KGB

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CIA-RDP86M00886R000700200001-5
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June 8, 1984
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MEMO
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Approved For Release 2008/08/14: CIA-RDP86M00886R000700200001-5 Approved For Release 2008/08/14: CIA-RDP86M00886R000700200001-5 Approved For Release 2008/08/14: CIA-RDP86M00886R000700200001-5 EXECUTIVE SECRETARIAT ROUTING SLIP j Approved For Release 2008/08/14: CIA-RDP86M00886R000700200001-5 Approved For Release 2008/08/14: CIA-RDP86M00886R000700200001-5 SECRET 8 June 1984 MEMORANDUM FOR: Deputy.Director for Intelligence FROM: Director of Central Intelligence SUBJECT: KGB c xecu i':e r +is?ry 84. .2b59 1. Pursuant to our discussion this morning, I'd like to ask for drafts of two statements. One would be on what we face in the KGB and the satellite agency that it controls. That subject is dealt with quite well in an article which I attach by Donald Jameson writing in the Strategic Review of Winter 1983. I also at ac an intelligence report on the Cuban apparatus. I would like group and the NIO?to see what they can add in additional and updated information as well as any additional ideas. The basic theme of this statement was expressed in a report I sent to the President in January from which I extract the following: Special Activities CIA is the organization in the free world most capable of following and dealing effectively with the enormous apparatus for propaganda, political destabilization and insurgency.which is in place around the world through the combined and coordinated efforts of the KGB, some 70 non-governing communist parties, the many peace and friendship organi- zations directed from Moscow, plus the associated and coordinated capabilities of the East German, Cuban, Polish, Czechoslovakian and Bulgarian and other hostile intelligence services as well as the people to people movements sponsored by their governments. Add it all together and it's awesome and skillfully directed. Based on the best available information, our conservative estimate of the current overseas personnel strength of major hostile intelligence services totals nearly 7,500. The Soviet Union alone has an estimated 4,500 intelligence personnel overseas with the surrogate services of Eastern Europe accounting for 1,500 more, and the Chinese 1,400. In support of these operatives roaming the world are additional thousands at their respective head- quarters components. A recent study of Castro's propaganda apparatus shows tiny Cuba, with its ten million people and impoverished economy, running a news service operating 36 offices around the world, transmitting stories in four languages, and publishing a variety of magazines and news periodicals that are disseminated to readers in numerous Western and Third World nations. Cuba's broadcast facilities include eight transmitters on the island and two transmitters in the Soviet Union. Shortwave broadcasting alone exceeds 400 hours weekly in eight languages to Europe, Africa, and the Western Hemisphere, Cuba sponsors 113 friend- ship organizations throughout the world, not to mention sophisticated 25X1 25X1 G Approved For Release 2008/08/14: CIA-RDP86M00886R000700200001-5 Approved For Release 2008/08/14: CIA-RDP86M00886R000700200001-5 JtLKtI cultural institutions, convention facilities, publishing houses turning out books and pamphlets distributed in more than 60 countries. The Salvadoran insurgents, with some 10,000 fighters and minimal popular support in their own small country, have some 60 representatives developing support and propaganda in other countries around the world. The Soviet Union has a much, though not proportionately, larger worldwide operation. As an example, it spends more money jamming US informational broadcasts than we spend originating and transmitting them. 2. The second thing I?want is an elaboration of the above in terms of propaganda, active measures, destabilization, and support of insurgents. You could also build and elaborate on the material under the heading "Soviet Domination in Covert Action" beginning on page 26 of the attached article on "The Clandestine Battlefield." William J. Casey Attachments: (1) Winter 1983 Strategic Review article, "The Clandestine Battlefield: Trenches and Trends," by Donald Jameson Approved For Release 2008/08/14: CIA-RDP86M00886R000700200001-5 Approved For Release 2008/08/14: CIA-RDP86M00886R000700200001-5 STRATEGIC REVIEW - WINTER 1983 UNITED STATES STRATEGIC INSTITUTE - WASHINGTON, THE CLANDESTINE BATTLEFIELD: TRENCHES AND TRENDS DONALD JAMESON C.) THE AUTHOR: Mr. Jameson is Vice President of Research. Associates International, Ltd., a risk-assessment and political analysis firm. Some years ago he retired from the Central Intelligence Agency, where he specialized in Soviet affairs during two decades of service. He has lectured widely on Soviet politics, history, culture and intelligence organiza- tions, and is the author of "Soviet Covert Action" in Intelli- gence Requirements for the 1980s, published by the Na- tional Strategy Information Center (1982). IN BRIEF The rise of Yuri Andropov and other KGB career officers to the peak of leadership in Moscow has placed a new spotlight on the question of comparative Soviet and U.S. capabilities in the critical arena of intelligence and covert operations. A "net assessment" of this arena is prohibited not only by paucity of available data but also by incomparables: e.g., those inherent in the KGB's role and sanctified status in Soviet society and policy and in the tightly closed shutters of the Soviet system. There is no question that in terms of sheer volume of intelligence harvest the Soviets, and the satel- lite services controlled by them, hold massive advantages over their Western counterparts. These advantages are redressed somewhat