PUSHTUNISTAN--AN HISTORICAL SURVEY

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CIA-RDP85T00875R001100160081-0
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RIPPUB
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S
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16
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December 20, 2016
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April 4, 2006
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81
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Publication Date: 
November 6, 1973
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25X1 Approved For Release 2006/05/25 :CIA-RDP85T00875R001100160081-0 Approved For Release 2006/05/25 :CIA-RDP85T008~{~p'h1~16 ~ 25X1 Secret Approved For Release 2006/05/25 :CIA-RDP85T00875R001100160081-0 25X1 gpproved For Release 2006/05/25 :CIA-RDP85T00875R001100160081-0 Approved For Release 2006/05/25 :CIA-RDP85T00875R001100160081-0 Approved For Release 2006/05/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100160081-0 fiFC,P FT CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY Directorate of Intelligence 6 November 1973 INTELLIGENCE MEMORANDUM PUSHTUNISTAN-AN IiISTORICAL SURVEY SUMMARY Pushtunistan has once again become a bone of contention between Pakistan and Afghanistan. The roots of the problem can be traced back to 1893, when a nritish mission to Kabul under Sir Mortimer Durand was able to reach an agreement; with the Af- ghans on a bonder, subsequently known as the Durand Line, which runs 1,200 miles from Sinkiang to Per- sia. Unfortunately, the line cut in two an ethnic community-the Pushtuns, a Muslim tribal society which had 1i~ved in the area between the northern reaches of the Indus River and the Hindu Kush moun- tains for centuries. The Pustuns have a proud mili- tary history and are fiercely independent. Today, some 8 million Pushtuns form about half of the popu- lation of Afghanistan; another 6 million live in the Northwest Frontier Provi~ice of Pakistan. 'The Pushtuns have dominated the political life of Afghanistan since it achieved independence in the 18th century. Since then, political leaders in Afghanistan have looked to the Pushtuns for sup- port and have provided subsidies to tribal leaders to gain their loyalty. Tn Pact, all Afghan rulers for the past 200 years have been Pushtuns. 25X1 Comments an queries on the contents of this ubliea- tion are raeleome. They may be directed to of the Office of Currant Intettigenc e, Approved For Release 2006/05/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100160081-0 Approved For Release 2006/05/25 :CIA-RDP85T00875R001100160081-0 lPushtunistan ' ?~ {1rlN~sfnn ~ `~j..~M~ ~~. ~ ~~/ ~. r J ~ ~~i ~ slnmabod J ~ ~ Now Oolhl tr Approved For Release 2006/05/25 :CIA-RDP85T00875R001100160081-0 Approved For Release 2006/05/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100160081-0 sLC~~;~r Afghan intoxest in the future of the Pushtun tribes to the east of thc~ Durand Line increased as the British prepared to leave the subcontinent. I'n 1947 some Puehtun leaders in the Northwest Frontier, afraid they would be incorporat~ad iri a Pakistan dom- lnatod by the hated Punjabis, proposed an independ- ent state of Pushtunistan. The British-sponsored referendum, however, allowed fcr a choice only be- tween Hindu India and Muslim Pakistan, and in August 1947 the Northwest Frontier became part of Pakistan. The Afghans reacted strongly, voting against Paki- stan's admission to the United Nations, refusing to recognize the validity of the Durand Line, and loudly endorsing an independent Pushtunistan. Some Afghans would doubtless like to absorb Pushtunistan into Afghanistan. The Afghans controlled the area during the 18th century. Moreover, it is agreed in Kabul that the proposed state would not be viable and would probably soon be incorporated in a greater Afghanistan. Proposals that other tribal groups, such as the Baluchis be absorbed into a larger Pushtunistan are attractive to the Afghans largely because Baluchistan would presumably have access to the sea. The Pakistanis argue that they inherited the Durand Line and accuse the Afghans of meddling in Pakistan's internal affairs. They deny that the great majority of Pushtuns in tl~e frontier region want independence. Neutral sources tend to agree that this is true, although the Pushtun minority as a group has long pressed for increased political, economic, and cultural autonomy. The Pakistanis have allowed the tribes considerable rreec~om to adhere to their traditional laws and procedures. Nevertheless, the tribes have occasionally resisted by force ex- tension of centralized control--even such limited intrusion as the development of new roads. In these cases, the government has responded with punitive expeditions. Relations b?twaen Afghanistan and Pakistan grew worse in the decade af!:Er 1953. Prince Mohtuwnad Daoud 3chan--an ardent advocate of Pushtunistan--was virtual Approved For Release 2006/05/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100160081-0 Approved For Release 2006/05/25~.