TRENDS IN COMMUNIST PROPAGANDA

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CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7
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RIPPUB
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C
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22
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November 11, 2016
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March 18, 1999
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6
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Publication Date: 
February 5, 1975
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REPORT
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CIA-RDP86TOQ608 Rb002001700f~6-7 i ,> ? ~ , 'rends ~nCc~nnmunast ,PrQ a ~anda h ~ s .. i ,_ Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 ~onfidentiai F~is TRENDS In Communist Propaganda confidential 5 FEBRUARY 1975 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R00@y?~i,Q,1 ~;aQ96~, 5~ Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 'I'liis propa}Canila analysis report is based exclusively un urrtcrial carried in foreign bruaclrlst ;acct press media. It is published by FBIS without coordination with other U.ti, (;uvernment components. Classified by 000073 Subject to Gerte~al Declassification Schedule of E.O. 11652, Automatically Declossified Two Yoars From Date of Issuo National Security Information Unauthorized disclosure subject ro criminal sanctions Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 Approved For Release 1999/0~~~,~~E~~,~~tDP86T00~08F~,000~200170006-7 5 FEB12UA12Y 1975 CONTENTS USSR, Syria Set Geneva Deadline, Egypt Fails to Endorse. 1 USSR-Rgypt Statement, Ambiguous on Brezhnev-Sadat "Fxchange". 3 Gromyko Refers to Palestinian "State," Meets PLO L'e.ader. 6 USSR-PORTUGAL Moscow Cites Lisbon Denial That USSR Sought Port Facilities 8 VIETNAM DRV First Secretary Le Duan Speaks on 45th Party Anniversary 9 Peking Ignores DRV Diplomatic Relations Anniversary. 12 MEXICO Moscow, Havana Blame "Rightists" for CP Member`s Death 14 NOTES U.S.-Soviet Relations; Moscow on Portuguese Developments 16 Moscow, Peking Broadcast Statistics. ~ . Approved For Release 1999/~~6~DE~~I~A~DP86T00608R000200170006-7 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 CONFIDEN'PIAL FBIS 'i'RENllS 5 FEBRUARY 1975 G ROMP KO f?9 I DEAST V I S I T Soviet Foreign Minister Gromyko's current visits to Damascus artd Cairo clearly seem to reflect Moscow's continuing cor-r,ern to assure thac the United States does not play the sole dtplomar:rc role in efforts toward an Arab-Israeli settlement. Tt -!s noY:~t- worthy that Gromyko's trip to Cairo was r-ot announced by TAS;.~ until 26 January (the Damascus visit was announced on the 29';h), after Israeli Foreign Minister A_lon's l7 January announceme:~t in Washington that Secretary Kissinger would be poying anot!:er visit to the area. This follows the pattern last year, whc~~i. Gromyko made visits to Cairo and Damascus in late February~rarly March and to Damascus twice in May during the Secretary's rli.sengage- ment talks in the area.~ti The omission of Baghdad--the third capital on Brezhnev's postponed Mideast tour--from Gromyko's itinf:ra2.y further underscores the fact that the visit was connecter.4 with the Arab-Israeli iss~ie. Gromyko's Damascus visit was notable for the first speciricat:ion-- frota either Moscow or Damascus--of a deadline for the resumption of the Geneva conference no later than the end of February or beginning of March. Cairo failed to support this deadline, the point Soviet- Egyptian statement calling only for "immediate resumption" of the talks. Egypt did renew its March 1974 endorsement of Soviet partici- pation in all aspects and stages of a Mideast settlement including in "~11 working committees" of the Geneva conference, Gromyko'S Cairo talks apparently did not resolve bilateral issues; the point statement ambiguously noted the importance of an unspecified "exchange of views" between as-Sadat and Brezhnev on "most important aspects" of bilatera?. relations. While Cairo media reported President as-Sadat and Gromyko as saying that Brezhnev's Mideast trip would be rescheduled, no confirmation of this has been received from Soviet media thus far. USSR, SYRIA SET GENEVA DEADLINE, EGYPT FAILS TO ENDORSE Moscow has been pressing in recent weeks for a return to the Geneva conference, at the same time sniping at U.S. diplomatic efforts to bring about new "phased agreements" between Israel and Arab states. * Gromyko visited Damascus last year on a split tr::p on 27 Febr.uary- 1 March and 5-7 March, interrupted by talks in Cairo 1-5 March, while Secretary Kissinger was also in the region. He paid two more visits to Damascus in May, also meeting Secretary Kissinger in Cyprus on 7 May and in Damascus on 25 May. Approved For Release 1999/~~~~~I~'RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 CONFIllIsN'1'IAL IBIS TRL'NI)S 5 FEBRUARY 1975 Now, in tl~e 3 February Soviet-Syrian statement on Gromyko's