IMPACT OF HIGH OIL PRICES ON THE LESS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES

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CIA-RDP85T00875R001900030131-0
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RIPPUB
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U
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15
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December 19, 2016
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August 18, 2005
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131
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Publication Date: 
October 1, 1974
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MEMO
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STAT Approved For Release 2005/12/14 :CIA-RDP85T00875R001900030131-0 Approved For Release 2005/12/14: CIA-RDP85T00875R001900030131-0 MEMORANDUM Impact of High Oil Prices on the Less Developed Countries Higher oil prices will adversc?w.y affect the oil importing LDCs in several different, ways, all costly to their current living standards and future growth prospects. o The direct impact of higher prices on their balances of payments and ability to finance import of other goods. Oil import costs for the importing LDCs as a group have risen by about $9 billion during 1974. This is equal to about one-third of their total foreign reserve holdings. Oil imports this year will absorb about one-fourth of total LDC export earnings. As in the case of the industrial countries, this impact varies widely among the consuming LDCs. Attachment 1 provides data on several of the hardest hit countries. o Higher oil prices have also sharply boosted the cost of other essential LDC imports. Prices of fertilizers, plastics, insecticides, artificial fibers and other oil based imports have also risen sharply, adding an additional $2 billion or so to the cost of total LDC imports. In addition, this problem of high food prices is inseparably bound up with that of fertilizer prices and scarcities. Attachment 2 provides data on the rise in fertilizer costs. o The impact of high oil prices on world industr^-t1 output and inflation is sharply worsening the non-oil terms of trade for most LDCs. Prices of their major export commodities have begun to fall,. while prices for their imports from industrial countries have continued to rise. Attach- ment 3 provides data on commodity price trends. Approved For Release 2005/12/14: CIA-F2bP85`-00875R001900030131-0 Attachment 1 Selected Economic Indicators Million US $ 19731 19742 GNP Growth Total Increase Total BaIui;_ce of Trade 19731 Reserves 31 December 731 Rate 19731 !Percent) 150 350 500 960 1,300 4.0 850 1,650 2,500 -600 6,500 11.4 165 330 495 -420 370 5.0 120 210 330 -348 300 -6 0 . 175 475 650 -775 2,200 7.5 55 165 220 -1703 233 6.04 45 95 140 -703 145 504 . 