WEEKLY REVIEW

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP85T00875R001000060007-4
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 22
• Document Creation Date: December 22, 2016
• Document Release Date: April 28, 2009
• Sequence Number: 7
• Publication Date: May 31, 1974
• Content Type: REPORT

Approved For Release :1
2009/04/28
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CIA-RDP85TOO875RO01 00006
Approved For Release
2009/04/28: ~
CIA-RDP85T00875R00100006
I eview IbAr
r-r)mpleted.
 Approved For Release 2009/04/28: CIA-RDP85T00875RO01000060007-4
T" Secr t 25X1
Weekly Review
State Dept. review completed.
Up Secret
31 Mdy 1914
copy Ng 636
25X1
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 Approved For Release 2009/04/28: CIA-RDP85T00875R001000060007-4
I The Middle Each Disengagement
CONTENtS (Afav 31. 1974)
The WEEkL.,( AE?/tEW; k wed a'dbry Fritt9r rt iarnIti by the
Ciffice of Curtent I~fteiligpiire, rr#p brt? add Arialyzes sfgnitttant
tteUpfrij3ritertti of ttid -a~~fefita titrougtt nbari d h rhursdhy
it
MiDDLE EAST
AFRICA
.
firs-ciunntly lrtcludrti mat~rtal tt dedtriated With at prioSeen by
25X6
tttt"?. Off'rco of 4-rt#rtttnic Research, the Ciffico of
}r tegic
4
Iran-Egypt: Manna from the Shah
,
t e3e.aicli' and the hirect'oratd_ ( Sciehceq and T'et P . boy,
5
Greece-Turkey: Troubled Waters
Triptzs regiiirhng rttore corrtpreher ye tmatmertt arttf tt~ fore
6
Portuguese Africa: Seeking a Ceese-fire
rubtistied =r!parately as 6peciatl t arts aro 11 "040 hi the
25X6
CSCE: Fading Prospects
25X1
13
USSR-China: Threatening the Stick
14 Cambodia: Homeward Cound 25X1
15
thailand: political turmoil
16
South Vietnam: More Fighting
17
Laos:.\hothet Cothmunist initiative
18
Cdhton rair Gets Poor Marks
WESTERN
HEMISPHERE
19
Chile: Foreign Policy problems
20
CUba's Experiment In democracy
21
Argahtiha: Ahtl-Guerrilla Cltteitiive
Canin4.nt! and' duerlt+k OH he Cb$tantf of thle
pubtleitlen are wetrdtne, they MAY bb directed to
tna adlter n1 1ha WttaRl tieriaw
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Tel Aviv might he able to sow/ further dissension
hetvmgtl thy' Lehatlese anrn thei
falesfirlians.
Ired set tip a joint investment bank in Cairo
with initial capital of $20 million;
> as part of the quid pro quo, Iran will get
it rrmmercial outlet, including port facilities,
osi Egypt's Mediterranean coast.
Srime aapert.c of the recent agreement may
well be watered down during the detailed dis-
cussions 'to be held between June and September.
Nevertheless, the stage has bez-o set for closer
economic relations, which could benefit both
countries.
Pk hlletti Shoot
Pleated 4s punch. too
Although now in 6 better financial position
than in more than a decade, Cairo could use
additional aid to revamp its basic services and to
participate in joint ventures. Conceivably, Presi-
dent Sadat could also use the Iranian credits to
spur Saudi Arabia Into hiving more aid. For his
part, the Shah is lookin4 for markets for Iran's
expanding output, which---other than oil -cannot
yet compete with product. of industrial countries.
The agreement with Cairo is a major step in
the Shah's plan to establish Iran as a leading
power in the region. In the short run, the accord
should pay off in political i:redits with Sadat, who
in the past has beer critical of Iran's dealing; with
Israel. It has become evide+ht since the end of the
October war that Tehran':t policy is to develop
better relations with the ttiodetate Arab states.
