WESTERN HEMISPHERE BRIEF 108-75.4

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP86T00608R000300010010-8
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 17
• Document Creation Date: December 19, 2016
• Document Release Date: June 14, 2005
• Sequence Number: 10
• Publication Date: July 14, 1975
• Content Type: CABLE

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1. OAS: AN ORGANIZATION OF AMERICAN STATES CONFERENCE
WILL CONVENE IN SAN JOSE, COSTA RICA DURING WEEK OF JULY 14, 1975
TO REFINE DRAFT AMENDMENTS TO THE RIO TREATY. THE CONFERENCE
CONTINUES A TWO-YEAR EFFORT TO RESTRUCTURE THE INTER-AMERICAN
COMMUNITY .M
THE AMENDMENTS UNDER CONSIDERATION ARE RATHER MINOR AND
WOULD BECOME EFFECTIVE ONLY AFTER RATIFICATION BY TWO THIRDS
OF THE TREATY SIGNATORIES, A PROCESS THAT WILL PROBABLY TAKE
ABOUT TWO YEARS-y'
THEIR ACCEPTANCE WOULD, NEVERTHELESS, BE A VOTE OF
CONFIDENCE IN PAN-AMERICANISM AND DEMONSTRATE THE FACT THAT
THE OVERWHELMING MAJORITY OF LATIN GOVERNMENTS STILL VALUE
THE US SECURITY NUMBRELLA AND THE MECHANISMS FOR PEACEFUL
SETTLEMENT OF DISPUTES THAT THE RIO TREATY PROVIDES?Y
THE CONFERENCE MAY SEE A REVIVAL OF THE DISPUTE OVER
SANCTIONS AGAINST CUBA. SOME OF THE DELEGATES WILL WANT
TO DEVISE SOME FORMULA TO NEGATE THE SANCTIONS, WHILE. THE
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THE MORE VOCIFEROUS CRITICS OF THE US HABITUALLY DEPART
FROM THE STATED PURPOSES OF INTERNATIONAL CONFEREVCES TO
DRAW ATTENTION TO THEIR PAROCHIAL GRIEVANCES, PERU, PANAMA,
MEXICO, AND VENEZUELA ALL FALL INTO THIS CATEGORY. PRESIDENT'
LOPEZ OF COLOMBIA SUGGESTED IN AN INTERVIEW DURING WEEK OF
JULY 7, 111975 THAT, BECAUSE OF US CONGRESSIONAL EFFORTS TO
HALT FUNDING OF THE PANAMA TREATY TALKS, THE PANAMA PROBLEM
WOULD ECLIPSE DISCUSSION OF CUBA AT THE SAN JOSE MEETING.
ADAMANT ANTI-CASTRO GOVERNMENTS WILL BE WORKING TO PROLONG
THEM?V
2. //ARGENTINA: PRESIDENT MARIA ESTELA PERON ON
JULY 111 1975 YIELDED TO STRONG PRESSURE FROM MILITARY,
POLITICAL, AND LABOR LEADERS AND REMOVED HER CONTROVERSIAL
".iVISER, JOSE LOPEZ REGA, FROM HIS POSTS AS WELFARE MINISTER
AND PRESIDENTIAL PRIIVATE SECRETARY. SHE FAILED TO STRENGTHEN
HER POSITION, HOWEVER, SINCE SHE FILLED THE VACATED POSTS
WITH MEN IDENTIFIED WITH HIM.//
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//THE PRESIDENT'S NEW PRIVATE SECRETARY HAS BEEN IN THE
OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENCY, WHERE HE REPORTEDLY HAS BEEN CLOSELY
ASSOCIATED WITH LOPEZ REGA.//Y
//THE WELFARE MINISTRY WILL BE TAKEN OVER BY A FORMER
PRIVATE SECRETARY TO LOPEZ REGA WHO HAS BEEN THE SECOND-RANKING
OFFICIAL OF THE MINISTRY. THESE APPOINTMENTS MAKE IT LIKELY
THAT LOPE Z REGA WILL CONTINUE TO EXERT CONSIDERABLE INFLUENCE
OVER THE PRESIDENT.//Y
//MRS. PERON HAS ALSO RETAINED ECONOMY MINISTER RODRIGO,
A LOPEZ REGA PROTEGE AND THE OBJECT OF BITTER CRITICISM FOR
