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CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9
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RIPPUB
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S
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161
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December 12, 2016
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August 16, 2001
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1
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LIST
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Approved Folease 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S0036q@000400070001-9 IAC-D-50/11 Priority National Intelligence Objectives in the Field of International Communism (18 Apr 1957) IAC-D-50/11. 1 Priority National Intelligence Objectives (4 June 1957) Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved Forlease 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S0036000400070001-9 IAG-D-50/ 10. 2 Priority National Intelligence Objectives (5 Aug 1957) Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved Faval elease 2001/'I R -RDP85S003 000400070001-9 IAC-D-50/7 IAC-D-50/8 IAC -D - 50 / 8 (Fir r t Revision) IAC-D-50/8 (First;Revision - F inal) IAC-D-50/9 IAC-D-50/9. 1 IAC-D-50/ 10 IAC -D -50/ 10. 1 Criteria for Determining Priority National Intelligence Objectives (16 Aug 1955) Priority National Scientific and Technical Intelligence Objectives (27 Dec 1955) Priority National Scientific and Technical Intelligence Objectives (21 Feb 1957) Priority National Scientific and Technical Intelligence Objectives (5 Mar 1957) Possible Amendment of NSCID 4, Affecting Also DCID 4/3 and DCID 4/5 (15 May 1956) Draft Revision of NSCID No. 4 (21 June 1956) Priority National Economic Intelligence Objectives (15 Aug 1956) Priority National Economic Intelligence Objectives (21 Aug 1956) Approved For Release 2001/12/0* LDP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved Fo elease 20013METI~-RDP85S003 000400070001-9 CONTENTS IAC-D-46 IAC-D-47 IAC-D-49 IAC-D- 50 IAC-D-50/ 1 IAC-D-50/2 IAC-D-50/3 IAC-D-50/4 IAC-D- 50 / 5 IAC-D-50/5. 1 IAC-D-50/6 Proposed National Intelligence Estimates (25 Mar 52) Central Electronic Intercept Analysis Group (14 Apr 52) Proposed National Intelligence Estimate on Probable Developments in French North Africa and Spanish Morocco (21 Apr 52) Critical National Intelligence Objectives with Respect to Communist China (19 May 52) Critical National Intelligence Objectives (5 June 52) Priority List of National Intelligence Objectives D.CID4/Z (Second Revision) (5 Aug 53) National Intelligence Objectives (30 Nov 54) National Intelligence Objectives (10 Jan 55) Review of Provisions for the Development and Coordination of Specific Information Requirements and Collection Tasks (20 Jan 55) Paper on Intelligence Requirements and Collection Tasks in Relation to Priority National Intelligence -- DCID 4/5 (11 June 1956) Release to Overseas Activities of DCID 4/3 "Comprehensive National Intelligence Objectives" and DCID 4/4 "Priority National Intelligence' Objectives" (29 Mar 55) Approved For Release 2001/12/,VW fDP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For Fease 2001/19~iqf-ZP85S003620400070001-9 IAC-D-50/ 11. 1 4 June 1957 I N T E L L I G E N C E A D V I S O R Y COMMITTEE Priority National Intelligence Objectives 1. In accord with the IAC action of 7 May 1957 (IAC-M-288) the-Board of National Estimates has reviewed the draft Priority National Intelligence Objectives in the Field of International Com- munism (IAC-D-50/11), The Board recommends that IAC-D-50/11 be approved subject to the deletion of the word particularly in objectives a, 2 and b, 2 under First Priority Objectives. 2. The Board has also reviewed IAC-D-50/8 (Priority National Scientific and Technical Intelligence Objectives.) as directed by the IAC (IAC-M-288) and finds no inconsistencies with DCID 4/6. At such time as the EIC and the Board have completed their review of the new draft Priority National Economic Intelligence Objectives (the revision of which had been planned by the EIC prior to this recent IAG action), the three lists will be submitted together for final review and approval by the IAC. Secretary Approved For Release 200' W MET RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For Rise 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R 400070001-9 IAC-D-50/11 18 April 1957 I N T E L L I G E N C E A D V I S O R Y C O M M I T T E E Priority National Intelligence Objectives in the Field of International Communism The attached memorandum and draft "Priority National Intelli- gence Objectives in the Field of International Communism," prepared by the Committee on International Communism, will be placed on the agenda of an early IAC meeting for appropriate action with respect to the Committee's recommendation. Secretary Approved For Release 2001/1NQ44~ft)P85S00362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For R%kvase 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362Fi0400070001-9 C IAC-D-50/ 11 0 18 April 1957 P Y MEMORANDUM To : Secretary, IAC From : Chairman, Committee on International Communism Subject : Priority National Intelligence Objectives in the Field of International Communism Reference : IAC-D-99/2, dated January 24, 1956; IAC-D-99/3, dated July 17, 1,956 Pursuant to the terms of reference for the Committee on International Communism (IAC-D-99/2) and in keeping with the intention indicated in the Committee's interim report (IAC-D-99/3, para. III. B. ), the Committee submits the attached list of "Priority National Intelligence Objectives in the Field of International Corn- munism." This list is based upon DCID 4/6 (approved by the IAC on 30 October 1956) and is designed to serve as a constitutional authori- zation for collection and production rather than as a detailed collection and production guide. The Committee recommends that the IAC review and approve the attached draft as the Priority National Intelligence Objectives in the Field of International Communism. The Committee is now considering the precise means to employ this priority list and will submit its proposals to the IAC in the near future. Attachment: List of Priority National Intelligence Objectives in the Field of International Communism April 8, 1957 Approved For Release 2001/1gilew P85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For Rase 2001/12? LTA-T~DP85S00362R 0400070001-9 C IAC-D-50/ 11 0 1.Q A.- .:l t oc17 P Y Priority National Intelligence Objectives in the Field of International Communism 1. Pursuant to National Security Council Directive No. 4, DCID 4/6 (approved by the IAC on October 30, 1956) established a list of priority national intelligence objectives as a guide for the coordination of intelligence collection and production in response to requirements relating to the formulation and execution of national security policy. 2. In order to establish a list of priority national intelligence objectives in the field of international Communism, the IAC Committee on International Communism has derived the following intelligence ob- jectives from DCID 4/6. The statement of these objectives will be revised when required by revision of DCID 4/6. 3. By definition, all items in this listing are deemed to be critical factors relating to international Communism requiring priority attention and effort. Distinction is made, however, between two levels of priority within the general priority category. 4. The relevant DCID 4/6 objective is quoted first, followed by an indented outline listing of the national intelligence requirements for collection and production of intelligence material. Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For ease 2001/12 C. P85S0036211600400070001-9 IAC-D-50/11 18 April 1957 1. First Priority Objectives* a. "Soviet over-all politico-military strategy, intentions, and plans, particularly with respect to initiating hostilities using Soviet or satellite armed forces." (DCID 4/6, I. a. ) 1. International Communist movement activities indicating Soviet intentions with regard to hostilities. 2. Soviet plans for the use of the international Communist movement -.in war or preparation for war. b. "Chinese Communist over-all politico-military strategy, in- tentions, and plans, particularly with respect to initiating hostilities using Chinese Communist armed forces." (DCID 4/6, I. b.) 1. International Communist movement and Chinese Communist Party activities indicating Chinese Communist intentions with regard to hostilities. 2. Chinese Communist plans for the use of the Asian Communist movement pavtieula-u in war or preparation for war. * First Priority Intelligence Objectives are those which will permit the US: (1) to anticipate, and counter those policies or actions of foreign states which would occasion gravest consequences to the US; and (2) to stimulate policies or actions of foreign states (or actions within them) which would occasion greatest benefit to the US. Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For Rase 2001/1?04 . m-AP85SO0362R&0400070001-9 IAC-D-50/ 11 , 18 April 1957 c. "Present and probable future Soviet capabilities for nuclear attack on the United States or key U. S. overseas installations and for defense against air (including missiles) attack." (DCID 4/6, I. c. ) 1. Communist Party and international Communist movement capabilities and plans to facilitate Soviet nuclear attack on the United States or key US overseas installations through sabotage. d. "Soviet capabilities, plans, and intentions for the clandestine delivery of nuclear, biological, or chemical weapons against the US or key US overseas installations." (DCID 4/6, I. d. ) 1. International Communist movement activities indi- cating Soviet plans and intentions for the clandestine delivery of nuclear, biological or chemical weapons against the US or key US overseas installations. 2. Soviet plans to use. the international Communist movement in the clandestine delivery of unconven- tional weapons against the US or key US overseas installations. Approved For Release 2001/11I44kl P85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For FJase 2001/10 ~CIIA-RTP85S00362W0400070001-9 IAC-D-50/ 11 18 April 1957 II. Second Priority Objectives' a. "Major Soviet international political objectives and courses of action, including economic policies and actions, with particular refer- ence to courses designed to orient non-Bloc countries toward the Soviet Bloc, to weaken and disrupt US and US-supported alliances, or to foment antagonism among the Western powers and between these powers and the rest of the free world." (DCID 4/6, II. b. ) 1. International Communist movement activities, es- pecially clandestine, including changes in "line" or organization, and shifts in emphasis among target groups which might reveal Soviet objectives and policies with regard to: (a) Attracting non-Bloc countries; (b) Weakening and disrupting US and US-supported alliances; (c) Fomenting antagonism among the Western powers; (d) Promoting antagonism between the Western powers and the rest of the world. * Second Priority Intelligence Objectives are those which will permit the US: (1) to anticipate and counter those policies or actions of foreign states which would have serious consequences for the US; and (2) to stimulate policies or actions of foreign states (or actions within them) which could occasion great benefit to the US. Approved For Release 2001 /'1 ftfi -*DP85S00362R000400070001-9 JLI -1 Approved For Rase 2001/1 V8M- P85SO0362RQ'0400070001-9 IAC-D-50/11 18 April 1957 b. "Soviet (including Satellite) political strengths and weaknesses; the actual locus of power in the USSR; actual or potential personal or policy conflicts within the ruling groups; Soviet-Satellite relations with particular reference to the character and degree of Soviet control; the strengths and weaknesses of the Soviet and Satellite apparatus of police control; the extent of actual disaffection and of potential resistance in the Soviet and Satellite populations." (DCID 4/6, II. c. ) 1. Conflicts within the Satellite Communist parties. 2. Friction between the Soviet Communist Party and those of the Satellites. 3. Soviet control of the Satellite Communist parties. 4. Influence and control of the local Communist party within each Satellite. 5. Effect of Soviet Bloc friction on the international Communist movement. . C. "Major Chinese Communist international political objectives and courses of action, with particular reference to courses designed to foment antagonism between the Western and Asian powers and to extend the area of Communist influence and control in Asia. (DCID 4/6, II. h. ) 1. International Communist movement and Chinese Communist Party activities indicating Chinese Communist: (a) International policies; (b) Efforts to divide the Western and Asian powers; Approved For Release 2001/11/ 4e It IPP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For Lease 2001/MC&-RDP85S003621000400070001-9 IAC-D-50/11 18 April 1957 (c) Plans to extend Communism in Asia; (d) Party relations with the overseas Chinese. d. "Sino-Soviet relations, with particular reference to the degree of Soviet influence or control, the extent of Chinese Communist freedom of action, actual or potential strains on the relationship, and the process of arriving at and coordinating joint policies." (DCID 4/6, II. j. ) 1. Relations between the Chinese Communist Party and that of the USSR. 2. Relations of the Chinese Communist Party with Yugoslavia and Satellite parties. 3. Effects of Sino-Soviet relations on the international Communist movement. e. "The internal political strengths and weaknesses of the Chinese Communist regime; actual or potential personal or policy conflicts within the ruling group; the strengths and weaknesses of the Chinese Communist apparatus of police control; the extent of actual disaffection and of potential resistance in the population of mainland China. " (DCID 4/6, II. i. ) 1. Strength, aims, organizations, finances, internal condition, appeal, orientation and vitality of the Chinese Communist Party. 2. Personal or policy conflicts within the Chinese Communist Party. 3. Chinese Communist capabilities to support and influence the international Communist movement. Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For lease 20049 9rRDP85S00362W00400070001-9 IAC-D-50/11 18 April 1957 f. "Sino-Soviet Bloc efforts and capabilities to direct espionage against the US from abroad, against US interests in foreign areas, and against non-Bloc countries." (DCID 4/6, I1.x. ) 1. Communist party and international Communist movement espionage and sabotage activities, organization, capabilities, plans, techniques, and targets. 2. Communist espionage, infiltration and sabotage against the US from abroad, against US interests in foreign areas and against non-Bloc governments, armed forces and military installations. g. "The stability and policies of the Middle East Arab states, Iran and Israel, with particular reference to oil concessions and in- stallations, other commitments to the West and the Suez situations; the possibility of Arab-Israeli hostilities; and vulnerabilities to Com- munist propaganda and subversion, and Bloc political and economic inducements." (DCID 4/6, II. q.) 1, Strength, aims, organization, finances, internal condition, appeal, orientation and vitality of the Communist movement in the Middle East Arab states, * Iran and Israel. Egypt, Jordan, Iraq, Lebanon, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Yemen, and the principalities and colonial or semicolonial areas on the Arabian Peninsula littoral. " Approved For Release 2001/g/Q4?.,~t, DP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved ForQOease 2001/T2T0 : CIA-IDP85S0036 00400070001-9 IAC-D-50/ 11 18 April 1957 2. Plans, policies and capabilities of the Communist movement to infiltrate, influence, control, or undermine the governments and ruling groups of these state condition, appeal, orientation and vitality of the Communist movement in Japan. 2. Plans, policies and capabilities of the Japanese Communist movement to influence Japanese policy toward Communist China, the USSR, India, Southeast Asia and Japanese rearmament. i. "The stability and orientation of India, with particular reference to its position in the global balance of power, its relations with Communist China and the USSR, its attitude toward developments in Southeast Asia, and the progress of economic development." (DCID 4/6, II. p. ) 1. Strength, aims, organization, finances, internal condition, appeal, orientation and vitality of the Indian Communist movement. Approved For Release 2001/9/,p ,; fil,e-;~DP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved ForQoease 2001/'T2T0V C9-TDP85S00362W00400070001-9 IAC -D -50/ 11 18 April 1957 2. Plans, policies and capabilities of the Indian Communist movement to influence India's policies and especially Indian relations with Communist China and the USSR, and its attitude toward develop- ments in Southeast Asia. j. "West German attitudes and policies toward the reunification problem and Soviet proposals with respect thereto; rearmament and the NATO alliance; tendencies toward the revival of ultranationalism and militarism." (D'CID 4/6, 11. t. ) 1. West German Communist Party, plans, policies and capabilities to influence West German policy on German reunification, rearmament and NATO, in- cluding efforts to stimulate West German nationalism and neutralism. 2. International Communist policy and activity regarding proposals for German reunification, rearmament and relations with NATO, especially as these activities may indicate Soviet intentions. k. "The military, political, and economic strengths and weak- nesses of the North Korean regime, its political- and military objectives and intentions, Chinese Communist military and political intentions with respect thereto, and the relative degree of Soviet and Chinese Communist influence, control, and economic activity in North Korea." (DCID 4/6, II. m.) Approved For Release 2001/ff fiDP85S00362R000400070001-9 yEll Approved For lase 2001/1~fCgf-RDP85S00362qW0400070001-9 IAC-D-50/ 11 18 April 1957 1. Strength, aims, organization, finances, internal condition, appeal, orientation and vitality of the North Korean Communist Party. 2. Chinese Communist Party relations with the North Korean Communist Party and its policies toward North Korea. 3. Soviet Communist Party relations with the North Korean Communist Party and its policies toward North Korea. 4. The relative influence of the Soviet and Chinese Communist Parties in North Korea. 5. North Korean Communist plans and capabilities for clandestine activity in South Korea and Japan, including infiltration of their military establishments. 1. "The political and economic strengths and weaknesses and the general military capabilities, of the Viet Minh regime, the nature of its relationships with the USSR and with Communist China, its political and military objectives and intentions, and its capabilities and intentions for clandestine and subversive activity in South Vietnam, Laos, and Cambodia." (DCID 4/6, II. n. ) 1. Strength, aims, organization, finances, internal condition, appeal, orientation and vitality of the Viet Minh Communist Party. 2. Relations between the Viet Minh Communist Party and the Soviet and Chinese Communist parties and with the international Communist movement. Approved For Release 20019 (Q$ Cl DP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For tease 2001/122//04 : CCIIA{-ROP85SO03621W0400070001-9 IAC-D-50/ 11 18 April 1957 3. Viet Minh Communist plans and capabilities for clandestine activity in South Vietnam, Laos and Cambodia, including infiltration of their military establishments. rn. "The stability of US base rights overseas; factors affecting the security of US military bases and installations in foreign areas. " (DCID 4/6, II. v.) 1. International Communist movement actions and policies affecting US base rights abroad; especially Communist capabilities and efforts to influence public and official opinion adversely to US possession of base rights; Communist capabilities, plans and efforts to penetrate and sabotage US military bases. n. "Franco-German relations; France's will and ability to fulfill its NATO commitments; French policy toward North Africa particularly with respect to nationalist unrest in the area and Communist connections therewith." (DCID 4/6, II. s. ) 1. French Communist will and ability to obstruct fulfillment of French NATO commitments. 2. Communist relations with North African nationalist unrest and capabilities for affecting it. 3. French Communist aims and influence regarding French policy toward North Africa. Approved For Release 2001 / 1 , DP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For F ase 2001/1 K-'P85S00362R&0400070001-9 IAC-D-50/ 11 18 April 1957 o. "The strength, composition, interrelationships, capabilities (political, subversive and clandestine), vulnerabilities and tactics of Communist parties and groups outside the Soviet Bloc and of interna- tional Communist front organizations, particularly the international role- of the Yugoslav Communist party and the political and paramilitary capabilities and vulnerabilities of the Communist parties in France and Italy." (DCID 4/6, II. w. ) 1. Strength, aims, organization, composition, internal condition, interrelationship, appeal, propaganda, and political, subversive and clandestine capabilities, vulnerabilities and tactics of non-Bloc Communist parties and groups everywhere and international Communist front organizations. 2. Yugoslav Communist Party relations with the interna- tional Communist movement, the Socialist parties and the Socialist International, its role in the evolution of Communist ideology. 3. Channels of communication used by the international Communist movement and among Communist parties, including that of the USSR; Communist finances; machinery and techniques for policy and action coor- dination; plans, intentions, ideological developments and evolution; relations with the Socialists, extremist parties and with trade union organizations. Approved For Release 2001/?g5 i4fDP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For ease 200 1/1!I 4c --DP85S003621W0400070001-9 IAC-D-50/10.2 5 August 1957 INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE Priority National Intelligence Objectives 1. Attached is a draft statement of Priority National Economic Intelligence Objectives, as approved by the Economic Intelligence Committee, which is designed to supersede the previous statement of such objectives approved by the IAC on 21 August 1956 (IAC-D-50/10, as revised in IAC-D-50/10. 1). Pursuant to the direction of the IAC (IAC-M-288, item 6) the Board "of National Estimates has reviewed these draft objectives from the standpoint of their consistency with the over-all Priority National Intelligence Objectives (DCID 4/6) and finds no inconsistencies. 2. As reported earlier (IAC-D-50/11. 2, 4 June), the Board, on the basis of a similar review of the draft Priority National Intelli- gence Objectives in the Field of International Communism (IAC-D-50/11) and the Priority National Scientific and Technical Objectives (IAC-D,50/8), recommended striking the word "particularly" from paragraphs 1, a, 2 and I, b, 2 of the 19 April 1957 draft of IAC-D-50/11. In other respects, the Board found no inconsistencies between those two statements of objectives and DCID 4/6. 