20 55 75 453 f 2~0 7 .04 60 90 150 -400 160 N.A. 485 715 1,200 -245 1,300 5.0 65 305 370 30 500 5.5 200 400 600 15 1,000 8.0 300 700 1,000 -675 1,020 17.0 25 75 100 -45 85 2.5 200 400 600 -490 .1,300 5.0 Latin America Argentina Brazil Central American Common Market and Panama Chile Wear East Turkey Africa Kenya Tanzania Zaire Asia Bangladesh India Pakistan Philippines South Korea Sri Lanka Thailand Approved For Release 2005/12/14.: CIA-RDP85T00875R001900030131-0 Approved For Release 2005/12/14: CIA-RDP85T00875R001900030131-0 Attachment 2 Pertilizer Imports by Less Developed County es The LDCs imported about 4.6 million metric tons of nutrients in 1972 composed of the following nutrients: Nitrogen 2,366,000 metric toils Phosphorous 781,000 it Potassium 1,487,000 " is TotaJ_ 4,634,000 In 1972, prices averaged about $150 per ton for the nitrogen and phosphorous and $35 per ton for the potassium, making the total cost of these nutrients about $525 million. Based on price trends so.;:ar this year, we estimate 1974 prices will average $600 per ton for the nitrogen .and phosphorous and $100 per ton for the potassium. Assuming the same quantities as for 3.972, the 1974 cost .will be about $2 billion. pproved.F_or Relea 2005/12/14: Clk-,RD 85TO8875R00 k900030131-0 Year Crude Oil Tin 1.955 100.0 100.0 1960 95.3 107.0 1965 97.2 188.1 1970 " 106.5 183.8 1971 144.9 176.7 1972 162.6 187.3 1973- 218.2 241.6 1974 March 1,046.7 395.9 June 1,046.7 431.8 September 1,063.6 438.1 1. 11 principal suppliers. Attachment 3 Commodity Price Trends Copper Zinc Lead Wheat Sugar 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 86.2 105.3 78.9 88.1 ?105.0 94.3 117.9 105.7 69.0 113.3 154.8 124.4 103.7 65.5 134.8 138.9 130.9 91)8' 69.9 142.0 136.6 143.9 101.7 81.4 151.8 159.7 166.7 107.7 158.4 171.0 331.9 601.6 211.4 232.3 325.0 293.3 520.3 171.7 169:9 450.0 173.3 333.3 158.5 193.8 533.7 Approved For Release 2005/12/14: CIA-RDP85T00875R001900030131-0 Cotton Manufactured Goods 1/ 100.0 100.0 93.5 109.7 90.5 115.1 74.7 ? 132.3 82.4 138.7 102.1 150.5 167.0 176.3' 194.9 N.A. 172.9 187.1 145.8 N.A. Approved For Release 2005/12/14: CIA-RDP85T00875R001900030131-0 STATISTICAL SURVEY `World Crude Oil Production Recent Trends in Arab Oil Production Arab Oil: 1 odnoi'e Capacity, September 1974 Eurapean Cargo Prices, 1974 Retail Petroleum Product Prices Estimated Oil Imports, by. Source, 1973 .Oil Company Control of Production in OPEC Countries, May 1974 Position of Foreign Oil Companies in OPEC Countries' Oil Output, May 1974 Approved For Release 2005/12/14: CIA-RDP85T00875R001900030131-0 Thousand b/d Sep 1973 1974 (Pre-Crisis Level) 1973 1st Qtr 2d Qtr Jul Aug ?17estern hemisphere 16,042 16,118 15,930 15,540 15,460 15,440 United States 9,149 9,189 9,000 8,950 8,960 8,920 Venezuela 3,387 3,364 3,230 2,970 2,940 2,860 Canada 1,745 1,798 1,860 1,750 1,680 1,680 Mexico 470 465 500 550 700 700 Ecuador 210 204 230 230 100 200 Other 1.,081 1,098 1,110 1,090 1,080 1,080 Eastern hemisphere 42,038 39,567 40,290 41,660 40,520. 