SUCCESSION TO KHOMEINI

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP86M00886R001300180008-4
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: December 21, 2016
• Document Release Date: November 21, 2008
• Sequence Number: 8
• Publication Date: August 16, 1984
• Content Type: MEMO

Approved For Release 2008/11/21 : CIA-RDP86M00886R001300180008-4
The Deputy Director of' Central Intelligence
Approved For Release 2008/11/21 : CIA-RDP86M00886RO01300180008-4
 Approved For Release 2008/11/21 : CIA-RDP86M00886R001300180008-4
.
THE DIRECTOR OF=
I
CENTRAL, NTELLIGEN
National Intelligence Council
Wr+g
NOTE FOR: DCI
11
16 August 1984
Attached is the aper on the succession to
Khomeini. It was p epared by DDI and has been
coordinated throug my office and the DDO.
As I mentioned
very brief ter
greater depth and
on the prospects
you earlier, this paper covers
s what we plan to cover in much
detail in a forthcoming estimate
r Iran. Drafting of that paper
1 1 September. This paper
sic issues in the interim.
sues to be covered in the
ticular importance. I would
will not begin untli
should cover the b
The longer range i
estimate are of pa
like to explore the
at that time as wel
inside and outside
pressure or influenc
in Afghanistan obvio
here.
opposition in greater detail
as assess Soviet assets--both
an--which can be used either to
Iran. The Soviet presence
sly plays a significant role
In my view, the sin
the Gulf war is that i
is long term and geopol
Persian Iran and Arab I
domination of the Persia
le most important aspect of
represents a struggle that
itical in nature between
aq. This rivalry for
form regardless of whethe
de facto ceasefire.
Gulf will continue in some
the war winds down into a
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Iq
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