THE FRENCH LABOR SCENE--NEW CLIMATE IN SOCIAL RELATIONS

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CIA-RDP85T00875R001100100132-9
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132
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November 17, 1971
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'Ieh For e'2005/08/22 : CIA-RDP85T00875R001100 00132-9 Confidential DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE Intelligence Memorandum The French Labor Scene-New Climate in Social Relations Confidential .87 17 November 1971 No. 2096/71 Approved For Release 2005/08/22 : CIA-RDP85T00875R001100100132-9 Approved For Release 2005/08/22 : CIA-RDP85T00875R001100100132-9 WARNING This document contniy,s,'.iformation affecting the national defense of the United nn..;es, within the meaning of Title 18, sections 793 and 79,, of the US Code, as am::nded. Its transmission or revelation of its contents to or re- ceipt by an unauthorized person is prohibited by law. GROUP LXCLUD[n raoMI AOTO14ATIC D Nn11ADIND AND Dr-' 1188I rICAT1'JN Approved For Release 2005/08/22 : CIA-RDP85T00875R001100100132-9 Approved For Release 201 I FJ 4W1 0875 R001100100132-9 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY Directorate of Intelligence 17 November 1971 The French Labor Scene-New Climate in Social Relations Summary Three years ago a widespread student-worker strike almost developed into full revolution. Now the Pompidou regime, with Prime Minister Jacques Chaban-Delmas as grand architect, has largely re- established labor peace. Through a "new society" program the prime minister has initiated a range of innovative labor reforms that have raised the standard of living and have been generally accepted by the major French labor unions. The government's program has played a considerable part in dispell- ing the revolutionary spirit of 1968, in discourag- ing major strike activity, and in improving the re- lationships between government and labor unions. Since 1968 most of the labor confederations have been willing to work within the economic and social framework in a responsible manner. Although the labor confederations have at times been able to achieve unity of action, the intense competition between them for members and their ideological dif- ferences have limited the extent of common action. Occasional strikes and demonstrations, especially for salary increases and a lowering of the retire- ment age, will no doubt occur over the coming months, but there are no major disturbances on the horizon. Note: This memorandum was prepared by the Office of Current Intelligence and coordinated within CIA. CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2005/08/22 : CIA-RDP85T00875R001100100132-9 Approved For Release 2tA6TfJ"fA! T00875R001100100132-9 Labor and the 1968 Crisis 1. Massive an,.Aregime strikes and demortstra- tions began on 10 May 1968 when workers joined the spiraling student rebellion touched off by small demonstrations and riots at the suburban Nanterre campus of the University of Paris. They were pro- testing an inadequate educational system, rising prices, widespread unemployment, and the general unresponsiveness of the regime to the demands of a broad sector of society. The intent of militant student and labor leaders was to overthrow the government of President de Gaulle. The protest movement culminated on 25 May in the closure of many French schools and universities and .r._ a ten- million-man walkout that virtually paralyzed the nation. 2. At the outset, several of the major French labor organizations, particularly the Communist- dominated General Labor Confederation (CGT) and the leftist French Confederation of Democratic Workers (CFD5.), had agitated for strike activity. None of the unions expected demonstrations on the large scale thL.t~ developed. Militant CFDT leaders ;"on- tinued to foment unrest throughout the crisis and remained closely aligned with the rebellious stu- dents. The CGT--France's largest union--and sev- eral other unions, however, eventually abandoned support for the spontaneous strikes.. Still strikes, and demonstrations spread. The inability of the labor leaders to control the situation can be partly ascribed to the fact that only abou_ one third of the workers who walked off their jobs were union members. Of much greater significance was the failure of the leadership to assess cor- rectly the mood of the rank and file. Spurred on by the militant students and by hopes of finally redressing some of their own grievances, they took positions much more extreme than those espoused at the top. Union leaders, particularly the Commu- nists, were in effect outflankec? on the left by the students and by their own followers. They re- gained control of their followers only with great difficulty. -2- CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2005/08/22 : CIA-RDP85T00875R001100100132-9 Approved For Release 20Q' IP/4 Pf;gW875R001100100132-9 Students and workers riot during May 1968 crisis. 