ECONOMIC INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY

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Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP85T00875R001500150012-3
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RIPPUB
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S
Document Page Count: 
15
Document Creation Date: 
December 22, 2016
Document Release Date: 
September 29, 2009
Sequence Number: 
12
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Publication Date: 
March 14, 1974
Content Type: 
REPORT
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? Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85TO0875R001500150012-3 ./ Secret ~~~~ ?}~~~GFNcF W Z ~~STREy OF_P ~P: ^'i! iiM 4' tq 0 Economic Intelligence Weekl Secret ,-1A No. 7 14 March Copy Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85TOO875RO01 500150012-3 y 1974 N2 204 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150012-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150012-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150012-3 SECRET Coal Begins Comeback A strong rise in US production is leading the 1 resurgence of world coal output. Wilson Reaffirms Committment to Renegotiate EC Mem- 2 bership Revised Common Agricultural Policy and decreased share in budget are main objectives. Gray Skies for West European Aircraft Producers Western Europe's commercial airliners seen as little threat to US domination of major aircraft markets. South Africa: Paying for Oil with Gold Rising international gold 4 prices portend a healthy balance of payments despite a tripling of oil import costs. Expansion of Soviet and East European Nuclear Power Nuclear 6 power will be 8% of Soviet electric power output in 1980 compared with less than 2% today. EC Mulling Plans to Assure Raw Material Supplies Associated 7 developing countries would guaran tee supplies. Dollar Weakens in Quiet Trading 8 India Buys Oil Exploration Vessel 8 Economic Cooperation Between Saudi Arabia and Sudan 8 Publications of Interest Summaries of Recent Publications Comparative Indicators Recent Data Concerning Internal and External Economic Activity The oil situation is now being covered mainly in International Oil Developments, published each Friday morning. i SECRET 14 March 1974 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150012-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150012-3 SECRET ECONOMIC INTELLIGENCE WEEKLY Articles COAL BEGINS COMEBACK Because of the world energy crisis, coal has begun a comeback featured by a strong rise in US production. The comeback should gradually pick up momentum and become more widespread over the next several years. World output, which rose by 2`% in 1973, is expected to increase by 3% this year to 2,240 million tons. This should halt the rapid decline in coal's share of world energy -- from 49% in 1961 to 30% at present. This year's increase is equivalent to I million barrels of oil per day. More than one-half the 1974 increase will occur in the United States, where production is scheduled to rise 8%. This gain will more than offset the declines arising from labor problems in the West German and British industries. Output will grow moderately in Australia and South Africa, as well as in India, which has undertaken a crash program. Among the Communist countries, the USSR and Poland will show small output increases, while China's production will jump by 6%/0. World Coal Outputs Million Tons 1973 1974 1972 Estimate Forecast Total 2,128 2,167 2,238 Free World 1,103 1,106 1,140 United States 537 530 570 United Kingdom 120 130 120 West Germany 1n8 103 98 India 78 79 82 Australia 60 61 65 South Africa 58 62 65 Other 142 141 140 Communist countries 1,025 1,061 1,098 USSR 451 460 470 Poland 151 157 162 China2 357 378 400 Other 66 66 66 content, one ton of coal equals approximately 0.67 ton (5 barrels) of crude oil. 2. Including a negligible amount of lignite. Unless othorwisc indicated, data are for anthracite and bituminous coal. In energy SECRET 14 March 1974 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150012-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150012-3 SECRET Last year's sharp oil price hikes and embargoes, coupled with expanding long-run energy needs, offer ample incentive for greatly increased