Damascus talks, both sides have gone on record for the first time in setting a time frame for reconvening the Geneva conference, urging that it be resumed "immediately, in any case not later than February-begirming of March," For its part, Damascus had previously joined with Moscow in a 27 September 1974 statement-- issued after a two-day visit by 1'r.esident al-Asad to Moscow while en roue to North Korea--stressing the "necessity of resuming the Geneva Mideast peace conference at the earliest date." An earlier series of joint Soviet-Syrian conununiques, issued during Gromyko's three visits to Damascus last spring, had omitted any mention of tli'~' Geneva conference, reflecting Syria's reluctance at that time to commit itself to attendance at the conference. GROMYKO S'iATEMENTS Both in his Cairo arrival remarks and in his Cairo banquet speech ran the 3d Gromyko urged resumption of the Geneva talks at the earliest late. He called it necess:~.ry for "all who can make a contribution" to settlement of the problem to sit at a conference table, and, in what appeared to be a swipe at Secretary Kissinger's negotiating efforts, he added that "considerat?ons of sheer prestige and the more so vanity should be brushed aside." He professed .*.o be pleased to see that "on this question, just as on many others," tine Egyptian and Soviet views coincide, "if we see Egypt's position corr.ectly." The MENA version of Gromyko's statement omitted Gromyko's understanding of a coincidence of views--the only MENA variation from the TA5S account of the speech. SOVIET-EGYPTIAN STATEPIENT Cairo declined to endorse the Soviet- Syrian deadline for resumption of the Geneva talks. The joint statement instead advocated "immediate" resumption, in line with the calls for "early" or "earliest" resumption in the December and October 1974 statements on Fahmi's Moscow visits. As in the December communique, the sides expressed the view that the Geneva conference was the most suitable forum for discussing all aspects of a Mideast settlement. The Eg}?ptian side reaffirmed its view on "importance and necessity" of Soviet participation in all stages of. a Mideast settlement, including participation in all working organs which might be set up at the Geneva conference. An identical statement in the 5 Marcli 1974 communique on Gromyko's last visit to Egypt had been attributed to both sides. Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 Approved For Release 1999/09/ ? C~~~,~~,~86T00608R000200170006-7 ~~NF FBIS TItE'Jns 5 F~BrunRx 1975 SADAT REMARKS As-Sadat has frequently expressed his acceptance of both the Soviet call for resuming the Ceneva talks and the U.S. "advocacy of a step-by-step solution," remaining evasive on the date when "we will all go to Geneva." Speaking to journalists on 4 February after leis meeting with Gromyko, he again balanced his remarlcs. He said he was loolcing forward to Brezhnev's visit and then, responda.ng to a question, eaid ho welcomed Dr. Kissinger's visi~:, adding that "we maintain the best of relations with the two big powers," and are always ready to hold discussions with them. He said he had discussed the Mideast problem frankly "with my friend Gromyko," and remarkad that "the international momentum is slow and speed is a must." iie disagreed with the term "partial steps" since, he said, it was interpreted as if Egypt were preparing to conclude a partial agreement with Israel, when it was "urgent" that Israel t~ithdr4~a on all three fronts. In support of the Geneva talks, as-Sadat recalled that "I was the first to call for convening the Geneva conference," and added everything concerning peace would be agreed on there. As-Sadat has mentioned no specific date for resumption of the Geneva *_alks, but in a 2 February meeting with Egyptian journalists and information officials, he indicated that he regarded the expiration of the UN Disengagement Observer Force mandate on the Golan Front at the end of i~iay as the critical period. "Unless the situation changes before this date," he said, the situation might become "explosive," and he called on the United States--"the one which can influence Israel"--to "make a quick decision in this connection." USSR-EGYPT S?AT6MENT AMBIGUOUS ON BRE7J-INEV-SADAT "EXCHANGE~~ The joint statement on Gromyko's 3-5 February visit to Cairo, taken with as-Sadat's rer.~arks on matters to be discussed during Brezhnev's "coming" visit to Cairo, seem to suggest that problems in bilateral relations remain. Ho~;aever, the statement did not specify a meeting between the two. It ;seemed deliberately ambiguous in saying that as-Sadat and Gromyko, in discussing bilateral relations, "stressed the great importance of the exchange of opinions" between Brezhnev and as-Sadat "on the most important questions of these relations." The statement thus left it unclear whether such an exchange had already occurred or was still pending. Soviet media thus far have not mentioned, much less conf firmed, than. Brezhnev's Middle East visit is to be rescheduled; statements by as-Sadat and Gromyko to the effect were reported by Cairo media. Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 CONFIDENTIAL FBI5 TRENllS 5 FEBP.L'A1;Y 1975 lioscow has provided virtually nothing_in the way oL- upbeat coverage of Gromyko's Cairo visit, the first in almost a year, other than Y.o note that in the final. Fahmi-Gromyko talks on the 4th the foreign ministers expressed "complete satisfaction" with the "exchange of views" on bilateral relations and lcey issues of the Piideast situation. T~:SS' brief report on Gromylco's four-hour meeting with as-Sadat on the 4tlt said the conversation took place in a "businessl.ilce and friendly" atmosphere--the same characterization used in the joint statement--and the two "thoroughly discussed the state" of bilateral relations. In contrast, TASS' 2 February account of Gromylco's "warm and friendly" conversation with Syrian President al-Asad had said they expressed "satisfaction" with the progress of Soviet-Syrian relations. TASS said Gromyko and as-Sadat "exchanged opinions" on the complex and tense Mideast situation; in Damascus, Gromyko and al-Asad gave "much consideration" to this issue, and al_-Asad expressed appreciation for the role of the USSR "which renders all-round assistance" to the Arabs. SADAT, GROMYKO REMARKS TASS gave no indication that as-Sadat ON BREZHNEV VISIT and Gromyko had met with journalists after their talk; Cairo radio and ;iENA reports cited as-Sadat as telling reporters that political, economic and military subjects had been surveyed and "I believe tae are starting a ne~?~ page" in Soviet-Egyptian relations on a "realistic" basis. Foreshadowing the phrase in the joint statement on a summit-level exchange of opinions, as-Sadat said that di~cu~sion of "certain topics" had been completed "after reaching an under- standing and a decision" on them and "other topics" would be discussed "during Brezhnev's coming visit to Cairo." Gror..yko affirmed, according to the P4ENA account, that Brezhnev's visit "would take place shortly," but said the date would be set later. Asked whether Brezhnev's Cairo visit would precede or follow hip visit to the United ~tates, Gromyko said that had not been decided: "Brezhnev's visit to the United States is scheduled, and its date will be fixed later." The Cairo radio report cited Gromyko as calling the talks "extremely useful and constructive." He also mentioned discussion of bilateral cooperation "particularly in the political and economic spheres, and military cooperation between the two countries"--seemingly relegating the military aspect to second place. The joint statement on the visit, as reported by Moscow's domestic service on the 5th, did not specify military subjects in noting that questions concerning further development of relations in the "political, trade, economic, and other fields" were discussed. Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 CONFIDENTIAL FBIS TRENllS i FEBRUARY 1975 FAHMI-GROMYKO TALKS Prior to Gromylco's meeting with as-Sadat, remarks by Gromylco and Foreign Minister Fahmi had indicated that their talks had not ironed out Sovi.et- Egyptian differences. PI~NA reported Gromyko as saying, at the end of the first session of talics on the 3d, that they were held in a "constructive" atmosphere (TABS described them as "warm and :Friendly") and dealt with "one topic--a review of certain problems" in Soviet-Egyptian relations, with attention centered on the 1`lideast situation "within this framework." Gr~~mylco added that one meeting was not- enough to deal in depth with "practical matters concerning what steps can be taken or discussed." In his banquet speech on the 3d Gromyxo in effect acknowledged Soviet-Egyptian differences, observing that "any setbacks, blemishes in our relations" pleased those who from the beginning did not want friendly Soviet-Egyptian relations to develop. He asserted that the two countries "must be guided by their own interests," which he termed inseparable from the broader interests of the struggle for toor.ld peace. In reporting Foreign ??inister Fahmi's banquet speech, TABS pointedly deleted his reference to Arab military strength, citing him as saying that the Axab countries had to "strengthen their forces in all fields''---Fahmi here added "and particularly to double their defensive capacity"--to be able to deter aggression. TABS did report Fahmi as saying that Egypt wanted the USSR to have an effective role in supporting the Arab cause, but omitted his statement that in talics in Moscow, including the 26 llecember meeting with Brezhnev, "I was careful tv underline this point." Nor did TASS include Fahmi's statement that as-Sadat, in defining the basis of Egyptian policy, had said that Cairo was "quite prepared to establish the best relations with the Soviet Union." SOVIET-EGYPTIAN TREATY Perhaps in an implicit rejoinder to recent remarks by President as-Sadat about the 1971 Soviet-Egyptian treaty, Gromyko mentioned the treaty both in his arrival remarks, ~.s reported by PRAVDA on the 14th, and