CONFERENCE ON EASTERN EUROPE S FINANCIAL AND ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP86M00886R000800020027-6
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: December 21, 2016
• Document Release Date: November 18, 2008
• Sequence Number: 27
• Publication Date: March 7, 1984
• Content Type: MEMO

Approved For Release 2008/11/18: CIA-RDP86M00886R000800020027-6
DDI- 0 ( -011
7 March 1984
MEMORANDUM FOR: Director of Central Intelligence
THROUGH Deputy Director for Intelligence
STAT FROM:
Director, Office of European Analysis
SUBJECT Conference on Eastern Europe's Financial and
Economic Outlook
1. The East European Division of this Office and the Office
of Soviet and East European Affairs at the Department of Commerce
have organized a conference on Eastern Europe's economic and
financial outlook to be held at Airlie House in Warrenton,
Virginia. Approximately 30 knowledgeable bankers, businessmen,
academic specialists, and government officials have agreed to
participate in the discussion.
2. The conference will begin with a reception and dinner on
Wednesday, 21 March, and will last until early afternoon Friday,
23 March (see attached agenda). You are cordially invited to
attend any or all portions of the conference.
STAT
Accept:
Attachment:
as stated
Director of Central Intelligence
1.4/ Wiliam J. cagily
19 MAR 19e4
Director of Central Intelligence
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Preliminary Agenda
East European Economic and Financial Prospects
Sponsored by the US Department of Commerce and
the Central Intelligence Agency
21 - 23 March 1984
Airlie House
Warrenton, Virginia
Wednesday, 21 March
4:30 - 6:00 PM Arrival and registration
6:00 PM Cocktails and dinner
Keynote Speech:
Thursday, 22 March
9:00 AM Welcome and introductory remarks
9:15 - 12:00 East European Convertible Currency Prospects
Current financial situation and outlook;
creditworthiness; lending attitudes of Western
banks and governments; rescheduling experience
and debt management.
Proposed panelists:
Gabriel Eichler, Bank of America
Donald Green_ ChacA Manhattan Bank
2:00 - 5:00 PM Adjustment Measures and Growth Potential
Adjustments to financial constraints--policies
and impact on domestic economies, future
economic policy options; short term
adjustments vs. systetic reforms; role of IMF.
Proposed anelists:
Jan Various, arfon Econometric Forecasting
Associates;
Paul Marer, Indiana University;
Elizabeth Goldstein, Federal Reserve Bank of
New York; and
Thomas Wolf, Ohio State University
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7:30 - 9:00 Group Discussions
1. East European-Soviet Economic Relations
Proposed panelists:
Ed Hewett Institution
2. 'What East European Prospects Mean for the
West
Proposed panelists:
Guenter Black, Deutsche Bank
Friday, 23 March
8:30
- 10:15 AM Outlook for Trade
10:30
Impact of adjustment meas
earnings capabilities; Ea
competitiveness, changes
trade; countertrade.
Proposed panelists:
John Garland, University
Alan Lenz, Department of
Representatives of the ba
communities
- 12:30 Issues and Options for We
Fi
ur
st
in
of
Co
nk
st
es on hard currency
European
the direction of
Kansas
mmerce
ing and business
ern Governments
12:30
nancia Instutions and
Proposed panelists;
John Hardt, Library of Co
Richard Portes, Center fo
Research, London
US Government Representati
- 1:30 Lunch and departure
B
ng
r
v
usiness
ress
Economic Policy
es
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