3. These three sets of objectives will therefore be submitteel together for final IAC review and approval at an early IAC meeting. Secretary Approved For Release 2001 /ygtj f ffDP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For01ease 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S003600400070001-9 IAC-D-50/10.2* 30 July 1957 PRIORITY NATIONAL ECONOMIC INTELLIGENCE OBJECTIVES 1. Director of Central Intelligence Directive No. 1/6 (DCID 4/6), dated 30 October 1956, lists the priority national intelligence objectives established pursuant to National Security Council Intelligence Directive No. 4, as a guide for the coordination of intelligence collection and production. DCID 4/6 covers military, political, scientific, technolog- ical, and economic intelligence objectives on the Sino-Soviet Bloc and the Free World. 2. All economic intelligence objectives listed below are related to DCID 1i/6 and as defined in that directive are deemed to be essential elements of priority national intelligence objectives. In conformity to the directive, distinction is made among three levels of priority within the general priority category. Order of listing within these three categories is a matter of convenience in presentation and has no signif- icance with respect to the relative priority of specific items within the category. This supersedes the previous statement of Priority National Economic Intelligence Objectives, approved by the IAC on 21 August 1956 (IAC-D-50/l0 and the minor revision thereof in IAC-D-50/10.1). Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For lease 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S0036 00400070001-9 IAC-D-50/10.2 30 July 1957 3. Foreign. activities covered in the priority national economic intelligence objectives will be subject to continuing surveillance with- in the framework of responsibility laid down in DCID 15/1. It is not intended that the following list of objectives shall be a definitive or limiting statement of responsibilities, but rather that these objectives shall provide guidance for programming of economic intelligence collection and production. I. FIRST PRIORITY OBJECTIVES a. "Soviet over-all ... intentions ... particularly with respect to initiating hostilities ...." Under this priority national intelligence objective, emphasis will be placed on the recognition and analysis of economic indications of Soviet preparations for initiating hostilities. b. "Present and probable future Soviet capabilities for nuclear attack on the United States or key US overseas installations and for "First Priority Intelligence Objectives are those which will permit the US: (1) to anticipate and counter those policies or actions of foreign states which would occasion gravest consequences to the UJS; and (2) to stimulate policies or actions of foreign states (or actions within them) which could occasion greatest benefit to the US." (Quoted material is taken directly from DCID 4/6.) Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved Forlease 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S0036100400070001-9 IAC-D-5010.2 30 July 1957 defense against air (including missiles) attack." Under this priority national intelligence objective, emphasis will be placed on analysis of all economic factors relating to Soviet production and production capabilities in the following fields: 1. Nuclear weapons; 2. Guided missiles and guided missile weapons systems; 3. Aircraft and related delivery systems; 4. Air defense systems; and 5. Long-range submarines. II. SECOND PRIORITY OBJECTIVES a. "The strength and weaknesses of the Soviet (including Satellite) economy, with particular reference to its ability to support a major war; the motivation, character, and magnitude of current economic development programs, their implementation, and their effect upon the economic, political, and military strength of the Soviet Bloc; the capabilities and `Second Priority Intelligence Objectives are those which will permit the US: (1) to anticipate and counter those policies or actions of foreign states which would have serious consequences for the US; and (2) to stimulate policies or actions of foreign states (or actions within them) which could occasion great benefit to the US.' Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For lease 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0361i1000400070001-9 IAC-iD-50/10.2 30 July 1957 vulnerabilities of the Soviet .and Satellite internal communications systems." Under this priority national intelligence objective, efforts will be directed primarily toward the following: 1. Assessment of the overall as well as the particular economic capabilities of the Soviet and the European Satellite economies in relation to their economic and military programs; 2. Identification of economic developments which may reflect changes in Soviet Bloc intentions, such as shifts in priorities accorded to various sectors of the economy (for example, the level of investment, the relationship between light and heavy industry, the volume and composition of defense expenditures, the changes in the volume and character of foreign trade, and the emphasis given consumer welfare); and Analysis of those economic problems or weaknesses that could modify or detract significantly from the future growth of Soviet capabilities. Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For FW6ase 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R 0400070001-9 IAC-D-50/10.2 30 July 1957 b. "Soviet and Satellite ... technical strengths and weaknesses substantially affecting Soviet military, economic ... capabilities ....'p Under this priority national intelligence objective, efforts will be directed primarily toward evaluation of the effect of techno- logical developments in Soviet industry on production by war-supporting industries. co "Major Soviet international ... economic policies and actions, with particular reference to courses designed to orient non-Bloc countries toward the Soviet Bloc ...." Under this priority national intelligence objective, efforts will be directed primarily toward analysis of the nature and extent of Sino-Soviet Bloc economic activities in the_Fre-e World, with particular reference to expanded economic activities in underdeveloped countries by various means such as trade, economic development programs, extension of long-term capital credits, reorientation of trading relations, provision of technical services, and export of military end items. d. "... Soviet-Satellite relations, with particular reference to the character and degree of Soviet control ...." Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For RW6ase 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362MW0400070001-9 IAC-D-5010.2 30 July 1957 Under this priority national intelligence objective, efforts will be directed primarily toward the following: 1. Analysis of the magnitude, composition, direction, and terms of Soviet-Satellite and inter-Satellite foreign trade and continuing review of trade policies among these countries; 2. Appraisal of the extent of economic specialization and integration within the Bloc; and 3. Analysis of the organization of Soviet control mechanisms, their strengths and weaknesses. e. "Sing-Soviet relations, with particular reference to the ..." stability of such relations. Under this priority national intelligence objective, attention will be directed primarily toward the following: 1. Analysis of the magnitude, composition, direction., and terms of Sino-Soviet trade, credit arrangements, and technical assistance; 2. Appraisal of the role of Sino-Soviet trade'in the development program of Communist China; and oho Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For Ruse 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362l 400070001-9 IAC-D-5010.2 30 July 1957 3. Analysis of the costs imposed on the USSR in meeting the requirements of Communist China's economy. f. "The strengths and weaknesses of the Chinese Communist economy; plans for its development, and progress therein ... technological strengths and weaknesses affecting economic and military capabilities; the capabilities and vulnerabilities of Chinese Communist internal communications and communications with the USSR." Under this priority national intelligence objective, efforts will be directed primarily toward the following: 1. Assessment of the present capabilities and future potential of agriculture in terms of its role in supporting China's essential foreign trade, its industrialization program, and its population growth; 2. Analysis of other key sectors of the economy, such as transportation, upon which future industrial growth and war potential depend; and 3. Evaluation of progress toward and prospects for China's long-term industrialization objectives. Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For Fase 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362FO0400070001-9 IAC-D-5010.2 30 July 1957 g. "The ... economic strengths and weaknesses of the North Korean regime ...." Under this priority national intelligence objective, attempts will be made to assess the degree of economic integration, particularly in the heavy industry sector, of Manchuria and North Korea, the degree of Soviet and Communist Chinese economic activity in North Korea, and the nature and extent of economic assistance from the Sino-Soviet Bloc. h. "The ... economic strengths and weaknesses ... of the Viet Minh regime ...." Under this priority national intelligence objective, attention will be directed primarily toward the degree of economic integration with Communist China, including trade relationships, and the nature and extent of economic assistance from the Sino-Soviet Bloc. Free World i. Economic conditions and trends M especially those which relate to external viability, internal growth, defense capabilities, and pressures for trade with Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Ja IAC-D-5010.2 30 July 1957 Approved For Rase 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362F44 0400070001-9 Economic conditions and trends in India, particularly those related to the progress of economic development, with special attention to economic relations with the Sino-Soviet Bloc and the nature and extent of economic assistance from the Bloc. k. Economic conditions and trends in the Middle East Arab states, Iran and with particular attention to oil concessions and installations, the Suez situation, and Bloc economic inducements. 1. Economic conditions and trends in Yugoslavia, with particular attention to economic relations with the Sino-Soviet Bloc and the nature and extent of economic assistance from the Bloc. III. THIRD PRIORITY OBJECTIVES a. Economic conditions and trends in the Republic of Korea and in Taiwan which have a bearing on the economic viability and defense capabilities of those states. ri d Priority Intelligence Objectives are those which will permit the US: (1) to anticipate and counter those policies or actions of foreign states which would have harmful consequences to the US; and (2) to stimulate policies or actions of foreign states (or actions within them) which could occasion substantial benefits to the US." Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For R Joase 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362F1 400070001-9 IAC-D-5010.2 30 July 1957 b. Economic conditions and trends in the countries of Southeast Asia, with particular attention to Bloc economic inducements to these countries. c. Economic conditions and trends in Pakistan, Afghanistan and Ceylon, particularly those related to prospects for economic growth, with special attention to economic relations with the Sino-Soviet Bloc and the nature and extent of economic assistance from the Bloc. d. Economic conditions and trends in the countries of particularly with particular reference to economic capabilities to fulfill defense commitments and ability to maintain satisfactory levels of employment and rates of growth. e. Economic conditions and trends in Greece and Turkey, with particular reference to prospects for economic stability and growth, with attention to,economic relations with the Sino-Soviet Bloc and the nature and extent of economic assistance from the Bloc. Southeast Asian countries encompassed are Burma, Thailand, Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, Indonesia, the Philippines, the Federation of Malaya, and Singapore. Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For Rase 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362FtMb400070001-9 IAC-D-50/10.2 30 July 1957 f. Economic conditions and trends in Iceland, with particular reference to prospects for economic stability and growth, with attention to economic relations with the Sino-Soviet Bloc and the nature and extent of economic assistance from the Bloc. g. Economic conditions and trends in Africa, with special atten- tion to vulnerabilities to anti-Western economic influences; the extent and nature of these influences and the availability to the US of strategic materials. h. Economic conditions and trends in the countries of Latin America, including the Caribbean countries and European dependencies, with special attention to Brazil, Argentina, Chile and Venezuela.# giving particular emphasis to prospects for economic growth, economic relations with the Sino-Soviet Bloc, and the availability to the US of strategic materials. Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For F ease 200'12704:CIA-RDP85S00362110400070001-9 IAC -D - 50/10. 1 21 August 1956 I N T E L L I G E N C E ADVISORY C O M M I T T E E Priority National Economic Intelligence Objectives 1. On 21 August the statement of Priority National Economic Intelligence Objectives, which had been approved by the Economic Intelligence Committee on 7 August 1956 and subsequently circulated to the IAC members (IAC-D-50/10, 15 August 1956), was approved by the IAC, subject to the amendment of the second sentences of paragraph 1. 2. Please substitute the attached page, dated 21 August, which incorporates the amendment approved by the IAC, for page 1 of the state- ment previously circulated (Attachment to IAC-D-50/10). ecretary Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 SECRET SECRET Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362l 00040007000 IAC-D-50/10. 1 21 August 1956 INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE Priority National Economic Intelligence Objectives 1. On 21 August the statement of Priority National Economic Intelligence Objectives, which had been approved by the Economic Intelligence Committee on 7 August 1956 and subsequently circulated to the IAC.members (IAC-D-50/10, 15 August 1956), was approved by the IAC, subject to the amendment of the second sentences of paragraph 1. 2. Please substitute the attached page, dated 21 August, which incorporates the amendment approved by the IAC, for page 1 of the state- ment previously circulated (Attachment to IAC-D-50/10). ecretary Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362Rb00400070001-9 S E-C-R -E-T IA,C-D-5010.1 .21 August 1956 PRIORITY NATIONAL ECONOMIC INTELLIGENCE OBJECTIVES 1. Director of Central Intelligence Directive No. 4/5, dated 18 October 1955, lists the priority national intelligence objectives established pursuant to National Security Council Intelligence Direc- tive No. 1i, as a guide for the coordination of intelligence collection and production. DCID 4/5 covers military, political, scientific, technical, and economic intelligence objectives on the Sino-Soviet Bloc and the Free World. 2. All economic intelligence objectives listed below are related to DCID 4/5 and as defined in that directive are deemed to be essential elements of priority national intelligence objectives. In conformity to the directive, distinction is made among three levels of priority within the general priority category. Order of listing within these three categories is a matter of convenience in presen- tation and has no significance with respect to the relative priority of specific items within the category. S -E -C -R-E -T Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362ROO0400070001-9 -'I Approved For Rase 2001/hbYARDP85S00362Fji'040007`6081 IAC-D-50/ 10 15 August 1956 I N T E L L I G E N C E A D V I S O R Y C O M M I T T E E Priority National Economic Intelligence Objectives Reference: IAC-M-225, 10 January 1956, item 3 1. Attached is a statement of Priority National Economic Intelligence Objectives, approved by the Economic Intelligence Committee on 7 August 1956. 2. This statement was prepared to identify and expand the economic aspects of DCID 4/5, "Priority National Intelligence Objectives," for guidance to the agencies participating in the EIC, in their economic intelligence activities. 3. This matter will be placed on the agenda of an early IAC meeting for appropriate action. Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For Rase 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S003620400070001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T IAC -D -50/10.1 21 August 1956 PRIORITY NATIONAL ECONOMIC INTELLIGENCE OBJECTIVES 1. Director of Central Intelligence Directive No. 4/5, dated 18 October 1955, lists the priority national intelligence objectives established pursuant to National Security Council Intelligence Direc- tive No. 4, as a guide for the coordination of intelligence collection and production. DCIU4/5 covers military, political, scientific, technical, and economic intelligence objectives on the Sino-Soviet Bloc and the Free World. 2. All economic intelligence objectives listed below are related to DCID 4+/5 and as defined in that directive are deemed to be essential elements of priority national intelligence objectives. In conformity to the directive, distinction is made among three levels of priority within the general priority category. Order of listing within these three categories is a matter of convenience in presen- tation and has no significance with respect to the relative priority of specific items within the category. S -E -C-R-E-T Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For F ase 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S003621WO400070001-9 3. Foreign activities covered in the priority national economic intelligence objectives will be subject to continuing surveillance within the framework of responsibility laid down by DCID 15/l. It is not intended.that the following list of objectives shall be a definitive or limiting statement of responsibilities, but rather that these objectives shall provide guidance for programming:of economic intelligence collection and production. I. FIRST PRIORITY OBJECTIVES a. "Soviet over-all ..., intentions, ..., particularly with respect to initiating hostilities ..., and to disarmament ... ." Under this priority national intelligence objective, emphasis will be placed on the recognition and.analysis of economic indications of Soviet preparations for initiating hostilities.or for disarmament. b. "Present and probable future Soviet capabilities for nuclear attack on the United States or key US overseas installations and for defense against air attack." "First Priority Intelligence Objectives are those which will permit the US: (1) to anticipate and counter those policies or actions of foreign states which would occasion gravest consequences to the US; and (2) to stimulate policies or actions of foreign states (or actions within them) which would occasion greatest benefit to the US." fquoted material is taken directly from DCID 4/5] S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For Base 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362l 0400070001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T Under this priority national intelligence objective, emphasis will be placed on analysis of all economic factors relating to Soviet production and production capabilities in the following fields: 1. Nuclear weapons; 2. Guided missiles and guided missile weapons systems; 3. Aircraft and related delivery systems; 4. Air defense systems; and 5. Long-range submarines. II. SECOND PRIORITY OBJECTIVES Sino-Soviet Bloc a. "The strength and weaknesses of the Soviet (including Satellite) economy, with particular reference to its ability to support; a major war; the motivation, character, and magnitude of current economic development programs. their implementation, and their effect upon the economic, political, and military strength of the Soviet Bloc; the capabilities and vulnerabilities of the Soviet and Satellite internal communications systems." "Second Priority Intelligence Objectives are those which will. permit the US: (1) to anticipate and counter those policies or actions of foreign states which would have serious consequences for the US; and (2) to stimulate policies or actions of foreign states (or actions within them) which could occasion great benefit to the US." Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For Iase 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362N 0400070001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T Under.this priority national intelligence objective, efforts will be directed primarily toward the following: 1. Assessment of the over-all as well as the particular economic capabilities of the Soviet and the European Satellite economies to support military and foreign economic programs; 2. Identification of economic developments which may reflect changes in Soviet Bloc intentions, such as shifts in priorities accorded to various sectors of the economy (for example, the level of investment, the relationship between light and heavy industry, the volume and composition of defense expenditures, the changes in the volume and character of foreign trade, and the emphasis given consumer welfare; and 3. Analysis of those economic problems or weaknesses that could modify or detract significantly from the future growth of Soviet capabilities. b. "Soviet and Satellite ... technical strengths and weaknesses substantially affecting Soviet military, economic, ... capabilities." - 4 - S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For F lase 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362WO400070001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T Under this priority national intelligence objective,, efforts will be directed primarily toward evaluation of the effect of technological developments in Soviet industry on production by war-supporting industries. c. "Major Soviet international economic policies and actions, Under this priority national intelligence objective, efforts will be directed primarily toward analysis of the nature and extent of Sino-Soviet Bloc economic activities in the Free World, with particular reference to expanded economic activities in underdeveloped countries by various means such as trade, economic development programs, extension of long-term capital credits, reorientation of trading relations, provision of technical services, and export of military end items. d. "..e Soviet-Satellite relations, with particular reference to the character and degree of Soviet control; ... ." Under this priority national intelligence objective, efforts will be directed primarily toward the following: 1. Analysis of the magnitude, composition, direction, and terms of Soviet-Satellite and inter-Satellite foreign trade and continuing review of trade policies among these countries; S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For F ase 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362FU0400070001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T 2. Appraisal of the extent of economic specialization and integration within the Bloc; and 3. Analysis of the organization of Soviet control mechanisms, their strengths and weaknesses. e. "Sing-Soviet relations, with particular reference to the ..." stability of such relations. Under this priority national intelligence objective, attention will be directed primarily toward the following: 1. Analysis of the magnitude, composition, direction, and terms of Sino-Soviet trade, credit arrangements, and technical assistance; 2. Appraisal of the role of Sino-Soviet trade in the development program of Communist China; and 3. Analysis of the costs imposed on the USSR in meeting the requirements. of Communist China's economy. f. "The strengths and weaknesses of the Chinese Communist economy; plans for its development, and progress therein; ... technological strengths and weaknesses affecting, economic and military capabilities; the capabilities and vulnerabilities of Chinese Communist internal communications and communications with the USSR." - 6 - Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For F ase 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362l 0400070001-9 S-E-C-R--E-T Under this priority national intelligence objective, efforts will be directed primarily toward the following: 1. Assessment of the present capabilities: and future potential of agriculture in terms. of its role in supporting China's essential foreign trade, its industrialization program, and its population growth; 2. Analysis of key sectors of the economy, such as transportation, upon which future industrial growth and war potential depend, and 3. Evaluation of progress toward and prospects for China's long-term industrialization objectives. go "The ... economic strengths and weaknesses of the North Korean regime, ... .11 Under this priority national intelligence objective, attempts will be made to assess the degree of economic integration,. particularly in the heavy industry sector, of Manchuria and North Korea, and the nature and extent of economic assistance from the Sino-Soviet Bloc. h. "The ...economic strengths and weaknesses of the Viet Minh regime ... ." Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For I ase 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO03621WO400070001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T Under this priority national intelligence objective, attention will be directed primarily toward the degree of economic integration with Communist China, including trade relationships, and the nature and extent of economic assistance from the Sino-Soviet Bloc. Free World i. Economic conditions and trends in non-Communist Vietnam, Laos, k. Economic conditions and trends in Yugoslavia, with particular attention to economic relations with the Sino-Soviet Bloc and the nature and extent of economic assistance from the Bloc. The EIC considers that the priority positions of all the Free World countries indicated should be reconsidered in connection with the next revision of DCID.4/5. For example, the under- developed countries generally (III c) should probably be included in the second priority category. S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For Fuse 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362%90400070001-9 III. THIRD PRIORITY OBJECTIVES a. Economic conditions and trends in the Republic of Korea and in Taiwan which have a bearing on the economic viability and defense capabilities of those states. b. Economic conditions and trends in the countries of Western Europe, particularly France, West Germany, and Italy, with particular reference to economic capabilities to fulfill defense commitments and ability to maintain satisfactory levels of employment and rates of growth. c. Economic conditions and trends in the underdeveloped countries (other than those indicated above), particularly,those related to prospects for economic growth, with special attention to economic relations with the Sino-Soviet Bloc and the nature and: extent of economic assistance from the Bloc. "Third riority Intelligence Objectives are those which will permit the US: (1) to anticipate and counter those policies or actions of foreign states which would have harmful consequences to the US; and (2) to stimulate policies or actions of foreign states (or actions within them) which could occasion substantial benefits to the US." -9- S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For tease 2001/1194` ]M- DP85S003621iP0400070001-9 IAC-D-50/9 15 May 1956 I N T E L L I G E N C E A D V I S O R Y C O M M I T T E E Possible Amendment of NSCID 4, Affecting Also DCID 4/3 and DCID 4/5 1. Members of the President's Board of Consultants, in discussion with representatives of CIA and NSC, have raised the question concerning the operation of NSCID 4, particularly para- graph 2 thereof, which provides that the Director shall select priority matters "in collaboration with the other agencies concerned, and under the guidance of the NSC Staff." The members of the Board of Consultants have specifically suggested that this provision may place an unrealistic responsibility on the Staff of the NSC, and might be amended either to provide for guidance by the NSC itself, or to remove the provision altogether. 2. Accordingly, the Director of Central Intelligence has requested that the IAC have a preliminary discussion of this matter, and it has been placed on the agenda for the IAG meeting scheduled for 22 May 1956. Secretary Approved For Release 2001 Affifff DP85SO0362ROO0400070001-9 Approved For Iase~00'f/'T2/0'":CtA-1CI003620400070001-9 IAC-D-50/9. 1 21 June 1956 I N T E L L I G E N C E A D V I S O R Y C O M M I T T E E National Security Council Intelligence Directive No. 4 Pursuant to the direction of the IAC, the attached draft revision of National Security Council Intelligence Directive No. 4, provisionally agreed to at the IAC meeting on 19 June, is circulated for further consideration by IAC members before any proposed revision is submitted to the NSC. This matter will be placed on the agenda of the IAC meeting scheduled for 26 June. Secretary Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 CONFIDENTIAL Approved For lease 2P99P:" `IA.&~00362 #00400070001-9 IAC-D-50/9. 1 21 June 1956 Draft Revision of National Security Council Intelligence Directive No. 4 National Intelligence Objectives Pursuant to the provisions of Section 102 (d) (5) of the National Security Act of 1947 and for the purpose of providing intelligence support for the preparation of studies required by the National Security Council in the fulfillment of its duties, it is directed that: 1. The Director of Central Intelligence, in collaboration with the other agencies concerned, shall prepare a comprehensive outline of national intelligence objectives applicable to foreign countries and areas to serve as a guide for the coordinated collection and production of National Intelligence, 2. The Director of Central Intelligence, in collaboration with the other agencies concerned, shall select from time to time and on a current basis sections and items of such outline which have a priority interest. These selections will be issued by the Director of Central Intelligence to supply the desired priority guidance for the production of National Intelligence by the Central Intelligence Agency and for the contributions to such production by other agencies concerned. 3, The Director of Central Intelligence shall formally report such outline and selections to the NSC for information. Approved For Releas 4 : CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 ENTIAL Approved Forr0Iease 2001/~27d DTRDP85S0036~0349}7g008-9 17 December 1955 I N T E L L I G E N C E A D V I S O R Y C O M M I T T E E Priority National Scientific and Technical Intelligence Objectives 1. Attached is a statement, prepared jointly by the Scientific Estimates Committee and the Joint Atomic Energy Intelligence Committee, of priority intelligence objectives in the scientific and technical fields. 2. These have been prepared as an elaboration of the more general objectives set forth in DCID 4/5, "Priority National Intelligence Objectives, " dated 18 October 1955, and, on approval, will be used by the members of these committees to guide their intelligence efforts. 3. This paper will be placed on the agenda of an early IAC meeting for IAC approval. Secretary Approved For Release 2001/12/0 '1A=-DP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For Lase 2001/''f9891-RDP85S00362W* (4AU NOS-9 27 December 1955 Priority National Scientific. and Technical Intelligence Objectives 1. Pursuant to National Security Council Directive No. 4, DCID 4/5 established a list of priority national intelligence objectives as a guide for the coordination of intelligence collection and pro- duction in response to requirements relating to the formulation and execution of national security policy. 2. In order to establish a list of priority national scientific and technical intelligence objectives, the Scientific Estimates Committee and the Joint Atomic Energy Intelligence Committee-- each in its own sphere of responsibility and with the concurrence of the Intelligence Advisory Committee--have derived the following scientific and technical objectives from DCID 4/5. The statement of these objectives will be revised when required by revision of DCID 4/5. 3. By definition, all items in this listing are deemed to be critical national scientific and technical intelligence factors re- quiring priority attention and effort. Distinction is made, however, between three levels of priority within the general priority category. Approved For Release 2001/12thFTDP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For lW ase 2001/geq' 1' RDP85S0036 0$07 -9 5WPg Order of listing within these three groups has no significance with respect to the relative priority of specific items within the group. 1. First Priority Objectives* A. The capabilities of the USSR to conduct research on and develop weapons and other components of weapons systems requisite for nuclear attack on the United States or key US overseas instal- lations (DCID 4/5, para. I c). Particular emphasis will be placed on the scientific and technological aspects of Soviet work on: 1. Nuclear weapons, nuclear warheads, and special nuclear materials. 2. Non-nuclear components of nuclear weapons and warheads. 3. Bomber aircraft (including nuclear propulsion therefor). 4. Guided missiles (including intercontinental ballistic, long-range non-ballistic/cruise type, air-to-surface, and submarine-launched surface-to-surface types). First Priority Intelligence Objectives are those which will permit the US: (1) to anticipate and counter those policies or actions of foreign states which would occasion gravest consequences to the US; and (2) to stimulate policies or actions of foreign states (or actions within them) which would occasion greatest benefit to the US (DCID 4/5, para. 3 a). Approved For Release 2001/12/0$&GAZUP85S00362R000400070001-9 27 December 1955 Approved Forl4lrtease 2001/4A9W. RDP85S00362 R 0j)A7 W89 27 December 1955 5. Submarines (including nuclear propulsion therefor) capable of delivering nuclear weapons. 6. Electronic systems including blind-bombing, long- range navigation, defensive fire control of nuclear delivery vehicles, and electronics countermeasures systems. B. The capabilities of the USSR to conduct research on and develop weapons and other components of weapons systems requisite for defense of the Sino-Soviet Bloc against air attack (DCID 4/5, para. I c). Particular emphasis will be placed on the determination of scientific research and development on: 1. Nuclear warheads for anti-aircraft missiles, rockets and artillery. 2. Piloted defense aircraft. .3. Guided missiles including surface..to-air and air-to- air types. 4. Defense against intercontinental ballistic missiles. 5. Anti-aircraft rockets and artillery. 6. Electronic systems including early warning, ground control intercept, airborne intercept, IFF, and missile guidance radars; air defense filter centers Approved For Release 2001/12/, (P85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For1ease 2001/ 9&A-RDP85S00362 (e0$07gffl-9 27 December 1955 and communications networks; and electronics counter- measure systems. 7. Passive defensive measures. C. Soviet capabilities, plans, and intentions for the clan- destine delivery of nuclear, biological or chemical weapons against the US or key US overseas installations (DCID 4/5, para. I d). Particular reference is made to detection of specific scientific and technological accomplishments, such as the development of specialized weapons and the solution of the peculiar problems in packaging, transporting, and storing that will make, such delivery feasible. II. Second Priority Objectives* A. Sino-Soviet Bloc scientific and technical strengths and weaknesses affecting their military, economic, and political capa- bilities (DCID 4/5, para. II e). The priority assigned to these strengths and weaknesses applies, in the first instance, to the detection of scientific and technological developments which could Second Priority Intelligence Objectives are those which will permit the US: (1) to anticipate and counter those policies or actions of foreign states which would have serious conse- quences for the US; and (2) to stimulate policies or actions of foreign states (or actions within them) which could occasion great benefit to the US (DCID 4/5, para. 3 b). -4- Approved For Release 2001/12 I-iDP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved Foriplease 2001/$13&1-RDP85S00369WP"9?Qpg-9 27 December 1955 give the Sino-Soviet Bloc a technological advantage. When such developments are detected, the priority of the subsequent intelli- gence effort will be determined by the extent to which the develop- ment affects US national security. In addition, second priority coverage will be,given to the scientific and technological strengths which are basic elements in Soviet economic and military capabili- ties and to those technological weaknesses which may reflect grave Soviet vulnerabilities. Therefore, particular emphasis will be placed on: 1. Research and development which are most likely to lead to impcrL~nt technological advances a. Basic scientific research undertaken, without specific focus on any particular application (for example, research in solid state physics, cosmic rays, radio astronomy, low temperature physics, upper atmosphere, enzymology, and catalysis). b. Development of new applications of existing scientific knowledge (for example, earth satellites, weather control, long'-range transmission of useful Approved For Release 2001/12/gp P85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved Fo Iease 2001/Ti W. 6I' -RDP85S00361 'R 0$(7 Mpg-9 27 December 1955 or destructive energy, means of influencing human behavior, advanced communication systems, and nuclear power for long-range guided missiles). 2. Technological developments which can affect significantly the economic potential of the Sino-Soviet Bloc (For example, automation, methods of increasing food supply, and solar and nuclear power. ) 3. Technological developments which can affect significantly the military potential of the Sino-Soviet Bloc (For example, biological and chemical warfare, armored vehicles, naval vessels, etc.) 4. The organization, control and status of science 5. Fields in which technological weaknesses may reflect grave Sino-Soviet vulnerabilities (For example, biological and agricultural sciences related to improved food supply, automatic data processing system for air defense, and intercon- tinental ballistic. missile defense. ) Approved For Release 2001/12/0 ,#EEt-jP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved Fo lease 2001 AgB fA-RDP85S00361 &D%M64-9 27 December 1955 III. Third Priority Objectives* In addition to the priority objectives outlined in paras. I and II, above, it is recognized that scientific and technological develop- ments may occur outside those areas discussed, which will have such significance as to affect US security. For that reason, certain third priority objectives (DCID 4/5, para. III) are stated below: A. Non-Sino-Soviet Bloc nuclear energy research and develop- ment; the production of fissionable materials and the use of such materials for weapons or other purposes. Third Priority Intelligence Objectives are those which will permit the US: (1) to anticipate and counter those policies or actions of foreign states which would have harmful conse- quences to the US; and (2) to stimulate policies or actions of foreign states (or actions within them) which could occasion substantial benefits to the US (DCID 4/5, para. 3 c). -7- Approved For Release 2001/12/ CGPP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved Fo Iease 2001/12/0 -W;-RDP85S00390C0004QAUAnO.'158/8 Z7. December 1955 AP proved by I AO JAN 10 1956 Priority National Scientific and Technical Intelligence Objectives 1. Pursuant to National Security Council Directive No. 4, DCID 4/5 established a list of priority national intelligence objectives as a guide for the coordination of intelligence. collection and pro- duction in response to requirements relating to the formulation and execution of national security policy. 2. In order to establish a list of priority national scientific and technical intelligence objectives, the Scientific Estimates Committee and the Joint Atomic Energy Intelligence Committee-- each in its own sphere of responsibility and with the concurrence of the Intelligence Advisory Committee--have derived the following scientific and technical objectives from DCID 4/5. The statement of these objectives will be revised when required by revision of .DCID 4/5. 3. - By definition, all items in this listing are deemed to be critical national scientific and technical intelligence factors re. quiring priority attention and effort. Distinction is made, however, between three levels of priority within the general priority category, Approved For Release 2001/12/04: b $'CS00362R000400070001-9 Approved For lease 2001/12/04 'Rb15S003500400070001-9 IAC-D-50/8 27 December 1955. Order of listing within these three groups has no significance with respect to the relative priority of specific items within the group. I. First= Priority Objectives* A. The capabilities of the USSR to conduct research on and develop weapons and other components of weapons systems requisite for nuclear attack on the United States or key US overseas instal- lations (DCID 4/ 5, para. I ). Particular emphasis will be placed on the scientific and technological aspects. of Soviet work on: 1. Nuclear weapons, nuclear warheads, and special nuclear materials. 2. Non-nuclear components of nuclear weapons and warheads. 3. Bomber aircraft (including nuclear propulsion therefor). 4. Guided missiles (including intercontinental ballistic, long-range non-ballistic/cruise type, air-to-surface, and submarine-launched surface -to-sx}rface types). First Priority Intelligence Objectives are those which will permit, the US: (1) to anticipate and counter those policies or actions of foreign states which would occasion gravest consequences to the US; and (2) to stimulate policies or actions of foreign states (or actions within them) which would occasion greatest benefit to the US (DCID 4/5, para. 3 a). Approved For Release 2001/12/04 :$f- PPS00362R000400070001-9 Approved For tease 2001/12/04 : CLAWRET00362 00400070001-9 IAC-D-50/8 27 December 1955 5. Submarines (including nuclear propulsion therefor) capable of delivering nuclear weapons. 6. Electronic systems including blind-bombing, long- range navigation, defensive fire control of nuclear delivery vehicles, and electronics countermeasures systems. B. The capabilities of the USSR to conduct research on and develop weapons and other components of -weapons systems requisite for defense of the Sino-Soviet Bloc against air attack (DCID 4/5, para. ? I c). ,Particular emphasis will be placed on the determination of scientific. research and development on: 1. Nuclear warheads for anti-aircraft missiles, rockets and artillery. 2. Piloted defense aircraft. 3. Guided missiles including surface-to-air and air-to- air types. 4. Defense against intercontinental ballistic missiles. 5. Anti-aircraft rockets and artillery. 6. Electronic systems including early warning, ground control intercept, airborne, intercept, IFF, and missile guidance radars; air defense filter centers Approved For Release 2001/12/04: ClSEo0362R000400070001-9 Approved For lirrfease 2001/12/04 S& i a85S00362M00400070001-9 IAC-D-50/8 27 December 1955 and communications networks; and electronics counter- measure systems. 7., Passive defensive measures. C. Soviet capabilities, plans, and intentions for the clan- destine delivery of nuclear, biological or chemical weapons against the US or key US overseas installations (DCID 4/5, para. I d). Particular reference is made to detection .of specific scientific and technological accomplishments, such as the development of. specialized weapons and the solution of the peculiar problems in packaging, transporting, and storing that will make, such delivery .feasible. 11. Second Priority Objectives' A. Sino-Soviet Bloc scientific and technical strengths and weaknesses affecting their military, economic, and political capa- bilities (DCID 4/5, para. lI e). The priority assigned to these strengths and weaknesses applies, in' the first instance, to the detection of scientific and technological developments which could Second Priority Intelligence Objectives are those which will permit the US: (1) to anticipate and counter those policies or actions of foreign states which would have serious conse- quences for the US; and (2) to stimulate policies or actions of foreign states (or actions within them) which could occasion great benefit to the US (DCID 4/5, para. 3 b). Approved For Release 2001/12/04 &1R&E5S00362R000400070001-9 Approved ForWease 2001/12/04: gE{,k$00362R000400070001-9 IAC-D-50/8 27 December 1955 give the Sino-Soviet Bloc a technological advantage. When such developments are detected, the priority of the subsequent intelli- gence effort will be determined by the extent to which the develop- ment affects US national security. In addition, second priority coverage will be -given to the scientific and technological strengths which are basic elements in Soviet economic and military capabili- ties and to those technological weaknesses which may reflect grave Soviet vulnerabilities. Therefore, particular emphasis will be placed on: 1. Research and development which are most likely to lead to important technological advances a. Basic scientific research undertaken, without specific focus on any particular application (for example, research in solid state physics, cosmic rays, radio astronomy, low temperature physics, upper atmosphere, enzymology, and catalysis). Development of new applications of existing scientific knowledge (for example, earth satellites. weather control, long-range transmission of useful Approved For Release 2001/12/04: ?NE-iRS00362R000400070001-9 Approved For%Oease 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S0036' 00400070001-9 irk SECRET IAC-D-50/8 27 December 1955 or destructive energy, means of influencing human behavior, advanced communication systems. and nuclear power for long-range guided missiles). 