HIS ATTEMPT TO IMPLEMENT AUSTERITY MEASURES. IN SHUFFLING
HER EIGHT-MEMBER CABINET, SHE RETAINED AT LEAST FOUR MINISTERS
WHO ARE SAID TO BE LINKED TO LOPEZ REGA.//Y
//IT WILL BE DIFFICULT, IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE, FOR THE
PRESIDENT TO CONVINCE THE MANY OPPONENTS OF LOPEZ REGA THAT
HE DOES NOT IN FACT STILL PULL THE STRINGS. THE PRESSURE TO
GET RID OF HIM, AND POSSIBLY FOR HIS EXILE, WILL CONTINUE-
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1. ISRAEL-LEBANON: ISRAELI AIRCRAFT ATTACKED A FEDAYEEN
BASE NEAR THE COASTAL CITY OF SIDON IN SOUTHERN LEBANON ON
SUNDAY. THE BASE, WHICH HAS BEEN ATTACKED PREVIOUSLY, IS
IN OR NEAR AYN AL HILWEH, THE LARGEST PALESTINIAN CAMP IN
LEBANON. THIS WAS THE SECOND RAID ON GUERRILLA BASES IN
LEBANON SINCE THE TERRORIST BOMBING TEN DAYS AGO THAT KILLED
14 PE6PLE IN JERUSALEM. PRELIMINARY PRESS*REPORTS INDICATE
AT LEAST FOUR PERSONS WERE KILLED AND MORE THAN 20 WERE
WOUNDED IN THE RAID. AN ISRAELI SPOKESMAN STATED THAT
THE TARGET OF THE RAID WAS A TERRORIST WORKSHOP NEAR SIDON
THAT WAS PRODUCING WAR MATERIAL.
2. ISRAEL: SOME OF ISRAEL'S SMALL LEFTIST PARTIES
AND GROUPINGS HAVE TAKEN A NUMBER OF STEPS IN THE PAST
FEW MONTHS TO BROADEN THEIR POPULAR SUPPORT AND IMPROVE
THEIR POLITICAL CLOUT IN THE KNESSET.Y
ONE RESULT OF THIS MOVEMENT ON THE LEFT WAS THE
FORMATION LAST MAY OF A NEW POLITICAL PARTY, THE MOVEMENT
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TOWARD POLITICAL CH/,40"E, DEMOCRATIC SOCIETY,., AND CITIZENS
,RIGHTS--COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS YAAD. THE BACKERS OF THE
NEW GROUPING HOPE TO USE IT AS THE NUCLEUS FOR A BROAD, LEFT-
OF-CENTER COALITION THAT WOULD OFFER A VIABLE ALTERNATIVE TO
ISRAEL'S PRESENT LABOR-LED COALITION GOVERNMENT-'I'
FOUR POLITICAL GROUPS COMBINED TO FORM YAAD:
--SHULAMIT ALONI'S CITIZENS RIGHTS MOVEMENTS,
ITSELF FORMED BARELY TWO YEARS AGO;
--THE GROUP LED BY ARYE ELIAV--A KNESSET MEMBER
.WHO RECENTLY BORKE AWAY FROM THE LABOR PARTY;
--S'ME MEMBERS OF THE LABOR PARTY'S CIRCLE FOR
THE STUDY OF SOCIAL AND POLITICAL ISSUES;
-?-SOME MEMBERS OF THE SHINUI MOVEMENT, THE ONLY
SURVIVOR OF THE NUMBEROUS PROTEST MOVEMENTS
THAT SPRANG UP IN THE WAKE OF THE OCTOBER 1973
4' ,
WAR.
MEANWHILE, ON THE EXTREME LEFT, THE SMALLER OF
ISRAEL'S TWO COMMUNIST PARTIES, MAKI, SHIFTED SLIGHTLY
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MERGED WITH THE'LEFTIST MOKED PARTY IN LATE JUNE. THIS-LEAVES
THE LARGELY ARAB, PRO-MOSCOW RAKAH, WITH ITS FOUR KNESSET
LATE 1977.
DEPUTIES, AS ISRAEL'S SOLE COMMUNIST PARTY.Y
NONE OF THESE MOVES HAS VISAELY STRENGTHENED THE
ISRAELI LEFT NOR ARE THEY L.T.KELY TO CHANGE ISRAEL'S
POLITICAL LINE-UP, WHICH IS DOMINATED BY PRIME MINISTER*
RABIN'S LABOR PARTY AND THE RIGHTIST LIKUD BLOC. YAAD
CONTROLS ONLY FOUR OF THE 120 KNESSET SEATS AND MOKED ONLY.
ONE. IN FACT, THE MERGERS HAVE DISILLUSIONED A SIZABLE
NUMBER OF SUPPORTERS OF THE CITIZENS RIGHTS MOVEMENT AND
MAKI WHO STRONGLY OPPOSED THE DISSOLUTION OF THESE GROUPS.
WHATEVER NEW ADHERENTS MAY BE FOUND, ESPECIALLY BY YAAD,
ARE LIKELY TO BE DRAWN FROM BACKERS OF THE RULING LABOR
.ALIGNNMENT AND FROM AMONG YOUNG UNAFFILIATED VOTERS. IF
YAAD SURaVIVES, THIS COULD COST THE ALIGNMENT SOME VOTES
IN THE NEXT NATIONAL ELECTION--PRESENTLY SCHEDULED FOR
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3. ANGOLA: SHARP FIGHTING HAS BROKEN OUT AGAIN IN
LUANDA BETWEEN FORCES OF THE POPULAR MOVEMENT FOR THE
LIBERATION OF ANGOLA AND THE NATIONAL FRONT FOR THE
LIBERATION OF ANGOLA, THE TERRITORY'S TWO LARGEST NATIONALIST
GROUPS. THERE HAS BEEN EXTENSIVE USE OF MORTARS, ROCKETS,
AND HEAVY MACHINE GUNIS . Y
THE POPULAR MOVEMENT APPEARS TO HAVE INITIATED THE
VIOLENCE AND IS CONCENTRATING ITS ATTACKS A;AINST NATIONAL
FRONT BUILDINGS AND INSTALLATIONS IN THE CIT''- SOME OF
THESE SITES APPARENTLY HAVE FALLEN, THEREBY WEAKENING THE
NATIONAL FRONT'S MILITARY P~?:ESENCE IN LUAT1321NDA . Y
THE LAST ROUND OF HEAVY FIGHTING IN LATE MAY AND
EARLY JUNE LEFT THE POPULAR MOVEMENT IN A STRONG POSITION
BETWEEN LUANDA AND NATIONAL FRONT AREAS IN NORTHERN ANGOLA.
SINCE THEN, THE POPULAR MOVEMENT PAS SEVERELY LIMITED THE
NATIONAL FRONT'S ACCESS TO THE CITY, AND THE LATTER IS
PROBABLY SHORT OF SUPPLIES AND AMMUNITION. PORTUGU3ESE
FORCES SEEN TO BE IN EVIDENCE THROUGHOUT LL) ]A~1DA, BUT ARE
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UNTIL THE VIOLENCE BEGAN TUESDAY NIGHT, ANGOLA HAD BEEN
RELATIVELY CALM SINCE THE HEADS OF THE THREE NATIONALIST GROUPS
MET IN KENYA IN MID-JUNE AND SIGNED AN "AGREEMENT" TO EAST
TENSIONS. OCCASIONAL SKIRMISHES HAVE TAKEN PLACE IN RURAL
AREAS OUTSIDE LUANDA, BUT NONE HAS ESCALATED INTO A MAJOR CLASH-
FIGHTING IN THESE AREAS COULD NOT INTENSIFY, IN REACTION TO
DEVELWPMENTS IN LUANDA.M
4. ETHIUOPIA: GENERAL TEFERI BANTE, CHAIRMAN OF THE RULING
PUROVISIONAL MILITARY COUNCIL, YESTERDAY ANNOUNCED THE FORMA-
TION'OF ETHIOIOPIA'S FIRST POLITICAL PARTY IN MODERN HISTORY.
HE STATED THAT THE PARTY, TO BE GUIDED BY THE GOALS OF
"ETHIOPIAN SOCIALISM," WILL TAKE OVER THE ADMINISTRATION OF
THE COUNTRY AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. A PROCLAMATION DELINEATING
THE'PARTY'S FUNCTIONS IS APPARENTLY BEING DRAFTED.
THE MILITARY COUNCIL'S CREATION OF THE NEW PARTY REPRESENTS
ITS LATEST MOVE TO IMPLEMENT THE 11110-POINT PROGRAM, ISSUED
LAST DECEMBER, TO TRANSFORM ETHIOPIA INTO A SOCIALIST STATE.
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THE COUNCIL RECENTLY NATIONALIZED ALL MORTGAGE COMPANIES;
BANKS, AND 14 INSURANCE COMPANIES.
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1- PORTUGAL: THE PORTUGUESE REVOLUTIONARY COUNCIL ACCEPTED
THE SOCIALIST PARTY'S WITHDRAWAL FROM THE COALITION GOVERNMENT,
FOLLOWING AN ALL-NIGHT SESSION ON FRIDAY. IT CALLED ON PRIME
MINISTER GONCALVES TO REPLACE THE SOCIALISTS AS SOON AS POSSIBLE
WITH INDIVIDUALS WHO WILL "PLACE NATIONAL INTEREST ABOVE PARTY
INTEREST."4'
PORTUGUESE TROOPS WERE ON STAND-BY ALERT SATURDAY TO GUARD
AGAINST WHAT THE REVOLUTIONARY COUNCIL CALLED THE POSSIBLE
EXPLOITATION OF THE SOCIALIST WALKOUT BY "REACTIONARY FORCES -"
THE ALERT-LIFTED SUNDAY-DID NOT AFFECT A DEMONS TRA T'10 N IN
NORTHERN PORTUGAL BY 10,000 CATHOLICS PROTESTING THE MILITARY
GOVERNMENT'S REFUSAL TO FORCE LEFTIST WORKERS TO GIVE UP
THE CHURCH-OWNED RADIO STATION-Y
GONCALVES CANCELED HIS PLANS TO ATTEND THE INDEPENDENCE
CEREMONIES OF THE AFRICAN ISLANDS OF SAO TOME AND PRIN'::LPE OVE Fi THE
UEEKEND. HE PRESUMABLY CHOSE TO WORK ON SELECTING
REPLACEMENTS FOR THE JUSTICE MINISTER AND THE FIVE SGC.tAL]:S"f
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UITHDRAWAL A DIVISIVE ACTION INTENDED TO 'S?ET UP A NEW
COALITION OF RIGHT-WING FORCES." ONE PARTY ALLIED WITH THE
COMMUNISTS HAS CALLED FOR DISSOLUTION OF THE CONSTITUTENT
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2. PORTUGAL-USSR: THE FIRST PORT CALL BY A PORTUGUESE NAVY
SHIP TO THE SOVIET UNION WILL TAKE PLACE BETWEEN SEPTEMBER 9 AND 151
WHEN THE TRAINING SHIP SAGRES, A THREE-MASTED SAILING VESSEL,
VISITS LENINGRAD. THE INVITATION WAS SAID TO HAVE BEEN EXTENDED
BY THE SOVIET AMBASSADOR IN LISBON TO A "HIGH OFFICIAL,"
PRESUMABLY PRIME r INISTER GONCALVES, RATHER THAN THROUGH NORMAL
PROTOCOL CHANNELS. WHILE THE VISIT IS OPPOSED BY MOST NAVAL
OFFICERS, INCLJDING CHIEF OF STAFF ADMIRAL PINHEIRO DE AZEVEDO,
PRESSURE FROM LEFTIST OFFICERS, AND GONCALVES HAS FORCED THEM
TO ACQUIENSE. A RECIPROCAL VISIT BY A SOVIET WARSHIP WOULD
PRESIJn.aBLY FOLLOW. THE ISSUE IS )RIVING STILL ANOTHER WEDGE
BE TW=EN L'_r TTSTS .',HD i'O9E MODERATE Oi F.iCER IN THE NAVY, ".S "._CL
AS 7 HE ;"LING REVOLUTIONARY COUNCIL.
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2. KOREA: A SOUTH KOREAN SHORE .,'AT T ER ON JULY i:?', F I~',iD
WARNING SHOTS AT NORTH KOREAN FISHING 3OATS OPERATING IN T;1~=
YELLOW SEA . AN A ?1NOUNCEMENT BY THE DEFENSE MINISTRY IN SEOUL
STATED THAT A FISHING BOAT APPROACHED TO WITHIN TWO MILES OF
THE ISLAND OF PAEN?IGNYONG-DO BEFORE THE SHOTS WERE FIRED .Y
THE ANNOUNCEMENT CLAIMED THAT FIVE NORTHERN GUNBOATS -
ESCORTED THE FISHING BOAT AI,AY FROM TH.: :I:.`.;I_AP?1D. =OI.1L ,-i?M
THE ACTIVITY A DELIBERATE ATTEMPT BY PYONGYANG f(, T7-ST X "';'CH
KOREA ,'1 ALERTNESS IN THE AREA, AND PLANS TO LODGE A
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