INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE PROGRESS REPORT

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP85S00362R000200140023-9
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: December 4, 2002
• Sequence Number: 23
• Publication Date: July 15, 1952
• Content Type: REPORT

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IAC-PR-25
1.5 July 1952
INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE
PROGRESS REPORT
PROJECTS COMPLETED
i. iE-29: Present and Potential off ensive Capabilities of theChinese
Nationalists and Proh&)le Reactions to an Identifiable US
Program of Preparing the Nationalists for Offensive Operations
against the Ch
inese Communists, published 1
9
The IAC approved on 12 June the revision of DCID 4/2.
8. Monitoring of Warning-of-Attack Messages by the Watch Committee
(IAC D 52 M-7,)
June 1952 .
2. SE-30: Probable Soviet Courses of Action with Res ect to Berlin
Through .Mid-1953, ,published June 1952.
3. SE-31: Consequences of the Termination under Terms
Battle Act of US Aid to Denmark, published Julof195952.
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4. NIE-66: Probable Developments in Argentina, .publishedl3 June 1952.
5. Soviet and Satellite Activities and Potential in the Production and
Use of Catechol. Requested by Air Force in May 1951. CIA draft,
including Navy and Air Force contributions concurred in by
SIC agencies on 17 March 1952. Published 15 July 1952
(CIA/SI 5-52).
6. Coordination in Berlin (IAC-M-64, Revised, M-70, M-75)
The IAC agreed to suspend action on the problem with advice
to General Truscott to proceed as appropriate with the
intelligence chiefs in Germany.
7. Critical National Intelli ence Ob'ectives with Respect to Communist
Chine. .LAC-D-50, D-50 1, M-71 M-74
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PROJECTS CANCELLED
9. NIE-68: Probable Developments in Chile. (IAC-M-75)
PROJECTS IN PROCESS
A, National Intelli ence Estimates
10. NIE-40: Potential Milita
T___ r , Economic and Scientific Accretions
to t USSR ReG?it;~n
~?~ a uleseeable Future
Priority: Routine*
Status: Scheduled by ONE in late May 1951 (see Item 14,
IAC D ]_, dated 1 November 10
EIC in June l 95 ). Referred for action to
951. EIC contribution has been received. A
draft is being prepared in ONE. Target date for draft to
? the IAC representatives: 15 August.
11. NIE-45: Probable Attitudes and Pies of the Free Vrld t
o card
Priority: Routine
Status: At the IAC.meetings on 14 and 24 April (IAC-M-67,
pa -6, and IAC-tai-68
mate on this general subject wouldtreplace NIE- 4that an e ell d
by the IAC. Terms of reference were prepared byONIcandsub-
mitted to ONE on 5 May. On 13 May ONE circul
recommendations for modifications. All agencies dconthese wih
curred.
Board action on revised terms of reference has been deferred
pending porgress on NIE-64 (Part II).
12. NIE-47: Communist Intentions and Ca abilities in Asia
Priority: Routine
Priorities used in decreasing order of urgency
? are: Crash, Urgent, High, Routine and Deferred
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and the USSR: Their Present Chara
-ese cter Cand Probable1Future Courses
Priority: Routine
e
Augu
14. NIE-58: Relations Between the Ch'
? Status: A draft is being considered in ONE.
Tor circulating a draft to the IAC repre Target date
sentatives. 25 July.
15. NIE-59: Relative Strategic Importance of East-West Trade to the
Soviet Orbit and to the Rest of the World
Pri?r~: Routine
Status: Initiated in response to NSC requirement (see NSC
memorandum to Special Committee on East-West Trade, dated
8 October, enclosing memorandum dated 4 October from Mr.
Dulles to Executive Secretary, NSC
Project was referred to the EIC )' On 16 November, the
Target date for EIC review of theyfithe IAC s.
nal paperpandepresenta-
tion to ONE has been moved to 21 August.
16. NIE-61: Copse uences of Communist Control over the Indian
Subcontinent
Priority: Routine
Status: Authroized by the IAC on 20 December 1951, at the
request of State. Board approved draft on 26 June for cir-
culation to IAC representatives, who met on 14 July.
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IAC-PR-25
15 July 1952
Following receipt of agency contributions, a Staff draft
was circulated to the Board for general comment and to the
IAC agencies for specific review of data in appendixes.
13. NIE-56: Lir.hood of Loss of Important Economic Resources of
Selected Foreign Areas
Priority: Routine
Status: A series of estimates to cover this subject author-
ized by the IAC on 11 October at the request of G-2. Con-
tributions to Part I (Economic) are being handled through
the EIC. EIC contribution on Near, Middle, and Far Eastern
and South Asian areas was received on 24 April. ONE is
drafting terms of reference on Parts II (Factors Affecting
Availability) and III (Conclusions) for these areas. EIC
contribution on Latin Am
e
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rica and Africa is du
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Status: Authorized by
the $oAut y the JAC on 13 March at the suggestion
IAC representatives met on terms of reference
on 7 April. The Office of Scientific Intelligence contri-
bution and those of the Defense agencies have been received.
The Department of State contribution is expected about 15
July.
18. NIE-6i. Soviet Capabilities for General War
(Past I): through Mid-153
Priority: ty: High
Status: Authorized by tius Bout y the IAC on 13 March at the suggestion
Target date: 1 September. IAC representatives
approved terms of reference on 1.4+ April. All contributions
have been received. A preliminary draft is being considered
in ONE .
em
Prl__.?ritY: Routine
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17. NIE-63: France's Pros ective Ability to Pla a
the Western Security Syst or Role in
19. NIE-6).
. (Part II): Soviet Bloc Co urses ,' Action tbrou b Mid-1-953.
