CHINA: INTERNATIONAL TRADE QUARTERLY REVIEW

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP86B00985R000300040005-1
• Release Decision: RIFPUB
• Original Classification: K
• Document Page Count: 40
• Document Creation Date: December 9, 2016
• Document Release Date: February 1, 2001
• Sequence Number: 5
• Publication Date: September 1, 1979
• Content Type: PERRPT

Natir A
delease 2001/03/06 : CIA-RDP86B00985R000300040005-1
Assessment
Center
China: International Trade
Quarterly Review
First Quarter, 1979
ER CIT 79-001
September 1979
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telease 2001/03/06 : CIA-RDP86B00985R000300040005-1
Assessment
Center
China: International Trade
Quarterly Review
First Quarter, 1979
Information available as of 7 September 1979
has been used in the preparation of this report.
Comments and queries on this unclassified report
are welcomed and may be directed to:
Director for Public Affairs
Central Intelligence Agency
Washington, D.C. 20505
[phone].
For information on obtaining additional copies,
see the inside of front cover.
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 I-fl
Approved FoRelease 2001/03/06 : CIA-RDP86B00985R000300040005-1
This is the first in a series of quarterly reports on
China's foreign trade that will replace the annual
publication, China: International Trade. It is intended
to provide a more up-to-date assessment of the rapidly
changing situation in China's foreign economic rela-
tions. This issue contains a short text discussing events
of current interest, tables highlighting trends in trade
through the first quarter of 1979, and an appendix
outlining the method used to estimate trade on a
quarterly basis. Future issues will update the basic
export and import tables and over the course of a year
will include all the commodity and balance-of-
payments data previously presented in the annual
publication.
The data in this report differ from those presented in
past reports in two important respects. First, because
the data are computerized the series will be automati-
cally updated as new information becomes available.
The most recent quarterly estimate is made with about
75 percent of trade having been actually reported and
thus can be expected to be adjusted somewhat in later
issues. Earlier quarters with much more complete
information are of course expected to change only
marginally.
A second difference is that the data are presented on a
merchandise trade basis, with both exports and im-
ports valued free-on-board (f.o.b.) at the port of origin.
Only an aggregate estimate of the cost-insurance-
freight (c.i.f.) value of imports will be presented
henceforth.
In July, China released aggregate export and import
statistics for the first time in two decades. As the
estimates presented here are based entirely on trading
partner statistics, the close agreement. between the
official figures and our estimates provides a valuable
check on the validity of the methods we used.
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Communist Countries
Communist Countries
Less Developed Countries
1970 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79
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China: International Trade
Quarterly Review
First Quarter 1979
China's post-Mao economic revitalization efforts are
clearly demonstrated by the country's trade expansion
in 1978. Our estimates indicate that exports (f.o.b.)
increased by 24 percent over 1977 to $10.0 billion
while imports (f.o.b.) surged by 56 percent to $10.3
billion. Part of these dollar value increases, perhaps as
much as 10 percentage points, is due to the depreci-
ation of the US dollar in 1978. Nevertheless the
increases in real terms are quite substantial and are
illustrative of Beijing's new outward looking economic
policy.
The surge in imports, particularly late in the year,
swung China's trade balance from a $1.5 billion
surplus in 1977 to a $255 million deficit last year. The
1977 surplus and a somewhat larger one in 1976 were
the result of Beijing's inability to formulate an active
development policy. While the surpluses allowed a
buildup in foreign exchange reserves, they represent a
considerable lost opportunity to import badly needed
capital equipment. In a major policy change, the Hua-
Deng administration rejected past emphasis on bal-
anced trade and allowed a sharp increase in imports.
The rapid shift from a $310 million surplus in the first
quarter of 1978 to a $520 million deficit in the fourth
quarter, nevertheless, gave rise to concerns among the
Chinese leadership. In addition to having to cover the
fourth-quarter deficit, the Chinese had obligated
themselves to approximately $600 million in down-
payments for plants ordered in the second half of 1978.
The trade balance moreover was moving even deeper
into the red in the first months of 1979. Exports were
off 7 percent in the first quarter to $2,820 million while
imports declined only marginally to $3,480 million
leaving a record $660 million deficit.
Reacting to the rapid foreign exchange drawdown, as
well as to a general rethinking of China's development
policies, the Ministry of Finance in February 1979
suspended contracts signed with Japan in late 1978
and ordered a moratorium on major new contract
signings. Subsequently, a push to complete arrange-
ments for lines of credit-both tied and untied-was
successful in netting general long-term commitments
of more than $20 billion at very reasonable rates.
Short-term borrowing increased sharply to cover
imports until the more economical long-term supplier
credits can be utilized. With China's foreign exchange
position back on a more solid footing, all but one of the
suspended contracts have been reinstated and the
moratorium on new signings has been lifted.
The Chinese leadership, in the June meetings of the
National People's Congress (NPC), strongly reaf-
firmed the decisions taken over the past two years to
liberalize and expand China's trade. A somewhat more
cautious attitude toward imports is evident, however,
and capital equipment purchases probably will not
resume the frenzied 1978 pace. Even the moderated
development program will require large imports of
capital and intermediate goods. New emphasis on
exports and unprecedented willingness to accept direct
foreign investment should prevent the financing bur-
den from reaching unacceptable levels.
Breaking precedent with the past, the Chinese have
recently released first-half aggregate export and im-
port statistics and have publicly announced the trade
goals for 1979. First-half statistics-exports of 9,500
million yuan, imports of 11,800 million yuan'-
suggest that the second-quarter deficit was cut ap-
proximately in half from the first quarter. Exports
appear to have surpassed record fourth-quarter 1978
levels and imports appear to have declined slightly.
' Chinese foreign trade statistics are presumed to be on an exports
f.o.b., imports c.i.f. basis. These first-half statistics are very close
to our estimates, differing by only 0.2 percent on exports and 0.1
percent on imports. For further discussion of Chinese statistics see
the appendix.
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Figure 3 The 1979 trade targets, presented at the NPC June
meetings, include exports of 19,200 million yuan, 15
China: Trade Balance' percent above 1978, while imports are slated to
increase by 32 percent to reach 24,800 million yuan. In
Billion US $ dollar terms, based on the exchange rate at the time of
With Non-Communist Countries the NPC, exports would increase 20 percent to reach
'1.2 $12,000 million while imports would jump 40 percent
to reach $15,500 million ($14,350 million on an f.o.b.
basis).' Most of the increase slated for this year has
1.0 already occurred, however, and third- and fourth-
quarter exports and imports apparently are targeted to
be only slightly ahead of recent quarters. Lower grain
0.8 and steel purchases will probably hold imports back in
the second half. The Chinese seem somewhat cautious
on their export projections, however. Higher oil prices
0.6 and record sales at the Spring Guangzhou Trade Fair
should enable exports to exceed their goals. The trade
deficit will nevertheless be close to $1 billion on an
0.4 f.o.b. basis in the second half.
' The roundness of the dollar values as opposed to the yuan values
would seem to indicate that the goals are originally expressed in
dollars and converted to yuan for the Chinese audience.
I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I, I I I I I I l l I l
-0.2
1_1.1 1 tAllLIJ
1970 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79
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1979
WORLD ....................
1,906.4
1,854.6
1,931.4
2,397.4
2,171.3
2,274.4
2,527.3
3,026.1
2,819.7
7,283.5
8,089.8
9,99
NON-COMMUNIST COUNTRIES..
1,594.8
1,561.3
1,639.0
1,930.3
1,788.7
1,950.9
2,136.6
2.554.4
2,455.0
6,047.9
6,725.2
8,430.5
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES ......
699.2
683.0
698.1
859.0
828.9
912.1
921.1
1,115.1
1.163.1
2,697.4
2,939.3
3,777.1
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC..
376.8
375.0
374.3
505.0
451.5
494.5
522.9
639.4
598.7
1,421.7
1,631.1
2,108.3
Australia ...........
33.6
30.0
28.9
31.7
35.5
32.0
31.5
41.7
50.1
100.2
124.2
140.7
Japan ...............
338.3
340.6
340.8
466.1
411.6
457.9
486.8
591.2
543.4
1,307.3
1,485.7
1,947.5
NORTH AMERICA ..........
70.4
72.6
77.3
60.1
94.5
112.3
102.1
97.6
136.0
291.5
280.4
406.5
Canada ..............
19.5
23.5
20.5
13.8
15.7
26.1
21.1
19.9
34.7
89.6
77.3
82.8
United States .......
50.8
49.2
56.8
46.3
78.7
86.2
81.0
77.7
101.3
201.8
203.1
323.6
WESTERN EUROPE .........
252.1
235.4
246.5
293.8
282.9
305.3
296.1
378.1
428.4
984.2
1,027.8
1,262.4
Belgium .............
8.3
9.0
7.7
10.2
10.2
9.7
8.7
10.6
12.4
45.6
35.1
39.1
France ..............
42.1
40.0
39.7
46.9
39.9
55.9
44.3
. 56.2
60.6
169.1
168.6
196.3
West Germany ........
57-.4
54.8
64.3
73.9
71.5
79.9
77.7
89.7
92.4
236.5
250.4
318.7
Italy ...............
374.5
27.8
31.4
44.9
33.2
35.4
35.9
69.6
58.4
134.9
141.6
174.1
Netherlands .........
18.3
21.0
21.3
21.7
27.2
25.2
28.7
28.0
26.9
77.7
82.3
109.1
Norway ..............
2.2
2.2
2.3
2.9
2.6
2.8
2.1
3.4
3.5
7.2
9.6
11.0
Spain ...............
9.1
7.5
8.4
11.2
12.8
15.1
12.0
19.5
27.2
41.5
36.2
59.4
Sweden ..............
13.5
13.5
11.6
12.2
11.7
9.9
12.1
15.1
15.7
44.0
50.7
48.8
Switzerland .........
9.4
7.9
8.2
8.5
10.8
10.3
11.0
11.4
11.0
31.5
34.0
43.5
United kingdom......
38.1
37.1
37.0
47.1
43.7
41.7
45.4
55.0
92.4
135.6
159.4
185.7
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
895.6
878.2
940.8
1,071.3
959.8
1,038.8
1,215.5
1,439.3
1,291.9
3,350.5
3,785.9
4,653.5
SOUTHEAST ASIA .........
565.7
584.9
644.7
722.3
657.1
723.7
841.3
988.5
873.3
2,287.5
2,517.7
3,210.6
Hong Kong ...........
393.7
397.5
433.2
511.0
463.3
526.8
580.3
678.9
597.0
1,593.3
1,735.4
2,249.4
Indonesia ...........
18.4
42.1
41.7
44.0
22.9
24.6
27.2
32.2
*30.2
125.5
146.2
106.9
Malaysia ............
29.8
29.2
39.6
35.3
38.7
46.1
60.2
65.6
49.2
128.0
133.8
210.6
Philippines .........
11.3
19.5
21.2
27.0
22.5
25.4
28.7
*37.4
35.0
53.9
79.1
113.9
Singapore ...........
67.4
58.4
69.4
66.5
75.6
66.4
90.8
93.0
85.5
254.0
261.8
325.8
Thailand ............
22.5
15.9
16.1
9.4
10.0
10.5
27.7
31.7
'X29.7
68.3
64.0
79.9
SOUTH ASIA .............
31.1
22.2
23.0
31.2
25.7
25.6
38.0
52.0
46.2
77.2
107.6
141.3
Pakistan ............
17.7
10.0
9.6
14.4
*15.8
16.5
18.3
22.0
20.6
61.0
51.7
72.6
Sri Lanka ...........
6.9
6.8
7.1
8.8
.0
1.3
4.2
11.5
* 8.2
6.3
29.6
17.0
MIDDLE EAST ............
146.8
146.3
136.8
155.8
124.9
128.5
152.0
175.1
164.1
428.0
585.7
580.4
Bahrain .............
21.6
14.7
11.7
11.2
4.3
4.6
5.1
6.0
* 5.7
36.6
59.2
20.0
Iran ................
28.8
13.1
13.7
17.0
*15.8
16.6
18.5
22.1
20.8
89.0
72.6
73.0
Iraq ................
9.8
12.3
11.6
*14.4
13.4
14.1
15.6
18.8
17.5
51.0
48.1
61.8
Kuwait ..............
25.2
36.3
29.0
33.2
23.0
21.8
*24.2
29.0
27.2
71.3
123.7
98.1
Syria ...............