2. Technological developments which can affect nificantly the economic potential of the Sino-Soviet Bloc (For example, automation, methods of increasing food supply, and solar and nuclear power.) 3. Technological developments which can affect significantly the military potential of the Sino-Soviet Bloc (F'or example, biological and chemical warfare, armored vehicles, naval vessels, etc.) 4. The organization, control and status of science 5.. Fields iri which technological weaknesses may reflect ,rave Sino-Soviet vulnerabilities (For example, biological and agricultural sciences related to improved food supply, automatic data processing system for air defense, and intercon- tinental ballistic missile defense.) Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For tease 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO036 400400070001-9 SECRET 1AC-D-50/8 27 December 1955 III. Third Priority Objectives In addition to the priority objectives outlined in paras. I and II, above, it is recognized that scientific and technological develop- meats may occur outside those areas discussed, which will have such significance as to affect US security. For that reason, certain third priority objectives (DCID 4/5, para. III) are stated below: A. Non-Sino-Soviet Bloc nuclear energy research and develop- ment; the production of fissionable materials and the use of such materials for weapons or other purposes. Third Priority Intelligence Objectives are those. which will permit the US: (1) to anticipate and counter those policies or actions of foreign states which would have harrgful conse- quences to the US; and (2) to stimulate policies or actions of foreign states (or actions within them) which could occasion substantial benefits to the US (DCID 4/5, para. 3 c). Approved For Release 2001/12/04 :.:CI .RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 SECRET AOW at '!tel., to An th us 25X6 25X61 25X1A . fed For Release 2001/12/04-`.-4 t P85S00362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 IAC-D-50/8 First Revision 21 February 1957 I N T E L L I G E N C E A D V I S O R Y C O M M I T T E E Priority National Scientific and Technical Intelligence Objectives 1. Attached is a communication from the Chairmen of GMIC, JAEIC and SEC, enclosing a joint statement by those committees of "Priority National Scientific and Technical Intelligence Objectives," which they propose as a replacement for IAC-D-50/8 (approved by the IAC 10 January 1956) in the light of DCID 4/6, "Priority National Intelligence Objectives " (approved by the IAC 30 October 1956). 2. This matter will be placed on the agenda of an early IAC meeting for review and appropriate 'action. Secretary SECRET Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For Release 2001/~ CTA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 C IAC-D-50/8 MEMORANDUM FOR : Secretary, Intelligence Advisory Committee SUBJECT Priority National Scientific and Technical Intelligence Objectives (Proposed Replacement of IAC-D-50/8, same subject, approved by the IAC on 10 January 1956) 1. Transmitted herewith is subject statement, which (a) was prepared jointly by the Scientific Estimates Committee, the Joint Atomic Energy Intelligence Committee, and the Guided Missile Intelligence Committee, each in its own sphere of responsibility, and (b) is proposed to replace IAC-D-50/8 in the light of DCID 4/6, "Priority National Intelligence Objectives," dated 30 October 1956, 2. We request that the Intelligence Advisory Committee review the enclosure with a view to issuing it as an IAC document to supersede IAC-D-50/8. Lt. Colonel, USAF utiairman Chairman Joint Atomic Energy Guided Missile Intelligence Committee Intelligence Committee /5/ Chairman Scientific Estimates Committee Enclosure: (As stated) 13 February 1957 Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For Release 2001/tWc 4-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 IAC-D-50/8 First Revision (draft) 21 February 1957 Priority National Scientific and Technical Intelligence Objectives 1. Pursuant to National Security Council Intelligence Directive No. 4, paragraph 2. Director of Central Intelligence Directive No. 4/6 (DCID 4/6) established a list of priority national intelligence ob- jectives as a guide for the coordination of intelligence collection and production in response to requirements relating to the formulation and execution of national security policy. 2. The Scientific Estimates Committee, the Joint Atomic Energy Intelligence Committee, and the Guided Missile Intelligence Committee--each in its own sphere of responsibility and with the concurrence of the Intelligence Advisory Committee--have derived the following scientific and technical intelligence objectives from DCID 4/6. The statement of these objectives will be revised when required by revision of DCID 4/6. 3. By definition, all items in this listing are deemed to be critical national scientific and technical intelligence factors requiring priority attention and effort. Distinction is made, however, between three levels of priority within the general priority category. Order Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For Release 2001/4'. L"rA RX DP85S00362R00040007000 -9 IAC-D-501/8 of listing within these three groups has no significance with respect to the relative priority of specific items within the group. 1. First Priority Objectives A. The capabilities of the USSR to conduct research on and develop weapons and other components of weapons systems requisite for nuclear attack on the United States or key US overseas installa- tions (DCID 4/6, para. I c). Particular emphasis will be placed on the scientific and technological aspects of Soviet work on: 1. Nuclear weapons, nuclear warheads, and special nuclear materials. 2. NQn-nuclear components of nuclear weapons and warheads. 3. Bomber aircraft (including nuclear propulsion therefor). 4. Guided missiles (including intercontinental ballistic, long-range non-ballistic/cruise type, air-to-surface, submarine-launched surface-to-surface types, and nuclear power for long-range guided missiles). First Priority Intelligence Objectives are those which will permit the US: (1) to anticipate and counter those policies or actions of foreign states which would occasion gravest consequences to the US; and (2) to stimulate policies or actions of foreign states(or actions within them) which could occasion greatest benefit to the US (DCID 4/6, para. 3 a). - 2 - Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For Release 2001/1 /"Cl'DP85S00362R000400070001-9 IAC-D-50/8 First Revision 5. Submarines (ir4uling nuclear propulsion therefor) capable of delivering nuclear weapons. 6. Electronic systems including blind-bombing, long- range navigation, defensive fire control of nuclear delivery vehicles, and electronics (including com- munications) countermeasures systems. B. The capabilities of the USSR to conduct research on and develop weapons and other components of weapons systems requisite for defense against air (including missiles) attack (DCID 4/6, para. I c). Particular emphasis will be placed on the determination of scientific research and development on: 1. Nuclear warheads for anti-aircraft missiles, rockets and artillery. 2. Piloted defense aircraft. 3. Guided missiles including surface-to-air and air-to-air types. 4. Defense against intercontinental ballistic missiles. 5. Anti-aircraft rockets and artillery. Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For Release 2001/1Zlf4: -DP85S00362R000400070001-9 IAC-D-50/8 First Revision 6. Electronic systems including early warning, ground control intercept, airborne intercept, IFF, and missile guidance radars; air defense filter centers and communications networks; and electronics (including communications) countermeasure systems. 7. Passive defensive measures. C. Soviet capabilities, plans, and intentions for the clandestine delivery of nuclear, biological or chemical weapons against the US or key US overseas installations (DCID 4/6, para. I d). Particular reference is made to detection of specific scientific and technological accomplishments, such as the development of specialized weapons and the solution of the peculiar problems in packaging, transporting, and storing that will make such delivery feasible. II. Second Priority Objectives' A. Sino-Soviet Bloc scientific and technical strengths and weaknesses substantially affecting their military, economic, and Second Priority Intelligence Objectives are those which will permit the US: (1) to anticipate and counter those policies or actions of foreign states which would have serious consequences for the US; and (2) to stimulate policies or actions of foreign states (or actions within them) which could occasion great benefit to the US (DCID 4/6, para. 3 b). Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For Release 2001/1 S P -RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 IAC-D-50/8 First Revision political capabilities, including the possibility of major technological breakthroughs (DCID 4/6, para. II e and k). The priority assigned to these strengths and weaknesses applies, in the first instance, to the detection of scientific and technological developments which could give the Sino-Soviet Bloc a technological advantage. When such developments are detected, the priority of the subsequent intelligence effort will be determined by the extent to which the development af- fects US national security. In addition, second priority coverage will be given to the scientific and technological strengths which are basic elements in Soviet economic and military capabilities and to those technological weaknesses which may reflect grave Soviet vul- nerabilities. Therefore, particular emphasis will be placed on: 1. Research and development which are most likely to lead to significant technological advances a. Basic scientific research undertaken without specific focus on any particular application (for example, research in solid state physics, cosmic rays, radio astronomy, low temperature physics, upper atmosphere, enzymology, and catalysis). Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For Release 2001/12/44Ct19 DX P85SO0362R000400070001-9 IAC-D-50/8 First Revision b. Development of new applications of existing scientific knowledge (for example, earth satellites, weather control, long-range trans- mission of useful or destructive energy, means of influencing human behavior, and advanced communications systems). 2. Technological developments which can affect s ig- nificantly the economic potential of the Sino- Soviet Bloc (For example, automation, methods of increasing food supply, and solar and nuclear power) 3. Technological developments which can affect significantly the military potential of the Sino- Soviet Bloc (For example, biological and chemical warfare, armored vehicles, naval vessels, etc. ) 4. The organization, control and status of science 5. The quality and quantity of Soviet scientific and technical manpower Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For Release 2001/17/040 -DP85S00362R000400070001-9 IAC-D-50/8 First Revision 6. Fields in which technological weaknesses may (For example, biological and agricultural sciences related to improved food supply, automatic data processing system for air defense, and inter- continental ballistic missile defense) III.. Third Priority Objectives' In addition to the priority objectives outlines in paras. I and II, above, it is recognized that scientific and technological developments may occur outside those areas discussed, which will have such sig- nificance as to affect US security. For that reason, certain third priority objectives (DCID 4/6, para. III) are stated below. Third Priority Intelligence Objectives are those which will permit the US: (1) to anticipate and counter those policies or actions of foreign states which would have harmful consequences to the US; and (2) to stimulate policies or actions of foreign states (or actions within them which could occasion substantial benefits to the US (DCID 4/6, para. 3 c)). Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For Release 2001/127'0i~-DDP85S00362R000400070001-9 IAC--D-50/8 First Revision A. Non-Sino-Soviet Bloc nuclear energy research and development; the production of fissionable materials and the use of such materials for weapons or other purposes. B. Significant scientific and technological developments in hich affect directly the military and economic potential. Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For I@iease 2001/12/04tt P85S00362WO400070001-9 IAC-D-50/8 First Revision F inal 5 March 1957 INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE Priority National Scientific and Technical Intelligence Objectives 1, On 5 March the IAC approved, as amended, the statement of "Priority National Scientific and Technical Intelligence Objectives (IAC-D-50/8, First Revision, 21 February 1957), which had been proposed as a replacement of IAC.-D-50/8 (approved by the IAC on 10 January 1956) in the light of DCID 4/6, "Priority National Intelli- gence Objectives" (approved by the IAC on 30 October 1956), 2. The attached statement of objectives, dated 5 March, incorporates the revisions as approved by the IAC and therefore supersedes IAC-D-50/8, dated 10 January 1956, 25X1A Secretary Approved For Release 200111 F2/O 1A-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For R *;ease 2001/12/0 P85S00362RA0400070001-9 RuAff. IAC-D-50/8 First Revision Final 5 March 1957 Priority National Scientific and Technical Intelligence Objectives 1. Pursuant to National Security Council Intelligence Directive No. 4, paragraph 2, Director of Central Intelligence Directive No. 4/6 (DCID 4/6) established a list of priority national intelligence ob- jectives as a guide for the coordination of intelligence collection and production in response to requirements relating to the formulation and execution of national security policy. 2. The Scientific Estimates Committee, the Joint Atomic Energy Intelligence Committee, and the Guided Missile Intelligence Committee--each in its own sphere of responsibility and with the concurrence of the Intelligence Advisory Committee--have derived the following scientific and technical intelligence objectives from DCID 4/6. The statement of these objectives will be revised when required by revision of DCID 4/6. 3. By definition, all items in this listing are deemed to be critical national scientific and technical intelligence factors requiring priority attention and effort. Distinction is made, however, between three levels of priority within the general priority category. Order Approved For Release 2001/11444 A-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For RG;ease 2001/1TI'O iA-RDP85SO0362ROO0400070001-9 IAC-D-50/8 First Revision 5 March 1957 of listing within these three groups has no significance with respect to the relative priority of specific items within the group. 1. First Priority Objectives A. The capabilities of the USSR to conduct research on and develop weapons and other components of weapons systems requisite for nuclear attack on the United States or key US overseas installa- tions (DCID 4/6, para. I c). Particular emphasis will be placed on the scientific and technological aspects of Soviet work on: 1. Nuclear weapons, nuclear warheads, and special nuclear materials. 2. Non-nuclear components of nuclear weapons and warheads. 3. Bomber aircraft (including nuclear propulsion therefor). 4. Guided missiles (including intercontinental ballistic, long-range non-ballistic/cruise type, air-to-surface, submarine-launched surface-to-surface types, and nuclear power for long-range guided missiles). First Priority Intelligence Objectives are those which will permit the US: (1) to anticipate and counter those policies or actions of foreign states which would occasion gravest consequences to the US; and (2) to stimulate policies or actions of foreign states(or actions within them) which could occasion greatest benefit to the US (DCID 4/6, para. 3 a). - 2 - Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 CR ET. Approved For Haase 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362Fi0400070001-9 SECRET, IAC-D-50/8 First Revision 5 March 1957 5. Submarines (including nuclear propulsion therefor) capable of delivering nuclear weapons. 6. Electronic systems including blind-bombing, long- range navigation, defensive fire control of nuclear delivery vehicles, and electronics (including com- munications) countermeasures systems. B. The capabilities of the USSR to conduct research on and develop weapons and other components of weapons systems requisite for defense against air (including missiles) attack (DCID 4/6, para. I c). Particular emphasis will be placed on the determination of scientific research and development on: 1. Nuclear warheads for anti-aircraft missiles, rockets and artillery. 2. Piloted defense aircraft. 3. Both surface-to-air and air-to-air guided missiles. 4. Defense against intercontinental ballistic missiles. 5. Anti-aircraft rockets and artillery. Approved For Release 2001/1 RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For Base 2001/12/ d DP85S00362R 60400070001-9 IAC-D-50/8 First Revision March 19 5 7 6. Electronic systems including early warning, ground control intercept, airborne intercept, IFF, and missile guidance radars; air defense filter centers and communications networks; and electronics (including communications) countermeasure systems. 7. Passive defensive measures. C. Soviet capabilities, plans, and intentions for the clandestine delivery of nuclear, biological or chemical weapons against the US or key US overseas installations (DCID 4/6, para. I d). Particular reference is made to detection of specific scientific and technological accomplishments, such as the development of specialized weapons and the solution of the peculiar problems in packaging, transporting, and storing that will make such delivery feasible, II. Second Priority Objectives* A. Sino-Soviet Bloc scientific and technical strengths and weaknesses substantially affecting their military, economic, and Second Priority Intelligence Objectives are those which will permit the US: (1) to anticipate and counter those policies or actions of foreign states which would have serious consequences for the US; and (2) to stimulate policies or actions of foreign states (or actions within them) which could occasion great benefit to the US (DCID 4/6, para. 3 b). Approved For Release 2001/12/04 F~85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For Rgjlease 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362W0400070001-9 IAC-.D- 50/8 First Revision 5 March 1957 political capabilities, including the possibility of major technological breakthroughs (DCID 4/6, para. II e and k). The priority assigned to these strengths and weaknesses applies, in the first instance, to the detection of scientific and technological developments which could give the Sino-Soviet Bloc a technological advantage. When such developments are detected, the priority of the subsequent intelligence effort will be determined by the extent to which the development af- fects US national security. In addition, second priority coverage will be given to the scientific and technological strengths which are basic elements in Soviet economic and military capabilities and to those technological weaknesses which may reflect grave Soviet vul- nerabilities. Therefore, particular emphasis will be placed on: 1. Research and development which are most likely to lead to significant technological advances a Basic scientific research undertaken without specific focus on any particular application (for example, research in solid state physics, cosmic rays, radio astronomy, low temperature physics, upper atmosphere, enzymology, and catalysisd. Approved For Release 2001/12/04,: Cl , - 85S00362R000400070001-9 16 ET Approved For Fl ase 2001/12/0 A )P85SO0362RM0400070001-9 IAC-D-50/8 First Revision 5 March 1957 b. Development of new applications of existing scientific knowledge (for example, earth satellites, weather control, long-range trans- mission of useful or destructive energy, means of influencing human behavior, and advanced communications systems). 2. Technological developments which can affect si ni#icantly the economic potential of the Sino- Soviet Bloc (For example, automation, methods of increasing food supply, and solar and nuclear power) 3. Technological developments which can affect significantly the military potential of the Sino- Soviet Bloc (For example, biological and chemical warfare, armored vehicles, naval vessels, etc. 4. The, organization, control and status of science 5. The duality and quantity of Soviet scientific and technical manpower Approved For ease 2001/12/04: C P85S00362M0400070001-9 SECT IAC-D-50/8 First Revision 5 March 19`7 6. Fields in which technological weaknesses may reflect grave Sino-Soviet Bloc vulnerabilities (For example, biological and agricultural sciences related to improved food supply, automatic data processing system for air defense, and inter- continental ballistic missile defense) III. Third Priority Objectives* In addition to the priority objectives outlines in paras. I and II, above, it is recognized that scientific and technological developments may occur outside those areas discussed, which will have such sig- nificance as to affect US security, For that reason, certain third priority objectives (DCID' 4/6, para. III) are stated below. Third Priority Intelligence Objectives are those which will permit the US: (1) to anticipate and counter those policies or actions of foreign states which would have harmful consequences to the US; and (2) to stimulate policies or actions of foreign states (or actions within them which could occasion substantial benefits to the US (DCID 4/6, para. 3 c)), Approved For Release Scil 1A 7 85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For lease 2001/12/~O IA-RDP85SO0362MOO400070001-9 IAC--D-50/8 First Revision 5 March 1957 A. Non-Sino-Soviet Bloc nuclear energy research and development; the production of fissionable materials and the use of such materials for weapons or other purposes. B. Significant scientific and technological developments in hich affect directly the military and economic potential. Approved For Release 2001/12/0 - bP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For Rase 2001/1 2 cb IDP85S00362RQpb400070001-9 IAC-D-50/8 First Revision 2 February 195 -016 I N T E L L I G E N C E A D V I S O R Y C O M M I T T E E Priority National Scientific and Technical Intelligence Objectives 1. Attached is a communication from the Chairmen of GMIC, JAEIC and SEC, enclosing a joint statement by those committees of "Priority National Scientific and Technical Intelligence Objectives," which they propose as a replacement for IAC-D-50/8 (approved by the IAC .10 January 1956) in the light of DCID 4/6, "Priority National Intelligence Objectives " (approved by the IAC 30 October 1956). 