by U.S. proficiency in technical intelligence and, probably, by better analysis of the overall intelligence yield. As recent events have dramatized, however, the most pronounced Soviet edge lies in the area of covert action-an area in which, moreover, the United States still labors under self-inflicted damage. he remarkable ascent by Yuri Andropov from Chairman of the Committee on Security (KGB) to Central Committee Secretary and thence to General Secretary of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union (CPSU) has put new emphasis on some old questions regarding the real place of the KGB in Soviet society. The answer to the questions becomes somewhat obvious, at least in the cur- rent context, when we observe that in addition to Andropov a career KGB officer has now been promoted to First Deputy Premier and yet an- tL';nter .983 other to Minister of Internal Affairs. These de- velopments hold incalculable implications for Soviet evolution and for the future of the U.S.- Soviet relationship. In the first instance, how- ever, they direct attention to a particular arena of that relationship: the murky battlefield of intelligence and covert operations. The past four decades of U.S.-Soviet strug- gle have venerated many comparisons of 'burs" and "theirs": military power, economic strength, educational systems and even competence at basketball. Don Quixote was not the first to say u Approved For Release 2008/08/14: CIA-RDP86M00886R000700200001-5 I() Approved For Release 2008/08/14: CIA-RDP86M00886R000700200001-5 that comparisons are odious; nevertheless the temptation to make them endures.. In the field of intelligence, comparisons be- tween the Soviet services and those of the West have been adduced more or less as asides in books and articles devoted to particular cases or topics. Efforts at overall comparisons or "net assessments" are rare. Perhaps that is so be- cause many aspects of intelligence work in the United States and in the Soviet Union are simply incommensurable, and others require for an in- formed judgment data that, very probably, are beyond the reach of any one person anywhere. Before essaying a comparison, therefore, we must discuss the incomparable. Milieu and Missions of the KGB The Committee on State Security (KGB) of the Soviet Union comprises the Soviet equiva- lents, in large part, of the following organiza- tions in the United States: the Immigration Service, the Secret Service, the FBI, the investi- gative organs of state and local police systems, the military counter-intelligence and security services, large elements of NSA and much of the CIA. The KGB's missions include those of all of these U.S. organizations. Even this contrast misses the key point. The KGB is the "sword of the Revolution," the coer- cive force of last resort in the preservation and expansion of a vast imperial despotism. Stalin called the Communist Party machine the "gears" of the system. The KGB is the foundation upon which it rests. Besides Andropov and the Deputy Prime Minister, one full and one candidate member of the Politburo, the fourteen-man ruling body of the CPSU, and three of the top leaders of union republics have been career "chekisti," or- served in the equivalent elements of the Min- istry of Internal Affairs. Three Soviet Supreme Court justices in recent years have been ex-State Security officers, as have the deputy chairmen of the Chamber of Commerce and the Soviet office for the protection of copyrights and patents. There is no public discussion in the Soviet Union of the budget of the KGB, nor of its activi- ties, except for its own press handouts and sto- ries planted in Soviet journals by its own staff of writers and their friends. Foreign media critical of the KGB are not allowed in the Soviet Approved Union. Shortly after the passage of legislation restricting the CIA's scope of operation and the executive orders curbing the collection of in- formation on American citizens, the Soviet Union promulgated a law that made it the legal duty of all organizations and individuals in the USSR to fulfill any request of the representa- tives of the KGB or others engaged in investiga- tions. Although it is perhaps redundant in view of the other means of coercion available, this. law makes it a criminal offense to refuse to in- form on friends and relatives. Beyond the direct concerns of the KGB itself, there is the rest of Soviet society, in which every official act-indeed every notable event-is considered secret unless declassified. Fires in buildings, for example-even those in Moscow and witnessed by foreigners-have been classi- fied. The same applies to airplane crashes. Most ordinary government records are not avail- able to the public. Detailed budgets and popula- tion statistics and even good road maps are state secrets. Finally, there is the leadership of the Com- munist Party: the Politburo and its administra- tive staff, and the apparatus of the Central Com- mittee. The International Department of this staff directly runs many of the international front organizations and supervises Soviet in- volvement in terrorist and insurgent groups, in addition to communist parties around the world. The KGB is thus relieved of the task of manag- ing and funding these enormous organizations. Much of the horde of newspapers, magazines and radio stations that serve Soviet purposes around the world receives support that origi- nates with the Central Committee apparatus and wends its way through fronts, and fronts of fronts, to the groups and media at the end of the line. And in all of this the KGB plays only a monitoring role. Organization for Foreign Operations Within this huge machine, the KGB alone has some 500,000 members, most of them border guards. The majority of the rest are engaged in the domestic operations of the "Committee": seeking out foreign agents, harassing dissidents and religious