3. The student-worker coalition during the crisis was somewhat paradoxical because French workers have never regarded university students as allies. Workers traditionally have viewed the stu- dents as representatives of a bourgeois class with vested interests in the governmental and social establishment against which French labor strongly rebelled. In 1968, however, militant student leaders were fighting for objectives that appealed to younger, leftist labor elements. The students wanted not only a reform of educational institu- tions--which among other things would have offered greater opportunities to the children of workers-- but also, and more importantly, the students sought a general reform of French society. 4. The workers rejected the government's Grenelle Accords of 27 May, despite the urging of their leaders, though the substance of these ac- cords did eventually serve as the basis for the settlement of the strikes in late June. In addi- tion to wage increases ranging from 10 to 21 percent, -3- CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2005/08/22 : CIA-RDP85T00875R001100100132-9 Approved For Release 2005/08/22 : CIA-RDP85T00875R001100100132-9 CONFIDENTIAL the accords committed the government to introduce legislation guaranteeing trade union rights and increases in social security benefits. Aftermath 5. The French economy started down the road to recovery in the first months after the strikes. The government helped to clear the atmosphere by acting quickly to carry out its legislative promises. Labor leaders, to protect their gains, pressed for immediate implementation. But the regime was nervous about several factors that still threatened the eco- nomy. It was particularly concerned over labor's intentions in the light of its new militancy and over the stability of the franc in the face of the new wage settlements. During the last two months of 1968, the monetary crisis impelled the government to launch an austerity program in preference to de- valuing the franc. Currency controls were introduced, credit and budget policies were tightened, a tax policy to improve balance of payments was adopted, and a new series of price controls imposed. 6. The workers feared the program would wipe out their gains and place a disproportionate burden on them, and the labor unions promoted some protests against the program. No significant strikes re- sulted, however, and labor demonstrations were mini- mal. Most workers probably reasoned that prices had not risen enough to justify serious protests. Moreover, they were reassured by the government's prompt moves to fulfill its promises on trade union rights legislation, :labor's most significant achieve- ment in 1968. Nonetheless, as the year ended, most of the basic problems that set off the May crisis re- mained, despite the considerable effort to solve them. Labor Reforms 7. No significant progress in labor-management relations was made until President Georges Pompidou came to power on 20 June 1969. In an effort to get the unhealthy French economy moving, the Pompidou government devalued the franc on 8 August 1969, at CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2005/08/22 : CIA-RDP85T00875R001100100132-9 Approved For Release 200CYo~L0875R001100100132-9 the expense of irritating labor, and instituted an economic stabilization plan. These moves greatly facilitated France's economic recovery and laid the groundwork for reforms that served to ameliorate labor-management relations. 8. In September 1969 Prime Minister Jacques Chabcii-Delmas announced his "new society" program, describing it as the first step toward improving the social climate. With the aid of two special assistants, Jacques Delors and Simon Nora, he in- itiated a pattern of government consultations with the unions in a search for programs and policies that benefit both. Although the consultation pro- cedure varies with circumstances, the government representative, Delors, bypasses the central labo-: organization and talks directly with the local leaders who are more aware of worker complaints. Simultaneously, the other government representative Nora, contacts management, stressing the importance of resolving management differences with labor. The system has worked well thus far, even in cases involving civil servants and nationalized industries where the government was one of the disputing parties. The new technique contrasts with that of the De Gaulle era. Then the government often intervened directly in disputes and imposed solutions rather than limiting its role to that of arbiter between ...abor and r,~~nagement. 