ANGOLA: PAYING FOR THE WAR WITH OIL

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP85T01058R000100400001-1
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
5
Document Creation Date: 
December 22, 2016
Document Release Date: 
November 9, 2009
Sequence Number: 
1
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
August 22, 1985
Content Type: 
REPORT
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PDF icon CIA-RDP85T01058R000100400001-1.pdf133.18 KB
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Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2009/11/09: CIA-RDP85T01058R000100400001-1 DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE 22 August 1985 ANGOLA: Paying for the War With Oil Summary Crude oil sales accounted for about 90 percent of the $2`? billion in hard currency that Angola earned in 1984. Cabinda' Gulf Oil Company operations--jointly owned by Gulf-Chevron and the Angolan government--accounted for $1.4 billion, or 76 percent of the total. Some $900 million of this foreign exchange was used for imports from and debt payments to Western countries. We believe that the bulk of the remaining $1.1 billion--60 percent of oil sales--went to purchases and credit payments to the Soviet Union, Eastern Europe and Cuba largely for military assistance. He believe that if Gulf-Chevron were to sell its Angolan oil holdings, little disruption of oil production would occur since French and Brazilian oil companies probably would be ready buyers. This memorandum was requested by Phillip Ringdahl, Director African Affair nal Security Council. It was prepared by Southern Africa Branch, Office of African and Latin American Analysis. It was coordinated with the Directorate of Operations. Comments and queries may be directed to the Chief, Southern S E C R E T Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2009/11/09: CIA-RDP85T01058R000100400001-1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2009/11/09: CIA-RDP85TO1058R000100400001-1 Angolan hard currency earnings totalled $2 billion in 1984, some 90 percent of which came from oil sales (see table 1). we believe that oil production last year averaged 200,000 barrels per day, including some 130,000 barrels per day produced by Cabinda Gulf oil fields. The Angolan government received approximately 60 percent of total oil export earnings, or $1.1 billion Aside from petroleum, the only two significant export earners for Angola in 1984 were coffee and diamonds, which together contributed some $200 million, or about 10 percent of hard currency According to UN trade data, $900 million of Angola's 1984 har0 currency earnings of were spent on imports from Western countries," including interest on debt (see table 2). Given the decline of the domestic economy and the reversion of agriculture to subsistence levels, these imports--primarily food, manufactured goods and machinery--are vital to feeding the urban population and supporting the war effort. We believe that the bulk of the remaining $1.1 billion--minus what the oil companies remit in profits--is used to fund purchases from, or m credit payments to, Communist suppliers, the recent decline in crude oil prices has left Angola with little spare hard currency to save as foreign reserves. We believe Angola pays for most of its military assistance--weapons, foreign personnel and support--in hard currency. Although some have been provided as grant assistance and others for full cash payment on delivery, most were obtained on long-term credit. In addition, Angola pays for a large contingent of instructors, trainers, specialists, and technicians to provide the expertise necessary to operate and maintain the equipment. Angola also pays hard currency for the Cuban combat force that supplements the Angolan Army in defense of We believe that if Gulf-Chevron or other US companies involved in Angolan oil production were to offer to sell Angolan oil holdings, little, French and Brazilian oil companies--w ose current nqo an operations have important US investment--have been anxious to expand their involvement in Angolan oil. The Brazilian oil company Petrobras has engaged in countertrade with Angola to increase ties to that country. Given the strong toehold that Petrobras and the French company ELF Aquitaine already have in Angola, they probably would have little difficulty taking over for US companies. 25X1 25X1 25X1 LZDAI 25X1 LJA I S E C R E T Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2009/11/09: CIA-RDP85T01058R000100400001-1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2009/11/09: CIA-RDP85T01058R000100400001-1 TABLE 1: Angolan Export Earnings (1984) Export Quantity Average Price Value Crude Oil 175,000 barrels per day $28/barrel $1.8 billion Coffee 22,750 tons $2400/ton $0.06 billion Diamonds 760,000 carats $165/carat $0.12 billion $1.98 billion S E C R E T Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2009/11/09: CIA-RDP85T01058R000100400001-1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2009/11/09: CIA-RDP85T01058R000100400001-1 TABLE 2: Indentified Angolan Import and Debt Service Payments Import Category Food, live animals, beverages, tobacco, edible fats and oils Raw materials, mineral fuels lubricants, chemicals Machinery and transport equipment Value in US$ millions Precent 180 21 Other Manufactured goods Goods not identified by kind Debt service Source: UN trade data. S E C R E T Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2009/11/09: CIA-RDP85T01058R000100400001-1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2009/11/09: CIA-RDP85T01058R000100400001-1 Distribution: Original -- Phillip Ringdahl, Director African Affairs, NSC 1 -- Donald Gregg, Office of the Vice President 1 -- Frank Wisner, Deputy Assistance Secretary of State, Bureau of African Affairs 1 -- Robert Cabelly, Special Assistant to the Assistant Secretary of State, Bureau of African Affairs 1 -- Anthony Dalsimer, Director INR/AA, Department of State 1 -- NIO/Africa 1 -- NIC/AG 1 -- PDB Staff 1 -- D/ALA 1 -- ALA Research Director - ALA/PS (one sourced copy; - one clean copy) 4 -- OCPAS/IMD/CB ~"-- ALA/AF 6 -- ALA/AF/S ALA/AF/S/I I (22 August 1985) S E C R E T Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2009/11/09: CIA-RDP85T01058R000100400001-1