believers, investigating major cases of bribery and embezzlement, checking on the military, etc. Only relatively few are dedicated to foreign operations: these are 7' Approved For Release 2008/08/14: CIA-RDP86M00886R000700200001-5 mainly in the First Chief Directorate, which di- rects the activities of agents abroad. The total personnel of the First Chief Directorate prob- ably numbers less than 10,000,.or 2 per cent of the whole. The First's efforts are supplemented, how- ever, by those of others. Within the KGB, per- sonnel of the Second Chief Directorate, which is basically dedicated to counter-intelligence, put much energy into the recruiting of for- eigners in the Soviet Union. Since' World War 11, French and Canadian ambassadors, among others, have been compromised; foreign news- men by the score have succumbed; tourists and businessmen by the hundreds have also felt the arm of the Second Chief Directorate. When such recruited foreign nationals leave the USSR, their direction is assumed by the First. The Fifth Chief Directorate, which deals with religious and political dissent, has also been involved in operations involving the coop- tion of foreigners. Beyond that, there is a direc- torate for communications intelligence, equiva- lent to a part of the U.S. National Security Agency (NSA). Finally, the GRU, the Chief In- telligence Directorate of the Soviet Armed Forces, conducts its own foreign operations, parallel to those of the KGB. The GRU alone is larger than any Western intelligence service ex- cept the CIA. When we add all this up, we can begin to grasp that the KGB is remarkably different from the CIA or other Western intelligence services. In the Soviet Union it is second only to the Communist Party in authority and has been hailed as the Party's political arm. It is not :sig- nificantly restrained by law, although the .`)o- viet passion for bureaucratic procedures (red tape in the U.S. vernacular) infests it along with the resC'of Soviet society. Critics of the KGB are usually jailed, often harassed, sometimes murdered and always silenced. The idea of a Soviet citizen bringing suit against the KGB for violation of civil rights is tantamount to subver- sion in the Soviet legal sense of the term. Soviet leaders, who boast decades of experi- ence in running the country, are always close to the KGB leadership and think in operational terms. Thus, Khrushchev played a direct, per- sonal role in building up the reputation of the recruited Canadian ambassador in the hope that, upon returning to Ottawa, the latter would receive a high post in the Foreign Ministry. Key "'tttter 1983 The Clandestine Battlefield Politburo members probably have a better knowledge of the KGB than any of the -non- career Directors of Central Intelligence in the United States have ever acquired of the CIA. More facts.could be cited, but the basic point is crystal-clear. The KGB is comparable to West- ern intelligence organizations in only a very limited way, even with respect to foreign opera- tions. The raccoon and the Kodiak bear may be related, but they are not of the same genus. Milieu and Missions of Western Intelligence Organizations Western intelligence organizations entered the postwar era with reputations of glamor and prestige derived from the exploits, real or fabri- cated, of the OSS and other derring-do out- fits. Even though it had little to do with in- ternal security, exercised no police powers and was entrusted with basically a defensive mis- sion, the CIA had elan under the directorships of Bedell Smith, Allen Dulles and John A. Mc- Cone-that is, from the Korean War to the end of the Kennedy Administration. In that early decade the CIA was an exciting environment, enjoyed high social status in Washington, disposed over ample treasure and suffused the capital with a sense of tough- minded dedication to enlightenment and patriot- ism. People were proud to be "there," and their friends envied them. On matters that really counted, however, CIA directors and their agency carried little political influence beyond immediate intelligence concerns. (My impres- sion is that CIA directors then-and since- rarely sought a larger role. In any event, they rarely played one. By way of contrast, note the ambitions and careers of Beriya, Shelepin and Andropov.) It is one of the sharper ironies of history that Soviet propagandists over the years have portrayed the CIA largely as the sinister octopus the KGB actually is, and in time much of the Western world has come to believe this deception. Intelligence Personnel East and West Tmman Eisenhower Administrations, many able and am- bitious men-and some women-were attracted to the Agency to serve with the OSS hold- overs, sharing with the latter pretty much the Approved For Release 2008/08/14: CIA-RDP86M00886R000700200001-5 s ti rb J! 4: I f :ill s 'I!s Approved For Release 2008/08/14: CIA-RDP86M00886R000700200001-5 same style .and background. There were few in either category, however, who had serious ex- perience in peacetime espionage and covert ac- tion operations. With the rapid expansion of the service in those days, many from both these "generations" rose quickly to senior positions, learning as they went. Continuity in the Soviet services was cur- tailed when Stalin killed off most of the great in- telligence officers from the Comintern genera- tion during the purges of the late 1930s. The CIA had no continuity to interrupt. Perhaps because of that lack of tradition and of an established place in society, the CIA used to be prone to self-advertisement, ultimately with tragic results. When the tide of public opinion turned against it, beginning in the late 1960s, its leaders were often ill-prepared to defend the Agency and themselves. Had the Agency stayed out of the limelight all along, the anti-CIA cam- paign might have exacted less disabling con- sequences. The visibility that the CIA acquired