coal output. But short-term growth in production is limited by the long lead times - two to three years - in opening new mines and by a shortage of experienced miners. The outlook for the next several years is for steady expansion of coal output as (a) prices rise; (b) new mines are gradually opened; and (c) employment responds to job opportunities, higher wages, and improved working conditions. This conclusion assumes that higher prices for coal will be sustained by the US and West Luropean governments to reduce dependence on imported oil. WILSON REAFFIRMS COMMITMENT TO RENEGOTIATE EC MEMBERSHIP In seeking a fundamental change in Britain's terms of participation in the EC, the new Labor government starts with two main objectives. ? It hopes to bring about extensive changes in the EC's common agricultural policy (CAP). Many Britons blame the CAP for high domestic food prices. ? It wants to strike a more equitable balance in financing the Community budget. British contributions of $390 million far exceed receipts of $200 million. Although not cited as a renegotiation point, the impact of EC membership on Britain's mounting trade deficit is perhaps another factor in the government's decision. In pre-election speeches, new Foreign Secretary Callaghan - the central figure in renegotiations -- indicated that the United Kingdom would suspend further saps toward complete integration. The minority government, however, will have to act cautiously to avoid alienating pro-EC forces in the I-louse of Commons. The British Liberal Party, whose support is necessary for Labor's survival, strongly favors economic integration through the EC. The first clear indications of how hard a line the Wilson government feels it can take will come later this month. EC agricultural ministers will meet to discuss CAP support prices, and London must decide whether it will raise tariffs on some non-EC food imports as scheduled for 1 April. 2 SECRET 25X1 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150012-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500150012-3 SECRET GRAY SKIES FOR WEST EUROPEAN AIRCRAFT PRODUCERS Commercial airliners built in Western Europe have found hard sledding in international markets long dominated by US manufacturers. Sales of consor- tium-built aircraft, the Concorde and the A 300 AIRBUS, have been particularly disappointing. More success has been realized in sales of independently produced aircraft, which usually have no direct US counter- parts. Anglo-French Concorde Since its announcement it decade ago, the $40 million Concorde has picked up only nine firm purchase orders-five from British Airways and four from Air France. In a desperate effort to shore up the program, the French have surfaced a proposal to increase fuel capacity and range. This might result in some new buyers but hardly enough to make the program an economic success. So far, the British and French governments have each poured more than a billion dollars into the Concorde. Similarly, Europe's AIR- BUS consortium-France, Britain, West Germany, the Netherlands, and Spain-may sustain enormous losses. The breakeven point for produc- tion was put at about 250 aircraft. Yet, because of pro- duction delays and competi- tion from the McDonnell Douglas DC- 10 and the Lock- heed L-1011, only 14 firm sales have been concluded. The Anglo-French Con- corde, plagued by huge cost overruns, a spiraling sales price, and environmental constraints, has been further hit by the fuel crisis. Fuel consumption per scat-mile is 50% more than for the Boeing 747. At a time when demand for passenger air- craft has shrunk, the Con- corde is thus especially un- attractive. 