1 "Today governing a great state has become infinitely comnler it requires the cooperation of all living forces of the country. Becoming informed and ,,in- forming, listening and explaining have become im- perious necessities. My government will therefore heed the wishes expressed in the country, taking care to act upon these wishes or to explain why it cannot immediately satisfy them. The necessity of teamwork therefore imposes itself- teamwork in which each gives his ideas, his opinions, and in which the decision is made by the man who holds this responsibility after joint reflection.... " National Assembly Address, 26 3nne 1969 CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2005/08/22 : CIA-RDP85T00875R001100100132-9 Approved For Release 2005/08/22 : CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100100132-9 CONFIDENTIAL 9. The Pompidou regime promptly enacted a range of useful labor legislation that has brought the country two years of general labor peace. The first reforms were theupward revision of the legal minimum wage with annual adjustments, and the es- tablishment, in October 1969, of a shorter work week (40 hours) without pay reductions. French workers had been legally entitled to a 40-hour week since the Matignon Agreements of 19 36 , but they have rarely insisted upon implementation. The gov- ernment has usually permitted management to extend the work week to 43 or 45 hours, requiring only that overtime rates be paid for the added hours. Because many workers needed the overtime pay, they had for many years few objections to the extra work hours. 10. Labor began to press for enforcement of the 40-hour week, and this has resulted in signifi- cant adjustments of work schedules since 1970. Many industries in the public and private sector still fall short of meeting official requirements. In state-controlled enterprises, such as electricity and gas, the work week was reduced by two hours to 42 hours; in the railroads by two and a half hours to 42 hours; and in the Paris transportation system by 50 minutes to 41 1/2 hours. In private industry and commerce, the average work week dropped less than half an hour to 44 1/2 hours. 11. The Gaullist profit-sharing program of 1967 was strongly endorsed by the Pompidou adminis- tration as an essential aspect of the "new society" program, and legislation was introduced in December 1969 to facilitate its implementation. This measure allows wage and salary earners to benefit from the productivity gains of their company. When the profit- sharing legislation was enacted, about 9,500 enter- prises employing four million persons were expected to negotiate with their employees on the adoption of profit-sharing plans. According to the French Min- istry of Labor, however, only 5,778 agreements bad been signed by the end of 1970. The agreements, covering 6,515 enterprises employing three million workers, resulted in an average bonus of $64 per worker in 1970, representing 2.7 percent of the -6- CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2005/08/22 : CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100100132-9 Approved For Release 2005/08/22: CIA-RDI'85T00875R001100100132-9 MAJOR STEPS TAKEN TO IMPROVE LABOR-MANAGEMENT RELATIONS April Extension of annual paid vacation to four weeks for all workers who have completed one full year of work for the same em- ployer (retroactive to May 1968) August Devaluation of the franc to revive the flagging economy created by the 1968 May crisis September Creation of government's "New society" program to facilitate new labor legislation September Initiation of government's policy of consultation with the trade unions October Establishment of a shorter work week (40-hours) without reduc- tion in pay October Revision of the legal hourly mir:lmum wage in industry and agriculture with annual adjustmer December Approval of compulsory legislation for implementation of worker participation in profit shareholding programs (decree of August 1967) December Establishment of a social contract ("contrat de progres") as the union's nuarantee of wage adjustments linked to movements in the GNt, worker productivity, and the general performance of the employing company in return for a 90-day pledge from the unions not to strike March Enactment of Mensualisation agreement which transfers blue- collar workers from hourly to monthly pay status and grants them fringe benefits formerly enjoyed only by white-collar workers July Provision of vocational training with partial pay compensation for young workers under 18 years of age and a one-year maxi- mum training leave with ful! pay compensation for adult work- ers with two years seniority. June App, oval of legal hourly minimum wage increase Approved For Release 2005/08/22 : CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100100132-9 Approved For Release 20081,ftPRp,$,5Tr875R001100100132-9 total wage bill and .1.4 percent of the declared profits of these enterprises. The profit-sharing program is mandatory in enterprises having more than 100 employee:,;. only about 10 percent of the signatory enterprises have smaller work forces. Most of the agreements are concentrated in the con- struction and public works industries. Despite the failure of companies employing one million workers to meet their obligation to sign profit- sharing agreements and despite the low level of workers' shares (the French Government initially estimated that profit-sharing could raise the in- come of the participating workers by an average of 10 percent), the government feels that implementa- tion of the legislation during the first year is satisfactory. The government is determined to push the program to maximum participation and has called upon enterprises that have not signed to negotiate profit-sharing plans without delay. 