in his Cairo banquet speech, when he termed it of "special significance" since the "high level" of Soviet- Egyptian relations depended on it. TASS' report on the as-Sadat/Gromylco meeting also noted that the sides had resolved to "widen and deepen" their bilateral relatiions on the basis of the treaty. A reference to the treaty in this same context Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 CONFIllENTIAL FBIS TRL'LJDS 5 FEBRUARY 1975 also appeared in the point statement- on the visit as carried by Cairo media. While I?ioscow versions of the statement available thus far made no mention of the treaty, it presumably will appear in the text when published i.n PRAWA, fudging by similar Soviet media treatment of the same passage in the "announcement" on Fahmi's meeting with Brezhnev last October. In recent irit~rviews, as-Sadat has suggested some doubts about the effectiveness of the treaty. He was reported as saying in a 12 January ROSE AL-YUSUF interview that he expelled the Soviet experts in 1972 because the USSR had not L-ulfilled its obligation under Article 8 of the treaty, which refers to strengthening Egypt's "defense capacity." iJhen he was asked in his 20 January LE I~10NDE interview if he would denounce the treaty if Moscow did not deliver requested arms, as-Sadat said he "cannot rule out such a possibility, but it is very difficult to take a decision which would run counter to Egypt's interests and those of the Arab eTOrld generally." He would have to "reflect a great deal before taking such a decisive step," he said, adding that no other power was in a position to replace the USSR :in this sphere but that "nevertheless, my patience has limits." Asked again, in a French TV interview reported by I?fENA on 27 January, whether he had lost the "strategic reserve" represented by the treaty, as-Sadat replied that this had not happened "yet," and said the treaty was "still effective and absolutely no change occurred in this regard." GROMYKO REFERS TO PALESTINIAN ~~STATE," MEETS PLO LEADEF~ Previous Soviet leadership usage of various formulations acknow- ledging Soviet support for some forn- of Palestinian "statehood" (gosudarstvennost') since September 1974 suggests that little special importance should be attached to Gromyko's reference to a Palestinian "state" (gosudarstvo) in his dinner speech at Damascus, reported by PRAVDA on the 3d. Gromyko made the first known reference by a top Soviet official to "state" in affirming Moscow's support of legitimate Palestinian rights, "in keeping with their national aspirations right up ~o the establishment of a state of their own." However, Podgornyy, in an 8 September 1974 speech, had made the first Soviet elite reference to some form of Palestinian "statehood," and Moscow since then has used, inter- changeably, a variety of formulations that reveal no particular pattern. Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 Approved For Release 1999/09/2~aN~l~{~Q~86T00608~~i0~~~~0006-7 5 FEI3RUARY 1975 Tt seems doubtf:u.1 Moscow assigns much significance to or draws any distinction among the various formulations, having once gone on record in support of some sort of Palestinian entity. Brezhnev followed up Pod~ornyy by stating in an 11 October speech that i t was necessary to satisfy the 1'alestini ans' right to their own "national home" (ochag). Since then, Soviet comment has used statehood and national home, separately or together, and has also used such expressions as "nationa 1 entity" and "national authority," while some TASS English reports have cited Egyptian officials and Palestinian leaders on the question of a Palestinian "state." As an exampla of Moscow's inconsistency or this matter, TASS' 4 February report on Gromylco's Cairo dinner speech cited him as referring to the Palestinians' right to statehood; a Pioscow Arabic-language report on the same speech said Gromyko had expressed Soviet support for the Palestinians' right to establish their "national authority" (as-sultah al-wataniyah). Still another variation appeared in the Soviet-Egyptian s~atement, which referred to Palestinian national rights including their right to self-determination and "their own national home." Curiously, the Soviet-Syrian statement made no mention of any Palestinian entity, merely advocating assurance of Palestinian "national rights." GROMYKO-'ARAFP,T MEETING Gromyko again met with Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) chairman 'Arafat ~~hile in llamascu~, as he had during his trips to the area last year. A Moscow domes tic service report on the "warm and friendly" talk on 2 February said particular attention was devoted to the problem of safeguarding the Palestinians' legitimate national rights and their rights to self-determination and statehood. The report indicated that one topic of discussion was the question of PLO participation in the Geneva peace conference, Gromyko calling for attendance of "a PLO representative" with "the full rights of a delegation." No mention was made of 'Arafat's position. The final statements on Gromyko's visits in both pamascus and Cairo called for PLO representation at Geneva. Suggestive of PLO footdragging on this issue, an P.rabic - language commentary broadcast by Moscow on the 4th asserted tha t "Geneva alone will provide the PLO the opportunity to participate in efforts to achieve a Mideast settlement," warning that Israe 1 "aims to exclude the PLO" from these efforts. Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 CONFIDENTIAL FBIS TRT;NAS 5 FEBRUAI?Y 1975 USSR-PORTUGAL MOSCOW CITES LISBON DENIAL THAT USSR SOUGHT PORT FACILITIES Moscow media have reported the Portuguese Foreign Ministry's denial that the USSR had asked Portugal to provide port facilities for the Soviet fishing fleet. But the wording of the Ivloscow media report:; and differences between Moscow Radio and TASS accou^ts hsve left some confusion as to whether the issue in contention is the use of port facilities or a more permanent establishment of "bases" for the Soviet fishing fleet. I~ioscow Radio on 2 February briefly reported the Portuguese Foreign Ministry's denial that the USSR had asked permission for its fishing fleet "to call at Portuguese ports." Coming two days after initial Western press agency reports of such a Soviet request, the terse, two-sentence Moscow Radio item avoided any attribution to the Soviet government while noting that the Portuguese Foreign Ministry had described the reports as "totally unfounded." Moscow Radio's account of the Portuguese Foreign Ministry denial was carried in several of :its African and European broadcasts at midday and on the evening of the 2d. TASS did not carry the Portuguese denial until the 4th, when its English service trans- mitted essentially the same report, although the TASS account stated that "allegations" by the Western news agencies suggested the USSR was asking for "bases" for its fishing boats. Moscow refrained from commenting directly on Western press s pe;.ulation concerning the alleged Soviet request until the 4th, when TASS com'nentator V. Goncharov ridiculed the New York TIMES :~isbon correspondent for reaching the "wise" conclusion that there exists a "Soviet threat" to the NATO states. While citing the Portuguese Foreign Ministry's denial that t'he USSR had requested "bases for its fishing vessels," Goncharov pointed out that it was normal practice for Soviet fishing boats to use "the services of many foreign ports" to replenish fresh water and food supplies and sometimes make repairs." Arguing that this is a "generally accepted practice of long st~.nding," Goncharov maintained that it has "never occurred to anyone to make a sensation out cif this." Iie concluded that in light of the Fortuguese denial, the "provocative campaign" by the "American" media has "failed miserably." Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 Approved For Release 1999/09/26~~~~~86T00608F~~Q~J2~050006-7 S FEBRUARY 1975 VIETP~Af~I DRV FIRST' SECRETARY LE DUAN SPEAKS ON 45TH PARTY ANNIVERSARY The 45th anniversary of the Vietnam Workers Party (VWP) on 3 February was marked in standard fashion by a Hanoi meeting at which First Secretary Le Duan delivered the main address. The first secretary's address was most notable for its detailed recounting of the importance of political struggle in the Vietnamese revolution. In outlining conditions for a settlement in South. Vietnam, he called for a new Saigon regime, but stopped short of recent PRG and authoritative Hanoi pronouncements demanding the overthrow of President Thieu. In discussing party tasks for the coming year, the first secretary maintained Hanoi's silence on the party's long- delayed fourth party congress, suggesting that North Vietnam is stj.ll not prepared to set a date for the national party gath~?ring,~' The party anniversary is the first of the DRV's long-heralded "three major anniversaries" to be celebrated in 1975, and will be followed by the 85th anniversary of Ho Chi M~.nh's birth, on 19 May, ~Znd the 30th anniversary of the founding of the DRV, on 2 September. F.s in the case of previous quinquennial anniversaries, the party landmark was observed with emulation campaigns, editorial comment, and the publication of a revised party history. Le Duan had also addressed the 40th anniversary meeting in 1970, and 10 days later North Vietnamese media publicized a major article by the first secretary marking the anniversary, describing the work as a "very important and very basic documen~." The traditional Hanoi meeting prompted the turnout of the entire North Vietnamese Politburo, with the usual exception of Pham Hung who has not been reported by the media to ha~~e been in North Vietnam since 1967. The Politburo similarly appeared in full force at the 1970 anniversary meeting, except for Le Duc Tho ?~aho was in Paris fo r a French Communist Party congress. Politburo member Truong Chinh gave the brief opening and dosing remarks at this year's meeting-- a task assumed five years ago by DRV President Ton Duc Thang, who, this year, was merely listed in the presidium of the meeting. * The Third VWP congress in September 1960 was preceded by more than a year of reports of provincial preparations and other publicity. Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 CONFII)LN'1'lAL F]ilS 'i'RI:Nll5 5 FLI3RUARY 1975 LE UUAN SPEECH Keeping to the general outline of his anniversary speech ir. 1970, Le lluan devoted the greater part of 1-is remarks to summarizing the "revolutionary" achievements in Vietnam since the inception of the party in .1930. In this context, he dwelt upon the tactics of political struggle and the historical lessons to be drawn from their use in the 1945 August Revolution, While Le Duan did nit directly link these tactics of the past to the present-day situation in the South, his implication is clear that they would be. equally effective now and should be used g9ven tY~e proper opportunity. Le Duan noted that the VW1' had always employed violence to obtain its revolutionary goals, but pointed out that this did not imply that only armed struggle was invo)ved. According to Le Duan, the party "from the outset attached paramount importance to political struggles, to building a 'mass political army' of the revolution ." Terming the August Revolution "a general insurrection ingeniously combining political struggle with armed struggle," he argued that its development in Hanoi, llue, aiad Saigon was the consequence, n:~t only of armed struggle in the countryside, but the result of hav~.ng thrown "all of the political and armed forces into do-or-die at*_acks on the nerve centers of the enemy trl the cities and t~~~~ns." i~ithout utilizing these tactics, Le Duan claimed that a "unique opportunity" would have been lost. It is unclear whether Le Duan's historical discussion reflects his current views on strategy in South Vietnam, but it is notable that an historical passage in his 1970 party anniversary speech see?._a, in retrospect, to have been related to his views on the strategy to be pursued then, In the 1970 speech he gave unusual attention to the party's "flexible" tactics in dealing w?.th Nationalist Chinese and French forces in 1946--involving temporary "reconcilia- tion" with first one and then tlic other to gain time to prepare for the resistance war. His historical allusion then--three years before the Paris peace agreement--could well have reflected his s?ipport for Hanoi's policy of seeking an agreement short of the final communist goals, in order to remove U..ri. forces and gain a respite in the struggle in South Vietnam. Le Duan's discussion of the situation in `'mouth Vietnam, in his current speech, did not include the strident demands that have become standard since the 8 October 1974 PRG statement. The 1:'RG statement--focusing on. the reec? to overthrow Thieu "and his gazlg" before there can be negotiations for d settlement--has been recalled in recent authoritative DRV comment, including that ~n til:' anniversary CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 CON1~ iULN'1'IAL 1~IlIS 'I'RLNll.3 5 I~LIIRUAI~Y 1975 of the Marta peace agreement. While nt one point lauding the Souci'~ Vietnamese urban struggle to overthrow the "clique of laclcnvs," Le Duan's remarks on a settlement seemed ~.o be couched in deliberately moderate tones when he said: A ::omplete end to TJ. S. involvement and inter- ference, and the formation in Saigoi: of a new administration standing for peace and nat:Lonal ccnicord and scrupulously applying the PariA agreement, consttrute at present important conditions for reaching a settle- menL? of the South Vietnam issue. Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 CONI?IDLN'PIAL Fll'LS TRENDS 5 FLI3RUARY 1975 PEIti The fact that NCNA did not carry Chiao Kuan-hug's message is not: unusual. Peking over the past year has given such PRC leader's messages limited publicity, us ual_.y restricting coverage to broad- casts beamed to a particular country. Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 CONFIDENTIAL FBIS TRENDS 5 FEBRUARY 1975 of the establishment of PRC relations with other close socialist allies the DPRK and Romania. Last October NINA similarly reported celebrations that month cn the 25th anniversaries of PRC-DPRK relations and of PRC-Romanian relations. NCNA reported receptions hosted by the DPRK and the Romanian ambaESadora in Peking, and by Chinese ambassadors in the respective capitals and it highlighted remarks testifying to close unity and friendly relations. PEKING ON VWP The Central Committee message and the PEOPLE'S ANNIVERSARY DAILY editorial on the 3 February VWP anniver- sary reaffirmed the usual testimonials to Sine-Vietnamese solidarity. Sine-Vietnamese friendship was sai: to be based on the principles of Marxism-Leninism and proletarian in L-ernationalism and able to stand any teat; the founding role of Ho Chi Minh and Mao Tse-tung in establishing Sino-Vietnamese ties was duly noted; and Peking promised continued resolute support for their allies' struggle. Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 CONFIDENTIAL FIIIS TRENDS 5 FL']iRUARY 1975 MEXICO 1~10SCGW, HAVANA Bl~4ME "RIrHTISTS" FOR CP MEI~ER ~S DEATH Soviet and Cuban media have protested the death--announced on 5 January--of long-time Mexican Communist Party (PCM) member llilarl.o Moreno while in Mexican police custody and the incarcer- ation of other PCM members. Moscow and llavana have shown caution in treating the Mexican incident and have followed the lead of the PCM in blaming Moreno's death on "rightist forces" said to have infiltrated the police, rather than on the government of President Luis Echeverria, whom Fidel Castro recently described as the "Mexican president who has been most friendly with Cuba" since the success of Castro's revolu *_ion in 1959. The Soviet and Cuban reactions in the Mexican case contrast sharply with their wholesale condemnation of the Guatemalan Government following the recent death of Guatemalan Communist Party chief Humberto Alvarado.* TREATMENT OF lluring the early years after Castro came to ADMINISTRATION power, relations between Cuba and Mexico, the only OAS member which never broke diplomatic ties with the Castro regime, often were formall y correct rather than o~arm. However, conununist media characterizations of Mexico have become more flattering since the 1970 inauguration of Luis Echeverria, whose Third World-style politics and dialogue with leftists iu his counl-ry have won a considerable measure of approval from Moscow and llavana. The PCM, a Moscow-line party, also backs the president's foreign policy, although still occasionally chastising him for an "antipopular" approach in maintaining tight control over domestic politics. In the past few months Echeverria's "firm" posture toward the United States has been given special attention, PRAVDA noting on 23 October 1974 that his border meeting with President Ford demonstrated the iviexican president's determination to "uphold an independent line." Mexico's increasingly critical attitude toward the Chilean regime also was praised, and on ::7 November, Cuban comr,Rentator David Nunez Segura touted Mexico's rupture of relations with Chile as "an important contribution to moral uprightness." Mexican support for the lifting of OAS sanctions * For a discussion of the response to Alvaradu's death, see the TRENDS of 31 December 1974, pages 23-24. CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 CONFIDENTIAL FBIS TRENllS S FEBRUARY 7.975 against Cuba won further accolades from communist officialdom, and, on 10 Jaz-uary during a visit to Cuba by a Mexica:z delegation led by Mrs. Echeverria, Castro told reporters that Lcheverria was Mexico's "most progressive chief of stat~.e" since 1940 and "the moat friendly toward Cuba " PCM A potential test of these close relations was EVENTS by L-he arrest of PCM activists Hilario Moreno andJided Eusebio Martinez on 29 December last year and the subsequent announcement by the Mexican police that Moreno had committed suicide in his cell and that the PGM was implicated in a plot to subvert central American governments. Further complicating matters was the later arrest of at leaPh one PCM leader and oilier leftists in connection with a series of bombings which leave been 'variously attributed to guerrilla groups and to rightwing elements in league with the CIA. In an 18 January PRAVDA article--Moscow's only public response to the recent events--writer K. Kurin views the incidents as a "campaign of provocat9on" by reactionaries and imperialists seeming to "goad the official authorities to anticommunist aci.ions." Izi phraseology typical of Moscow's treatment of left--of-center Latin governments, the writer asserted that Mexico's "secret police" had used the "absurd pretext" of a suppose-3 plot to strike against the PCM and the "constructive foreign policy of President Luis Echeverria." Kurin played down the death of Moreno--noting only that the police had "alleged" suicide--possibly because the Mexican government had already appointed "an observer of the presidency" to monitor the continuing investigation of the death. P:sNSA LATINA reports, like PRAVDA, have avoided direct criticism of tl~e Nierican government and have viewed the events as a "provocatory campaign" of "anticommunist slander" that has been denounced by the country's leaders. Thus, on 17 January the Cuban agency reported that Mexico's ruling Institutional Revolutionary Party had "backed the PCM demand" tha*_ the police end their "persecution" of communists. Going a step further than Moscow, Havana quoted Mexican sources who associated the CIA with the "persecution," noting on the 23d that the Mexican socialist party had described recent events as "an escalation started by the CIA to drive the country into a situation of violence." CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 CpNFIllENT;[AL FB'L5 T1.i,ENllS 5 FEB1tunltY 1975 NOTES U.S.-SOVIET RELATIONS: Soviet comment in the walce of Mosco~~'s cancellation of the 1972. U.S.