESIRE TO OBTAIN AID WHEREVER HE CAN? IT PP O ABLY ALSO REPRESENTS A SOVIET ATTEMPT TO INDICATE CONTINUED SUPPORT FOR A UM!TFIED CYPRUS BUT WITHOUT BEING TOO CLOSELY IDENTIFIED WITH THE IIRCHBISHOP.Y MOSCOW WILL EXTEND LONG-TERM CREDITS TO COVER THE FOREYGN EXCHANGE COSTS OF CONSTRUCTION AFTER SOVIET TECHNICIANS HAVE SURVEYED PROJECTS FOR POSSIBLE ASSISTANCE. ITEMS MENTIONED INCLUDE DAMS AND A NEW AIRPORT AT NICOSIA. 4. POLAND: OVER THE PAST WEEK'MORE MEAT HAS APPEARED IN KRAKOW'S STORES AND THERE ARE GREATLY INCREASED NUMBERS OF POLICE ON THE STREETS. BOTH STEPS WERE TAKEN AS A RESULT Or GRUFBLING FROM THE INDUSTRIAL SUBURBS AND RUMORS OF POSSIBLE PUBLIC PROTESTS. THE EXTRA MEAT WAS EVIDENTLY INTENDED FOR EXPORT, WITH SOME OF IT CARRYING GERMAN MARKINGS. THE CONSULATE SAYS THAT THE LOCAL RUMOR MILL HAS QUIETED DOWN SOME- WHAT NOW THAT MEAT SUPPLIES HAVE IMPROVED.Y DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: 25X1 N1LiiaP! pPrnteC1 For Release 2005/08 2?!"CPAQR'E)P86T00608R0003000100'.9&-'6'c"ww ollrlc'w CLA SI IC?IO" REPRODUCTION BY OTHER THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIBITED E 2 IMPDET CL BY: 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/06/22 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010058-6 SIMILAR MEASURES ARE PROBABLY BEING TAKEN IN OTHER POLISH CITIES. THE REGIME.WILL TRY TO MEET PUBLIC DEMANDS, BUT AT THE SAME TIME IT IS CLEARLY SIGNALING THAT PUBLIC DISTURBANCES WILL NOT BE TOLERATED- THE DRAWDOWN ON GOODS INTENDED FOR EX- PORT--WHICH HAS BEEN OFFICIALLY ANNOUNCED--WILL UN- DOUBTEDLY PUT FURTHER BURDENS ON POLAND'S ALREADY SERIOUS BALANCE-OF-PAYMENTS PROBLEMS. MOREOVER, THE POLISH PEOPLE WILL BE QUICK TO RECOGNIZE THE STOP-GAP NATURE OF SUCH STEPS, AND ARE LIKELY TO KEEP UP THE PRESSURE F'OR MORE CONSUMER GOODS. 5. BULGARIA: BULGARIAN FOREIGN MINISTER MLADENOV WILL VISIT YUGOSLAVIA IN MID-NOVEMBER, ACCORDING TO THE YUGO- 'SLAV COUNSELOR IN SOFIA. THE BULGARIANS APPARENTLY .PROPOSED THE VISIT DURING ZHIVKOV'S TALKS WITH TITO IN HELSINKI?Y THE YUGOSLAV CJNSELOR, WHO DESCRIBED THE DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: Approved For Release 2005/06/22 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010058-6 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/06/22 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010058-6 PRESENT STATE OF RELATIONS BETWEEN BELGRADE AND SOFIA AS "NEITHER WARM NOR FROSTY," WAS SKEPTICAL THAT ANY MAJOR AGREEMENTS WOULD BE REACHED DURING THE VISIT- MAJOR IRRITANTS AS SEEN BY YUGOSLAVIA, ARE THE LONG-STANDING DISPUTE WITH BULGARIA OVER MACEDONIA AND PERSISTENT REFERENCES IN THE BULGARIAN PRESS TO THE ROLE OF THE SOVIET UNION AND BULGARIA IN THE LIBERATION OF YUGOSLAVIA.Y MLADENOV WILL'CERTAINLY BRING UP GREEK PRIME MINISTER KARAMANLIS' CALL FOR A MEETING OF THE BALKAN STATES THIS FALL- BELCRADE HAS