3 SECRET 14 March 1974 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500150012-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150012-3 SECRET The worsening consortium situation has been compounded in France by poor sales prospects for independently produced aircraft. An example of the deteriorating French civil aviation scene is the fate of the 110-passenger short-range Dassault Mercure, scheduled to begin service this summer. Despite forecasts of a market potential for 1,800 aircraft, only 10 orders have been confirmed. French officials, as a result, are questioning continued expenditures for aircraft yet to move to production-the Dassault Falcon 30/40 for feeder airlines and the Aerc spatiale Corvette executive jet. British aviation, on the other hand, is in a stronger position than at any time in recent years. A key factor has been China's purchases of Hawker-Siddelcy Trident aircraft; orders. consisting principally of medium-range 2-Es, began in November 1971 and now total 35 aircraft. This backlog has been augmented by increased sales of the HS-125 executive jet and the continued success of the HS-748, a 50-passenger short-range twin turboprop. West Germany and the Netherlands Both West Germany and the Netherlands have limited their participation in major consortium projects and have themselves manufactured aircraft only for special markets. The Netherlands' Fokker Friendship-27, a short-range aircraft with alternative passenger-cargo configurations, acll'eved instant success. More than 550 were built between 1955 and 1969. Similarly, the larger F-28 Fellowship, introduced in 1969, is off to a strong start-with 76 sold to date. The F-28 is a joint product of Fokker and West Germany's Vereinigte Flugtechnische Werke Gmbh (VFW), which merged in 1969. Their newest entry, the short-range VFW-Fokker-614, has had a strong order book, and deliveries are scheduled to begin in earl 1975. SOUTH AFRICA: PAYING FOR OIL WITH GOLD A steep rise in international gold prices since mid-January portends a healthy South African balance of payments in 1974, despite a tripling of oil import costs. Pretoria marketed 824 tons of gold in 1973 - or nearly all of current production - for a record $2.6 billion. This paid half of South Africa's import bill. Foreign reserves, nevertheless, were drawn down 44% in the SECRET Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150012-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150012-3 SECRET last half of the year to offset an expanding trade deficit and growing net capital outflows. In January-February 1974, the steep rise in gold prices to as much as $184 an ounce reversed the foreign exchange drain without an increase in the volume of sales. South Africa: Gold Production, Sales, and Stocks 1973 1970 1971 1972 Preliminary Production 1,000 976 910 852 Sales 1,398 1,204 712 824 Yearend stocks 592 364 562 590 South Africa: Balance of Payments Balance before gold sales Cold sales Balance after gold sales 1973 1970 1971, 1972 Preliminary -1,641 -1,609 -1,081 -2,800 1,727 1,588 1,434 2,600 86 -21 353 -200 South Africa's oil bill in 1974 will jump from $300 million to at least $1 billion. Imports provide all of South Africa's needs, which total about 350,000 b/d, including supplies for re-export. Pretoria's readiness to pay the going international prices for oil has sharply limited the effect of the Arab embargo. Gasoline rationing, which had been scheduled for 1 March 1974, has been postponed indefinitely. Ballooning oil costs on top of strong demand for non-oil imports will help push the 1974 payments deficit (before gold sales) to more than $3 billion. Sales of gold from current production - expected to be about 820 tons - will be adequate to finance this deficit, even if the price of gold falls to $115 an ounce. World demand for gold almost certainly will be bolstered by continued uncertainty in money markets, as the energy crisis and inflation leave their mark. SECRET 14 March 1974 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150012-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150012-3 SECRET EXPANSION OF SOVIET AND EAST EUROPEAN NUCLEAR POWER The USSR, which now has only about 10`yo as much nuclear power capacity as the United States, is tinaily getting its program off the ground. Soviet nuclear powerplants produced 1 1.7 billion kilowatt hours of electric power in 1973, an increase of 5217o over the previous year. As the result of an ambitious construction program, 8`% of Soviet electric power Output is planned to be nuclear by 1980, compared with less than No today. Installed nuclear power 1970 1973 1974 Plan 1975 Plan 1980 Plan capacity (megawatts) Production of electricity 925 2.400 4,864 8,000 30,000 (billion kwli) Share of total electricity 3.5 11.7 16.1 25 150 (percent) 0.5 1.3 1.8 2.4 8 The first 440-megawatt (MW) reactor at the Kola nuclear powerplant on the Murmansk peninsula went into operation in 1973, and another 