EAST ASIA 128-75.4

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010030-6
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 22
• Document Creation Date: December 12, 2016
• Document Release Date: February 21, 2001
• Sequence Number: 30
• Publication Date: August 18, 1975
• Content Type: CABLE

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Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010030-6
Secret
No Foreign Dissem
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Secret
Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010030-6
 A6Mtjftfteajfl 0A/ 1F CIA-Rq~8fT00608R00P30010030-6
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SECRET NO FOREIGN DISSEM
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IJ IllTUHN f0 PIi7
1. CHINA-CAMBODIA-VIETNAM: PEKING HAS ENTHIISIASTICALLY
WELCOMED CAMBODIAN DEPUTY PRIME MINISTERS KHIEU SAMrHAN AND
IENG SARY, LAUDING THE NEW REGIME'S ACHIEVEMENTS AMD PROMISING
CONTINUING SUPPORT. THE VISIT IS THE FIRST TRIP ABROAD FOR
CAMBODIA'S COMMUNIST LEADERS SINCE THEY ASBSUMED POWER LAST
APRIL?Y
A PEOPLE'S DAILY EDITORIAL ON THE VISIT POINTS UP THE
IMPORTANCE PEKING ATTACHES TO CONTINUING CLOSE TIES WITH
PHNOM PENH, AND BOTH SIDES CLEARLY VIEW THE VISIT AS A HIGHLY
VISIBLE MEANS OF REAFFIRMING THEIR RELATIONSHIP. THE CHINESE
PROBABLY CONSIDER THE VISIT 10PORTANT IN LIGHT OF THE RECENT
TRIP TO CAMBODIA BY NORTH VIETNA7MlSE FIRST SECRETARY LE
DUAN?Y
A CONTINUATIO4 OR A POSSIBLE INCREASE IN CHINESE ECONOMIC
. AND TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE TO CAMBODIA WILL P~,OBABLY HEAD THE
LIST OF TOPICS TO BE DISCUSSED DURING KHIEU'S VISIT-. THE
CHINESE HAVE BEEN BY FAR THE LARGEST FOREIGN CONTRIBUTORS TO
DATE:
"11.33A 2A mJ13122
UNIT:
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.c_:4 ? NO f:FFI~HA 000001NAr1N6 JFt U'i:95 ..U T'~F. T. fll:~t`I ..w
'=" "` REPr.ODUCTIGN BY OTHFR THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIdI ::D ~(~
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CAMBODIAN 1 EHABILITA i ION SINCE THE COMMUNIST TAKE-OVER, AND
CHINESE TECHNICIANS CURRENTLY IN CAMBODIA NUMBER IN THE
;-IUNDPEDS- ALTHOUGH PEKING HAS NOT YET MADE ANY PUBL LIC PROMISES,
THE CHINESE ARE ALMO T C:_.< T A INLY PF,EPA?RED TO A.~Su RE 'i H
CAMBODIANS OF CONTINUING ;DCOONOi1IC AND TECHNICAL A SSIS'T ANCE
AS ONE JAY OF MAINTA.IJ'J_?J'-A DOMINANT POSITION IN PHNvM P;ENH?''Y
Pf;I11CE SIH ,A0UK'S ROL.E T NI THE iJEW ~;EGIIME :CS A SUBJECT
THAT PROBABLY CANNOT BE AV-,-1' N)ED, BUT THE CHINESE APPEAR TO
BE IN NO MOOD TO PUSH THE' :::.11'D 'T I COrIMUNI TS ON 'I"rl:CS S;:UKE-
SIHANOUK APPARENTLY R MAINS IN PYONGYANG, BUT MAY R URN TO
PEKING ;HIN ORDER TO DISCUSS THE QUESTION OF HIS PO ST.t3LE RETURN
TO CAMBODIA-Y
CHINESE TREATMENT OF A NORTH VIETNAMESE ECONOMIC DEI-EGATION
NOW IN PEKING, LED BY G')1.TT J '0 ;iEM3ER LE !;IANH N CGHI, IS MUCH
COOLER IN TONE THAN THE Cti _ Ir SE CO l'1r~1'i,ARY ON THE CAN ;3ODIuN
VISIT. FACT, DISC:: .T.'i THE i'FPOr:,.1TING OF AND VIETNAMESE ;`JEWS AGENCIES ?O Ni 'TO CONTINUING F;`',XC LIONS
BETWEEN PEKING AND HANG } .'Y
DATE:
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U I.!.nr LISSEM UY:
C . 1 I I :I PER
CHINESE COVERAGE OF VICE PREMIER LI HSIEN-NIEN' S COMMENTS
AT A WELCOMING BANQUET FOR THE VIETNAMESE DELEGATION EMPHASIZED
INTERNATIONAL ISSUES AND INCLUDED A REFERENCE TO VIETNAMESE
STRUGGLES AGAINST "IMPERIALISM, COLONIALISM, AND H=G*=MONISil."
VIETNAMESE PRESS ACCOUNTS DROPPED THIS PHRASE, PRE:\Uf1ABLY
BECAUSE OF SOVIET SENSITIVITIES ON THE HEGEMONY ISSUE. THE
DELEGATION IS SCHEDULED TO VISIT MOSCOW AFTER FINISHING UP IN
PEKING.Y
THE VIETNAMESE CONCENTRATED ON PURELY BILATERAL ISSUES--
ESPECIALLY ECONOMIC ASSISTANCE--IN THEIR COVERAGE OF THE VISI'T'.
THE VIETNAMESE QUOTED LE THANH NIGHI AS CONCLUDING THAT AN
INCREASE IN CHINESE AID TO VIETNAM WOULD BE "OF TREAT
IMPORTANCE" TO VIETNAM. THE CHINESE PRESS INCLUDED NOTHING
ON THIS IZ-SUE, SUGGESTING THAT THE TWO SIDES MAY HE FAR APART ON
THE QUESTION O- CHINESE AID- -ESECP%ETIY
2. PHILIPPINES: PRESIDENT f1ARCOS' ANNOUNCENEN T fHUR'SDAY
THAT H': HAS ARRANGED A CEASE-FIRE WITH THE RADICAL (MUSLIN M'ORO
NATIONAL LIBERATION FRONT SHOULD BE REGARDED WITH SKEPTICISM.'
DA'rE :
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THE Gr1VERNMENT STATEMENT OUTLINING THE ACCORD THAT MARCOS
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REACHED A('EMENT WITH ABDUL HAMII> LUKMAiv, !:'!;b11 i hE PHILIPPINE
GOVERNMEN'T' TERMS A LEGAL A;IVISER AND CENTRAL COMMITTEE MEi1BER
OF THE LIBERATION FRON I ? TT SAD THAT SIJF3SEQUENT i'1F'ETIN`NGS
WOULD BE HELD TO WORK OUT ARRANGEMENTS FOR MUSLIM AUTONOMY
AND THE CREATION OF AN INTERNAL SECURITY FORCE, TWO KEY DEMANDS OF
REBEL LEADERS AT NEGOTIATIONS IN JIDDA LAST JANUARY.Y
IT SEEMS LIKELY THAT LUKMAN MERELY HAS DEFECTED TO THE
GOVERNMENT SIDE AND:1gII11i.1 THAT THE :JAB ~ 1 `9ICEASE-FIRE
ANNOUTICEMENT IS ONLY ANOTHER PART OF A MANYA-PRONGED GOVERNMENT
EFFOF:T TO DIVIDE AND CONFUSE !HE REBELS, WHILE TRYING TO
CONVINCE WORLD ISLAMIC LEADERS THAT MANILA IS MAKING A SINCERE
EFFORT TO MEET REBEL DEMANDS. A MAJOR FEATURE OF THIS CAMPAIGN
HAS BEEN HIGHLY PUBLICIZED AGREEMENTS WITH REBEL DEFECTORS-
NONE OF THE DEFECTORS HAS BEEN A HIGH-RANKING LEADER NOR HAVE
THE AGI'EENENTS HAD OUCH PRACTICAL SIGNIFICANCE. LU MAN UAS A
MEMBER OF THE REBEL DELEGATION AT THE JIDDA TALKS?, 'BUT HE WAS
EVIDENTLY ONLY A RECENT RECRUIT TO THE FRONT AND NOT A 11EMBER
OATS:
GRIG:
OBIT:
?Approlved For Release 2001/Q8/21,.NC1A~RDP86TOO608R000300010030-6:,
fi=::'.' c:. CTioV i '! G7H R 'fH~N THE I55?i1NG G.=FILE Is PP.O ~! a' ; _:: ' .' ' i
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OF LEADER, NUR MISUARI'S INNER CIRCLE. {CONFIDENtIAL}Y
3?//LAOS: THE LONG-ANTICIPATED PATHET LAO MOVE TO "LIBERATE"
THE NEUTRALIZED CAPITAL OF VIENTIANE IS UNDERWAY,/,/,J.
//SEVERAL THOUSAND C!;r'I1UNIST-L_E.D CIVILIAN D~_iI i;IS"fRa'f~.2C S'fA';E1)
PEACEFUL PROTEST MARCHES IN 'i IJO OF . VIENTIAHF' S OUTLYING DIS i'i;}'C TS
OVER THE UEEKEND. THE M..A CHERS, DESCRIBED AS WELL ORGANIZED 131JT
LESS THAN ENTHUSIASTIC, WERE ACCOi1PANIED BY ARMED PATHET LAO
TROOPS AND PLAINCLOTHES C.~'~'E ? THE DEMONSTRATORS ARF REPORTEDLY
DEMANDING THE OUSTER OF LOCAL NON-COMMUNIST VILLAGE OFFICIALS
AND T HZIr REPLACEMENT BY PRO-COMMUNIST SYi1PA'fH'CZE1'3\ S ? /!Y
//UJHEN THIS PROCESS HAS SEEN COi'IPLETED N TH:_ ''!i LYING
DISTRICTS, PERHAPS AS c..S.. Y !;S MONDAY OR 'ilJ;_SOAY, fi.E DEi'I iN'S 'RA i ORS
ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE TO DOWN T 0'JN VIENTIANE 111HERE THEY WILL
DEMAND FUNDAMENTAL CHANGES N THE CAPITAL'S NEUTRAL STATUS. T IHE
PATHET LAO OBJECTI1E IS O "B'OGA T E THO ` PROVISION' 0t= i'RE_ '6 ?3
PEACE ACCO?DS WHICH :3.LLITY F')? aECU;'LTY A iD ?_R
MUNICIPAL FUNCTIONS TN vT:'4T.Tai t TO JOT 'IT N
NON -COM1IUNIS T ORGANIZ,ITTO>NS ? -1j'-ITS ''JILL ALL,-;j ii; f. c;i^;`IIJNISTS 7)
DATE:
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SECRET NO FOREIGN DISSEM
U LLY
ASSUME DIRECT CONTROL, ABOLISH JOINT GOVERNING BODIES, AND
CHANGE LOCAL OFFICIALS. THE ORGANIZERS OF THE LATEST ROUND OF
DEMONSTRATIONS OR, IN COMMUNIST PARLANCE, "POPULAR IJPR',?CSINGS, Y"
HAVE REPORTEDLY SAID 1'H,A T THE F\CADE OF NATIONAL -0;;-_:L i'TO~,1
GOVERNMENT WILL BE MAINTAINED DESPITE THESE CHANGES IN VIENTIANE'S
ADMINISTRATION.//Y
/.
THE PATHET LAO WILL ALMOST CERTAINLY FOLLOW UP THEIR
A
TAKE-OVER OF VIENTIANE -UI'i 'J , r"ILAR MOVES IN THE ROYAL CAPITAL
OF LUANG PRABANG, WHICH UA:, Ai_S0 NEUTRALIZED UNDER THE TERMS
OF THE 19?7 ACCORDS. {SECRET} E-2 :C'1Pi?ET .,-!
SD0 DDODO
DATE: _: 2AUG 1ST 13, 1 175
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 Approved For Release 2001/08/21 : CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010030-6
SECRET NO FOREIGN DISSED
WESTERN HEi1ISPHERE BRIEF J,23-75?Y
9RAZIL: THE REACTION OF THE OPPOSITION PAKTY TO PRESIDENT
GEISEL'S RECENT SPEECH REFLECTS IT", REALIZATION THAT THE GOVEF":c1ENT
HAS MADE A MAJOR COF.CESSION TO HARD-LINE MILITARY COCJSErVATIVES '=1Y
ABANDONING LIBERALIZATION AS ONE OF ITS MAJOR GOALS- OPPOSITT_O''a
LEADERS 11O!i BELIEVE THAT T1-HEIR GAINS IN LAST YEAR'S CO'-JGGPE%"TONAL
ELECTIONS HAVE BACKFIRED ^Y S11GGESTIi4G TO TIE NEi1IEa vF LIRE! ALIZA-
TIO,1 THAT THE BALLOTING VOWED PUBLIC REPUDIATION OF THE ;1IL!TAi Y' S
EXERCISE OF POWER. Y
PROPONENTS OF LIBERALIZATION HAD HOPED THAT GEISEL WOULD HE-
AFFIRM HIS INTENTION TO CONTIZJUE THE PROCESS OF EASING COITROLS ON
POLITICS. WHEN HE FAILED TO ADDRESS SUCH CONTROVERS14L ISSJES AS
PRESS CENSORSHIP OR ILLEGAL ARRESTS, THEY WERE BITTERLY DISAPPOINTED-1
GEISEL FURTHER CONFOUNDED THE OPPOSITION PARTY BY BIRTL'ALLY CO-
OPTING ITS ENTIRE SOCTAL PROGRAM. OPPOSITION LEADER GUIPARAES HAS
RESPONDED IN UNUSUAELY STRONG LANGUAGE, DENOUNCING THE "SWITCH IN
SIGNALS" AND SCORING THE PRESIDENT'S CALL FOR VIGILANCE AGAINST
COMMUNIST SUBVERSION AS PROVIDING THE PRETEXT FOR A "UITCi1 HUNT.`
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SECRET 30 FC'iE:TG;: DISSEN
TI4I i OtITOJRS T PROVOKED A S AI:P REE 'TTAL 2Y ThE 3EAD OF T-fit" (: (\l.";,'i`IFNT
PARTY, UHO APPARENTLY SOUGHT TO CREATE TILE rl1PRESSIOii TiiAT fl:. .[S :IORC
THAN A I14TC4 FOt? Tf4E 4PPOSITIOL4. (UIMARAES RE.PO"TCILY ALSO '1?jrZ11E:D
GEI -EL, OUT A PRESIDE:dTIAL SPOKFSt1AN HAS INi)ICATE"u THAT '-'0 ACT o'%'
IJILL BE TAKCN AGAINST
PFO-GOVERN"ENT AND OPPOSITION POLITICIAVIS INTEND TO PAFT:LCIP.ATE
ACTIVELY IN COMING PARTY AND MUNICIPAL ELECTIO,,4S TO Tr; ;T Tl1E. G)VEf t'-
MENT'S 4ILLINGNESS TO P#R1IT ELECTIONS AS OPEN AS THE O S LAST YLAP.
GEISEL'S SPEECH APPEARS TO 4AVE t1AD, IT CLEAR, +t0d- ft F:t2 i THAT THE
GOVERtr'r1ENT MILL '-AKE NO ?pHER STEPS TO REDUCE CONTROL- O,! POLITICAL
ACTIVITY. {CONFIDENTIAL} Z-2 1HPDET.cr
AUGUST 38, 1175
3873
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MIDDLE EAST AFRICA BRIEF 128-75.9
1. BANGLADESH: THERE HAVE BEEN NO SIGNS O~ RESISTANCE TO THE
NEW REGIME SINCE THE I1ILI T ARY-LED COUP ON FRIDAY- THE ROUND-THE--CLOC.i:
CURFEW HAS BEEN PARTIALLY LIFTED, BUT MARTIAL LAW APPARE ?JTLY ~ENAINS
IN FORCE-5'
THE NEW GOVERNMENT APPEARS TO BE MOVING TOWARD CLOSER LINKS
WITH OTHER ISLAMIC COUNTRIES-INCLUDING PAKISTAN, WITH WHICH
RELATIONS HAD BEEN VERY LIMITED SINCE BANGLADESH BECAME
INDEPENDENT FROM PAKISTAN IN 1971. DACCA PROBABLY hi:CLL ALSO T3Y
TO MAINTAIN REASONABLY GOOD RELATIONS WITH INDIA, BUT TIES Ai'?'
UNLIKELY TO BE AS CLOSE AS THEY WERE UNDER THE LATE PRESIDENT
MUJIB-Y
PRESIDENT MUSHTAQUE HAS DECLARED THAT HIS GOVERNMENT WANTS
FRIENDLY TIES WITH ALL THREE MAJOR POt;ERS? PAKISTAN ON FRIDAY BECAME
THE FIRST NATION TO RECOGNIZE T:HF NEW REGI0E AND HAS Pi',Oi1IS O
TO SEND 510, 090 TONS OF 71C.` AND 15 MILLION YARDS OF CLOTH.
IT URGED OTHER ISLAMIC COL'! ?_ES TO EXTEND I;ANA)
SAUDI AT;ABIA AND SUDAN DID SO OVER THE a;IEEKCEND - RANGLA Ur_SH I S
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NEW RULERS UNDOUBTEDLY ARE ANXIOUS TO OBTAIN ECONOMIC AID
FROM THE'ISLAMIC COUNTRIES?Y
INDIA SO FAR HAS TAKEN A CAUTIOUS STANCE TOWARD THE NEW
GOVE'Ni1ENT. WHICH RERJZSENTS A SHIFT' AUAY J=RO11 THE S~_(ULAR AND
GENERALLY PRO-INDIAN ORIEN T A T ION OF THE I'IUJIB REGIME. AN
OFFICIAL INDIAN STATEMENT PUBLISHED SUNDAY DESCRIBED THE EVENTS
AS "INTERNAL MATTERS 4F BANGLADESH" THAT INDIA IS "CAREFULLY
STUDYING." TASS REPOT T $I I~J)I(:ATE THAT MOSCOW IS ALSO ADOPTING
A WAIT-AND-SEE ATTITUDE. PEKING'S NEWS AG-NCY HAS l;FPORTED
THE COUP BUT NOT YET C0,'11EN'i ED 0') IT- {SECRET}}'''
2. ANGOLA: THE 'POPULAR IIOVE.IIENT FOR THE LIBERATION OF
ANGOLA AND THE NATIONAL UNION FOR THE TOTAL IND1EPENJD_NCE OF
ANGOLA ARE. BATTLING FOR COI T F OL Or' THE PORT AND RAILHEAD AT
LOBITO AND BEiNGUELA ? FIGHTING IN THE AREA fEGAN LAST WEDNESDAY
AND INCREASED OVER, THE '.:JL KE 4 ? 9
THE POPULAR i OVEfJE. 1T APPEAiI S 70 UE TRYING i'?JO IJ TO SECUUi' E
MILITARY DO fNANCE 0"i-;iGOLA S JT I :al_ ~COI~Ic)11IC CE;`I ; Er:`
,
ZVE J A!' TH RISK ;;F HJAV' -1; .?O r :~;-J f '1?+E T iE
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0 -DdX UISSEM ryY:
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fl n ION to PER
LIBERATION OF ANGOLA AND THE NATIONAL UNION AT THE SAME TIt`IE -
THE POPULAR MOVEMENT CONTROLS LUANDA BUT IS f AUGHT B"rTWEEN
THE NATIONAL FRONT TO THE NORTH AND THE NATIONAL Ui'i1ON TO
THE SJlJTH ."
SO FAR, THE PORTUGUc:SE Hob; NOT INTERV .NE,D IN THE I..' 1FJ.GHTING,
LISBON REPORTEDLY IS PREPA'ING TO SEND ADDITIONAL. TROOPS TO ANGOLA
TO RESTOi;E ORDER AND BACK !;P AC T IfIG HIGH COi;MISSIONE ~ MACEDO';;
ATTEMPTS TO REAS,jERT. PORi'U ;."ESE UTHO 2ITY OVER THI t EI~RITORY
?CCONFID-NTIALJ-Y
3. P,-L-O Ar : ALTHOUGH Pi:I't1E i-11111IST=R IAN SMITH ,\i'JD 3L"ICK
RHODESIA-"-) NA'TIONAL:- STS HAVE AGREED TO BEGIN :"ETTLti1_fl'f T;' LKS THIS
MONTH, THEIR CONFLICTING VIEUSOF THE PROCEDURAL ARRANGEMENTS DO NOT
BODE !JELL FOR SUCCESSFUL :';EGOTIATIONS?M
THE RHODESIAN GOVER ii1-NJT .Afl'JOUNCED ON TUESDAY THAT:
AN INIT: IAL, :1EET=;iG .JILL T,\:= PLACE i) LAT " i" \ "l
;UGUS - 25 IN A RAIL`r' )AD A ;RI AGE SN 1~'IAI.i?IG APlc; _,ji
RIVER MIDI,JAY BETWEEN '+iO r I \'iD ?. \M3'TA-'9
.: 11
---T1i~ SPECIFIC: 'S17'7 7F.IS b11 LL Di1 1'T 3?
DATF:
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0 NO Iv!4r
0 .rc~i.., i,} PER
OR MORE JOINT COMMITTEES WORKING IN RHODESIA?Y
--AFTER THE COI1MTTTEES HAVE COMPLETE) THEIR WORK, A FINAL
CONFERENCE WILL CONVEii= AT A MUTUALLY ACCEP T r\BLE SITE TO CONCLUDE
A FORMAL SET TKE N ANT ? Y
ON HEDNESDAY IN ZAi BIA, DISHOP MUZOREWA, CHAT 1AN OF THE
RHODESIAN AFRICAN NATIONAL COUNCIL, CONFIRMED THE BLACK
NATIONALISTS' ACCEPTANCE OF THE PROCEDURAL ARRANGEMEI\TS THAT HAD
BEEN ANNOUNCED IN RHODESIA. ON THE SAME DAY THE RHODESIAN
GOVERNMENT REPLIED ItII T H A UAR `! ING THAT THE BLACK NATIONALISTS
RISKED DESTROYING THE POSSIBILITY OF AN AGREED SE'i TLENENT IF
THEY WENT BACK ON ANY PART OF THE AGREEMENT TO HOL y TALKS.
ON FRIDAY, HOWEVER, MUZONE'WA SAID THE COUNCIL REJECTS
THE PROVISION TO HOLD C' MMITTEE SESSIONS INSIDE RHODESIA;
THE DETAILED NEGOTIATIONS, HE SAID, MONT BE HELD AT THE SITE
OF THE, INITIAL SESSION."
NUZOREUA' S RED/ER ; AL :.,:; PPOVOKED RY N ITTH 4'S ZT,a i Ei1`EMT ?N
WEDNESDAY THAT THE INN IAL SESSION WILL 03 i1EREL? A PRIEF
FORMAL':T'l' AND THAT 1C51L ~~0"~'T ?A'i ? OBIS WILL TAKE 7L.\CE INS. X-_.
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RHODESIA. BEFORE O HE P1iOCEDU SAL COMPROMISE WAS ANNOUNCED, Si1ITH
HAD INSISTED THAT THE CONFERENCE TAKE PLACE TN RHODESIA;
THE BLACK NATIONALISTS HAD CLAIMED THEIR EX? LED LEADERS MIGHT
8E A~;J`ESTED IF ".''HEY ;It"TU :NZD ? Y
IT NOW APPEAR' THAT SETTL~MENP TALKS CAN E3E SALVAGED 0,.')'.Y
BY THE MEDIATORS WHO HAVE BEEN PUSHING BOTH SIDES TOWARD A
CONFERENCE SINCE LAST DECEMBER, WHEN THEY BROUGHT ABOUT A
TRUCE BETWEEN SMITIl AND THI: ELAC.K INSURGENTS. SMITH HAS
ACKNOWLEDGED THAT THE FRAGILE PROCEDURAL AGREEMENT WAS FORMULATED
IN PRET'J RIA LAST WEEKEND BY HIMSELF, SOUTH AFRTC;'\i'! MINIS t"rR
VORSTER, AND AN ENVOY OF ZAMBIAN PRESIDENT AUNDA. BOTH SMIT-1 H
AND MUZOREWA HAVE ANNOUNCED THAT THE GOVERNMENTS OF SOUTH AFRICA,
ZAMBIA, MOZAMBIQUE, T A`iZANU 1 AI`JD BOTSWANA WILL GUARANTEE TIH?;T
ANY SETTLEMENT AGREEMENT IS HONORED. {CONFIDENITAL} E-2 IMPDET- rl
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EUROPEAN BRIEF 128-75.Y
1. PORTUGAL: PORTUGUESE COMMUNISTS VOWED ON SUNDAY TO
CONTINUE THEIR CAMPAIGN IN THE NORTH TO REASSERT THE PARTY'S
PRESENCE THERE.Y
THEIR INITIAL FORAY INTO THE 'NORTH-. A PARTY RALLY ON
SATURDAY IN THE TOWN OF ALCOBACA, PROVED THAT THE ANTI-COMMUNISTS
ARE EQUALLY DETERMINED TO BE RID OF THEM- THE COMMUNISTS, NOW
EXPERIENCING THE SAME TYPE OF HARASSMENT FACED BY THE MORE
CONSERVATIVE PARTIES SEVERAL MONTHS AGO, ARE DEMANDING THAT
THE MILITARY GUARANTEE THE RIGHT OF FREE ASSEMBLY.Y
THEY HAVE SCHEDULED ANOTHER DEMONSTRATION ON TUESDAY IN
OPORTO, CLAIMING THEY HAVE SUFFICIENT POWER TO RESPOND AND
"SMASH THE COUNTERREVOLUTIONARIES-? ANTI-COMMUNISTS AROUND
OPORTO ARE CERTAIN TO REACT TO THIS SECOND CHALLENGE AND MORE
VIOLENCE MAY RESULT BECAUSE THE COMMUNISTS HAVE PROMISED TO
"TAKE PRECAUTIONS' AGAINST A REPETITION OF EVENTS IN
ALCOBACA.Y
PRO-COMMUNIST PRIME MINISTER GONCALVES, UNDER HE;AV'(
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PRESSURE TO RESIGN, PUBLICLY ADMITTED SATURDAY THAT HIS NEW
GOVERNMENT-NOW OVER A WEEK OLD-IS UNABLE TO FUNCTION BECAUSE
OF THE SPLIT IN THE ARMED FORCES. HE APPEALED TO THE PEOPLE
TO DEMAND A QUICK SOLUTION TO THE "POLITICAL ANSITCI.JITTESI',
DIVIDING THE MILITARY AND POLITICAL PARTIES WHICH PREVENT THE
CABINET FROM DEALING WITH PORTUGAL'S MORE PRESSING 'PROBLEMS.
GONCALVES PROMISED THAT HE AND HIS LEFT-WING CABINET WOULD
NOT 'SHIRK THEIR RESPONSIBILITIES." THE STATEMENT WILL DO
LITTLE TO GAIN SUPPORT FOR GONCALVES, BUT IT DOES MAKE CLEAR
TO THOSE OPPOSING HIM THAT HE WILL NOT STEP DOWN VOLUNTARILY.1
THE DISSIDENT OFFICERS IN THE ARMED FORCES MOVEMENT ARE
CONTINUING TO CIRCULATE THE ANTI-REGIME DOCUMENT DRAFTED BY
FORMER FOREIGN MINISTER ANTUNES, OPING TO GAUGE SUPP)RT
AMONG THE RANK AND FILE BEFORE MOVING AGAINST GONCALVES. 4'
TAE DISSIDENTS ARE CLEARLY HESITANT TO MOVE AGAINST THEIR
FELLOW OFFICERS AND MAY LOSE THEIR ADVANTAGE IF THEY CONTTi-:'JE
TO DE' AY. THE SOCIALISTS AND OTHER ANTI-COMMUNIST CIV r!._ C AN
GROUPS, HO :'EVER, CAN BE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE PRESSURING T!i =f1 ,
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CONTINUES. M 131UCONFIDENTIAL}Y
2. SPAIN: FELIPE GONZALEZ, SECRETARY GENERAL OF THE
SPANISH SOCIALIST UOF K~ RS' P!PTY ?CPSOE}--THE i_.AR';I::~,T OF THE
FIVE ILLEGAL SOCIALIST GROU?S IN SPAIN--SAID LAST f1ONTH THAT
THE PSOE BELIEVES THAT E FFCRTS TO BRING ABOUT DEMOCRACY IN
SPAIN BY REFORMING THE FRANCO REGIME WILL NOT WOR;: ')UT. HIS
PARTY BELIEVES THAT A CO";-'!_r_"1 BEAK WITH THE EXISTING REGIME
WILL BE NECESSARY.- THIS t"IOUL'D 5E FOLLOWED BY A TRANSITIONAL
PHASE LEADING TO A CONSTITUENT ASSEMBLY WHICH WOULD 11"RAFT
A DEMOCRATIC CONSTITUTION-Y
GONZALEZ STRESSED THAT THE PSOE, LIKE MOST OTHER
OPPOSITION GROUPS, IS AUA,'= OF THE. NEED TO AVOID ANY UPHEAVAL
OR "TRANMAS" DURING THE T ?A."ISITION, BUT HE NOTED T;-JA'1 T 11c,
LONGER THE PRESENT' SI T U., T -O'I WITH A GRADUALLY 1acTERIO;~A T INJG
FRANCO OF A TRAUMA :JHE'N FF. .NCO GO;:S. TUIE P'S DOUBTS AT
PRINCE 1J1JAN CARL OS, FI' NCO' S DESIGNATED HEIR I CAN Pi?OVIDE
THE LEADE 10%SHIP OR ATTRACT SUFFICIENT SUPPORT TO REF
DATE
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THROUGH THE CRITICAL TRANSITION PERIOD. GONZALEZ P~1ORTRAYED JUAN
CARLOS AS L-1ACKING IN FORTITUDE, CAPACITY TO GOVERN , AND POL.'FTICAI_
ASTUTENESS.Y
GONZALEZ PLAYED DOY ??I THE POSSIBILITY OF VI^1_EI`ICi:_ 1 H^'i;_',''::??,
SAYING THE PSOE FAVORS A PRAGMATIC ?STE7-BY-STEP APPROACH IN
THE POST-FRANCO ERA, WHICH WOULD NOT DESTROY THE POSTIVE
INSTITUTIJONS---HE CITED SCHOOLS--FRANCO HAS BUILT. HE ADDED
THAT HE AND OTHER YOUNG OPPO3'tiION LEADERS, ALTHOUGH BORN AFTER
THE CIVIL WAR, ARE VERY MUCH AWARE OF, AND STILL INFLUENCED BY
THE WAR. THUS THEY ARE CONSCIOUS OF THE NEED TO PROCEED WITH
CAUTION IN ORDER. TO AVOID A SIMILAR EXPERIENCE.Y
GONZALEZ AND THREE OF HIS COLLEAGUES STATED THEY BELIEVES
THE PSOE HAS A SOLID WORKING CLASS ; ;'JBASE AND A SIGNIFICANT POLITICAL
POTENTIAL. ONE SAID THAT IN A FREE ELECTION THE PSO~-- HIGH T HAVE
AJLMOST AS MUCH ELECTORAL STRENGTH AS MARIO SOARES' HO.-MIGUUEScE
SOCIALIST F; -~RTY M USTER =D IN THE :;0'; T UGUE E r--1- .CTIONIS L.AS T A. TL
AND THAT THE SPANISH C'`'-I,`!UNIST PARTY WOULD )O NOT RETTER 'MAN
THE POR'rIJ~UESE COMMUNISTS PERCENT}.Y
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THE PSOE LEADERS EMPHASIZED THEY ARE OPPOSED TO THE
COMMUNIST-DOMINATED DEMOCRATIC JUNTA AND FIRMLY SUPPORT THE
NEWLY FORMED RIVAL DEMOCRATIC CONVERGENCE COALITION- GONZALEZ
BELIEVES T HAIS COALITION WILL BE :1 ICAPABLE OF :JCA RYING
ON A DIALOGUE WITH ALL SECTORS OF SOCIETY, INCLUDING THE
CAPITALISTS AND THE MILITARY, IN ORDER TO SECURE A PEACEFUL
AND ORDERLY TRANSITION TO A DEMOCRATIC SYSTEM. GONZALEZ ALSO
STATED THAT THE PSOE FEELS THAT ANY POST-FRANCO DEMOCRATIC
SYSTEM MUST BE OPEN TO ALL POLITICAL PARTIES, INCLUDING THE
COMMUNISTS- {CONFIDENTIAL}Y
3. BULGARIA: POPE PAUL VI RECENTLY NAMED TWO NEW UISHOPS TO
HEAD LONG-VACANT ROMAN CATHOLIC DIOCESES IN BULGARIA-
THE NOMINATIONS, THE FIST IN RECENT MEMORY, FOL-
LOWED TALKS AT THE VATICAN IN JUNE BETWEEN BULGARIAN
u
LEADER, ZH.IVKOV AND POPE PAUL.
THE ~IEi'LY AN,NOLINCaD BI..:HOPS A'~E OOGDAN 303RANOV
ISOFIA AND PLOVDIV}, ! ;~O fiA BEEN SECRET 1_Y CO J-
? SECRATED IN L9S9, AND V:'IS .0 SERI';GCOV {I l:C KOPO!_1.
DATE:
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NO BIOGRAPHIC INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON EITHER'
APPOINTEE. THEIR SEES HAD APPARENTLY BEEN VACANT
SINCE L952, WHEN THEIR PREDECESSORS DIED IN JAIL.Y
ALTHOUGH THE BULGARIAN PRESS HAS NOT YET AN-
NOUNCED THE APPOINTMENTS, THE PARTY'S DAILY NEWS-
PAPER CARRIED ON THE FRONT PAGE AN EXTENSIVE ARTICLE
ON ZHIVKOV'S MEETING WITH POPE PAUL. THE POPE RE-
PORADLY RAISED THE QUESTION OF FILLING THE VACANT
DIOCESES, AND ZHIVKOV INDICA'TID THAT HE WAS RECEPTIVE
TO FILLING THE POSITIONS QUICKLY-'a
THE VATICAN IS REPORTEDLY PLEASED OVER THE
LATEST SUCCESS IN ITS POLICY TO NORMALIZE RELATIONS
WITH THE EAST EUROPEAN COMMUNIST STATES. IT ALSO
PROBABLY HOPES SUCH MOVES JILL EASE THE PLIGHT OF
THE FAITHFUL- THERE ARE 35,000 TO 60,000 LATIN
AND BYZANTINE-RITE CATHOLICS IN KLGARIA, AN OVER-
WHELMINGLY ORTHODOX COUNTRY. THE REGIME ACTIVELY
PERSECUTED THE CHURCH UNTIL L960, BUT SINCE THEN
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DATE: AUGUST `118-1 1'175
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