Toward this end, the Shah has More openly sup-
ported UN Resolution 242, which requires Israel
to withdraw to pre- 1967 boundaries. Moreover,
ties between Tehran
and Tel Aviv have been handled with even more
circumspection than usual.
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GfEECt -TURKEY: tfMILtb WAT01
Ankara, impatient over Athen's hesitation to
commit the Aegean Sea dispute to negotatian,
sent a ship this week to survey for oil in the
eastern part of the sea. This move, which is re-
garded by Athens as "very serious," has substan-
tially increased the risk of a military incident. A
Turkish official has told US officials that the ship,
which was escorted to the eastern Aegean by
warships, will explore for oil in "disputed
waters." The Turkish move puts pressure an
Athens to back up its statements that it will
defend Its "rights" in the Aegean with force if
necessary.
t ) ~urdrrrr 1
l r~ A-` t"`
r r
IONIAN
,fir j,' r1
llir11,J. f~ ' l~~
-Sks .1
' I,LAt'R ,^.F 1
h t~ ~7 /%~y NO
b
ft3 t i t~r~
_
Prior to the Turkish
move this week, there were
signs that both sides antici-
pated early talks. P, Greek
diplomatic note last week
seemed to offer some basis
for discussions, and Ankara
had announced that the
respective foreign ministers
would meet for talks at the
NATO ministers' meeting
in Ottawa on June 18-19.
the Law of the Sea Con-
ference starting in Caracas a
few (.lays later could pro-
vide another opportunity
for direct contact.
The dispute, fueled by
a promising oil discovery
several months ago near the
Greek Island of Thasos,
concerns r)ifferern s over
the contine,ital shelf
boundary. The Greeks hold
that a median lire should
be negotiated between the
Greek islands in the eastern
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The LIS consul in Thessaloniki reported la'e
this week that forces in northern Graece had b0 h
alerted and fighter aircraft moved to the area. He
also observed one Greek amphibious ship loadiiig
at Thessaloniki. The Greek government calle an
emergency cabinet meeting on May 30 to denirle
how to deal with the Turkish action. 25X1
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Aegean and the Turkish mainland. The Turks
ant to divide the Aegean seabed equidistant
b'et'ween the respective., mainlands. Under the
T+urk'ih version, the Greek islands off Turkey's
coastline v/ould b~ assioned a ;ir mile territorial
Pt ttrguese Africa
SEEKING A CE4SE-FIAT`
General Spino~,a's provisional government
and the rebels In Portuguese Guinea began f+if'mal
talky in London last 'Nee/erlrj as part of Lisbon's
priority effort to Arrank' early cease-fires in all
three of its Iong4roubled African dependencies.
After a week of discussions, the quick agreement
sought by Lisbon had not yet been reached.
The London t'all's have dragged on beyond
their originally scheduled deadline of May 27, as
the rebels adopted a tougher bargaining stance
than the Portuguese anti-ipated, Spoke men for
the two sides have chi; .icterized the talks as
"friendly," but have refused to comment on the
substantive. matters being discussed. Portuglue,r
Foreign Minister Soarer flew to Lisbon on May 28
for consultations; he returned to the talks on May
30.
On the basis of corlversations with Soares,
British officials speculated on May 29 that the
talks had boggerf dowri over rebel demands for an
immediate regrouping of Portuguese troops and
for discussion of the future of the Cape Verde
Islands. The rebels apparently are also insisting
that Lisbon recognize the "government" the
rebels proclaimed last year and the "right" to
independence of Angola and Mozambique, Lisbon
is trying to confine the present discussions to
arrangements for a cease-fire in Portuguese
Guinea, Soarer told the US ambassador in Lisbon
this week that Portugal remains hopeful of
achieving an early cease-fire "in place" in Portu-
guese Guinea arid of separating the rither issues
from the current talks.