~Iq~QP,$~5T00875R001100160081-0 dictator of Afghanistan. In 1955 and again in 1961, the trouble reached crisis proportions when Palcistan moved to integrate the tribes--Pushtun and others-- mare closely into the nation. During the 1961 crisis, diplomatic and economic relations were broken, t:o the eventual economic disadvantage of Afghanistan. This was a factor in the decision by King Zahir to remove Daoud from power in 1963. Ten years of relative calm ensued. The Afghans were not premising for an independent Pushtuni:etan, although they continued to maintain interest in the ?tribes. The return of Daoud in the coup last July has led once again to a rapid deterioration in Afghan- Pakistani relations. Daoud's return to power coincided with an up- surge of internal problems across the border. Prime Minister Bhutto faces a minor insurgency in Baluch- istan--caused in part by political strains with his Baluchi opponents--and a bitter wrangle with his op- position in the Northwest Frontier Province. One o.f Bhutto'a main political foes, a Pushtun, has come close to calling on the Northwest Frontier and Baluch- istan to secede. With Bhutto under attack in Pakistan and Daoud trying to establish full control in Afghanistan, neither side was disposed to be conciliatory about Pushtunistan. The Pakistanis have been furious when Afghan officials urge the tribes in Pakistan to re- turn to the "fatherland." Dauod, in turn, has denounced the Pakistani Government for encouraging platting against his regime in Kabul. As relai:ions have worsened, the Pakistanis have adopted a "forward" policy toward the Afghans. Troops have been moved up to the border, in some cases oc- cupying camps vacant since 1947, and paramilitar forces alonca the border have been strengthened. Approved For Release 2006/05/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100160081-0 Approved For Release 2006/05/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100160081-0 S~CR~'~ One small clash has already occurred a~.ong the border; others are probable. In the prevailing atmos- phere of fear and distrust, tie threat of a major new crisis between the two South Asian neighbors is growing. Background Pushtunistan as an issue dates from 1.947, al- though the antecedents of the problem can be clearly traced bank well into the 19th century and more tenuously to the 18th. When Afghanistan became a separate state in the middle of the 18th century, it was under the leadership of Ahmad Shah Durani, a member of an ethnic community known as the Pushtuns. The Pushtuns are an Indo-European, nomadic people who have resided in an area that stretches from the northern reaches of the Indus River to the southern end of the Hindu Kush Mountains since the beginning of recorded time. The ti~~tshtuns, or Pukhtuns, are Muslims who speak the Pushtu, or Pukhtu, language. The name is sometimes rendered as "Pa~shtuns" or "Pakhtuns." On the Pakistani side of the border these people are called "Pathans," a word taken over by the Brit- ish from an Indian vernacular. During Ahmad Shah's reign, the Afghan nation grew until it included all of present-day Afghanistan and nearly all of what was to .become Pakistan. When Ahmad Shah died, the ?mpire began to fall apart, and the British eventually extended their control north- ward through the Sind and Punjab into Baluchistan and the Northwest Frontier. In 1893, the British, anx- ious to obtain an agreed boundary in northwest India, sent Sir Mortimer Durand to Kabul to nego- tiate with the Amir of Afghanistan. Sir Mortimer was able to negotiate a border, called the Durand Line, which runs some 1,200 miles, from Sinkiang in China to the Iranian border. The Durand Line was based on no logical geo--~ graphic or ethnic consideration. It simply marked a rough approximation of the area under A~ghan and Approved For Release 2006/05/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100160081-0 Approved For Release 2006/05/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100160081-0 SECRET British control at Lhe time of Durand's mission. Un- fortunately for the future, it divided in two one mayor ethnic community--the Pushtuns. Slightly more than half the Pushtuns (some 8 million toda~~) ended up west of the line. Some 6 million Pushtuns live east of the Line, and most are in what the British, and later the Pakistanis, termed