SECRETARY'S SPECIAL BRIEFING AND LUNCHEON U.S DEPARTMENT OF STATE MARCH 20, 1984 WASHINGTON, D.C.

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March 20, 1984
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Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 SECRETARY'S SPECIAL BRIEFING AND LUNCHEON U. S. Department of State . . March 20, 1984 Washington, Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY OF STATE WASHINGTON Secretary's Special Briefing and Luncheon ROOM: Secretary's Conference Room, Operations Center PROGRAM: 9:45 a.m. Meeting Called to Order - Mr. Gilbert A. Robinson, Special Advisor to the Diplomacy Secretary for Public 9:50 Remarks - The Honorable Lawrence S. Eagleburger, Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs 10:00 - 11:00 Briefing - "Central America: An Overview of the Problems Facing the Region and U.S. Policy," The Honorable Langhorne A. Motley, Assistant Secretary of State for Inter American Affairs 11:00 - 11:40 - Briefing - "Intelligence on Central America," The Honorable William J. Casey, Director of the Central Intelligence Agency 11:40 - 12:00 - Briefing - "An Inside View of the Sandinista Revolution," Geraldine O'Leary de Macias, former American Maryknoll Nun in Nicaragua 12:00 - 12:30 - Reception - John Quincy Adams Room 12:30 - 2:00 - Luncheon hosted by The Honorable George P. Shultz, Secretary of State Thomas Jefferson Room Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 United States Department of State Washington, D. C. 20520 INDEX BRIEFING KIT. Secretary's Special Briefing for Chief Executive Officers March 20, 1984 I. Agenda. II. List of Participants(CEOs and USG). III. Briefing Book: Central America-Democracy, Peace, and Development Initiative. IV. CBI:New Opportunities for American Business. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 GUEST LIST TUESDAY, MARCH 20, 1984 12:00-12:30 - John Quincy Adams Room 12:30-2:00 - Thomas Jefferson Room Mr. Robert A. Beck, Chairman Prudential Insurance Company of America Mr. W. Michael Blumenthal, Chairman Burroughs Corporation Mr. William W. Boeschenstein, President Owens-Corning Fiberglas Corporation Mr. William H. Bricker, Chairman Diamond Shamrock Corporation Mr. Douglas D. Danforth, Chairman Westinghouse Electric Corporation Mr. Edwin D. Dodd, Chairman Owens-Illinois, Inc. Mr. John C. Duncan, Chairman (Ret'd) St. Joe Minerals Corporation Mr. Joseph P. Flannery, President Uniroyal, Inc. Mr. Joseph B. Flavin, Chairman Singer Company Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 Mr. John R. Hall, Chairman Ashland Oil, Inc. Mr. Peter D. Hannaford, Chairman Hannaford Company, Inc. Mr. Robert A. Hanson, Chairman Deere & Company Mr. William R. Haselton, Chairman St. Regis Corporation Mr. Robert Hellendale, Chairman Great Northern Nekoosa Corporation Mr. T. A. Holmes, Chairman Ingersoll-Rand Company Mr. Wesley J. Howe, Chairman Becton Dickinson & Company Mr. Edward G. Jefferson, Chairman E.I. duPont de Nemours & Company Mr. Donald P. Kelly, Chairman Esmark, Inc. Mr. David S. Lewis, Chairman General Dynamics Corporation Mr. F. W. Luerssen, Chairman Inland Steel Company Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 Mr. Seymour Milstein, Chairman United Brands Company Mr. George B. Munroe, Chairman Phelps Dodge Corporation Mr. William C. Norris, Chairman Control Data Corporation Mr. J. Allen Overton, Jr., President American Mining Corporation. Mr. Charles W. Parry, Chairman Aluminum Company of America Mr. Thomas L. Phillips, Chairman Raytheon Company. Mr. Robert A. Pritzker, President The Marmon Group, Inc. Mr. Orin R. Smith, Acting Chief Executive Officer Engelhard Corporation Mr. Roger B. Smith, Chairman General Motors Corporation Mr. Anthony Stout, Chairman Government Research Corporation Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 .U.S..Government Officials SECRETARY SHULTZ HOST Hon. William J. Casey, Director, Central Intelligence Agency Hon. Faith Whittlesey, Assistant to the President for Public Liaison Hon. Kenneth W. Dam, Deputy Secretary, Department of State Hon. Lawrence S. Eagleburger, Under Secretary for Political Affairs, Department of State Hon. J. William Middendorf, II, U.S. Permanent Representative to the Organization of American States, Department of State Hon. William Schneider, Jr., Under Secretary for Security Assistance, Science and Technology, Department of State Hon. Edward J. Derwinski, Counselor, Department of-State . Hon. Selwa Roosevelt, Chief of Protocol, Department of State Hon. Langhorne A. Motley, Assistant Secretary for Inter- American Affairs, Department of State Hon. W. Tapley Bennett, Jr., Assistant Secretary for Legislative and Governmental Affairs, Department of State Hon. Otto J. Reich, Coordinator of Public Diplomacy for Latin America and the Caribbean, Department of State Hon. Gilbert A. Robinson, Special Advisor to the Secretary for Public Diplomacy, Department of State Mr. Walter Raymond, Jr., Special Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs, National Security Council Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 Hon. Gerald B. Helman, Deputy to the Under Secretary for Political Affairs and Director, Office of Public Diplomacy, Department of State Mr. John T. McCarthy, Deputy Assistant Secretary for Public Affairs, Department of State Mr. Robert Reilly, Associate Director, Office of Public Liaison, The White House Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 CARIBBEAN BASIN CBI Begins To Help Economies In Region By Robert H. Bateman U.S. exports to the countries of the Caribbean (Central America, the Caribbean islands, Suriname and Guyana) held up surprisingly well in 1983, considering the serious economic problems continuing to plague the region. A principal factor in this relative trade stability was the steady, or in some cases, increased dollar earnings of Caribbean Basin exports to the United States. This trend will be accen- tuated in 1984, as most countries of the Caribbean Basin region begin to boost export earnings even more as a result of duty-free access of most of their products to the U.S. market, the prin- cipal benefit of the Caribbean Basin Initiative (CBI). An analysis of 1983 U.S. trade data for selected Caribbean Basin countries shows increased non-petroleum im- ports from the region generally. This provided the wherewithal last year to support a slight strengthening of U.S. exports to these countries compared to 1982. While all are relatively small in size, Caribbean Basin economies are not identical in character; there are unique differences from one country to another that must be taken into ac- count. U.S. exports to Panama, for ex- ample, fell from $825 million in 1982 to $748 million in 1983, primarily as a result of a decline in Colon Free Zone activity. This development, in turn, can be attributed to a simultaneous contraction in the South American market and other markets to which Colon Free Zone merchants tradition- ally re-export. President Reagan has already desig- nated 20 countries beneficiaries of CBI legislation. A duty-free access provi- sion went into effect for the following countries on Jan. 1, under interim regulations issued by the U.S. Customs Service: Antiqua, Barbados, Belize, British Virgin Islands, Costa Rica, Dominica, the Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Grenada, Guatemala, Haiti, Honduras, Jamaica, Monserrat, the Netherlands Antilles, Panama, St. Christopher-Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and Trinidad & Tobago. Seven countries remain eligible to be designated as CBI beneficiaries. They are Anguilla, Bahamas, Caymans, Guyana, Nicaragua, and the Turks & Caicos. Although it is much too early to identify concrete results of the CBI, U.S. companies are becoming increas- ingly interested in possible joint ven- tures or direct sourcing in the region, especially involving products that face relatively high U.S. duties when originating in non-CBI countries. Many of these companies are consider- ing moving closer to home their off- shore operations now existing in the Far East and elsewhere. Doing so would permit savings on transporta- tion time and costs and would allow the companies to take advantage of duty-free entry under the CBI. CBE's indirect export effects Some U.S. suppliers are beginning to feel indirect export effects of the CBI as well. One manufacturer of irrigation equipment reports a sudden increase in price-quote requests from the Carib- bean Basin region in the weeks since duty-free entry of virtually all agricultural goods became a reality, underscoring the importance of agro- industries as a sector likely to grow in response to CBI incentives. Most Caribbean countries have stepped up their efforts to attract foreign investment, both through pro- motion of such traditional advantages as lower wage rates and tax holidays and by removing long-standing disin- centives to local investment in export industries. An attraction sometimes overlooked by potential U.S. investors is the duty- free access to European markets avail- able in the case of products made in the following Caribbean Basin countries: Antiqua, Bahamas, Barbados, Belize, Dominica, Grenada, Guyana, Jamai- ca, St. Lucia, St. Vincent, Suriname, and Trinidad & Tobago. The Lome Convention, a treaty signed by these countries with the ten member-states of the European Community, provides for this advantage. Thus a local joint venture could supply both the United States and Europe, once its production meets the rules of origin and other re quirements of both the CBI and the Lome Convention. It should be noted that for purposes of determining the national origin of a product under the CBI, value added in Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands is considered to be of CBI beneficiary origin. The second principal element of CBI legislation is a convention tax benefit that allows "North American treat- ment" of reasonable expenses incurred by U.S. firms and individuals attend- ing business conventions in a CBI ben- eficiary county. Implementation of this benefit remains contingent on a tax . information exchange agreement be- tween that country and the United States. The Dominican Republic, for one, has already begun discussions leading to such an agreement, and a number of other Caribbean Basin countries have expressed interest. This benefit could increase U.S. business travel in the region and stimulate up- grading of local tourist and convention facilities. The services and equipment needed for such an upgrading are ex- pected to come in large part from the United States. In the case of Central America, CBI benefits would be complemented by other economic measures recommend- ed by the President's National Biparti- san Commission on Central America. The Commission proposed an emer- gency stabilization program based largely on a major increase in eco- nomic assistance for Central America from the United States and other coun- tries. A number of other specific rec- ommendations would build directly on the CBI to enhance its effectiveness. President Reagan has endorsed most of the Commission's recommendations and is expected to send draft legislation to Congress shortly. The CBI and other U.S. programs will not solve the short-run economic problems of the region. U.S. exporters should expect some rough sledding in 1984 as individual countries step up austerity programs, devalue their cur- rency and impose further exchange re- strictions. But those U.S. companies taking a long-term view of doing busi- ness with the Caribbean and Central America are likely to ride out these dif- ficulties and maintain, or even build, market share. Additional information can be ob- tained from the Commerce Depart- ment's Caribbean Division by telephoning 202-377-2527. Business America, February 20,1984 31 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Iq Next 1 Page(s) In Document Denied Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 March 13, 1984 MEMORANDUM FOR: Honorable William Casey Director Central Intelligence Agency Subject: Your Participation in CEO Briefing - March 20 Following up on our brief telephone conversation of yesterday, here is the way things stand for the CEO briefing: PLACE: State Department Operations Center Conference Room, 7th Floor (as.you know, there is a podium for your use plus three rear projection screens for slides or film, should you want to use them) TIME: Your portion of the briefing is from 11:00-11:40am. 9:45 - Under Secretary Eagleburger - Welcomes 10:00 - 11:00 - Ambassador Langhorne Motley briefs on US policy in Central America and the Caribbean, and may touch on Latin America. Will have at least a 30- minute Q&A session. As of now, he will give a summation of where we stand with the legislation (a difficult job!) 11:00 - 11:40 - William Casey 11:40 - 12:00 - Geraldine O'Leary de Macias, former Maryknoll Nun from Nicaragua A) would be dramatic if you could give an estimate I hope that you will spell out the Soviet and Cuban threat in the area. (Tony Motley is de- liberately not going to touch on this at all.) If possible, my own personal opinion is that it Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 of the refugee problem that the Gulf Coast States would be faced with from boat people and others by land should the region come under Communist control. In the mailgram of invitation, we state that the briefing is off the record. I will be introducing you and the others and I will repeat that clearly. If there's anything in particular you'd like me to highlight in your introduction, please let me know. B) The 12:00-12:30 reception will give you time to talk individually with those of your friends and others who are here and want to meet you. Your participation has evoked very nice interest. C) Lunch - You will be hosting a table. Please let me know on the attached list of approximately 30 acceptances to date if there's anyone in particular you'd like seated next to you or on either side. Gilbert A. Robinson Special Advisor for Public Diplomacy Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 United States Department of State Briefing Book Central America Democracy, Peace and Development Initiative Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 United States Department of State Briefing Book Central America Democracy, Peace and Development Initiative Office of Public Diplomacy for Latin America and the Caribbean Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. White House Fact Sheet 2. State Department Position 3. Issues Papers and Talking Points on NBCCA Recommendations 4. Implementation of Recommendations 5. Summary Sheet of NBCCA Report 6. Testimony by Dr. Kissinger before House Foreign Affairs Committee 7. President Reagan's Transmittal Letter and Central American Democracy, Peace and Development Initiative Bill 8. Section-by-Section Analysis of Bill 9. Economic Assistance Program Overview 10. Military Assistance Program Overview 11. U.S. Government Statements of Policy Office of Public Diplomacy for Latin America and the Caribbean Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 Central America Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Belize city *Belmopan Flores BELIZE uerto f ios Tuxtla ,Gutierrez GUATEMALA 'Quezate g * Guatemala Cayman lslandsPC- Georgetown@~'tu.K.) Montego Bad L- ~ AMAICA Swan Islands (Honduras) Is/as de Is Bahia Cayos Miskilos 05 EL SAL Puerto Cabezas 9alpa l ? Isla de Matagalpa Mat' Providencia y I-,- Ae ~ (Colombia) Managua" Canada, North Pacific Ocean NICARAGUA Bluefields Lagode;: \Nicaragua Islas del Mai, Caribbean Sea I Isla de San Andres (Colombia) olfit COSTA *San Jos RICA ~ Panam A M A Scale 1:9,500,000 0 100 200 Kilometers 0 100 200 Nautical Miles Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 .Palm Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 PRESIDENT'S CENTRAL AMERICA DEMOCRACY, PEACE AND DEVELOPMENT INITIATIVE OVERVIEW 0 The recommendations of the National Bipartisan Commission on Central America come at a critical time in the development of democracy, the restoration of peace, and the improvement of living conditions in Central America. 0 The twelve commissioners -- Democrats, independents and Republicans -- concluded that "Central America is both vital and vulnerable, and that whatever other crises may arise to claim the nation's attention the United States cannot afford to turn away from that threatened region." o The Commission and the Administration agree that the acute crisis in Central America endangers fundamental strategic and moral interests of the U.S. 0 Accordingly, the President, through legislation and appropriate executive actions, will seek to implement all the Commission's recommendations. o The program emphasis recommended by the Commission, and accepted by the Administration for implementation, is on economic aid and policy reform to get at root causes of poverty and political unrest. o The crucial importance of social and economic factors is reflected in our proposed budget figures. In FY 1985 alone, the proposed levels for economic assistance are almost seven times the levels for military aid. The total FY 1984 Supplemental/FY 1985 program for the region is 75% economic, as opposed to 25% military assistance. o As the Commission recommends, U.S. policy must be and is guided by the principles of democratic self- determination, economic and social development that fairly benefits all, respect for human rights, and cooperation in meeting threats to the security of the region. o Bipartisan support in Congress is needed for an increased commitment of resources to be provided predictably, beginning immediately and extending over the next five years, to support a balanced and mutually reinforcing mix of economic, political, diplomatic and security activities to be pursued simultaneously. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 HIGHLIGHTS OF PROPOSED LEGISLATION Economic Assistance o Commission recommended $400 million in supplemental economic assistance in FY 1984. --Administration request is $400 million. --Additional emergency transfers are needed to reverse sharp declines in Gross Domestic Product (GDP), per capita income, and employment. --During last several years, per capita GDP has fallen by 35% in El Salvador, 23% in Costa Rica, 14% in Guatemala, and 12% in Honduras. --Economic deterioration is a source of social and political unrest. --Supplemental request is primarily for emergency stabilization needed to set the base for a long-term comprehensive development plan. o Commission recommended $8 billion economic aid for next five years, FY 1985-89. --The proposed implementation plan calls for $5.9 billion in appropriated funds and $2.0 billion in insurance and guarantees, principally for trade credits issued by the Export--Import Bank. --For FY 1985, the request is $1,120.0 million in appropriated funds and $600 million in insurance and guarantees. --Major beneficiaries of direct, bilateral aid in FY 1985 would be El Salvador ($341.1 million), Costa Rica ($208.0 million), Honduras s regional ($139.ml, Guatemala ($96.4 million), u programs ($198.6 million). --Though El Salvador would be the largest single recipient, its share would not be disproportionate -- two other countries will receive more on a per capita basis as now planned. o Commission recommended a comprehensive approach to promote democratization, economic growth, human plan for development and security. The Administration's p the first year (FY 1985) of a five year initiative includes the following: --Providing $541 million as balance of payments support to finance critical imports by the private sector. --Undertaking a $185 million program in labor funded intensive infrastructure and housing projects, by a combination of local currency generations ofhe balance of payments assistance program, Development Assistance, and guarantees. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 --Spending more than $100 million for education (including literacy and teacher corps), training and scholarships. --Devoting $210 million to development of agriculture, the backbone of Central American economies, funded with local currency generations of the balance of payments assistance program and Development Assistance. --Including special funding for the National Endowment for Democracy, earmarked for Central America. --Providing $120 million in Public Law 480 agricultural commodities, with local currency proceeds used to reinforce important programs in, for example, the education and health sectors. Military Assistance o The restoration of peace in Central America is essential to economic and humanitarian progress. Without enhanced security, economic assistance and diplomatic efforts would be undermined. The Commission specifically recommends significantly increased levels of military aid to El Salvador and warns against providing "too little to wage the war successfully." o Military assistance requirements are as follows: --For El Salvador: $178.7 million in FY 1984 supplemental assistance and $132.5 million for FY 1985. Added to the $64.8 million made available by the FY 1984 Continuing. Resolution, the total FY 1984-85 program for El Salvador would be $376 million. --The El Salvador program would be concentrated in FY 1984 in order to break the military stalemate and provide an adequate security shield for democracy and economic growth. --For the rest of Central America, $80.3 million in FY 1984 supplemental military assistance and $123.4 million in FY 1985 is proposed. --From the FY 1984 supplemental, Honduras will receive $37.5 million, and $25 million will be provided to the Regional Military Training Center (RMTC). In FY 1985, major recipients of military assistance (besides El Salvador) will be Honduras ($62.5 million), Panama and the RMTC ($20 million each). Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 o The Commission recommends that military aid to El Salvador should be made "contingent" through legislation requiring periodic reports upon demonstrated progress in reaching certain enumerated objectives such as free elections and reduction of death squad activities. o There is agreement within the Executive, the Congress and the Commission that human rights progress is essential in El Salvador to ensure a successful outcome of the war and the protection of U.S. security and moral interests; U.S. assistance should be conditioned on progress in this as well as other priority objectives. o The Administration proposes legislation, therefore, that requires semi-annual assessments to Congress of the Government of El Salvador's policies for achieving political and economic development and conditions of security. This report is to include an assessment of how the policies are meeting U.S. objectives; among these objectives are the goals outlined in the Commission's report. Moreover, the legislation should call upon the President to ensure that military assistance fosters progress toward reaching overall U.S. objectives, including human rights, and toward this end directs him to impose conditions on military assistance in every appropriate instance. o The Administration and the Congress need to work closely to ensure human rights progress while preserving the President's ability to pursue an effective foreign policy. Central American Development Organization (CADO) o In line with the Commission's recommendation, the legislation should provide guidance for the President to work with the Central American countries and other donors in establishing CADO. o CADO should provide an effective forum for an open dialogue on and continuous review of Central American political, economic and social development. o While ultimate control of aid funds should remain with Congress and the President, disbursement of 25% of economic assistance funds authorized under the legislation and allocated directly for each Central American country should be deferred until the U.S. and CADO have both approved. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 PREPARED STATEC,IENT OF THE HONORABLE LANGHORNE A . MOTLEY ASS ;P `ANT , ?E.CRE.TARY OF STATE FOR INTER-AMERICAN AFFAIRS BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON WESTERN HEMISPHERE AFFAIRS ,,HOUSE FOREIGN AFFAIRS COMMITTEE FEBRUARY 21, 1984 Mr. Chairman, i am pleased to appear before you to testify on the vitally important Central America Democracy, Peace and Development Initiative Act of 1984. The exhaustive study made by the National Bipartisan Commission on Central America has enabled us to prepare a comprehensive response to the many-sided crisis in Central America. The Administration and the Congress are now in a position to forge a complete program of action that meets both immediate operational needs and the requirements of a long-term strategy, The bill the President has just transmitted to the Congress embodies those recommendations made by the Bipartisan Commission which cannot be implemented without legislation. As you know, the President will implement by Executive action those Commission recommendations that do not require new legislation. He urges prompt Congressional action and support for this bill. This legislative package will help to stabilize economies and societies plagued by injustice and violence. At the same time, it will enable us to take the offensive against poverty and to foster democratic development, to increase respect for human rights, and to help bring lasting peace to tnis troubled region so close to the United States, This prepared statement addresses: the report of the Bipartisan Commission; the major elements of the legislation; and some questions of policy and implementation. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 'Bipaxti ara Commission The Repo the Perhaps the most striking aspect of the Commission's report is its honesty its candor in facing up to the complexities of Cc!It1a=1 TIiierica. The t 7ai4t I:I L.CJt ld OtAv(U focussed I c,d. l t SSUeS" which, if 1 i C_ I Cll _y on one or l..w t addressed a..u isolation, mi created the l-LLusion of a broader Solution. To =i."ice er"e-cii t, the COium? s .Lc.'i refused to oversimplify. It 1 (.Y c that Cent-a1 '~IIt: ,.