BACKGROUND FOR YOUR 12 MAY MEETING WITH PFIAB

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP86R00893R000100090023-7
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 2
• Document Creation Date: January 4, 2017
• Document Release Date: April 25, 2008
• Sequence Number: 23
• Publication Date: May 10, 1982
• Content Type: MEMO

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- Approved For Release 2008/04/29 : CIA-RDP86R00893R000100090023-7
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SP - 75/82
10 May 1982
Copy
MEMORANDUM FOR: Director of Central Intelligence
Deputy Director of Central Intelligence
THROUGH: Chairman, National Intelligence Council
FROM: National Intelligence Officer for Strategic Programs
SUBJECT: Background for your 12 May Meeting with PFIAB
Meetings with Foster Task Force
1. Wayne Boring, Rae Hufstuttler, and I met with PFIAB's Strategic
and Military Task Force chaired by Dr. John Foster, on 22 February, to
discuss recent trends in Soviet military developments. Those present
included Cherne, Flax, Foster, and Moorer. We discussed Soviet strategic
force trends, drawing heavily on the NIE 11-3/8-81 then in draft. We
also discussed in a general way Soviet conventional force developments.
They were particularly interested in the Yellow Rain issue, and we referred
them to the just-completed NIE for a coherent treatment of the evidence
and judgments. The Foster task force was looking for areas they would
recommend to the President for greater emphasis in intelligence efforts,
but there were no obvious candidates as a result of this meeting.
Joint Net Assessment Report
2. The Joint Net Assessment report (by DCI and Secretary of Defense)
is being drafted, but progress has been slow. It had been anticipated that
the report would follow shortly (1-2 months) after NIE 11-3/8-81 was
completed (Volume I, the Key Judgments, was distributed several weeks ago;
Volumes II and III will be distributed early this week). Andy Marshall
and Harry Rowen met recently to discuss the report and plan the drafting
of the concluding section containing the judgments. The other chapters
are still in early draft form and leave a lot to be desired.
3. I believe it will take at least two more months to complete this
report, and I do not expect it to be nearly as satisfying a product as this
year's NIE 11-3/8.
WARNING NOTICE
SENSITIVE INTELLIGENCE SOURCES
ANn McTNOnS INVOLVED
- Approved For Release 2008/04/29 : CIA-RDP86ROO893R000100090023-7
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Approved For Release 2008/04/29 : CIA-RDP86R00893R000100090023-7
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