39,790 Western Europe 3F9 370 360 380 400 400 Middle East 22,977 21,158 21,280 22,610 21,910 21,140 Saudi Arabia 8,574 7,607 7,820 8,860 8,790 8,200 Iran 5,793 5,861 6,130 6,140 6,060 6,060 Kuwait 3,520 3,024 .2,840 2,850 2,280 2,100 Iraq 2,167 1,964 1,800 1,700 1,700 1,700 Abu Dhabi (UAE) 1,381 1,298 1,320 1,620 1,650 1,650 Qatar 608 570 520 520 520 520 Oman 302 293 300 300 290 290 Dubai (UAE) 273 220 230 240 240 240 Other 359 321 320 380 380 380 Africa 6,132 5,902 5,660 5,670 5,140 5,200 Libya 2,286 2,187 1,890 1,820 1,400 1,400 Nigeria 2,100 2,053 2,250 2,300 2,200 2,310 Algeria 1,100 1,070 970 980 950 900 Other 646 592 550 570 590 590 Asia-Pacific 2,352 2,272 2,390 2,400 2,370 2,350 Indonesia 1,402 1,339 1,440 1,480 1,470 1,450 Other ? 950 933 950 920 900 900 Communist countries 10,188 9,865 10,600 10,600 10,700 10,700 USSR 8,663 8,420 8,900 8,900 9,000 9,000 China 1,140 1,060 1,310 1,310 1,310 1,310 Romania 275 275 280 280 280 280 Other 110 110 110 110 110 110 World total 58,080 55,685 56,220 57,200 55,980 55,230 Of which: OPEC membersi 32,801 30,761 30,670 31,710 30,330 29,650 OAPEC members2 20,311 18,272 17,640 18,950 17,940 17,150 1. The members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries as Algeria, Ecuador, Indonesia, Iran, Iraq. Kuwait. Libya, Nigeria. Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, and Venezuela. 2. The members of the Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries are Algeria, Bahrain, Egypt, Iraq, Kuwait, I ibya, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, and United Arab Emirates. W..e.~-.~::ik.w ? 'Y~_? YXd wV? al,_~.er.S,;btiJ:ti,7.Y ~ h, 4 rin ~~'L_.FVI h';%A a4L1 :?. i,..' ?,~.. .., ~: Approved For Release 2005/12/14: CIA-RDP85T00875R001,900030131-0 Recent Trends in Arab Oil ProductionI Sep Nov Dec 1st Qtr 2d Qtr Jul Aug Sep Production (Thousand b/d) Total 20,613 15,684 16,005 17,940 19,250 18,230 17,440 17,840 Saudi Arabia2 8,574 6,269 6,616 7,820 8,860 8,790 8,200 8,800 Kuwait2 3,520 2,582 2,556 2,840 2,850 2,280 2,100 2,100 Libya 2,286 1,766 1,769 1,890 1,820 1,400 1,400 1,500 Iraq 2,167 2,026 2,136 1,800 1,700 1,700 1,700 1,700 Abu Dhabi (UAE) 1,381 1,153 1,016 1,320 1,620 1,650 1,650 1,350 Algeria 1,100 880 860 970 980 950 900 900 Qatar 608 465 460 520 520 520 520 520 Oman 302 302 302 300 300 290 290 290 Dubai (UAE) 273 1403 1413 2303 240 240 240 240 Sharjah (UAE)4 .... .... .... 30 60 60 Other5 402 996 1496 2506 360 380 380 380. . Percent Decrease from September 1973 For all countries .... 24 22 13 7 12 15 13 1. This table illustrates the effect of the OAPEC decisions of 4 November and 25 December on Arab oil production through September 1974; Iraq did not sign the agreements; Oman, which is not a member of OAPEC, did not reduce production. 2. Including approximately one-half of Neutral Zone production. 3. Production reduced by offshore well fire. 4. Production bean in mid-July at 50,000-60,000 b/d. 5. Including data for Bahrain, Egypt, and Syria. 