12. The most important innovative measure introduced by the government in 1969 was the social contract. The first contract was signed in the public sector by the French Electricity and Gas Company. Characterized by Prime Minister Chaban- Delmas and others as "revolutionary," it guarantees wage adjustments linked to movements in the Gross National Product, worker productivity, and the gen- eral performance of the employing company. In return the workers pledge not to strike for 90 days after the outbreak of a dispute. The social contract has had a measurable degree of success despite the re- fusal of the General Confederation of Labor-- France's largest and best organized labor union-.:,to sign the agreement. 13. In 1970 the government agreed to provide the same arrangements for blue-collar workers as al- ready enjoyed by white-collar workers. The agree- ment, endorsed 'by .1&bor-.and".management, transferred blue-collar workers from hourly to monthly pay status and granted them fringe benefits, including wage pay- ments during absence for sick, maternity and military leave, paid holidays, and seniority, retirement and separation premiums. -7- CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2005/08/22 : CIA-RDP85T00875R001100100132-9 Approved For Release 2005/08/22 : CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100100132-9 Group General Labor Confederation (CGT) Worker's Force (FO) National Educational Federation (FEN) French Confederation Jean Bornard of Christian Workers (CFTC) French Confederation of Democratic Workers (CFDT) Estimated Leader Origins Membership Characteristics 1,000,000 Communist-dominated; majority membership blue-collar workers Andre Bergeron Broke with CGT 400,000 Socialist-oriented; majority member. James Marenge 3roke with CGT 300,000 Socialist-oriented; represents the inter- n 1947 est of mostly primary, secondary and vocational school teachers Founded in 1919 80,000 Religious orientation, but independ. ent of the church, government, and political parties; non-believers, agnos- tics and atheists also included in working class membership Edmond Maire 'volved from "de- 5U0,000 Leftist-oriented; appeals to the confessionalization" youngnr,'liberal slementsof thework- of Catholic-led CFTC ing class in 1964 General Confederation Corentin Calvez Founded in 1944 100,000 Represents the interest of industrial of Supervisor Em- y ployees (CGC) Approved For Release 2005/08/22 : CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100100132-9 Approved For Release 200k1YFfPk4RF1K(0875R001100100132-9 14. The vocational training agreement, reached by labor and management in July 1970, was seen by the imaginative Jacques Delors as a matter of high- est national priority. This agreement, negotiated over a 14-month period, for the first time provides that adult workers who have two years seniority and are at least five years from retirement age can receive up to a year of training with full pay. It also provides partial pay for workers under 18 years of age who wish to upgrade their skills or ].,earn a new job. This innovative measure places France ahead of most industralized countries in new techniques to satisfy the personnel needs of modern industry. 15. Last June legislation was passed to increase the legal hourly minimum wage from 3.68 francs ($.67) to 3.85 francs ($0.70) effective in July. Most French workers receive an hourly wage that is close to one dollar. but about 750,000 laborers are still paid only the minimum rate. Because the earnings of these laborers are supplemented by a number of social se- curity benefits, many are able to subsist reasonably well. French wives are encouraged to stay home and raise families rather than pursue careers. They re- ceive generous allowances for children, as well as rent subsidies and health benefits. Att'i'tude's' of the Labor Confederations 16. The government's "new society" program has gained considerable popular support, and has Con- tributed substantially to the decline of militancy in the ranks of labor and the virtual disappearance from labor's ranks of the revolutionary spirit of 1968. With only one exception, the labor confedera- tions have now accepted the social, political, and economic system in France and have pursued labor's interests in a generally reasonable and responsible manner. 17. Prior to 1968 the General Confederation of Labor was fairly militant, calling frequent strikes for political rather than economic reasons. Since 1968, however, when it failed to support the revolu- tionary student movement, the CGT.has attempted to 'project the image of a powerful and responsible labor organ- ization. The most significant motive for this shift CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2005/08/22 : CIA-RDP85T00875R001100100132-9 CONFIDENTIAL, Approved For Release 2005/08/22 : CIA-RDP85T00875R001100100132-9 in tactics is a desire to gain political respect- ability. The CGT is also interested in broadening its representation among white-collar workers. As the CGT acquires prestige and popular support, the political power of the French Communist Party and its chances of competing effectively with the Gaul- lists in the 1973 legislative elections are enhanced. l3. In 1964 the French Confederation