2. This matter will be placed on the agenda of an early IAC meeting for review and appropriate activil. Secretary Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For Rase 2001/12 L4 M Ca FTDP85S00362 400070001-9 C IAC-D-50/8 0 First Revision Y MEMORANDUM FOR : Secretary, Intelligence Advisory Committee SUBJECT Priority National Scientific and Technical Intelligence Objectives (Proposed Replacement of IAC-D-50/8, same subject, approved by the IAC on 10 January 1956) 1. Transmitted herewith is subject statement, which (a) was prepared jointly by the Scientific Estimates Committee, the Joint Atomic Energy Intelligence Committee, and the Guided Missile Intelligence Committee, each in its own sphere of responsibility, and (b)? is proposed to replace IAC-D-50/8 in the light of DCID 4/6, "Priority National Intelligence Objectives, " dated 30 October 1956. 2. We request that the Intelligence Advisory Committee review the enclosure with a view to issuing it as an IAC document to supersede IAC-D-50/8. /s/ /s/ it. C..oionel, USAk Chairman Chairman Joint Atomic Energy Guided Missile Intelligence Committee Intelligence Committee Chairman Scientific Estimates Committee Enclosure: (As stated) 13 February 1957 Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For Rase 2001/12/tt4C63?RDP85S00362R4#0400070001-9 IAC-D-50/8 First Revision (T) raft) 21 February 1957 Priority National Scientific and Technical Intelligence Objectives 1. Pursuant to National Security Council Intelligence Directive No. 4, paragraph 2, Director of Central Intelligence Directive No. 4/6 (DCID 4/6) established a list of priority national intelligence ob- jectives as a guide for the coordination of intelligence collection and production in response to requirements relating to the formulation and execution of national security policy. 2. The Scientific Estimates Committee, the Joint Atomic Energy Intelligence Committee, and the Guided Missile Intelligence Committee--each in its own sphere of responsibility and with the concurrence of the Intelligence Advisory Committee--have derived the following scientific and technical intelligence objectives from DCID 4/6. The statement of these objectives will be revised when required by revision of DCID 4/6. 3. By definition, all items in this listing are deemed to be critical national scientific and technical intelligence factors requiring priority attention and effort. Distinction is made, however, between three levels of priority within the general priority category. Order Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For Rase 2001/1~O&Cgf-RDP85S00362Rd00400070001-9 IAC-D-50/8 First Revision of listing within these three groups has no significance with respect to the relative priority of specific items within the group. 1. First Priority Objectives A. The capabilities of the USSR to conduct research on and develop weapons and other components of weapons systems requisite for nuclear attack on the United States or key US overseas installa- tions (DCID 4/6, para. I c). Particular emphasis will be placed on the scientific and technological aspects of Soviet work on: 1. Nuclear weapons, nuclear warheadp, and special nuclear materials. 2. Non-nuclear components of nuclear weapons and warheads. 3. Bomber aircraft (including nuclear propulsion therefor). 4. Guided missiles (including intercontinental ballistic, long-range non-ballistic/cruise type, air-to-surface, submarine-launched surface-to-surface types, and nuclear power for long-range guided missiles). * First Priority Intelligence Objectives are those which will permit the US: (1) to anticipate and counter those policies or actions of foreign states which would occasion gravest consequences to the US; and (Z) to stimulate policies or actions of foreign states(or actions within them) which could occasion greatest benefit to the US (DCID 4/6, para. 3 a). -2- Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 SECRET SECRET Approved For Rase 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362I 0400070001-9 IAC-D-50/8 First Revision 5. Submarines (ircluiing nuclear propulsion therefor) capable of delivering nuclear weapons. 6. Electronic systems including blind-bombing, long- range navigation, defensive fire control of nuclear delivery vehicles, and electronics (including com- munications) countermeasures systems. B. The capabilities of the USSR to conduct research on and develop weapons and other components of weapons systems requisite for defense against air (including missiles) attack (DCID 4/6, para. I c). Particular emphasis will be placed on the determination of scientific research and development on: 1. Nuclear warheads for anti-aircraft missiles, rockets and artillery. 2. Piloted defense aircraft. 3. Guided missiles including surface-to-air and air-to-air types. 4. Defense against intercontinental ballistic missiles. 5. Anti-aircraft rockets and artillery. Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For R1ir ase 2001/12 (&C'CT?-RDP85S00362RW0400070001-9 IAC-D-50/8 First Revision 6. Electronic systems including early warning, ground control intercept, airborne intercept, IFF, and missile guidance radars; air defense filter centers and communications networks; and electronics (including communications) countermeasure systems. 7. Passive defensive measures. C. Soviet capabilities, plans, and intentions for the clandestine delivery of nuclear, biological or chemical weapons against the US or key US overseas installations (DCID 4/6, para. I d). Particular reference is made to detection of specific scientific and technological accomplishments, such as the development of specialized weapons and the solution of the peculiar problems in packaging, transporting, and storing that will make such delivery feasible. II. Second Priority Objectives* A. Sino-Soviet Bloc scientific and technical strengths and weaknesses substantially affecting their military, economic, and Second Priority Intelligence Objectives are those which will permit the US: (1) to anticipate and counter those policies or actions of foreign states which would have serious consequences for the US; and (2) to stimulate policies or actions of foreign states (or actions within them) which could occasion great benefit to the US (DCID 4/6, para. 3 b). Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For Fiitease 2001/1 T0F: C RDP85S003621W'00400070001-9 IAC-D-50/8 First Revision political capabilities, including the possibility of major technological breakthroughs (DCID 4/6, para. II e and k). The priority assigned to these strengths and weaknesses applies, in the first instance, to the detection of scientific and technological developments which could give the Sino-Soviet Bloc a technological advantage. When such developments are detected, the priority of the subsequent intelligence effort will be determined by the extent to which the development af- fects US national security. In addition, second priority coverage will be given to the scientific and technological strengths which are basic elements in Soviet economic and military capabilities and to those technological weaknesses which may reflect grave Soviet vul- nerabilities. Therefore, particular emphasis will be placed on: 1. Research and development which are most likely to lead to significant technological advances a. Basic scientific research undertaken without specific focus on any particular application (for example, research in solid state physics, cosmic rays, radio astronomy, low temperature physics, upper atmosphere, enzymology, and catalysis). Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For tease 2001/'%V. -RDP85S00362 0400070001-9 IAC-D-50/8 First Revision b. Development of new applications of existing scientific knowledge (for example, earth satellites, weather control, long-range trans- mission of useful or destructive energy, means of influencing human behavior, and advanced communications systems). 2. Technological developments which can affect sig- nificantly the economic potential of the Sino- Soviet Bloc (For example, automation, methods of increasing food supply, and solar and nuclear power) 3. Technological developments which can affect significantly the military potential of the Sino- Soviet Bloc (For example, biological and chemical warfare, armored vehicles, naval vessels, etc. ) 4. The organization, control and status of science 5. The quality and quantity of Soviet scientific and technical manpower Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For tease 2001/1-2TOfA-RDP85S003621WM0400070001-9 IAC-D-50/8 First Revision 6. Fields in which technological weaknesses may reflect grave Sino-Soviet Bloc vulnerabilities (For example, biological and agricultural sciences related to improved food supply, automatic data processing system for air defense, and inter- continental ballistic missile defense) III. Third Priority Objectives' In addition to the priority objectives outlines in paras. I and II, above, it is recognized that scientific and technological developments may occur outside those areas discussed, which will have such sig- nificance as to affect US security. For that reason, certain third priority objectives (DCID 4/6, para. III) are stated below. Third Priority Intelligence Objectives are those which will permit the US: (1) to anticipate and counter those policies or actions of foreign states which would have harmful consequences to the US; and (2) to stimulate policies or actions of foreign states (or actions within them which could occasion substantial benefits to the US (DCID 4/6, para. 3 c).). Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For Lease 2001/MTRDP85S00362RW0400070001-9 IAC -D-50/8 First Revision A. Non-Sino-Soviet Bloc nuclear energy research and development; the production of fissionable materials and the use of such materials for weapons or other purposes. B. Significant scientific and technological developments in hich affect directly the military and economic potential. Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 SECRET AQ or A /k Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 CENTRALS INTELLIGENCE AGENCY IAC-D-50/7.cl 25 October 1956 r-EMO'ANDUNN. FOR TH , INTL1LIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE SUBJECT: Director of Central Intelligence Directive 4/6 Priority National Intelligence Objectives 1. The attached draft text of DCID 4/6 has been approved by the IAC representatives. 2. This paper has boon placed on the agenda of the IAC meeting scheduled for 10:15, Tuesday, 30 October. Secretary Intelligence Advisory Committee Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 SECRET IAC-D-507.1 C E N T R A L I N T E L L I G E N C E A G E N C Y 25 October 1956 SUBJECT: DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE DIRECTIVE NO. 4/6 PRIORITY NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE OBJECTIVES 1. Pursuant to National Security Council Intelligence Directive No. 4, paragaph 2, the following; list of priority national intelligence objectives is established as a guide for the coordination of intelligencE: collection and production in response to requirements relating to the formulation and execution of national security policy. 2. By definition, all items in this listing are deemed to be critical national intelligence factors requiring priority attention and effort. Distinction is made, however, between three levels of priority within the general priority category. Order of listing within these three groups is a matter of convenience in presentation and has no significance with respect to the relative priority of specific items within the group. Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 3. In order to afford a stable basis for intelligence planning, this directive is designed to remain valid over an extended period. It will be reviewed annually, or on the request of any member of the IAC. It is recognized that urgent interim requirements may arise requiring ad hoc treatment, and that the criteria on which the following priorities are establif$ed shall remain under continuing review. These critieria were issued in IAC-D_5O/7, 16 August 1955, and define categories of priority as follows: a. First Priority Intelligence Objectives are those which will permit the US: (1) to anticipate and counter those policies or actions of foreign states which would occasion gravest conse - qutnceas to the US; and (2) to stimulate policies or actions of foreign states (or actions within them) which could occasion greatest benefit to the US. b. Second Priority Intelligence Objectives are those which will permit the US: (1) to anticipate and counter those policies or actions of foreign states which would have serious consequences for the US; and (2) to stimulate policies or actions of foreign states (or actions within them) which could occasion great benefit to the US. Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 SECRET c. Third Priority IntellifZence Objectives are those which will permit the US: (1) to anticipate and counter those policies or actions of fcreiUn states which would have harmful consequences to the US; and (2) to stimulate policies or actions of forein states (or actions within then) which could occasion substantial benefits to the US. 4. DCID 4+/5 is hereby rescinded. 1 I. FIRST PRIORITY OBJECTIVES a. Soviet over-all politico-military strategy, intentions, and plans, particularly with respect to initiating hostilities using Soviet or Satellite armed forces. Lund to disarmament and arras inspection. 2J b. Chinese Coma:iunist over-all politico-military strate--y, intentions, and plans, particularly with respect to initiating hostilities using; Chinese Comiunist armed forces. c. Present and probable future Soviet capabilities for nuclear attack on the United States or key US overseas installations and for defense against retaliatory fairr attack. DCID 1+/5, "Priority National Intelligence Objectives," was issued 10 October 1955. Sections in brackets are recommended for deletion; underlined sections are recommended as new additions. Approved For Release 2001/124)4': CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 d. Soviet capabilities, plans, and intentions for the clandestine delivery of nuclear, biological, or chemical weapons against the US or koy US overseas installations. II. SECOND PRIORITY OBJECTIVES The USSR and European Satellites a. The Soviet estimate of US and allied capabilities and intentions, of US and allied economic and political stability, and of the strength, cohesion, and probable development of CthJ NATO. LB1oJ. b. Major Soviet international political objectives and courses of action, including economic policies and actions, with particular reference to courses designed to orient non-Bloc co:,.lries toward the Soviet Bloc, to weaken and disrupt ,fthe NATO alliance? US and US- supported alliances, or to foment antagonism among /betweeJ the Western powers and /Ksian powers7 between these powers and the rest of the free world. _L. SECRET Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 C* Soviet (includinL Satellite) political strengths and weaknesses: the actual locus of political power in the USSR; actual or potential personal or policy conflicts within the ruling Groups; Soviet-Satellite relations, with particular reference to the character and decree of Soviet control; the strenhs and weaknesses of the Soviet and Satellite apparatus of police control; the extent of actual disaffec- tion and of potential resistance in the Soviet and Satellite populations. d. The strength and weaknesses of the Soviet (ircludina Satellite) economy, with particular reference to its ability to support a major war; the motivation, character, and magnitude of current economic develop- ruent prograns, their ii.pler;entation, and their effect upon the economic, political, and military stren[~th of the Soviet Bloc; the capabilities and vulnerabilities of the Soviet and Satellite internal communications systems. e. Soviet and. Satellite scientific and technical strengths and weaknesses substantially affecting, Soviet military, economic, and political capabilities, including; the possibility of major technological break- throughs. SECRET Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 SECRET f. The general capabilities of the Soviet and Satellite armed forces. The Far East (including South and Southeast Asia) g. The Chinese Communist estimate of US capabilities and intentions with respect to the Chinese Communist regime and to the situation in the Far East. h. Major Chinese Communist international political objectives and courses of action, with particular reference to courses designed to foment antagonism betwee;:. Western and Asian powers, and to extend the area of Communist influence and control in Asia. i. The internal political strengths and weaknesses of the Chinese Communist regime: actual or potential porsonal or policy conflicts within the ruling group; the strengths and weaknesses of the Chinese Communist apparatus of police control; the extent of actual disaffection and of potential resistance in the population of mainland China. j- Sino-Soviet relations, with particular reference to the degree of Soviet influence or control, the extent of Chinese Communist freedom of action,Land7 actual or potential strains on the relationship, and the process of arriving at -and coordinating joint policies. Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 k. The strengths and weaknesses of the Chinese Communist economy; plans for its development, and progress therein; scientific and technological strengths and weaknesses affecting economic and military capabilities; the capabilities and vulnerabilities of Chinese Communist internal communications and communications with the USSR. 1. The Lstren th, composition, disposition general capabilities Land weaknessesT of the Chinese Communist armed forces. including their strategic and teactical doctrine, their political reliability, aryl their logistical support_T M. The military, political, and economic strengths and weaknesses of the North Korean regime, its political and military objectives and intentions, Chinese Communist military and political intentions with respect thereto, and the relative degree of Soviet and Chinese Communist influence, LoET control, and economic activity in North Korea. n. The political and economic strengths and weaknesses, and the general military capabilities, of the Viet Minh regime, the nature of its LioliticalT relationships with. the USSR and Approved For Release 2001/12&'. C1A-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 with Communist China, its political and military objectives and intentions, and its capabilities and intentions for clandestine and subversive activity in South Vietnara, Laos, and Cambodia. L3. The strength, composition, disposition, capabilities, and weaknesses of the Viet Minh armed forces, including the nature and amount off the military aid received from Communist China and 3/ the USSR. Cp. The political, economic, and military strengths and ,', weaknesses of non-Commiunist regimes in Vietnam, Laos, and Cambodia. Lq. The reactions of the governments and peoples of South and Southeast Asia to developments in Indochina and to the General 3/ Covered in revised paragraph II ra above. J Downgrade to category III. Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 threat of further Coiinunist aggrandizement in the region; strength and cohesiveness of the SEATO alliance; Communist political and 5/ subversive capabilities in those countries p. LFormer III cj The stability and orientation of India, Lpolicy of the Indian governrueng with particular reference to its position in the global balance of power, its relations with Cumiunist China and the USSR, fi ndd its attitude toward developments in Southeast Asia, and the progress of economic develo rarl ent_ J Downgrade to Category III. Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 CForrzer sj The stability and policies of the Middle East _ 6J Arab L'leaG,xue~ states, Iran, and Israel, with particular reference to d 1.. ~izcesa gas ta~~d installations, other co Atnents to the .West the Suez situation; the possibility of Arab-Israeli hostilities EMidd1c East defense p1Lm ; and both external and internal Car.raumist influence and capabilities vulnerabilities to Corunist propaganda and subversion, and Bloc political ana ec.onor is inducements. Europe tensions, to the increasing power of nuclear weapons, and to increasing Soviet nuclear warfare capabiltbiec;the effect of such reactions on the coherence and effectiveness of the NATO Alliance. Egypt, Jordan, Iraq, Lebanon, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Yemen, and the principalities and colonial or sernicolonial areas on the Arabian Peninsula littoral. SECRET Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 France's reaction to Soviet proposals regarding Gerrianya; France's will and ability to fulfill its NATO commitments; French policy toward North Africa parti- cularly with respect-lo, nationalist unrest in the area French North Africa, inciudina and Communist connections therewith. (and French policy toward the area u. (Former wJ The stability and orientation of the Yugoslav government, its strategic intentions in the event of war, and the strength, composition, disposition, capabilities, and weaknesses of its armed forces. Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 v. The stability of US base rights overseas; factors affecting the security of US military bases and install.atior:s in i orei~n areas. V. /Fouler xJ The stren;:th, cormposition, interrelationships, ca))abilities (political, subversive) and clandestine), L7n0,7 and groups vulnterat-Alities and tactics of Coc_munist parties/outside the Soviet Bic and of internatinnal Coonunist front organizations, particularly the political and the international role of the Yugoslav Corz.:.unist party and/paramilitary capabilities and vulnerabilities of the Couriunist parties in France and Italy. /trends in global and local Coo munist party tactics) X. Sino-Soviet Bloc efforts and capabilities for espionage: and sabotage. III. THI1) PRIORITY OBJECTIVES Far East /the Near East, and Lfric J a Political and economic stability of the South Korean regime; ROTC objectives and intentions toward North Korea and the US. b. Political and economic stability of the Chinese Nationalist rc ;ir.a: with particular reference to L-n_a'J its objectives and intentions - 12 - Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 toward Coumunist China and the US and its ability to resist Coimiunist pressures and inducements. South and Southeast Asia c. cForraer II pJ The political, economic, and l:ilitary strengths and weaknesses of Cron-CowunisL7 the regimes in Vietnam, Laos, and Car. bodia . cl. CFormer II cl.J The stability reactions of the governments Land people) of CSouth and Southeast Asia;/ reactions to Communist China's developing power position (clevelopr.ients in Indochina) and to the ;general threat of further Co;:i:iunist aggrandizement in the region; strength and cohesiveness of the SEATO Alliance, of other regional grouping;s, and of neutralist forces; Communist, political, and subversive capabilities in those countries; and the area's vulnerability to Ploc political and economic inducements. s e. CForiuer dJ The stability of the governments of Pakistan, CIran, Af har:nistan, and Ceylon rPurrla] with particular reference to Communist influence and capabilities. Southeast Asian countries encompassed are Lurmo, Thailand, Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, Indonesia, the I'klrses, the Malay States, and Singapore. - 13 - Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 SECRET h. The political and economic stability of Greece and Turkey. r ~cri s - - rr~ww.r..