8.6
12.2
12.2
10.4
7.9
7.3
19.0
13.2
*12.3
31.1
43.5
47.4
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TABLE 1
--CONTINUED
CHINA: EXPORTS, FOB, BY AREA AND COUNTRY 1/
NORTH AFRICA ........... 39.5 31.5 31.2 42.9 37.5 37.7 42.0 50.0 45.1 132.3 145.2 167.3
Egypt ............... 10.6 10.4 10.8 13.4 12.5 13.1 14.6 17.5 16.4 39.2 45.3 57.7
Libya ............... 17.7 10.3 9.0 10.4 9.7 10.2 11.3 13.6 12.8 59.0 47.4 44.9
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA ...... 101.1 81.7 91.8 103.9 98.4 101.4 120.7 150.4 141.1 381.8 378.4 471.0
Nigeria ............. 39.4 25.4 32.7 36.0 *33.6 35.2 39.1 46.9 44.0 128.0 133.5 154.8
Sudan ............... 9.7 5.2 5.4 6.7 *6.2 6.5 7.2 8.7 8.1 25.3 26.9 28.7
Tanzania............ 4.6 4.2 *4.4 5.4 5.1 5.3 5.9 7.1 6.6 37.8 18.7 23.4
Zambia .............. 1.6 2.5 2.6 1.8 *1.7 1.8 2.0 2.4 2.2 13.2 8.5 7.8
LATIN AMERICA ......... 11.4 11.5 13.2 15.2 16.2 21.9 21.5 23.3 22.2 43.7 51.3 83.0
Argentina........... .2 .1 .2 .3 .4 .4 .6 *.7 .7 .2 .8 2.1
Brazil .............. .2 .1 .1 .1 .0 .1 .1 *.1 .1 .3 .4 .2
Peru ................ *.2 .2 .2 .3 .3 .3 .3 .4 .3 .8 .9 1.2
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES ...... 311.6 293.3 292.5 467.1 382.6 323.5 390.7 471.7 364.7 1,235.6 1,364.6 1,568.6
USSR ................... 38.6 27.5 19.3 92.4 67.8 31.7 64.3 93.5 43.0 178.5 177.8 257.3
EASTERN EUROPE ......... 162.7 158.1 160.7 235.5 197.7 196.3 220.2 251.1 202.6 547.6 717.0 865.5
Czechoslovakia...... 20.9 20.4 21.3 26.4 *24.7 25.8 28.7 34.4 32.2 56.2 89.1 113.6
East Germany ........ 25.8 25.2 26.3 32.6 29.5 31.7 35.1 41.6 *39.0 96.0 110.0 138.0
Hungary ............. 9.8 2.5 6.8 22.0 11.8 16.9 26.0 21.0 7.3 30.6 41.1 75.7
Poland .............. 13.3 12.0 4.6 24.5 18.0 18.6 23.1 31.6 13.2 39.5 54.4 91.3
Romania ............. 64.1 62.7 65.4 81.0 64.6 69.4 76.9 91.1 *85.4 201.9 273.2 302.0
Yugoslavia .......... 3.3 10.6 10.3 17.0 17.8 17.2 23.1 22.6 17.2 17.5 41.3 80.7
WORLD .................... 97.95 97.81 96.86 96.19 86.07 85.81 82.78 80.81
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES ...... 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES. 95.63 95.38 93.56 91.48 77.35 77.50 74.61 70.21
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES ...... 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 77.79 72.52 67.60 67.83
70.09 98.39 97.14 83.59
99.88 100.00 100.00 100.00
56.82 96.50 93.89 74.46
22.13 100.00 100.00 71.17
i/ Country listings for any given area are not exhaustive: only major trade partners are presented. Country data for all
quarters to the right of an asterisk are extrapolated and are subject to change. See appendix.
2/ Cambodia, Cuba, Mongolian Republic, Laos, North Korea, and Vietnam.
3/ Includes quarterly data that have been interpolated from annual trade partner data.
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1979
WORLD ....................
1,222.4
1,388.6
1,899.2
2,052.2
1,861.7
2,322.9
2,525.6
3,545.4
3,481.6
5,579.6
6,562.5
10,25( ,
NON-COMMUNIST COUNTRIES..
1,015.1
1,186.8
1,609.9
1,683.7
1,567.5
2,015.0
2,172.8
2,948.2
3,001.0
4,501.8
5,495.6
8,703.4
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES ......
765.5
810.6
1,230.1
1,359.7
1,331.1
1,677.7
1,818.7
2,440.5
2,453.8
3,768.3
4,166.0
7,268.1
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC..
471.5
434.9
792.7
754.3
657.8
902.7
895.6
1,165.7
1,155.3
1,954.6
2,453.5
3,621.9
Australia ...........
38.6
53.0
175.8
193.6
151.0
134.0
106.7
91.1
130.8
264.3
461.0
482.9
Japan ...............
419.8
377.1
606.1
551.9
497.6
754.2
773.4
1,048.7
1,000.7
1,665.8
1,954.9
3,073.9
NORTH AMERICA ..........
91.9
140.5
115.7
169.7
175.9
243.6
380.3
506.9
523.3
334.7
517.8
1,306.7
Canada ..............
72.8
97.4
88.4
87.9
78.4
124.5
138.4
100.8
128.0
199.7
346.5
442.1
United States .......
19.1
43.1
27.3
81.8
97.5
119.1
241.9
406.1
395.3
135.0
171.3
864.6
WESTERN EUROPE .........
202.1
235.2
321.7
435.7
497.4
531.4
542.8
767.9
775.2
1,479.0
1,194.7
2,339.5
Belgium .............
3.8
9.2
18.9
16.1
38.8
45.9
44.7
76.0
53.9
40.0
48.0
205.4
France ..............
33.3
14.2
20.8
27.0
30.9
47.0
49.5
71.8
97.7
354.6
95.3
199.2
West Germany ........
96.0
114.0
125.0
165.7
250.7
227.3
223.6
293.6
322.0
622.0
500.7
995.2
Italy ...............
12.1
8.2
32.8
35.8
38.8
42.5
40.9
66.2
65.2
126.9
88.9
188.4
Netherlands .........
5.9
3.9
21.8
20.9
19.8
18.9
25.5
70.8
59.2
38.9
52.5
135.0
Norway ..............
.2
20.2
20.4
55.5
24.3
11.8
16.0
7.7
13.0
18.4
96.3
59.7
Spain ...............
3.4
3.2
6.1
8.5
11.0
16.6
13.3
25.4
34.1
17.4
21.3
66.3
Sweden ..............
4.8
7.6
18.1
14.8
9.5
14.1
23.4
37.4
24.8
30.8
45.3
84.4
Switzerland .........
14.5
10.8
12.8
18.8
24.3
19.1
22.8
28.4
24.8
51.9
56.9
94.6
United kingdom......
20.3
29.6
28.5
30.5
30.7
44.8
42.7
57.4
55.8
125.6
108.9
175.,X
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
249.6
376.2
379.7
324.0
236.4
337.3
354.1
507.7
547.2
733.5
1,329.6
1,435.3
SOUTHEAST ASIA .........
105.7
120.9
120.7
94.5
58.0
102.0
73.1
146.0
188.9
219.8
441.7
379.2
Hong Kong ...........
8.4
11.4
10.1
14.4
12.3
16.4
14.3
20.0
44.2
30.1
44.4
62.9
Indonesia ...........
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
`.0
.0
.0
.0
Malaysia ............
20.1
28.7
41.4
29.6
18.5
13.4
25.9
52.5
61.0
44.8
119.9
110.3
Philippines .........
42.7
30.9
13.1
22.4
6.1
28.6
9.1
*4.9
4.8
38.3
109.1
48.7
Singapore ...........
7.2
10.5
28.8
12.9
9.3
12.4
14.2
22.0
33.1
38.7
59.4
57.9
Thailand ............
27.2
38.4
27.1
9.3
9.3
29.3
7.5
24.6
*24.2
61.4
102.0
70.7
SOUTH ASIA .............
13.5
16.1
21.5
31.7
14.9
22.3
28.2
30.1
33.9
82.2
82.8
95.5
Pakistan ............
1.3
3.1
1.9
11.0
*8.6
10.6
11.6
16.3
16.0
*
17.0
17.3
47.2
Sri Lanka...........
8.7
10.1
13.7
14.8
.0
8.6
13.2
9.1
13.3
56.9
47.4
31.0
MIDDLE EAST ............
43.7
50.3
45.2
66.0
52.1
53.3
51.4
68.6
67.5
160.0
205.2
225.2
Bahrain .............
.0
9.3
4.0
2.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
18.3
15.3
.0
Iran ................
7.9
8.3
11.4
12.3
*11.3
13.9
15.3
21.3
20.9
22.8
39.9
61.8
Iraq.. ......... ....
3.7
4.2
5.8
*6.3
5.8
7.1
7.8
10.9
10.7
50.0
20.0
31.5
Kuwait ..............
4.6
5.7
4.6
25.0
2.6
10.1
*11.1
15.4
15.2
9.8
39.9
39.2
Syria ...............
20.1
13.9
11.6
9.7
19.5
10.1
1.1
2.5
*2.4
37.3
55.2
33.2
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TABLE 2
--CONTINUED
CHINA: IMPORTS, FOB, BY AREA AND COUNTRY 1/
I II III IV I II III IV I 1976 1977 1978
NORTH AFRICA ........... 14.7 17.0 24.3 17.7 15.8 19.4 22.7 31.1 29.2 56.2 73.7 89.1
Egypt ............... 6.3 7.2 9.9 10.7 *9.8 12.1 13.3 18.5 18.2 51.4 34.1 53.8
Libya ............... *.2 .3 .3 .4 .3 .4 .5 .6 .6 1.0 1.2 1.9
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA...... 36.8 40.6 54.1 46.3 42.0 52.6 55.3 82.6 81.1 110.1 177.8 232.4
Nigeria ............. .0 2.3 9.4 .0 *.O .0 .0 .0 .0 1.0 11.7 .0
Sudan ............... 14.9 10.8 14.7 15.9 *14.6 18.0 19.7 27.6 27.1 24.2 56.3 80.0
Tanzania ............ 4.0 4.4 *6.0 6.5 6.0 7.4 8.1 11.2 11.0 13.7 20.9 32.6
Zambia .............. 5.3 10.3 7.2 6.1 *5.7 7.0 7.6 10.6 10.5 27.0 29.0 30.9
LATIN AMERICA ......... 35.2 131.3 114.0 67.8 53.5 87.7 123.4 149.3 146.6 105.2 348.4 413.9
Argentina ........... 15.1 35.7 28.7 7.5 1.1 16.8 28.6 *40.0 39.3 2.7 87.1 86.4
Brazil .............. .0 78.9 61.8 21.8 24.0 35.9 35.1 *49.0 48.1 9.0 162.7 144.0
Peru ................ 9.7 4.9 7.1 *21.0 19.4 23.9 26.1 36.5 35.9 41.9 42.7 105.9
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES...... 207.3 201.8 289.3 368.5 294.2 307.9 352.8 597.2 480.7 1,077.8 1.066.8 1,552.2
USSR ................... 38.1 21.2 23.2 79.3 42.2 31.0 51.0 118.0 69.6 238.4 161.8 242.2
EASTERN EUROPE ......... 121.8 126.3 191.8 209.1 173.4 180.0 195.5 330.7 265.2
Czechoslovakia...... 13.6 15.6 21.3 23.0 *21.2 26.1 28.5 39.9 39.2
East Germany ........ 21.2 24.4 33.4 36.0 33.1 40.9 45.0 62.9 *61.8
Hungary ............. 4.3 2.2 8.5 17.0 4.9 10.0 12.6 30.0 3.9
Poland .............. 22.0 13.7 14.4 10.6 16.9 7.3 14.2 54.9 31.9
Romania ............. 44.2 50.8 69.4 74.8 57.0 70.4 77.4 108.2 *106.3
Yugoslavia.......... 1.7 2.4 21.4 22.5 6.5 4.4 5.7 18.1 5.7
OTHER 2/ ............... 47.3 54.3 74.3 80.0 78.6 97.0 106.3 148.5 145.9
PERCENT OF ESTIMATE OBTAINED FROM TRADE PARTNER DATA: 3/
WORLD .................... 98.90 98.90 98.46 98.13 89.16 89.18 88.49 85.73
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES ...... 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 10000
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES. 94.61 95.93 92.32 88.15 51.80 57.62 51.39 32..98
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES...... 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 70.11 64.81 66.37 72.26
608.4 649.1 879.6
69.9 73.4 115.6
104.0 115.0 182.0
39.6 32.0 57.5
63.2 60.7 93.3
248.8 239.2 313.0
11.4 48.0 34.7
77.83 99.31 98.53 87.81
99.99 100.00 100.00 100.00
26.54 94.73 92.75 46.42
23.11 100.00 100.00 69.03
1/ Country listings for any given area are not exhaustive: only major trade partners are presented. Country data for all
quarters to the right of an asterisk are extrapolated and are subject to change. See appendix.
2/ Cambodia, Cuba, Mongolian Republic, Laos, North Korea, and Vietnam.
3/ Includes quarterly data that have been interpolated from annual trade partner data.
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 Approved For Release 2001/03/06 : CIA-RDP86B00985R000300040005-1
WORLD ....................
684.0
466-0
32.2
345.2
309.6
-48-5
1.7
-519.3
-661.9
1,703.8
1,527.3
-25(
NON-COMMUNIST COUNTRIES.-
579.7
374.5
29.1
246.5
221.1
-64.1
-36.2
-393.8
-545.9
1,546.1
1,229.6
-272.9
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES ......
-66.3
-127.6
-532.0
-500.8
-502.3
-765.7
-897.7
-1325-4
-1,290.7
-1,070.9
-1,226.7
-3,491-0
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC..
-94-7
-59.9
-418.5
-249.3
-206-3
-408.2
-372.7
-526.3
-556.5
-532.9
-822.4
-1,513.6
Australia...........
-5.0
-23.0
-147.0
-161.9
-115.6
-102.1
-75.2
-49.4
-80.7
-164.1
-336.8
-342.3
Japan ...............
-81.5
-36.5
-265.3
-85.8
-86-0
-296.3
-286-6
-457.5
-457.3
-358.5
-469.2
-1,126.4
NORTH AMERICA ..........
-21.5
-67.9
-38.4
-109.6
-81.4
-131-3
-278.2
-409.3
-387-3
-43.2
-237.4
-900.2
Canada ..............
-53.3
-73-9
-67.9
-74.1
-62.7
-98-4
-117.3
-80.9
-93.3
-110.1
-269.2
-359-3
United States..-..-.
31.7
6.1
29.5
-35.5
-18.8
-32.9
-160.9
-328.4
-294.0
66.8
31.8
-541.0
WESTERN EUROPE .........
50.0
.2
-75.1
-141.9
-214-5
-226.1
-246.7
-389.8
-346.9
-494.8
-166.9
-1,077.2
Belgium .............
4.5
-.2
-11.2
-5.9
-28.6
-36.2
-36.0
-65.4
-41.5
5.6
-12.9
-166.3
France ..............
8.8
25.8
18.9
19.9
9.0
8.9
-5.2
-15-6
-37.1
-185-5
73-3
-2-9
West Germany ........
-38.6
-59-2
-60.7
-91.8
-179.2
-147-4
-145.9
-203.9
-229-6
-385.5
-250.3
-676-5
Italy ...............
25.4
19.6
-1.4
9.1
-5.6
-7.1
-5.0
3.4
-6.8
8.0
52.7
-14.3
Netherlands .........
12.4
17.1
-.5
.8
7.4
6.3
3.2
-42-8
-32.3
38.8
29.8
-25.9
Norway ..............
2.0
-18.0
-18.0
-52.7
-21-7
-9.0
-13.8
-4.2
-9.5
-11.2
-86-7
-48.7
Spain ...............
5-7
4.2
2.3
2.7
1.8
-1.5
-1.3
-5.9
-6.9
24.1
14.9
-6.9
Sweden ..............