440-MW reactor began operation at Novovoronezh. These reactors brought In 1974, reactor capacity should more than double, through the addition of a second 440-MW unit at the Kola plant and the startup of two 1,000-MW units at the Leningrad nuclear powerplant. Moscow is locating nuclear powerplants in the European USSR, where 80`%o of Soviet electricity is consumed. This policy reduces (a) the strain of transporting fuel from Siberia for conventional generation of electricity and (b) the urgency of developing the high-voltage capability to transmit Siberian power to the European USSR. Each 1,000 MW of nuclear capacity built in the European USSR will reduce annual fuel shipments from the east by 2 million tons of coal equivalents. The USSR is also assisting Eastern Europe in nuclear powerplant construction. w A 70-MW nuclear plant built with Soviet help has been in operation in East Germany since 1966, and a Soviet 440-MW reactor began operation in the GDR at the end of 1973. 6 SECRET 14 March 1974 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85TOO875RO01500150012-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150012-3 SECRET Production at these plants should rise to more than 2`%, of total East German electric power production in 1974, compared with 0.61/o in 1973. ? Soviet technicians also helped complete a 150-MW powerplant in Czechoslovakia in 1972. s Nuclear powerplants with Soviet 440-MW reactors are under construction in Bulgaria, Czechoslovakia, Hungary, East Germany, and Finland. reactors by 1980-82. EC MULLUNG PLAN TO ASSURE RAW MATERIAL SUPPLIES The EC Commission is considering a plan to secure long-term supplies of several key commodities -- cobalt, uranium, copper, manganese, aluminous ores, and cotton. Developed Countries: Share of Raw Material Imports from EC-Associated States1 Aluminum 4 ...? 11 Bauxite and alumina 20 (7 .... Manganese 27 42 6 Cobalt 85 40 N.A. Copper 47 .... 22 Uranium 15 .... .... Cotton. 22 .... 12 1. including potential associates; based on 1971 data. A Commission working group has proposed asking the 41 developing countries with which it is negotiating reciprocal trade preferences to guarantee specified deliveries of these commodities. In return, the EC would offer to stabilize exporters' earnings by guaranteeing minimum prices. EC success in cor.iering a major share of supplies from these producers could impair the ability of other large importers -- notably the United States and Japan - to satisfy some of their raw material requirements. 7 SECRET Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150012-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500150012-3 SECRET Dollar Weakens in Quiet Trading The dollar continued to weaken in quiet tracing last week against all major currencies except the French franc. The yen and Swiss franc appreciated more than 2`%, while the mark, pound, and lira gained more than i'/,. Increases were also recorded in the value of the guilder and Belgian franc. Major factors in the dollars recent decline have been the anticipation of lower oil prices and a realization that Europe and Japan will be able to finance much of their oil-induced deficits through borrowing rather than drawing on reserves. Gold has remained around $165 an ounce for the past two weeks India Buys Oil Exploration Vessel India recently commissioned a Houston finis to construct $4.6 million ultramodern offshore seismic survey vessel to facilitate oil exploration and development. The contract is a cash deal with incremental payments as construction progresses and final payment on delivery in January 1975. Indian technical personnel, who have long preferred US technology, have been forced by New Delhi officials to make do with French and Soviet technology because of soft credit links. Disappointing results of Soviet- and French-aided seismic surveys presumably led to the US contract. Economic Cooperation Between Saudi Arabia and Sudan Closer economic ties between Saudi Arabia and Sudan are signaled by a $200 million Saudi government guarantee of commercial loans to Sudan and the promotion of a Red Sea eco.:amic grouping based on Saudi capital and Sudanese land. Priv:.ite plans, said to have the backing of Jidda's central planning staff, include cooperative development of land in Sudan for