~.. i. Fcr-cer 1j,'._7 The Cyprus issue, particularly its effect on the defense of the Eastern Mediterranean, fnd on the Balkan Alliance and on Greek and Turkish relations with eachmother,.NJATO,, and the US. rrr r~r+ +rr.r rrr....rrrrn i v..r~..+~ w.r -.rrr+w.e.. j . L#'ormer ij Anti-American sentiment in Iceland and 67olitical opposition t policies toward NATO he continued presence of the US- manned NATO airbase at Keflavik ; also extent of Communist influence grade union movemeng and stability of the economy. rarrrrirra 14 SECRET Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 k. CForuer e_j The stability and policies of independent North African states. Racial tensions Chatred and political unrest throw ho U Cit Africa Ceouth of the SaharJ, with particular reference to areas of L possible violent unrest militant nationalism and availability to the US of strateaic materials; vulnerabilities to anti-Western econouic and other influences and the extent and nature of these influences. 1. L Ferrier J j The dovelopuent of militant nationalism) in Latin L :erica, including the Caarrihhear countries and European dependencies, with particular respect to anti-US sentiment arid Cowunist exploitation thereof; the availability to the US of strategic materials in Latin .fmrierica. U. CFormer kJ The stability and policy of the governments of Brazil, Ar;entina, Cant Chile, and Venezuela. General /i. Ecorsonic conditions and trends in backward countries, particu- larly as they affect vulnerabilities to Comunist propaganda on the one hand and attitudes toward the United States and the West on the other/ r.;. CForrrer T-,.7 Nora-Soviet nuclear energy research and develop- went; the production of fissionable materials and the use of such materials for weapons or other purposes. Approved For Release 2001/12L015 CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 SECRET SECRET Approved For' lease 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO036UM00400070001-9 IA-D-507 16 August 1955 I N T E L L I G E N C E A D V I S O R Y C O M M I T T E E criteria for Determining Priority National Intelligence Objectives 1. On 16 August the IAC approved the attached statement of criteria to be used in determining the priority national intelligence objectives based on the comprehensive objectives set forth in DCID l/3. 2. These criteria mill therefore be used in arriving at a revision of the present list of priority objectives as set forth in DCLD 4/)4 and in making subsegient semi-annual revisions. Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 SECRET SECRET Approved ForIease 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362+R 00400070001-9 IAC-D-50/7 16 August 1955 CRITERIA FOR DETERMINING PRIORITY NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE OBJECTIVES 1. Priority National Intelligence Objectives should be directly related to the intelligence required in the formulation and execution of national security policy. They should flow directly from the intel- ligence mission as set forth by the NSC and are therefore merely more detailed specifications of the intelligence required to fulfill that mission. They should provide the basis for determining appropriate research and collection requirements. 2. Most of the intelligence required in the formulation and execution of national security policy will be the product of normal intelligence collection and research, Priority National Intelligence Objectives should be limited to those critical factors which require special attention and effort. 3. In order to afford a stable basis for intelligence planning, a statement of Priority National Intelligence Objectives should be designed to remain valid over an extended period. It should therefore exclude topics of urgent, but transitory, interest, which will require and receive ad hoc treatment in any case. 4. Broad generalities are of little practical use as priority guidance to collection and research. Priority National Intelligence Objectives should therefore be specific enough to provide guidance for planning the allocation of collection and research resources, but not so specific as to constitute in themselves research and collection re- quirements. 5. Although all items in a statement of priority National Intel- ligence Objectives should be worthy of special attention, it is obvious that some will be of greater urgency or importance than others. Any listing of such objectives must be based on an analysis of the iDrld situation and US security interests and should be reviewed semi-annually. The following criteria will serve as guidance for determining the relative importance of Priority National Intelligence Objectives. 1. First Priority Intelligence Objectives are those which will permit the US: (a) to anticipate and counter those policies or actions of #breign states which would occasion gravest consequences to the US; and (b) to stimulate poli- cies or actions of foreign states (or actions within them) which could occasion greatest benefit to the US. Approved For Release 2001/1 Mdkff DP85SO0362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For (ease 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362 00400070001-9 IAC-D 50/7 16 August 1955 II. Second Priority Intelligence objectives are those which will permit the US: (a) to anticipate and counter those policies or actions of foreign states which would have serious consequences for the US; and (b) to stimulate policies or actions of foreign states (or actions within them) which could occasion great benefit to the US. III. Third Priority Intelligence Objectives are those which will permit the US: (a) to anticipate and counter those policies or actions of foreign states which would have _harmful consequences to the US; and (b) to stimulate policies or actions of foreign states (or actions within them) which could occasion substantial benefits to the US. Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 SECRET SECRET Approved For FWase 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362F400070001-9 IAC-D-50/6 29 March 1955 I N T E L L I G E N C E A D V I S O R Y C O M M I T T E E Release to Overseas Activities of DCID 4/3 "Comprehensive National Intelligence Objectives" and DCID 4/4 "Priority National Intelligence Objectives" 1. This statement is issued in view of the interest manifested by the several intelligence agencies in releasing DCID's 4/3 and 4/4 (titles as above) to their overseas activities. 2. The Director of Central Intelligence interposes no objection to such release of these documents under applicable security regulations. The same controls will be applicable to these documents as are prescribed for National Intelligence as set forth in IAC-D-69/2, 22 June 1953. Each of the IAC agencies is therefore authorized to send copies of these documents to its overseas intelligence activities whenever it considers it desirable to do so. 3. Additional copies of these documents may be obtained from the Office of Collection and Dissemination, CIA. Secretary IAC-D-50/6 29 March 1955 Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 SECRET SECRET. Approved For F*dase 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362F0400 TAC-D-50/5. 1 11 June 1956 Paper on Intelligence Requirements and Collection Tasks in Relation to Priority National Intelligence - DCID 4/5 1. The attached paper was submitted to the Director of Central Intelligence by Special Assistant to the Director for Planning and Coordination, in fulfillment of 25X1A the assignment explained to the IAC in IAC-D-50/5, 20 January 1955. In the preparation of this paper informal consultation was held by office with those principally interested, Army, Navy, Air Force and State, and the paper is designed to reflect the various facts obtained in that consultation. 2. The Director has accepted this report and requested that it be disseminated to the IAC members for their information. It will not be placed on the agenda except at the request of a member of the IAC. Secretary Approved For Release 2001/1MeRff P95SO0362R000400070001-9 ,SECRET Approved For F ase 200111270'4: CIA-RDP85SO0362FW0400070001-9 C IAC-D-50/5. 1 0 11 June 1956 P Y INTELLIGENCE REQUIREMENTS A'TD COLLECTION TASKS IN RELATION TO PRIORITY NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE -- DCID 4/5 25 May 1956 1. You requested that, in collaboration with representatives of IAC agencies, I conduct a review of the existing provisions for the development and coordination of information requirements and col- lection tasks in conformity with established Priority National Intelligence Objectives. This was explained to the IAC in IAC-D-50/5, 20 January 1955. 2. Description of the existing provisions: a. Priority National Intelligence Objectives, as approved by the IAC and noted by the NSC, authorize the fundamental direction which the community's intelligence production and collection efforts should take. They do not, however, serve as the sole or exclusive guide to the work of either research or collection offices, each of which devotes a portion of its effort to meeting "departmental" intelligence needs. These "departmental" intelligence needs coincide in many instances with the needs expressed in the Priority National Intelligence Objectives. b. In the course of research to meet Priority National Intelligence Objectives and departmental needs, research offices ascertain gaps in available information which require collection action to fill. Such research will in certain fields be subject to some coordination: for atomic energy thru JAEIC; for science and technology, SEC; for guided missiles, GMIC; for economics, EIC; and for basic intelligence, NIS. Such committees have in the past engaged in some coordina- tion of requirements, most usefully in regard to those requirements rating a high priority. Requirements thus endorsed are translated into requests for collection action by the agency responsible for the research. Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For Rase 2001/12/OF`Cia=R1P85S00362R9i0400070001-9 IAC-D-50/5. 1 11 June 1956 c. Available to all research offices are "Requirements Officers" who serve as middlemen between research and collection components. Their services are essential because of the size and complexity of our intelligence system which makes extensive direct individual contact between analysts and collectors administratively unfeasible. - It is the function of these Requirements Officers to insure (a) that Washington resources have been exploited before requests are sent to the field; (b) that the desired information is expressed in the form most clearly understandable and usable by the collector(s); and (c) that the request for information does not duplicate other requests, It must be remembered that the research officer is responsible for determining the substance of the information desired. The Requirements Officer can con- tribute thru,his understanding of research needs and collection machinery and capabilities and can frequently suggest other informational needs and other possible sources. The need expressed by the analyst in turn depends upon the research tasks to which he has been assigned. It should also be noted that the "coordination" performed by these Requirements Officers is essentially limited to requests originating within their own research components. d. The collection offices of the IAC agencies also include "requirements" elements whose task it is to act as a focal point in dealing with research components and further to insure that any given requirement does not duplicate one Requirements emanating from the research components of CIA, or submitted from any part of the intelligence community to a CIA collection facility are subject d to a further "coordination" by the Office of Central Reference.'Whis office reviews the selection made by the research office of the collector most appropriate to obtain the desired information, makes a determination of the collector to be requested to assume the responsibility and insures that a request does not unprofitably duplicate other requests already levied" Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 SECRET SECRET Approved For Rase 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362FIW0400070001-9 IAC-D-50/5. 1 11 June 1956 which has already been received and acted upon. They are usually a part of the collecting offices reports machinery which engages in a cyclical system of requirements, re- ports, and evaluations. It should be noted that these officers do not decide if collection will be undertaken. That is a command decision of collection supervisors, depending upon the capacity'to collect and his other responsibilities. 3. The above outline delineates the general procedure by which the need of an analyst for information is transmitted to a collector whose task it is to obtain the information. There are, of course, exceptions and special interagency arrangements have been established which permit decisions on priorities for collection as limited resources might require: USCIB and IPC. 4. In considering the problem posed in IAC-D-50/5 in the light of the procedures generally followed by the intelligence community as outlined above, certain lines of inquiry are explored below: a. A review of the existing provisions for the develop- ment and coordination of information requirements in conformity with Priority National Intelligence Objectives is not concerned basically with the activities of requirements officers attached either to research or to collection elements since these officers do not have the primary responsibility for determining the substance of requirements, or whether collection will be undertaken. Rather, it is their task to establish efficient and effective arrangements to those collectors who may be able to meet the need expressed in the requirements. Such a review, rather, must directly involve the administration and management of research components, since the substance of requirements stems principally from the tasks assigned the research components by their chiefs and the collection of information finally de- pends on the inherent capabilities and the administration of the collection facilities. In other words, the degree to which requirements are "developed and coordinated" in conformity with Priority National Intelligence Objectives depends upon the degree to which the tasks undertaken by the research components have been developed and coordinated in con- formity with the Objectives. -3- Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For F ase 2001/1 2 E . P85S00362l 0400070001-9 IAC-D-50/5. 1 11 June 1956 b. In the present framework of the intelligence community, collection tasks, developed in accordance with the needs of the research components, are allocated to collectors within certain areas of responsibility in keeping with the NSCIDs (NSCID 2, 5, 7 etc.) and DCIDs. The individual collection office, acting within the sphere assigned to it by appropriate directives, endeavors to meet the needs expressed to it by research offices trans- lating requirements into requests for collection action by the responsible agency. A review of the "development of collection tasks" thus again leads back to a review of the administration and direction given to research components, from which derive the needs which collectors try to meet. c. Collection offices do not and in the nature of things cannot concentrate all their efforts, plan their activities, and strive to build their resources toward meeting Priority National Intelligence Objectives. Each collection facility has been allocated a definite sphere of responsibility by NSCID, and must operate within that sphere. External considera- tions place definite limitations upon each collector. The Department of State, for example, is responsible for overt. collection overseas of political information. If requirements stemming from research to meet Priority National Intelli- gence Objectives were the primary or only factor governing the allocation of the political reporting resources of the Department, the distribution of overseas personnel of the Foreign Service would be vastly different from what it actually is. In reality, however, the Department's alloca - tion of resources is dictated by such factors as the limitation on the number of diplomatic personnel who can be stationed at posts behind the Iron Curtain, limitations on the useful information which such personnel are able to collect, and by other demands for political information not related to Priority National Intelligence Objectives. FI provides an equally striking example of the same phenomenon. A substantial portion of FI resources are necessarily al- located to areas and activities which, though not directly Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For F ase 2001/12SE 85S00362RQW0400070001-9 IAC-D-50/5. 1 11 June 1956 related to Priority National Intelligence Objectives produce information of use in important research of lower over-all priority. 5. The above considerations lead to the conclusion that the allocation of effort within his collection resources to various tasks is a command decision by the Chief of each collection facility, in the light of all the factors affecting the capabilities and limitations of the facility, as well as all of the requirements placed upon it. 6. Insofar as collectors are faced with competition for their capabilities, they might well inquire of the originator of the require- ments whether they are identifiable as supporting PNIOs and if so, which PNIO. This procedure has, in fact, been applied thru the IPC and to a certain extent the USCIB. 7. NSCIDs and other directives specify areas of responsibility among collectors, either by subject area (NSCID 2, 10), or by method of collection (NSCID 5, 7). NSCID 2 and DCID 2/1 provide a mechanism for coordinating overt collection tasks overseas. With regard to the coordinating responsibility assigned to Chiefs of Mission overseas by DCID 2/1, the Department of State has, over the years, endeavored to insure that coordination is effected thru procedures appropriate to each post. As a result of these efforts, DCID 2/1 is now, in general, being implemented in a reasonably satisfactory .manner. The IAC agencies under the leadership of the Department of State have in the last two years sent instructions to their representatives urging co- ordination of collection requirements as received in the field in order to obtain maximum benefit from the capabilities available. The replies give evidence that the field is complying with those instructions. I do not believe a further review of overseas coordination, as it pertains to the problem at hand, is required. NSCID-5 places upon the DCI responsibility for coordinating overt and covert collection activity. This is accomplished for the DCI principally in the field thru coordination between the representative at each post, and the representatives of other agencies, and at headquarters by CIA not accepting for clandestine collection by CIA requirements which can be obtained thru overt means. Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For A4ase 2001/12/DGlP85S00362F@0400070001-9 IAC-D-50/5. 1 11 June 1956 8. At the outset of its Post Mortem experience the IAC requested that the members prepare a single report on actions they had taken in pursuance of a Post Mortem. This was done in the case of China-- SE 27 (for report see IAC-D-57/1). Thereafter and in lieu thereof, the agencies have been asked in response to each Post Mortem to take such action within their own spheres of responsibility as they deem appropriate. It is presumed that "such action" initially means research with requirements for collection following as necessary. While the original procedure might be profitably reinstituted it would not be responsive to the problem at hand inasmuch as the requirements emerging from Post Mortems are not necessarily, and in many cases are not, in line with PNIOs. Post Mortem review is only one of the measures taken by research offices to initiate appropriate action to fill gaps which become obvious in the course of research. The re- establishment of the original Post Mortem procedure is not recommended as a means of making collection more responsive to PNIOs. 9. There is a possibility that the IAC might establish a sub- committee to, expand the PNIOs into an IAC approved requirements list in an effort to insure that requirements are indeed responsive to PNIOs. However, valid requirements cannot be developed in a vacuum; they must relate to an actual research need. The subject areas regarding which the IAC agencies can usefully coordinate their research programs (and thus their requirements) in terms of PNIOs have already been identified and subcommittees established, and additional coordination can be directed by the IAC as needed. It is believed unnecessary and unwise to try to effect "coordination" where a major overlap of interests does not exist. 10. Each agency or research component thereof has stated that its research program is responsive to PNIOs. Such programs will be affected as changes occur in national problems as reflected by needs of the NSC, its Planning Board, or individual operating agencies, as well as by revisions of the PNIOs. A new IAC subcommittee either to coordinate research programs over-all or to insure that research programs are responsive to PNIOs is not recommended. Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 SEC. ET Approved For F ase 2001/1 2i$rA UP 85S00362Rfi60400070001-9 IAC-D-50/5. 