( r_3 Problems are complex, c t 7'c ?lac ScVE-+c ;r1c1 deeply -ly I'iloteu, L)atI.V teat tI1ey add up to .~`t C 1 a "welt C5.~; web" from which u-- quick fixes or shortcuts will riterC Sts !'-rlvcJ ved, it poinLed out, are both fl free i `ISi1c: UE~e 1110 I ii t?aicc~i 3 And :: y v tl-. _utened by human rights } `} by economic' illi ser?y _.-. oe1.1. as by Cuban arid Soviet i nterr. vl Ilt i en I i] illl.i `s; laii s t r'e - collier enensive and t na.-Lvs a 1t coulit Love [i lsi ecl on its mandate - ~ t l l.c~'1 term IIi .S n'J Jr ided the. dif#ircUlt c' ,_! I d r :]v(- sulfinizi izzed the pool icieS il~f=' we -ice now. ] l:l p ursuec1 by _t1 ? Adl[I i1Lsrzaticorl and yiven us credit tllcd i t coul d have simply praised the or t.hc: right t u] C ri] +---.._1. _iu[(,L- - caI1 countr los and the ne, _ r -- 11_,o_rt.5 of he t I 1.t-porLa rice of rio oti t ?.--n: {like those underway in the LIS E; t tI T=i- C'_oI[IIRission ua La i=ii. lti.=11111111 a cin(d unambiguous in I 5 7_ "rti v-!1. , t b) e i-U-~.1 Les manageable if we CE~iic t ' , !it the _CJI1C i - : ( ?: 1. wit.ll e istilly r ii +l_1 rI(~r_ It ca.LICcl LC)r U.S. i or regional e to t1.1 } c Coot. udura but said that the 1lr~tt~- >t~Ftc~~ also lia C-1 =J,Cc.,i,.l to coIltl:ibutu I ,7-u l v to lire creation of u C( noltlic, security, and political ( . 3 0 I , iS U1 ed .:c3-c I i- concluded that we ii.[;e not >I](%1-i arid l ( ci~IlllCic-. releCi thu c i_._ii, AdLl it lll_t tC 1tion and the r'`Jia i-( c'(JtJ}zate t.(-) ran =iui-e !l:: i vie ptt1V7cue the resources we ( iiri: I (_ Z to work successfully 7sitter cull I. ti C -rat r i i ,t1 soti.icii ctrl democracy I' - -r i-{ k)i_11.t -ttiCl -iiid '3evc 1opIcreul_ '-"+Hi ~~+._'lil-..1 `-. 1-ountr t fL C ees and displaced the DIJ L i ta+ y s? tuat 'on and que r .! la act- V The President shall ens9ur?e tat. a S3 t tante ant j .c [` f th -- Act 7 s provided to the in _ ml- n_n?er which io-u ej `C. he obje v of poll t cal i_ ~~el. %- PS en 1 econt`7m ? i ? . w s:L c s, .cei_ and secur t y- To Jb < s ?-flQ , .ti r -~ P ~9 instance- shall upios?_ c' ,311th L .j [E e w1 Ff s -Ir 1~.` ~ e Go ~ rnme~l ~ R Saivadi~=? of Ems s an- e autn o 9.ze9 ~`?- ?; II of al`s s ct in order to achieve these i goals id E!''.5 t M b ' ion I j -R.?" Vii= s Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 21 - TITLE IV - MISCELLANEOUS PROVISIONS DEFINITIONS SEC. 401. For the purposes of this Act, including amendments to the Foreign Assistance Act of 1961 made by this Act, the term "Central American countries" shall be deemed to include Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama and regional programs which benefit such countries. TRANSFER AUTHORITY SEC. 402. Whenever the President determines it to be necessary for the purposes of this Act, in each of the fiscal years-1984 and 1985 not more than a total of $50,000,000 from funds made available for provisions authorized by this Act may be transferred to, and consolidated with, funds made available for provisions authorized by Title II of this Act. COORDINATION SEC. 403. Under the direction of the President, the Secretary of State shall be responsible for the continuous supervision and general direction of programs undertaken to carry out the purposes of this Act. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 SECTION-BY-SECTION ANALYSIS OF THE PROPOSED CENTRAL AMERICA DEMOCRACY, PEACE AND DEVELOPMENT INITIATIVE ACT OF 1984 J. INTRODUCTION The proposed Central America Democracy, Peace and Development Initiative Act of 1984 ("the Bill") establishes a long-term framework to build democracy, restore peace, and improve living conditions in Central America and authorizes assistance for the fiscal years 1984 through 1989. The'Bill contains freestanding provisions and amends the Foreign Assistance Act of 1961 in order to carry out the recommendations of the National Bipartisan Commission on Central America. The Bill is composed of four titles. Title I consists of a statement of policy concerning Central America. Title II consists of a statement of findings and authorizations for programs for economic and human development. Title III contains findings and authorizations for programs for military assistance, sales and related programs under the Arms Export Control Act and the Foreign Assistance Act of .1961. Title IV consists of provisions concerning definitions, transfer of funds, and coordination of policy. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 The amounts which wo?- authorized by this Bill will be available for use for Cezt.: tier ican countries, including regional programs which be.6 - t esuch countries. Those amounts authorized for the fiscal year 1984 in this Bill would be in addition to amounts previously authorized, appropriated or otherwise made available for Central American countries for the current fiscal year. Those -mounts authorized for the fiscal years 1985 through 1989 would be in addition to amounts authorized, appropriated or otherwise made available for such purposes for that fiscal yearn Ili.. PROVISIONS OF THE BILL SECTION 1. SHORT TITLE s section provides that the Bill may be cited as the "Central America Democracy, Peace and Development Initiative Act of 1984"e TITLE I ? STATEMENT OF POLICY SECTION 101. This section states the finding of Congress that the building of democracy, the restoration of peace, and the improvement of living conditions in Central America are important to the interests of the United States and the - community of American states? The section further states the findings of Congress concerning the importance of effectively dealing with interrelated social, humanitarian, economic, political, diplomatic and security issues to assure a Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 democratic and economically and politically secure Central America. In this section, Congress further recognizes that, although the achievement of democracy, human rights, peace, and equitable economic growth depends primarily on the people and governments of Central America, the United States can make a significant contribution through a long-term policy which includes a long-term commitment of both economic and military assistance. In this section, Congress further defines the goals which the policy of the United States should seek to achieve and indicates that the purpose of the Act is tot establish the statutory framework and authorize the funding necessary to carry out this policy. TITLE II - ECONOMIC AND HUMAN DEVELOPMENT SECTION 201. FINDINGS In this section, the Congress defines basic principles which will guide furnishing of assistance for economic and human development. The principles which shall guide the development and implementation of programs of agricultural development, education, health and population, housing, and economic stabilization shall include growth-oriented economic policies, increased participation of the private-sector, development of energy resources, creation and improvement of private and public sector institutions, and recognition that basic human needs and economic stabilization must both occur if equitable growth is to take place. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 SECTION 202. DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE This section authorizes appropriations for development assistance programs, for the fiscal years 1984 and 1985, respectively, as follows: Agriculture, rural development, and nutrition, $10,000,000 and $69,800,000; Population, $5,000,000 and $15,000,000; Health, $18,000,000 and $40,000,000; Education and human resources development, $10,000,000 and $64,000,000; Selected development activities, $30,000,000 and $84,00'0,000; Housing guaranty reserve fund, $10,000,000 (for the fiscal year 1985); Operating expenses, Agency for International Development, $2,489,000 and $6,016,000; This section also provides that the amounts appropriated pursuant to this section are authorized to remain available until expended. SECTION 203. ECONOMIC SUPPORT FUND This section authorizes for -the Economic Support- Fund $290,500,000 for the fiscal year 1984 and $640,600,000 for the fiscal year 1985. This section also provides that the amounts appropriated pursuant to this section are authorized to remain available until expended. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 SECTION 204. PEACE CORPS . This section authorizes for the Peace Corps $2,000,000 for the fiscal year 1984 and $18,200,000 for the fiscal year 1985. This section also provides that the amounts appropriated pursuant to this section are authorized to remain available until expended. SECTION 205. UNITED STATES INFORMATION AGENCY This section authorizes for the United States Information Agency $7,000,000 for the fiscal year 1984 and $36,400,000 for the fiscal year 1985. This section also provides that the amounts appropriated pursuant to this section are authorized to remain available until expended. SECTION 206. MIGRATION AND REFUGEE ASSISTANCE This section authorizes for migration and refugee assistance $15,000,000 for the fiscal year 1985. This section also provides that the amounts appropriated pursuant to this section are authorized to remain available until expended. SECTION 207. HOUSING GUARANTY PROGRAM This section authorizes an increase in the limit on the total principal amount of loans for which guarantees may be issued under sections 221 and 222 of the Foreign Assistance Act of 1961. This increase would be $40,000,000 for the fiscal year 1985. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 6 - SECTION 208. ADMINISTRATION OF JUSTICE In accordance with the recommendations of the Bipartisan Commission that the United States help strengthen Central American judicial systems and that Congress consider authorizing the training and support of law enforcement agencies under carefully defined conditions, this section would authorize in any fiscal year the furnishing of not more than $20,000,000 of the funds appropriated for economic assistance programs in order to strengthen the administration of justice in Central American countries and the countries of the Caribbean. These projects would include activities for judges, prosecutors, and criminal investigation and law enforcement (including corrections) agencies. SECTION 209. TRADE CREDIT INSURANCE PROGRAM This section authorizes Economic Support Fund monies to be made available for payments by the Agency for International Development to discharge liabilities under certain guarantees and insurance issued by the Export-Import Bank. Such guarantees and insurance shall cover the risk of loss or non-payment under certain short-term trade credits used to finance goods and services for use by the private sector in Central American countries. These guarantees and insurance will not constitute loans made by the United States government to a foreign country. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 7 - SECTION 210. LAND REFORM PROGRAMS This section amends section 620(g) of the Foreign Assistance Act of 1961 to authorize the President to make available to governments assistance to compensate their nationals in accordance with a land reform program, if the President determines that monetary assistance for such land reform program will further the national interests of the United States. SECTION 211. CENTRAL AMERICAN DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATION In furtherance of the recommendations of the Bipartisan Commission, this section states the finding of Congress that participation by Central American countries in an effective forum for dialogue on and the continuous review and advancement of Central America's political, economic and social development would foster cooperation between the United States and Central American countries in furthering the purposes of this Act. This section further states the sense of Congress that the President should enter into negotiations with representatives of Central American countries receiving assistance under the Act to establish a Central American Development organization, based upon principles stated in the section. In addition, this section authorizes the President to participate in such'an organization (with the Administrator of the Agency for International Development as chairman). - Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 8 - It is not the intention that this organization be established as a bureaucratic entity in competition with bilateral and multilateral donor organizations. The organization should be composed of public and private sector representatives from participating countries and should draw on the experience of the International Labor organization with representatives from both the business and labor communities. The number of professional staff of the organization should be kept to a minimum. SECTION 212. ECONOMIC ASSISTANCE This section authorizes $1,200,000,000 for each of the fiscal years 1986 through 1989 for the purpose of furnishing non-military assistance for Central American countries. The President would be authorized to transfer the funds made available pursuant to this section for obligation in accordance with the authorities of part I of the Foreign Assistance Act of 1961 (including the Economic Support Fund), the Peace Corps Act, the Migration and Refugee Assistance Act of 1962, the United States Information and Educational Exchange Act of 1948, the Mutual Educational and Cultural Exchange Act of 1961, the National Endowment for Democracy Act, and the State Department Basic Authorities Act of 1956. In addition, this section authorizes an increase of $40,000,000 in the limit of the total principal amount of loans for which housing guarantees may be issued under sections 221 and 222 of the Foreign Assistance Act Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 9 - of 1961 for each of the fiscal years 1986 through 1989. Finally, this section authorizes for the fiscal year 1986 $200,000,000 of loan principal for guarantees or insurance under section 224 of the Foreign Assistance Act of 1961 for Central American countries. TITLE III - MILITARY ASSISTANCE, SALES AND RELATED PROGRAMS SECTION 301. FINDINGS This section states the finding of Congress that the restoration of peace in Central America is essential to economic and humanitarian progress in that region and that restoring peace and stability will require a combination of social and political reforms, economic advances, diplomatic efforts, and measures to enhance security, in accordance with certain principles identified in the section. SECTION 302. MILITARY ASSISTANCE This section authorizes for the Military Assistance program $259,050,000 for the fiscal year 1984 and $222,000,000 for the fiscal year 1985. This section also provides that the amounts appropriated pursuant to this section are authorized to remain available until expended. SECTION 303. MILITARY EDUCATION-AND TRAINING This section authorizes for the International Military Education and Training program $3,900,000 for the fiscal year 1985. This section also provides that the amounts appropriated pursuant to this section are authorized to remain available until expended. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 10 SECTION 304. FOREIGN MILITARY SALES FINANCING This section authorizes $30,000,000 for the fiscal year 1985 to carry out the purposes of section 23 of the Arms Export Control Act. This section also provides that the amounts ,appropriated pursuant to this section are authorized to remain available until expended. SECTION 305. REPORTING REQUIREMENT This section requires semiannual reports to Congress describing the policies of the Government of El Salvador for achieving political development, economic development and conditions of security. In the report, the President is to include a detailed assessment of the strengths and weaknesses of such policies in meeting the objectives which United States policy is designed to support, including the specific goals of free elections, freedom of association, dialogue and negotiations to achieve peace, the establishment of the rule of law and an effective judicial system, the curtailment of extremist violence by both the left and the right as well as vigorous action to prosecute those guilty of crimes. The report is also to review other factors contributing to the political, economic and security situation in that country. Finally, the President shall ensure that assistance authorized by the Act for military programs is provided to the Government of El Salvador in a manner which fosters progress of that government towards the objectives of political development, Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 - 11 - economic development and security, in accordance with the recommendations of the Bipartisan commission. TITLE IV - MISCELLANEOUS PROVISIONS SECTION 401. DEFINITIONS This section states that the term "Central.A*erican countries" shall be deemed to include, for the purposes of this Act and the amendments this Act makes to the Foreign Assistance Act of 1961, Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama and regional programs which benefit such countries, such as regional training programs. SECTION 402. TRANSFER AUTHORITY This section authorizes the President to transfer in each of the fiscal years 1984 and 1985 up to a total of $50,000,000 from accounts authorized by this Act to non-military accounts authorized by this Act, if he determines it to be necessary for the purposes of this Act. This authority is in addition to that available pursuant to sections 109 and 610 of the Foreign Assistance Act of 1961. SECTION 403. COORDINATION This section states that, under the direction of the President, the Secretary of State shall be responsible for the continuous supervision and general direction of programs undertaken to carry out the purposes of this Act. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 PROGRAM SUMMARY (In thousands of dollars) Agriculture, Education Fiscal Total Rural Development Population Health and Human Resources Selected Development Other Programs Year Planning and Develop- Activities Nutrition ment ESF Other 1983 Loans 264,247 75,000 -- 25,000 -- 15,697 148,550 -- Grants 270,560 19,445 6,660 2,195 5,636 12,079 224,450 95 534,807 94,445 6,660 27,195 5,636 27,776 373,000 95aL Total 1984 Loans 148,681 49,000 -- 9,655 2,000 12,026 76,000 Grants 198,190 21,337 4,819 3,820 4,565 9,649 154,000 -- Suppl 363,500 10,000 5,000 18,000 10,000 30,000 290,500 -- Total 710 371 80,337 9 819 31 475 16,565 51.675 520.500 1985 Loans 55,292 25,000 -- 10,342 -- 13,950 6,000 -- Grants 858,108 44,800 15,000 29,658 64,000 70,000 634,600 -- Total 913 400 69,800 15,000 40,000 64 000 _84,00 640.6 a. Disaster Assistance Funds FY 1985 PROGRAM HIGHLIGHTS - A.I.D.'s Central American program concentrates on four fundamental elements: economic stabilization, creation of a basis for long-term growth, promotion of equity, and strengthened democratic institutions and respect for human rights. - In FY 1985, the request consists of: $640.6 million of ESF, $272.8 million of DA, $120 million in P.L. 480 commodities, $77 million of other agency pro- grams and Operating Expenses, and $600 million in guaranty authority to sup- port private lending to the region. - In FY 1984, the supplemental request for Central America includes: $290.5 million of ESF, $73 million of DA, $25 million of P.L. 480 commoditie and $12 million in other agency programs and increased s Operating Expenses. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86BOO42OR000701460001-3 AN ECONOMIC ASSISTANCE PROGRAM FOR CENTRAL AMERICA INTRODUCTION Central America is in crisis. As the National Bipartisan Commission on Central America has documented, the economic, political and social turmoil of the region poses a serious threat to U.S. national interests. Immediate action is essential. This request embodies an action program to attack the fundamental economic, social and political problems of the region identified by the Bipartisan Commission. A separate request has been prepared to address the military and security issues facing the United States in the region. This request proposes a four-pronged program of stabilization, growth, equity and democratization measures to address the underlying problems identified by the Bipartisan Commission. Because aid alone cannot produce development, the assistance proposed here would be conditioned on demonstrations by the governments of their commitment and ability to undertake fundamental economic and social reforms. THE REGION'S PROBLEMS Economic and social development has been made most difficult by the presence of military conflict within the Central American region. Even were this conflict to disappear, however, the region would still face four severe, long-term, and potentially intractable problems: economic instability, poor economic growth, economic and social inequity, and weak political and legal systems. Each is described briefly below. Economic Instability. All countries of the region are reeling from the economic and political shocks of the past several years. The combination of the 1979-1980 oil price increases and the commodity price declines between 1980 and 1983 opened up a gap of $1.5 billion in the region's balance of payments, to which most governments responded by excessive borrowing rather than adjustment. The political turmoil resulting from the establishment of a Marxist government in Nicaragua and from internal strife in El Salvador exacerbated this economic problem, leading to cutoffs of commercial credit, capital flight, and a dropoff in foreign investment. The financial difficulties left the countries unable to make payments for their Central American trade, resulting in a collapse of the intraregional payments system and a sharp contraction of intraregional trade. In addition, regional governments face difficult fiscal situations resulting from reduced revenue due to lower production and trade and inadequate tax collection and to increased spending arising from an expansion of government programs and of military spending due to insurgency and threats from abroad. Poor Growth Prospects. The economic problems facing Central America go beyond the relatively recent instability mentioned above. Sustained economic growth is the only mechanism over the long haul that can fundamentally change the reality of widespread poverty in the region, yet prospects are poor for the traditional agricultural sectors, such as coffee, sugar and bananas, which in the past have fueled growth spurts. Opportunities for import substitution Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86BOO42OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 industries have been exhausted. Unless some dynamic growth can be generated by structural change that allows diversification of production and exports, productive employment opportunities for the region's rapidly growing labor force will not be available, and the region will be unable to overcome its economic backwardness. Economic and Social Inequity. A third serious problem facing three of the countries -- Guatemala, El Salvador and Nicaragua -- is the limited capacity or willingness of government institutions to address the issues that are at the core of the development process. Unless the governments of these countries come to grips with basic equity, social justice and participation issues in a manner that addresses the concerns of all sectors of their societies, their political stability -- and therefore that of the entire region -- will continue to be threatened. Honduras, the poorest country in the region, has so far managed to avoid the divisive internal conflicts of the three countries mentioned above, but rapid improvement in the quality of life for all sectors of the population is an important requirement for preventing the emergence of such a situation. Weak Political and Legal Institutions. Related to the lack of equity in some of the countries is the lack of strong legal systems, the existence of unrepresentative political systems and an overall lack of concern for basic human rights. Costa Rica demonstrates that democratic political systems are indeed possible in the region and that they can play a crucial role in maintaining political stability and promoting broad development goals. Representative systems cannot be built overnight, nor can they be imposed from outside. But outside assistance can support indigenous efforts in this area. MULTIYEAR GOALS AND FUNDING REQUEST The funding requested here includes two elements: authorization of $8.3 billion in economic. assistance and guarantees for Central America, to be available over the next six years; and a supplemental appropriation of $400 million in FY 1984 and a request for a $1,120 million appropriation in FY 1985, representing the first phase of implementation of this program. In the face of large federal deficits and urgent domestic priorities, such a request requires compelling justification. We believe that the report of the Bipartisan Commission provides this. The situation is so alarming, the Commission concluded, that "whatever the short-term costs of acting now, they are far less than the long-term costs of not acting now." If the proposed assistance can capture the imagination and energies of the people of Central America, we believe that it can support a dramatic turnaround in the development situation of the region and eliminate a potentially serious threat to U.S. national security. Our major goals for the five-year program are the following: -- an end to the downward spiral in production by 1985; -- achievement of an economic growth rate of at least 6% per year in the Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 region within six years, producing more than 250,000 jobs annually through export-led growth; -- agricultural production increasing by 4% per year by 1989, generating 80,000 jobs per year and increasing both food availability and agroindustrial exports; -- substantially greater participation of all sectors of the Central American population in the benefits of economic growth, including: -- an increase in primary school enrollments to 95% of the school-aged population by 1989 from the current 84%; -- a reduction in the rate of primary-level grade repeaters by 50% in all countries, and an increase in the primary level completion rates from 40% to 80% in Guatemala, Honduras and El Salvador, and from 80% to 95% in Costa Rica, Panama and Belize by 1990; -- a reduction in infant mortality from the current rate of 65 per thousand to 55 per thousand by 1989; -- provision of modern family planning services to almost 600,000 couples, increasing contraceptive usage by 50% by 1989 and reducing birth rates by 1% each year; -- an increase of 25% in the rate of construction of low-income housing; and -- a 25% increase in the coverage of water and sewerage services by 1989. -- a strengthening of democratic institutions in countries where they already exist, and achieving substantial progress toward participatory democracy and legal systems that respect individual human rights in the others. As proposed by the Bipartisan Commission, the assistance to Central America would be provided as part of a multiyear and collaborative approach in which our aid would be closely tied to commitments for economic and social reforms by the recipient governments. Our procedures for implementation will reflect a greater emphasis on more flexible instruments for assistance, greater collaboration with governments and private groups in the region, and streamlined administration. A Central American Development Organization (CADO), consisting of highly experienced and respected representatives of Central America and the United States, will monitor and assess country performance against both economic and political goals. This approach follows the conclusion by the Bipartisan Commission that an integrated program attacking the four major problems of the area -- economic instability, poor economic growth, poor equity performance, and weak political and legal systems -- is essential to resolution of the region's problems. We propose that the full amount necessary for this entire program be authorized in FY 1984 to provide our friends with the assurance necessary to take difficult actions to meet the crisis. The supplemental appropriation* we are requesting in FY 1984 includes: *This is in addition to the following being amounts financed for Central America under the FY 1984 Continuing Resolution: $230 million in ESF; $117 million in DA; and $83 million under P.L. 480. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 -- $290 million of Economic Support Funds (ESF) ; -- $73 million in Development Assistance (DA); -- $25 million in P.L. 480 commodities; and -- $12 million in other agency programs and increased operating expenses. In FY 1985, we are seeking appropriation of: -- $641 million of ESF; -- $273 million in DA; -- $120 million in P.L. 480 commodities; - $77 million for other programs and operating expenses; and -- $600 million in guaranty authority to support private lending to the region. In each case, we request that the ESF and DA appropriation be made available until expended to allow more effective application of condi ti onali ty to these programs . Our Central Ameri can program strategy concentrates on four fundamental elements: economic stabilization, creation of a basis for long-term growth, promotion of equity, and strengthened democratic institutions and respect for human rights. The immediate priority will be to achieve economic stabilization by eliminating unfinanced balance of payments and fiscal gaps. While all Central American countries have reduced import levels, increased assistance will be needed if further declines in imports -- and therefore in incomes -- are to be avoided. We propose to provide large-scale balance-of-payments assistance, conditioned on steps by governments to increase exports and conserve on imports for consumption to restore external balance, and to correct fiscal imbalances through increased taxes and spending controls. To assure this we will seek to operate within the framework of International Monetary Fund (IMF) stabilization programs. If an IMF program is not feasible in particular circumstances, we shall establish our own performance targets for macroeconomic variables. Both the time period required for economic stabilization and the level of resources required will depend significantly upon external events. At present, we expect this phase to require three to five years and $3.1 billion in U.S. Government assistance. This will include $2.5 billion in appropriated ESF, $0.1 billion in P.L. 1180 commodities, and $0.5 billion in private trade credits guaranteed by the U. S. Government. The bulk of the funds will be provided bilaterally, but a portion will be channeled through Central American regional institutions to promote restoration of intraregional trade. The assistance will enable the region to increase imports of needed raw materials and capital goods to increase production and employment over the near term. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 However, local-currency generations from this dollar assistance will be used in most cases to support other A.I.D. economic assistance goals, e.g., production credit, labor-intensive construction of economic infrastructure and the most pressing basic human needs in health, education and housing. B. Laying the Basis for Long-Term Growth The second element of our strategy -- distinct from the first, but pursued concurrently with it -- is to lay the basis for self-sustaining growth d that will provide productive employment for the people of the region. Rapid growth in productive job opportunities is the key to promotion of self-sustaining economic growth and to steadily rising incomes. Our program for growth promotion through productive employment stresses four elements: reform of government economic policies, promotion of industry and agriculture, and creation of economic infrastructure. We believe that our approach can restore relatively rapid economic growth to the region (6% real growth per year) within five years. We propose funding of $3.9 billion for this purpose, including $1.7 billion in appropriated funds ($0.9 billion ESF, $0.4 billion DA, and $0.4 billion P.L. 480), $0.8 billion in local currency counterpart generations from economic stabilization assistance, and up to $1.3 billion in guarantees and insurance. The lteerrnk will include trade credits provided through A.I.D. and the Export-Import and increased insurance coverage by the Overseas Private Investment Corporation. essential to 1. Policy reform. Increased employment opportunities achievement of long-term growth and equity goals. import-substitution policies have often discriminated against labor-using activities by making machinery artificially cheap. Such practices include interest rates that are negative in real terms, overvalued exchange rates, and very high tariff walls that encourage production of capital-intensive commodities. Eliminating such approaches would encourage more labor-intensive production methods and stimulate increased exports of both traditional and new products. The experience in the developing countries over the past two decades suggests that this policy approach offers the best prospect for creating the large-scale employment needed by the region's rapidly growing labor force while permitting steady growth in productivity and per capita incomes. In turn, this rapid growth in incomes and exports should prmitedndequallyvrapid growth in the imports of raw materials and other products the productive employment that can support a higher living standard for the people of the region. 2. Industrial Employment. If the people of the region are to have the employment opportunities needed to increase their incomes substantially the industrial sector will need to play a major role. Over the medium term only the export market is likely to provide the market potential needed to spur rapid industrial growth. Exports of nontraditional products from the region have in fact been growing rapidly over the past two decades (with annual Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 growth of manufactured exports to the United States averaging about 30% per year), but they are still a small share of total production or exports. The implementation of the Caribbean Basin Initiative (CBI), providing duty-free access to the U.S. market over the next 12 years, should provide a favorable environment for such an export strategy. U.S. assistance will directly assist in financing this effort through such activities as providing credit for imports of machinery for industry and technical assistance in investment promotion, product development and export marketing, and improved production methods. Increased activity by the International Executive Service Corps will be one vehicle for this. We expect the private sector to be willing to undertake much of the necessary financing itself where policies provide the proper incentives, while our assistance will be aimed at encouraging such policies. 3. Agricultural Production. Half of the region's labor force still works in agriculture. Experience indicates that small farmers are the most productive users of land resources, yet they lack adequate access in several of the countries of the region to credit, modern technology and marketing services that would unleash this capacity. We believe that agricultural production can be increasing by 4% per year by the end of the five-year period. This would increase food availability internally and generate exports of nontraditional agricultural and agroindustrial products, besides providing about 80,000 new jobs per year. Our program includes credit for small farmers and dissemination of improved technology both directly and through promotion of private and public mechanisms, including cooperatives. Our policy dialogue will focus on price and marketing reforms to provide better incentives to farmers. 4. Economic Infrastructure. Our strategy also proposes substantial funding for economic infrastructure. In the relatively less-developed countries of the region, provision of basic economic infrastructure -- roads, communications, urban services -- can be important in facilitating increased production of manufactured and agroindustrial products. Moreover, financing of such infrastructure is likely to increase economic activity and, by using labor-intensive techniques, increase employment relatively quickly. Of course, the multilateral banks will continue to be the main source of financing for infrastructure projects. C. Equity and Broad Participation in Development The third element of the strategy -- to be pursued in those countries where the restoration of satisfactory economic growth is not an adequate answer to the development problem -- is a longer term development program aimed at improving the quality of life of less advantaged groups. Access to employment and other sources of productivity growth, such as modern agricultural technology and improved inputs, have already been mentioned above because they provide a means of achieving equity goals in a manner that also stimulates rapid economic growth. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Altogether, we propose a total of $3.1 billion in assistance in direct support for our equity goals. This figure includes $1.7 billion in dollar funds appropriated for this purpose (including $1.4 billion in DA, $0.1 billion in P.L. 480 Title II commodities, and $0.2 billion in programs administered by the Peace Corps and the State Department), $0.2 billion in Housing Guaranty funds, and $1.2 billion in local currency counterpart funds from ESF and P.L. 480 assistance provided for balance-of-payments support. In addition, the $3.9 billion provided to support long-term growth could be included in this category because it supports the productive jobs and increased incomes that are the most powerful vehicle in the long term for meeting basic needs. The principal direct equity-oriented measures being supported include the following: 1. Education. Illiteracy is still a serious problem in most of the countries of the region, and limited access to primary education, particularly in rural areas, is creating a new generation of illiterates. We propose a major program of support for educational activities in the region, including primary education, substantial expansion of skills training and vocational education, and higher education in the United States. At the primary level, we propose to expand access to the system to nearly 100% of the school-aged population and to increase the relevance and quality of the education to reduce grade repetition and dropouts. Major program elements will include school construction, teacher training, and production and distribution of textbooks and educational materials. The efforts in the literacy field will include both support for indigenous public education institutions and for use of Peace Corps volunteers to supplement their efforts. We also propose to provide 10,000 scholarships over the next five years for study in the United States. We have found that those Latin American government officials who are most effective in promoting development in the region and in promoting democratic values are quite often the product of past U.S. Government-financed participant training. Moreover, scholarships to communist-bloc countries are apparently available in much greater number than those for U.S. study. In some countries, this had led to cadres of bloc-trained professionals in government ministries. Our scholarship assistance will address this challenge, in addition to augmenting the number of high-level professionals necessary for the accelerated development effort and to increasing the understanding by Central Americans of U. S. values. The scholarship program will be administered by A.I.D. and the United States Information Agency (U. S. I. A.) . 2. Health and Nutrition. We will support increased action to improve health conditions, particularly in rural areas, where government programs are clearly inadequate at present. Increased efforts to control malaria and other vector-borne diseases, dissemination of oral rehydration therapy, and training of nurses and other health workers will be major elements of our program. We will address nutrition issues through an expansion of our technical assistance and education efforts, as well as through an expansion of our food aid programs. The Peace Corps will cooperate in implementing our health and nutrition programs, and U.S.I.A. will help in translating and disseminating educational materials. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 3. Family Planning. Despite a significant reduction in birth rates in Central America over the past decade, the rate of population growth in Central America remains around 3% per year. Such high growth rates strain countries' capacities to provide adequate nutrition, education, health care, and employment opportunities for their populations. In addition, increased population pressures on limited natural resources have resulted in serious soil erosion and other environmental degradation in many areas. Access to contraceptives and to accurate family planning information is essential if poorer people are to have the opportunity to limit family size. Studies have shown that lack of information is an obstacle to increased contraceptive use, and that young children in large poor families in the region tend also to suffer from malnutrition. We will continue our programs in this area, with particular emphasis on working with private institutions. 4. Access to Land. Improved access to land may be the most rapid way to provide opportunity to poor groups in some of the countries of the region. Colonization of new lands can provide part of the solution, but some form of land reform may be a necessary element of a program in this sector. This would be the case particularly in Guatemala where access to land in the central highlands, where the bulk of the Indian population lives, is a severe constraint to improved living standards. Our program will support efforts to increase land availability for poor rural families through support for colonization, through legal reforms needed to increase security of land titles, and through long-term financing for land purchase. 5. Shelter. Much of the population of the isthmus lives in substandard housing which lacks water, sewerage and electricity services. Although remedying this problem will require both decades and massive financial resources, we can make progress through support for institutional improvements in housing finance mechanisms and by innovative programs such as "sites and services" projects that can mobilize the labor resources of beneficiary families at low cost. our Housing Guaranty program will be used to channel private funds toward the solution of the severe shortage of low- and moderate-income housing while it generates substantial employment. 6. Refugees and Displaced Persons. The tragedy of forced dislocation due to political violence has exacerbated the poverty of many Central Americans. In some cases this has led to the spillover of migrants to other countries, including the United States. In El Salvador and Guatemala it has resulted in the internal dislocation of hundreds of thousands of people now living in deprived circumstances. We propose to expand our program of assistance for displaced persons to meet their cash income, health, nutritional, and educational needs in the near term and to assist in relocation or return to their homes as conditions permit. The State Department will be responsible for administering the refugee program, while A.I.D. will assist the displaced persons. D. Democratic Institutions and Human Rights The ultimate purpose of economic development is increased human welfare. If we succeed in generating economic growth in the region without broadening the Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 respect for basic human values we not only will fail to achieve our purpose but will be sowing the seeds of a future crisis when internal conflict becomes violent revolution. It is important to realize, however, that we cannot determine the path chosen by the people of the region. But we can provide our moral and financial support to those countries which choose democratic processes and which respect human rights. As a key element in providing the economic assistance under this program, we propose to take into account the situation in each country that responds to commitments regarding free elections, independence of the judiciary system, and respect for individual rights. We also plan specific activities in several areas to support this element of our strategy. First, we will support strengthening of the administration of justice through technical assistance, training and material support for the courts, criminal investigative agencies, public prosecutors and defenders, justice ministries, law schools and bar associations. Second, we will provide assistance to improve the administration of elections. Finally, as discussed in the section dealing with education, broader understanding of democratic values will be pursued through scholarships and educational materials on democracy and democratic institutions provided by the U.S.I.A. Since funding for each of the countries in the region will be affected by performance with respect to democracy and respect for human rights, the entire $8.3 billion we propose for the region will support our objectives in this area. In specific projects, we propose $340 million in funding for democracy and human rights initiatives. IMPLEMENTATION CONSIDERATIONS New Approaches. The emphasis on working closely with host governments to assure that appropriate policies are adopted, both in the economic sphere and with respect to political and human rights, requires that our assistance program include two departures from past practices. First, we intend to encourage the establishment of an organization representing the public and private (including business and labor) sectors of participating Central American countries to serve as a forum for a frank and open dialogue on Central American political, economic and social development. CADO would not, as we envision it, be a separate bureaucracy but would meet periodically and contain a minimum number of staff necessary to achieve the purposes set out below. CADO would be structured so as to have labor representation, with the expectation that the experience with the Triparte model of the International Labor Organization will be heavily drawn on. While the specific makeup and functions of CADO will need to be developed in consultation with the Central Americans, our current view is that it should: -- establish goals and targets for economic, political and social development; -- recommend country performance criteria; ation bili -- evaluate z external assistance needs, and recommend resource mo actions; Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 -- measure country performance against goals and targets, and recommend corrective action where countries fall short; and -- be influential in affecting the level and structure of U.S. bilateral assistance for Central America. Second, we believe that greater flexibility is needed with respect to use of the funds than has existed in the past. The requirement that all funds appropriated in each fiscal year be obligated in the same year can require us to make difficult choices between approving programs where a recipient government has not yet taken needed steps or of losing the funds entirely. The earmarking of funds by country has reduced our ability to encourage governments to take necessary policy reforms. We therefore request that the Congress provide two-year appropriations for this program and that appropriations not be made with country-level earmarkings. Third, we seek to increase the role played in the development process by private voluntary organizations to the maximum extent feasible. In implementing the CBI we have developed closer relationships with these organizations than previously and have provided substantial funding to them. We intend to continue this effort. Absorptive Capacity. The large-scale program proposed raises a question of the capacity of the region to absorb such an increase. We have concluded that such capacity does indeed exist. First, the annual level of resources provided under the program, at about 5Z of the total product of the region, is lower than that provided by donors in a number of other cases. Second, the countries of the region are now operating at very low levels of production, and considerable excess capacity exists in the private sector. As our aid helps restore production, we will be providing the institution-building help and technical assistance that will prevent the emergence of bottlenecks in the future. Third, most of our resources will flow through private-sector agencies rather than governments. Support Costs. The implementation of the proposed Central American program will require an increase in support costs for A.I.D. This includes additional direct-hire employees, plus increased operating expenses associated with the program. We propose additional funding of $2.5 million in FY 1984 and $6 million in FY 1985 to support this program. Descriptions of the proposed program for each of the Central American countries are being provided separately. Briefly described below are the major elements of those country strategies. Belize.. For its per capita income level, Belize has high levels of education and health standards and a democratic political system. The economy has a good economic growth record and is relatively well-managed. The major obstacle is lack of infrastructure, which is made more serious by the fact that the country's small population base limits the economic returns to such investment. Our strategy emphasizes stabilization assistance over the near Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 term and support for investment in export-related agriculture and industry over the longer term. The Government of Belize will need to control the size of the public sector and to improve its efficiency. The main challenge, however, will be to generate private-sector entrepreneurship and finances to develop the country's considerable natural resource base. We propose supplemental funding of $10 million for Belize for FY 1984 and a total request of $10 million for FY 1985. Costa Rica. The country has democratic institutions and high quality of life in relation to its per capita income. It grew rapidly until the late 1970s when the combination of failure to adjust to the oil price increase, rapid growth of the public sector and extremely rapid growth of foreign debt created an untenable economic situation. The major challenges facing Costa Rica at present are how to shrink the size of the public sector and how to extricate itself from its oppressive external debt. The latter can be expected to be a major limiting factor in economic growth possibilities for at least the remainder of the decade. Our assistance strategy emphasizes government policies aimed at promoting production for export to world markets. This will require the government to maintain adequate incentives for exporters, particularly through the exchange rate. In addition, shrinking the size of the public sector through divestment and increased efficiency are high priorities. We propose supplemental funding of $75 million in FY 1984 and total assistance of $208 million in FY 1985. El Salvador. The development prospects in El Salvador are heavily dependent upon progress being made against the insurgency. Assuming that the guerrilla threat will gradually decline over the next several years, El Salvador should be able to reverse some of the dramatic economic decline relatively quickly. Nevertheless, reconstruction of economic infrastructure and establishment of basic services for the reformed agricultural sector will take a number of years. Given the relative abundance of low-cost labor in the country and its relative success in generating industrial exports until the rise of the insurgency, the country should be able to generate rapid growth in manufacturing exports. Actions to increase the effective exchange rate for exporters and to resolve the uncertainty in the agricultural sector (by completion of the land reform and making required payments to former landholders) are the two most important steps that need to be addressed by the government at present. Over the longer term, expanding economic opportunity, meeting basic needs, increasing respect for human rights, and encouraging broad political participation are major challenges. We propose additional assistance of $134 million for FY 1984 and a total program of $341 million for FY 1985. Guatemala. Over the past two decades, Guatemala has experienced a combination of satisfactory economic growth, limited political development, and poor performance on meeting basic needs, particularly for the indigenous groups of the central highlands. With a tradition of conservative economic management, the country's stabilization and debt problems are less severe than any of the other countries of the region except Belize, but its political and social problems may be the most intractable in the region. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Our strategy for the country proposes high levels of assistance aimed at addressing the basic social issues and providing substantial economic infrastructure, but conditioned upon a demonstration of commitment by the Guatemalan government to a resolution of the social and political conflicts within that society. Assuming such a commitment, we propose a supplemental request of $20 million for FY 1984 and total assistance of $96 million for FY 1985. Honduras. Despite a considerable natural resource base, Honduras is the poorest country in the region. The primary problems are the low level of human resources and the weakness of government institutions. Political institutions are relatively well-developed, however, and the country has not experienced the social and political divisions that characterize El Salvador and Guatemala. Our strategy includes substantial support for stabilization efforts in the near term; heavy investment in economic infrastructure, particularly in the agricultural sector, and long-term institution-building, particularly in education. The government will need to increase substantially its capacity to make decisions and to implement projects if Honduras is to effectively utilize increased resources. We propose an increase in the assistance level of $84.5 million in FY 1984 and a total funding level of $139 million for FY 1985. Nicaragua. During the 1960s and 1970s, Nicaragua's economic performance and its progress in spreading basic health and education were both about average for the region. A failure to establish political alternatives to the Somoza family, however, led to a polarization of society and to the Sandinista takeover in 1979. The current government has emphasized government programs in education and health. It has also dramatically increased the role of government in the economy through both direct ownership and through replacement of market forces by government decisions in many areas, particularly prices and foreign trade. As a consequence, severe economic distortions have been created that make sustained economic growth unlikely without massive external assistance. Because of both the economic and political factors, we have not programmed any assistance to Nicaragua. Should government policies dramatically change, however, assistance to rebuild the country's economy might be justified. Panama. Panama has a history of relatively rapid economic growth combined with a broad spread of the benefits of growth'. Its most serious economic problem, urban unemployment, is due in significant part to government policies that limit the flexibility of the private sector. The very large presence of the U.S. Government in Panama through the Canal and U.S. military installations has probably contributed to the unemployment problem by creating a high-wage economy in the midst of a developing country. The current government has undertaken major policy adjustments aimed at restoring private-sector incentives and confidence. Our assistance would strengthen the capacity of the government to carry out such reforms. It would be based on continued progress in this area, including elimination of inappropriate pricing policies in agriculture and reform of labor legislation. We propose increased assistance of $34.2 million in FY 1984 and a request of $40 million in FY 1985. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Central American Regional Programs. In addition to bilateral programs in each of the countries of the region, we propose to emphasize regional approaches in several areas. First, we are encouraging regionwide discussion of goals and performance. CADO will provide the mechanism for this. Under the umbrella of CADO, we will support operation of a strong consultative group of the Central American governments and all major donors to the region to provide a forum for discussion of economic policy issues. A second area of regional activity will be support for the strengthening of regional institutions. As recommended by the Bipartisan Commission, we will consider providing further financial support to the Central American Bank for Economic Integration, which supports investment projects in the region. We propose to carry out our activities to support democratization and respect for human rights on a regionwide basis. We are also examining the feasibility of a regional venture capital company to spur the capitalization of dynamic indigenous firms. We also intend to provide trade credit guarantees on a regional basis. Third, we seek to reverse the decline of the Central American Common Market (CACM). Restoration of trade can lead to a spurt in regional growth. Moreover, because of the very small size of the individual countries, increased regional specialization may increase the region's capacity to produce for world markets. With limited U.S. resources trade can probably be re-established without any direct support being provided to Nicaragua. Over the longer term our strategy would seek to promote the reduction in the external tariffs applied by the CACM countries to increase competitiveness in world markets. We propose funding of $30.8 million for FY 1984 and $199 million for FY 1985 to support programs of a regional nature. Attached are two tables presenting the total resources being requested for the proposed program. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 'fable I Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 FINANCIAL SUMMARY ECONOMIC ASSISTANCE TO CENTRAL AMERICA (millions of dollars) Supplemental PUR POS E FY 1984 FY 1985 FY 1986- FY 1989 TOTAL Stabilization ESF 272 541 1,644 2,457 P. L. 480 25 103 -- 128 Guarantees -- 470 -- 470 Sub-total 297 1,114 1,644 3,055 Growth ESF 10 80 789 879 DA 8 87 327 422 P. L. 480 -- -- 410 410 Guarantees -- 90 1,240 1,330 Counterpart* (100) (220) (520) (840) Sub-total 118 477 3,286 3,881 Equity DA 66 196 1,096 1,361 P. L. 4 80, 11 -- 17 70 87 Guarantees -- 40 160 200 Counterpart* (100) (220) (880) (1,200) Peace Corps 2 18 94 114 State, Refugees -- 15 78 93 Sub-total 168 506 2,381 3,055 Democracy ES F 20 85 113 U. S. I. A. 36 179 222 CADO 1 4 5 Sub-total 15 57 268 340 Operating Expenses 2 6 26 34 TOTAL* 400 1 , 720 6,205 8,325 *Counterpart figures are local currency generations from ESF or P.L. 480 balance-of-payments financing for A.I.D.-supported activities in the region. Since they are programmed for development purposes, they are included in sector sub-totals but not in the overall total. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL DATA REGIONAL SUMMARY ECONOMY EDUCATION POPULATION HEALTH DENSITY LABOR INFANT GNP ANNUAL (PERSONS / SQUARE MILE) FORCE DEATHS PER LITERACY GRCMTH - ------------------- t IN IN PEOPLE LIFE PER COUNTRY CAPITA (DOLLARS) RATE 1?ERCENTI TOTAL (THOUSANDS) PATE (PERCENT) POP/AGR LAND POP/TOTAL URBAN AGRICULTURE LAND AREAS (PERCENT) PER DOCTOR EXPECTANCY (YEARS) 1,000 BIRTHS BELIZE 1,080 91 154 2..1 294 16 49 28 2',935 - 56 COSTA RICA 1,430 88 2,624 2.6 273 110 44 29 1,390 71.0 18 EL SALVADOR 650 62 4,685 2.6 865 543, 42 50 3,599 64.4 71 GUATEMALA 1,140 46 7,714 3.1 679 168 36 55 1,833 59.2 66 HONDURAS 600 57 4,276 3.4 179 82 37 63 3,294 59.2 78 PANAMA 1,910 85 2,058 2.1 268 60 56 27 1,223 71.0 23 ter` DA SUMMARY 1,034 61 21,511 2.9 316 55 40 49 1,997 63.0 59 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL DATA REGIONAL SUMMARY ECONOMY EDUCATION POPULATION HEALTHY ---- - --- --------- - --- DENSITY LABOR INFANT GNP ANNUAL (PERSONS / SQUARE MILE) FORCE DEATHS PFR LITERACY GROWTH ------------------- X IN IN PEOPLE LIFE PER CAPITA RATE VITAL RATE POP/AGR POP/TOTAL URBAN AGRICULTURE PER EXPECTANCY 1,000 COUNTRY (DOLLARS) (DERCENT1 ITHOUSANnS) (PERCFNT) LAND LAND AREAS (PERCENT) DOCTOR (YEARS) BIRTHS - - - --------------- -- ECONOMIC SUPPORT FUND RECIPIENTS BELIZE 1,080 91 154 2.1 294 16 49 28 2,935 - 56 COSTA RICA 1,430 88 2,624 2.6 273 110 44 29 1,390 71.0 18 EL SALVADOR 650 62 4,685 2.6 865 543 42 50 3,599 64.4 71 GUATEMALA 1,140 46 7,714 3.1 679 168 36 55 1,833 59.2 66 HONDURAS 600 57 4,276 3.4 179 82 37 63 3,294 59.2 78 PANAMA 1,910 85 2,058 2.1 268 56 27 1,223 71.0 23 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ESF SUMMARY 1,034 61 21,511 2.9 316 55 40 49 1,997 63.0 59 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- REGION SUMMARY 1,034 61 21,511 2.9 316 55 40 49 1,997 63.0 59 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 ECONOMIC ASSISTANCE TO CENTRAL AMERICA: FY 1983-85 Millions of Dollars) FY83 Actual FY84 Continuing Resolution FY84 Supplemental Request FY84 Total FY 85 Request Belize DA 6.7 4.0 6.0 ESF 10.0 4.0 PL480 Costa Rica DA 27.2 15.1 8.0 23.1 20.0 ESF 157.0 70.0 60.0 130.0 160.0 PL480 27.7 20.0 7.0 27.0 28.0 Total 211.9 105.1 75.0 180.1 208.0 El Salvador DA 58.8 41.3 30.0 71.3 80.0 ESF 140.0 120.0 90.0 210.0 210.0 PL480 46.7 37.3 14.0 51.3 51.1 Total 245'.5 198.6 134.0 332.6 341.1 Guatemala. DA 12.2 1.6 20.0 21.6 40.0- ESF 10.0 35.0 PL480 5.3 12.0 21.4 Total 27.5 13.6 20.0 33.6 96.4 Honduras DA 31.2 31.8 8.0 39.8 45.0 ESF 56.0 40.0 72.5 112.5 75.0 PL480 15.5 12.6 4.0 16.6 19.0 Total 102.7 84.4 84.5 168.9 139.0 Panama DA 11.0 4.2 15.2 19.8 ESF 30.0 30.0 20.0 PL480 1.0 1.3 0.5 Total 7.2 12.3 34.2 46.5 40..3 Regional Programs DA 19.4 12.1 - 2.8. 14.9 62.0 6 136 ESF 28.0 28.0 . Total 19.4 12.1 30.8 42.9 '198.6 Sub-Totals 9 89 8 272 DA 161.7 116.9 73.0 1 . . ESF 373.0 230.0 290.5 520.5 640.6 PL480 96.2 83.2 25.0 108.2 120.0 Misc.l 11.5 11.5 8.6.6 GRAND TOTAL ? 630.9 430.1 400.0 830.1 1120.02 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Miscelleanous total includes: FY84 Supplemental Total FY84 Request FY 85 Request . Other Agencies, 9.0 9.0 70 6 Peace Corps (2.0) (2.0) . (18 2) USIA (7.0) (7.0) . (36 4) State/Refugees State/ICC . (15.0) (1 0) AID Supplementary OE 2.5 2.5 . 6 0 HIG Reserve . 10.0 21 Grand Total for requested funds in FY 1985 does not include the following non-appropriated guarantees:. Housing Investment (HIG). Trade Ex-Im Bank. 150.0 AI_D 300.0 Expanded OPIC Insurance 20.0 CCC 90.0 TOTAL 2/1/84: Wang 6205E Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 K Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 A MILITARY ASSISTANCE PROGRAM FOR CENTRAL AMERICA THE CRISIS IN CENTRAL AMERICA Central America faces interlocking crises. They have been described by the National Bipartisan Commission on Central America; the implementing legislation proposes to untangle them and provide the resources for solutions. None of these crises can be solved independently of the others. In terms of policy responses, however, they can be considered under three headings -- First, those problems stemming from indigenous causes. The roots of Central America's troubles lie in social inequity, unrepresentative politics, weak legal institutions, disrespect for human rights, and the other problems of societies in urgent need of reform. Second, those problems resulting from the international economic shocks of the past several years. -- Third, the challenges produced by externally-supported guerrilla insurgency. This, as the Bipartisan Commission says, "differs as much from indigenous revolts as it does from conventional wars." The military assistance proposals described here address primarily the third of these interrelated challenges; the first two require separate and larger amounts of economic assistance. It'must be stressed, however, that none of the proposals for Central America stand on their own. Social and economic problems cannot be solved by military means. But neither can any society, faced with a concerted effort to destroy its economy and its institutions, hope to prosper through social and economic programs unprotected by an adequate security force. U.S. INTERESTS The predominant interests of the United States in Central America involve security and human rights. Our economic interests are also of long standing but are not substantial. Our security interests have loomed large for American leaders Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 and public since the building of the Panama Canal early in this century. The Bipartisan Commission concluded that Central America "critically involves our security interests" because it is a near neighbor. As the Cuban experience demonstrates, a foothold by the Soviet Union in the Western Hemisphere would become an armed camp and a springboard for subversion of neighboring states. In a strategically vital region, a regime controlled by elements hostile to the democratic system must be of deep concern -- not only to that regime's neighbors, but also to the United States. "What gives the current situation its special urgency" -- writes the Bipartisan Commission -- "is the threat posed by the Sandinista regime in Nicaragua which is supported by massive Cuban military strength, backed by Soviet and other East Bloc weapons, guidance, and diplomacy, and integrated into the Cuban network of intelligence and subversion." The use of Nicaragua as a conduit for Cuban and Soviet arms and training is the factor that critically involves our own security interests. At the moment, the externally-backed insurgency is most threatening in El Salvador, but there is also an active guerrilla war in Guatemala. The Sandinista regime has sent Cuban-trained guerrillas into Honduras and sponsored terrorism in Costa Rica. Many of the Nicaraguans who overthrew Somoza wished to establish democratic institutions. In 1979, the Sandinistas pledged to the OAS that they would establish a democratic, pluralistic, and non-aligned regime. The United States took a leading role in international efforts to assist Nicaragua. But Marxist-Leninists had a monopoly of the military power in the new regime. The Carter Administration suspended its aid only when it became clear that the Sandinistas were channeling Cuban and Soviet assistance to the guerrillas in El Salvador. Nicaragua's comandantes have publicly stated their intent to consolidate Marxism-Leninism. They have built a military establishment four times as large as Somoza's, disproportionate to those of neighboring states, and far beyond their legitimate defensive needs. There are at least 2,000 Cuban military advisers in Nicaragua, as well as several hundred from the Soviet Union, Eastern Europe, Libya, and the PLO. An estimated 15,000 tons of Soviet Bloc military equipment reached the Sandinista army in 1983. This is the factor which has internationalized the conflict. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 -3- Our response has some elements common to our military assistance programs in all six countries. These include (1) a strong emphasis on training; (2) insistence on counter-insurgency operations that respect human rights; (3) stress on small-unit organization and tactics; (4) the need for greater force mobility; and (5) the requirement for low-cost, low-technology arms and equipment. Training We regard training as the key to our military assistance strategy in the region. We recognize the need for more .leadership training, particularly at the junior officer, cadet, and NCO levels. At the same time, there is a continuing need for technical training, as in the case of pilots, mechanics, and technicians. Large-scale training of entire units is required for some countries. The training is carried out at military installations in the U.S., at the Panama Canal Area Military Schools, at the Regional Military Training Center (RMTC) in Honduras, and by U.S. Mobile Training Teams (MTTs) in-country. Human Rights Our training emphasizes the importance of humane counter-insurgency tactics and respect for human rights. As the Bipartisan Commission points out, however, "The present level of U.S. assistance to El Salvador is far too low to allow the armed forces of El Salvador to use these modern methods of counter-insurgency effectively." We have trained troops in the use of tactics which are sound and humane, but which they lack the resources to implement correctly. Small-unit Organization and Tactics In our training programs, particularly for countries faced with active guerrilla movements, we stress the need for small-unit organization and tactics as the most effective way to counter insurgency. Historically, the armed forces in the region have been grounded in the use of large-scale units more suitable for conventional than guerrilla warfare. We emphasize the need for highly-trained small units which can take the battle to the guerrillas rather than remaining in a defensive or static posture. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Force Mobility There is an obvious premium on the need for force mobility to carry out a military strategy emphasizing small-unit organization and tactics. Taking the military initiative to seek out and engage guerrillas requires helicopters,-fixed-wing aircraft, and vehicles, as well as the communications equipment needed for the effective use of intelligence and the exercise of command and control of dispersed forces. Low-cost, Low Technology Arms and Equipment We recognize that highly sophisticated, expensive arms and equipment are inappropriate for countering guerrillas and terrorists in unconventional warfare, and that we cannot burden the budgets of the Central American countries (or our own military assistance programs) with materiel which is too costly to acquire, maintain, and operate. We therefore eschew such materiel in favor of low-cost, low-technology arms and equipment. By so doing we also restrain any tendency towards intra-regional arms competion in sophisticated items -- while at the same time giving due weight to the conventional military threat posed by the Nicaraguan arms buildup. FY 84 SUPPLEMENTAL/FY 85 REQUEST Our proposed FY 84 Supplemental and FY 85 Military Assistance programs for Central America contain enough additional resources to break the existing stalemate between governments troops and guerrillas in El Salvador. The programs are, however, modest by global standards and in comparison to our economic aid. Grant assistance is clearly necessary in view of the region-wide economic difficulties and the economic damage wrought by guerrillas. We should not add to the debt burdens of these countries by concentrating on cash purchases or high-interest loans. Therefore the entire FY 84 Supplemental and FY 85 programs are proposed on a concessional basis -- primarily as Military Assistance Program (MAP) and International Military Education and Training (IMET) grants, and secondarily as low-interest direct Foreign Military Sales (FMS) loans. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 The FY 84 Supplemental military assistance request for Central America totals $259.05 million and consists entirely of MAP grants. The FY 85 request for the region totals $255.9 million, and consists of $222 million in MAP grants, $30 million in concessional FMS credit, and $3.9 million in grant IMET funds. It is proposed that these funds be authorized to be available until expended. COUNTRY PROGRAMS The common elements of military assistance for Central America, described above, obviously apply in varying degrees to each of the six countries for which assistance is proposed, depending on the unique situation in each country. Briefly described below are the main elements of the country strategy and programs. Additional justifications and descriptions of the programs will appear in the FY 85 Security Assistance Congressional Presentation Document (CPD). Democratic Belize remains a peaceful, stable corner of Central America. Geographically, it is closer to Cuba than any other country in the region. It seeks to develop its Defense Force gradually in recognition of the eventual withdrawal of the British military garrison: We propose to continue our program at FY 84 Continuing Resolution levels, in the areas of vehicles, personal equipment, medical supplies, small arms and ammunition, and training. We propose an FY 85 program of $.6 million. Costa Rica We strongly support Costa Rica's dedication to the preservation of its democratic traditions and the maintenance of its territorial integrity. Costa Rica has no standing armed forces per se, so the Public Security Forces, comprised of the Rural Guard and the Civil Guard, are responsible for national defense. These forces are now ill-equipped to control the country's borders or deal with acts of terrorism. Funds are required for the acquisition of small, fixed wing observation aircraft, helicopters, communications equipment, vehicles, patrol boats, light weapons, spare parts, and ammunition. We propose an FY 84 Supplemental program of $7.85 million and an FY 85 program of $10 million. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 El Salvador Our support for democracy, progress in human rights, and economic development must be buttressed by the security shield which our military assistance provides. The emerging democracy in El Salvador needs more help from us to break the stalemate with the guerrillas. While the military stalemate continues, economic recovery and social programs are severely handicapped and the armed opposition, hoping for military victory, has little incentive to participate in the democratic process. U.S. security assistance is needed to bring about conditions in which the economic well-being of the people can be improved and peace can be achieved through broader particpation in strengthened democratic processes. The Bipartisan Commission concluded that there is "no logical argument for giving some aid but not enough. The worst possible policy for El Salvador is to provide just enough aid to keep the war going, but too little to wage it successfully." We concur with the Bipartisan Commission. There are requirements which must be met if the Salvadoran armed forces are to seize the initiative through the National Campaign Plan: increased air and ground mobility, increased training, higher force levels, greater stocks of equipment and supplies, and improved conditions for the Salvadoran troops (including the provision of a medevac capability). Our proposed assistance is consistent with these requirements. The main elements are helicopters (including medevac), fixed wing aircraft, vehicles, patrol boats, engineer equipment, radar, communications equipment, hospital equipment, artillery, light infantry weapons, spare parts, and ammunition. We propose an FY 84 Supplemental program of $178.7 million and an FY 85 program of $132.5 million. Guatemala Our primary objective in Guatemala is to foster the return to a democratic government which will respect human rights, deal effectively with the insurgency, and be responsive to the economic and social needs of the people. Limited military assistance, the implementation of which would be conditioned upon progress in returning to democratic processes and improved human rights performance, would enable us to build a better relationship with the Guatemalan military and increase its Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 sensitivity to the control of human rights abuses. This is especially pertinent in the area of training; there has been no IMET program for (and hence reduced contact with) the Guatemalan military since FY 77. Besides training, our assistance is proposed in the areas of engineer equipment, communications equipment, patrol boats, and spare parts for vehicles, helicopters, and fixed wing aircraft. We propose an FY 85 program of $10.3 million. Honduras Honduras, which returned to democratic government early in 1982, plays a key role in resisting the spread of Soviet/Cuban/Nicarguan influence in Central America. It would be extremely difficult to defend U.S. interests in the region without Honduran cooperation. Honduras is threatened by the unprecedented Nicaraguan military buildup and externally-supported subversion. The Bipartisan Commission recommended increased military assistance to build a credible deterrent. Our proposed assistance would fund training, helicopters, fixed wing transport and reconnaissance aircraft, naval equipment and patrol boats, vehicles, medical equipment, radar, communications equipment, artillery, small arms ammunition, and spare parts. Some of these items would be used in equipping two new infantry battalions. We propose an FY 84 Supplemental program of $37.5 million and an FY 85 program of $62.5 million. Panama The complex of U.S. national security and foreign policy interests -- centered around the Panama Canal and our military forces nearby -- is unique in the region and highly important in global terms. Increased U.S. military assistance would enable Panama to contribute more effectively to the combined defense of the Canal. Such assistance would also serve as a tangible indication of suport for the scheduled May 1984 return to elected goverment. Our assistance to the newly reorganized Panama Defense Force would be in the areas of training, engineering equipment for civic action projects, communications and coastal surveillance equipment, one helicopter, one patrol boat, and maintenance equipment. Some of these items would be used in equipping new infantry battalions. We propose an FY 84 Supplemental program of $10 million and an FY 85 program of $20 million. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Regional Military Training Center (RMTC) The RMTC was established in Honduras in 1983 on a temporary, austere basis. It has proven to be extremely valuable as a low-cost way to provide large-scale training to Honduran and Salvadoran troops in a realistic environment. As noted previously in this presentation, training is the most important element in our military assistance programs in Central America. RMTC training concentrates on the more aggressive, highly mobile tactics needed for dealing effectively with insurgent forces. Improvements are now needed for administrative and operational efficiency. Besides construction costs, funds are needed for operation and maintenance, training materiel and supplies, and other training costs. We propose an FY 84 Supplemental program of $25 million and an FY 85 program of $20 million. Attachment: Military Assistance to Central America: FY 1983-85 (#2187) Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 MILITARY ASSISTANCE TO CENTRAL A11 RICAs FY 1983--85 Millions of Dollar w__~ FY'84 FY84 FY83 Continuing Supplemental FY84 F'85 Actual Resolution u~:st Total uest Belize MAP - .5 .S .5 IM*:'T .075 .1 .1 .1 Total .075 .6 .6 .6 Costa Rica MAP 2.5 2.0 7.85 9.85 9.8 IHET .125 .15 15 .2 Total 2.625 2.15 7.85 10.0 10.0 El Salvador MAP 33.5 45.0 178.7 223.7 116.0 FMSCR-T 46.5 18.5 - 18.5 - FMSCR-C - - ? - 15.0 IMET 1.3 1.3 - 1.3 1.5 Total 81.3 64.8 178.7 243.5 132.5 Guatemala FMSCR-C - - - 10.0 IMET - - - - .3 Total. - - - - 10.3 Honduras MAP 27.5 40.0 37.5 77.5 61.3 FMSCR-T 9.0 - - !MET .8 1.0 1.0 1.2 Total 37.3 41.0 37.5 78.5 62.5 Panama MAP - - 10.0 10.0 14.4' FMSCR-T 5.0 5.0 - 5.0 - FMSCR-C - - - - 5.0 IMET .45 .5 - .5 .6 Total 5.45 5.5 10.0 15.5 20.0 RMTC MAP 25.0' 25.0 20.0 Grand Total MAP 63.5 87.5 259.05 346.55 222.0 FMSCR-T 60.5 23.5 23.5 - FMSCR-C - - 30.0 . IMET 2.75 3.05 3.05 3.9 Total 126.75 114.05 259.05 373.1 255.9 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Current Policy No. 464 Following is an address by President Reagan before the National Association of Manufacturers, Washington, D.C., March 10, 1983. We didn't come to Washington at an ideal time, and we've certainly had our share of problems. But the signs of recovery are springing up all around us. There's no mistaking the fact that, at long last, America is on the mend, and the courage and the vision of the people and institutions represented here today deserve a big share of the credit for this hard-earned but inflation-free recovery. So, on behalf of all your fellow citizens who have been freed from the ravages of runaway inflation and can look again to a future of better times and then new opportunity, I thank you. America is meeting her challenge here at home. But there are other challenges, equally important, that we must face. And today I'd like to talk to you about one of them. Late last year, I visited Central America. Just a few weeks ago, our U.N. Ambassador, Jeane Kirkpatrick, also toured the area. And in the last few days, I have met with leaders of the Congress to discuss recent events in Central America and our policies in that troubled part of the world. So, today I'd like to report to you on these consultations and why they are important to us all. The nations of Central America are among our nearest neighbors. El Salva- dor, for example, is nearer to Texas than Texas is to Massachusetts. Central America is simply too close, and the strategic stakes are too high, for us to President Reagan Strategic Importance of El Salvador and Central America March 10, 1983 United States Department of State Bureau of Public Affairs Washington, D.C. ignore the danger of governments seiz- ing power there with ideological and military ties to the Soviet Union. Let me show you just how important Central America is. At the base of Cen- tral America is the Panama Canal. Half of all the foreign trade of the United States passes through either the canal or other Caribbean sealanes on its way to or from our ports. And, of course, to the north is Mexico, a country of enor- mous human and material importance, with which we share 1,800 miles of peaceful frontier. And between Mexico and the canal lies Central America. As I speak to you today, its countries are in the midst of the gravest crisis in their history. Ac- cumulated grievances and social and eco- nomic change are challenging traditional ways. New leaders with new aspirations have emerged who want a new and bet- ter deal for their peoples. That is good. The problem is that an aggressive minority has thrown in its lot with the Communists, looking to the Soviets and their own Cuban henchmen to help them pursue political change through violence. Nicaragua has become their base. These extremists make no secret of their goal. They preach the doctrine of a "revolu- tion without frontiers." Their first target is El Salvador. Importance of El Salvador Why is El Salvador important? Well, to begin with, there is the sheer human tragedy. Thousands of people have already died, and, unless the conflict is ended democratically, millions more could be affected throughout the hemi- sphere. The people of El Salvador have proved they want democracy. But if guerrilla violence succeeds, they won't get it. El Salvador will join Cuba and Nicaragua as a base for spreading fresh violence to Guatemala, Honduras, Costa Rica-probably the most democratic country in the world today. The killing will increase and so will the threat to Panama, the canal, and ultimately Mex- ico. In the process, vast numbers of men, women, and children will lose their homes, their countries, and their lives. Make no mistake. We want the same thing the people of Central America want-an end to the killing. We want to see freedom preserved where it now ex- ists and its rebirth where it does not. The Communist agenda, on the other hand, is to exploit human suffering in Central America to strike at the heart of the Western Hemisphere. By preventing reform and instilling their own brand of totalitarianism, they can threaten free- dom and peace and weaken our national security. I know a good many people wonder why we should care about whether Com- munist governments come into power in Nicaragua, El Salvador, or such other countries as Costa Rica, Honduras, Guatemala, and the islands of the Carib- bean. One columnist argued last week that we shouldn't care because their products are not that vital to our economy. That's like the argument of another so-called expert that we shouldn't worry about Castro's control over the island of Grenada-their only important product is nutmeg. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Well, let me just interject right here. Grenada-that tiny, little island with Cuba at the west end of the Caribbean, Grenada at the east end-that tiny, little island is building now, or having built for it, on its soil and shores a naval base, a superior air base, storage bases and facilities for the storage of muni- tions, barracks and training grounds for the military. I'm sure all of that is simp- ly to encourage the export of nutmeg. People who make these arguments haven't taken a good look at a map late- ly or followed the extraordinary buildup of Soviet and Cuban military power in the region or read the Soviets' dis- cussions about why the region is import- ant to them and how they intend to use it. It isn't nutmeg that is at stake in the Caribbean and Central America. It is the U.S. national security. Soviet military theorists want to destroy our capacity to resupply Western Europe in case of an emergency. They want to tie down our attention and forces on our own southern border and so limit our capaci- ty to act in more distant places such as Europe, the Persian Gulf, the Indian Ocean, the Sea of Japan. Those Soviet theorists noticed what we failed to notice-that the Caribbean Sea and Cen- tral America constitute this nation's fourth border. If we must defend ourselves against a large hostile military presence on our border, our freedom to act elsewhere, to help others, and to protect strategically vital sealanes and resources has been drastically diminished. They know this. They have written about this. We have been slow to under- stand that the defense of the Caribbean and Central America against Marxist- Leninist takeover is vital to our' national security in ways we're not accustomed to thinking about. For the past 3 years, under two presidents, the United States has been engaged in an effort to stop the advance of communism in Central America by doing what we do best-by supporting democracy. For 3 years, our goal has been to support fundamental change in this region-to replace pover- ty with development and dictatorship with democracy. These objectives are not easy to at- tain, but we're on the right track. Costa Rica continues to set a democratic exam- ple, even in the midst of economic crisis and Nicaraguan intimidation. Honduras has gone from military rule to a freely elected civilian government. Despite in- credible obstacles, the democratic center is holding in El Salvador, implementing land reform and working to replace the politics of death with the life of democracy. So the good news is that our new policies have begun to work. Democracy, with free elections, free labor unions, freedom of religion, and respect for the integrity of the individual, is the clear choice of the overwhelming majority of Central Americans. In fact, except for Cuba and its followers, no government and no significant sector of the public anywhere in this hemisphere want to see the guerrillas seize power in El Salvador. The bad news is that the struggle for democracy is still far from over. Despite their success in largely eliminat- ing guerrilla political influence in popu- lated areas, and despite some improve- ments in military armaments and mobili- ty, El Salvador's people remain under strong pressure from armed guerrillas controlled by extremists with Cuban- Soviet support. The military capability of these guer- rillas-and I would like to stress military capability, for these are not peasant ir- regulars, they are trained military forces-this has kept political and economic progress from being turned in- to the peace the Salvadoran people so obviously want. Part of the trouble is in- ternal to El Salvador. But an important part is external: the availability of train- ing, tactical guidance, and military sup- plies coming into El Salvador from Marxist Nicaragua. I'm sure you've read about guerrillas capturing rifles from government na- tional guard units, and recently this has happened. But much more critical to guerrilla operations are the supplies and munitions that are infiltrated into El Salvador by land, sea, and air-by pack mules, by small boats, and by small air- craft. These pipelines fuel the guerrilla offensives and keep alive the conviction of their extremist leaders that power will ultimately come from the barrels of their guns. Now, all this is happening in El Salvador just as a constitution is being written, as open presidential elections are being prepared, and as a peace com- mission named last week has begun to work on amnesty and national reconcilia- tion to bring all social and political groups into the democratic process. It is the guerrilla militants who have so far refused to use democratic means, have ignored the voice of the people of El Salvador, and have resorted to terror, sabotage, and bullets instead of the ballot box. Questions Concerning El Salvador During the past week, we have dis- cussed all of these issues and more with leaders and Members of the Congress. Their views have helped shape our own thinking, and I believe that we've de- veloped a common course to follow. Here are some of the questions raised most often. First: How bad is the military situation? It is not good. Salvadoran soldiers have proved that when they are well trained, led, and supplied, they can protect the people from guerrilla at- tacks. But so far, U.S. trainers have been able to train only 1 soldier in 10. There is a shortage of experienced of- ficers; supplies are unsure. The guer- rillas have taken advantage of these shortcomings. For the moment, at least, they have taken the tactical initiative just when the sharply limited funding Congress has so far approved is running out. A second vital question is: Are we going to send American soldiers into combat? And the answer to that is a flat no. A third question: Are we going to Americanize the war with a lot of U.S. combat advisers? And again the answer is no. Only Salvadorans can fight this war, just as only Salvadorans can decide El Salvador's future. What we can do is help to give them the skills and supplies they need to do the job for themselves. That mostly means training. Without playing a combat role themselves and without accompanying Salvadoran units into combat, American specialists can help the Salvadoran Army improve its operations. Over the last year, despite manifest needs for more training, we have scrupulously kept our training ac- tivities well below our self-imposed numerical limit on numbers of trainers. We are currently reviewing what we can do to provide the most effective training possible to determine the minimum level of trainers needed and where the train- ing should best take place. We think the best way is to provide training outside El Salvador, in the United States, or elsewhere, but that costs a lot more. So the number of U.S. trainers in El Salvador will depend upon the resources available. Question four: Are we seeking a political or a military solution? Despite all I and others have said, some people still seem to think that our concern for security assistance means that all we care about is a military solution. That's nonsense. Bullets are no answer to eco- nomic inequities, social tensions, or political disagreements. Democracy is what we want. And what we want is to enable Salvadorans to stop the killing and sabotage so that economic and political reforms can take root. The real solution can only be a political one. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 This reality leads directly to a fifth question: Why not stop the kill- ings and start talking? Why not negotiate? Well, negotiations are already a key part of our policy. We sup- port negotiations among all the nations of the region to strengthen democracy, to halt subversion, to stop the flow of arms, to respect borders, and to remove all the foreign military advisers-the Soviets, the Cubans, the East Germans, the PLO [Palestine Liberation Organiza- tion], as well as our own-from the region. A regional peace initiative is now emerging. We've been in close touch with its sponsors and wish it well. And we support negotiations within nations, aimed at expanding participation in democratic institutions-at getting all parties to participate in free, nonviolent elections. What we oppose are negotiations that would be used as a cynical device for dividing up power behind the people's back. We cannot support negotiations which, instead of expanding democracy, try to destroy it-negotia- tions which would simply distribute power among armed groups without the consent of the people of El Salvador. We made that mistake some years ago in Laos when we pressed and pressured the Laotian Government to form a government, a co-op, with the Pathet Lao-armed guerrillas who'd been doing what the guerrillas are doing in El Salvador. And once they had that tri- partite government, they didn't rest un- til those guerrillas, the Pathet Lao, had seized total control of the government of Laos. The thousands upon thousands of Salvadorans who risked their lives to vote last year should not have their ballots thrown into the trash heap this year by letting a tiny minority on the fringe of a wide and diverse political spectrum shoot its way into power. No, the only legitimate road to power, the only road we can support, is through the voting booth, so that the people can choose for themselves-choose, as His Holiness the Pope said Sunday, "far from terror and in a climate of demo- cratic conviviality." This is fundamental, and it is a moral as well as a practical belief that all free people of the Americas share. U.S. Policy Toward El Salvador Having consulted with the Congress, let me tell you where we are now and what we will be doing in the days ahead. We'll welcome all the help we can get. We will be submitting a comprehensive, inte- grated, economic and military assistance plan for Central America. First, we will bridge the existing gap in military assistance. Our projec- tions of the amount of military assist- ance needed for El Salvador have re- mained relatively stable over the past 2 years. However, the Continuing Resolu- tion budget procedure in the Congress last December led to a level of U.S. security assistance for El Salvador in 1983 below what we'd requested, below that provided in 1982, and below that re- quested for 1984. I am proposing that $60 million of the monies already ap- propriated for our worldwide military assistance programs be immediately re- allocated to El Salvador. Further, to build the kind of disci- plined, skilled army that can take and hold the initiative while respecting the rights of its people, I will be amending my supplemental that is currently before the Congress, to reallocate $50 million to El Salvador. These funds will be sought without increasing the overall amount of the supplemental that we have already presented to Congress. And, as I have said, the focus of this assistance will remain the same: to train Salvadorans so that they can defend themselves. Because El Salvador's security problems are not unique in the region, I will also be asking for an addi- tional $20 million for regional security assistance. These funds will be used to help neighboring states to maintain their national security and will, of course, be subject to full congressional review. Second, we will work hard to sup- port reform, human rights, and democ- racy in El Salvador. Last Thursday, the Salvadoran Government extended the land reform program which has already distributed 20% of all the arable land in the country and transformed more than 65,000 farm workers into farm owners. What they ask is our continued eco- nomic support while the reform is com- pleted. And we will provide it. With our support, we expect that the steady prog- ress toward more equitable distribution of wealth and power in El Salvador will continue. Third, we will, I repeat, continue to work for human rights. Progress in this area has been slow, sometimes disap- pointing. But human rights means work- ing at problems, not walking away from them. To make more progress, we must continue our support, advice, and help to El Salvador's people and democratic leaders. Lawbreakers must be brought to justice, and the rule of law must sup- plant violence in settling disputes. The key to ending violations of human rights is to build a stable, working democracy. Democracies are accountable to their citizens. And when abuses occur in a democracy, they cannot be covered up. With our support, we expect the govern- ment of El Salvador to be able to move ahead in prosecuting the accused and in building a criminal justice system appli- cable to all and ultimately accountable to the elected representatives of the peo- ple. Now, I hope you've noticed that I was speaking in millions, not billions, and that, after 2 years in Federal office, is hard to do. In fact, there are some areas of government where, I think, they spill as much as I've talked about here over a weekend. Fourth, the El Salvador Govern- ment proposes to solve its problems the only way they can be solved fairly-by having the people decide. President Magana has just announced nationwide elections moved up to this year, calling on all to participate-adversaries as well as friends. To help political adversaries participate in the elections, he has ap- pointed a peace commission, including a Roman Catholic bishop and two inde- pendents. And he has called on the Organization of American States (OAS) and the international community to help. We were proud to participate, along with representatives of other democratic nations, as observers in last March's Constituent Assembly elections. We would be equally pleased to contribute again to any international effort, perhaps in conjunction with the OAS, to help the government insure the broadest possible participation in the upcoming elections-with guarantees that all, in- cluding critics and adversaries, can be protected as they participate. Let me just say a word about those elections last March. A great worldwide propaganda campaign had, for more than a year, portrayed the guerrillas as somehow representative of the people of El Salvador. We were told over and over again that the government was the oppressor of the people. Came the elections, and suddenly it was the guerrilla force threatening death to any who would attempt to vote. More than 200 busses and trucks were attacked and burned and bombed in an effort to keep the people from going to the polls. But they went to the polls, they walked miles to do so and stood in long lines for hours and hours. Our own congressional observers came back and reported one instance that they saw themselves of a woman, who had been shot by the guerrillas for trying to get to the polls, standing in the line refusing medical attention until she had had her opportunity to go in and vote. More than 80% of the electorate voted. I don't believe here in our land, where voting is so easy, we've had a turnout that great in the last half century. They elected the present government, and they voted for order, peace, and democratic rule. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Promoting Regional Economic Progress Finally, we must continue to help the people of El Salvador and the rest of Central America and the Caribbean to make economic progress. More than three-quarters of our assistance to this region has been economic. Because of the importance of economic development to that region, I will ask the Congress for $65 million in new monies and the reprogramming of $103 million from already appropriated worldwide funds for a total of $168 million in increased economic assistance for Central America. And to make sure that this assistance is as productive as possible, I'll continue to work with the Congress for the urgent enactment of the long- term opportunities for trade and free in- itiative that are contained in the Carib- bean Basin initiative. In El Salvador and in the rest of Central America, there are today thous- ands of small businessmen, farmers, and workers who have kept up their produc- tivity as well as their spirits in the face of personal danger, guerrilla sabotage, and adverse economic conditions. With them stand countless national and local officials, military and civic leaders, and priests who have refused to give up on democracy. Their struggle for a better future deserves our help. We should be proud to offer it, for, in the last analysis, they are fighting for us, too. The Need for U.S. Support By acting responsibly and avoiding il- lusory shortcuts, we can be both loyal to our friends and true to our peaceful, democratic principles. A nation's char- acter is measured by the relations it has with its neighbors. We need strong, stable neighbors with whom we can cooperate. And we will not let them down. Our neighbors are risking life and limb to better their lives, to improve their lands, and to build democracy. All they ask is our help and understanding as they face dangerous, armed enemies of liberty, and that our help be as sus- tained as their own commitment. None of this will work if we tire or falter in our support. I don't think that is what the American people want or what our traditions and faith require. Our neigh- bors' struggle for a better future de- serves our help, and we should be proud to offer it. We would, in truth, be opening a two-way street. We have never, I believe, fully realized the great potential of this Western Hemisphere. Oh, yes, I know in the past we have talked of plans, we've gone down there every once in a while with a great plan somehow for our neighbors to the south, but it was always a plan which we-the big colossus of the north-would impose on them. It was our idea. On my trip to Central and South America. I asked for their ideas. I begun to tap the vast resources of these continents. Without sacrificing our national sovereignties, our own individual cultures or national pride, we could as neighbors make this Western Hemi- sphere-our hemisphere-a force for good such as the Old World has never seen. But it starts with the word neigh- bor. And that is what I talked about down there and sought their partner- ship-their equal partnership-in we of the Western Hemisphere coming together to truly develop fully the poten- tial this hemisphere has. Last Sunday, His Holiness Pope John Paul II prayed that the measures announced by President Magana would "contribute to orderly and peaceful prog- ress" in El Salvador, progress "founded on the respect for the rights of all, and that all have the possibility to cooperate in a climate of true democracy for the promotion of the common good." My fellow Americans, we in the United States join in that prayer for democracy and peace in El Salvador, and we pledge our moral and material support to help the Salvadoran people achieve a more just and peaceful future. And in doing so, we stand true to both the highest values of our free society and our own vital interests. ^ pointed out that we had a common heri- tage. We'd all come as pioneers to these two great continents. We worshipped the same God, and we'd lived at peace with each other longer than most people in other parts of the world. There are more than 600 million of us calling ourselves Americans-North, Central, and South. We haven't really Bureau?of Public Affairs United States Department of State Washington, D.C. 20520 If address is incorrect please indicate change. Do not cover or destroy this address label. Published by the United States Department of State ? Bureau of Public Affairs Office of Public Communication ? Editorial Division ? Washington, D.C. ? March 1983 Editor: Colleen Sussman ? This material is in the public domain and may be reproduced without permission; citation of this source is appreciated. Postage and Fees Paid Department of State STA-501 us.MAIL Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Current Policy No. 477 Secretary Shultz Caribbean Basin Economic Recovery Act April 13, 1983 United States Department of State Bureau of Public Affairs Washington, D.C. Following is a statement by Secretary Shultz before the Senate Finance Com- mittee, April 13, 1983. I welcome this opportunity to continue our dialogue on the Caribbean region and specifically the Caribbean Basin Economic Recovery Act. The legislation we have proposed is a far-sighted response to a deepening economic and social crisis troubling some of our closest neighbors. It deserves to become law this year-the sooner this year, the better. Our Vital Interests Let me begin by reviewing our own vital interests in the Caribbean Basin. The Caribbean is an unfenced neighborhood that we share with 27 island and coastal nations. Their security and economic well-being have a direct impact on our own strategic and economic interests. We do not have to go to Miami to come in daily contact with people born in the Caribbean region or to appreciate the rapid impact of turmoil there on our own society. In fact, our country has become a safehaven for thousands upon thousands of Caribbean citizens who pin their hopes for a better life on a dangerous, uncertain, and clandestine migration to this country. As a result, the basin area is now the second largest source of illegal immigration to the United States. This situation will not im- prove until the nations of the Caribbean Basin are better able to offer their peo- ple opportunities to build secure, produc- tive lives at home. Economically, the Caribbean Basin region is a vital strategic and commer- cial artery for the United States. Nearly half our trade, three-quarters of our im- ported oil, and over half our imported strategic minerals pass through the Panama Canal or the Gulf of Mexico. If this region should become prey to social and economic upheaval, and dominated by regimes hostile to us, the conse- quences for our security would be im- mediate and far reaching. The health of the Caribbean econo- mies also affects our economy. The area is now a $7 billion market for U.S. ex- ports. Thousands of American jobs were lost when our exports to the region fell $150 million last year as income in the region declined. A large portion of the debt of Caribbean countries is owed to banks in this country. At the end of 1981, U.S. direct investment in the region was approximately $8 billion. The Caribbean Basin Economic Re- covery Act is the cornerstone of our ef- fort to come to grips with these issues. This legislation recognizes the critical relationship between economic develop- ment and political stability. It is de- signed to promote self-sustaining economic growth; to enable countries in the region to strengthen democratic in- stitutions; and to implement political, social, and economic reforms. Ultimate- ly, its purpose is to help restore the faith of people of the region in their countries' ability to offer them hope for a better future. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Economic Problems The societies of the Caribbean Basin republics are undergoing inevitable change that puts them under con- siderable stress. Declining employment in agriculture, high birth rates, and slow creation of urban jobs have diminished hopes for combating poverty and caused appalling rates of unemployment, especially among the young. Youth unemployment in Jamaica, for example, is estimated to be 50%. Without dramatic increases in investment to im- prove living standards and to create jobs, rising crime and urban instability will create a downward spiral of social disintegration. And because the Carib- bean economies are so small, new in- vestment-domestic as well as foreign-will not take place without assured access to outside markets. The diminutive size of individual Caribbean markets-averaging just 1.5 million people, with 16 countries under 0.5 million-makes them uniquely de- pendent on the outside world in ways we can only dimly imagine. The national in- comes of most Caribbean Basin coun- tries are less than that of a U.S. metro- politan area of 300,000 people, such as Omaha, Nebraska, or Charlotte, North Carolina. Dominica, for example, with a population of only 80,000, is the least developed country in the eastern Carib- bean. It is also one of the most democratic and pro-Western. If small, vulnerable economies like Dominica are to be at all viable, they must have access to bigger markets. In Central America where the economies tend to be a bit larger, the disruptions in recent years of the Central American Common Market have made economies such as Costa Rica much more dependent on markets out- side its region. As long as they are limited to production for their small and poor domestic markets, the small econo- mies of the Caribbean Basin cannot diversify their economies. Nor can they develop the expertise and efficiency needed to become prosperous interna- tional traders. We recognize that the Caribbean Basin economies will always be depend- ent to some degree on markets outside the region. But developments of the past few years have had a devastating im- pact. Prices of the non-oil commodities the Caribbean republics export-sugar, coffee, bananas, bauxite-have fallen drastically. And this is at a time when they are still struggling to cope with the massive increases of the 1970s in the price of their most basic import: oil. Recession in the United States has caused a steep drop in revenue from tourism. Foreign debt has mounted to increasingly burdensome levels. The withering of government revenues has stopped or delayed development proj- ects. Real per capita incomes have declined throughout most of the basin region. All this adds up to a massive prob- lem: the governments of the Caribbean republics must find ways to assure sociopolitical stability and revive economic growth while also accommo- dating rapid internal change. Their suc- cess or failure in meeting this challenge will greatly affect the environment in which we live. The Challenge/The Alternatives The United States thus has a vital stake in helping its Caribbean neighbors pur- sue their goals of open societies and growing economies through productive exchange with us and the rest of the world. The Administration has ap- proached this task with full recognition that we have great assets and advan- tages when it comes to supporting democratic development. This becomes most clear when we look at the alternatives. One alternative is the closed solution: the society which, while not a viable economy, turns in on itself and enforces by fiat the distribu- tion of the limited economic benefits a small economy can generate itself or receive in aid. This is a recipe for totalitarian force-because people will not take it willingly-and economic stagnation. It is the Cuban solution. It poses continuing threats to our interests in this hemisphere which we have had to counter for the last 20 years. A second alternative is decline of the population to the level which a small economy can support on its own. With the young populations and high birth- rates of these countries, this alternative entails massive emigration from the Caribbean Basin region. Our country is inevitably the preferred destination. As much as we welcome the rich contribu- tion of the region's immigrants to our own life, massive immigration is not what we want. Nor is it what the coun- tries of the region want. That is not at issue. Nor is it the only reason we care. The President's proposed legislation supports a third alternative-democratic development. This is the only alternative that meets our vital self-interests and our nation's long tradition as a source of progress and hope in the world. Politi- cally, the people of these societies have shown they want a voice in their own fate and that they reject totalitarian for- mulas. Two-thirds of the governments of the region have democratically elected governments. Significant progress toward democracy is occurring in others as well, despite the obstacles. Democ- racy represents a set of values that vir- tually all the peoples of the region see as sympathetic to their own aspirations. The Cuban and now Nicaraguan models stand as clear demonstrations of both political repression and economic failure. Economically we have the assets that can be ultimately decisive in the orientation of Caribbean development. We represent a market economy that works, a natural market for Caribbean exports, the major source of private in- vestment in the region, and the manage- ment and technology that come with it. The Caribbean initiative of the Ad- ministration is an imaginative and com- prehensive approach to bringing these assets to bear on the problems of our Caribbean neighbors. It is a forward- looking effort to boost both development and stability. Because it builds on private resources and enterprise, it has the potential to deal with their deep economic plight in a fundamental way. Because it can help to ease delicate social and political transitions before they create security problems of an in- ternational dimension, it is a program to get ahead of history, instead of just countering its unwelcome effects. Caribbean Basin Program Our program is part of a major multilat- eral effort. Other higher income coun- tries of the region are also increasing their efforts significantly. Canada has embarked on a 5-year program for the area providing over $500 million. Canada currently provides duty-free treatment or preferential access for 98% of its imports from the Caribbean Basin. Mexico and Venezuela, despite their own financial difficulties, are continuing con- cessional credits to the region through their oil facility. Venezuelan financial support has been over $2.5 billion in the last 5 years. Colombia is initiating technical assistance of up to $50 million, new credit lines of $10 million per coun- try, and additional balance-of-payments financing and a trust fund for less developed countries of the eastern Caribbean. The collective efforts of these democracies are a strong en- couragement to open societies and democratic development in the region. But success would be imperiled without us. Our full participation is vitally needed. The U.S. contribution integrates three types of mutually reinforcing economic measures-trade opportunities, tax incentives, and aid. The program has Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 been developed in continuing consulta- The U.S. Market tion with the governments and the private sectors of the regions. It reflects The key to new production and employ- their own priorities and assessment of ment in the Caribbean is assured access their needs. to its natural market in this country. As you know, we were able to make Suppliers in the Caribbean need help to a start on our Caribbean economic ini- get started in the competition with tiatives last summer, when the Congress larger, more experienced, and estab- approved an emergency supplemental lished producers elsewhere. That sug- aid package of $350 million-a key ele- gests a bold solution that reinforces the ment in the President's original Carib- natural pole of attraction of the U.S. bean Basin program. Our aid requests market. for both FY 1983 and FY 1984 reflect The President's proposal to grant the new higher priority we have given to duty-free entry to Caribbean Basin prod- the Caribbean Basin area in the alloca- ucts for a 12-year period is the center- tion of our scarce economic assistance piece of the Caribbean Basin Initiative. resources. As a percentage of our overall economic assistance budget, as- sistance to the Caribbean region will double in FY 1983 and 1984, over FY 1980, from 6.6% authorized in 1980 to 13.6% proposed in FY 1984. Most of the $350 million appro- priated last year has been obligated for use by the private sector in those coun- tries with the most serious financial problems. This assistance has helped many established, productive private firms continue to obtain needed raw materials and equipment from the United States. In addition, it has pro- vided critical support for balance-of- payments problems and infrastructure projects in the small, least developed countries. We have also been able to use a por- tion of these funds to support training and scholarship opportunities for in- dividuals from the Caribbean region with leadership potential. These oppor- tunities support our goal of transferring knowledge and skills, enhancing eco- nomic cooperation among nations of the region and strengthening political ties between recipient countries and the United States. We are currently offering 1,300 scholarships each year. As new money is available, the number of scholarship recipients will continue to in- crease. These programs have high devel- opment, economic, and political impact and are a key element in our assistance to the Caribbean Basin region. But as the President said when he requested that emergency CBI [Carib- bean Basin Initiative] appropriation, financial assistance is only a short-term remedy. Indeed, financial assistance and development projects will be wasted if the development process is not a broad- based and integrated process. We believe that such development can only be achieved through a strategy which encourages private initiative and invest- ment. It can provide a decisive boost to Carib- bean development. The proposal is dramatic and simple. It offers long-term economic benefits of free trade and the immediate impact of a major political commitment to the region. By assuring duty-free access to the vast U.S. market, this measure will provide strong and continuing incentives for invest- ment, innovation, and risk taking in Caribbean countries. As I have pointed out, the domestic economies of most Caribbean Basin na- tions are simply too small to permit the diversification essential for noninfla- tionary growth. An opening of the U.S. market to the nontraditional products of these countries will provide important opportunities to develop new production and an incentive to produce more effi- ciently. Increased and diversified pro- duction will mean higher wages, a strengthened middle class, more resources available for education and health-and more demand for raw materials, equipment, and finished goods from the United States. I recognize that these are difficult economic times in our own country. Understandably, there is concern over the impact this legislation will have on workers in the United States. I am con- vinced that the impact on our economy will be positive. Because the Caribbean countries are so closely linked to our economy, our sales to them will grow apace with their economies. Excluding petroleum trade, we have a $2 billion trade surplus with the Caribbean Basin and are already the major trade partner of most countries there. A stronger Caribbean Basin will be an even better and more reliable customer for U.S. products. As countries in the region pro- duce more, they will import more. American workers will share in the fruits of that growth. The Caribbean Basin economies are equal to only 2% of our GNP, and our imports from the region are less than 4% of our total imports. Imports not already entering duty-free are an even smaller percentage. Therefore, even a significant increase in Caribbean Basin production and exports will not have a significant negative impact on our economy. And if American industries are injured by Caribbean imports, they have the remedy of seeking relief under the safeguard provisions of the 1974 Trade Act. The United States is the world's most open major market. A large share of the Caribbean Basin's exports to the United States already enter duty free. Petroleum accounts for almost 60% of our imports from the region. In 1982, 70% of our nonpetroleum imports from the Caribbean Basin entered duty free. Sixteen percent of these nonpetroleum imports entered under GSP [generalized system of preferences]. But GSP is due to expire next year. While the Ad- ministration strongly supports the ex- tension of GSP, it contains competitive need restrictions and product exclusions which limit its usefulness as a stimulus to broad-based recovery by the small Caribbean Basin countries. The products that would be extended duty-free entry as a result of the proposed CBI legisla- tion comprised only one-quarter of 1% of U.S. imports in 1982. Yet these products represent an important area of potential new production for the Caribbean Basin countries. I would like to mention briefly a sec- tion of this bill that was not included when I addressed this committee last August on this legislation. I refer to the convention tax deduction. This provision recognizes the vital importance of tourism and travel to the economies of many Caribbean nations. I should em- phasize that this provision would simply grant Caribbean Basin conventions tax status equal to that presently enjoyed by Mexico, Canada, and Jamaica. In our consultations with Caribbean Basin business and government leaders, they have frequently cited the disadvan- tageous present tax treatment of Carib- bean conventions as being an obstacle to the recovery of their travel industries. We should also keep in mind that many American travel dollars spent in the Caribbean come back via U.S.-owned airlines, hotels, and recreation facilities. Let me reiterate the important role that Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands have in the Caribbean Basin Ini- tiative. Since the earliest days of this Administration, we have consulted close- ly with the governments of Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands to fashion Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 the initiative in a way that would foster the development of the U.S. Caribbean. The legislation reflects that in several ways. It liberalizes duty-free imports into the United States from insular possessions. It explicitly permits in- dustries in Puerto Rico and U.S. ter- ritories to petition for relief under the safeguard provisions of U.S. trade law. It also modifies environmental restric- tions on the U.S. Virgin Islands rum in- dustry and constructs the rules-of-origin requirements to encourage the use of products of Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. An important provision would transfer excise taxes on all im- ported rum to the treasuries of Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. In sum, the facilities, skills, and people of Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands are a major component of our develop- ment cooperation efforts elsewhere in the Caribbean. The Political Dimension The political dimension of Caribbean progress is of great and ultimate impor- tance to us. We do not seek clients. Our goal is a region of independent countries in which people can choose their leaders and their own path to economic and social progress. We are confident that will produce societies and regimes which are not hostile to us. That same belief underlies the strong commitment of the other democracies in the region to the Caribbean initiative. Together with Mex- ico, Venezuela, Colombia, and the region's other democratic governments, we seek to encourage economic and social reforms which address the real grievances of various sectors of the Bureau of Public Affairs United States Department of State Washington, D.C. 20520 If address is incorrect please indicate change. Do not cover or destroy this address label. population of Central America and Caribbean countries. Stability in societies based on free association rather than coercion must depend on addressing people's right to own their own land. They must be able to organize in cooperatives and unions to promote their economic interests. And they must be able to exercise their political rights, free of intimidation. That is the course we encourage through our support in the Caribbean Basin region. That is also the course which the peoples of the region seek-as they have shown repeatedly in their own political life. Conclusion The Caribbean Basin Initiative is solidly grounded in the tradition and values of both this country and the Caribbean region. It is a strong and multilateral ef- fort in which the U.S. Government has cooperated and consulted with the Governments of Canada, Venezuela, Mexico, and Colombia; with other donor countries; and with the international financial institutions. The proposals before this committee are the result of extensive discussions with business and government leaders in the Caribbean Basin region about the obstacles to their economic revival. The focus of our ef- forts is on the private sector, which must be the engine of a lasting economic growth. The nations of the Caribbean Basin are counting on us. It is now over a year since President Reagan outlined his Caribbean Basin Initiative proposals before the Organization of American States. Those proposals were warmly, even enthusiastically, received by most government, labor, and private sector leaders in the region. For those in the Caribbean Basin countries who believe in cooperation with the United States, in pluralistic democracy and private enter- prise, the announcement of the initiative demonstrated that the United States realizes the importance of urgent and far-reaching action to promote the region's prosperity. They were bitterly disappointed that this legislation did not reach the Senate floor during the last Congress. If we fail to act now, our in- action will be interpreted as lack of in- terest and a broken promise. It would undercut moderate leaders in the region who have geared their policies to cooperation with the United States and to serious efforts for economic develop- ment and democracy. It would ex- tinguish the hopes that have been raised in the region that the United States is willing to give significant help to foster economic and social progress in the Caribbean Basin. I am confident that after careful ex- amination, this committee and the Senate will recognize that this legisla- tion is important to the interests of the United States and the Caribbean Basin countries. I strongly urge favorable ac- tion. ^ Published by the United States Department of State - Bureau of Public Affairs Office of Public Communication ? Editorial Division ? Washington, D.C. ? April 1983 Editor: Colleen Sussman ? This material is in the public domain and may be reproduced without permission; citation of this source is appreciated. Postage and Fees Paid Department of State STA-501 usNUUL 0 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 Current Policy No. 482 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 President Reagan Central America: Defending Our Vital Interests April 27, 1983 United States Department of State Bureau of Public Affairs Washington, D.C. Following is an address by President Reagan before a joint session of Con- gress, April 27, 1983. A number of times in past years, Members of Congress and a President have come together in meetings like this to resolve a crisis. I have asked for this meeting in the hope that we can prevent one. It would be hard to find many Americans who are not aware of our stake in the Middle East, the Persian Gulf, or the NATO line dividing the free world from the communist bloc. And the same could be said for Asia. But in spite of, or maybe because of, a flurry of stories about places like Nicaragua and El Salvador, and, yes, some concerted propaganda, many of us find it hard to believe we have a stake in problems involving those countries. Too many have thought of Central America as just that place way down below Mex- ico that can't possibly constitute a threat to our well-being. And that's why I have asked for this session. Central America's problems do directly affect the security and the well- being of our own people. And Central America is much closer to the United States than many of the world trouble spots that concern us. So as we work to restore our own economy, we cannot af- ford to lose sight of our neighbors to the south. El Salvador is nearer to Texas than Texas is to Massachusetts. Nicaragua is just as close to Miami, San Antonio, San Diego, and Tucson as those cities are to Washington where we're gathered tonight. But nearness on the map doesn't even begin to tell the strategic importance of Central America, border- ing as it does on the Caribbean-our lifeline to the outside world. Two-thirds of all our foreign trade and petroleum pass through the Panama Canal and the Caribbean. In a European crisis, at least half of our supplies for NATO would go through these areas by sea. It's well to remember that in early 1942 a handful of Hitler's submarines sank more ton- nage there than in all of the Atlantic Ocean. And they did this without a single naval base anywhere in the area. Today, the situation is different. Cuba is host to a Soviet combat brigade, a submarine base capable of servicing Soviet-submarines, and mil-tart' air bases visited regularly by Soviet military aircraft. Because of its importance, the Carib- bean Basin is a magnet for adventurism. We are all aware of the Libyan cargo planes refueling in Brazil a few days ago on their way to deliver medical supplies to Nicaragua. Brazilian authorities dis- covered the so-called medical supplies were actually munitions and prevented their delivery. You may remember that last month, speaking on national tele- vision, I showed an aerial photo of an airfield being built on the island of Grenada. Well, if that airfield had been completed, those planes could have re- fueled there and completed their journey. If the Nazis during World War II and the Soviets today could recognize the Caribbean and Central America as vital to our interests, shouldn't we also? Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86BOO42OR000701460001-3 Struggle for Freedom in El Salvador For several years now, under two ad- ministrations, the United States has been increasing its defense of freedom in the Caribbean Basin: And I can tell you tonight, democracy is beginning to take root in El Salvador which, until a short time ago, knew only dictatorship. The new government is now delivering on its promises of democracy, reforms, and free elections. It wasn't easy, and there was resistance to many of the attempted reforms with assassinations of some of the reformers. Guerrilla bands and ur- ban terrorists were portrayed in a worldwide propaganda campaign as freedom fighters representative of the people. Ten days before I came into of- fice, the guerrillas launched what they called a "final offensive" to overthrow the government. And their radio boasted that our new Administration would be too late to prevent their victory. They learned democracy cannot be so easily defeated. President Carter did not hesitate. He authorized arms and ammunition to El Salvador. The guer- rilla offensive failed, but not America's will. Every president since this country assumed global responsibilities has known that those responsibilities could only be met if we pursued a bipartisan foreign policy. As I said a moment ago, the Govern- ment of El Salvador has been keeping its promises, like the land reform pro- gram which is making thousands of farm tenants, farm owners. In a little over 3 years, 20% of the arable land in El Salvador has been redistributed to more than 450,000 people. That's 1 in 10 Salvadorans who have benefited directly from this program. El Salvador has continued to strive toward an orderly and democratic socie- ty. The government promised free elec- tions. On March 28th, little more than a year ago, after months of campaigning by a variety of candidates, the suffering people of El Salvador were offered a chance to vote-to choose the kind of government they wanted. And suddenly the so-called freedom fighters in the hills were exposed for what they really are- a small minority who want power for themselves and their backers not democ- racy for the people. The guerrillas threatened death to anyone who voted. They destroyed hundreds of buses and trucks to keep the people from getting to the polling places. Their slogan was brutal: "Vote today, die tonight." But on election day, an unprecedented 80% of the electorate braved ambush and gun- fire and trudged for miles, many of them, to vote for freedom. And that's truly fighting for freedom. We can never turn our backs on that. Members of this Congress who went there as observers told me of a woman who was wounded by rifle fire on the way to the polls, who refused to leave the line to have her wound treated until after she had voted. Another woman had been told by the guerrillas that she would be killed when she returned from the polls, and she told the guerrillas, "You can kill me; you can kill my family; you can kill my neighbors; you can't kill us all." The real freedom fighters of El Salvador turned out to be the people of that country-the young, the old, the in between-more than a million of them out of a population of less than 5 million. The world should respect this courage and not allow it to be belittled or for- gotten. And again, I say in good con- science, we can never turn our backs on that. The democratic political parties and factions in El Salvador are coming together around the common goal of seeking a political solution to their coun- try's problems. New national elections will be held this year and they will be open to all political parties. The govern- ment has invited the guerrillas to par- ticipate in the election and is preparing an amnesty law. The people of El Salvador are earning their freedom, and they deserve our moral and material support to protect it. Yes, there are still major problems regarding human rights, the criminal justice system, and violence against non- combatants. And, like the rest of Cen- tral America, El Salvador also faces severe economic problems. But in addi- tion to recession-depressed prices for major agricultural exports, El Salvador's economy is being deliberately sabotaged. Tonight in El Salvador-because of ruth- less guerrilla attacks-much of the fer- tile land cannot be cultivated; less than half the rolling stock of the railways. re- mains operational; bridges, water facilities, telephone and electric systems have been destroyed and damaged. In one 22-month period, there were 5,000 interruptions of electrical power; one region was without electricity for a third of a year. I think Secretary of State Shultz put it very well the other day. "Unable to win the free loyalty of El Salvador's peo- ple, the guerrillas," he said, "are deliberately and systematically depriving them of food, water, transportation, light, sanitation, and jobs. And these are the people who claim they want to help the common people." They don't want elections because they know they would be defeated. But, as the previous election showed, the Salvadoran people's desire for democracy will not be defeated. The guerrillas are not embattled peasants armed with muskets. They are profes- sionals, sometimes with better training and weaponry than the government's soldiers. The Salvadoran battalions that have received U.S. training have been conducting themselves well on the battlefield and with the civilian popula- tion. But, so far, we've only provided enough money to train 1 Salvadoran soldier out of 10, fewer than the number of guerrillas that are trained by Nicaragua and Cuba. Relations With Nicaragua And let me set the record straight on Nicaragua, a country next to El Salva- dor. In 1979, when the new government took over in Nicaragua, after a revolu- tion which overthrew the authoritarian rule of Somoza, everyone hoped for the growth of democracy. We in the United States did too. By January of 1981, our emergency relief and recovery aid to .Nicaragua totaled $118 million-more than provided by' any other developed country. In fact, in the first 2 years of Sandinista rule, the United States directly or indirectly sent five times more aid to Nicaragua than it had in the 2 years prior to the revolution. Can any- one doubt the generosity and good faith of the American people? These were hardly the actions of a nation implacably hostile to Nicaragua. Yet, the Government of Nicaragua has treated us as an enemy. It has rejected our repeated peace efforts. It has broken its promises to us, to the Organization of American States, and, most important of all, to the people of Nicaragua. No sooner was victory achieved than a small clique ousted others who had been part of the revolution from having any voice in government. Humberto Ortega, the Minister of Defense, declared Marxism-Leninism would be their guide, and so it is. The Govern- ment of Nicaragua has imposed a new dictatorship; it has refused to hold the elections it promised; it has seized con- trol of most media and subjects all media to heavy prior censorship; it denied the bishops and priests of the Roman Catholic Church the right to say mass on radio during holy week; it in- sulted and mocked the Pope; it has driven the Miskito Indians from their homelands-burning their villages, Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86BOO42OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 destroying their crops, and forcing them into involuntary internment camps far from home; it has moved against the private sector and free labor unions; it condoned mob action against Nicaragua's independent human rights commission and drove the director of that commission into exile. In short, after all these acts of repression by the government, is it any wonder that opposition has formed? Contrary to propaganda, the opponents of the Sandinistas are not die-hard sup- porters of the previous Somoza regime. In fact, many are anti-Somoza heroes who fought beside the Sandinistas to bring down the Somoza government. Now they've been denied any part in the new government because they truly wanted democracy for Nicaragua, and they still do. Others are Miskito Indians fighting for their homes, their lands, and their lives. The Sandinista revolution in Nicaragua turned out to be just an ex- change of one set of autocratic rulers for another, and the people still have no freedom, no democratic rights, and more poverty. Even worse than its predecessor, it is helping Cuba and the Soviets to destabilize our hemisphere. Meanwhile, the Government of El Salvador, making every effort to guar- antee democracy, free labor unions, free- dom of religion, and a free press, is under attack by guerrillas dedicated to the same philosophy that prevails in Nicaragua, Cuba, and, yes, the Soviet Union. Violence has been Nicaragua's most important export to the world. It is the ultimate in hypocrisy for the un- elected Nicaraguan Government to charge that we seek their overthrow when they're doing everything they can to bring down the elected Government of El Salvador. The guerrilla attacks are directed from a headquarters in Managua, the capital of Nicaragua. But let us be clear as to the American attitude toward the Govern- ment of Nicaragua. We do not seek its overthrow. Our interest is to ensure that it does not infect its neighbors through the export of subversion and violence. Our purpose, in conformity with Ameri- can and international law, is to prevent the flow of arms to El Salvador, Hon- duras, Guatemala, and Costa Rica. We have attempted to have a dialogue with the Government of Nicaragua, but it persists in its efforts to spread violence. We should not-and we will not- protect the Nicaraguan Government from the anger of its own people. But we should, through diplomacy, offer an alternative. And, as Nicaragua ponders its options, we can and will-with all the resources of diplomacy-protect each country of Central America from the danger of war. Even Costa Rica, Cen- tral America's oldest and strongest democracy, a government so peaceful it doesn't even have an army, is the object of bullying and threats from Nicaragua's dictators. Nicaragua's neighbors know that Sandinista promises of peace, nonalli- ance, and nonintervention have not been kept. Some 36 new military bases have been built; there were only 13 during the Somoza years. Nicaragua's new army numbers 25,000 men supported by a militia of 50,000. It is the largest army in Central America supplemented by 2,000 Cuban military and security ad- visers. It is equipped with the most modern weapons, dozens of Soviet-made tanks, 800 Soviet-bloc trucks, Soviet 152-MM howitzers, 100 antiaircraft guns, plus planes and helicopters. There are additional thousands of civilian ad- visers from Cuba, the Soviet Union, East Germany, Libya, and the PLO [Palestine Liberation Organization]. And we are attacked because we have 55 military trainers in El Salvador. The goal of the professional guerrilla movements in Central America is as simple as it is sinister-to destabilize the entire region from the Panama Canal to Mexico. If you doubt me on this point, just consider what Cayetano Carpio, the now-deceased Salvadoran guerrilla leader, said earlier this month. Carpio said that after El Salvador falls, El Salvador and Nicaragua would be "arm- in-arm and struggling for the total liberation of Central America." Nicaragua's dictatorial junta, who themselves made war and won power operating from bases in Honduras and Costa Rica, like to pretend they are to- day being attacked by forces based in Honduras. The fact is, it is Nicaragua's Government that threatens Honduras, not the reverse. It is Nicaragua who has moved heavy tanks close to the border, and Nicaragua who speaks of war. It was Nicaraguan radio that announced on April 8th the creation of a new, unified, revolutionary coordinating board to push forward the Marxist struggle in Hon- duras. Nicaragua, supported by weapons and military resources provided by the communist bloc, represses its own peo- ple, refuses to make peace, and sponsors a guerrilla war against El Salvador. The Need for U.S. Support President Truman's words are as apt to- day as they were in 1947, when he, too, spoke before a joint session of the Con- gress: At the present moment in world history nearly every nation must choose between alternative ways of life. The choice is too often not a free one. One way of life is based upon the will of the majority, and is distinguished by free in- stitutions, representative government, free elections, guarantees of individual liberty, freedom of speech and religion, and freedom from political oppression. The second way of life is based upon the will of a minority forcibly imposed upon the majority. It relies upon terror and oppres- sion, a controlled press and radio, fixed elec- tions, and the suppression of personal freedoms. I believe that it must be the policy of the United States to support free peoples who are resisting attempted subjugation by armed minorities or by outside pressures. I believe that we must assist free peoples to work out their own destinies in their own way. I believe that our help should be primar- ily through economic and financial aid which is essential to economic stability and orderly political processes. ... Collapse of free institutions and loss of independence would be disastrous not only for them but for the world. Discouragement and possibly failure would quickly be the lot of neighboring peoples striving to maintain their freedom and independence. The countries of Central America are smaller than the nations that prompted President Truman's message. But the political and strategic stakes are the same. Will our response-economic, social, military-be as appropriate and successful as Mr. Truman's bold solu- tions to the problems of postwar Europe? Some people have forgotten the suc- cesses of those years and the decades of peace, prosperity, and freedom they secured. Some people talk as though the United States were incapable of acting effectively in international affairs without risking war or damaging those we seek to help. Are democracies required to remain passive while threats to their security and prosperity accumulate? Must we just accept the destabiliza- tion of an entire region from the Pana- ma Canal to Mexico on our southern border? Must we sit by while independent nations of this hemisphere are in- tegrated into the most aggressive em- pire the modern world has seen? Must we wait while Central Americans are driven from their homes, like the more than 4 million who have Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 sought refuge out of Afghanistan or the Basic Goals 1.5 million who have fled Indochina or The Congress shares both the power and the more than 1 million Cubans who have fled Castro's Caribbean utopia? the responsibility for our foreign policy. Must we, by default, leave the people of Tonight, I ask you, the Congress, to join El Salvador no choice but to flee their me in a bold, generous approach to the homes, creating another tragic human problems of peace and poverty, exodus? democracy and dictatorship in the I do not believe there is a majority region. Join me in a program that in the Congress or the country that prevents communist victory in the short counsels passivity, resignation, run but goes beyond to produce, for the defeatism in the face of this challenge to deprived people of the area, and the the reality freedom and security in our hemisphere. of present progress promise I do not believe that a majority of more to come. the Congress or the country is prepared Let us lay the foundation for a to stand by passively while the people of bi p artisan approach and fchedos faint coun- tries in- Central America are delivered es tries of Central America. We in the Ad- totalitarianism and we ourselves are left vulnerable to new dangers. ministration reach out to you in this spirit. last week an official of the . Soviet Union reiterated Brezhnev's We will pursue four basic goals in threat to station nuclear missiles in this Central America. hemisphere-5 minutes from the United First. In response to decades of in- States. Like an echo, Nicaragua's com- 4 equity and indifference, we will support mandante, Daniel Ortega, confirmed that, if asked, his country would con- sider accepting those missiles. I under- stand that today they may be having second thoughts. Now, before I go any further, let me say to those who invoke the memory of Vietnam: There is no thought of sending American combat troops to Central America; they are not needed-indeed, they have not been requested there. All our neighbors ask of us is assistance in training and arms to protect themselves while they build a better, freer life. We must continue to encourage peace among the nations of Central America. We must support the regional efforts now underway to promote solu- tions to regional problems. We cannot be certain that the Marxist-Leninist bands who believe war is an instrument of politics will be readily discouraged. It's crucial that we not become dis- couraged before they do. Otherwise the region's freedom will be lost and our security damaged in ways that can hard- ly be calculated. If Central America were to fall, what would the consequences be for our position in Asia, Europe, and for alliances such as NATO? If the United States cannot respond to a threat near our own borders, why should Europeans democracy, reform, and human freedom. This means using our assistance, our powers of persuasion, and our legitimate "leverage" to bolster humane democratic systems where they already exist and to help countries on their way to that goal complete the process as quickly as human institutions can be changed. Elec- tions-in El Salvador and also in Nicaragua-must be open to all, fair and safe. The international community must help. We will work at human rights problems, not walk away from them. Second. In response to the challenge of world recession and, in the case of El Salvador, to the unrelenting campaign of economic sabotage by the guerrillas, we will support economic development. By a margin of two-to-one, our aid is economic now, not military. Seventy- seven cents out of every dollar we will spend in the area this year goes for food, fertilizers, and other essentials for economic growth and development. And our economic program goes beyond traditional aid: The Caribbean initiative introduced in the House earlier today will provide powerful trade and invest- ment incentives to help these countries achieve self-sustaining economic growth without exporting U.S. jobs. Our goal must be to focus our immense and grow- or Asians believe that we are seriously agriculture, and industry and to ensure concerned about threats to them? If the that we, who inhabit this interdependent Soviets can assume that nothing short of region, come to know and understand an actual attack on the United States each other better, retaining our diverse will provoke an American response, identities, respecting our diverse tradi- which ally, which friend will trust us tions and institutions. then? ing technology to enhance health care, Third. In response to the military challenge from Cuba and Nicaragua-to their deliberate use of force to spread tyranny-we will support the security of the region's threatened nations. We do not view security assistance as an end in itself but as a shield for democratization, economic development, and diplomacy. No amount of reform will bring peace so long as guerrillas believe they will win by force. No amount of economic help will suffice if guerrilla units can destroy roads and bridges and power stations and crops again and again with impuni- ty. But, with better training and material help, our neighbors can hold off the guerrillas and give democratic reform time to take root. Fourth. We will support dialogue and negotiations-both among the coun- tries of the region and within each coun- try. The terms and conditions of par- ticipation in elections are negotiable. Costa Rica is a shining example of democracy. Honduras has made the move from military rule to democratic government. Guatemala is pledged to the same course. The United States will work toward a political solution in Cen- tral America which will serve the in- terests of the democratic process. To support these diplomatic goals, I offer these assurances: ? The United States will support any agreement among Central American countries for the withdrawal-under ful- ly verifiable and reciprocal conditions- of all foreign military and security ad- visers and troops. ? We want to help opposition groups join the political process in all countries and compete by ballots instead of bullets. ? We will support any verifiable, reciprocal agreement among Central American countries on the renunciation of support for insurgencies on neighbors' territory. ? And, finally, we desire to help Central America end its costly arms race and will support any verifiable, reciprocal agreements on the nonimpor- tation of offensive weapons. To move us toward these goals more rapidly, I am tonight announcing my in- tention to name an ambassador at large as my special envoy to Central America. He or she will report to me through the Secretary of State. The ambassador's responsibilities will be to lend U.S. sup- port to the efforts of regional govern- Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 ments to bring peace to this troubled area and to work closely with the Con- gress to assure the fullest possible bipar- tisan coordination of our policies toward the region. What I'm asking for is prompt con- gressional approval for the full repro- gramming of funds for key current economic and security programs so that the people of Central America can hold the line against externally supported ag- gression. In addition, I am asking for prompt action on the supplemental re- quest in these same areas to carry us through the current fiscal year and for early and favorable congressional action on my requests for fiscal year 1984. And finally, I am asking that the bipartisan consensus, which last year acted on the trade and tax provisions of the Carib- bean Basin Initiative in the House, again take the lead to move this vital proposal to the floor of both chambers. And, as I said before, the greatest share of these requests is targeted toward economic and humanitarian aid, not military. What the Administration is asking for on behalf of freedom in Central America is so small, so minimal, con- sidering what is at stake. The total amount requested for aid to all of Cen- tral America in 1984 is about $600 million; that's less than one-tenth of what Americans will spend this year on coin-operated video games. In summation, I say to you that tonight there can be no question: The national security of all the Americas is at stake in Central America. If we can- not defend ourselves there, we cannot expect to prevail elsewhere. Our credibility would collapse, our alliances would crumble, and the safety of our homeland would be put at jeopardy. We have a vital interest, a moral duty, and a solemn responsiblity. This is not a partisan issue. It is a question of our meeting our moral responsibility to ourselves, our friends, and our posterity. It is a duty that falls on all of us-the President, the Congress, and the people. We must perform it together. Who among us would wish to bear respon- sibility for failing to meet our shared obligation? ^ Published by the United States Department of State ? Bureau of Public Affairs Office of Public Communication ? Editorial Division ? Washington, D.C. ? April 1983 Editor: Colleen Sussman ? This material is in the public domain and may be reproduced without permission; citation of this source is appreciated. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Current Policy No. 539 Is Peace Possible in Central America? January 19, 1984 United States Department of State Bureau of Public Affairs Washington, D.C. Following is an address by Langhorne A. Motley, Assistant Secretary for Inter-American Affairs, before the Foreign Policy Association, New York, January 19, 1984. The Events of 1983 There's nothing easy about the situation in Central America. The issues are so complex and the situation changing so rapidly that everyone keeps looking for "signals" of what is happening-and what will happen next. The signals today, as usual, are mixed. I want to talk very specifically today about one kind of signal coming up from Central America: the signals which tell us on the one hand that peace is possible there and the ones that say the opposite. But before I even begin, remember that nations, like people, are capable of sending false signals-of mak- ing paper commitments that have no meaning. With that in mind, let's look at some interesting signals. ? In January 1983, Colombia, Mex- ico, Panama, and Venezuela met on the island of Contadora to consider ways to prevent a widening conflict. After a slow beginning for what is now known as the Contadora process, all five Central American nations agreed in September to a document of objectives-21 in all-to serve as a basis for a compre- hensive regional peace treaty. Just 10 days ago-on January 8-these govern- ments agreed on specific procedures to guide negotiations to implement these objectives. ? In El Salvador, meanwhile, the fighting continued. But last year a large- scale amnesty was approved by the Con- stituent Assembly and effectively and humanely implemented. More than 1,000 guerrillas and camp followers came in from the cold. Two meetings took place between the Peace Commission and the guerrilla representatives. That dialogue was interrupted when the guerrillas refused even to discuss participating in the direct popular elections for president now set for March 25. But the Salva- doran Government has carefully left the door open to renewed contacts. ? In Nicaragua, the Sandinistas gradually softened the tone of their statements. They agreed formally to the 21 objectives of the Contadora process- objectives that include democratization, arms control, an end to support for subversion, and gradual withdrawal of foreign military and security advisers. In November, the Sandinistas signaled they were reducing their ties to Cuba and to the Salvadoran guerrillas. They also initiated a dialogue with some of their internal opposition-although they have not yet responded to a call from all ma- jor anti-Sandinista forces to implement their 1979 commitments to the Organization of American States (OAS) and allow all political elements to com- pete for power in free and genuinely fair elections. What does all this mean? Is there finally some reason to hope that Central America is on a course toward peace" Or Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86BOO42OR000701460001-3 are all these signals examples of the dashed hopes and propaganda that plague Central America? What is the evidence? Where Does Nicaragua Really Stand? Let me start by reviewing the record with regard to Nicaragua. When in 1979 the Sandinistas formally pledged to the OAS to establish a democratic, pluralis- tic, and nonaligned regime, the United States took a leading role in the interna- tional effort to assist Nicaragua. In the first 21 months after the fall of Somoza, we authorized $117.2 million in economic assistance. Despite many problems, the Carter Administration suspended aid disbursements only after it became clear that the Sandinistas were supporting the guerrillas in El Salvador. In October 1980 under President Carter, then again in August 1981 and April 1982 under the Reagan Ad- ministration, the United States sought to persuade Nicaragua to renounce its support of the guerrilla insurgency in El Salvador. The Nicaraguans did not re- spond to our concerns. In October 1982 in San Jose, Costa Rica, eight demo- cratically elected governments made fair and balanced proposals for a regional peace. Nicaragua refused even to receive the Costa Rican Foreign Minister as emissary of this group. The sources of Nicaragua's intran- sigence were clear. Internally, the San- dinista leaders had succeeded in remov- ing from influence everyone who dis- agreed with them. They had built an army four times the size of Somoza's notorious National Guard. And they had developed close military ties to Cuba and the Soviet Union, which included thousands of advisers and a sophisti- cated joint effort to destabilize El Salvador and other neighboring govern- ments. The regime in Managua was so ar- rogantly confident in its ability to im- pose its will that it refused to listen to either its internal opposition or its neighbors. A former member of that regime, Arturo Cruz, put Nicaragua's situation in a nutshell in the summer 1983 issue of Foreign Affairs: There is ... an element of self- destruction in the present conduct of the Revolution. Certain Sandinista revolutionary leaders' rejection of pragmatism is puzzling. The allegiance to an internationalist ideology ... at the expense of the basic interests of the nation-state of Nicaragua, is unaccept- able. Then, last July, on the fourth an- niversary of the Sandinista revolution, Junta Coordinator Daniel Ortega offered a six-point peace proposal. The proposal was one sided. It would, for example, have cut off all assistance to the Govern- ment of El Salvador while leaving Cuban and Soviet assistance to the Government of Nicaragua wholly un- encumbered. It said nothing about democ- ratization, foreign military advisers, or verification. But for the first time the Sandinistas accepted a multilateral dia- logue and hinted at a willingness to sus- pend their support for the Salvadoran guerrillas. That much was encouraging, and we said so. Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, and Honduras quickly seized the initia- tive. They put forward an eight-point proposal-the "Bases for Peace." On September 9, meeting in Panama under Contadora auspices, Nicaragua joined them in agreeing to the 21 objectives I mentioned earlier. The "Document of Objectives" called for the establishment of democratic systems of government; for the reduction of current inventories of arms and military personnel; for the proscription of foreign military bases; for the reduction and eventual elimina- tion of foreign military advisers and troops; for an end to support for subver- sion; and for adequate means of verifica- tion and control. These were, and are, objectives on which a single, comprehen- sive, regional treaty could be based. This agreement was important prog- ress. But what was Nicaragua's next step? On October 20-that is, just weeks after apparently accepting the 21 objec- tives-Nicaragua presented four draft treaties based on the July Ortega pro- posals. These drafts: ? Disregarded the objective of re- storing military balance among states of the region; ? Sought again to delegitimize the elected Government of El Salvador by treating it as simply one of two belligerent parties; ? Ignored the Contadora objective to establish democratic institutions; and ? Made no serious proposal for verification and control. In reverting to its own partial agen- da and presenting it at the United Na- tions, Nicaragua undercut the 21 objec- tives of Contadora, both procedurally and substantively. Instead of acting to build confidence that it was genuinely seeking accommodation, Nicaragua strengthened the arguments of those who saw its proposals as a renewed campaign of deception designed to avoid real accommodation. I repeat: In the guise of "negotiating," Nicaragua was rejecting accommodation. Then, in November, word began to spread that Nicaragua was reducing the Cuban presence; that it was asking the Salvadoran FMLN/FDR [Farabundo Marti National Liberation Front/Revo- lutionary Democratic Front] to leave Managua; and that a new dialogue with the church and internal opposition was beginning. In December, Nicaragua pro- posed a freeze on arms imports and the reciprocal withdrawal of foreign military advisers. These signals suggested that Nicaragua recognized it would have to respond to the concerns expressed by its democratic opposition and by its neigh- bors in Central America. The United States welcomed these signals. Secretary Shultz said so publicly on December 5. And, you may be confi- dent, we have been exploring them thor- oughly in our private diplomacy. But the Secretary also said that what matters is the reality behind the rhetoric. Look at the evidence: ? Nicaragua claimed it was reducing the Cuban presence. But, as Interior Minister Borge himself admitted public- ly, only normal, year-end rotations of teachers were involved. We have seen no evidence that any of Cuba's 2,000 military and security advisers have left Nicaragua. And while they, not teachers, are the main source of con- cern, we learned from Grenada that even construction workers can beat their shovels into AK-47s pretty quickly. ? Nicaragua had implied it was forc- ing the Salvadoran FMLN/FDR out of Managua. But although a few FDR leaders did leave Nicaragua, the FMLN's sophisticated command and control headquarters and infrastructure remain intact and operating in Nicaragua. ? Nicaragua claimed it was offering a generous amnesty to the Miskito In- dians. Yet just before Christmas, another 1,200 Miskito men, women, and children chose to flee under hostile con- ditions into Honduras rather than suffer continued Sandinista repression. Other Nicaraguan measures had a little more substance. Censorship of La Prensa has, at least temporarily, been relaxed. And, after the extraordinary crackdown on the church in October, conversations with church leaders were begun. But there has been no easing of restrictions on independent radio sta- tions and harassment of La Prensa's advertisers, distributors, and journalists continues. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86BOO42OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 In short, despite the rhetoric, there is still no euide-nce that the Sandinistas are taking any of the essential measures which, if actually implemented, could help bring about among the states of the region a viable and lasting peace. What the United States Seeks From Nicaragua To remove any possible ambiguity, let me say again what those measures are: ? The establishment of a genuinely democratic regime; ? A definitive end to Nicaragua's support for guerrilla insurgencies and terrorism; ? Severance of Nicaraguan military and security ties to Cuba and the Soviet bloc; and ? Reductions in Nicaraguan military strength to levels that would restore military balance between Nicaragua and its neighbors. Let me comment on these points. First, none of these measures would be inconsistent with the goals that the Sandinistas publicly set for themselves in 1979. The Sandinistas at that time committed themselves to a policy of non- alignment, nonintervention, and demo- cratic pluralism. We ask only that they respect the principles they themselves proclaimed. Second, Nicaragua agreed to negotiate a treaty that would implement these goals when it signed the Conta- dora "Document of Objectives" last September. I repeat, we are only asking Nicaragua to do what it has formally and publicly committed itself to do. Third, eight other states of the region, including the United States, have signed a public document-the San Jose Declaration of October 4, 1982-making clear that they and we are committed to corresponding actions. As the President told the joint session of Congress last April, the United States will support a balanced and comprehensive regional agreement in Central America that is fully verifiable and reciprocal. Fourth, Nicaraguan implementation of these four points, whether unilaterally or through negotiations, would remove the causes of the deterioration in Nicaragua's relationship with the United States. A prompt return to a coopera- tive relationship, including economic assistance and Clil [Caribbean Basin In- itiative] beneficiary status, would then be possible. Fifth, the effect of such measures would be profoundly beneficial to the people of Central America: ? In the absence of the support it receives through Nicaragua, the FMLN in El Salvador would have to reconsider its refusal to consider participating in national elections. Democratic means of internal reconciliation-as opposed to power-sharing contrivances stemming from the barrel of a gun-would thus be powerfully advanced. ? With an end to regional conflicts and the implementation in Nicaragua of genuinely democratic processes, those who have taken up arms against the Sandinistas would have no further cause for fighting. ? With the restoration of regional military balance, countries that desperately need to devote all available resources to economic recovery would be spared the dangerous and debilitating burden of procuring arms. The Central American Common Market and other in- stitutions vital to regional integration and development would receive an important boost. ? Finally, with the end of the Cuban/Soviet military presence, the region would cease being a battlefield in the East-West conflict, a role the region neither wants nor can afford. U.S. Support for a Verifiable Agreement Let me repeat: The Central American states-Nicaragua included-are formal- ly and officially committed to negotiating a regional peace treaty to implement these points. The reasons I have just outlined make clear that it is in our interest to help the Central Americans achieve the 21 objectives of Contadora. Our support for regional dia- logue is thus based on the most funda- mental of foreign policy considerations: enlightened self-interest. Senator Richard Stone, President Reagan's special envoy to Central America, has made U.S. support for regional negotiations unambiguous. He played a key role in getting the dialogue between the Salvadoran Peace Commis- sion and the FMLN/FDR started. His diplomatic efforts have played a major facilitating role in the Contadora process. Regional negotiations are now in an intermediate stage. Under the Conta- dora agreement of January 8, the five Central American governments are creating three working commissions on security, political, and socioeconomic af- fairs. Working with the Contadora Vice Ministers of Foreign Affairs, each com- mission will adopt a work plan to be completed by the end of April. The January 8 agreement also con- tains norms to guide the work in each of the three areas. The degree of specifici- ty called for on security matters is en- couraging. For example, they will prepare a registry, or detailed inven- tory, of military installations, weapons, and troops from which to negotiate ceil- ings to restore the military balance dis- rupted by Nicaragua's military buildup since 1979. Our own experience in arms control negotiations makes clear that such a data exchange and registry are absolute- ly necessary to a successfully negotiated agreement. And our experience in negotiation with communist govern- ments underlines the need to carefully verify the accuracy of such a registry, using both technical means and tech- nically qualified observation teams with full authority to make on-site evalua- tions. Looking ahead, we believe it will prove necessary to provide for verifica- tion of compliance with the obligations of an eventual treaty. Reliable means of enforcement of treaty obligations are equally necessary. Another element, implicit in the principles agreement of January 8, is balanced implementation. Nicaragua's October proposals deferred issues of in- terest to the other Central American states while calling for immediate imple- mentation of commitments to benefit Nicaragua. By adopting identical time- tables for the three commissions, the January 8 agreement rejects such par- tiality in prioritizing the fundamental issues. The Hard Road Ahead It is certainly too soon to conclude that an effective regional agreement can be achieved. The most difficult negotiations lie ahead. Substantive balance and effec- tive verification and enforcement will be essential to move beyond a document of exhortation and good intentions. But it is encouraging that the Central Ameri- cans are pursuing their dialogue with persistence and realism. As they move from conceptual to practical problems, we will continue to offer whatever assistance will facilitate implementation of the 21 objectives. That is the mission the President has assigned to Senator Stone, a mission Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B00420R000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Dick Stone has worked tirelessly to fulfill. It is also a mission that the Na- tional Bipartisan Commission on Central America has fully endorsed. But no one should harbor any illu- sions that a treaty alone will resolve the crisis. Under the most optimistic of scenarios, we are a long way from an end to the crisis in Central America. Nicaragua has disproportionate military power controlled by a Marxist-Leninist minority operating without democratic checks. Even if these issues were addressed, there would still be a need to defend against all those-on the right as well as the left-who would exploit under- development for antidemocratic ends. There would still be a need to ensure that political processes are opened to wider and fairer participation. There would still be a need for land and other social and economic reforms. There would still be a need to build effective protection for human rights. There would still be a need to strengthen judicial processes against their ancient enemies of corruption and intimidation. Bureau of Public Affairs United States Department of State Washington, D.C. 20520 In short, there would still be a need for political reconstruction and economic recovery. The National Bipartisan Com- mission report-a remarkable consen- sus-concluded that the overall crisis is even more acute than they had believed. Dr. Kissinger [commission chairman] and the other commission members describe a crisis too profound to be sub- ject to quick or paper "fixes." ? Economic resources are essen- tial-in sizable amounts and reliably sustained. And these resources must be put to prudent use. ? Reforms must continue. The Cen- tral Americans must continue to attack the local socioeconomic and political sources of the conflict. Abuses of human rights by the violent right and the violent left must stop. ? Security assistance is vital. Guer- rilla forces cannot be allowed to spread poverty and destruction or to win a military victory. The United States has both moral and strategic interests in preventing a communist Central America. ? Arid this help must he in sufficient quantity to get the job done. The bi- partisan cornrnission put it this way with regard to El Salvador: There might be an argument for doing nothing to help the government of El Salvador. There might he an argument for doing a great deal more. There is, however, no logical argument for giving some aid but not enough. The worst possible policy for El Salvador is to provide just enough aid to keep the war going, but too little to wage it suc- cessfully. In concert with these measures, a regional dialogue to implement the 21 objectives, and thereby reduce sources of tension among states, can help to bring a lasting and real peace to Central America. But for that to happen, we will, as Secretary Shultz said in December, need to see actions to match the signals. ^ Published by the United States Department of State Bureau of Public Affairs Office of Public Communication ? Editorial Division Washington, D.C. ? January 1984 Editor: Colleen Sussman ? This material is in the public domain and may be reproduced without permission; citation of this source is appreciated. Postage and Fees Paid Department of State STA-501 If address is incorrect please indicate change. Do not cover or destroy this address label. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 WHITE HOUSE DIGEST is a service provided by the White House Office of Media Re s and Plax ing July 6, 1983 This edition of the White House Digest focuses on Soviet and Cuban activities in the Caribbean region. In three parts, the information contained herein provides a brief outline of the basic facts about the extent and nature of that activity. 1. Soviet/Cuban Threat and Buildup in the Caribbean Since 1978 we have seen an ever increasing Soviet presence in the Caribbean Region. The USSR through its surrogate---Cuba-- has been able to establish a permanent presence in the Western Hemisphere. The Characteristics of the Soviet/Cuban Buildup: Men, Money - The Soviet Union maintains and reinforces its presence by: Deploying its long range Bear reconnaisance and anti-submarine warfare aircraft to the region on a regular basis. Deploying its naval combatants for joint training exercises with Cuba. ?- Providing a Soviet Brigade of approximately 3,000 men stationed near Havana and an additional presence of 2,500 military advisors. Providing Cuba with 8,000 civilian advisors. Maintaining the largest intelligence monitoring/telecommunications facility outside the USSR. - In 1982, the Soviets and Cubans had 50 times as many military advisors in Latin America as did the US. Last year the Soviets increased their military advisors in Cuba by 500. - The USSR has also provided a steady stream of military equipment to Cuba. In 1981 alone, Moscow provided 66,000 metric tons in military assistance valued at $600 million. Deliveries in 1982 exceeded 1981 by 2,000 metric tons and amounted to over $1 billion in military assistance in the last two -,rears. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 - Cuban armed forces have grown to a size disproportionate for defensive needs: Cuba possesses an Army of over 225,000; a Navy of 11,000 and air defense forces of 16,000, not including 500 thousand para- military troops. Cubans have well over 200 MIG fighter aircraft. ?-- Castro has about 65,000 Cubans serving overseas: 40,000 military (25.000 troops in Angola, about 12 , 001 in Ethiopia) and 25,000 civilian technicians. i? Cuba has 2.3% of its population in the regular armed forces, one of every 20 Cubans participates in some security mission. -- Moscow underwrites the activities of its Cuban surrogate at a cost exceeding $4 billion annually (1/4 of Cuba's GNP) and supports efforts to collect funds, arms, and supplies from the communist bloc for guerrilla activities in Central America and the Caribbean. - The number of Soviet Bloc academic grants offered annually to Latin American students jumped from 400 in the 1960's to about 7,000 now. In 1979 Moscow admitted to sponsoring 7,000 Cubans for studies in the Soviet Union. Last year 700 Nicaraguans were reported studying there and an additional 300 scholarships were being provided. Scholarships include free room, board, tuition, transportation, medical care and a small stipend. -- About 3,000 Latin American students, including 1,600 Nicaraguans, are studying in Cuba. Cuba has constructed 17 schools for foreigners, each costing about $2 million to build and about $600,000 to operate annually. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 SOVIET MILITARY DELIVERIES TO CUBA CUBAN MISSILE CRISIS (JULY OCTOBER, 1962) HEIGHT OF CUBAN INVOLVEMENT IN BOLIVIA POLICY RIFT ARMS SC CENTRAL AMERICA -11 IN ETHIOPIA Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 II.. 5 readin _Soviet/Cuban Intervention Throughout The Region - The implication of the Soviet/Cuban buildup is that it provides a platform for spreading subversion and supporting guerrillas through- out the region. - It was Cuba that acted as the catalyst to organize and unify the far-left groups in El Salvador, assisted in developing military strategy, and encouraged the guerrillas to launch the ill-fated "final" offensive in January 1981. Cuba continues to be vital in training and supporting continuing offensives in El Salvador by funneling weapons and supplies via Nicaragua to rebel forces in El Salvador. - Castro is actively engaged in converting Nicaragua into another Cuba. There are approximately 5,500 Cuban civilian advisors and about 1,750 Cuban military and security advisors in Nicaragua. - The Sandinistas themselves have about 75,000 men under arms in their active armed forces, reserves, militia, police and security forces. At its present strength, the Sandinista Army represents the largest military force in the history of Central America. The Sandinistas have built 36 new military garrisons since Somoza's downfall. - Approximately 70 Nicaraguans were sent to Bulgaria for training as pilots and mechanics. Existing landing strips in Nicaragua are being lengthened and will be able to accommodate the most sophisticated Soviet jet aircraft. MIGs could be flown in. quickly from Cuba. - in Grenada, which has a strategic location in the eastern Caribbean, we are concerned because the Soviets and Cubans are constructing facilities, including an airfield, the eventual use of which is unknown. - In Suriname, the Cuban Ambassador is a senior intelligence officer who was formerly Chief of the Caribbean Section of the Americas Department of the Cuban Communist Party. The America department is responsible for Cuban covert activities, and is much more important in formulating Cuban policy toward Latin America than is the Cuban Foreign Ministry. The Cuban-Ambassador maintains a very close relationship with LTC Desire Bouterse, Suriname's military leader, and has continuous access to key leaders. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 tRAGILIA ARID Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 The Threat Posed b- Soviet Expansionism - Such communist expansion could lead to an extensive and permanent Soviet presence and an increased Soviet strategic capability in the region. This would create significant military consequences for the US: -- It could place hostile forces and weapons systems within striking distance of targets in the US. -- It could provide baseh for use in covert operations against the US and our neighbors. -- It could provide for prepositioning of Soviet equipment, supplies and ammunition in our hemisphere. -- It could allow the Soviet Pacific and Atlantic fleets to operate near our shores without having to return to the USSR for maintenance. -- It could threaten our Caribbean Sea Lines of Communication through which a large volume of our goods pass; thus endangering the economic well-being of our nation. And finally, it could cause the US to divert scarce resources in manpower and materiel from other areas of the world to protect an area previously considered militarily secure. Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3 SECURITY ASSISTANCE TO LATIN AMERICA I MILLIONS) 71 72 YEAR Approved For Release 2009/09/15: CIA-RDP86B0042OR000701460001-3