According to the US Interests Section in
Asg'ers, the rebel delega 'ion has received en-
couragement from the Algerians to stand fast in
its demands, even if the talks have to be broken
off temporarily. Prior tc arriving in London, the
delega#ion conferred in Algeria with President
Boumediene. f=ry+-elfin Minister Bouteflika, and the
Algerian ambassador to the rebel regime. The
rebel group flew to Britain in Boumediene'c
private plane.
So far, Lisbon has been unable to draw the
ins lrgent; in Mozambique and Angola to the
negotiati-lg table. The rebels in Mozambique a'
in a strong military position and probably prefer
to see what concessions the Portuguese are willing
to grant in the current talks. The Angolan
rebels split into three competing organizations,
all militarily weak-are being pushed by Zaire,
Zambia, and Tanzania to establish a united front
that will be able to bring concentrated military
and political pressure to bear on Lisbon. Repre-
sentatives of the three groups met in Lusaka on
May 26 and agreed to "work together." A
meaningful reconciliation probably remains
distant, however, given the mutual suspicions and
past hostilities among the groups.
MeanwhilQ, the Portuguese military com-
mander in Angola banned street demonstrations
following a rally on May 26 by several hundred
supporters of the Ceetano government. That
gathering was held in response to a political rally
the sarr ee day by some 5,000 Africans supporting
the Popular r?Aovernent for the Liberation of
Angola, one of the three insurgent organizations.
Although the African rally was peaceful and
included an address by the inierterritorial min-
ister, the pro-Caetano demonstration was un-
organized and unruly and, according to the US
consul, could easily have gotten out of hand. The
ban was motivated by a desire to avoid a serious
racial clash in the future. So far, racial tensions in
Angola have remained in a low key
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I I
FRANCE, G18CARD BEGINS NEW ERA
President Giscard's cabinet is the most
broadly based government to rule France if; al-
most two decades. The cr mpositiorl of the 16-
member cabinet indicates that Giscard intends to
exercise fifth control over his government and to
he responsive to France's desir:-N for change,
The leaders of Gisr_ard'- uwn Independent
Republican Party will be key figures in the new
cabinet. Party rresirlent Michel d'Ijrnano rrll
head the Industry Ministry, while Gisr:ard's right-
hand man, Michel Pr hiatows!'i, will lead the In-
terior Ministry. Poni.ntnwski is thq, ,
ji.iy mernhei
with the title of minister of state, which nntitl g
him to stand in for the prim,, mirtister when he is
absent, Other Indejiendelit R[, ljilllll!; ifr15 lm;d' the
Economy and Finance Ministry and the agri-
culture portfolio.
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The Gaullists did not fare well. Although
they have five portfolios, including the premier-
ship, no significant lead-jr of the party is a mem-
ber of the government. Only Housing and Equip-
ment Minister Galley is a nationally prominent
Gaullist, while the three other Gaullist ministers
are party back-benchers. Premier Chirac's support
of Giscard during the campaign alienated the
more orthodbx Gaullist leaders, and he may have
trouble with them and their followers it the Na-
tional Assembly. Chirac will probably ba able to
muster a solid majority in the assembly, but the
Gaullist leadership has already made clear pub-
licly !)at it will not follow unquestioningly the
leadership of the 3iscasd team.
Members of various center groups hold four
p,-Os, with Jean t_ecanuet, whose early support
wo, critical to Giscard's victory, as justice minis-
irr. 'Discard awarded the Administrative Reform
portfolio to Jean-Jacques Servan-Schreiber, who
r!presents the extreme left of Giscard's sup-
porters and has been a sevare critic of Gaullist
administrations. The remaining three posts are
held by technical experts.
The new foreign minister, an Sauvagnar-
goes, is a career diplomat without political affili-
ation, He has been ambassador ?o Bonn since
1970, His appointment, coupled diith the close
relationship between Giscard and West German
Oancellor Schmidt, suggests that cooperation
with Bonn, especially in the EC, will receive high
priority under Giscard. Sau:;agnargues is an articu-
late, defender of 1= reneh into rests, and his Western
col!eayues often find him difficult to deal with,
In his first week in office, President GNcarr'
has cnntinu