the Northwest Fron- tier Province. Political boundaries meant little to the Push- tuns, and they continued to roam freely across the border. Following the Anglo-Afghan War in 1919 (the third in less than a century), a treaty was signed which, inter a1ia, stipulated that each party would inform the other of any contemplated military action considered necessary to maintain order in each side's Pushtun tribal aria. The British attached a letter to the treaty recognizing Afghan interest in the con- dition of all the frontier tribes. While the government in Kabul had an interest in various tribes on the eastern side of the bound- ary, its focus has always been on the Pushtuns. Not only do the Pushtuns form the largest ethnic com- munity in Afghanistan, (about 50 percent) but all Afghan rulers for the last 200 years--up to and in- cluding President Daoud--have been Pushtuns. Push- tun tribal leaders on both sides of the border have looked for generations to the political leaders in Kabul for subsidies; not surprisingly, the tribes, including those east of the Durand Line, have had a large role in installing and removing Afghan gov- ernments. On occasion, Kabul has encouraged its fellow Pushtuns to rise up against the government in power east of the Durand Line. When thESe gov- ernments have responded with punitive expeditions against the tribes, Afghanistan has served a:~ a ref- uge for the Pushtuns. Birth of the Pushtunigtan Idea During World War II, the Afghans, alarmed by the possibility of an early departure of the Brit- ish from the subcontinent, sought and apparently Approved For Release 2006/05/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100160081-0 Approved For Release 2006/05/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100160081-0 SEC:~tET received from London a promise to consult with Kabul about the future status of the Northwest Frontier Province if and when a change appeared imminent. In the haste and confusion surrounding the 1947 parti- tion of India, however, the British apparently failed to discuss the issue with the afghans. In the months immediately preceding partition a political dispute erupted in the Northwest Fron- tier Province. The Red Shirt Party, led ;by Khan Abdul Ghaffar Khan and allied to Mohandas Gandhi's Congress Party, found itself in danger of losing power in she province to the Muslim League. The latter, under Mohammed Ali Jinnah, was advocating the partition of India and ?;:he creation of a sepa- ~ate Pakistan for India's Muslims. The Red Shirts responded by introducing the idea of an independent Pushtun state, called rushtunistan. As originally conceived, the state would have roughly the sane boundaries as the present Northwest Frontier i~rov- ince of Pakistan. No attampt was m-ade to defend the viability of the state; instead, the appeal was di- rected to the Pushtun's fear of being dominated by the hated Punjabis. When the British ~-arried out a referendum in the province, giving a choice between India and Pakistan, the Red Shirts boycotted the poll, allegedly because it did not provide for a third choice--independency.. `i:?e View from Afghanistan The failure of the British to consult with the Afghans prior to partition so irritated Kabul that it voted against Pakistan's admission to the UN and enthusiastically adopted the Red Shirts' call for Pushtunistan. At the same time, the Afghan Govern- ment announced that the departure of the British abrogated the 1893 agreement demarcating the border. (Subsequently, Kabul charged that the Durand Line had been accepted under duress and was therefore void.) Since 1947, the Afghans have consistently refused to accept the line as a legal international border, although in practice, they have not attempted to exercise control beyond it. v Approved For Release 2006/05/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100160081-0 Approved For Release 2006/05/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100160081-0 SECRET The intensity of the Afghan campaign for crea-~ tion of Fushtunis+an has fluctuated considerably over the years. Unquestionably, the ethnic tie that binds together the Pushtuns on both sides of the border is strong, and the Afghans believe that all Pakistani governments suppress their Pushtun minority. There is also a degree of irredentism. Most Afghans in candid moments admit that Pushtunistan would not be a viable state and would quickly be absorbed into a greater Afghanistan. The borders of the .proposed state, as seen in Kabul, have varied. At times, "Pushtunistan" has been expanded far beyond the Northwest Frontier Province to embrace the Paki- stani province of Baluchistan, although few Pushtuns live in that province and the Balu