soybean, wheat, sugar, and cattle production. Cotton and livestock from Sudan would be exported to processing plants to be built around Jidda. A proposed refinery-pctrochemical-fertilizer complex at Port Sudan would use Saudi Arabian crude. US planning experts and investors probably would play major roles in these projects. SECRET 25X1' Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875R001500150012-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150012-3 SECRET The Economic Situation in South Vietnam, February 1974 (CIA ER IR 74-5, February 1974, Key developments in February were (1) new government restrictions aimed at curbing imports, (2) a decision to open a second round of bidding for offshore oil concessions, and (3) a continued erosion of money incomes, particularly in urban areas, where declining living standards pose serious problems. 1973 Agricultural Developments in Eastern Europe (CIA ER IR 74-4, March 1974, Three good performances in a row have lilted East European agricultural output above a live-year plateau. Growing demand for livestock feed will keep Eastern Europe's grain imports close to 8 million tons in FY 1974 - about the same as in FY 1973. Because of the excellent 1973 Soviet harvest, imports from the USSR are expected to increase by 1.2 million tons while imports from the West will decline by a like amount to 3.8 million tons. US grain deliveries probably will fall it least 700,000 tons, with the cutback affecting mainly wheat. SECRET 14 March 1974 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150012-3 , Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150012-3 GNP Constant Market Prices INTERNAL. ECONOMIC INDICATORS Average Annual Growth Hale Since V010LESALE PRICES Industrial Average Annual Growth Hale Since Percent Change Latus t from Previous I Year Previous Quarter Ouatter I97ll Enrher Dueller I'hercnnt Clmngc blest am ---- Previous I Year 3 Mnnlhs Month Mnnlh 1971) [.uhei [artier United States 73 IV 0.4 4.7 4.0 1.5 United States Fab 74 1.4 7.4 17.0 29.8 Japan 73 111 0.5 8.5 10.0 2.0 Japan Jan 74 5.5 10.4 34.0 114.8 West German 731V -0.1 3.1 3.4 - 0.3 West Germany Doc 73 0.9 5.3 8,0 11.0 y France 73 111 0.9 5.0 6.1 3.8 France Jan 74 5.3 10.0 26.6 56.0 United Kin dom 73 III 1.3 3.9 0.0 5.2 United Kingdom Jan 74 2.0 8.7 12.8 22.0 g Italy 73 I 0.8 3.1 5.2 3.4 Italy Nov 73 1.6 9.0 21.1 17.5 Canada 73 IV 2.8 0.1 7.2 11.0 Canada Doc 73 0.6 8.5 18.3 19.5 Average Annual Growth Hale Susie Average Annual Growth Hale Since Parent Change_ latest train Previous 1 Year 3 Months I'crleer Change latest bent Previous I Year 3 Months Month Monllt 1970 Ea rlier Enr t er Moroh Month 19711 Earlier Earlier United States Jon 74 -0.8 5.2 3.6 - 0.6 Unite d States Jon 74 0.9 5.3 9.5 9.7 J Jan 74 1.3 8.9 1 0.3 7.5 Japan Jon 74 4.3 10.2 23.1 41.9 apan West Germany Dec 73 0.9 4.4 6.2 9.0 West Germany Jon 74 0.7 6.2 7.4 11.8 France Dec 73 -4.4 5.7 2.1 0 Franc e Jan 74 1.7 7.1 10.3 13.6 United Kingdom Dec 7.1 -4.2 2.2 1.8 - 4.7 Unite d Kingdo m Jan 74 1.9 9.3 12.0 14.5 Italy Doc 73 -7.5 4.4 12.8 22.3 Italy Doc 73 1.4 7.7 12.5 14.5 Canada Doc 73 -0.1 6.3 4.7 9.9 Cana da Jon 74 08 5.7 9.1 8.8 RETAIL SALES' Average Annual Avera Current Prices Growth ge Annual Rate since Growth Hale Since Percent Change Latest Item Previous I Year 3 Monn s Percent Change latest from Previous 1 Year 3 Months Month Menit 1970 E ar her Ea rlier" Month Month 1970 Earlier Earlier United States Feb 74 - 0.7 9.8 6.0 - 3.4 Unite d States Fob 74 1 1.2 7.4 8.1 9.2 Japan Nov 73 3.4 14.6 27.4 32.0 Japa n Doc 73 0.1 17.5 16.7 14.7 West German Doc 73 0.5 7.8 5.8 7.6 West Germany Doc 73 3.3 9.7 8.1 9.8 y ce F Nov 73 -2.4 5.6 15.2 20.1 Franc e Dec 73 5.0 13.2 9.7 14.2 ran United Kingdom Nov 73 0.7 12.1 14.8 21.9 Unite d Kingdo m Dec 73 -0.2 9.6 3.8 -8.9 Ital Aug 73 6.7 12.4 19.0 5.0 Italy Sop 73 1.4 20.7 23.3 24.7 y Canada Dec 73 -0.9 10.8 13.7 9.3 Cana da Jon 74 2.2 13.3 11.6 3.9 1 Yeer 3 Months 1 Month Representative Rates Latest Date Earlier Earlier Earlier United States Prime finance paper 8 Mar 7.50 6.25 8.25 8.13 Japan Call money 1 Mar 12.00 5.50 9.75 12.00 West Germany Interbank loans (3 Months) 8 Mar 10.50 8.44 13.00 11.00 F Call money 8 Mar 12.38 7.13 11.50 12.63 ll d d ' rance United Kingdom Local authority deposits 1 Mar 14.94 7.38 15.38 15.25 y a juste . Seasona ''Average