in the 1950s and 1960s made it a tempting target for the press and a focus for envy in some elements of the federal bureacracy that resented the large appropriations for, rapid promotions in, and glamorous reputation of the Agency. The con- sequences of the attacks were most obvious in the restrictions on operational activities that placed certain categories of people (e.g., clergy and journalists) beyond reach of recruitment or even discussion, marked certain countries off-limits for covert action and required a clear- ance procedure for others that virtually assured that any serious plans would be exposed in the press before their execution. Perhaps the most significant of the conse- quences, however, was in the change in person- nel. Many of the leaders of the preceding twenty years left the Agency in early retirement; others, to some degree, retired in place. The shift from accolade to opprobrium, from broad authority and confidence to rigid restrictions and bureaucratic management, made the game no longer worth playing. The extent of the ex- pertise as well as elan that left with that exodus is a question still to be reckoned. In the KGB, meanwhile, personnel procure- ment and training have followed a consistent pattern since the end of World War II. The Institute of International Affairs in Moscow, and from time to time other schools, have been the service academies for young, and usually well-connected, Soviet citizens aspiring to careers involving long assignments abroad in the diplomatic corps, foreign trade, journalism, the KGB, etc. Intensive area and language training has been part of this system since the beginning. Students are assessed during the five-year program by the organizations that ex- pect to hire them, and each is normally ear- marked by one of the organizations in his sec- ond year. The system provides a steady, consistent harvest of young talent for all its clients. The KGB's First Chief Directorate receives the cream of the crop: young men from the families of high officials who feel as part of a self-con- scious and self-perpetuating elite dedicated to strengthening the communist system-and en- joying the delights of the capitalist world while doing so. They are cynics, by and large, bereft of idealism, but loyal and capable in advancing the cause, not perhaps with the flare of a Rich- ard Sorge or an Ignatz Reiss, but effective never- theless. Strengths and Weaknesses: Technical Intelligence Having touched on the fundamental differ- ences and the qualities of personnel in the KGB and CIA, we come to the areas of intelligence activities that are comparable to an extent. Judging by what is openly said and printed on the subject, U.S. technology in the critical fields of overhead reconnaissance and signal interception remains superior to that of the So- viets. The commanding American lead in com- puters and micro-miniaturization, among other fields, should be reflected in image-enhance- ment, system reliability and many other key aspects of technical intelligence collection and analysis. In the Soviet Union the strong operational tradition of the Soviet services that has put such great emphasis on spies has, until recently, probably fostered a relative neglect of technical intelligence systems. The CIA (and other U.S. intelligence organizations) appear to have profited in this respect by their lack of experi- ence in agent-handling. Another goad for ad- vanced technical operations on the part of the United States has been the enormous difficulties involved in running spies in a totally controlled Approved For Release 2008/08/14: CIA-RDP86M00886R000700200001-5 2 Approved For Release 2008/08/14: CIA-RDP86M00886R000700200001-5 state such as the Soviet Union. Conversely, the very accessibility of the United States and West- ern Europe to conventional in telligence-gather- ing techniques may well have held back Soviet development of technical innovations. Relative Prowess in Analysis The other principal field in which U.S. intelli- gence agencies probably enjoy a lead is analysis. Again, Soviet tradition and continuity, com- bined with the abundance of fresh information available on the United States and its allies, apparently inhibit the development of refined analytical and estimative processes in the KGB -and even, it appears, in the Central Commit- tee apparatus. The Soviet managers are accus- tomed to demanding hard facts, preferably in documentary form? someone's informed guess about, say, developments in Washington is not nearly so interesting. The nature of the Soviet system is hostile to speculation, as well as to an objective weighing of the evidence. Prediction of the opponent's behavior, which is what esti- mating boils down to, seems to be the preroga- tive of Politburo members. In June 1941 Stalin had the facts concerning an impending German invasion, but he did not analyze them accurately. In 1967, the avail- able facts in Moscow apparently did not em- brace the possibility of a preemptive Israeli air strike against Egypt. The U.S. Government has thousands of analysts and estimators who are striving not only to foresee political and diplo- matic developments, but also to explore the possible significance of each scrap of technical data received. The Soviets obviously conduct technical analysis as well. Given the vastly greater amount of information on the U.S. sys- tem avail able to them than vice-versa, they must know more about us than we do about them. Yet,-in those cases-and they may be among the most crucial-where the hard information will take one only so far, the U.S. apparatus probably does a better job at extrapolating from the facts. The KGB lacked, and probably still does, an equivalent of the CIA's Intelligence Directorate, where the analysis and estimation are con- ducted. The First Chief Directorate receives reports from its agents, evaluates their reliabil- ity, writes them over in clear form and sends them off to the Central Committee and Polit- buro. ? 