8.7
5.9
-6.5
-2.6
2.2
-4.2
-11.3
-22.3
-9.1
13.2
5.4
-35.6
Switzerland .........
-5.1
-2.9
-4-6
-10.3
-13.5
-8.8
-11.8
-17.0
-13.8
-20-4
-22.9
-51.1
United kingdom ......
17.8
7.5
8.5
16.6
13.0
-3.1
2.7
-2.4
36.6
10.0
50.5
10.1
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
646.0
502.0
561.1
747.3
723.4
701-6
861.5
931-6
744.7
2,617.0
2,456.3
3,218.1
SOUTHEAST ASIA .........
460.0
464.1
524.1
627.8
599.1
621-6
768.2
842-5
684.4
2,067.7
2,075.9
2,831.4
Hong Kong ...........
385.3
386.1
423.1
496.6
451.1
510.5
566.0
658.9
552-8
1,563.2
1,691.0
2,186.5
Indonesia ...........
18-4
42.1
41.7
44.0
22.9
24.6
27.2
32.2
*30.2
125-5
146.2
106.9
Malaysia ............
9.7
.4
-1.8
5.6
20.2
32.6
34.3
13.1
-11-8
83-2
13.9
100.2
Philippines .........
-31-4
-11.4
8.1
4-6
16.4
-3.2
19-6
*32.5
30.2
15.6
-30.0
65.2
Singapore ...........
60.2
47.9
40.7
53.7
66.3
54.0
76.6
71.0
52.4
215.3
202.4
267.9
Thailand............
-4.7
-22.5
-11.0
.1
.7
-18.8
20.2
7.1
*5.5
6.9
-38.1
9.2
SOUTH ASIA .............
17.6
6.1
1.6
-.5
10.8
3.3
9.8
21.9
12.3
-5.0
24-9
45.8
Pakistan ............
16-4
7.0
7.7
3.4
*7.1
5.9
6.7
5.7
4.6
*
44.0
34.4
25.4
Sri Lanka ...........
-1.8
-3.3
-6.7
-6.1
.0
-7.2
-9.1
2.3
-5.2
-50.6
-17.8
-14-0
MIDDLE EAST ............
103.1
96.0
91.6
89.8
72.9
75-2
100.6
106.4
96.6
268.0
380.5
355.1
Bahrain .............
21.5
5.4
7.7
9.2
4.3
4.6
5-1
6.0
5.7
18.3
43.8
20.0
Iran ................
20.9
4.8
2.3
4.7
*4.5
2.7
3.2
.8
-.1
66.2
32.7
11.2
Iraq ................
6.1
8.1
5.8
8.1
7.6
7-0
7.8
7.9
6.8
1.0
28.1
30.3
Kuwait ..............
20.6
30-6
24.4
8.2
20-4
11.7
*13.1
13.6
12.0
61.5
83.8
58-9
Syria ...............
-11.4
-1.7
-6
.8
-11.6
-2.8
17.9
10.7
9-9
-6.2
-11-7
14.2
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 Approved For Release 2001/03/06 : CIA-RDP86B00985R000300040005-1
TABLE 3
--CONTINUED
CHINA: TRADE BALANCES, FOB, BY AREA AND COUNTRY 1/
1979
NORTH AFRICA ...........
Egypt ...............
Libya ...............
24.8 14.5 6.9 25.3
4.3 3.1 .9 2.7
*17.5 10.0 8.7 10.0
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA ......
Nigeria .............
Sudan ...............
Tanzania ............
Zambia ..............
LATIN AMERICA .........
Argentina...........
Brazil ..............
Peru.. ..............
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES ......
USSR ...................
EASTERN EUROPE .........
Czechoslovakia ......
East Germany........
Hungary .............
Poland ..............
Romania .............
Yugoslavia..........
21.7 18.3 19.4 18.9
*2.7 1.0 1.3 -1.1
9.4 9.8 10.8 13.0
64.3 41.1 37.7 57.6 56.4 48.9 65.4 67.9
39.4 23.1 23.3 36.0 *33.6 35.2 39.1 46.9
-5.2 -5.6 -9.3 -9.2 *-8.4 -11.5 -12.5 -18.9
.6 -.2 *-1.6 -1.0 -.9 -2.0 -2.1 -4.2
-3.8 -7.8 -4.6 -4.3 *-3.9 -5.2 -5.6 -8.3
-23.8 -119.8 -100.7 -52.6
-15.0 -35.6 -28.4 -7.3
.2 -78.8 -61.8 -21.8
-9.5 -4.6 -6.9 -20.7
-37.3 -65.8 -101.9 -126.0
-.7 -16.4 -28.0 *-39.2
-24.0 -35.8 -35.0 -48.9
-19.1 -23.6 -25.8 -36.1
104.3 91.5 3.1 98.6
.5 6.3 -3.9 13.1
40.8 31.9 -31.1 26.4
7.4 4.8 .0 3.4
4.6 .8 -7.1 -3.4
5.5 .3 -1.7 5.0
-8.7 -1.7 -9.8 13.9
20.0 11.9 -4.0 6.1
1.6 8.1 -11.0 -5.5
88.5 15.6 37.9 -125.5
25.6 .7 13.3 -24.5
24.4 16.3 24.7 -79.6
3.5 -.2 .1 -5.5
-3.6 -9.2 -9.9 -21.3
6.9 6.9 13.4 -9.0
1.1 11.3 8.9 -23.3
7.7 -1.0 -.5 -17.2
11.3 12.8 17.3 4.5
16.0
-1.8
12.2
60.0
44.0
-18.9
-4.4
-8.2
-124.4
-38.6
-48.1
-35.5
-116.0
-26.6
-62.6
-6.9
-22.8
3.4
-18.7
-21.0
11.5
76.1 71.5 78.2
-12.2 11.1 4.0
58.0 46.2 43.0
271.7 200.5 238.6
127.0 121.8 154.1'
1.1 -29.4 -51.3
24.2 -2.2 -9.2
-13.8 -20.5 -23.0
-61.5 -297.0 -330.9
-2.5 -86.3 -84.3
-8.7 -162.2 -143.8
-41.1 -41.8 -104.7
157.7 297.7 16.4
-59.9 16.0 15.1
-60.9
-13.7
-8.0
-9.0
-23.7
-46.9
6.1
67.8 -14.1
15.7 -2.0
-5.0 -44.0
9.1 18.2
-6.3 -2.0
34.0 -11.0
-6.8 46.0
278.5 213.9 15.4
1/ Country listings for any given area are not exhaustive: only major trade partners are presented. Country data for all
quarters to the right of an asterisk are extrapolated and are subject to change. See appendix.
2/ Cambodia, Cuba, Mongolian Republic, Laos, North Korea, and Vietnam.
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 Approved Fot*elease 2001/03/06 : CIA-RDP86B00985R000300040005-1
Appendix A
This appendix contains a brief description of the
procedures used in this publication to estimate China's
quarterly trade and a short analysis of the accuracy of
these estimates. It also provides tables, A-1.1 through
A-9.4, showing quarterly trade estimates for 1970
through 1978 and statistics on the derivation of those
estimates.
We will continue, despite this change in methodology,
to provide an aggregate estimate of the c.i.f. value of
Chinese imports calculated in the same way as
before-the recently released Chinese statistics
strongly suggest that Chinese trade statistics are kept
in this manner.
In designing these quarterly reports, our primary
objective is to provide the most timely and yet the most
complete and accurate data available on the level and
direction of China's foreign trade.
As a result, the procedures and format differ from
those of past reports in two important respects. First,
since our data and estimating procedures are now fully
computerized, the estimates are based on all available
data. As new trade-partner data become available, the
estimates are automatically revised. At present, the
estimates are based on data reported by 159 countries
that trade with China. Statistics on the availability of
trade-partner data at the time the estimates are made
are presented in each table.
Second, in contrast to our earlier procedure of adjust-
ing the statistics to place China's imports on a c.i.f.
basis and China's exports on a f.o.b. basis, both are
now presented on a f.o.b. basis. This change has several
advantages. Most notably, the data are more useful for
estimating China's balance of payments. Since a large
share of China's overseas trade is carried in Chinese
ships, trade recorded on a customs basis (exports,
f.o.b.; imports, c.i.f.) is not an accurate measurement
of China's total foreign exchange earnings or expendi-
tures on merchandise trade, freight, and insurance. As
previously calculated, the c.i.f. value of imports in-
cluded not only foreign exchange expenditures for
chartering foreign ships and shipping insurance, but
also the internal costs of using Chinese ships to carry
imports; the f.o.b. value of exports did not reflect
Chinese earnings from shipping and insurance. For a
balance-of-payments statement, of course, separate
estimates of foreign exchange payments and receipts
for freight and insurance still must be made.
All of the quarterly trade data presented in this
publication is obtained or estimated from trade partner
statistics-not from the sporadic Chinese pronounce-
ments on trade. The basic source of the non-Commu-
nist trade partner data used in this report is the
monthly International Monetary Fund, Direction of
Trade tape. The I MF data, however, are supplemented
with official trade statistics from publications of the
Organization for Economic Cooperation and Develop-
ment, the United Nations, and individual trade part-
ners. Among Communist countries, only Romania and
Yugoslavia report trade statistics to the I M F. Data for
the USSR and most other East European countries are
obtained from the official statistics of those countries.
For countries that do not report official trade statistics,
data are often derived from trade agreements and
other trade indicators.
In addition, the official trade partner statistics have
been adjusted for unrecorded trade where documen-
tary evidence clearly indicates that the official statis-
tics underreport actual levels of trade. Examples of
unrecorded trade for which adjustments have been
made include: US grain exports transshipped to China
through Canadian ports, which are not recorded either
by the United States or by Canada as an export to
China; and oil exports to China, which are not included
in the official trade statistics of some Middle East
countries.
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 Aw.
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Hong Kong's reexports of Chinese goods to third
countries and reexports of third-country goods to
China are not considered "unrecorded" trade. These
reexports are recorded as trade between China and
Hong Kong, not as trade between the country of origin
and the country of ultimate destination. This proce-
dure is in keeping with our purpose of identifying the
financial aspects of trade flows, since from the Chinese
standpoint, payments are effected at or near the time
the reexported goods cross the China-Hong Kong
border, not at the time the goods change hands
between Hong Kong and third-country merchants.
Procedures for Estimating Missing Data
Although the majority of China's trade partners report
trade regularly on a monthly or quarterly basis, to
estimate the overall level of China's trade on a
quarterly basis it is necessary to make estimates for
countries that lag in reporting data and for countries
that report annual data but not quarterly data. In
recent years more than 80 percent of China's trade
eventually has been reported on a monthly or quarterly
basis; for the remainder only annual data are available.
Since the early 1970s the share of countries reporting
monthly or quarterly data has increased steadily as
many of the LDCs improved their statistical collection
systems.
The basic assumption behind the methods used in this
report to estimate missing quarterly data is that the
trends in trade with China for the group of countries
which have reported quarterly data are representative
of trends in the overall level of China's exports or
imports. This assumption is supported by empirical
evidence: market shares for China's major trading
partners remain relatively constant from one quarter to
the next. As a result, the aggregate amount of missing
data can be predicted with reasonable accuracy.
Estimates for missing quarters are generated in the
following manner. For those trading partners which do
not report imports and exports in all four quarters but
which do report annual totals, the residual is distrib-
uted among missing quarters in exact proportion to the
distribution of trade for all those countries which have
reported in each of the missing quarters. The most
common subset of this case consists of countries which
do not report quarterly data at all.
For countries that lag in reporting data, the missing
data are derived by extrapolation. If partial monthly
data are available for any quarter, the estimate for that
quarter is a weighted average of monthly data. If no
monthly data are available the estimate is based on the
trend in trade reported by other countries. Quarterly
data for all countries which have reported are summed
and indexed, and successive indexes are applied to the
last reported or interpolated quarterly data of those
countries which have not reported. The procedure may
be expressed algebraically as follows:
j Qi
QJl
where:
Q = Quarterly value of exports or imports,
t = Quarter for which estimate is made,
i = A reporting country,
jai,
A = 1 if both Qc and Q/, are available,
A = 0 if either Qt and Q is not available.
Appendix tables A-1.1 through A-9.4 present our
estimates for China's trade by area for 1970 through
1978. Tables ending with the .2 show the share of the
estimate which is obtained directly from reported trade
partner data; .3, the share derived by interpolation of
the reported annual data; and .4, the share derived by
extrapolation. Naturally, as more and more time
elapses between the close of any given quarter and the
date an estimate is made, a larger share of the estimate
is derived from reported data. Given normal reporting
10
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lags by China's trade partners, generally about 65
percent of China's exports and 75 percent of China's
imports are reported within three months of the close
of a quarter. Within eight quarters, over 98 percent of
China's trade has normally been reported.
A caveat regarding the accuracy of our estimates is in
order. Although the aggregate data in the tables are
presented to the nearest tenth of a million US dollars,
these are point estimates, and the size of error is an
inverse function of the amount of data available.
Estimates for the most recent quarter perhaps are
accurate to two digits. (As defined here, accuracy
refers to the comparability of the initial estimates with
the final figures which will be available when all trade
partner data are reported; comparability with official
Chinese data is addressed later in this appendix.)
Several considerations-both theoretical and practi-
cal-influenced our decision to present data on an
exports, f.o.b. imports, f.o.b. basis. The primary
theoretical reason, mentioned above, is to provide a
merchandise trade account which can be used in
assessing China's balance of payments. A more practi-
cal reason is that, because the trade partners export
data (China's imports) are already recorded on an
f.o.b. basis, the data are more accurate, and therefore
more useful in other applications as well, for example,
projecting foreign trade and comparing market shares.
The procedure used to adjust the trade partner's
imports (China's exports) from a c.i.f. basis to an f.o.b.
basis remains the same as before. The f.o.b. values are
found by dividing the c.i.f. values by the following
freight factors, wfi'ich are based on the distance of the
voyage between China and the country in question: for
Japan and countries in south and Southeast Asia, 1.05;
for countries in the Middle East, sub-Saharan Africa,
and the Western Hemisphere, 1.10; and for countries
in North Africa and Europe, 1.15. No adjustment is
made, of course, in the case of contiguous countries,
such as Hong Kong, Macao, and the USSR, or in the
case of trade partners that already report their imports
on an f.o.b. basis. This latter category includes the
United States, Canada, Australia, all East European
countries (except Hungary), and several less developed
countries.
Since China's exports to most countries consist of a
similar mix of goods-mostly shipped as general cargo,
distance is the major factor affecting freight and
insurance costs. On the other hand, the shipping
charges for China's imports appear to be as much a
function of the type of commodity transported as of the
distance of the voyage. Freight charges for capital
goods and other finished products, which have a high
value to weight ratio, are a smaller share of the f.o.b.
value than are freight charges for bulk commodities,
which have a low value to weight ratio. Since China's
imports of finished manufactures are skewed towards
Western Europe and Japan, an assessment of the c.i.f.
value of China's imports, based on the above freight
factors, may not be accurate for any particular
country. For that reason, only an aggregate estimate of
China's imports, calculated on a c.i.f. basis, will be
presented. (See appendix B.)
No adjustment is made to the data to account for the
leads and lags in trade partner reporting. This proce-
dure was discontinued in the late 1960s, first, because
the data were insufficient to make adjustments for a
major portion of China's trade, and secondly, because
the net effect on the annual estimate was too small to
warrant the data collection effort.
For estimates covering shorter periods, however,
differences in the timing of data could be a significant
source of discrepancy between data reported by China
and its trading partners.
Ideally, in working with balance-of-payments ques-
tions, both exports and imports should be recorded at
the time payments are made or (in lieu of cash
payments) credits are drawn. Generally these transac-
tions occur within a short time after goods are shipped.
For that reason trade partner export data should
closely coincide with Chinese payments. Since over
half of China's exports go to countries within a five-day
voyage, the trade partner data may also provide a good
approximation of Chinese export receipts.
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 Approved For Release 2001/03/06 : CIA-RDP86B00985R000300040005-1
The June meetings of the NPC were notable for,
among other things, the public release of official
Chinese statistics. Included among these were the first
absolute trade statistics (total exports and total im-
ports) since the late 1950s. When used in conjunction
with a number of percentage increase statistics re-
leased over the past few years, they allow reconstruc-
tion of an export and import series for the period since
1977. Tables A-l 1 and A-12 present a comparison of
our estimates-converted to yuan at average quarterly
exchange rates-with the given and derived Chinese
statistics. The given Chinese statistics are in bold-face
types, along with the corresponding CIA estimates.
* A key question when using the Chinese percentage-increase
statements is whether the increases refer to a yuan-based series or a
US dollar based series. The Ministry of Trade probably keeps
accounts in both currencies. Several times in 1978, percentage
increases apparently referred to the dollar series whereas more
recently the yuan series seems to be preferred. In January 1979 the
Chinese initially claimed that exports in 1978 were 28.6 percent
above the level of 1977, and imports were 50 percent higher. No
mention was made of the currency in which the calculations were
made. Later, at the NPC, the Chinese claimed 1978 exports had
increased 20 percent over 1977, and imports had increased 41.4
percent. These figures were clearly connected to the absolute yuan
figures for 1978, which were released at the same time. We believe
the earlier figures were calculated in terms of US dollars and later
converted into yuan for the benefit of members attending the NPC.
Another difficulty in using the Chinese statistics is the proclivity of
the Chinese to give apparently rounded percentage increases for
either exports or imports in combination with apparently exact
increases in the other. Naturally this makes it difficult to interpret
the number of significant digits in the data they are providing.
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WORLD ....................
504.6
482.4
472.6
698.0
2,157.8
494.2
590.6
496.4
463.1
2,044.2
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES.
393.1
378.1
362.4
542.2
1,675.9
402.0
482.9
402.4
368.0
1,655.
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES......
173.6
158.4
140.3
185.9
658.1
338.2
397.8
331.8
304.0
1,371
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC..
72.6
60.8
62.3
86.4
282.2
163.8
210.9
166.9
161.0
702...
NORTH AMERICA ..........
3.8
4.8
5.9
3.6
18.2
32.7
44.3
43.2
15.2
135.4
WESTERN EUROPE .........
97.2
92.7
72.0
95.9
357.8
141.7
142.6
121.6
127.9
533.9
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES-
219.6
219.8
222.1
356.3
1,017.8
63.8
85.1
70.6
64.0
283.4
SOUTHEAST ASIA .........
152.3
161.2
158.4
243.0
714.9
13.6
14.9
13.7
13.1
55.2
SOUTH ASIA .............
17.3
15.1
16.4
23.9
72.7
14.8
27.7
20.4
18.6
81.5
MIDDLE EAST ............
21.0
16.9
18.6
20.8
77.4
10.1
8.4
4.2
4.9
27.6
NORTH AFRICA ...........
12.1
4.8
6.8
19.4
43.0
8.2
13.2
6.9
5.1
33.4
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA......
15.1
20.3
20.4
46.7
102.5
16.5
19.6
24.3
21.4
81.8
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN
1.8
1.5
1.5
2.4
7.3
.6
1.3
1.0
1.0
3.9
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES......
111.4
104.3
110.2
155.8
481.9
92.2
107.7
94.0
95.0
388.9
USSR ...................
5.1
4.9
4.7
7.0
21.7
6.0
7.2
6.0
5.6
24.9
EASTERN EUROPE .........
58.9
54.0
61.2
83.2
257.2
52.6
60.3
54.3
58.0
225.2
OTHER ..................
47.4
45.4
44.4
65.6
202.9
33.5
40.1
33.7
31.4
138.9
IMPORTS
-------------------------
I
II
III
IV
YEAR
WORLD ....................
66.28
66.26
66.35
66.36
100.00
77.48
77.49
77.50
77.51
100.00
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES.
83.07
83.16
82.82
83.06
100.00
93.35
93.39
93.33
93.20
100.00
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES......
99.29
99.27
99.19
99.09
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC..
98.40
98.18
98.25
98.14
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
NORTH AMERICA ..........
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
WESTERN EUROPE.........
99.94
99.94
99.93
99.92
100.00
100.00
99.99
100.00
100.00
100.00
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
70.25
71.55
72.48
74.69
100.00
58.10
62.52
61.98
60.90
100.00
SOUTHEAST ASIA .........
65.37
68.75
68.86
70.04
100.00
20.78
13.83
21.11
22.78
100.00
SOUTH ASIA .............
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
MIDDLE EAST ............
79.00
74.54
77.75
70.34
100.00
89.16
84.57
73.94
79.57
100.00
NORTH AFRICA ...........
79.09
49.46
65.33
82.00
100.00
73.31
80.27
68.38
60.06
100.00
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA......
71.83
79.97
80.52
87.67
100.00
24.97
24.81
48.94
45.83
100.00
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN
22.76
9.52
10.20
20.40
100.00
44.05
69.54
66.17
67.24
100.00
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES......
7.05
4.99
12.20
8.24
100.00
8.27
6.17
9.75
16.72
100.00
USSR ...................
.00
.00
.00
.00
100.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
100.00
EASTERN EUROPE .........
13.33
9.63
21.97
15.30
100.00
14.47
11.00
16.86
27.40
100.00
OTHER ..................
.01
.00
.02
.16
100.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
100.00
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WORLD ....................
33.72
33.74
33.65
33.64
0.00
22.52
22.51
22.50
22.49
0.00
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES.
16.93
16.84
17.18
16.94
.00
6.65
6.61
6.67
6.80
.00
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES......
.71
.73
.81
.91
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC..
1.60
1.82
1.75
1.86
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
NORTH AMERICA ..........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
WESTERN EUROPE .........
.06
.06
.07
.08
.00
.00
.01
.00
.00
.00
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
29.75
28.45
27.52
25.31
.00
41.90
37.48
38.02
39.10
.00
SOUTHEAST ASIA .........
34.63
31.25
31.14
29.96
.00
79.22
86.17
78.89
77.22
.00
SOUTH ASIA .............
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
MIDDLE EAST ............
21.00
25.46
22.25
29.66
.00
10.84
15.43
26.06
20.43
.00
NORTH AFRICA ...........
20.91
50.54
34.67
18.00
.00
26.69
19.73
31.62
39.94
.00
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA......
28.17
20.03
19.48
12.33
.00
75.03
75.19
51.06
54.17
.01~
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN
77.24
90.48
89.80
79.60
.00
55.95
30.46
33.83
32.76
.00
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES ......
92.95
95.01
87.80
91.76
.00
91.73
93.83
90.25
83.28
.00
USSR ...................
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
.00
EASTERN EUROPE .........
86.67
90.37
78.03
84.70
.00
85.53
89.00
83.14
72.60
.00
OTHER ..................
99.99
100.00
99.98
99.84
.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
.00
WORLD .................... 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES. .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES...... .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC.. .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00
NORTH AMERICA .......... .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00
WESTERN EUROPE ......... .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES. .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00
SOUTHEAST ASIA ......... .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 Od
SOUTH ASIA ............. .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00
MIDDLE EAST ............ .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00
NORTH AFRICA........... .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA...... .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES...... .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 ?'-J
USSR ................... .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00
EASTERN EUROPE ......... .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00
OTHER .................. .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00
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 Approved For Release 2001/03/06 : CIA-RDP86B00985R00030004OD05-1
WORLD .................... 560.9 548.8 576.6 849.8 2.536.1 455.6 525.0 572.1 590.5 2,143.1
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES. 430.1 425.6 441.3 653.5 1,950.4 351.9 399.4 437.1 442.3 1,630.7
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES...... 187.7 159.7 180.9 233.9 762.2 276.8 311.5 356.6 343.9 1,28,
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC.. 88.5 76.5 79.4 108.8 353.2 135.2 130.8 164.2 176.5 60
NORTH AMERICA.......... 4.6 5.2 9.5 8.2 27.5 33.1 66.2 65.2 37.1 201.6
WESTERN EUROPE......... 94.6 78.0 91.9 116.9 381.4 108.6 114.4 127.1 130.3 480.4
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES- 242.4 265.9 260.4 419.6 1,188.2 75.0 88.0 80.5 98.4 342.0
SOUTHEAST ASIA ......... 168.2 188.6 174.2 270.4 801.3 9.0 11.1 10.6 13.4 44.2
SOUTH ASIA ............. 16.6 11.6 17.2 13.0 58.3 19.7 14.2 14.9 11.8 60.4
MIDDLE EAST ............ 14.7 11.3 19.8 31.7 77.4 7.5 2.5 2.1 8.7 20.8
NORTH AFRICA ........... 9.3 14.9 10.4 36.9 71.4 9.0 28.3 11.3 9.6 58.1
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA...... 32.0 38.0 36.7 65.2 171.9 26.6 26.5 29.7 33.1 115.9
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN 1.6 1.6 2.2 2.4 7.8 3.2 5.4 12.0 21.9 42.5
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES...... 130.8 123.1 135.3 196.2 585.6 103.8 125.5 135.0 148.2 512.4
USSR ................... 16.8 16.5 17.3 25.6 76.2 16.5 19.2 21.0 21.3 77.9
EASTERN EUROPE......... 66.0 59.4 68.3 97.4 291.1 56.8 71.0 75.2 87.6 290.6
OTHER .................. 48.0 47.2 49.7 73.3 218.4 30.4 35.3 38.8 39.3 143.9
---------------------------------------------
WORLD .................... 67.95 67.78 67.70 67.74
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES. 86.09 86.16 85.89 86.04
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES ...... 99.34 99.24 99.30 99.20
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC.. 98.60 98.41 98.40 98.27
NORTH AMERICA .......... 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
WESTERN EUROPE......... 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES. 75.83 78.31 76.57 78.71
SOUTHEAST ASIA ......... 71.14 74.68 71.17 72.59
SOUTH ASIA ............. 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
MIDDLE EAST ............ 79.52 73.52 84.17 85.22
NORTH AFRICA ........... 99.25 99.53 99.33 99.72
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA...... 82.23 85.28 83.17 87.10
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN 19.58 17.76 35.95 16.57
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES...... 8.33 4.22 8.37 6.80
USSR ................... .00 .00 .00 .00
EASTERN EUROPE ......... 16.49 8.74 16.55 13.63
OTHER .................. .05 .02 .04 .10
99.86 74.36 74.12
99.94 93.44 93.28
100.00 100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00 100.00
99.89 69.24 69.50
100.00 21.77 26.12
100.00 100.00 100.00
100.00 95.86 85.73
100.00 99.22 99.72
99.34 47.56 38.69
98.46 48.56 64.27
99.62 9.66 13.15
100.00 .00 .00
100.00 17.63 23.25
98.97 .00 .00
74.68 75.14 99.80
94.18 94.17 99.92
100.00 100.00 100.00
iQ .00 100.00 100.00
10'0.00 100.00 100.00
100.00
68.42
15.09
100.00
81.33
99.20
53.33
82.54
11.51
.00
20.67
.00
100.00 100.00
73.80 99.61
31.81 100.00
100.00 100.00
95.37 100.00
99.06 100.00
57.65 100.00
90.22 96.85
18.36 99.44
.00 100.00
31.06 100.00
.00 98.00
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WORLD ....................
31.90
32.08
32.16
32.13
0.00
25.44
25.68
25.12
24.66
0.00
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES.
13.84
13.78
14.04
13.90
.00
6.48
6.64
5.74
5.75
.00
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES......
.66
.76
.70
.80
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC..
1.40
1.59
1.60
1.73
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
NORTH AMERICA ..........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
WESTERN EUROPE .........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
-00
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
24.05
21.59
23.31
21.20
.00
30.37
30.13
31.13
25.83
.00
SOUTHEAST ASIA .........
28.86
25.32
28.83
27.41
.00
78.23
73.88
84.91
68.19
.00
SOUTH ASIA .............
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
MIDDLE EAST ............
20.48
26.48
15.83
14.78
.00
4.14
14.27
18.67
4.63
.00
NORTH AFRICA ...........
.75
.47
.67
.28
.00
.78
.28
.80
.94
.000
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA......
16.95
14.06
16.11
12.36
.00
52.44
61.31
46.67
42.35
.C
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN
78.72
80.54
62.76
81.91
.00
42.45
29.59
14.47
8.09
.tom,,
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES......
91.27
95.37
91.24
92.84
.00
89.75
86.30
87.92
81.11
.00
USSR ...................
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
.00
EASTERN EUROPE .........
83.51
91.26
83.45
86.37
.00
82.37
76.75
79.33
68.94
00
OTHER ..................
98.87
98.92
98.91
98.95
.00
97.96
98.02
98.01
97.99
.00
WORLD ....................
0.14
0.14
0.14
0.13
0.14
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES.
.07
.07
.07
.06
.06
.08
.08
.08
.08
.08
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES......
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC..
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
NORTH AMERICA ..........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
WESTERN EUROPE .........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
.12
.10
.11
.09
.11
.39
.38
.45
.38
SOUTHEAST ASIA .........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
SOUTH ASIA .............
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
MIDDLE EAST ............
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
NORTH AFRICA ...........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA......
.82
.66
.72
.54
.66
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN
1.70
1.70
1.28
1.52
1.52
8.99
6.14
2.99
1.69
3. 18
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES......
.40
.41
.38
.36
.38
.60
.56
.57
.53
.56
USSR ...................
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
EASTERN EUROPE .........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
OTHER ..................
1.08
1.06
1.05
.96
1.03
2.04
1.98
1.99
2.01
2.00
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 Approved For Release 2001/03/06 : CIA-RDP86B00985R000300040005-1
I
II
III
IV
YEAR
I
II
III
IV
YEAR
WORLD ....................
728.9
758.4
788.7
947.7
3,223.7
564.0
598.5
555.5
866.7
2,584.2
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES.
561.8
588.9
607.7
726.5
2,484.8
443.3
473.4
424.8
690.0
2,030.8
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES......
247.1
253.6
264.2
328.9
1,093.8
332.8
332.2
324.8
533.7
1,52
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC..
118.1
119.1
123.5
174.7
535.4
183.7
144.0
145.2
195.4
66
NORTH AMERICA ..........
13.6
18.3
25.4
23.6
80.9
27.8
60.3
60.4
177.3
325.8
WESTERN EUROPE .........
115.4
116.2
115.3
130.5
477.5
121.3
127.9
119.2
161.0
529.4
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
314.7
335.3
343.5
397.6
1,391.0
110.6
141.2
100.0
156.3
507.4
SOUTHEAST ASIA .........
211.0
228.9
251.3
278.9
970.1
12.9
16.1
18.2
22.0
69.3
SOUTH ASIA .............
6.7
7.8
7.2
16.1
37.7
13.1
12.0
6.1
13.4
44.5
MIDDLE EAST ............
29.1
26.9
25.9
31.4
113.3
18.1
9.4
1.7
29.1
58.3
NORTH AFRICA ...........
17.5
20.6
14.9
18.1
71.1
20.4
13.1
7.5
14.4
55.4
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA......
47.3
47.9
40.8
49.2
185.2
20.4
45.8
35.5
29.4
130.4
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN
3.1
3.2
3.4
4.0
13.7
25.7
44.7
31.1
47.9
149.5
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES......
167.0
169.5
180.9
221.3
738.8
120.6
125.2
130.7
176.7
553.4
USSR ...................
30.2
31.3
32.8
39.3
133.6
27.0
28.7
26.5
38.9
121.2
EASTERN EUROPE .........
78.2
77.7
84.7
105.7
346.4
64.8
65.9
76.0
96.2
302.8
OTHER ..................
58.6
60.5
63.4
76.2
258.8
28.8
30.6
28.3
41.6
129.4
I
II
III
IV
YEAR
I
II
III
IV
YEA
WORLD ....................
70.76
71.54
70.66
70.05
99.62
73.35
73.60
73.87
75.27
98.56
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES.
89.58
90.49
89.50
88.62
99.62
90.22
90.63
90.54
91.27
98.34
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES ......
99.07
99.06
99.05
99.09
100.00
99.43
99.37
100.00
100.00
100.00
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC..
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
NORTH AMERICA ..........
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
93.17
96.52
100.00
100.00
100.00
WESTERN EUROPE .........
98.01
97.95
97.83
97.70
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
82.12
84.01
82.16
79.97
99.33
62.51
70.07
59.83
61.45
93.35
SOUTHEAST ASIA .........
88.35
88.91
89.39
88.52
100.00
53.25
60.09
67.46
60.53
100.00
SOUTH ASIA .............
49.78
55.41
49.44
72.83
100.00
53.95
46.48
2.15
35.11
100.00
MIDDLE EAST............
72.77
69.57
67.02
67.22
95.22
97.27
94.76
72.93
97.43
96.33
NORTH AFRICA ...........
87.40
88.94
83.94
84.11
100.00
68.09
47.22
14.60
35.00
100.00
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA......
67.35
76.05
58.21
45.94
99.88
35.03
73.27
64.83
33.58
75.78
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN
11.55
10.86
12.52
12.90
73.00
64.38
78.22
71.05
72.45
100.00
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES......
7.45
5.70
7.38
9.06
99.62
11.33
9.20
19.69
12.78
99.39
USSR ...................
.00
.00
.00
.00
100.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
100.00
EASTERN EUROPE .........
15.88
12.42
15.76
18.95
100.00
21.08
17.47
33.89
23.47
100.00
OTHER ..................
.03
.01
.01
.01
98.92
.00
.00
.00
.00
97.37
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 Approved For Release 2001/03/06 : CIA-RDP86B00985R000300040005-1
WORLD ....................
28.86
28.09
28.96
29.58
0.00
25.16
25.00
24.74
29.27
0.00
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES.
10.04
9.14
10.11
11.01
.00
8.06
7.76
7.81
7.07
.00
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES......
.93
.94
.95
.91
.00
.57
.63
.00
.00
.00
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC..
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
NORTH AMERICA..........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
6.83
3.48
.00
.00
.00
WESTERN EUROPE.........
1.99
2.05
2.17
2.30
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
17.19
15.34
17.17
19.35
.00
30.60
24.53
33.17
31.21
.00
SOUTHEAST ASIA .........
11.65
11.09
10.61
11.48
.00
46.75
39.91
32.54
39.47
.00
SOUTH ASIA .............
50.22
44.59
50.56
27.17
.00
46.05
53.52
97.85
64.89
.00
MIDDLE EAST ............
22.97
25.70
27.90
27.77
.00
.06
.11
.60
.07
.00
NORTH AFRICA ...........
12.60
11.06
16.06
15.89
.00
31.91
52.78
85.40
65.00
.00
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA......
32.54
23.84
41.66
53.93
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN
60.98
62.11
59.85
61.07
.00
35.62
21.78
28.95
27.55
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES ......
92.17
93.91
92.24
90.57
.00
88.04
90.19
79.77
86.57
.00
USSR ...................
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
.00
EASTERN EUROPE .........
84.12
87.58
84.24
81.05
.00
78.92
82.53
66.11
76.53
.00
OTHER ..................
98.88
98.90
98.92
98.92
.00
97.33
97.48
97.49
97.21
.00
WORLD ....................
0.38
0.37
0.38
0.37
0.38
1.49
1.40
1.39
1.46
1.44
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES.
.38
.37
.38
.37
.38
1.72
1.61
1.65
1.66
1.66
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES......
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC..
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
NORTH AMERICA..........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
WESTERN EUROPE .........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
.68
.65
.67
.68
.67
6.89
5.40
7.00
7.34
SOUTHEAST ASIA .........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
SOUTH ASIA .............
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
MIDDLE EAST ............
4.26
4.74
5.08
5.02
4.77
2.67
5.13
26.48
2.50
3.67
NORTH AFRICA ...........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA......
.11
.11
.13
.13
.12
35.04
15.59
18.49
36.51
24.22
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN
27.48
27.03
27.63
26.03
27.02
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES......
.38
.39
.38
.37
.38
.64
.62
.54
.66
.62
USSR ...................
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
EASTERN EUROPE .........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
OTHER ..................
1.09
1.09
1.07
1.08
1.08
2.67
2.52
2.51
2.79
2.64
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 Approved For Release 2001/03/06 : CIA-RDP86B00985R000300040005-1
WORLD ....................
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES.
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES ......
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC..
NORTH AMERICA ..........
WESTERN EUROPE .........
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
SOUTHEAST ASIA .........
SOUTH ASIA .............
MIDDLE EAST ............
NORTH AFRICA ...........
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA ......
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES ......
USSR ...................
EASTERN EUROPE .........
OTHER ..................
936.3 1,182.5 1,394.0 1,592.1 5,104.7
750.4 950.5 1,118.6 1,279.0 4,098.4
345.1 448.1 487.2 547.0 1,827.4
173.7 249.2 278.2 324.4 1,025.6
23.1 31.8 28.8 31.0 114.7
148.3 167.1 180.1 191.5 687.1
405.3 502.3 631.4 732.1 2,271.0
286.4 349.2 444.4 518.8 1,598.8
16.1 17.6 25.9 25.1 84.7
35.0 41.6 55.3 60.5 192.5
15.6 25.9 24.1 21.3 87.0
47.1 61.0 74.5 96.2 278.7
5.1 7.0 7.2 10.1 29.3
185.9 232.0 275.4 313.0 1,006.3
25.2 31.8 36.8 42.3 136.1
80.1 98.7 121.1 135.7 435.7
80.5 101.5 117.5 135.0 434.5
888.9 1,051.5 1,236.5 1,449.2 4,626.0
757.1 893.8 1,042.5 1,224.0 3,917.4
568.0 709.4 851.9 996.0 3,12.3
267.8 272.3 277.7 372.6 1,19
110.6 233.1 335.3 349.4 1,02 4
189.6 204.0 238.9 274.0 906.4
189.0 184.4 190.6 228.0 792.1
34.1 38.3 59.0 64.2 195.6
19.5 10.2 11.0 13.3 54.0
53.6 24.0 21.0 39.8 138.5
20.1 19.8 8.5 3.8 52.2
44.1 47.1 48.5 56.5 196.3
17.6 45.0 42.6 50.3 155.5
131.8 157.7 194.0 225.2 708.6
26.1 31.1 36.1 42.4 135.7
67.2 80.5 104.6 120.2 372.4
38.5 46.0 53.3 62.6 200.5
WORLD ....................
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES.
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES ......
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC..
NORTH AMERICA..........
WESTERN EUROPE .........
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
SOUTHEAST ASIA .........
SOUTH ASIA .............
MIDDLE EAST ............
NORTH AFRICA ...........
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA ......
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES ......
USSR ...................
EASTERN EUROPE .........
OTHER ..................
75.39 75.43 74.99 74.85 99.64
92.28 92.31 91.35 91.31 99.66
100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
85.71 85.44 84.67 84.82 99.39
99.47 99.46 96.81 96.85 100.00
56.95 50.29 61.02 53.71 100.00
43.53 39.85 47.58 45.03 95.48
78.00 83.30 79.18 72.99 100.00
53.40 54.76 56.95 61.70 99.29
14.82 20.68 11.13 27.91 88.91
7.21 6.28 8.53 7.58 99.55
.00 .00 .00 .00 100.00
16.71 14.75 19.39 17.48 100.00
.00 .00 .01 .00 98.96
IMPORTS
-----------------------------------------------
I II III IV YEA.
80.15 79.97 79.33 79.29 98.59
92.64 92.57 92.61 92.61 98.50
100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100-00
100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
70.53 63.98 59.56 60.32 92.57
100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
59.74 8.03 .55 3.91 100.00
80.74 48.53 31.79 57.70 97.07
95.18 94.15 84.20 58.72 100.00
32.62 25.04 15.49 14.86 72.08
61.09 81.80 77.76 77.88 100.00
8.42 8.58 7.96 6.93 99.09
.00 .00 .00 .00 100.00
16.52 16.80 14.77 12.98 100.00
.00 .00 .00 .00 96.78
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 Approved For Release 2001/03/06 : CIA-RDP86B00985R000300040005-1
WORLD ....................
24.24
24.21
24.65
24.79
0.00
18.43
18.61
19.27
19.30
0.00
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES.
7.38
7.35
8.31
8.35
.00
5.86
5.93
5.89
5.89
.00
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES......
.00
-00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC..
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
NORTH AMERICA ..........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
WESTERN EUROPE .........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
13.66
13.91
14.73
14.59
.00
23.45
28.75
32.20
31.62
.00
SOUTHEAST ASIA .........
.53
.54
3.19
3.15
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
SOUTH ASIA .............
43.05
49.71
38.98
46.29
.00
40.26
91.97
99.45
96.09
.00
MIDDLE EAST............
51.89
55.28
48.13
50.52
.00
17.80
47.62
63.05
39.12
.00
NORTH AFRICA ...........
22.00
16.70
20.82
27.01
.00
4.82
5.85
15.80
41.28
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA......
45.82
44.48
42.32
37.66
.00
43.34
48.46
54.40
54.90
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN
73.42
68.44
76.54
62.14
.00
38.91
18.20
22.24
22.12
Od
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES......
92.35
93.27
91.03
91.97
.00
90.63
90.49
91.15
92.18
.00
USSR ...................
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
.00
EASTERN EUROPE .........
83.29
85.25
80.61
82.52
.00
83.48
83.20
85.23
87.02
.00
OTHER ..................
98.97
98.96
98.95
98.96
.00
96.76
96.81
96.77
96.77
.00
WORLD.... ........... ....
0.36
0.36
0.36
0.36
0.36
1.42
1.42
1.41
1.41
1.41
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES.
.34
.34
.34
.34
.34
1.50
1.50
1.51
1.50
1.50
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES......
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC..
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
NORTH AMERICA ..........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
9
WESTERN EUROPE .........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
.63
.65
.60
.59
.61
6.02
7.27
8.24
8.05
7.
SOUTHEAST ASIA.........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
SOUTH ASIA .............
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
MIDDLE EAST............
4.58
4.86
4.29
4.46
4.52
1.46
3.85
5.16
3.18
2.93
NORTH AFRICA ...........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA......
.78
.76
.73
.64
.71
24.04
26.50
30.11
30.24
27.92
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN
11.77
10.88
12.34
9.95
11.10
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES......
.45
.45
.45
.45
.45
.95
.93
.89
.90
.91
USSR ...................
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
EASTERN EUROPE .........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
OTHER ..................
1.03
1.03
1.05
1.04
1.04
3.24
3.19
3.23
3.23
3.22
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 Approved For Release 2001/03/06 : CIA-RDP86B00985R000300040005-1
......
WORLD
1,500.4
1,727.1
1,620.1
1,892.5
6,739.9
1,547.0
1,705.3
1,878.0
1,676.5
6,806.7
..............
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES.
1,167.4
1,371.9
1,269.1
1,480.6
5,288.8
1295.8
,
1,467.2
1,633.5
1.443.9
5,840.4
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES......
533.8
632.3
583.4
662.7
2,412.2
1
,026.1
1,171.3
1,367.8
1,220.8
4,786.1
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC..
298.7
355.8
312.7
420.3
1,387.5
393.0
555.6
621.7
762.6
2,3
.......
NORTH AMERICA
33.5
45.1
54.4
41.0
173.9
408.4
334.6
398.3
123.5
1,2
...
.......
WESTERN EUROPE
201.7
231.5
216.2
201.4
850.8
224.8
281.1
347.8
334.7
1,188.4
..
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
633.6
739.6
685.8
817.9
2,876.6
269.7
295.9
265.7
223.0
1,054.3
.......
SOUTHEAST ASIA
420.1
471.7
438.5
504.8
1,835.0
75.4
59.4
48.8
30.9
214.5
..
......
SOUTH ASIA
23.7
39.7
27.8
16.2
107.4
10.0
12.3
20.4
11.7
54.4
.......
....
MIDDLE EAST
63.1
92.1
83.2
144.2
382.5
54.3
41.5
24.3
22.7
142.9
........
.......
NORTH AFRICA
19.9
26.5
24.9
32.2
103.5
20.3
23.4
26.5
20.9
91.2
....
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA......
92.4
94.7
92.3
100.4
379.6
47.0
52.4
56.2
47.3
202.7
& CARIBBEAN
LATIN AMER
14.4
15.0
19.1
20.1
68.6
62.8
106.8
89.5
89.5
348.6
.
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES......
333.0
355.2
351.0
411.9
1,451.0
251.2
238.1
244.5
232.7
966.4
........
USSR
31.1
35.5
33.5
39.3
139.3
32.7
35.9
39.4
35.1
143.1
...........
........
EASTERN EUROPE
134.8
128.9
137.6
161.7
563.2
151.5
128.6
124.2
125.5
529.8
.
OTHER ..................
167.0
190.7
179.8
210.9
748.5
67.0
73.6
80.9
72.1
293.5
TABLE A-5.2 SHARE OF 1974 ESTIMATE OBTAINED FROM TRADE PARTNER STATISTICS
I
II
III
IV
YEP(
............
WORLD
73.24
72.76
72.62
72.51
99.54
82.25
81.92
81.95
82.25
98.65
........
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES.
91.32
90.69
90.50
90.47
99.41
92.68
92.75
92.83
92.77
98.42
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES......
99.96
99.96
99.96
99.96
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC..
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
NORTH AMERICA ..........
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
WESTERN EUROPE .........
99.90
99.90
99.90
99.87
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
84.04
82.76
82.46
82.78
98.92
64.85
64.04
55.90
53.16
91.26
SOUTHEAST ASIA .........
92.24
92.11
91.99
91.85
100.00
99.92
99.87
99.83
99.75
100.00
...........
SOUTH ASIA
97.32
98.17
97.53
95.06
100.00
93.34
94.05
96.06
93.88
100.00
..
MIDDLE EAST............
70.30
76.73
75.83
83.66
92.51
68.54
54.82
15.01
19.00
94.05
NORTH AFRICA ...........
81.02
83.75
83.69
85.19
100.00
65.07
66.81
67.82
63.59
100.00
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA......
58.04
40.46
42.33
37.92
99.38
16.44
13.34
10.72
5.47
58.76
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN
54.42
49.99
62.81
58.81
99.90
51.15
68.48
58.71
63.19
100.00
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES......
9.85
3.50
7.94
7.98
100.00
28.44
15.16
9.28
16.98
100.00
.................
USSR
.00
.00
.00
.00
100.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
100.00
..
EASTERN EUROPE .........
24.33
9.64
20.24
20.32
100.00
47.17
28.08
18.26
31.49
100.00
OTHER ..................
.00
.00
.00
.00
100.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
100.00
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 Approved For Release 2001/03/06 : CIA-RDP86B00985R000300040005-1
TABLE A-5.3 SHARE OF 1974 ESTIMATE DERIVED BY INTERPOLATION OF ANNUAL TRADE PARTNER STATISTICS
WORLD ....................
26.29
26.78
26.92
27.03
0.00
16.42
16.74
16.68
16.39
0.00
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES.
8.08
8.73
8.91
8.95
.00
5.73
5.68
5.60
5.65
.00
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES......
.04
.04
.04
.04
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC..
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
NORTH AMERICA ..........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
WESTERN EUROPE .........
.10
.10
.10
.13
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
14.86
16.16
16.45
16.16
.00
27.53
28.19
34.44
36.58
.00
SOUTHEAST ASIA .........
7.76
7.89
8.01
8.15
.00
.08
.13
.17
.25
.00
SOUTH ASIA .............
2.68
1.83
2.47
4.94
.00
6.66
5.95
3.94
6.12
.00
MIDDLE EAST ............
19.55
15.28
15.88
10.79
.00
27.98
40.06
75.26
71.73
.00
NORTH AFRICA ...........
18.98
16.25
16.31
14.81
.00
34.93
33.19
32.18
36.41
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA ......
41.36
58.88
57.03
61.41
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN
45.48
49.89
37.11
41.10
.00
48.85
31.52
41.29
36.81
.00
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES......
90.15
96.50
92.06
92.02
.00
71.56
84.84
90.72
83.02
.00
USSR ...................
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
.00
EASTERN EUROPE .........
75.67
90.36
79.76
79.68
.00
52.83
71.92
81.74
68.51
.00
OTHER ..................
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
.00
TABLE A-5.4 SHARE OF 1974 ESTIMATE DERIVED BY EXTRAPOLATION OF MONTHLY OR QUARTERLY TRADE PARTNER STATISTICS
WORLD ....................
0.46
0.46 ?
0.46
0.46
0.46
1.33
1.35
1.37
1.36
1.35
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES.
.60
.58
.59
.59
.59
1.59
1.57
1.57
1.58
1.58
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES......
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC..
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
NORTH AMERICA ..........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
WESTERN EUROPE .........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
1.10
1.08
1.09
1.06
1.08
7.62
7.77
9.66
10.26
8.74
SOUTHEAST ASIA .........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
SOUTH ASIA .............
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
MIDDLE EAST............
10.14
8.00
8.28
5.55
7.49
3.49
5.12
9.73
9.27
5.94
NORTH AFRICA ...........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA......
.60
.66
.64
.67
.64
39.72
39.85
41.52
43.93
41 .24
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN
.10
.12
.08
.09
.10
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES......
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
USSR ...................
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
EASTERN EUROPE.........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
OTHER ..................
00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
Approved For Release 2001/03/06 : CIA-RDP86B00985R000300040005-1
 Approv?d For Release 2001/03/06 : CIA-RDP86B00985R000300040'005-1
WORLD ....................
1,558.2
1,704.0
1,744.1
2,125.2
7,131.45
1,668.3
1,643.1
1,775.5
1,744.4
6,829.4
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES.
1,250.9
1,396.1
1,423.2
1,684.3
5,754.35
1,439.5
1,425.8
1,529.6
1,431.6
5,824.7
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES......
559.2
658.7
646.9
744.7
2,609.52
1,247.3
1,234.1
1,276.1
1,226.1
7
4,983.6
2
59
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC..
NORTH AMERICA ..........
295.9
50.7
391.0
49.3
403.5
42.0
464.4
68.8
1,554.80
210.82
735.2
136.1
597.5
251.8
759.1
100.5
507.
186.1
,
(_
67
WESTERN EUROPE .........
212.6
218.4
201.3
211.5
843.90
376.1
384.7
416.5
532.3
1,709.6
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
691.7
737.3
776.4
939.6
3,144.83
192.2
191.7
253.5
205.6
841.1
SOUTHEAST ASIA .........
449.3
503.7
534.9
623.2
2,110.86
30.8
35.4
50.8
72.4
189.3
SOUTH ASIA .............
33.6
36.4
33.6
42.8
146.33
23.4
18.0
21.7
19.4
82.6
MIDDLE EAST ............
91.6
81.0
91.4
134.6
398.67
32.6
42.5
47.2
34.2
156.6
NORTH AFRICA ...........
20.3
26.2
22.2
23.1
91.83
19.0
11.5
52.2
16.3
99.0
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA......
85.1
79.7
84.8
106.0
355.37
25.1
28.3
31.4
34.1
118.8
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN
11.8
10.3
9.7
10.0
41.78
61.3
56.0
50.3
29.1
194.8
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES......
307.3
307.9
320.9
440.9
1,377.10
228.8
217.4
245.9
312.8
1,004.7
USSR ...................
19.9
21.7
27.9
80.3
149.80
19.6
19.2
26.3
63.9
129.0
EASTERN EUROPE .........
156.2
142.6
146.8
186.8
632.40
139.8
130.0
145.9
178.0
593.7
OTHER ..................
131.2
143.6
146.2
173.9
594.90
69.3
68.1
73.7
70.9
282.0
I
II
III
IV
YEAR
I
II
III
IV
YEA k
WORLD ....................
73.86
73.84
75.24
75.69
99.16
82.6
82.69
83.36
83.70
99.65
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES.
88.61
88.84
88.83
88.59
98.96
94.3
94.32
93.71
93.53
99.59
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES ......
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.0
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC..
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.0
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
NORTH AMERICA ..........
100.00
100-00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.0
100.00
100-00
100.00
100.00
WESTERN EUROPE .........
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.0
100.00
100.00
100.00
100-00
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
79.41
78.86
79.52
79.56
98.09
57.0
57.75
62.04
54.93
97.18
SOUTHEAST ASIA .........
87.78
88.08
88.57
88.34
100.00
86.7
88.65
91.44
94.23
99.92
SOUTH ASIA .............
39.29
38.65
32.30
36.84
97.88
28.4
8.71
18.00
11.78
96.46
MIDDLE EAST............
75.04
69.12
72.17
77.31
92.25
4.6
28.17
30.00
7.05
94.51
NORTH AFRICA ...........
69.22
73.62
68.40
64.01
100.00
55.7
28.30
82.86
47.26
100.00
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA......
60.72
54.12
55.91
55.49
92.75
24.4
34.20
35.90
43.13
89.84
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN
61.00
51.15
44.56
36.38
99.35
94.8
94.41
76.13
60.40
100.00
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES......
13.81
5.86
14.97
26.39
100.00
9.5
6.43
18.94
38.75
100.00
USSR ...................
.00
.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
.0
.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
EASTERN EUROPE.........
27.17
12.66
13.72
19.30
100.00
15.5
10.74
13.89
32.19
100.00
OTHER ..................
.00
.00
.00
.00
100.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
100.00
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 Approved For Release 2001/03/06 : CIA-RDP86B00985R000300040005-1
WORLD ....................
25.33
25.35
23.96
23.39
0.00
17.0
16.96
16.30
15.95
0.00
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES.
10.38
10.18
10.19
10.24
.00
5.3
5.28
5.89
6.05
.00
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES......
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC..
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
NORTH AMERICA ..........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
WESTERN EUROPE .........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
18.77
19.27
18.67
18.35
.00
39.9
39.27
35.54
42.13
.00
SOUTHEAST ASIA.........
12.22
11.92
11.43
11.66
.00
13.2
11.23
8.48
5.71
.00
SOUTH ASIA .............
58.68
59.32
65.45
61.00
.00
68.5
87.40
78.53
84.39
.00
MIDDLE EAST ............
17.57
21.76
19.60
15.85
.00
88.9
66.96
65.30
86.56
.00
NORTH AFRICA ...........
30.78
26.38
31.60
35.99
.00
44.3
71.70
17.14
52.74
Orl
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA......
33.26
38.87
37.39
35.56
.00
63.7
55.53
54.16
47.86
.C
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN
38.53
48.18
54.72
62.84
.00
5.2
5.59
23.87
39.60
O0"'
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES ......
86.19
94.14
85.03
73.61
.00
90.5
93.57
81.06
61.25
.00
USSR ...................
100.00
100.00
.00
.00
.00
100.0
100.00
.00
.00
.00
EASTERN EUROPE .........
72.83
87.34
86.28
80.70
.00
84.5
89.26
86.11
67.81
.00
OTHER ..................
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
.00
100.0
100.00
100.00
100.00
.00
WORLD ....................
0.81
0.81
0.80
0.93
0.84
0.4
0.35
0.35
0.35
0.35
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES.
1.01
.99
.99
1.17
1.04
.4
.40
.40
.42
.41
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES......
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC..
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
NORTH AMERICA ..........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
0
WESTERN EUROPE .........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
1.82
1.87
1.81
2.09
1.91
3.0
2.98
2.42
2.94
2.b
SOUTHEAST ASIA .........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.1
ii
.08
.06
.08
SOUTH ASIA .............
2.02
2.04
2.25
2.16
2.12
3.1
3.89
3.48
3.83
3.54
MIDDLE EAST ............
7.39
9.12
8.23
6.84
7.75
6.5
4.87
4.71
6.39
5.49
NORTH AFRICA...........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA......
6.02
7.01
6.70
8.94
7.28
11.9
10.27
9.94
9.01
10.16
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN
.47
.67
.72
.77
.65
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES......
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
USSR ...................
.00
.00
.00
Ob
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
EASTERN EUROPE .........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
OTHER ..................
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
Approved For Release 2001/03/06 : CIA-RDP86B00985R000300040005-1
 Approved For Release 2001/03/06 : CIA-RDP86B00985R000300040005-1
EXPORTS
-----------------------------------------------
IMPORTS
-----------------------------------------------
WORLD .................... 1,779.1 1,596.1 1,741.3 2,167.0
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES. 1,454.1 1,341.7 1,472.0 1,780.1
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES...... 659.3 581.3 664.4 792.3
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC.. 321.3 305.0 349.6 445.8
NORTH AMERICA .......... 68.9 59.3 82.2 81.1
WESTERN EUROPE ......... 269.2 217.1 232.6 265.4
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES. 794.8 760.4 807.6 987.8
SOUTHEAST ASIA ......... 545.6 522.2 557.1 662.4
SOUTH ASIA ............. 21.4 14.0 17.5 24.3
MIDDLE EAST ............ 95.3 90.5 93.4 148.9
NORTH AFRICA ........... 32.0 33.8 29.5 36.9
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA...... 91.3 88.5 100.5 101.6
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN 9.1 11.2 9.6 13.7
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES...... 325.0 254.3 269.2 386.9
USSR ................... 62.3 22.3 24.7 69.2
EASTERN EUROPE ......... 138.1 120.4 122.7 166.4
OTHER .................. 124.7 111.6 121.9 151.2
7,283.5 1,850.7 1,630.8 1,164.4 933.8 5,579.6
6,047.9 1,526.9 1,356.3 924.8 694.0 4,501.8
2,697.4 1,294.5 1,150.5 769.3 554.0 3,768 3
1,421.7 675.0 565.3 401.5 312.8 1,95
291.5 151.1 80.7 65.4 37.5 33
984.2 468.4 504.5 302.3 203.7 1,479.0
3,350.5 232.3 205.8 155.5 139.9 733.5
2,287.5 66.1 41.6 58.0 54.2 219.8
77.2 31.1 20.4 14.0 16.7 82.2
428.0 57.3 49.5 27.5 25.7 160.0
132.3 18.7 16.2 11.9 9.5 56.2
381.8 28.3 44.5 23.6 13.6 110.1
43.7 30.8 33.7 20.5 20.2 105.2
1,235.6 323.9 274.5 239.6 239.8 1,077.8
178.5 55.4 30.8 63.5 88.7 238.4
547.6 191.8 176.2 127.9 112.5 608.4
509.5 76.7 67.5 48.2 38.6 231.0
SHARE OF 1976 ESTIMATE OBTAINED FROM TRADE PARTNER STATISTICS
IMPORTS
-----------------------------------------------
WORLD .................... 81.86 81.55 81.43 81.48
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES. 94.12 93.87 93.78 93.62
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES ...... 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC.. 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
NORTH AMERICA .......... 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
WESTERN EUROPE ......... 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES. 89.24 89.19 88.67 88.51
SOUTHEAST ASIA......... 97.97 97.74 97.38 97.25
SOUTH ASIA ............. 89.02 85.02 86.87 88.26
MIDDLE EAST ............ 71.50 73.16 71.59 77.87
NORTH AFRICA ........... 59.04 65.29 56.60 56.94
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA...... 70.46 68.53 69.66 62.85
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN 46.49 61.01 50.22 57.00
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES...... 27.01 16.50 13.86 25.61
USSR ................... 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
EASTERN EUROPE ......... 18.45 16.34 10.28 17.96
OTHER .................. .00 .00 .00 .00
YEAR I II III IV YEAt..
98.39 81.8 81.32 81.32 81.31 99.31
98.06 93.6 93.16 92.84 92.33 99.14
100.00 100.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
100.00 100.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
100.00 100.0 100.00 100-00 100.00 100.00
100.00 100.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
96.50 58.2 54.95 57.43 61.97 94.73
99.82 99.8 99.79 99.89 99.90 99.94
95.76 36.9 15.07 11.90 40.55 97.20
92.38 48.6 47.55 32.60 42.21 94.50
100.00 7.3 5.13 8.00 6.97 100.00
83.80 82.5 74.16 65.15 51.33 75.44
64.57 17.0 33.10 21.58 36.10 99.62
100.00 25.7 22.80 36.86 49.41 100.00
100.00 100.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
100.00 14.5 18.04 19.41 26.49 100.00
100.00 .0 .00 .00 .00 100.00
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 Approved For Release 2001/03/06 : CIA-RDP86B00985R000300040005-1
TABLE A-7.3 SHARE OF 1976 ESTIMATE DERIVED BY INTERPOLATION OF ANNUAL TRADE PARTNER STATISTICS
WORLD ....................
16.76
16.84
16.86
16.81
0.00
17.8
17.85
17.84
17.85
0.00
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES.
4.19
4.20
4.18
4.30
.00
5.9
5.83
6.10
6.53
.00
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES......
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC.-
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
NORTH AMERICA ..........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
WESTERN EUROPE .........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
7.66
7.41
7.63
7.74
.00
38.6
38.43
36.29
32.38
.00
SOUTHEAST ASIA .........
2.01
2.25
2.30
2.41
.00
.1
.13
.07
.06
.00
SOUTH ASIA .............
7.23
9.87
8.65
7.74
.00
60.7
81.64
84.67
57.13
.00
MIDDLE EAST ............
20.13
18.94
20.05
15.63
.00
46.3
47.25
60.72
52.03
.00
NORTH AFRICA ...........
40.96
34.71
43.40
43.06
.00
92.7
94.87
92.00
93.03
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA......
16.42
15.08
14.59
17.84
.00
5.0
2.82
3.79
5.27
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN
11.95
8.71
11.15
9.64
.00
82.7
66.60
77.93
63.41
.00
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES......
72.99
83.50
86.14
74.39
.00
74.3
77.20
63.14
50.59
.00
USSR ...................
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
EASTERN EUROPE .........
81.55
83.66
89.72
82.04
.00
85.5
81.96
80.59
73.51
.00
OTHER ..................
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
.00
100.0
100.00
100.00
100.00
.00
TABLE A-7.4 SHARE OF 1976 ESTIMATE DERIVED BY EXTRAPOLATION OF MONTHLY OR QUARTERLY TRADE PARTNER STATISTICS
WORLD ....................
1.38
1.62
1.72
1.71
1.61
0.4
0.84
0.84
0.85
0.69
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES.
1.69
1.93
2.03
2.08
1.94
.5
1.00
1.06
1.14
.86
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES......
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC..
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
NORTH AMERICA ..........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
WESTERN EUROPE .........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
3.10
3.40
3.70
3.75
3.51
SOUTHEAST ASIA.........
.01
.01
.32
.33
.18
.1
.08
.04
.04
.05
SOUTH ASIA .............
3.74
5.11
4.48
4.01
4.24
2.4
3.30
3.43
2.33
2.80
MIDDLE EAST ............
8.37
7.90
8.36
6.51
7.62
5.1
5.20
6.68
5.76
5.50
NORTH AFRICA ...........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA......
13.12
16.39
15.76
19.31
16.22
12.5
23.02
31.06
43.40
24.56
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN
41.56
30.28
38.63
33.36
35.43
.3
.30
.49
.49
.38
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES......
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
USSR ...................
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
EASTERN EUROPE .........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
OTHER ..................
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
Approved For Release 2001/03/06 : CIA-RDP86B00985R000300040005-1
 Approved For Release 2001/03/06 : CIA-RDP86B00985R000300040'005-1
WORLD.. .................. 1,906.4 1,854.6 1,931.4 2,397.4 8,089.8
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES. 1,594.8 1,561.3 1,639.0 1,930.3 6,725.2
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES...... 699.2 683.0 698.1 859.0 2,939.3
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC.. 376.8 375.0 374.3 505.0 1,631.1
NORTH AMERICA .......... 70.4 72.6 77.3 60.1 280.4
WESTERN EUROPE ......... 252.1 235.4 246.5 293.8 1,027.8
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES. 895.6 878.2 940.8 1,071.3 3,785.9
SOUTHEAST ASIA ......... 565.7 584.9 644.7 722.3 2,517.7
SOUTH ASIA ............. 31.1 22.2 23.0 31.2 107.6
MIDDLE EAST ............ 146.8 146.3 136.8 155.8 585.7
NORTH AFRICA ........... 39.5 31.5 31.2 42.9 145.2
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA...... 101.1 81.7 91.8 103.9 378.4
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN 11.4 11.5 13.2 15.2 51.3
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES...... 311.6 293.3 292.5 467.1 1,364.6
USSR ................... 38.6 27.5 19.3 92.4 177.8
EASTERN EUROPE ......... 162.7 158.1 160.7 235.5 717.0
OTHER .................. 110.3 107.7 112.5 139.2 469.8
1,222.4 1,388.6 1,899.2 2,052.2
1,015.1 1,186.8 1,609.9 1,683.7
765.5 810.6 1,230.1 1,359.7
471.5 434.9 792.7 754.3
91.9 140.5 115.7 169.7
202.1 235.2 321.7 435.7
249.6 376.2 379.7 324.0
105.7 120.9 120.7 94.5
13.5 16.1 21.5 31.7
43.7 50.3 45.2 66.0
14.7 17.0 24.3 17.7
36.8 40.6 54.1 46.3
35.2 131.3 114.0 67.8
207.3 201.8 289.3 368.5
38.1 21.2 23.2 79.3
121.8 126.3 191.8 209.1
47.3 54.3 74.3 80.0
TABLE A-8.2 SHARE OF 1977 ESTIMATE OBTAINED FROM TRADE PARTNER STATISTICS
WORLD .................... 81.30 80.11 78.22 77.62 97.14
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES. 93.10 91.79 89.68 88.32 96.56
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES...... 99.96 99.96 99.96 99.96 100.00
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC.. 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
NORTH AMERICA .......... 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
WESTERN EUROPE ......... 99.90 99.89 99.89 99.89 100.00
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES. 87.74 85.44 82.05 78.99 93.89
SOUTHEAST ASIA ......... 96.22 96.43 96.61 96.27 99.67
SOUTH ASIA ............. 74.99 64.45 64.15 67.26 95.71
MIDDLE EAST ............ 85.88 77.14 51.75 38.40 86.08
NORTH AFRICA........... 46.92 34.94 31.44 38.29 100.00
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA...... 68.68 53.59 52.11 45.96 69.35
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN 36.72 37.57 43.87 38.62 58.94
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES...... 20.87 17.92 14.03 33.38 100.00
USSR_ ................. 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
EASTERN EUROPE ......... 16.24 15.86 13.52 26.98 100.00
OTHER .................. .00 .00 .00 .00 100.00
6,562.5
5,495.6
4166.0
2,,4
51 ~
1,194.7
1,329.6
441.7
82.8
205.2
73.7
177.8
348.4
1,066.8
161.8
649.1
255.9
------------- ---------------------------------
I II III IV YEA(
84.2 82.89 82.71 82.39 98.53
94.9 93.65 93.38 92.73 98.25
100.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
100.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
100.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
100.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
79.2 79.97 71.93 62.21 92.75
99.9 99.92 99.90 99.86 99.97
31.3 33.95 32.27 50.56 96.65
83.4 67.09 44.67 59.12 88.39
.0 12.59 42.49 11.32 98.37
72.0 44.71 31.96 14.58 67.20
70.8 91.81 85.85 64.03 97.09
31.9 19.59 23.32 35.12 100.00
100.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
23.0 14.53 23.09 23.97 100.00
.0 .00 .00 .00 100.00
Approved For Release 2001/03/06 : CIA-RDP86B00985R000300040005-1
 Approved For Release 2001/03/06 : CIA-RDP86B00985R000300040005-1
TABLE A-8.3 SHARE OF 1977 ESTIMATE DERIVED BY INTERPOLATION OF ANNUAL TRADE PARTNER STATISTICS
WORLD .................... 16.65 17.70 18.64 18.58 0.00 14.7 16.24 15.76 15.74 0.00
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES. 4.44 5.61 6.63 6.95 .00 3.8 5.33 4.81 4.99 00
DEVELOPED .00
COUNTRIES .04 .04 .04 .04 .00 .0 .00 .00 .00 .00
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC.. .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .0 .00 .00 .00 .00
NORTH AMERICA .......... .00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .0 .00 .00 .00 .00
WESTERN EUROPE ......... .10 .11 .11 .11 .00 .0 .00 .00 .00 .00
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES. 7.88 9.94 11.52 12.50 .00 15.4 16.82 20.39 25.94 .00
SOUTHEAST ASIA ......... 3.44 3.25 3.08 3.39 .00 .0 .05 .07 .09 .00
SOUTH ASIA ............. 22.29 30.48 30.72 28.05 .00 64.9 62.42 63.98 46.72 .00
MIDDLE EAST ............ 8.37 17.19 31.78 34.47 .00 8.5 24.86 38.04 28.17 .00
NORTH AFRICA ........... 53.08 65.06 68.56 61.71 .00 98.6 98.23 56.27 86.41
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA...... 8.47 16.54 15.37 16.76 .00 4.7 31.47 32.27 40.63
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN 20.73 20.06 18.21 19.68 .00 27.6 8.51 13.39 24.28 .00
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES...... 79.13 82.08 85.97 66.62 .00 68.1 80.41 76.68 64.88 00
USSR ................... .00
.00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .0 .00 .00 .00 .00
EASTERN EUROPE......... 83.76 84.14 86.48 73.02 .00 77.0 85.47 76.91 76.03 .00
OTHER .................. 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 .00 100.0 100.00 100.00 100.00 .00
TABLE A-8.4 SHARE OF 1977 ESTIMATE DERIVED BY EXTRAPOLATION OF MONTHLY OR QUARTERLY TRADE PARTNER STATISTICS
I
II
III
IV
YEAR
I
II
III
IV
YEAR
WORLD ....................
2.05
2.19
3.14
3.81
2.86
1.1
1.10
1.54
1.87
1.47
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES.
2.46
2.60
3.70
4.73
3.44
1.3
1.29
1.81
2.28
1.75
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES......
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC..
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
NORTH AMERICA ..........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
WESTERN EUROPE .........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
4.37
4.62
6.44
8.52
6.12
5.4
4.07
7.68
11.85
7.24
SOUTHEAST ASIA .........
.34
.32
.31
.34
.33
.0
.03
.03
.04
.03
SOUTH ASIA .............
2.72
5.07
5.13
4.69
4.29
3.8
3.63
3.75
2.72
3.35
MIDDLE EAST ............
5.75
5.67
16.47
27.12
13.92
8.2
8.04
17.29
12.70
11.60
NORTH AFRICA ...........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
1.4
1.77
1.23
2.26
1.63
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA......
22.85
29.86
32.51
37.28
30.68
23.2
23.83
35.77
44.80
32.80
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN
42.55
42.36
37.92
41.71
41.06
1.7
.50
.76
11.70
2.88
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES......
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
USSR ...................
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
EASTERN EUROPE .........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
OTHER ..................
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
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 Approv@d For Release 2001/03/06 : CIA-RDP86B00985R000300040005-1
WORLD ....................
2,171.3
2,274.4
2,527.3
3,026.1
9,999.1
1,861.7
2,322.9
2,525.6
3,545.4
10,255.6
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES.
1,788.7
1,950.9
2,136.6
2,554.4
8,430.5
1,567.5
2,015.0
2,172.8
2,948.2
8,703.4
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES ......
828.9
912.1
921.1
1,115.1
3,777.1
1,331.1
1.677.7
1,818.7
2,440.5
7,26
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC..
451.5
494.5
522.9
639.4
2,108.3
657.8
902.7
895.6
1,165.7
3,62
NORTH AMERICA ..........
94.5
112.3
102.1
97.6
406.5
175.9
243.6
380.3
506.9
1,306.7
WESTERN EUROPE .........
282.9
305.3
296.1
378.1
1,262.4
497.4
531.4
542.8
767.9
2,339.5
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
959.8
1,038.8
1,215.5
1,439.3
4,653.5
236.4
337.3
354.1
507.7
1,435.3
SOUTHEAST ASIA .........
657.1
723.7
841.3
988.5
3,210.6
58.0
102.0
73.1
146.0
379.2
SOUTH ASIA .............
25.7
25.6
38.0
52.0
141.3
14.9
22.3
28.2
30.1
95.5
MIDDLE EAST ............
124.9
128.5
152.0
175.1
580.4
52.1
53.3
51.4
68.6
225.2
NORTH AFRICA ...........
37.5
37.7
42.0
50.0
167.3
15.8
19.4
22.7
31.1
89.1
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA......
98.4
101.4
120.7
150.4
471.0
42.0
52.6
55.3
82.6
232.4
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN
16.2
21.9
21.5
23.3
83.0
53.5
87.7
123.4
149.3
413.9
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES......
382.6
323.5
390.7
471.7
1,568.6
294.2
307.9
352.8
597.2
1,552.2
USSR ...................
67.8
31.7
64.3
93.5
257.3
42.2
31.0
51.0
118.0
242.2
EASTERN EUROPE .........
197.7
196.3
220.2
251.1
865.5
173.4
180.0
195.5
330.7
879.6
OTHER ..................
117.1
95.5
106.2
127.0
445.8
78.6
97.0
106.3
148.5
430.4
IMPORTS
-------------------------------------------
I
II
III
IV
YEAR
WORLD ....................
79.66
79.24
75.82
73.94
83.59
83.2
83.25
82.48
79.75
87.81
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES.
86.06
86.26
83.30
80.98
85.90
92.7
92.86
92.03
88.40
91.16
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES ......
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.0
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC..
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.0
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
NORTH AMERICA..........
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.0
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
WESTERN EUROPE .........
99.99
99.99
99.99
99.99
99.99
100.0
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
74.02
74.19
70.64
66.25
74.46
51.5
57.34
51.06
32.66
46.42
SOUTHEAST ASIA .........
95.13
95.27
94.87
90.71
97.34
99.8
99.88
97.02
90.40
95.68
SOUTH ASIA .............
95.46
29.88
47.55
22.03
36.40
50.7
47.81
46.87
30.41
42.50
MIDDLE EAST ............
40.70
39.54
15.35
11.94
28.58
52.3
42.72
13.09
9.45
28.05
NORTH AFRICA...........
8.04
4.36
4.67
3.83
5.10
.8
.00
6.00
4.48
3.22
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA......
9.63
8.30
6.01
9.69
13.75
2.6
4.24
.19
6.56
5.75
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN
47.86
58.23
46.26
34.49
59.24
51.8
63.66
71.71
7.63
44.32
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES......
49.76
36.91
34.93
35.77
71.17
32.5
20.36
23.67
37.01
69.03
USSR... ................
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.0
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
EASTERN EUROPE .........
36.71
31.94
32.77
29.96
83.50
30.7
17.61
16.63
31.15
81.34
OTHER ..................
42.70
26.16
.00
.00
30.60
.0
.00
.00
.00
26.46
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WORLD ....................
6.41
6.58
6.96
6.88
0.00
6.0
5.93
6.01
5.98
0.00
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES.
1.79
1.76
2.25
2.23
.00
.0
.05
.05
.05
.00
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES......
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC..
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
NORTH AMERICA..........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
WESTERN EUROPE.........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
3.33
3.31
3.96
3.96
.00
.3
.28
.33
.32
.00
SOUTHEAST ASIA .........
3.76
3.68
3.51
3.53
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
SOUTH ASIA .............
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
MIDDLE EAST ............
3.43
3.58
3.35
3.44
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
NORTH AFRICA ...........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA......
.66
.69
8.98
8.53
.00
1.9
1.83
2.09
1.96
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN
14.01
11.17
12.60
13.75
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES......
28.03
35.62
32.67
32.05
.00
37.7
44.45
42.70
35.25
.00
USSR.. ............ ....
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
EASTERN EUROPE .........
47.60
51.52
50.86
52.83
.00
51.9
61.83
62.64
51.74
.00
OTHER ..................
11.22
14.77
14.72
14.57
.00
26.4
26.41
26.52
26.53
.00
WORLD ....................
13.93
14.19
17.22
19.19
16.41
10.8
10.82
11.51
14.27
12. 19
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES.
12.15
11.98
14.45
16.79
14.10
7.3
7.09
7.92
11.54
8.84
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES......
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC..
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
NORTH AMERICA ..........
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
WESTERN EUROPE .........
.01
.01
.01
.01
.01
.0
.00
.00
.00
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
22.65
22.50
25.39
29.79
25.54
SOUTHEAST ASIA .........
1.10
1.05
1.62
5.76
2.66
.2
.12
2.98
9.60
4.3
SOUTH ASIA .............
44.54
70.12
52.45
77.97
63.61
49.3
52.19
53.13
69.59
57.50
MIDDLE EAST ............
55.88
56.88
81.30
84.62
71.44
47.7
57.28
86.91
90.55
72.00
NORTH AFRICA ...........
91.96
95.64
95.33
96.17
94.85
99.2
100.00
94.00
95.52
96.66
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA.....
89.71
91.01
85.01
81.78
86.25
95.5
93.93
97.72
91.48
94.25
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN
38.13
30.61
41.15
51.76
40.76
48.2
36.34
28.29
92.37
55.71
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES......
22.21
27.48
32.40
32.17
28.83
29.9
35.19
33.63
27.74
30.96
USSR ...................
.00
.00
.00
.00
-00
.0
.00
.00
.00
.00
EASTERN EUROPE .........
15.69
16.54
16.37
17.22
16.50
17.3
20.56
20.73
17.11
18.66
OTHER ..................
46.08
59.07
85.28
85.43
69.41
73.6
73.59
73.48
73.47
73.52
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 Approved For Release 2001/03/06 : CIA-RDP86B00985R000300040005-1
WORLD.. ..................
2,819.7
3.481.6
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES.
2,455.0
3,001.0
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES ......
1,163.1
2,453.8
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC..
598.7
1,155.3
NORTH AMERICA ..........
136.0
523.3
WESTERN EUROPE .........
428.4
775.2
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
1,291.9
547.2
SOUTHEAST ASIA .........
873.3
188.9
SOUTH ASIA .............
46.2
33.9
MIDDLE EAST ............
164.1
67.5
NORTH AFRICA ...........
45.1
29.2
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA......
141.1
81. 1
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN
22.2
146.6
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES......
364.7
480.7
USSR ...................
43.0
69.6
EASTERN EUROPE .........
202.6
265.2
OTHER ..................
119.1
145.9
IMPORTS
--------------------------------------------
I II III IV YEAR
WORLD ....................
70.09
77.8
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES.
77.22
86.6
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES......
99.88
100.0
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC..
100.00
100.0
NORTH AMERICA ..........
100.00
100.0
WESTERN EUROPE .........
99.68
100.0
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
56.82
26.5
SOUTHEAST ASIA .........
83.79
73.2
SOUTH ASIA .............
3.51
17.2
MIDDLE EAST ............
.08
1.7
NORTH AFRICA ...........
.00
.0
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA......
.00
.0
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN
2.42
.0
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES......
22.13
23.1
USSR ...................
100.00
100.0
EASTERN EUROPE .........
18.62
15.6
OTHER ..................
.00
.0
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WORLD ....................
0.00
0.0
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES.
.00
.0
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES......
.00
.0
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC..
.00
.0
NORTH AMERICA..........
.00
.0
WESTERN EUROPE.........
.00
.0
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
.00
.0
SOUTHEAST ASIA .........
.00
.0
SOUTH ASIA .............
.00
.0
MIDDLE EAST............
.00
.0
NORTH AFRICA ...........
.00
.0
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA......
.00
.0
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN
.00
.0
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES......
.00
.0
USSR ...................
.00
.0
EASTERN EUROPE .........
.00
.0
OTHER ..................
.00
.0
WORLD.. ..... ............
29.91
22.2
NON-COMMUNISTS COUNTRIES.
22.78
13.4
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES......
.12
.0
EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC..
.00
.0
NORTH AMERICA ..........
.00
.0
WESTERN EUROPE .........
.32
.0
LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES.
43.18
73.5
SOUTHEAST ASIA.........
16.21
26.8
SOUTH ASIA .............
96.49
82.8
MIDDLE EAST ............
99.92
98.3
NORTH AFRICA ...........
100.00
100.0
SUB-SAHARA AFRICA ......
100.00
100.0
LATIN AMER. & CARIBBEAN
97.58
100.0
COMMUNIST COUNTRIES......
77.87
76.9
USSR ...................
.00
.0
EASTERN EUROPE .........
81.38
84.4
OTHER ..................
100.00
100.0
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CIA Estimate
(Million US $)
Exchange Rate'
(Yuan per US $)
CIA Estimate
(Million Yuan
Chinese Reported Exports Percentage
(Million Yuan) Difference 4
1,906
1.9039
3.629
1,855
1.8743
3.477
First-half total
3,761
7,106
2,397
4,298
8,089,
14,969
13,967 '
1978
1
2,171
1.6786
3,644
II
2,274
1.7115
3,892
III
2,527
1.6909
4,273
IV
3.026
1.6397
4,962
16,771
16,760'
I
2,820
1.5724
4,434
II
3,190
1.5827
5,049
First-half total 6,010 9,483
9,500
Yearly total (planned)
19,200
Exchange rates are the average midmonth buy rates from
Economic Reporter, Hong Kong.
2 CIA estimate divided by the reported Chinese data minus one. A
negative indicates the CIA estimate is below the Chinese statistics.
New China News Agency, 27 June 1979. Exports increased 20
percent in 1978. The 1977 data were obtained by working back from
1978 data. This is probably on a Ren Min Bi (RMB) basis.
FBIS, 16 July 1979, L6. Exports increased 26.8 percent in the first
half of 1979 over the first half of 1978. The 1978 data were obtained
by working back from 1979 data. This is probably on a RMB basis.
New China News Agency, 27 June 1979.
6 Preliminary. Based on only 40 percent of trade reported.
FBIS, 16 July 1979, L6.
6 FBIS, 2 July 1979, L23. The 1979 Plan. The plan is probably $12.0
billion converted to 19.2 billion yuan at the midyear exchange rate
of 1.6.
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Chinese Imports,c.i.f.
CIA Estimates Exchange Rate' CIA Estimate Chinese Reported Imports
(Million US $) (Yuan per US $) (Million Yuan) (Million Yuan)
1977
1
11
First-half total
III
IV
Yearly total
1978
1
11
First-half total
IV
Yearly total
II
First-half total
1,312
1.9039
2,498
_
1,498
1.9843
2,808
2,810
5,306
2,046
1.8464
3,778
2,214
1.7931
3,970
7,069
13,054
2,021
1.6786
3,392
2,513
1.7115
4,301
4,534
7,693
7,380
4,621
3,826
1.6397
6,273
11,092
18,587
18,740
3,767
1.5724
5,923
3,767 6
1.5827
5,962,
7,534 6
11,885
11,800'
Exchange rates are the average midmonth buy rates from
Economic Reporter, Hong Kong.
2 CIA estimate divided by the reported Chinese data minus one. A
negative indicates the CIA estimate is below the Chinese statistics.
' New China News Agency, 27 June 1979. Imports increased 41.1
percent in 1978. The 1977 data were obtained by working back from
1978 data. This is probably on a Ren Min Bi (RMB) basis.
FBIS, 16 July 1979, L6. Imports increased 57.9 percent in the first
half of 1979 over the first half of 1978. The 1978 data were obtained
by working back from 1979 data. This is probably on a RMB basis.
' New China News Agency, 27 June 1979.
6 Preliminary. Based on only 45 percent of trade reported.
FBIS, 16 July 1979, L6.
8 FBIS, 2 July 1979, L23. The 1979 Plan. The plan is probably $15.5
billion converted to 24.8 billion yuan at the midyear exchange rate
of 1.6.
Percentage
Difference
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Appendix B
Chinese Imports, c.i.f.'
Million US $
1970
535.5
638.1
536.5
499.7
2,209.8
1971
_ _
490.8
566.7
616.2
634.7
2,308.3
1972
608.7
647.8
599.0
937.1
2,792.0
1973
962.8
1,139.6
1,339.8
1,568.3
5,010.4
1974
1,844.2 ____
2,033.2
1,804.3
7,355.0
1975
1,918.9
1,891.5
7,390.9
1,256.9
999.1
6,027.8
1977
1,311.6
1,497.9
2,045.5
____2,214.1__
7,069.2
1978
2,020.6
2,513.0
2,732.6
3,826.1
11,092.3
1979
3,766.6
' CIA estimate.
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