for latest 3 months compared Canada Finance paper 8 Mar 8.38 5.13 9.25 8.63 with average for previous 3 months. Euro-Dollars Three-month deposits 8 Mar 8.69 8.25 10.44 8.44 14 March 1974 Office of Economic Research/CIA Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150012-3 Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150012-3 EXTERNAL ECONOMIC INDICATORS EXPORTS' Iob United States Japan West Germany France United Kingdom Italy Canada IMPORTS' loh. United States Japan West Germany France United Kingdom Italy Canada TRADE BALANCE` I.o.h./I o.b. United States Japan West Germany France United Kingdom Italy Canada Jan 74 Jan 74 Doc 73 Jan 74 Jan 74 Nov 73 Jett 74 7,110 70,790 3,051 35,989 5,420 67,643 3,401 30,074 2,290 28,393 1,907 19,733 2,444 25,197 Latest Mont Ii Million US S 49,221 27,910 40,725 20,378 22,809 10,508 20,200 Million US S 1973 1917 Jan 74 0,470 09,076 Jan 74 3,428 32,314 Doc 73 4,511 51,044 Jan 74 3,500 35,272 Jan 74 3,132 33,873 Nov 73 1,963 21,861 Jan 74 2,226 23,304 55,553 19,003 37,990 25,250 24,819 15,314 18,851 EXPORT PRICES IISS I'nn:nnl Changn 43.0 United Stales 20.9 Japan 44.8 West Germany 39.0 France 24.2 United Kingdom 19.1 Italy 24.3 Canada EXPORT PRICES National Currency Pe!cenl Change 243 United States 09.5 Japan 35.9 West Germany 39.7 France 37.0 United Kingdom 42.8 Italy 23.0 Canada Million US S 1973 1972 Jail 74 840 1,714 -6,332 Jan 7^ 223 3,875 8,854 Doc 13 914 15,999 8,735 Jan 74 -99 1,402 1,129 Jan 74 -852 -5,480 -1,749 Nov 73 23 - 2,128 1,254 Jan 74 218 1,892 1,414 Change 8,040 - 5,178 7,284 273 -3,731 -3,382 478 BASIC BALANCE" Current and Long?Torm?Capital Transactions Latest Period Cumulative (Million US $) Million US $ 1973 United States' Japan West Germany France United Kingdom Italy Canada 73 III Jan 74 Doc 73 73 III 73 III 72 111 73 111 United States Japan Wrist Germany France United Kingdom Italy Canada -1,963 193 -1,482 - 521 800 238 - 9,702 3,950 -2,039 - 1,840 N.A. 267 End of Billion US $ Jun 1970 Jan 74 14.6 16.3 Feb 74 11.9 4.1 Jan 74 32.2 8.8 Jan 74 8.3 4.4 Feb 74 6.0 2.8 Jan 74 8.0 4.7 Feb 74 6.2 4.3 1972 -8,282 2,137 4,566 - 202 -1,252 2,983 574 1 Year Earlier 13.1 19.1 23.7 10.0 5.9 5.8 8.2 Change 9,268 11,839 -BIB 1,830 - 587 N.A. -308 3 Modlhs Earlier 14.4 13.2 350 10.1 8.6 8.2 IMPORT PRICES National Currency United States Japan West Germany France United Kingdom Italy Canada Avoruge Annual Gn!wlh [late Slime Pen:nnl change ..._ "- ..- __ Intact If ()In Ill evloils I Year 3 Months Month Merrill 11110 Larlim Earlier Dec 73 Nov 73 Doc 73 Oct 73 Doc 73 Sop 73 Nov 73 4.1 10.3 20.7 44.7 -0.8 13.11 27.4 11.6 -6.8 17.4 25.7 ? 18.3 2.9 15.9 31.9 15.7 0.1 8.7 17.3 12.4 3.4 11.2 22.3 51.7 4.9 9,5 22.5 42.9 'nn:ant change LOW tem Previous Doc 73 Nov 73 Doc 73 Oct 73 Dec 73 Sop 73 Nov 73 Average Annual Growth (tale Sinn! Ill 111 10.3 4.0 2.4 0.6 9.8 7.7 8.0 I Year E;ulier 26.7 14.9 4.3 10.7 18.8 18.7 24.5 3 Months Earlier 44.7 34.1 17.6 34.9 33.4 21.4 40.1 Avcnale Annual Growth Hate Since 'E, caul Change ----------- Latest lion, Previous 1 Year 3 Months Month Month 19711 Earlier Ear her Doc 73 4.7 13.5 32.5 85.3 Nov 73 3.7 4.6 19.8 31.0 Dec 73 4.7 3.3 13.8 54.2 Oct 73 -1.5 5.3 14.3 35.2 Doc 73 5.2 16.4 43.1 53.1 Sep 73 0 13.2 34.2 44.1 Nov 73 0.3 5.5 13.6 I 8.1 EXCHANGE RATES Spot Rate As of 8 March 74 JapaniYenl ( lie West Germany Mark) ark) France a!anrl IPuund United Kingdom sterling) Italy anal Canada (Dollar) US S Per Unit 0.00350 0.37820 0.20990 2.32200 0.00156 1.02960 Dec 66 25.93 50.44 2.43 -16.79 -2.87 11.62 18 DEC 1971 7.85 21.88 5.03 -10.88 -9.59 3.19 19 Mar 1973 - 7.91 6.81 -6.17 -5.65 -12.15 3.20 United States Japan West Germany France United Kingdom Italy Canada Dec 66 -15.85 16.66 30.68 -17.35 -34.64 -22.08 8.96 18 Dec 1971 -6.30 2.91 13.74 -4.00 -20.46 -20.81 2.35 19 Mar 1973 0.38 -8.99 8.73 -6.45 -8.10 -13.94 3.98 1 March 1974 2.04 1.31 -0.46 1.57 1.77 -0.24 I March 1974 -0.66 1.82 0.75 -1.51 1.14 1.15 -0.53 'Seasonally adjusted. "'Weighting Is based on each listed country's trade with 16 other industrialized "Converted Into US dollars at current market rates of exchange. countries to reflect the competitive Impact of exchange-rate variations 14 March 1974 A 2 among the major currencies. Approved For Release 2009/09/29: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01500150012-3