ADDENDUM PROJECTS COMPLETED

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP85S00362R000200140027-5
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: December 4, 2002
• Sequence Number: 27
• Publication Date: December 12, 1952
• Content Type: REPORT

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S-E-C-R-E-T
Security Information
IAC-PR-29
12 December 1952
ADDENDUM
PROJECTS COMPLETED
1. SIE-5 (Formerly NIE-60, Part I): Soviet Air Defense Capabilities
195--._
Status; IAC approved this estimate on 20 November.
It was published 3 December 1952.
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2. SIE-6 (Formerly NIE-60, Part III): Soviet Programs to Disperse
Industry and Stockpile
Status: Requested by State and authorized by the IAC
on 15 November 1951. IAC representatives approved
terms of reference on 27 December. The ORR contribution
was received and reviewed. On the basis of its efforts
to produce a draft the Board concluded that this estimate
should be cancelled and discussion inaugurated with
ORR to examine further the critical aspects of this
problem, namely the location of Soviet industry, the
Soviet transportation system, and the Soviet stockpiling
program. It is planned to take steps to cancel this
estimate in conjunction with coordination of Program of
Estimates for 1953.
5-1,~-C-R-E-T
IAC-PR-29
12 December 1952
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IAC-PR-29
12 December 1952
ADDENDUM
PROJECTS COMPLETED
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1. SIE-5 (Formerly NIE-60, Part I): Soviet Air Defense Ca abilities
1952-195
Status; IAC approved this estimate on 20 November.
It was published 3 December 1952.
DEFERRED
2. SIE-6 (Formerly NIE-60, Part III); Soviet Programs to Disperse
Industry and Stockpile
Status: Requested by State and authorized by the IAC
on 15 November 1951. IAC representatives approved
terms of reference on 27 December. The ORR contribution
was received and reviewed. On the basis of its efforts
to produce a draft the Board concluded that this estimate
should be cancelled and discussion inaugurated. with
ORR to examine further the critical aspects of this
problem, namely the location of Soviet industry, the
Soviet transportation system, and the Soviet stockpiling
program. It is planned to take steps to cancel this
estimate in conjunction with coordination of Program of
Estimates for 1953.
S-E-C-R-E-T
IAC-PR,29
12 December 1952
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IAC-PR-29
12 December 1952
INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE
PROGRESS REPORT
PROJECTS COMPLETED
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2. NIE-64 . Probable Soviet Bloc Courses of Action Through
(Part II): MLd-1953, approved by the IAC on 1 December 1952.
3. NIE-70: Conditions and Trends in Latin America Affecting
US Security, approved by the IAC on 14 December
1952.
1. NIE.-211: Austrian Security Capabilities Following
Withdrawal of Occupation Forces, approved
by the IAC on 3. December 1952
4. NIE-64
(Part I):. Soviet Bloc Capabilities Through Mid-1954,
Revision approved by the IAC on li December 1952
. and
Supplement
PROJECTS CANCELLED
5. NIE-40 Potential Military, Economic, and Scientific
Accretions to the USSR Resulting from the
Acquisition of Western Europe in the Fore-
seeable Future
Status: Scheduled by ONE in late May 1951 (see
Item 14, IAC-D-1, dated 1 November 1950). Referred
for action to EIC in June 1951. On 10 November 1952,
with the concurrence of the Chairman, EIC, the Board
agreed to drop its current draft and to recommend
to the IAC that the estimate be cancelled. A
memorandum so proposing was forwarded to the IAC
on 25 November. All members concurred by
4 December.
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IAC-PR-29
12 December 1952
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IAC-PR-29
12 December 1952
PROJECTS IN PROCESS
A'. National Intelligence Estimates
6. NIE-45: Probable Attitudes and Policies of the Free
World toward the East-West Conflict through
Mid-195
Priority: Routine*
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Status: At the IAC meetings on 14 and 24 April
MC-I4-67, paragraph 6, and IAC-M-68, paragraph 1),
it was agreed that an estimate on this general sub-
ject would replace VIE-45, cancelled by the IAC.
Terms of reference were prepared by ONI and submit-
ted to ONE on 5 May. On 13 May, ONE circulated
these with recommendations for modifications.
All. agencies concurred. Board action on revised
terms of reference was deferred pending progress
on NIE-64 (Part II). On 7 November, the Board
directed the Staff to reactivate this estimate.
IAC representatives approved terms of reference
on 5 December. Contributions will be made orally
in a series of area meetings beginning 15 December.
7. NIE-56: Likelihood of Loss of Important Economic Resources
h .Far East
Priority; Routine
Status: A series of estimates to cover various
areas were authorized by the IAC on 11 October 1951
at the request of G-2. EIC contribution was received
on 24 April 1952. A draft was circulated to the IAC
agencies on 24 November. IAC representatives met
on draft on 3 December and concluded that this paper
should not be published as an NIE. G-2 is checking on
current requirement for such an estimate.