ACCEPTED ATHENS' INVITATION WITH MISGIVINGS BECAUSE IT IS CONCERNED ABOUT MOSCOW'S LEVERAGE OVER BULGARIA. MLADENOV WILL HAVE HIS WORK CUT OUT FOR HIM IN -TRYING TO CONVINCE THE YUGOSLAVS TO THE CONTRARY.' FOR SOFIA, THE VISIT COMPLETES A SERIES OF MISSIONS AIMED AT GAINING A LARGER BULGARIAN ROLE IN INTER-BALKAN AFFAIRS. ZHIVKOV ENTERTAINED GREEK DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: Approved For Release 2005/06/22 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010058-6 25X1 5X1 PREMIER KARAMANLIS THIS SUMMER, VISITED ROMANIA IN JULY, AND HELD DISCUSSIONS IN THE SAME MONTH WITH TURKISH LEADER DEMIREL, MLADENOV'S VISIT TO BEL- GRADI. WTLL COMPLETE HIS CIRCUIT OF BULGARIA'S 6. USSR-ROMANIA: SOVIET PARTY SECRETARY KONSTANTIN KATUSHEV MADE A SUDDEN VISIT TO ROMANIA LATE LAST WEEK, PROBABLY TO. TALK OVER A GROWING NUMBER OF DIFFERENCES BETWEEN BUCHAREST AND MOSCOW?Y KATUSHEV, WHO IS RESPONSIBLE FOR RELATIONS, WITH BLOC PARTIES, MET WITH*CEAUSESCU ON THE FINAL DAY OF HIS VISIT. ACCORDING TO BUCHAREST RADIO, THE TWO MEN DISCUSSED ROMANIAN-SOVIET PARTY RELATIONS, "SOME ASPECTS OF INTERNATIONAL LIFE, AND PROBLEMS OF MUTUAL NEIGHBORS. INTEREST." ONE OF THE CHIEF TOPICS MAY HAVE BEEN DIF- FERENCES OVER THE CONDITIONS UNDER WHICH A EUROPEAN CONFERENCE OF COMMUNIST PARTIES SHOULD BE KIELD. KATUSHEV MAY ALSO HAVE RAISED THE MATTER OF THE UN- DATE: ORIG: UNIT: UT: Approved For Release 2005/06/22 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010058-6 USUALLY LARGE NUMBER OF ROMANIAN OFFICIALS WHO TROOPED TO PEKING LAST MONTH- IN ADDITION, THE TWO ARE AT ODDS OVER HOW TO TREAT THE SOCIAL DEMOCRATIC PARTIES IN THE WEST AND OVER BUCHAREST'S CONTINUING COURTSHIP OF THE NONALIGNED MOVEMENT?Y A ROMANIAN DIPLOMAT IN MOSCOW CLAIMS THAT KATUSHEV WAS PLANNING TO DISCUSS PREPARATIONS FOR THE COMING CEMA SUMMIT--INCLUDING THE DRAFTING OF THE MEETING'S FINAL DOCUMENT. INDEED, A NUMBER OF BILATERAL ECONOMIC PROBLEMS REMAIN TO BE IRONED'OUT. THE ROMANIANS, ACCORDING TO THE DIPLOMAT, ARE GETTING NOWHERE WITH THEIR REQUESTS FOR SOVIET OIL AND FOR STEPPED-UP DELIVERIES OF SOVIET IRON 0CE. BUCHAREST HAS PROPOSED A BILATERAL FIVE YEAR TRADE TURNOVER OF 9 BILLION RUBLES, BUT THE SOVIETS ARE OFFERING ONLY 6 BILLION. 'THESE AND OTHER PROBLEMS MAY DELAY THE SIGNING OF THE 1976-80 PLAN COOPERATION AGREEMENT UNTIL LATE IN THE 5X1 YEAR. L DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: r Approved For Release 2005/06/22 CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010058-6 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/06/22 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010058-6 U IP PILIS 7. HUNGARY-ROMANIA: BUDAPEST'S INCREASED EFFORTS TO PROTECT THE CULTURAL IDENTITY OF THE LARGE MAGYAR MINORITY IN RO- MANIA UNDOUBTEDLY FIGURED PROMINENTLY IN RECENT BILATERAL CULTURAL COOPERATION TALKS.Y HUNGARIAN POLITBURO MEMBER ACZEL AND HIS RO- MANIAN COUNTERPART--DUMITRU POPESCU--TALKED FOR THREE DAYS LAST WEEK, BACKED BY DELEGATIONS THAT IN- CLUDED CULTURAL AND HISTORICAL SPECIALISTS. 