chic, while also a tribal society, are a separate ethnic community with a different language. The addition of Baluchistan would, of course, give the new nation (and ever~tua3ly, in all probability, Kabul) access to the sea. At no time have the Afghans proposed that the state take in the Pushtuns of Afghanistan; yet a true Pushtun state would logically include them too. Ambitious politicians in Kabu 1 have found the Fushtunistan iss~ie useful for gaining popular :~+up- port. No major Afghan politician in the past 25 years has been able to oppose a proposal that carries so much emotional appeal. Of all Afghan leaders, none has more vigorously supported the Pushtunistan campaign than Prince Mohammad Daoud Khan. He was vs.rtua icta or of his nation between 1953 and 1963, and he is again the leading figure following the coup against King Zahir on 17 July X973. Daoud has consistently pressed his Pushtunistan crusade. The result was two serious crises with Pakistan during his first period in power and in recent weeks a rapid deterioration of relations between the two countries. Approved For Release 2006/05/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100160081-0 Approved For Release 2006/05/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100160081-0 SFCR F.T The View from Pakistan The Pushtunistan issue is the most important foreign policy problem facing Afghanistan; it is but one of many foreign policy problems confronting Paki- stan. Kashmir, the threat from India, the loss of East Pakistan have all occupied more attention in Islamabad than has Pushtunistan. The Pushtuns of Pakistan are a small minority in a nation of 64 mil- lion, although they do occupy a strategically im- portant and geographically large area. Pakistan claims that, as successor state to the British, it inherited the Durand Line as its border. Various governments and constitutions have provided that tribes living along the border, including hose Pushtuns who have not moved to the settled .areas nearby, may retain some of their traditional ways, particularly in their system of law and government. Other than that no particular privileges are granted. Pakistan regards its handling of the tribal provinces of the Northwest Frontier and Baluchistan as an internal matter. Efforts of Afghanistan on behalf of the Pushtuns or'other tribes are re arded as mecldlin Pakista is cla' a ere s no wi esprea suppor or Pus tunistan as defined by Kabul among the Pushtuns in Pakistan. Many of the Pakistani Pushtuns who support Pushtunistan inter- pret the concept as simply greater provincia' autonomy-- F~19.tical, economic, and cultural--within a united Pakistan. Pakistani rule of the tribes has never been easy. Attempts to introduce the centra] or provincial gov- ernment into the tribal districts, e.g., by extension of roads into the areas, have often been resisted by force. =unitive expeditions by the Pakistani armed force:, Piave followed. The result is a residue of bitterness on both sides. The temptation in Kabul to assist the dissiuent tribes, whether Pushtun or other, has occasionally not been resisted in Kabul. Approved For Release 2006/05/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100160081-0 Approved For Release 2006/05/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100160081-0 SECRET When Daoud bec,asne prime minister in 1953, he had the support of the most fanatic advocates of Pushtunistan. Relations with Pakistan, which had been bad since 1947, deteriorated even fu?-ther in 1955 following Daoud's stron7 reaction to the Paki- stani Government's decision to reoz~gani~e all..ex- isting states and districts of West Pakistan into one province. Relations became so strained that the border was closed for several months. Some im- ,~rovement in relations followed, but in the late 1950s President Ayub Khan tried to integrate tribal areas more fully :;.nto Pakistan. The Afghans objected, and diplomatic relations were severed in 1961, and all trade between the two countries ceased. Trade routes to India and to the port of Karachi were cut off and the resulting problems in Afghanistan con- tributed to the King's decision to remove Daoud from office in 1963. The two nations, aided by the Shah of Iran, re- sumed trade and diplomatic relations shortly after Daoud's removal. In the ten years before Daoud:~re- turned to power, relations between the two countries were relatively placid. Ayub visited Kabul in 1966, ana King Zahir visited Pakistan the following year. Kabul ceased demanding full independence for the Pushtuns, although it continued officially to es- pouse self-determination. Afghan leaders, while never openly abandoning the concept of P;~shtunistan, began to talk more about the "welfare" of their brother Pushtuns and Afghanistan's "special interest" in the future of the peoples in the border provinces. Partly as a gesture of accommodation, President Yahya Khan in 1970 decided to break up the single unified pro~:~~ince of West Pakistan into four prov- inces, one of which was the Northwest Frcntier Prov- ince, and to grant each considerable autonomy. The present government, under Z. A~ Bhutto, has continued to support a federated nation of four provinces; the rights of the provincial governments are spelled out in the new constitution. 