6. Production decreased in Egypt and Syria as a result of war activity. Arab Oil: Productive Capacity, September 1974 Thousand b/d Estimated Productive Capacity Underutilization of Productive Capacity Total 24,360 - 6,520 Saudi Arabia) 10,300 1,500 Kuwaiti 3,800 1,700 Libya 3,000 1,500 Iraq 2,500 800 Abu Dhabi (UAE) 1,900 550 Algeria 1,100 200 Qatar 700 180 Oman 300 10 Dubai (UAE) 300 60 Sharjah (UAE) 60 Other2 400 20 1. Including approximately one-half of Neutral Zone production capacity. 2. Including data for itahrain, Egypt, and Syria. European Cargo Pricesl 1974 F.O.B. Rotterdam F.O.B. Italy Heavv Fuel Oil Heavy Fuel Oil Gas Oil Gas Oil 1% 3.5% 0.5% Gasoline 1% 3.5% 0.5% Gasoline Sulfur Sulfur Sulfur (Premium) Sulfur Sulfur Sulfur (Premium) Jan 4 20.27 19.52 22.20 22.34 19.52 18.77 21.52 20.87 11 17.64 15.01 17.49 16.76 16.52 14.26 16.55 16.76 18 17.64 14.64 16.88 16.76 16.14 14.26 16.55 16.17 25 16.14 14.64 17.22 17.45 16.14 14.64 14.91 17.35 Feb 1 15.40 13.88 14.36 17.51 15.40 13.88 13.90 16.76 8 12.61 11.34 13.57 18.23 12.61 11.34 12.10 17.64 15 12.58 11.64 13.38 20.40 12.58 12.02 12.05 19.57 22 12.38 11.64 13.57 20.14 12.38 11.64 12.05 19.57 Mar 1 12.01 11.34 13.10 20.10 , 12.38 11.94 12.05 19.80 8 11.41 11.18 13.84 21.27 ?.12.61 12.16 12.05 21.27 15 10.58 9.76 13.31 22.45 10.88 11.26 12.31 22.45 22 10.58 9.83 13.10 23.08 10.70 9.95 12.03 22.49 29 9.91 9.16 12.73 22.45 9.91 9.38 11.38 22.05 Apr 5 9.91 9.16 11.07 22.57 10.06 9.16 10.92 22.22 12 10.48 9.61 9.79 21.15 10.21 9.12 9.47 20.87 19 10.14 9.34 11.73 20.47 9.91 9.31 10.00 19.70 26 9.68 9.38 12.10 20.22 9.46 9.30 10.09 19.26 May 3 9.98 9.84 11.59 21.2-1 9.68 9.16 10.45 19.15 10 10.28 10.06 12.91 21.15 9.91 9.61 11.98 19.56 17 10.13 9.98 12.64 20.97 9.98 9.68 11.66 19.39 24 10.44 10.28 12.05 20.09 10.13 9.53 11.32 18.91 31 10.59 10.44 12.12 19.39 9.99 9.65 11.69 18.92 Jun 7 10.59 10.11 12.12 18.51 10.14 9.69 11.33 17.92 142 10.06 9.54 11.87 17.82 9.76 9.16 11.17 17.35 212 9.95 9.46 11.74 16.82 9.76 9.16 11.17 16.17 282 9.87 935 11.80 15.52 9.76 9.16 11.30 14.99 Jul 32 9.87 9.35 11.94 15.52 9.76 9.16 11.57 14.89 122 9.72 9.35 12.54 14.75 9.68 9.16 12.07 14.16 192 9.72 9.16 12.64 14.16 9.50 9.16 11.94 13.81 262 9.76 9.01 12.40 14.40 9.39 9.01 11.87 13.81 Aug 22 9.61 8.94 12.14 13.92 9.39 9.01 11.87 13.28 92 9.63 8.99 12.23 13.67 9.40 8.92 12.10 13.02 162 9.63 8.99 12.30 13.37 9.40 8.92 12.13 12.78 232 9.98 9.31 12.29 13.48 9.42 9.05 12.10 12.74 Sep 62 10.19 9.40 12.60 13.52 9.85 9.55 12.13 12.37 132- 10.11 9.44 12.68 13.52 9.85 9.70 12.13 12.37 202 10.11 9.44 12.13 13.52 9.85 9.70 11.87 12.37 272 10.11 9.44 12.22 13.22 9.85 9.40 11.73 12.13 1. Unless otherwise indicated, midpoint of the range of the prices quoted in the Oil Buyers' Guide. 2. Midpoint of the range of the pt ices quoted in the Platt's Oilgram Price Service. Approved For Release 2005/12/14: CIA-RDP85T00875R001900030131-0 Approved For Release 200//14w.-RIP,$Q~,7~Q~?Q.QQ.11-Q....