CHINA: PROVINCIAL DEVELOPMENTS

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP85T00287R000401460001-8
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RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
C
Document Page Count: 
6
Document Creation Date: 
December 22, 2016
Document Release Date: 
June 11, 2010
Sequence Number: 
1
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
September 14, 1983
Content Type: 
MEMO
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PDF icon CIA-RDP85T00287R000401460001-8.pdf341.19 KB
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Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/11: CIA-RDP85T00287R000401460001-8 CONFIDENTIAL /7'10 Wwwwo- DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE 14 September 1983 China: Provincial Developments Summary Beijing carried out a reorganization of provincial government bodies last quarter, replacing older and leftist cadre with younger, reform-minded figures. Although the political inexperience of the new cadre may hamper their effectiveness, Beijing has strengthened its position for the party rectification drive set to begin this winter. The pressure to improve economic performance has sharpened provincial rivalries and interprovincial competition in foreign trade. In domestic trade Beijing is experimenting with a system of regional economic units to improve efficiency. Governmental Organizations Restructured The central government completed a thorough "overhaul of provincial government leadership during the last quarter in preparation for the Sixth National People's Congress (NPC), held in June. Twenty-six of 29 governors were replaced along with many vice governors (see appendix). In some provinces the entire leadership was changed; most of the changes took place in March and April. The government shakeup follows a similar but less sweeping reorganization of the party bureaucracies carried out last winter. Almost all of the new appointees fit the reformist ideal-- young, educated, with proven competence in economic or political This memorandum was prepared byl Ithe China Division of the Office of East Asian Analysis, Directorate of Intelligence. Questions and comments are welcome and may be directed to the Chief, Domestic Policy Bran ch 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 CAM 83-1017 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/11: CIA-RDP85T00287R000401460001-8 CONFIDENTIAL Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/11: CIA-RDP85T00287R000401460001-8 administration. Several have backgrounds in business or technical fields, not politics. Beijing also claims to have eliminated most "leftists," those with records of serious Cultural Revolution abuses or ties to the Gang of Four. Although Beijing has largely succeeded in putting its choices in place in the provincial governments, the new leaders may not be as successful in carrying out their reform mandate as Beijing hopes. Governmental bodies have essentially administrative responsibilities, and real power resides in the party bureaucracies. Beijing apparently had to compromise in its restructuring of the party organizations, which was less complete than the governmental reorganization. Moreover, we believe the new appointees lack the political experience and network of connections so important in China and will find their plans frustrated by obstructionism at lower levels and by the machinations of less reform-minded cadre--including older, supposedly retired cadre. Nonetheless, the leadership changes are one more demonstration that the reformists now have the upper hand. The overhaul also strengthens Beijing's position for the coming party rectification, set to begin this winter. Provincial Trade Competition Foreign Trade: Beijing is pressuring provinces to increase foreign trade and foreign investment. Even provinces such as Jiangxi, with little to attract foreign investors; have been told to improve their performance. Foreign investment conferences have been held in several provinces, including Hubei, an inland province with little involvement in foreign trade. Hubei, if successful, will serve as a model to other inland provinces. The stampede for foreign investment has led to competition between provinces. Fujian, for example, announced publicly that it will offer better terms to foreign businessmen than Guangdong, its more successful rival. Joint venture firms that expected to be able to market their products throughout China have found their access to markets restricted to the province where they are located, as other provinces have imposed trade barriers to protect their own industries. Several provinces have opened or plan to open offices outside China to lure investment--Guangdong and Fujian in Hong Kong and Tokyo; Zhejiang, Beijing, Liaoning in Hong Kong. Shanghai has an office in Hong Kong and plans to open others in not yet chosen cities. Shanghai and Manila recently signed an agreement to open liaison offices to further economic, technical and cultural cooperation. 2 CONFIDENTIAL Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/11: CIA-RDP85T00287R000401460001-8 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/11: CIA-RDP85T00287R000401460001-8 Shanghai is a special case in foreign trade, having long been China's major international trading hub. In recognition of its special status, Beijing in April granted Shanghai considerable autonomy in foreign trade. Its new freedom will empower Shanghai to borrow or use retained foreign exchange to import whatever it needs directly; to negotiate directly with foreign investors; to -strike its own export deals; and to handle foreign trade for neighboring localities. The central authorities intend Shanghai, rather than Hong Kong, to be the principal "open door" through which foreign trade and investment enter China. Domestic Trade: The central government is also taking measures to promote domestic trade and improve economic efficiency. The most important of these is the establishment of a system of "economic regions," integrated economic units that cut across province