1 11 June 1956 11. Summary Conclusion: That no new provisions are required for the development and coordination of information requirements and collection tasks in conformity with DCID 4/5. Special Assistant to the Director for Planning and Coordination Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For Release 2001 A,E -RDP85SO0362R0004000 - ' 2gCUtivA Re3:stry /4c ha ~M- r objectives and the 9"wanuwa review the LtC that the Boar: rdiz is the ree i de tien c for daetereining priority naticr l t the iA as r* to trassadt their criteria to the Hoard at ate, repre"iti. to act in this matter. tion of DC ibid eds . % ;I +t,..adarting pr* ovs for the n of specific iafe r tion require- :n c onf. site with establish objectives, with - r iacrovsna at, if ! be. 1 and 1r. ides be* sr t i into acco nd that Y"c iV to yew fiat Assistant for 3 3rg w A ftordination Via took at cacti this raaiers; end wAmbers the IAC, roquetting its hiu on this t+s serztatia to work with * r'A Approved For Release 2061h2/ft" "CIA-RDP$5SO0362RO6 O46OO7.Q001 9 Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362 ?B,p00400070001-9 IMV"W 60'3, p. 7 ;A -D-50/3 listed 3a r 3 of the footnotes by, of fog categor'iop of priority inotead of threes the TT (b) ory to owe between the preeont T TI wA to i n c-lnde on order of pref ncst 17(d), Ta(o), TT(a),r TT(o) 3. Tn..usion of TT(b) and r(f) in C*t orY I a)#, 1(b), and 1(o) * footnote reading fo t+ a wee itmA are of pa-mamt int+ t to the do Ck eflt," h. Rorer of the ism to the C. b) a TT(f) In C t. ory To but wit ut Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 25X1A 25X1A Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For Releas 01/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R0004ow.0001-9 IAC-D-50/5 20 January 1955 MEMORANDUM FOR THE INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE SUBJECT: Review of Provisions for the Development and Coordination of Specific Information Requirements and Collection Tasks 1. In order to insure that DCID4/4 "Priority National Intelligence Objectives", approved by the IAC on 14 December 1954, is fully effective, it is desirable to review the existing provisions for the development and coordination of information requirements and collection tasks in conformity with established priority national intelligence objectives. 2. The Director of Central Intelligence has, therefore, assigned Special Assistant to the Director for Planning and oor ination, to conduct such a review in collaboration with the IAC agencies. 3. It is requested that you designate a representative to work with him on this problem. The names of designees may be 25X1A communicated to the Secretariat, Code 25X1A Secretary Intelligence Advisory Committee cc: Special Assistant for Planning and Coordination '3i/77o6,? ez Y 9-/) 25X1A ,a,/ts'Sv9 ,t-Q -P-) .1-16 / 3 #/ 714613 Al .41 J 9lde /Y 1/ ~e2 6 7 J 1. ,/.(/JS -t-x. .) qs 4F ,3,h6'6 j IAC-D-50/5 25X1A 1955 7.0 Januar y ' 1 J. 34 Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RD 85500000001-9 SECRET Approved For Releas [001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R00048IW70001-9 IAC-D-50/3 30 November 1954 I N T E L L I G E N C E A D V I S O R Y C O M M I T T E E National Intelligence Objectives 1. The attached paper has been prepared pursuant to the action of the IAC on 4 August 1953. (IAC-M-115, paragraphs 7 and 8. ) 2. This matter will be placed on the agenda of the IA.C meeting scheduled for 7 December 1954. Secretary IAC-D-50/3 30 November 1954 Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 SECRET Approved For Releas 001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000480670001-9 SECRET CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY 33 November 1951 NATIONTA.L INTELLIGENCE OBJECTIVES THE PROBLEM To review DCID4 /1 and DCID-L /2 (Second Revision)o in the light of NSCID-., and to submit recommendations regarding their basic revision. (IAC-11-115, L. August 1953, paragraphs 7 and 8.) That DCID-L/1 and DCID-4/2 (Second Revision) be rescinded. 2., That the draft DCID-4/3 in Appendix A be approved as a response to the first requirement of NSCID-1. 3. That the draft DCID-4/4 in Appendix B be approved as a response to the second requirement in NSCID-4. SECRET Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For Releas%0001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R00040 70001-9 S~;C FtET I~ That the current DCID on priority national 'intelligence objectives be reviewed at least annually hereafter. 5. That the statement of criteria in Appendix d be approved as guidance for such a review. S ;CRET Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For ReleasWO01/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R0004QJ70001-9 SECRET DRAFT DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INT ;LLIGLL?CE DIRECTIVE No. 4/3 COMPREiENSIVE NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE OBJECTIVES 1. Pursuant to National Security Council Intelligence Directive No* 4, paragraph 1, the following comprehensive national intelligence objectives, generall~y applicable to 4.1 foreign countries and areas, are hereby established; a. Basic descriptive data as outlined in NIS Standard Instructions, b, Social, economic, and political stability and trends of development; susceptibility to foreign influence or coercion; vulnerability to subversion? c. Military capabilities and vulnerabilities, offensive and defensive, including economic, scientific and technical$, and psychological factors. d. Capabilities to influence, coerce, or subvert other governments and peoples; capabilities for espionage, sabotage, and other clandestine operations in other countries. Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For Releasr' 001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R00041170001-9 e. Foreign policy, including strategic concepts and intentions; international alignment, with particular reference to alignment with or against the US or the USSR; disposition and intention to interfere in the internal affairs of other states; preparation for and intention to resort to armed action against other states. 2. Priority national intelligence objectives, with reference to specific countries and subjects, will be set forth in a separate DCID. 3. DCID-4/1 "National Intelligence Objectives," 5 February 19L8, is hereby rescinded. -4 - Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For Releas+@*O01/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000470001-9 SECRET APPENDIX B DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL IN'TELLIGENC'E DIRECTIVE No. 4/4 PRIORITY N TION.cL INTELLIGENCE OBJECTIVES 1. Pursuant to National Security Council Intelligence Directive No. t, paragraph 2, the following list of priority national intelligence objectives is established as a guide for the coordination of intelligence collection &nd production in response to requirements relating to the formulation and execution of national security policy. 2. By definition, all items in this listing are deemed to be critical national intelligence factors requiring priority attention and effort. Distinction is made, however,. between three levels of priority within the general priority category. Order of listing within these three groups is a matter 'of convenience in presentation and has no significance with respect to the relative priority of specific items within the group. Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For Relea1001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000070001-9 SECRET 3. In order to afford a stable basis for intelligence planning, this directive is designed to remain valid over an extended period. It will be reviewed at least annually. It is recognized that urgent interim requirements may arise requiring ad hoc treatment. 4. DCID-4/2 is hereby rescinded.* I. HIGHEST PRIORITY OBJECTIVES: Those of such critical importance as to require a maximum intelligence effort. a. Soviet over-all politico-military strategy, intentions, and plans, particularly Soviet intentions and plans to initiate hostilities using Soviet or Satellite armed forces. b. Chinese Communist over-all politico-military strategy, in- tentions, and plans, particularly Chinese Communist intentions and plans to initiate hostilities using Chinese Communist armed forces. *NOTE: DCID-4/2, "Priority List of Critical National Intelligence Objectives," was issued 28 September 1950 and revised 12 June 1952 and 4 August 1953. Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For Release&001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000468 70001-9 c.* Soviet development, production, and employment of weapons and other components of weapons systems requisite for nu- clearn attack on the.United States and/or key US overseas installations or for defense of the Soviet Bloc against air attack. Particular reference is made to the development, production, and employment of nuclear weapons; aircraft, guided missiles, and related base facilities; and electronic components of air defense systems. d. Soviet operational capabilities for the clandestine delivery of nuclear, biological, or chemical weapons; Soviet in- tentions to deliver such an attack. NOTE: Order of listing within Category I is a matter of convenience in presentation and has no significance with respect to the relative priority of specific items within that category. * The representatives of G-2, ONI', APOIN, and JIG consider this item too restricted. They would amend it to cover all forms of attack by deleting the words "nuclear" (in line 2) and "air" (in line 1+). They would also raise item II(f) to Category I. The State representative supports the text as it stands, but considers that, if item II(f) is raised to Category I, item II(b) should be also. The Board considers that, if items II(b) and II(f) are raised to Category I, items II(a), 11(c), II(d), and II(e) should be also. Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For Releasb.2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R0004QW70001-9 II. HIGH PRIORITY OBJECTIVES; Those of such high importance as to warrant an intensive intelligence effort. The USSR and European Satellites a. The Soviet estimate of US and allied capabilities and in- tentions, of US and allied economic and political stability, and of the strength, cohesion, and probable development of the NATO Bloc. b. Major Soviet international political objectives and courses of action, including economic policies and actions, with particular reference to courses designed to weaken and dis- rupt the NATO alliance or to foment antagonism between Western and Asian powers. C. Soviet political strengths and weaknesses: the actual locus of political power in the USSR; actual or potential personal or policy conflicts within the ruling group; Soviet-Satellite relations, with particular reference to the character and degree of Soviet control; the strengths and weaknesses of the NOTE: Order of listing within Category II is a matter of convenience in presentation and has no significance with respect to the relative priority of specific items within that category. -8- SFC~+n Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For Release 01/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R0004OQQ 0001-9 SECRET Soviet and satellite apparatus of police control; the ex- tent of actual disaffection and of potential resistance in the Soviet and Satellite populations. d. The character of the Soviet (including Satellite) economy, with particular reference to its ability to support a major war; the motivation, character, and magnitude of current economic development programs, their implementation, and their effect upon the economic, political, and military strength of the Soviet Bloc. e. Soviet and Satellite scientific and technical strengths and weaknesses affecting Soviet economic and military capabilities. f. The strength, composition, disposition, capabilities, and weaknesses of the Soviet and Satellite armed forces, including their strat Lric and tactical doctrine, their political reli- ability, that r logistical support, and military production and stockpi ing. NOTE: cjAz4ar, of listing within Category II is a matter of convenience in presentation and has no significane with respect to the re- lative priority of specific items within that category. -9 SECRET Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For Releagaw2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R0004QW70001-9 SECRET The Far East (including Southeast Asia) g. The Chinese Communist estimate of US capabilities and in- tentions with respect to the Chinese Communist regime and h. Major Chinese Communist international political objectives and courses of action, with particular reference to courses designed to foment antagonism between Western and Asian powers and to extend the area of Communist influence-and control in Asia. i. The internal political strengths and weaknesses of the Chinese Communist regime: actual or potential personal or policy conflicts within the ruling group; the strengths and weaknesses of the Chinese Communist apparatus of police control; the extent of actual disaffection and of potential resistance in the population of mainland China. NOTE: Order of listing within Category II is a matter of convenience in presentation and has no significance with respect to the rela- tive priority of specific items within that category. Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For Releasb?2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000470001-9 SECRET J. Sino-Soviet relations, with particular reference to the degree of Soviet influence or control, the extent of Chinese Communist freedom of action, and actual or poten- tial strains on the relationship. k. The strengths and weaknesses of the Chinese Communist economy; plans for its development, and progress therein; scientific and technological strengths and weaknesses affecting economic and military capabilities; the capa- bilities and vulnerabilities of Chinese Communist internal communications and communications with the USSR. 1. The strength, composition, disposition, capabilities, and weaknesses of the Chinese Communist armed forces, including their strategic and tactical doctrine, their political reliability, and their logistical support. M. The political and economic strengths and weaknesses of the North Korean regime, and the relative degree of Soviet and Chinese Communist influence or control in North Korea. NOTE: Order of listing within Category II is a matter of convenience in presentation and has no significance with respect to the r.-?.!hive priority of specific items within that category. - 11 - SECRET Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For Releas 01/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R0004JI 70001-9 SECRET ii. The strength, composition, disposition, capabilities, and weaknesses of the North Korean armed forces, including their political reliability and their logistical support. o. The political and economic strengths and weaknesses of the Viet Minh regime, the nature of its political relationships with the USSR and with Communist China, and its political and military objectives. The strength, composition, disposition, capabilities, and weaknesses of the Viet Minh armed forces, including the nature and amount of the military aid received from Communist China and the USSR. q. The Political, economic, and military strengths and weak- nesses of non-Com-,:unist regimes in Vietnam, Laos, and Cambodia. r. The reactions of the governments and peoples of South and Southeast Asia to developments in Indochina and to the general threat of further Communist aggrandizement in the region; Coi_,unist political and subversive capabilities in those countries. NOTE: Order of listing within Category II is a natter of convenience in pre: entation and has no significence with respect to the relative priority of specific items within that category. - 12 - SECRET Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For Releas001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R0004Q70001-9 NODE: Order of listing within Crtegory II is a matter of convenionee in prsentation and has no significance with mspact to the relative priority of specific items within that category. 13 SECRET Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For Releas 01/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R0004OW0001-9 V. The strength, composition, interrelationships, capabilities (political, subversive, and clandestine), and vulnerabilities of major Communist parties outside the Soviet Bloc and of international Communist front organizations, particularly the political and paramilitary capabilities and vulnerabilities of the Communist parties in France and Italy; trends in global and local Communist party tactics. III. LOWER PRIORITY OBJECTIVES: Those of sufficient importance to warrant priority in relation to normal coverage. South Asia, the Near East, and Africa a. The policy of the Indian Government, with particular re- ference to its position in the global balance of power, Ncyir^Or:.er of lis `zng within Category III is a matter of convenience in presentnn.tior. and has no significance with respect to the relative p_ iority of specific items within that category. 14 - .,RFm Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For Releas001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000470001-9 SECRET its relations with Communist China and the USSR, and its attitude toward developments in Southeast Asia. b. The stability of the Government of Iran, with particular reference to Tudeh strength and capabilities. C. Arab-Israeli relations, with particular reference to the possibility of an outbreak of open warfare. d. The stability and policy of the Egyptian Government, with particular reference to developments relating to Middle East defense plans, the Suez base, and the Sudan. e. Nationalist unrest in French North Africa and Communist connections therewith. NOTE: order of listing within Category III is a matter of convenience in presentation and has no significance with respect to the relative priority of specific items within that category. .. 15 - SECRET Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For Releas'y?001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R0004bW70001-9 h. The stability and orientation of the Yugoslav Government, its strategic intentions in the event of war, and the strength, composition, disposition, capabilities, and weaknesses of its armed forces. in America i. The development of railitant nationalism in Latin America, and Communist exploitation of this trend. J. Economic conditions and trends in backward countries, particularly as they affect vulnerabilities to Communist propaganda on the one hand and attitudes toward the United States and the West on the other. k. Non-Soviet nuclear energy research and development; the pro- relative priority of specific items within that category. 16 - SECRET duction of fissionable materials and the use of such materials for weapons or other purposes. order of listing within Category III is a matter of convenience in presentation and has no significance with respect to the Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For Releas01/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R0004(70001-9 SECRET APPENDIX C CRITERIA FOR DETERMINING PRIORITY NATIONAL INTELLI{ENCE OBE IVE 1. Priority national intelligence objectives should be directly related to the. intelligence required in the formulation and execution of national security policy. NSC 162/2, paragraph lOa (which is reproduced in IAC-D.:55/7 ffina7, page 1), provides general guidance in this respect. More specific guidance can be obtained by analysis of the basic policy objectives set forth in NSC 162/2 and in other NSC documents, and by direct consultation with the NSC Planning Board, 2. Most of the intelligence required in the formulation and execution of national security policy will be the product of normal intelligence collection and research. Priority national intelligence objectives should be limited to those critical factors which require special attention and effort. 3. In order to afford a stable basis for intelligence planning, a statement of priority national intelligence objectives should be designed to remain valid over an extended period. It should therefore exclude topics of urgent current, but tra?asitoiy, interest, which will require and receive ad hoc treatment in any case. Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For Releas01/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400001-9 SECRET 4. Broad generalities are of little practical use as priority guidance to collection and research. Priority intelligence objectives should therefore be reasonably specific. On the other hand, it must be recognized that such objectives cannot serve as specific collection requirements. The translation of priority national intelligence objectives into spec4!ic information requirements requires further analysis by research personnel; the translation of specific information requirements into specific tasks of collection requires further analysis by collection personnel. 5. By definition, all items in a statement of priority national intelligence objectives should be worthy of special attention, but it is obvious that some will be of greater urgency or importance than others. Some means of indicating priority within the gen,::ralpriority categor7 is therefore necessary, but care must be exercised lest the system adopted should, in actual effect, deny priority to a high priority objective. For exa,iiple, a highly schematic arrange- ment based on country priorities would have the effect of giving a low priority topic relating to a first priority country a higher priority than a first priority topic relating to a lower priority country, which \ might well not represent their true order of importance, This difficulty can be avoided by recognizing levels of priority within the general 18 - Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For Releas'b01/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000470001-9 priority category, with topics relating to a particular country entered at any appropriate level, as in Appendix Be This system would require the maximum exercise of judgment in relation to each item, but nevertheless, for the reason given, is preferable to any rigidly schematic system based, in the first instance, on country priorities. 6.. Recapitulation: Priority national intelligence objectives should be: a. Directly relate. to the intelligence required in the formulation and execution of national security policy. b. Limited to pressing substantive intelligence problems. c. Designed to remain valid over an extended period. d. Expressed in reasonably specific terms (but not as a final formulation of specific collection requirements). e, Stated in such a way as to indicate broad levels of priority within the general priority category (but not in so rigidly schematic a manner as to distort the rel.itive priority of specific objectives). Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For Releai2001 /12/0i&liV85S00362R0004WO70001-9 SECURITY INFORMATION I A C - D - 5 0 / 2 5 August 1953 INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE Priority List of Critical National Intelligence Objectives DCID 4/2 (Second Revision) At its meeting of 4 August 1953 (IAC-M-115) the IAC approved a Second Revision of DCID 4/2. This revision, attached as Tab A, introduces a new paragraph 3. Present paragraphs 4 through 8 were formerly numbered 3 through 7. Secretary I A C - D - 5 0 / 2 5 August 1953 z ~mac. Approved For Release 2001/12/04SP q[Wpp5S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For Relea 2001/12/4LGA'?r'rDP85S00362R00000007000t-,fig - A SECURITY INFORMATION To IAC-D-50/2 DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE DIRECTIVE NO. 4/2 (SECOND REVISION) Priority List of Critical National Intelligence Objectives (Revised 8/4/53) In accordance with DCID 4/1, paragraph 3, the following list in order of priority of critical national intelligence objectives, with respect to the USSR and its Satellites (including Communist China) is established; so the highest priority shall be given to the collec- tion of information and to the production of intelligence concerning Soviet and Satellite capabilities and intentions for: 1. taking direct military action against the Continental United States; 2. taking direct military action, employing USSR and Satellite Armed Forces, against vital U. S. possessions, areas peripheral to the Soviet Orbit, and Western Europe; 3. conducting clandestine attack by mass destruction weapons against the Continental United States, vital U. S. possessions, areas peripheral to the Soviet Orbit, and Western Europe; 4. interfering with U. S. strategic air attack; 5. interfering with U. S. movement of men and material by water transport; 6. production and stockpiling, including location of instal- lations and facilities, of atomic and related weapons, other critical weapons and equipment, and critical transportation equipment; 7. creating situations anywhere in the world dangerous to U. S. national security, short of commitment of Soviet and Satellite Armed Forces, including foreign directed sabotage and espionage objectives ; 8. interfering with U. S. political, psychological and economic courses of action for the achievement of critical U. S. aims and objectives. Approved For Release 2001/12/0 -4&RWOOA'9&FJ'M-9 erector of Central Intelligence Approved For Releas 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000420070001-9 S -E --E -T Security Information IAC-D-50/1 5 June 1952 INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE CRITICAL NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE OBJECTIVES In pursuance of the action of the Intelligence Advisory Committee at its meeting of 22 May 1952 (IAC M-71), the Interagency Priority Committee has prepared the attached revision of DCID 4;2 and recommends its approval by the IAC. Secretary S-E-C-R-E= IAC-D-50 1 5 June 1952 Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For ReIW2001/12/04 : CIA-RDP85S00312Fp~00 ipZp001-9 Security Information SECRET IAC -D - 501 DCI' 4/2 5 June 1952 PROPOSED DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE DIRECTIVE NO. 1i/2 (REVISED) PRIORITY LIST OF CRITICAL NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE OBJECTIVES Ad.dition.s are underlined; deletions in brackets) In accordance with DCI li./l, paragraph 3, the following list in order of priority of critical national intelligence objectives, with respect to the USSR and its Satellites (including Communist China) is established; so the highest priority shall be given to the collection of information and to the production of intelligence concerning Soviet and Satellite capabilities and intentions for: 1. taking direct military action against the Continental United States; 2. taking direct military action, employing USSR and Satellite Armed Forces, against vital U. S. possessions, areas peripheral, to the Soviet Orb_ !.t Union r, and Western Europe; 3. interfering with U. S. strategic air attack; l+. interfering with U. S. movelAent of men and material by water transport; 5. production and stockpiling, including location of installations and facilities, of atomic and related weapons, other critical weapons and equipment, and critical transpor- tation equipment; S-E-C-R-E-T IAC-D-50 1 Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362ROQO40QI)7)001-9 Approved For Rel a 001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R0 0 070001-9 S -E- -T Security Information IAC-D-.50/1 5 June 1952 6. creating situations anywhere in the world dangerous to U. S. national security, short of commitment of Soviet and Satellite Armed Forces, including foreign directed sabotage and espionage objectives; 7. interfering with U. S, political, psychological, and economic courses of action for the achievement of critical U. S. aims and objectives. WALTER B SMITH Director of Central. Intelligence SECPET DCI 7+/2 S -E -C -R -E -T TAC -n 50/ 5 June 1952 Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For Rele W2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000%b070001-9 S -ER -C -.1k -E -T Security Information IAC-D -50 19 May 1952 THE JOINT CHIEFS OF STAFF Washington 25, D. C. Joint Intelligence Committee JICM-309-52 2 May 1952 MEMORANDUM FOR THE, CHAIRMAN, INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE Subject: Critical National Intelligence Objectives with Respect to Communist China In view of the increasing military strength of Comtainist China, it is requested that the Intelligence Advisory Committee prepare a priority list of critical national intelli- gence objectives with respect to Communist China under the same procedures as those used to establish DCI )4/2, 28 September 3.950. /s S-E-C-R-E-T IAC -D-50 Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S003621 901Q490Q 9Q01-9 Approved For Relel 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R00Q 0070001-9 7 TAB B S-E-C-R-E-T Security Information IAC -D - 50 19 May 1952 DEVELOPMENT OF DCID 4/2 1. DCID 4/2 was proposed initially in an Air Force request of 10 July 1950 that the IAC prepare a list of "Critical National. Intel- ligence Objectives with respect to the USSR," giving the highest possible priority to the Defense Department list which had been approved by the JIC on 22 May 1950. 2. The Air Force felt that a National List was necessary "in order to definitely focus the attention of the intelligence collec- tion resources of all IAC agencies on the objectives which are presently of highest priority and critical character with respect to national. security." Their memorandum further stated,: "The objectives, a collection effort is required beyond the limited overt operations participated in by the service intelligence agencies, 1and beyond the authority of the purely military representation on the United States Communications Intelligence Board which states the priorities of the national commmunications intelligence effort." 3. The State Department and the overt collection units of CIA felt that they were already doing what they could to collect this information and that such a list would not help since such exact priorities were not a problem to them. Their needs could be met by establishing categories, by priority, of intelligence needs, and it was unnecessary to rank the items in the first category. It is believed that this comment also applied to the communications intel- ligence effort. However, felt that a list of national intel- ligence objectiv J_d give them a tool. with which to decide pressing questions of priority between the several agencies. 4. After informal consultation the IAC agreed _b-_ut_ 21 July that such a list should be developed. State, AEC, and F-BI submitted their lists to CIA which combined. them. with its own lists and the JIC paper and submitted a draft for consideration of IAC representatives in mid-August 1950. The IAC members approved the final redraft by memorandum on 28 September 1950. 5. In retrospect it is not thought that any of the collectors have changed their views on the utility of DCID 4/2. considers 25X1D it to be most useful to them. With the consent of IP i, has been inter reted broadly to apply to the Soviet European Orbit and as appli- cable s also applied it with respect to Communist China--thus in fa ady giving military requests a priority over economic, political, and other requirements. Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S003?2 MQIQLQQ70001-9 IAC-D-50 _ 19 May 1950 Approved For Rele 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R00% 070001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T Security Information IAC-D-50 19 May 1952 INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE CRITICAL NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE OBJECTIVES WITH RESPECT TO COMMUNIST CHINA 1. The attached memorandum (TAB A) has been received from the Secretary of the JIC. 2. The background of DCID 4/2 is briefly set forth for information in TAB B. Recommendation: 3. That if any formal action is desired, DCII) 4/2 be amended, with appropriate modifications, to cover all of the Soviet Orbit, including Communist China. JAMES Q. REBER Secretary S-E-C-R-E-T IAC-D-50 Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S0Cj'*90gj9@070001-9 Approved For Relehai 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000b070001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T Security Information IAC -D-49 21 April 1952 PROPOSED NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE ESTIMATE ON PROBABLE DEVELOPMEWS IN FRENCH NORTH AFRICA AND SPANISH MOROCCO The following proposal is submitted by the National Estimates Board for consideration of the IAC. PROBLEM: 1. To initiate a National Intelligence Estimate on probable developments in French North Africa and Spanish Morocco. FACTS BEARING ON THE PROBLEM: 2. The State Department is preparing a draft NSC paper on French North Africa, Spanish Morocco, and Libya. There is no National Intelligence Estimate on this area. DISCUSSION: 3. The current tension and outbreaks in Tunisia and earlier outbreaks in Morocco are symptoms of the growing nationalism in French North Africa which is creating increasingly serious problems for France and potentially for the U. S. Growing friction between the French and powerful local nationalist elements in the area may lead to further outbreaks with serious repercussions, particularly since the North African nationalists are being backed by the Arab- Asian bloc in the U.N. Complications have also arisen as a result of Spanish policy toward the Arabs, and recent developments regard- ing Tangiers. 4+. The Board of National Estimates believes that the probable future development of nationalism in the area, probable French and Spanish ability to cope with this development, and the implications for. U.S. interests are appropriate subjects for an early NIE. Such an estimate would serve as essential background for NSC considerate of the problem. 5. Although it is presently planned to include Libya in the NSC paper, the Board believes that the NIE need only cover French North Africa, Spanish Morocco, and Tangier. Not only is the Libyan problem more closely akin to those of the Arab States and more properly treated in that context but there is not the same need for national intelligence backing on this area. !ffe -ate draftsmen of the NSC paper have concurred informally with the omission of Libya. S-E-C-R-E-T Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R001460 0001-9 21 April 1952 Approved For Rele 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000 070001-9 S-E-C-R-E-T Security Information IAC -D-4() 2:L April 1952 6. The Board believes that the estimate should have no fixed time limit, but should look as far ahead as seems feasible. This is consistent with the long terns nature of the draft NSC policies which will be considered and with the general desirability of longer range estimates. 7. Intelligence representatives of the Department of State, upon whom the main estimative burden would fall, informally concur in the desirability of this estimate. Since the tentative target date for completion of the State draft NSC paper is 1 July, the Board believes that the NIE should.meet the same deadline. RECOMMENDATION: 3. That the DCI request the IAC to approve initiation of the following estimate: NI:f-69: Probable Developments in French and Spanish North Africa. James Q. Reber Secretary S -E -C -R-E -T IAC. D 49 Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R0004660#496+-91952 ,Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 S -E -C-R -E -T Security Information IAC -D -47 14 April 1952 INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE CENTRAL ELECTRONIC INTERCEPT ANALYSIS GROUP The attached paper will be placed on the IAC Agenda for Thursday, 21E April 1952, for consideration. JAMES Q. REBER Secretary S -E-C -R-E -T IAC D -1 7 - 14 April 1952 Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R@Q"@QgZgQq1-9 Security Information IAC -D -47 14 April 1952 CENTRAL ELECTRONIC INTERCEPT ANALYSIS GROUP 1. There is a need to strengthen the present electronic (ECM) intercept program by providing a suitable mechanism for prompt and thorough exploitation of the available electronic intercept material on an all source basis and of rapid feedback of evaluated intelligence for guidance to the operational intercept activities. 2. The importance of electronic intercept as the most reliable intelligence source for determining Soviet electronic capabilities is recognized by all intelligence agencies. In this connection IAC sup- port is needed for a program which will provide for more effective exploitation of electronic intercept material. 3. The enclosure "Review of Electronic Intercept and Analysis Activities" discusses the present methods of handling electronic inter- cept information and points out the need for a centrally located group to expedite this work. 4. It is recommended that the IAC lend its support to the immediate establishment of a central electronic intercept analysis group in or around Washington. It is suggested further, that the direct adminis- trative responsibility for the organization and operation of such group be assigned to the Navy, which has suitable space and available facil- ities at the Naval Communication Annex. 5. Detailed recommendations are set forth on page ii.. S -E-C-R-E-T IAC -D 14 April 1952 Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9 Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362~09060PQJ0901-9 Security Information IAC -D -~-7 14 April 1952 Review of Electronic Intercept Analysis and Evaluation Activities 1. There has been much concern in the intelligence community recently with attempts to estimate Soviet capabilities in air defense as a key factor in the preparation of national estimates. The recent intelligence from Korea makes the situation particularly urgent. Of the information necessary to make a sound estimate of Soviet air defense capabilities the greatest uncertainties concern the electronic systems and particularly the components essential to early warning, ground con- trol of interception (including both the radar and the communications links), airborne radar interception, and possible infrared or other passive means of interception. All of these electronic devices trans- mit or receive electromagnetic waves as an essential to their basic function. The electromagnetic radiations from enemy devices are sus- ceptible to being received by proper receiving equipment and to sub- sequent analysis revealing much valuable information concerning the capabilities and limitations of the enemy's all-weather air defense. 2. Recognizing the potentialities for obtaining both strategic and tactical intelligence through analysis of radio signals of this type, the Army, Navy, and Air Force have initiated a number of collec- tion activities variously called signal interception, Ferret operations, etc., which are usually lumped together under the general term "ECM intercept." These activities are now being utilized with some success to determine the location and system characteristics of radar and electronic navigation devices being employed in the Korean theater, in the satellites, and along the borders of the USSR. ECM intercept is a powerful weapon in penetrating the Iron Curtain and obtaining factual scientific and technical intelligence. 3. This intercept information, when integrated with that obtained from all other sources, can give a very complete picture of Soviet capa- bilities for air defense. The need for such a picture is current and continuing. For this reason the greatest help to the existing ECM pro- gram would be in improving the collection, analysis, evaluation, and distribution of the intercept material. This important phase of the problem is suffering most acutely from lack of a concentrated and unified effort for performing these functions with all the pertinent information available from all sources. The problem, therefore, is to strengthen the present ECM program and activities by providing a suit- able mechanism for prompt and thorough exploitation of the available intercept material on an all-source basis and of rapid feed-back of guidance to the operational intercept activities. S-E-?C-R-E-T IC -D - E7 1~+ Aril 1952 Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001- Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362RQuQ J7JW-9 security formation IAC-D -47 14 April 1952 Facts Bearing on the Problem 4. At th conference on electronics intelligence in March 1951, it was unanimously agreed that ECM intercept and analysis promises the gre,est return of any form of electronics intelligence and that immediate attention should be given to improving the methods and utilization of this type of intelligence. A formal paper was pre- pared and distributed to all participating service and civilian agencies in the United States. 5. There is growing recognition within the Military Services and CIA of the need for more effective processing and distribution of ECM intercept materials on an all-source basis for operational and'planning uses of all USA agencies and for adequate and timely support to all collection efforts. So far this recognition has not been duly implemented. 6. There is good work being done by the Army, Navy and Air Force, but the responsibility for the analysis of ECM intercept data is presently subdivided between these agencies and the liaison suffers from geogra- phical separation and other factors. There is much duplication of effort and at the same time much material is not being included. 7. At the present time there is no permanent, centrally located facility charged with the responsibility for the expeditious handling, analysis, evaluation, collation and distribution of all the ECM intercept material now being obtained by the several different collection activities. There is no facility reeding evaluated and timely intelligence back to 25X1D the collection groups for guidance in planning future operations. 9. There is at present a Joint Signal and Evaluations Analysis Sub-Pane]. of the Joint Electronics Warfare Panel of the Joint Communi- cations and Electronics Committee of the JCS which considers the inter- cept material previously and separately analyzed and evaluated. At intervals the Sub-Panel produces a summary for limited distribution. S-E-C-R-E-T IAC -D -47 ApprovedFor Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362RObU T &.J ISS Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R"J*D@D Dj@Di1-9 Security Information IAC -D -47 14 April 1952 The personnel of this group are service members representing operational, research and development, and intelligence groups who work on the Sub- Panel on a part time basis in addition to their normal full time labor- atory or military responsibilities; consequently the group is not able to process the ECM intercept material promptly and adequately. There is no CIA participation in the activities of this Sub-Panel. 10. A Central Electronic Intercept Analysis Group be established in Washington or in the area contiguous to Washington to be jointly supported by the Army, Navy, Air Force and CIA. The functions of this group will be: a. Analysis and collation of all. electronic intercept material. received on an all-source basis; b. Prompt dissemination of this intercept material to all interested activities; c. Preparation and dissemination through proper channels of recommendations for the guidance of collection activities on a world-wide basis; and d. Establishment at this central location of a library and repository of signal characteristics data, such information to be cross-indexed for ready reference and to include all known signal. emission information such as frequency, type of modulation, location, spectra analysis, oscilloscope photographs, recording of signals, etc. 11. The Central Electronic Intercept Analysis Group should be established as a permanent full time working organization functioning under the general direction of the Navy Department with participation by Army, Air. Force and the Central Intelligence Agency. The Group should be physically located within the immediate Washington area, preferably at the Navy Communications Annex in close proximity to AFSA It should have adequate representation from the three services and CIA to accomplish its mission. S -E -C -11-E -T MC-D-47 14 April 1952 Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85SO0362R000400070001-9 Approved For Rele2001/12/04 : CIA-RDP85S00362R00070001-9 S-'-C-h-E-T Security Information IAC -D -46 25 March 1952 INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE PROPOSED NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE ESTIMATES ILLEGIB The following proposals are submitted by the National Estimates Board for consideration of the IAC. PROBLEM 1. To initiate National Intelligence Estimates on the Argentine, Chile, and Venezuela. FACTS BEARING ON THE PROBLEM 2. No NIE has yet been written on these important Latin-American countries. re gence, Departmen o a e an a epu y c g , t S have indicated that a need is felt for an evaluation of the effect of current developments in those countries on the security interests of the US. 3. Informal discussions between the Special Assistant, Intelli- to/Tntel1i ence CTA ILLEGIB t t d th n t Di f DISCUSSION 4. In Argentina, the deterioration of the economic situation accompanied by an increase in President Peron's anti US propaganda,;, may portend a situation that would adversely affect US interests in' South America. tions. The Chilean elections and the forces released in connection with them are{possiblyjof importance to US security interests in the area. have always exploited their superior organization to draw full benefit ILLEGIB from electoral periods. There are also candidates who are oriented towards the anti-US line of Peron's personal press and radio organiza- (America, has a general election scheduled for this year. The Communist 5. Chile, with one of thelargest Communist parties in Latin 6. Venezuela's oil and iron constitute a major asset for the Western World in its struggle with the Soviet bloc. The protection this asset must be a major objective in US cold-war strategy. The Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R01 ,Q iWOlr'-9 25 March 1952 Approved For Rele'2001/12/04 : CIA-RDP85S00362R00070001-9 S - C -R-E -T Security Information GC.~C o IAC-D-16 et 25 March 1952 11 C" present military junta of Venezuela has powerfi~ enemies, and its ability and willing ess'to support US policies, as weld as its pros- pects, should be assessed. RECOMMENDATION 7. That the IAC approve the initiation of the following estimates: a. NIE-66: Probable Developments in Argentina. Priority: High. Target date: 15 May. s NIE-67: Probable Developments in Chile with Particular Reference to the Implications of the Electoral Period. Priority: Rou ine. Target date: 15 J c. NIE-68: Probable Developments in Venezuela, with Particular Reference to Factors Affecting the Availabili y to the 7S o Strategic Materials. Priority Routine. Target date: 1 July. JAMES Q. REBER Secretary S -E-C -R-E -T IAC 25 March 1952 Approved For Release 2001/12/04: CIA-RDP85S00362R000400070001-9