---- Regular Premium Domestic Diesel Fuel Heating Oil Priest Tax Print Tax United States 1973-Oct 40 12 44 12 23 12 24 12 1974-Jan 46 12 50 12 32 12 33 12 Feb 49 12 53 12 34 12 34 12 Mar 53 12 56 12 35 12 34 12 Apr 54 12 58 12 3S 12 35 12 May 5S 12 59 12 36 12 36 12 Jun 56 12 59 12 36 12 36 12 Jul 56 12 59 12 37 12 37 12 Aug 55 12 59 12 38 12 38 22 France 1973 - Oct 98 72 .. .71e 76 68 44 28 6 1974 - Jan 126 70 :7 75 81 42 41 8 Feb 126 70 136 75 81 42 41 8 Mar 126 70 136 75 81 42 41 8 Apr 126 70 136 75 81 42 41 8 May 126 70 136 75 81 42 41 8 Jun 126 70 136 75 81 42 41 8 Jul 130 74 140 .79 85 46 41 8 Aug 130 74 140 .,29 88 47 41 8 Italy 1973 - ')ct 104 78 110 80 56 27 27 3 1974-Jan 112 85 118 87 67 37 28 3 Feb 146 93 154 96 ? 80 38 42 3 Mar 146 93 154 96 80 38 42 3 Apr 146 93 154 96 80 38 42 3 May 146 93 154 96 80 38 42 3 Jun 146 93 154 96 80 38 42 3 Jul 170 116 178 120 80 38 42 3 Aug 170 116 178 120 80 38 42 3 West Germany 1973 - (X t 101 73 112 74 102 69 25 1 1974-Jan 124 75 134 76 126 71 46 1 Feb 124 75 134 76 126 71 46 1 Mar 124 75 134 76 126 71 46 1 Apr 124 75 134 76 126 71 46 1 May 124 75 134 76 126 71 46 Jun 124 75 133 76 126 71 46 Jul 124 75 134 76 126 71 46 Aug 124 75 134 76 126 71 '46 1 United Kingdom 1973- Oct 69 44 72 44 69 44 19 2 1974-Jan 75 44 78 44 75 44 23 2 Feb 93 44 97 44 94 44 38 2 Mar 93 44 97 44 94 44 38 2 Apr 103 53 107 53 106 53 38 2 May 103 53 107 53 106 53 38 2 Jun 103 53 107 53 106 53 38 2 Jul 103 53 107 53 106 53 38 2 Aug 103 53 107 53 106 53 38 2 Japan 1973 - Mt 87 38 101 33 54 20 19 1974-Jan 114 38 123 33 N.A. 20 N.A. Feb 114 38 123 38 N.A. 20 N.A. Mar 114 33 128 3S 70 20 32 Apr 13.1 46 14S 46 74 20 39 .... May 134 46 143 46 74 20 39 .... Jun 134 46 143 46 74 20 39 .... Jul 134 46 143 46 74 20 39 .... Aug 127 46 141 46 74 20 39 ...? 1. Including t.%. 2. Eatinuted Approved For Release 2005/12/14: CIA-RDP85T00875R001900030131-0 Approved For Release 2005/12/14: CIA-RDP85T00875R00190p030131-0 Approved For Release 2005/12/14: CIA-RDP85T00875R001900030131-0 EstEmated Oil Imports, by Sourcet 1973 United States Japan Canada Western Europe United Kingdom West Germany Italy France Netherlands2 Belgium-Lax- and Saudi Abu Al- Non-Arab Total Arabia Kuwait Libya Iraq Dhabi gcria Other TOW Arab 6,200 1,590 590 160 350 50 160 140 140 100.0 25.6 9.5 2.6 5.6 0.8 2.6 2.3 2.3 5,400 2,390 1.240 540 20 Ncgl. 430 .... 160 100.0 44.3 23.0 10.0 0.4 Negi. 8.0 .... 3.0 1,000 220 80 Negl. 40 20 60 .... 20 100.0 22.0 8.0 Ncgl. 4.0 2.0 6.0 .... 2.0 15,200 10,600 4,000 1,700 1,590 1,160 600 780 770 100.0 69.7 26.3 11.2 10.5 7.6 3.9 5.1 5.1 2,330 1,480 550 400 240 60 50 50 130 100.0 63.5 23.6 17.2 10.3 2.6 2.1 2.1 5.6 2,2250 1,610 480 90 550 30 119 280 ? 70 100.0 71.6 21.3 4.0 24.4 1.3 4.9 12.4 3.1 2,440 1,930 630 200 460 430 _.. .... 210 100.0 79.1 25.8 8.2 18.9 17.6 .... .... 8.6 2,780 2,070 620 320 130 380 290 230 100 100.0 74.5 22.3 11.5 4.7 13.7 10.4 8.3 3.6 2,090 1.340 690 380- 60 10 80 20 100 100.0 64.1 33.0 181% 2.9 0.5 3.8 1.0 4.8 embourg 720 550 290 % 100.0 76.4 40.3 Spain 1,000 820 470 % 100.0 82.0 47.0 Other 1,590 800 270 % 100.0 50.3 17.0 120 30 30 10 50 20 16.7 4.2 4.2 1.4 6.9 2.8 90 40 50 .... 