CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP85T00875R000800020075-6
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: December 19, 2016
• Document Release Date: January 15, 2002
• Sequence Number: 75
• Publication Date: April 5, 1972
• Content Type: BULL

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DIRECTORATE OF
INTELLIGENCE
Central In tellien ce
State Dept. declassification & release instructions on file
P
78
N? 593
5 April 1.972
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Cin[!?t
The CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN is produced by the
Director of Central Intelligence to meet his responsibilities for providing
current intelligence bearing on issues of national security to the President,
the National Security Council, and other senior government officials. It
is produced in consultation with the Departments of State and Defense.
When, because of the time factor, adequate consultation with the depart-
ment of primary concern is not feasible, items or portions thereof are pro-
duced by CIA and enclosed in brackets.
Interpretations of intelligence information in this publication represent
immediate and preliminary views which are subject to modification in the
light of further information and more complete analysis.
Certain intelligence items in this publication may be designated specifically
for no further dissemination. Other intelligence items may be disseminated
further, but only on a need-to-know basis.
WARNING
This document contains information affecting the national
defense of the United States, within the meaning of Title
18, sections 793 and 794, of the US Code, as amended.
Its transmission or revelation of its contents to or re-
ceipt by an unauthorized person is prohibited by law.
GROUP 1
Excluded from automatic
downgrading and
declassification
Seurat
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No. 0082/72
5 April 1972
Central Intelligence Bulletin
SOUTH VIETNAM: Military action slows somewhat but
Communist pressure continues. (Page 1)
TURKEY: Assessment of political situation. (Page 2)
USSR: Increased use of container ship. (Page 3)
PAI:ISTAN: Bhutto's pact with regional leader break-
ing (Page 4)
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 SECRET
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~~. SOUTH VIETNAM: Military action appears to have
slowed down in South Vietnam's northernmost province,
but the Communists are keeping the pressure on gov-
ernment forces.
The North Vietnamese continue to shell the re-
maining South Vietnamese strongpoints at Dong Ha
and Quang Tri and nearby Fire Support Base Pedro.
South Vietnamese reinforcements are arriving and ef-
forts to maintain a defensive line are under way.
The seasoned reinforcements may have a stabilizing
influence on the South Vietnamese 3rd Division, the
newest of the government's divisions which has borne
the brunt of the fighting so far.
The loss of Fire Support Base Anne yesterday,
however, has opened a corridor that the North Viet-
namese may use to bypass Quang Tri city and to move
farther south toward Hue. The Communists are also
taking advantage of the continuing cloudy weather
to ship large quantities of supplies south on Route
1 through the DMZ.
Prisoners and a map taken from the body of a
North Vietnamese officer indicate that Communist
forces have been told that the primary goals of
the current campaign are to take both Quang Tri and
Hue cities , the Commu-
nists hope to cut off both Quang ri and Thua Thien
provinces from the south and "destroy" South Viet-
namese forces remaining there. (SECRET NO FOREIGN
DISSEM) },
5 Apr 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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TURKEY: Recent terrorism and the lack of any
progress on the government's reform program have
again made a direct military take-over a real possi-
bility.
President Sunay, fronting for the military-
dominated National Security Council, has publicly
called for the suspension of all partisan political
activity and demanded that the Erim government be
empowered to rule temporarily by executive decree.
Prime Minister Erim has indicated that he will re-
sign unless the political parties rally behind him
and accept what amounts to a new military ultimatum.
The initial reaction of the major political
parties has been equivocal. The dominant Justice
Party appears to be toying with the idea of seeking
a national referendum on the issue of government by
decree. The Republican People's Party is unable to
make any unified response because it is in a sham-
bles that may lead to a major split. There is no
word as yet on the reaction of the several minor
parties, but they too probably will be divided.
The US Embassy in Ankara views the prospect of
direct military intervention as greater now than at
any time since the crisis last fall. The embassy
notes, however, that the odds are still against such
action at this time. The pressures for a take-over
may pass if there is serious movement toward compro-
mise among the political forces within the next few
days. (SECRET)
5 Apr 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin
SECRET
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USSR: Moscow will initiate weekly sailings
next month with the addition of a specially designed
container ship on the Japan - Soviet Far East leg
of its land-sea route across the USSR to Europe.
Some 750 containers a month probably will move
on the system this year. The number W.ll increase
in 1973 when a new container terminal, being built
with Japanese aid, is completed in the Soviet Far
East. During the past year of limited service, less
that 200 containers per month were carried by the
system.
Rates up to 20 percent below that for all-sea
transport are designed to compensate for the current
several additional days it takes to move cargo by
this route. More rapid deliveries are likely to
follow with the addition of a second new container
ship to operate on the Leningr .d-Hamburg-Rotterdam
portion of the run, improved transloading efficiency,
and the possible use of all-container express trains
across the trans-Siberian railroad. (CONFIDE:,TIAL)
5 Apr 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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NOTE
PAKISTAN: There are growing indications that
the agreement reached on 6 March between President
Bhutto and Wali Khan, whose party is the strongest
in the two provinces along the western frontier, is
breaking down. Wali has announced that his party
will not support the extension of martial law--a
key provision of the agreement in Bhutto's view--
and accused the president of leading the country to
civil war. Wali has not yet given a clear indica-
tion of how far he intends to go in oppos:,.ng Bhutto,
but his followers could cause considerable civil
disorder, especially in the frontier provinces.
(CONFIDENTIAL)
5 Apr 72 Central Intelligence Bulletin
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