of Christian Workers turned leftward, denounced its religious orientation, dropped "Christian" from its title, and became the French Confederation of Democratic Workers (CFDT). It is France's second largest labor organization and an increasingly militant force that tries to steal the spotlight from its principal rival, the CGT, whenever possible. This is partly the result of the accession to power in the union of younger, liberal--and in some cases extreme leftist--elements. When other unions de- clined to work with the students during the May crisis in 1968, the CFDT cultivated a relationship with the radical student leaders as a tactical move to challenge the more cautious CGT. As a result, the CFDT has attracted more young people than any of the other French unions. Although the union supported Chaban-Delmas' social contract, its leaders continue enthusiastically to take the initiative in encouraging strikes, staging demonstrations, and call- ing for work stoppages in various industries. The most recent strike was at Renault last April. The CFDT's current philosophy is that militancy and in- transigence promote class consci,7*-isness and a readi- ness to fight for the broader goal of changing the French political and economic system, What the CFDT has to offer as an alternative has not been fully spelled out, but its utopia would have "democratic" planning of national objectives, social ownership of the means of production, and workers' management of the economy. 19. The Workers' Force is an anti-Communist labor organization that splintered from the CGT in 1947. It follows a moderate but activist course in seeking labor reforms for its members, the ma- jority of whom are white-collar workers. Firmly -9- CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2005/08/22 : CIA-RDP85T00875R001100100132-9 Approved For Release 200CONIi CIA-RD 1A10875RO01100100132-9 committed to the contractual approach to labor-manage- ment relations, the union, originally socialist- oriented, has become apolitical. By tradition and ideological outlook, it is wedded to the concept of majority rule. The Workers' Force offers little challenge to the two large confederations that domi- nate the labor scene, but it is respected as an organ- ization that gives priority to seeking reforms within the present economic system. 20. A small group of dissidents continue to operate under the old title, the French Confederation of Christian Workers. In 1970 this faction was given official recognition as an organization entitled to consult with the government and other labor confedera- tions. According to its secretary general, Jean Bornard, the union is not res+-ricted to ;hristian workers. Its members and officials have various re- ligious affiliations, or none at all. Bornard has stated, however, that the union's philosophy is based on the Christian concept of the human being, which implies a balance of rights and duties. He has also asserted that the union is independent of the govern- ment-and political parties. 21. Other unions of significance are the Gen- eral Confederation of Supervisory Employees, composed of .technicians.and supervisory personnel in industry, and the National Education Federation, representing teachers and other civil servants at all levels of the school system. These unions, along with the Con- federation of Christian Workers, support strikes and protest demonstrations when the need arises, but neither is strongly leftist. 22. The supervisory and education unions are the least politically oriented of the major labor federations. Both tend to be more concerned over social and economic issues than over political power or union rivalry. They have only rarely been in- volved in unity-of-action plans, largely because such activities have political overtones. CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2005/08/22 : CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100100132-9 Approved For Releasedff'~ffl EF q 5T00875R001100100132-9 The Renault Strike-a Case in Point 23. The wildcat strike this year at the state- owned Renault car plant, which lasted from 29 April until 24 May, was initiated in the Le Mans plant by 82 : - setaiskilled workers. Eventually it affected some 50,000 laborers from the other six Renault plants. The riseMiskilied workers were demanding wage increases ar_d a complete overhaul of a classification system that resulted in frequent job shifts and fluctuations in pay. During the last few years, the workers have resented the system, not only because of its effects on their income and chances of promotion but also be- cause it deflated their sense of dignity. 24. The CFDT local leaders were the first to respond to the protest movement. They immediately adopted the stri,'ce as their own and proceeded to as- sume leadership. The CFDT national leaders, however, were somewhat restrained in their support of the strike, primarily because the mood of the workers was not revolutionary. 