borders and are administered from the region's major city. The Shanghai delta region, including parts of Zhejiang and Jiangsu, is by far the most advanced and is to serve as a model for other coastal regions. A region centered on Chongqing, Sichuan, is apparently intended as a model for inland regions, but is much less developed. Other regions are planned around Guangzhou, Xian, Beijing-Tianjin, Shenyang, Fuzhou, and Wuhan. In other parts of China where the authorities have not designated economic regions they are encouraging interprovincial cooperation contracts. For instance, Gansu has signed agreements with Beijing, Nei Monggol, and Liaoning for various cooperative projects. Several provinces in the northwest have formed a consortium to market their products. The economic and political obstacles confronting the push for cooperation are considerable. Previous attempts to set up economic regions have met with failure. A poorly developed infrastructure, competition for scarce resources, and a lack of experience in managing complex economic organizations are some factors working against success. Shanghai, which is relatively advanced economically, will probably do well, and Guangzhou is promising. Other projected economic regions and cooperation pacts are likely to prove less successful. Population Problem: Beijing continues to push for reduction of the birth rate and continues to meet with limited success. Reports from several provinces tell of birth rates that remain well above targets. In some areas birth rates have even begun to go up slightly because of the agricultural responsibility system, which gives an economic incentive for having larger families to till more land or have more workers within a family engaged in sideline occupations. 3 CONFIDENTIAL Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/11: CIA-RDP85T00287R000401460001-8 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/11: CIA-RDP85T00287R000401460001-8 Superstition Lives: The Public Security Bureaus in several provinces in east China have issued notices forbidding a variety of traditional Chinese superstitious practices. Among the proscribed activities are witchcraft, exorcism (frequently used in healing rituals), fortunetelling, and geomancy. Cultural authorities in Shanghai have also protested the reappearance of superstitious elements in plays--many traditional plays have ghosts and demons in them. The party views the revival of superstition and traditional religion as a challenge to its authority and a harmful reminder of the feudal past. 4 CONFIDENTIAL Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/11: CIA-RDP85T00287R000401460001-8 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/11: CIA-RDP85T00287R000401460001-8 Appendix: The New Provincial Leadership Note: In the following table, names in parentheses indicate the previous holder of a position. The figure 1 after a name signifies a ranking secretary designated as "First Secretary"; this is the older formulation that was retained for those men who continued in the position after the reorganization. New appointees are simply called Secretary. This chart was prepared with the assistance of FBIS. PARTY HEAD PARTY SECRETARIES Anhui Huang Huang (ZPou Zi ian-1 ,eijing Duan Junyi-1 Fujian Xiang Nan-1 Gansu Li Ziqi-1 Fen Jixin) Guangdong Ren Zhongyi-1 iuangxi Yang Haibo Wang Yuzhao Jiao Ruoyu Chen Xitonq Hu Ping Ma Xingyuan Chen Guangyi Liu Bing Lin Ruo Li Li an Qiao Xiaoguang- Wie Chunshu -izhou Chi Biqing-1 Yang-1 ilongjiang Li Lian Chen Lei (Yang Yichen) Chen Junsheng Liu Jie-1 Liu Zhengwei Yu Mingtao Guars Guangfu Wang Quanguo (Chen Pixian) Huang Zhizhen Mao Zhiyong-1 Xiong Qingquan Jiao Linyi Ji angsu Han Peixin Shen Daren (Xu Jiatun-1) Gu Xiulian Jiangxi Bai Dongcai-1 Xu Qin Jilin 31 Aug 82 Zhao Zengyi (Jiang Weiging) Qiang Xiaochu-1 Zhou Guanqchun Zhu Houze Su Gana Zhang Shuguang Xing Chongzhi Zhang Gensheng Gao Di Liaoning Guo FFeng-1 Dai Suli Li Tieying 25X1 25X1 GOVERNOR/CHAIRMAN PEOPLE'S CONGRESS CHAIRMAN Yuan Zhen Wang Guangyu Shi Junjie Wang Yuzhao (thou Zijian) Yang Weiping (Gu Zhuoxin) Zhao Pe ei Chen Xitong (JiaD Ruoyu) Thao Pengfei (Jia Tingsan) Hu Hong Cheng Xu Ping Na Xingyuan) u g (Liao Zhigao) Jia Zhjie Chen Guangyi (Li Dengying) Li Dengyinq (Wang Shitai) Xie Fei Wu Nansheng Wang Ning Liang Lingguang (Liu Tianfu) Luo Tian (Li Jianzhen) Huang Yun Jin Baosheng Chen Huiguang Wei Chunshu (Qin Yingji) Huang Rong Wang Chaowen Wang Chaowen (Su Gang) Wu Shi (Xu Jiansheng) Gao Zhanxiang Xie Feng Zhang Shuquang (Liu Bingyan) U U ingyan (Jiang Yizhen) Hou Jie Chen Lei hao Dezun He Zhuxang Luo Gan He Zhukang (Dai Suli) Shen Yinluo Wang Qun Qian Yunlu Huang Zhizhen (Han Ningfu) Han Ningfu (Chen Pixian) Liu Zheng Liu Zheng (Sun Guozhi) Sun Guozhi (Wan Da) Sun Han Zhou Ze Gu Xiulian (Han Peixin) Chu Jiang (Xu Jiatun) Wang Shufeng Zhao Zenqyi (Bai to Sept, then Ma Jikong Zhao)(Yang Shangkai) Zhao Xiu Zhap N i Liu Jingzhi Zhao Xiu (Zhang Gensheng) Yu Ke (Li Youwen) Quan Shuren Sun Weiben Xu Shaofu Quan Shuren (Chen Puri) Zhang Zhengde (Huang Oudong) Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/11: CIA-RDP85T00287R000401460001-8 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/11: CIA-RDP85T00287R000401460001-8 Distribution for China: Provincial Developments Department of State 1 - Director, INR 1 - Director of Research, INR 1 - Chief, Northeast Asia Division Office of Analysis for East Asia and Pacific 1 - INR/EC/RE 1 - Director, Office of Chinese Affairs, Bureau of East Asia and Pacific Affairs 1 - Chief, Economic Section, Office of Chinese Affairs United States Information Agency Office of East Asia and Pacific Affairs Defense Intelligence Agency 1 - DIO for East Asia and.Pacific 1 - Chief, DE3 Central Intelligence Agency 1 - NIO/EA 1 - C/China Reports 1 - OCR/EA 1 - OCR/ISG 2 - C/OEA/CH 1 - C/OEA/CH/DOM 1 - C/OEA/CH/FOR 1 - C/OEA/CH/DEF 1 - C/OEA/CH/DEV 1 - D/OEAA 1 - D/NIC 5 - OCO/IMB/CB 1 - PDB 2 - D/DDI 1 - OEA/NA 1 - OEA/SE 1-- FBIS China 1 - C/PES/DDI 1 - FR 25X1 Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2010/06/11: CIA-RDP85T00287R000401460001-8