2Ric'r 1983 The Clandestine Battlefield Some have alleged that the task of political analysis is conducted in the Soviet Union by academic institutions such as the Institute for the Study of the United States and Canada and the Institute of World Economics and Interna- tional Politics. Those best informed among former Soviet officials known to this author maintain that the principal function of these in- stitutions is to assert influence in the outside world. While esteemed by the leadership as excellent channels for influencing foreigners, they are given scant attention as contributors to the formation of Soviet policy. The Inter-. national Department of the Central Committee staff, a group of perhaps two hundred people, is probably the focus of such political analysis as is carried on-that and the Foreign Ministry staff that does Gromyko's homework. Before leaving this topic, one must note that - tenure in office among the leaders of the Soviet Union is so much longer than it is in the United States or Western Europe-and the amount of time available really to focus on the issues each day is so much greater-that the Soviet com- mand level probably needs much less detailed briefing. They have learned the game over dec- ades, not years, and they do not need to be in- formed of the same thing over and over again. Agents in Place When we turn to clandestine operations- espionage, counterespionage and covert action -we come to a subject where the data neces- sary for an accurate assessment do not exist. Presumably nobody on either side knows how many agents of what quality both sides com- mand. We can talk about individual cases that have come to light, and we can compare sizes of effort to a degree, but we will never know (nor should we) how this part of the struggle is unfolding. In terms of numbers, the West is outmanned by large proportions. The total Soviet official presence in the United States amounts to some 1,200 people. Experience over the years has shown that something more than half of that total are intelligence officers in the KGB or the GRU-more numerous, by a substantial margin, than the FBI surveillance squads that keep track of them. In many other countries the same numbers, proportionately adjusted, apply. To this one must add the officers of satellite services Approved For Release 2008/08/14: CIA-RDP86M00886R000700200001-5 S Approved For Release 2008/08/14: CIA-RDP86M00886R000700200001-5 from Eastern Europe and Cuba: in the case of the United States, these would amount to on the order of 800. The total numbers thus look overwhelming-to both the local security ser- vices which must maintain tabs on the intruders and to the tiny bands in the Western services that try to run spies against the Soviet Union. This "legal" presence of overt Soviet officials, moreover, is supplemented by a cadre of "il- legals": Soviet intelligence officers who pose as natives of the countries in which they operate or of other benign, non-communist nations. Coun- ter-intelligence services never know even what to look for with respect to "illegals." Guesses by former Soviet intelligence personnel about the number of "illegals" infiltrated into the United States every year have ranged from ten upward. No accessible source has known the figure with any degree of accuracy, but it could be in the hundreds. If, as I presume, there are U.S. operational intelligence officers stationed in the USSR, their number at any given time must be less than one- hundredth of the number of Soviet intelli- gence personnel positioned in the United States. The U.S. officers may be one hundred times abler than their Soviet counterparts; neverthe- less the circumstances favor the latter. Soviet intelligence officers can move around Washing- ton at will, under only slight surveillance. In the Soviet Union the teams of watchers out- number the watched by as much as a thousand- to-one. Although each nation restricts the other's diplomatic personnel in travel, Soviet in- telligence officers on the U.N. staff in New York are hampered by no such limitations. But then the matter of travel restrictions for Western intelligence operators in Moscow may be somewhat academic, because they cannot .expect to carry on a meaningful conversation with a Soviet citizen without it being observed and action against the Soviet citizen being taken by the authorities. Recruitment of spies is ex- tremely difficult under these circumstances. Ac- tually, judging from the cases in which U.S. officials have been expelled from the USSR for serious reasons, our personnel there appear to serve only as communication links, relaying messages, films and other material to and from "dead drops- for agents who were recruited in other countries. Needless to say, the United States has no "illegals" in the Soviet Union to perform these types of missions. Add to all of this the secure base of the KGB, Moscow-untroubled by. investigative journal- ists, Congressional committees, Internal Reve- nue Service regulations, leaking bureaucrats, bank inspectors or TV paparazzi-and the in- herent advantages of the totalitarian state over a democracy in marshalling resources for clandes- tine operations become monumentally evident. The first article of the real, but unwritten, So- viet bill of rights is that nothing shall inhibit the state in the pursuit of its enemies, authentic or imagined. When a society sacrifices every- thing to state security, it certainly can make spying against itself more difficult. The con- sequences of this obsession with security need not be imagined; they are seen in the stultified life of the average Soviet citizen. The Pivotal Variable of Access The ultimate factor in the value of agent operations, however, is not numbers but access. As an agent, a colonel on the general staff may be worth a hundred, perhaps a thousand, pri-. vates. The CIA and British M16 shared such a colonel twenty years ago. If there is another colonel in harness today, I can see no evidence of it. The CIA also had coopted a Soviet Mili- tary Intelligence major as a spy, in the 1950s, as has been revealed in William Hood's recent book, Mole. Both these men were great sources of military, technical and political intelligence. Of a certainty, they were not the only agents of Western intelligence services in the USSR. Yet, Soviet intelligence coups in the United States in earlier periods clearly were more sig- nificant. The Assistant Secretary of the Trea- sury for International Affairs, an Assistant to the President and a senior official in the Depart- ment of State simultaneously working as Soviet spies make for quite a trio, and they were far from alone in that metier in Washington before and during World War II. All three were be- lievers in a communist world order. Since then, the Americans discovered to have been re- cruited as Soviet agents are of a different type. Every one of them sought money, some plied personal grudges or conceits, but none, it ap- pears, has cared about the World Revolution, the triumph of social justice, the defeat of im- perialism or other great causes. Nevertheless they have supplied Moscow at one time or an- other with the most sensitive documents on war Approved For Release 2008/08/14: CIA-RDP86M00886R000700200001-5 Approved For Release 2008/08/14: CIA-RDP86M00886R000700200001-5 plans and related matters for the defense of Eu- rope, data on the operations of the communi- cations interception and code-breaking efforts of NSA, performance specifications and tech- nical data on U.S. overhead reconnaissance vehicles, the identities of hundreds of CIA agents and personnel under cover, and many other subjects. A Systemic Soviet Weakness: Defection Judging by the available evidence, the great- est vulnerability of the Soviet security system to being breached is through the defection of Soviet officials and those from satellite coun- tries. The KGB probably has the best security in the world, but it cannot stop its officers abroad from deciding not to go home. Over the past thirty-plus years, KGB officers in important posts in other countries regularly have sought refuge in Western countries, mostly the United States and Britain. In addition, senior Soviet cfficials and diplomats, scientists and other major intelligence sources have changed sides, bringing with them a wealth of information. In the eyes of its secret agents, the Soviet Union may be a great place for which to spy, but not in which to live. Poor Colonel "Kim" Philby of the KGB must sometimes yearn for life again in a decently civilized society. The defection rate. of Soviet intelligence offi- cers and agents mirrors a broader vulnerability. Repression provokes resentment. The attrac- tion of a rich, open society for those from na- tions steeped in oppression and poverty is great, even among the oppressors themselves. In my opinion, the most cost-effective operational pro- gram the CIA could adopt now would be a better system for handling defectors, including im- provements in the long-term planning and assistance of new careers in the West. More problems are involved in defector handling than would appear to the inexperienced, but a more comprehensive, sustained program should yield high rewards. Albeit in the absence of precise knowledge, I suspect that on balance the Nest, and the CIA in particular, are not as far behind the Soviet opposition as the factors of numbers and en- vironments would indicate. The massive size of the Soviet efforts surely means a greater harvest of information, much of it undoubtedly of first-rate quality. Yet, in terms of the infor- The Clandestine Battlefield mation's utility to Soviet policymakers two prob- lems obtrude. First, if the analytical aspect of their work is (as I believe it to be) neglected, the full significance of much of the intelligence harvest may be lost through lack of adequate machinery to fit all the pieces of the puzzle to- gether and fathom their significance. Second, the very size of the effort may engender preoc- cupation with quantity of reporting, a curse in all intelligence-gathering organizations. Perhaps the better quality of Western intelligence analy- sis redresses somewhat the imbalance, but there is no question that in sheer volumes of relative intelligence flows the West is clearly outclassed. Allied Services: Cooperation Versus Control There remain two areas of intelligence opera- tions in which some comparisons can be made. The first of these is the use of allied or subservi- ent services. NATO and other international arrangements provide channels for liaison, co- operation and even joint operations between American and certain foreign intelligence or- ganizations. At times these relations have proved of great value, but they have always been between independent services, no matter how close the ties. The Soviet KGB, by contrast, runs the services of the Eastern European countries and Cuba directly as, in effect, separate branches of the KGB. Soviet officers sit in key positions; all major decisions are taken by the KGB. Thus, for example, a KGB general is the chief of the Cuban Direccion Ceneral de Intelligencia-an arrangement that adds greatly to the reach of the KGB. amazingly so in light of the record of twenty years, Cubans still tend to be regarded in much of the world as independent of So- viet control. They can approach targets for recruitment, without raising undue suspicion, in New York, Paris, Rio de Janeiro and many other parts of the world. The DGI's principal missions are not concerned with liberation wars, revolution or the Third World: rather, its central task is to garner military and political information on the United States, with the exact requirements written in