25. The CGT adopted an even more cautious ap- proach t-?) the situation. The union had signed a col- lective agreement with Renault the preceding February that had covered wage increases for 1971. Lending wholehearted . support to the strike would have obviously placed the CGT in the position of being irresponsible in failing to live up to a contract. Moreover, the CGT did not want to risk undermining the basic strategy of the French Communist Party, which advocates gaining power through the polls rather than revolution. Given this situation, the CGT, to which 70 percent of the Renault employees belonged, sought desperately to end the strike the day after it began. Despite strong op- position from the CFDT, the CGT arranged for the workers to hold a secret vote on whether to continue the strike. Fifty-five percent abstained, but. of those voting, 53 percent favored the strike. Th,a CGT was forced to go along with the protes`:, but it was careful to dis- courage the impression that it was fomenting unrest. CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2005/08/22 : CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100100132-9 Approved For Release 2005/08/22 : CIA-RDP85T00875R001100100132-9 CONFIDENTIAL 26. The Workers' For-.e was not represented at the Le Mans plant, and it did not become involved in the strike until it had spread to the other Re- nault plants. Its representatives then contributed decisively to bringing the strike to an end by urging the workers to be cool and wary of the promises of the CFDT. 27. Thi.ughout the strike, the government's "hands-off" policy forced the unions to accept man- agement as its bargaining partner and frustrated any attempts by labor leaders to politicize the protery, The Director General of Renault responded to the unexpected strike with firmness but restraint. Using a technique French management often employs when dealing with wildcat strikes in large establish- ments, he laid off nonstriking employees shortly after the,strike began on the grounds that components necessary to operations were in short supply. Manage- ment's bargaining position in the strike was strong because Renault pays semiskilled- workers higher . wages than some French industries pay to specialized craftsmen and skilled workers. Also important was the fact that working conditions at Renault are among the best in the country. 28. The compromise settlement which ended the strike fell far short of the workers' demands. Al- though the agreement opened the door to the revi- sion of the pay system for semiskilled workers throughout the metal industry, this concession did not take effect at once. Nor did the agreement provide for an immediate wage increase. But the workers were in no mood for a fight to the finish, and they approved the terms of the agreement by a 4-to-1 majority on 24 May. The Renault strike revealed many features of the current French labor scene: 1). The propensity of the CFDT to seize every opportunity to challenge the economic system and the government; 2). The commitment of the French Com- munist Party and the CGT to pursue a strategy of re- spectability; 3). The current low level of militancy among French workers, which suggests that the May crisis has left little inclination to repeat the CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2005/08/22 : CIA-RDP85T00875R001100100132-9 Approved For Release 2005/08/22 : CIA-RDP85T00875R001100100132-9 CONFIDENTIAL experience soon; 4). The government's endorsement of the full responsibility for nationalized enter- prises in handling labor disputes, which implies also that the management of any such enterprise assumes full responsibility; 5). The intense competition at the grass-roots level between the CGT and the CFDT, despite their national campaigns calling for joint protest demonstrations when the government fails to meet worker demands. Prospects for Labor Unity 29. French trade unions have long sought unity of action as a tool to increase labor benefits. Few union leaders want organizational unity, with all the labor organizations losing their separate identities and political orientations. The CGT and the CFDT have twice attempted to agree on a common platform to strengthen their-leverage in bargaining with man- agement and the government, but basic ideological and tactical differences prevent them from cooperating on any other than an ad hoc basis. Neither their January 1966 agreement to collaborate at the na-' -.tional:level on economic issues nor::.their accord of December 1970 to work jointly for labor benefits has had a significant effect upon the la',or sector. 30. Re.ations between the two unions, always tenuous, deteriorated sharply during the May crisis. The independent, militant stance of the CFDT and its close alliance with the revolutionary student move- ment precluded any chance of serious collaboration with the CGT. The latter, like the government, was committed to ending the wave of spontaneous strikes, and, unlike the CFDT, was careful not to advocate the overthrow of the Gaullist regime. 