25X1 Approved For Release 2006/05/25: 1'A- ~ T00875R001100160081-0 Approved For Release 2006/05/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100160081-0 srr.RrT llaoud--Phase II (1973- ) Daoud, in his first speech to the nation after the coup in July, noted that Afghanistan's only prob- lem in foreign relations was with Pakistan over the Pushtunistan issue. He promised to work for a solu- tion to the problem. In succeeding weeks, however, relations with Pakistan have steadily worsened. Both countries have contributed to the deteri- oration. Since last winter, President Bhutto has been feuding with the major opposition political parties in Pakistan. He was able to remove an oppo- sition-led government in the Northwest Fzc~ntier by constitutional means; in Baluchistan, however, his ouster of the opposition-controlled government was arbitrary and of questionable constitutionality. In retaliation for Bhutto's action, against the pro- vincial government of Baluchistan and also for ef- forts by the army to expand a road into tribal areas, Baluchi insurgents have been carrying on a low-level campaign for several months. The government has re- sponded with a major counterinsurgency operation, using both paramilitary and regular troops. Afghan leaders since ~7uly have repeatedly expressed their concern over these efforts to suppress their "Baluchi brothers." Tn the Northwest Frontier, there is no open in- surgency, but the political problem there is becoming more and more serious. The major opposition party in Pakistan, the National Awami Party, is led by Abdul Wali Khan, son of the old Red Shirt leader,. Abdul Chaffer Khan. He and Bhutto (like most Paki - stani politicians) tend to engage in demagogic and bitter personal exchanges. In recent weeks, Wali Khan has been especially vitriolic, and his fulmina- tions against further repressive acts by the Paki- stani Government have come very close to calling for secession of the Northwest Frontier and Baluchistan. The government, ,with the me::ory of 'East .Pakistan still fresh, has responded with arrests and other acts which will further stir up Kabul. Approved For Release 2006/05/2 - 85T00875R001100160081-0 fiFC',R r''['' Other incidents have contributed to the deteri- oration in relations between Kabul and Islamaba3. In September the Afghan delegate to the nonaligned con- ference in Algiers denounced Pakistani actions in Baluchistan and called for a return of alb tribal peoples to the "fatherland." The sharp Pakistani protest that followed was rejected by Kabul, and the Afghans have acc;tsed the Pakistanis of assisting a group of Afghans who were recently arrested on charges of plottinc; a counter-coup. There is no question but that Daoud is still emotionally committed to the concept of Pushtunistan. Whether he would be satisfied with greater autonomy for the tribal peoples, as distinguished from inde- pendence, is not clear. It is possible that Daoud has revived th.e Pushtunistan issue mai?ril~r. to. unito, his nation and to divert attention from government inefficiency and economic stagnation. Presumably, Daoud recalls that Pushtunistan was a major cause of his downfall in 1963, and he may well prove more reluctant this time around to permit the issue to reach crisis proportions. Unfortunately, once launched, the Pushtunistan issue seems to build up a momentum of its own. Approved For Release 2006/05/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100160081-0 There are no indications that the Afghans have moved their forces closer to the border Iso a e nci en s ave occurre a ors t e or er. One resulted in an ex:hancle of fire, casualties, and the capture ~f several Pakistanis by the Afghans. The prisoners have not yet been re- turned despite requests from Islamabad. -11- SECRL i~ Approved For Release 2006/05/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100160081-0 Approved For Release 2006/05/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100160081-0 n e p~.~v~zing a mosp ero o ear and distrust, a mr~jo.r crisis between the two South Asian neighbors could erupt at any time. Approved For Release 2006/05/25: CIA-RDP85T00875R001100160081-0