Moscow and passed on to Cuba for Execution. Cuba does have some latitude in the type of support given to guerrilla groups, terrori :ts and the like in Latin America, but the men in \ioscow reserve ultimate author- ity for themsel es. fIt' d '?t'iutt'r 1983 Approved For Release 2008/08/14: CIA-RDP86M00886R000700200001-5 2-; Approved For Release 2008/08/14: CIA-RDP86M00886R000700200001-5 In 1981 a Polish intelligence officer was ar- rested in the United States for running a net en- gaged in stealing technical information in Cali- lornia. His mission was very helpful to the So- viet military, but had nothing really to offer his own country. Most recently we have witnessed the appal- ling spectacle of an attempt to kill the Pope under the direction of the Bulgarian service. The Bulgarians have experimented with cer- tain ingenious weapons for the covert assassina- tion of hapless emigres from their unhappy land, weapons that I suspect were designed in Moscow. Now we must face what so far the Western press, and Western governments, have avoided facing: namely that Sofia has no plausi- ble interest in killing the Pope, but Moscow surely does. The advantages of having a satel- lite willing, or compelled, to do the dirtiest work are substantial. Soviet Dominance in Covert Action Finally we come to the area where the So- viets, through the KGB and many other means, clearly surpass the CIA, all other parts of the U.S. Government, and equivalent institutions, public and private, in the Western world: the area of covert action. The Soviet regime began as a covert action operation, and it has continued to resort to that approach whenever possible. As E.H. Carr suggested in The Bolshevik Revolution, propa- ganda and other forms of opinion-influencing, most of them covert action in one form or an- other, probably saved the revolution from de- struction in its early days. The entire Soviet effort, from overt propaganda to the most subtle agent of influence, must cost much more than the entire budget of the CIA's Operations Direc- torate: the Soviet effort is estimated at about three billion dollars annually. If one includes all the outlays for USIA, Radio Liberty and Radio Free Europe along with the CIA funds for covert action (if there are any still), one could hardly find one billion dollars among them. The Soviet covert action program is not only the KGB's creature; in fact, the direction is mainly in the hands of the Central Committee's International Department, with the KGB as one of many instruments for its execution. The Central Committee directs and funds the front groups, and the broadcast and print media. The KGB infiltrates these organizations to use the opportunities they offer for contacting agents and targets for recruitment. It also monitors the personnel to identify hostile penetrations and other improprieties. In addition, the KGB runs a large stable of agents of influence, persons who can affect policy or opinion in their own countries, with- out their connection to the Soviets being per- ceived. Such agents are active in almost every country on the globe. Ministers, parliamen- tarians, military officers, writers, journalists, clergymen, businessmen and many others have served in the ranks of the covert fellow-trav- elers. Often the agent of influence is not re- quired to collect intelligence, but some in key positions have combined the two-functions. So- viet agents, for example, may have played criti- cal roles in the beginning of the war between Japan and the United States triggered at Pearl Harbor. As John Barron pointed out in the Sep- tember 1982 issue of Reader's Di t ges , giving names and instances, the current campaign for a nuclear freeze and the parallel movement for disarmament are significantly infiltrated by the KGB and manipulated through other Soviet channels. It is an effort, partly overt and partly clandestine, that is unique in history. The only comparable campaign was that waged by the Nazis in Europe before World War II. Fortu- nately their campaign was in the beginning stages when war cut it short. Open societies are not equipped to undertake programs of this scope. The United States did a fair job in countering some of the major prongs of the Soviet covert offensive until the late 1960s. Unfortunately, in 1967 the whole mechanism was exposed in the press, mainly by a magazine whose editor allegedly received financial support from Czechoslovakia. As a consequence, the effort to maintain organiza- tions to oppose the major communist fronts was abandoned. Since then Congressional op- position and a hostile press have rendered the recreation of such countering forces virtually impossible. The full complexity and ramifications of the Soviet covert action program would require far more space than is available here. One aspect, however, is worth a final note. Beginning with the attacks on the CIA in the 1960s, which are documented in Ladislav Bittman's book, The Deception Cattle, Soviet covert action. allied Approved For Release 2008/08/14: CIA-RDP86M00886R000700200001-5 Approved For Release 2008/08/14: CIA-RDP86M00886R000700200001-5 The Clandestine Battlefield with some critics of Western intelligence or- ganizations, has waged a disturbingly success- ful campaign against the CIA, the FBI and for- eign services in Canada, Australia, Great Britain and elsewhere. There have been coun- ter-exposures, of course, that have succeeded in making the threat of the KGB better understood in the West. It is noteworthy, however, that virtually all these efforts have been indepen- dent, non-governmental initiatives. In any event (and almost needless to say), the legal and operational restrictions that have been im- posed on Western services in the wake of the attacks on them have found no counterpart in limitations on the KGB and its subsidiaries. Comparative Capabilities in Perspective The KGB and its allied services