31. The two unions differ not only on tactics but also on goals. The CGT seeks higher wages for every stratum of French labor, while the CFDT places all its emphasis on war" hikes and benefits for the lowest-paid workers. i"reover, the CGT thinks of itself as the tradition :?1 spoke:;man for French labor and is therefore reluctant to relinquish its dominant position by aligning with the smaller, newer and more militant CFDT. -13- CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2005/08/22 : CIA-RDP85T00875R001100100132-9 Approved For Release 2005/QNp 8pIfQp,75ROO1100100132-9 32. Nevertheless, the two unions recognize that when they have acted in concert, the result has almost always been a gain.f'or the workers. The _:ombined forces of the two organizations represent roughly 65 percent of France's organised labor. The CGT realizes that it cannot neglect the young workers who are attracted by the militant leadership of the CFDT. Nor can the smaller union ignore the preponderant influence of the Communist group, to which all of the other labor organizations must turn when they want to disrupt electrical power, stop the operation of trains, or organize a march of several hundred thousand workers. The two unions will therefore continue to explore the possibilities of cooperating at the national level, even as they intensify their competition at. local levels. 33. The CFDT and the Workers' Force have ex- plored the possibility of cooperative action for a number of years. Leaders of the two organizations met at the beginning of :1970 and agreed to cooperate in the future when possible. But, aside from occa- sional joint campaigns, there has been little tangible evidence of unity since. Even though the Workers' Force continues to view close cooperation with the CFDT as an effective counterweight to the CGT, tradi- tional ideological differences between the two smaller unions persist and preve.; serious coordination. The CFDT, for example, still feels that the Workers' Force represents the elite element of society-government workers rather than the working class. The Workers' Force, which is just as anticlerical as it is anti- Communist, has never been convinced that the CFDT has cut its religious ties. 34. The Workers' Force resents moves of the CFDT to unite with the CGT. Since its'break with the CGT in 1947, the leaders of the Workers' Force have strongly opposed cooperation with the Coimnu- nist.s because they :fear that any joint action would be dominated by the French Communist Party. 35. Other French labor unions have shown lit- tle interest in unity-of-action campaigns. CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2005/08/22 : CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100100132-9 Approved For Release 2 09/a$12Y)AWW t00875ROO1100100132-9 Outlook 36. The Pompidou regime has been relatively successful in dealing with the day-to-day problems that have developed in the labor sector over the last two years. The rising standard of living and, the implementation of major labor legislation have contributed greatly to labor peace. Although in- flation and unemployment trouble workers, the franc is fairly strong, and measures are being taken to stabilize the economy. The government is also working earnestly to provide more jobs and train- ing skills for workers. With the exception of the 26-day wildcat strike at Renault last April, the present administration has succeeded in averting major labor crises. In the last two years there has been only some minor labor unrest among metro workers, farmers, small shopkeepers, truck drivers, miners, civil servants, airline pilots, and police- men. 37. In the coming months, labor peace will probably be threatened by an occasional demonstra- tion or strike. Workers and union leaders will step up their campaign for labor reforms by reopen- ing old issues and searching for new ones. But as long as labor receives significant concessions from the government and feels its position is sympatheti- cally reviewed, it will not join alienated French students in protest to set off another explosion. The most probable union goals will be salary in- creases commensurate with rising prices and a lower- ing of the retirement age from 65 to 60 years. These issues are popular with many workers in both the public and private sectors. In September the French national police threatened to occupy the of- fices of the prime minister and the finance minister and to organize a march on the Elysee if their de- mands for pay increases and better working condi- tions were not met. But police union representa-?.-- tives have ?recently.acceded..tb:.Interior:.Minister Marcellin's request that no action be taken until the outcome of budget discussions now in progress is known. -15- CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2005/08/22 : CIA-RDP85T00875RO01100100132-9 Approved For Release 2005/0@0N(1HMUP-rM77,5R001100100132-9 38. The desire of most workers to push hard for pay increases may also be t,emperod by their fears that the domestic economy has already been seriously affected by the international monetary uncertainty. At any rate, Chaban-Delmas,and his assistants will continue to give top priority to improving the social climate through better labor-management relations. They must exercise considerable tactical skill to allow the pot to bubble without boiling over. -16- CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2005/08/22 : CIA-RDP85T00875R001100100132-9