7AE TWO MEN REPORTEDLY WERE SLATED TO MEET EARLY THIS YEAR, BUT THERE WERE NO SIGNS Thr'T THE MEETING WAS HELD.Y THE KADAR REGIME'HAS BEEN TRYING WITH RENEWED ENERGY SINCE 1'1"t,4 TO EXPAND ITS TIES WITH THE ONE AND-A-HALF TO TWO MILLION TRANSYLVANIAN HUNGARIANS. THESE ENDEAVORS APPARENTLY WERE SPURRED BY DOMESTIC PRESSURES GROWING OUT OF CONCERN AMONG THE HUNGARIAN MINORITY THAT BUCHAREST HAD ADOPTED A MORE AGGRESSIVE ASSIMILATION POLICY.Y THE HUNGARIAN GOVERNMENT SPECIFICALLY WANTS DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: CI.Ai.1.IC.TIGN Approved'*WF 1 ?g /T 2ff ldldf*- tV%W(f?WfMO01(%58-6 IMPDET CL BY : Approved For Release 2005/06/22 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010058-6 BUCHAREST TO USE MORE IMPORTED, HUNGARIAN-LANGUAGE TEXTBOOKS AND TO SOFTEN WHAT BUDAPEST CONSIDERS "HISTORICAL DISTORTIONS" IN ROMANIAN-PRODUCED TEXTS. BUDAPEST HAS ALSO BEEN UNSUCCESSFULLY TRYING FOR SEVERAL YEARS TO OPEN A CONSULATE IN CLUJ THAT WOULD HANDLE CONSULAR MATTERS FOR ALL OF TRANSYLVANIA.Y KADAR PERSONALLY RECEIVED THE ROMANIAN DELEGA- TION, APPARENTLY TO IMPRESS ON BUCHAREST THE SERI- OUSNESS OF HUNGARIAN OBJECTIVES AND TO SHOW THE DOMESTIC AUDIENCE THAT HE IS PERSONALLY INVOLVED.Y NONET' ELESS, THE' ROMANIANS WILL BE SLOW TO RESPOND TO BUDAPEST'S DEMANDS. THEY ARE UNDERSTAND- ABLY RELUCTANT TO EXPOSE THE MAGYAR MINORITY TO BUDAPEST'S INFLUENCE, AND PROBABLY HOPE IN THE LONG RUN TO ASSIMILATE THEM- 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/06/22 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010058-6 2 X1 Approved For Release 2005/06/22 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010058-6 ARGENTINA: BUENOS AIRES PROVINCE GOVERNOR VICTORIO CALABRO HAS IN EFFECT ANNOUNCED HIS BID FOR THE PRESIDENCY IN 1977 BY ISSUING A STINGING CRITICISM OF THE ADMINISTRATION. IN THE PROCESS HE SHARPENED THE DISPUTE WITH LABOR LEADER LORENZO MIGUEL AND OTHERS WHO CLING TO THE DEFENSE OF PRESIDENT PERON'S AUTH OITY?Y CALABRO, ALSO AN IMPORTANT LABOR LEADER WHO HAS FOR SOME TIME BEEN IDENTIFIED WITH THE OPPONENTS OF PERON'S RULE, LASHED OUT AT VIRTUALLY EVERY ASPECT OF THE GOVERNMENT'S PERFORMANCE IN RECENT MONTHS. THE PRESIDENT, HE DECLARED, HAS LOST ALL POWER BECAUSE OF HER SUCCESSIVE POLITICAL DEFEATS. THE CRISIS IN THE ECONOMY CONTINUES, HE WENT ON, BECAUSE "NO PROPER MEASURES HAVE BEEN INTRODUCED." HE FOUND FAULT WITH ACTING PRESIDENT LUDER AS WELL, SAYING THAT THE POLITICAL STABILITY THE COUNTRY NEEDS CANNOT BE SUPPLIED BY "INTERIM PRESIDENTS." "UNLESS RAPID SOLUTIONS ARE FOUND," HE SAID, "THE GOVERNMENT WILL FALL." t1 CALABRO, PROBABLY THE MOST IMPORTANT OF THE SO-CALLED "ANTI- VERTICALISTAS"--OPPONENTS OF PERON'S AUTHORITY""SEEKS TO GAUGE THE DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: RrI..A.ING OPPIC.R COORDINATING OFFICERS AUTHENTICATING OFFICER CI.A..IPICATIApproved FcaRe- caOM1fl6aONOA 4RDMOWWG Rm99S600rfft5845 2 IMPDET CL BY: Approved For Release 2005/06/22 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010058-6 EXTENT OF SUPPORT FOR HIS POSITION WHILE THE VACATIONING PRESIDENT IS ST:-."LL ON THE SIDELINES. MOREOVER, HE IS HOPING TO STEER THE GROWING DEBATE OVER HER FUTURE TO THE DISADVANTAGE OF THE PRESIDENT AND HER SUPPORTERS. HER RETURN TO BUENOS AIRES IS SCHEDULED FOR OCTOBER 1?. Y BY GOING PUBLIC WITH HIS CRITICISM, CALABRO WENT A LONG WAY TOWARD CONFIRMING THE WIDELY HELD BELIEF THAT HE COVETS THE PRESI- DENCY. MOREOVER, HIS ACTION REPRESENTS AN OPEN BREAK WITH TOP LABOR LEADER LORENZO MIGUEL, CHIEF AMONG THE "VERTICALISTAS," WHO FAVOR THE RETENTION OF THE PRESIDENT IN OFFICE?Y PRESIDENTIAL ASPIRATIONS ASIDE, MIGUEL AND HIS SUPPORTERS HAVE PROBABLY INTERPRETED CALABRO'S OPEN BREAK AS SIGNALLING HIS INTENTION TO WREST FROM THEM CONTROL OF THE LABOR MOVEMENT. THEY HAVE GOOD REASON TO BE CONCERNED. THE BUENOS AIRES GOVERNOR'S INFLUENCE IS GROWING, AT A TIME WHEN MIGUEL"S PRESTIGE AMONG LABOR HAS BEEN 25X1 SLIPPING AS DISCONTENT OVER ECONOMIC CONDITIONS IS ENCOURAGING DISSATISFACTION WITH HIS LEADERSHIP. Approved For Release 2005/06/22 : CIA-RDP -6 Approved For Release 2005/06/22 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010058-6 YUGOSLAVIA-CHINA-USSR: YUGOSLAV PREMIER BIJEDIC'S PRECEDENT-. SETTING VISIT TO CHINA BEGAN ON A SOUR NOTE ON MONDAY WHEN SOVIET AMBASSADOR TOLSTIKOV LED A WALKOUT AT THE OFFICIAL RECEPTIuM.Y ALL AMBASSADORS FROM THE USSR'S EAST EUROPEAN ALLIES EXCEL' THE ROMANIAN JOINED TOLSTIKOV IN DEPARTING WHEN FIRST DEPUTY PREMIER TENG HSIAO-PING SAID, "THE MOST DANGEROUS SOURCE OF WAR IS THE SUPERPOWER THAT IS MOST ZEALOUS IN PREACHING PEACE." THE LAST SOVIET PROTEST OF THIS KIND IN PEKING TOOK PLACE IN 1972. THE WALKOUT IS SIGNIFICANT BECAUSE TENG'S ANTI-SOVIET STATEMENT DID NOT GO BEYOND THE-LANGUAGE HE HAD USED AT THE RECENT RECEPTION FOR NORTH VIETNAMESE PARTY CHIEF LE DUAN; TOLSTIKOV DID NOT LEAVE ON THAT OCCASION.' THE SOVIET ACTION PROBABLY WAS INTENDED AS A DEMONSTRATION' OF UNHAPPINESS WITH THE YUGOSLAVS AND THE ROMANIANS, WHO ALSO HAVE BEEN FLAUNTING THEIR TIES WITH PEKING. EARLIER REPORTS FROM BELGRADE HAD SUGGESTED THAT THE SOVIETS ARE LESS THAN HAPPY WITH THE BIJEDIC 1TRIP, WHICH COMES IN THE MIDST OF SOVIET-ORCHESTRATED POLEMICS AGAINST DATE: ORIG: UNIT: EXT: NILlAIING O/-ICSII COOIIOINATING OPP$CIAS AUTNlNTIC11TIN0 OPPICUN CLASSI-ICATION REPRODUCTION BY OTHER THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIBITED E 2 IMPDET Approved For Release 2005/06/22 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010058-6 BY: