MIDDLE EAST AFRICA BRIEF 132-75.4

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010034-2
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 20
• Document Creation Date: December 19, 2016
• Document Release Date: June 14, 2005
• Sequence Number: 34
• Publication Date: August 25, 1975
• Content Type: CABLE

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JORDAN-SYRIA: JORDAN AND SYRIA HAVE TAKEN FURTHER STEPS TO
INCREASE COOPERATION IN A NUMBER OF FIELDS.Y
IN A COMMUNIQUE CAPPING KING HUSAYN'S FIVE-DAY VISIT TO
SYRIA, THE TWO COUNTRIES ANNOUNCED THE FORMATION OF A
"SUPREME SYRIAN-JORDANIAN COMMAND COUNCIL" COMPOSED OF HUSAYN AND
SYRIAN PRESIDENT ASAD. THE COUNCIL IS SUPPOSED TO MEET AT LEAST
ONCE EVERY THREE MONTHS TO ALT ON RECOMMENDATIONS OF THE
MINISTERIAL COMMITTEE FORME.C AT THE TIME OF ASAD'S VISIT TO
JORDAN LAST MONTH.Y
THE COMMUNIQUE AVOIDED ANY MENTION OF A JOINT MILITA?Y
COMMAND, AND ITS SPECIFIC LABELING OF THE NEW COUNCIL AS
"POLITICAL" SEEMS DESIGNED TO RELIEVE ISRAELI AND US APPREHENSION
THAT JORDAN AND SYRIA HAVE ESTABLISHED A MILITARY CO'1MAND.
THE COMMAND COUNCIL WILL, H0'JEVER, REVIEItI PLANS FOR "COORDINA i':ION
AND INTEGRATION" BETWEEN THE TUO AR01=D FOR;CL:S? ,
THE PREROGATIVES OF THE CO[IMANt) COUNCIL APPEAI' TO EE
SUFFICIE~JTLY BROAD TO PERMIT HUSAYN TO KEEP HIS ::JOPT.%ONS OP::iJ
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AND MOVE TOWARD CLOSER MILITARY COOPERATION AT' HIS OWN P3ACE.
ALTHOUGH THE KING SEES BENEFITS IN CLOSER COOPERATION WITH
SYRIA, HE WILL BE CAREFUL NOT TO ALIENATE THE JORDANIAN ARMY1,
HIS MAJOR POWER BASE. FOR ITS PART, THE ARMY REMAINS ~KEP T ICAL OF
SYRIAN MOTIVES, F- A RING THAT ASAD WILL PREVAIL ON THE KING TO
ALLOW THE FE 4DAYEEN TO RE-ESTABLISH A PRESENCE IN JORDAN.
THE PRO FORMA TREATMENT OF PALESTINIAN ASPIRATIONS IN THE
COMMUNIQUE MAY REASSURE: Ti4E ARTY FOR THE TIME BEING. i,'
THE COMMUNIQUE LISTS SEVERAL OTHER AREAS IN WHICH THE
TWO GOVERNMENTS ARE TO JORK TOGETHER. IN ADDITION TO PLANNING
FOR A "UNIFIED FOREIGN POLICY," PARTICULARLY 11TH RESPECT TO
ARAB ISSUES, THE COMMAND COUNCIL WILL DISCUSS CO>t3ORDINATION
OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT PLANS, THE FORMATION OF
JOINT ECONOMIC COMPAIES, UNIFICATION OF MARKETS, AND ESTABLISHMENT
- ?R I
OF A II1ITCTr T ~Ilc+~n ti. e+
POLICY.
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FOREIGN MINIS",'ERS OF NONALIGNED MEET TODAY: THE LIMA
CONFERENCE OF NONE'"LIGNED STATES THAT BEGINS AUGUST 25, 1975
WILL SHOW HOW THE DEVELOPING COUNTRIES WEIGH PROSPECTS FOR
COMPROMISE 1,1ITH THE DEVELOPED WORLD. THE MEETING WILL
PROVIDE A PREVIEW OF RADICAL STRZNGTH ON ISSUES THAT WILL
COME BEFORE THE UN BEGINNING SEPTEMBER 27 1975.Y
THE DELEGATIONS LIKELY TO TAKE THE LEAD AT LIMA HAVE
HELD THEIR CARDS CLOSELY. THE MORE PASSIVE DELEGATIONS,
WHICH ANTICIPATE THAT ALGERIA AND ITS ALLIES WILL DOMINATE
THE CONFERENCE AGAIN, ARE ALREADY TELLING WES'T'ERN GOVERN-
MENTS THEY WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE OUTCOME.Y
THE AGENDA DEC.ONSTRATES DIVERSE INTERESTS. IT CALLS
FOR THE CONSIDERATION OF NEW MEMBERS; A REVIEW OF THE INTER-
NATIONAL SITUATION, INCLUDING THE MIDDLE EAST, SOUTH AFRICA,
LATIN AMERICA, AND INDOCHINA; THE ADOPTION OF .a STRATEGY
FOR MUTUAL POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC ASSISTAININCE AMONG THE
NONALIGNED; A POST-MORTEM ON THE EFFECT OF DECISIONS TAKEN
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SEEM KEEN FOR C3ATTLE.Y
ON ECONOMIC ISSUES, MANY, ANXIOUS TO SEE WHAT
PROPOSALS THE INDUSTRIALIZED NATIONS WILL BRING TO THE
SPECIAL UN SESSION ON DEVELOPMENT, WOULD PREFER NOT TO
ANTAGONIZE COUNTRIES THAT MIGHT BE WILLING TO ASSIST THEM.
BUT THEY, TOO, SEEM RESIGNED TO POLLOW THE ALGERIAN LEAD,
LVEN IF IT TAKES THEM FURTHER ALONG THE PATH TOWARD
CONTENTION.Y
ALGERIA PLAYS ON THE DISTRUST THAT THE NONALIGNED FEEL
FOR THE INDUSTRIALIZED STATES. THE POOR COUNTRIES SUSPECT
THE RICH ARE PLAYING FOR TIME AND HAVE NO REAL INTENTION OF
MAKING GENEROUS OFFERS.Y
THE ECONOMIC ISSUES MAY NOT BE SO EASY FOR THE ALGERIANS
NOW THAT CUBA HAS COMPLAINED THAT ARABS ARE AS NIGGARDLY AS
-THE WEST.Y
THE IS CONCERN AMONG SOME DELEGATIONS THAT THE
RADICALS MAY PULL OUT ALL THE STOPS AT LIMA:Y
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-?HAVING LOST MOMENTUM ON THE DRIVE TO EXPEL
ISRAEL FROM THE UN, SYRIA AND LIKE-MINDED STATES MAY MAKE
A GREATER EFFORT TO OTRAM PLE EGYPT'S AND THE AFRICANS'
CASE AGAINST EXPULSION. ISRAEL WILL BE A HIGHLY DIVISIVE
ISSUE THAT COULD BREAK DOWN THE APPEARANCE OF UNITY THAT THE
NONALIGNED HAVE TRIED TO MAINTAIi.Y
-FOLLOWING THE POSTPONEMENT OF THE PUERTO RICAN
"LIBERATION" ISSUE BY THE DECOLONIZATION COMMITTEE OF THE
UN, CUBA MAY PRESS HARDER FOR SUPPORT ON THIS ISSUE AT LIMA.
DESPITE THE LIKELIHOOD THAT HAVANA WILL WANT TO MAKE A
FRIENDLY GESTURE FOLLOWING WASHINGTON'S PARTIAL EASING OF
SANCTIONS AGAINST CUBA, HAVANA WILL BE TEMPTED TO KEEP THE
PUERTO RICAN PROPAGANDA ISSUE ALIVE.'
EVEN THOUGH MANY AMONG THE NONALIGNED PRIVATELY AGREE
THAT RADICALS IN THE GROUP ARE PUSHING THE DEVELOPED-UNDER-
DEVELOPED SPLIT TOO FAR, THEY WILL BE INHIBITED BY THE STRONG
PRESSURE FOR UNITY. MANY WOULD BE PLEASED TO SEE LESS
STRIDENT POSITIONS IF THE RADICALS WOULD JUST BACK OFF A
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LITTLE, BUT MOST SEEM PREPARED TO GO ALONG.
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1. PORTUGAL: ON SUNDAY NIGHT PORTUGUESE PRESIDENT COSTA COM
DISAVOWED TWO PRESIDENTIAL COMMUNIQUES ISSUED EARLIER THAT DAY THAT
HAD .. -';aa IT .. ~P~~E,1R., ,-I i E 'a 'AS? S.,CKIP~G A CON 'fi~J:1TI0r.i ._ _ 1. i~.,
OF PRIME MINISTER VASCO GORICALVES. BOTH COMMLINIIUES 'JERE RELEASED
BY THE FIFTH DIVISION OF THE ARMED FORCES GENERAL STAFF, T!-IE
COMMUNIST-DOMINATED PROPAGANDA AND INFORMATION SE'"-VICE:..'
THE COMMUNIQUES COULD HAVE BEEN ISSUED LJITHHJOU'f THE
PRESIDENT'S AUTHORIZATION IN A DELIBERATE ATTEMPT BY THE
COMMUNISTS TO MISLEAD THE PU JLIC ABOUT DECISIONS REACHED EAnL T'ER
AT A MEETING OF THE THREE-MAN MILITARY DIRECTORATE AND KEY
MILITARY FIGURES AND TO PROVIDE MOMENTUM TO A LAST-PI I CSH EFFORT
TO SCUTTLE THE PLANS OF THE ANTI-COMMUNIST ANTUNES CROUP AND
SAVE GONCALVES.Y
ON THE OTHER HAIND, THERE WERE PRESS REPORTS DURING THIZ,
UEEKES1ND THAT THE ANTI-GONCALVE S FORCES !:!:::SINE SPLIT SY A
DISAGREEMENT-, AND WE CANNOT EXCLUDE THE POSSIBILITY THAT