Pri--- oity: High
Status:
Status: Authorized by the IAC
Board. on 13 March at the suggestion
Of ~ Target date: 15 September. IAC representa-
tives approved terms of reference on 2 Ma. been received. A draft is bein y' dl contributions
20. NIE-6 g prepared i n ONE.
5: Soviet Bloc Capabilities through 157
Priority: Routine
Status: Aui;h.orized by +-
oM e Board. '~ the ~C on 13 March at the suggestion
IAC :representatives approved terms of refer-
ence on 6 June. Defense contribution due 26 September;
OIR contribution due 17 October
and Reports contribution due and the Office of Research
31 October.
21. NIE-67: Probable Develo ments in Venezuela
Priority: Routine
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15 July 1952
Status: Requested by State and authorized by 27 March. Target date: 1 August. Air Force, ONI,Aand G-2
contributions were received in early May. State contribu-
tion was received on 20 June. lAC representatives will meet
on a draft on 18 July.
22. NIE-69: Probable Develo_ menu in French North Africa Spanish
Morocco, and Lib a
Priority: High
Status: Initiated by ONE and authorized b
2Apri1. IAC representatives a y the IAC on
on 1 May. All contributions have beendreceilved. feis
being Prepared in ONE. A draft
23. NIE-70: Conditions and Trends in Latin America Affecting US Security
Prl
ority: Routine
Status: Initiated pursuant to paragraph 2f. of the Board of National Estimates cirulatedates
5 May 1952 and IAC action on ONE memorandum dated 29 April.
? Target date: 1 August. Draft terms of reference were 11 approved by the IAC representatives on 1.3 May. contributions were received on 16 June. That of Air
on 17 June. Awaiting State contribution due 23 June. G-2
24. NIE-71: Probable Outlook for Ita1
Priority: Routine
Status: Initiated pursuant to paragraph 2d. of the Board of National Estimatesci~ ulateda5eMa
1952. Target date: 15 September. IAC representatives y
approved terms of reference on 20 May. Contributions are
due on 20 August.
25. NIE-72; Probable Develo menu in the iJnion of South Africa
Priority: o~y: Routine
Status: This estimate was projected in the Program of
Estimates for the remainder of 1952. curred in scheduling this estimate. Or. 21 May the IAC con-
IAC representatives a r Target date: 1 September. ved Contributions are duepon?25 Julys of reference on 24 June.
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15 July 1952
26, NIE-73: Conditions and Trends in the
Securft US OFFICIAt~ nnn v Middle East Affecting US
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Pri_._orit : Routine
Status: Board recommended to IAC on 26 June the schedulin
of this estimate. IAC concurred on 3 Jul g
y, on wh
the IAC representatives met on terms of ref
er nceich Tadate
rget
date: 1 October. Contributions are due on 2 September.
B. Scientific Intelligence Estimates
Except as otherwise noted, the following projects by CIA and approved by SIC forjects were
27? Forei Activities and Potential in Cloud E? ;plosives
Estimated Date of Publication: July 1952
Status; Initiated b
lance y SIC in May 1951. CIA draft produced with assis-
of SIC agencies circulated to the interested
14 July for comment and/or concurrence. SIC members on
. 28. Status of Soviet Medical Research
Estimated Date of Publication: July 1952
Status: CIA draft, includinC
co d i
or nated through the JMSI,contributions from SIC agencies
being
29. Status of Soviet Develo ments in the Field of Physics
Estimated Date of Publication: August X952
Status: Contributions have been received dr ft will be circulated to SIC members b from SIC agencies. First
y 18 July.
30. Status of Soviet BW Program
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Estimated Date of Publication: August 1952
Status: Prepared in CIA r
Sa a enc Prepared on basis of contributions received from the
g First draft has been reviewed by JBWIC. preparation in OSI to be reviewed by JBWIC by end of July draft
Publication date extended to incorporate recently eently acquired data.
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31. Status of Soviet CW Pro ram
Estimated Date of Publication: August 1952
Status: CIA draft, including SIC agencies' contributions, will be
forwarded to the JCWIC for review about 16 July.
32. Status of Soviet Metallur Pro ram
Estimated Date of Publication: November 1952
Status: Terms of reference approved by the ad hoc committee on
1N3,-ember 1951. Contributions from SIC agencies are expected by
1 September. (The part of this paper which covers Powder Metallurgy
requested by SIC in May 1951 was forwarded to SIC members 14 July.)
33. Develo ment and Utilization of Science in the Soviet Union
Estimated Date of Publication: November 1952
Status: Upon completion of the foregoing reports,
first draft for SIC consideration. CIA will write
? 34? RDB Re nest for Intelli ence Estimate of Soviet Scientific an
echnoloL2 abilities IAr._M_7o d
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C- Economic Intelli ence Estimates
25X1 i Economic
35. ic Capabilities for War of the USSR and Its Satellites
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D. 'Other Items of
Concern to the Committee
Security Information
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15 July 1952
37. Paper Mills and Fabrication and Source Control
IAC-M- , D-5
The recommendations of an IAC ad hoc subcommittee for the estab-
lishment of an interagency source control mechanism are awaiting IAC
nnnsi Aarn+i n"
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IAC-PR-25
15 July 1952
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