110 60 9.0 4.0 S.0 11.0 6.0 100 80 170 60 40 80 6.3 5.0 10.7 3.8 2.5 5.0 91r 36.5 19.7 3.4 Negl. 7.7 5.6 West Germany 640 270 40 Negl. ... 200 130 glr 28.4 12.0 1.8 Negl. .... 8.9 5.8 Italy 510 330 20 10 ISO % 20.9 13.5 0.8 0.4 6.1 France 710 220 40 250 200 % 25.5 7.9 1.4 ._. .... 9.0 7.2 Netherlands2 750 440 50 220 40 % 35.9 21.1 2.4 .... 10.5 1.9 Belgium- Lux-embourg 170 100 20 _.. .... 30 20 % 23.6 13.9 2.8 4.2 2.8 Spain 180 120 40 .... _.. 10 10 % 18.0 12.0 4.0 ... .... 1.0 1.0 Other 790 210 30 .?. __ 230 320 % 49.7 13.2 1.9 _., .. 14.5 20.1 30.3 14.1 2.1 Negl. .... 7.4 6. f? United Kingdom 850 460 80 Negl. .... 180 130 Vene- Indo- TOW Iran zuela nesia Canada Nigeria Other United States 4,610 420 1,840 250 1,100. 550 450 % 74.4 6.8 29.7 4.0 17.7 8.9 7.3 Japan 1,010 1,730 10 840 .... 100 330 % 55.7 32.0 0.2 15.6 .... 1.9 6.1 Canada 780 180 470 Negi. .... 80 50 gl, 78.0 18.0 47.0 Ncgl. 8.0 5.0 Western Europe 4,600 2,150 320 Ncgi. .... 1,130 1,000 1. th his table alhvatcs mipons on a direct and indict baus-i.c.. rdincd products from export relinetra are true) to the source of the nude oil 2, Eadudint oil uansddppcd to other West European counliter. proved For , Q 1Q 85100875R001900030131-0 Approved For Release 2005/12/14: CIA-RDP85T00875R001900030131-0 Oil Company Control of Production in OPEC Countries, May 1974 The accompanying table shows the amount of OPEC oil controlled by 13 foreign oil companies or operating groups accounting for nearly 9070 of the OPEC countries' output. The following tabulation is a summary of the table. Company Production Foreign companies or groups producing at least 150,000 b/d 27,601 Major international companies 24,487 British Petroleum 4,998 Exxon 4,806 Texaco 3,721 Standard Oil of California 3,`556 Royal Dutch/Shell 3,045 Gulf 2,530 Mobil 1,831 Occidental 380 Continental 308 Marathon 233 French companies 1,424 Italian companies 289 Japanese companies 480 National oil companies and small foreign firms 4,289 Total 31,890 Minimum Amount Controlled l 17,464 15,169 3,689 3,04.. 1,822 1,685 2,315 1,530 1,083 186 169 114 1,213 173 440 1. This column shows the amount the companies control directly through equity ownership. This amount would be reduced further if producing governments exercised their option to take royalties (in most cases, 12::7c of a company's equity oil) in kind rather than in cash. In practice, the companies can be expected to market larger amounts than shown here because the governments probably will continue to sell a large share of state-owned oil back to the companies. Approved For Release 2005/12/14: CIA-RDP85T00875R001900030131-0 Approver For Rer~as~ 2005~Y214 :~q~RBP85TU8875F~AA~90403Qa31-a Position of Foreign Oil Companies in OPEC Countries' OR Output May 1974 Minimum Amount Production Controlledt Foreign companies or groups producing at least 150,000 b/d 27,601 .17,464 Major International companies 24,487 15,169 Abu Dhabi (UAE) 980 740 Ecuador 220 164 Indonesia 11080 430 Iran 5,080 5,080 Iraq 305 305 Kuwait 2,570 1,028 libya 423 207 Nigeria 2,034 913 Qatar 460 182 Saudi Arabia 8,700 3,485 Venezuela 2,635 2,635 British Petroleum 4,998 3,689 Abu Dhabi (UAE) 460 345 _ Iran 2,280 2,280 Iraq 210 210 Kuwait 1.285 514 Nigeria 708 318 Qatar SS 22 Exxon 4,806 3,045 Abu Dhabi (UAE) 130 100 Indonesia 3S 15 Iran 400 400 libya .256 125 Qatar 25 10 Saudi Arabia 2,610 1,045 Venezuela 1,350 1,350 Texaco 3,721 1,822 Ecuador '110 82 Indonesia SOS 200 Iran 400 400 Nigeria I Negl. Saudi Arabia 2,610 1,045 Venezuela 95 9S Standard Oil of California 3,556 1,685 Indonesia SOS 200 Iran 400 400 Nigeria . 1 . Negl. Saudi Arabia 2,610 1,045 Venezuela 40 40 Royal Dutch/Shell 3,045 2,315 Abu Dhabi (UAE) 260 195 Iran 800 800 Iraq 95 95 11bya 117 57 Approved For Release 2005/12/14: CIA-RDP85T00875R001900030131-0 Position of Foreign Oil Companies in OPEC Countries' Oil Output May 1974 (Continued) Thousand b/d Company/Country Production Minimum Amount Controlled) Nigeria 708 318 Qatar 355 140 Venezuela 710 710 Gulf 2,530 1.530 Ecuador 110 82 Iran 400 400 Kuwait 1,285 514 Nigeria 365 164 Venezuela 370 370 Mobil 1,831 1.083 Abu Dhabi (UAE) 130 100 Indonesia 35 15 Iran 400 400 Libya 50 25 Nigeria 251 113 Qatar 25 10 Saudi Arabia eb 870 .350 Venezuela 70 70 Occidental i 380 186 L bya 380 186 Continental 308 169 Dubai (UAE) 75 55 Libya 233 114 Marathon 233 114 Libya 233 114 French companies (CFP, ERAP, Aquatainc) 1,424 1,213 Abu Dhabi (UAE) 440 330 Algeria b i U 225 22S ub a AE) ( 60 45 340 340 Iraq 210 210 Libya 10 5 Nigeria 84 38 Qatar SS 20 Italian companies (ENI) 289 173 Iran 70 70 Libya 145 70 Nigeria 74 33 Japanese companies 480 440 Abu Dhabi (UAE) 160 120 Kuwait 160 160 Saudi Arabia 1t0 160 Total OPEC production 31,990 1. Thin column shows the amount the companies control directly through equity ownership. This amount would be reduced further if producing governments exercised their option to take royalties (in most cases, 1254% of a company's equity oil) in kind rather than in cash. In practice, the companies can be expected to market larger amounts than shown here because the governments probably will continue to sell a large share of state-owned oil back to the companies. (Unclassified) Approved For Release 005Pf21T4T 1A--RDP85`TUr08.7'55ROO1900030131-0 Approved For Release 2005/12/14: CIA-RDP85T00875R001900030131-0 16 October 1974 MEMORANDUM FOR THE RECORD SUBJECT: Impact of High Oil Prices on the Less Developed Countries The following was provided at the request of the Honorable Henry Jackson, US Senate through the Agency's Deputy Legislative Counsel. The memorandum was prepared by members of this branch with support from Office of Economic Research Attachment: As stated Distribution: (S-6526) Approved For Relepse 2005/12/14?: CIA-RDP85?T00$75R001900030131-0- Y1 1