represent an enormously more massive intelligence effort than that of the Western services. It is worth pointing out that Cuba, for example, hosts a larger intelligence establishment than does any European NATO power. The only area featur- ing an approximate equality of effort is in the acquisition of intelligence through technical means. The communist system is also weaker, but to an unknown degree, in the fields of in- telligence analysis and" estimation. In the operational aspect of intelligence work, the tradition of Soviet intelligence that goes back to thP Comintern and prerevolutionary un- derground political and terrorist organizations has led the Soviet Union to dedicate a much greater proportion of its resources to intelli- gence than would be acceptable in the West. The obsession of the totalitarian state with se- curity has also led to this hypertrophy of opera- tions and manpower which provides a uniquely protected base for the whole clandestine net- work:-Some commentators trace the origins of Soviet intelligence to the Tsarist Okhrana, but this is absurd when one looks at the revolu- tionary organs that emerged immediately after 1917. Leninist tradition places political conspiracy and other aspects of covert action at the front of techniques to solve any problem, domestic or foreign. From its inception the Soviet Union has relied on such methods to deceive, confuse and thus weaken its opponents in preference to seeking genuine ag-reement through negotia- tion. Marxism-Leninism is a universal creed, and the network of communist parties and al- lied organizations, combined with the secure base from which to operate, provide for the So- viet leadership a uniquely powerful and effec- tive apparatus for covert action in all its aspects. Despite the disparity in size and scope, West- ern organizations-some public, some private- have at times been able to counter certain Soviet actions effectively. The CIA used to run a pro- gram that limited the influence the Soviet Union has sought to assert, but much of the Western counter-effort appears to have been dissipated in the past twelve or so years. Admiral Bobby Inman, recently retired as a Deputy Director of Central Intelligence, esti- mates that since 1965 the United States intelli- gence effort has been reduced by 40 per cent. One factor in this decline clearly has been the attacks on the intelligence community and the ensuant restrictions placed upon it. The Agent Identities Protection Act of 1982 and the serious attention being given by Congress to revision of other hampering legislation provide hope that things may improve. Modification of the Tort Claims Act to provide better protection to government employees against damage suits for actions performed in their official capacities and the removal of certain categories of documents from those accessible under the Freedom of In- formation Act are among the goals of legisla- tive proposals now in Congress. These actions evince encouraging trends that may lead to the growth of a real concern among the voters that the cost to national security of weak intelli- gence organizations is too high to pay. Meanwhile, the greatest advantage of the West on the clandestine battlefield relates not so much to its own inherent capabilities as to the other side of the Soviet system's strength. To achieve the control it has established and must sustain in the interest of its survival, the Soviet leadership has stifled ambition, dedica- tion and idealism to the point where its own personnel-particularly those professionals with available windows to Western life-styles- pose the greatest danger to the system. Beyond that, the skills and experience ac- cumulated by Western intelligence services, not- withstanding past debilitations, should make it possible to maintain a level of awareness of So- viet intelligence operations sufficient to prevent truly vital damage to our security. The greatest threat they pose must, however, be constantly tVinter 1983 2r Approved For Release 2008/08/14: CIA-RDP86M00886R000700200001-5 'i Approved For Release 2008/08/14: CIA-RDP86M00886R000700200001-5 borne in mind: that is, a vast and able appa- ratus for clandestine action in all of its forms that is considered in Moscow the first echelon A NOTE ON SOURCES The best work available on the KGB is KGB by John Barron (New York: Reader's Digest Press, 1974). Bar- ron's articles in the March 1982, and September 1982, Reader's Digest on KGB illegals and covert action are parts of a forthcoming book on the Service. The closest Soviet equivalent is Ts.R.U. Protiv S.S.S.R. (CIA versus the USSR) by N.N. Yakovlev (Moscow: 1981), an interesting volume that makes wide use of almost everything written on the CIA in the United States in the past twenty years. Perhaps I missed them by reading too rapidly, but I found no references to the KGB anywhere in the book. Soviet Covert Action, Hearings before the Subcom- mittee on Oversight of the House Intelligence Com- mittee, February 6 and 19, 1980, is a most informative document. of attack and the first line of defense for an empire still dedicated to the goal of global hegemony. The Role of Cuba in International Terrorism and Subversion, Hearings before the Subcommittee on Se- curity and Terrorism of the Senate Judiciary Commit- tee, February 26, March 4, 11 and 12, 1982, is the best source I know on the Cubans. The five-volume series, Intelligence Requirements for the 1980's, edited by Roy Godson and published by the National Strategy Information Center, Inc., New York, is an indispensable source of fact and opinion on all aspects of intelligence work. The articles on Soviet Counterintelligence in Volume Three are of particular interest. My remarks in this article on Soviet covert action are largely a condensation of my contribution on the subject in Volume Four. 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