-Soviet trade agreement has included sporadic hints of retaliatj.on against the "discriminatory" U.S. trade bill. At the same time, the cormnent has continued to stress the desirability of U.S.-Soviet detente, and there have also been references to Brezltnev's scheduled trip to the United States this year. According to a 1 February Budapest radio report, PR.AVDA's authoritative political commentator Yuriy Zhukov in a receni. Moscow TV talk cited Brezhnev's scheduled LT .S. trip as, like the Vladivostok summit, a significant step in consolidating detente. And a 25 January PRAVDA report of President Ford's meeting with a group of yo!~ng Soviet journalists included his statement that he expected Brezhnev to visit the United States this summer. Zhu'.cov's Moscow TV talk also reportedly included a remark that in view of the cancellation of the trade agreement, "the Soviet Union was not paying, among other things, the Lend-Lease debts outstanding from World filar II." As has happened occasionally in the past, Zhukov's talk apparently was not reported by the Moscow radio or press. His statement on Lend-Lase had been foreshadowed in an 18 January IZVESTIYA commentary by Bovin, which had implied that the compromise reached ors this issue in the 1972 trade agreement was no longer operative. Bovin had also hinted that the present moment would be propitious for West Europe to intensify its econpmic cooperation with the Soviet Union, a hint that was reinfozced in NEW TIMES on the 24th and IZVESTIYA on the 28th, both of which cited American publications for the conjecture that the U.S. trade bill would lead the USSR to transfer its orders from *_ile United States to other ~destern countries. Implied criticis*.i of the trade bill by President Ford in his 21 January press conference was noted in several commentaries that buttressed Moscow's demand for a revision of the bill's objectionably features. Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 CONFIll);NTIAL~ FBIS '.L'R)N!)S 5 F);BR.UARX 1975 MOSCOW ON PORTUGUESE DEVELOPMENTS: Moscow has continued its relatively low-Iceyed and selective reporting of recent events in Portugal at a time of heightening tension prior to the scheduled constituent assembly elections. Two constant Moscow themes suggest that "reaction" has not yet g:?.ven up in its attempts to reverse the gains of the past nine months and that all "progressive" forces must fight to continue their unity with the Armed Forces Movement (MTA). Moscow has reported the increasing difficulties between the Portuguese Communist Party (PCP) and the Socialist Party (FSP) and has cited PCP statements on the alleged "movement to the right" by PSP leaders. But Moscow has not acknowledged the recent strong attacks by Socialist leader and Foreign Minister Soares linlcing the PCP to the Soviet Union. Similarly, Soviet media have generally ignored the charges by the PSP and ethers that the Communist Party has "conspiratorial" plans to carry out a coup in Portugal. Instead, Moscow has reiterated PCP leader Cunhal's urgings that the socialists and communists cooperate and remain united with MFA in order to advance the "demo- cratization" of Portugal. Thus, typically, TASS on 1 February reported that the situation in Lisbon was "tranquil" following the agreement by the PCP and PSP to cancel their planned demonstrations at the r.?equest of the PEA and the "fiasco" of the attempt by "left extremists and reactionaries" to cause disturbances in Lisbon. At the same time, Moscow has issued its usual swipes at NATO for its "concerns" over the situation in Portugal and Spain, with a TASS summary of a 4 February PRAVDA article asserting that the current NATO naval maneuvers reflect the concerns of the NATO "strategiF:.s" over the outcome of the upcoming elections in Portugal a:~d the development of the "democratic struggle in Spain." Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7 FBZS TRI:NUs 5 F>;BRi1ARY 1975 - i - APPENDIY. MOSCOW, POKING BROADCAST STATISTICS 27 JANUARY - 2 F>;BP.UARY 197 5 Moscow (2602 items) l Peking (847 items China (9%) 5% , Fourth National (57 %) 7% Gromyko in Syria (--) 4% People's Congress Salyut 4 Flight (2%) 4% Vietnam (1/) ? 5/ Tenth Indian CP (--) 3% [Paris Peace (1%) 3%] Congress USSR-DRV Diplomatic (--) 3% Accord Second Anniversary Relations 25th Anni- Angola Independence (4 %) 4% versary [Chou Greetings (--) 3%] Vietnam Paris Peace (--) 2% Gambia Foreign Minister (--) 3% Accorc: Second Anni- versary Nj ie in PRC These statistics are based on the voicecast commentary output of the Moscow and Peking domestic and international radio services. The term "commentary" is used to denote the lengthy item-radio talk, speech, press article or editorial, govern- cnent or party statement, or diplomatic note. Items of extensive reportage are counted as commentaries. Topics and events given major attention in terms of volume are not always discussed in the body of the Trends. Some may have been covered in prior issues; in other cases the propaganda content may be routine or of minor significance. Approved For Release 1999/09/26 :CIA-RDP86T00608R000200170006-7