NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY WEDNESDAY 3 AUGUST 1983

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP85T01094R000400010011-0
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 20
• Document Creation Date: December 27, 2016
• Document Release Date: July 20, 2010
• Sequence Number: 11
• Publication Date: August 3, 1983
• Content Type: REPORT

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Director of
Central
Intelligence
CY# 285
National Intelligence Daily
Wednesday
3 August 1983
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uyus
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Contents
LIBYA-CHAD: Pressure on Faya-Largeau .............................. 1
EI Salvador: New Government Offensive
Turkey-Cyprus: Provocative Turkish Move ............................ 5
Sweden: Proposal for Nordic Nuclear-Free Zone .................. 6
Sri Lanka-UK-US: Request for Refugee Relocation .............. 7
Honduras: President Incapacitated ............................ 8
USSR-Egypt: Moscow's Irritation With Cairo .. 9
USSR-Vietnam: Andropov's Meeting With Le Duan .............. 9
China: Construction of First Nuclear Power Plant .................. 10
Philippines: Aquino's Return Delayed ................................... 10
Special Analysis
Mexico: Military Capabilities and Internal Security ................ 11
Top Secret
3 August 1983
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LIBYA-CHAD: Pressure on Faya-Largeau
Government forces still hold Faya-Largeau, as the Libyans and the
dissidents prepare for a counterattack.
Government spokesmen in N'Djamena have denied a report by
the Libyan news agency that President Habre had been killed. The
Foreign Minister claims the bombings are increasingly accurate and
has again appealed for outside assistance. He says that Faya-Largeau
has been partially destroyed and that there have been both civilian
and military casualties.
Comment: The report of Habre's death probably was designed to
create dissension and confusion in the government's ranks. There is
no obvious successor to Habre, and his regime would be likely to
disintegrate rapidly in the event of his death.
Libya is making maximum use of its air superiority to erode the
The French apparently believe that, once all US and French
antiaircraft weapons arrive, Libyan aircraft alone will not be enough to
turn the tide of battle. If Habre's forces are routed, the French almost
certainly will reassess the limits they have so far observed.
Top Secret
1 3 August 1983
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The Army has begun another operation in Chalatenango
Department and continues to put ressure on the uerrillas in San
Vicente, Usulutan, and Morazan.
The US defense attache reports that government troops plan to
sweep parallel to the Honduran border through northeastern
Chalatenango. They have arranged for Honduran forces to screen the
operation and to ambush fleeing guerrillas. Reports from the attache
also indicate that several government battalions are operating near
the Littoral Highway in San Vicente and Usulutan Departments and
that other Army units are moving against insurgent positions in
northeastern Morazan.
Comment: The government operations appear aimed at
continuing the disruption of guerrilla base camps and supply lines.
Last month the Army completed a sweep into northern Chalatenango,
which has long been a guerrilla stronghold.
Another large-scale operation in the region may catch the
insurgents off balance. As in the past, however, most are likely to flee
the area beforehand.
Although the guerrillas generally have been on the defensive for
the last two months, there are reports that they continue to receive
supplies from Nicaragua and that they are planning a major offensive
for later this month. They hope to regain the tactical initiative and
strengthen their negotiating position. Army morale and confidence
remain high, however, and it may prove difficult for the insurgents to
achieve more than limited successes.
Top Secret
2 3 August 1983
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