Priorities used in decreasing order of urgency
are; Crash, Urgent, High,, Routine and Deferred
S-E-C-R-E-T
IA PC R-29
12 December 1952
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12 December 1952
8. NIE-59: Relative Strategic Importance of East-West Trade
to the Soviet Orbit and to the Rest of the World
Priority: Routine
Status: Initiated in response to NSC requirement.
On T -November 1951 the Project was referred to the
EIC by the IAC representatives. The draft of the
EIC working group was received on 3 October 1952.
A Staff draft has been completed in ONE.
9. NIE-63: France's Prospective Ability to Play a Major
Role in the Western Security System
Priority: Routine
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Status: Authorized by the IAC on 13 March at
the suggestion of the Board. IAC representatives
met on terms of reference on 7 April. Draft is
now before the IAC representatives.
10. NIE-65; Soviet Bloc Capabilities, through 1957
Priority; Routine
Status: Authorized by the IAC on 13 March at the
suggestion of the Board. IAC representatives
approved terms of reference on 6 June. Defense,
ONI, and Air Force contributions have been received.
Awaiting OIR and ORR contributions. (OIR contribution
expected 23 December).
11. NIE-71: Probable Outlook for Italy
Priority: Routine
Status: Initiated pursuant to paragraph 2.d. of
Board Program of Estimates circulated on 5 May 1952.
A draft is being prepared in ONE on basis of agency
contributions.
12. NIE-73 Conditions and Trends in the Middle East Affecting
U.S. Security
Priorit1: Urgent
Status: The Board recommended to the IAC on 26 June
the scheduling of this estimate. IAC concurred on
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12 December 1952
3 July on which date the IAC representatives met
on terms of reference. Contributions were all
in by 9 September. A draft is now before the
Board.
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13. NIE-74: Probable Developments in Burma through 1953
Priority; Routine
Status: Requested by State and approved by the
IAC on 30 September. IAC representatives approved
terms of reference on 1 October. Contributions
were all in by 17 November. Staff is drafting.
14. NIE-76: Probable Developments in Est
Priori.t: Routine
Status; Requested by G-2 and approved by the
IA on 6 November. IAC representatives met on
terms of reference on 25 November. Target date
for contributions is 23 December.
15. NIE-77: Probable Developments in Indonesia
Prey: Routine
Status; Authorized by the IAC on 19 November at
the suggestion of the Board of National Estimates.
IAC representatives met on terms of reference on
24 November. Contributions are due on 23 December.
16. NIE-78; Estimate of Soviet Intentions over the Next Decade
Pri_ ority: Urgent
Status; DCI requested long-range estimate on Soviet
Intentions to be prepared through IAC machinery
Mc-M-85 dated 23 October 1952). On 26 November,
Board approved draft prepared in ONE. Copy of Board
draft was sent to the DCI on 28 November and circulated
to IAC agencies on 29 November. IAC representatives
held initial meeting on 12 December. Revision in
progress.
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IAC-PR-29
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IAC-PR-29
12 December 1952
17. SE-3I.: Albania
Pri~.. o^ ra: Urgent
t_.a_tus: Initiated by the IAC on 20 November at
request of the DCI. Board draft was approvid. on
5 December for circulation to the IAC agences. On
11 December, IAC representatives approved a draft
for circulation to IAC.
B. Scientific Intell' ence Estimates
18. St tus of Soviet Medical Research
Initiated.;by CIA and approved by SIC for production.
Under review in OSI.
25X1
19. Status of Soviet Dev ent 1'n he Field of Ph sits
Comment has been received from SEC members.
published in January. To be
20. Status of Soviet Metallur
---- Meta Pr
To be completed as a joint project. Contributions have
been received from various agencies and the first draft should
be completed by 1 January 1953.
Economic Intelli ence Estimates
21. Eco nomic Capabilities for War of th USSR and its Sa
tellites
group to direct the ro'ect. "" o november, EIC set up a working
grope to b p Terms of reference for the project were
cy 11 December. The study has been divided into two
phases: (1) Cold war capabilities 1952
been received by the Working Group~andhave5beencusedlbutions have
preparation of NIE-6L and NIE-65. A summary paper n y this p phas the
e
in the process of final review and will be completedby 31 Decem Decem is
1952; (2) Capabilities for hot war beginnin lber
1951}; no target date has been set. g July 19 2 and 1 July
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IAC -PR -29
12 December 1952
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IAC-PR-29
12 December 1952
23. Proposed DCID 11/1 (Received from theAEIC) (IAC-D-58)
IAC on 20 November agreed to return to Committee for redrafting.
D. Other Items of Concern to the Committee
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EC-PR-29
12 December 1952
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