INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE PROGRESS REPORT

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP85S00362R000200140016-7
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 4
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: December 4, 2002
• Sequence Number: 16
• Publication Date: September 4, 1951
• Content Type: REPORT

S-E-C-R-E-T
Approved For Release 2003/02/27: CIA-RDP85SO 40016-7
4 September 1951
INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE
PROGRESS REPORT
1. SE-9: Probable Developments in the Far East Following a
Failure in the Cease-Fire Negotiations in Korea.
Published 6 August 1951.
2. SE-11: Probability of a Communist Assault on Japan in 1951.
Published 17 August 1951.
NIE-23: India's Position in the East-West Conflict. Published
September 1951.
4. NIE-31: Capabilities of the USSR for Clandestine Attack on
the United States with. Weapons of Mass Destruction.
Published September 1951.
NIE-35: Probable Developments in Indochina During the
Remainder of 1951. Published 7 August 1951.
A. Intelligence Estimates
6. SE-10: Soviet Capabilities for Surprise Attack on the
Continental United States Before 1952.
Priority:* Urgent
Estimated Date of Publication: Deadline to NSC
20 September.
Status: Requested by NSC. Deadline to General Smith
is 13 September. Parts I.A. and I.C. were circulated
to the IAC representatives on 25 August and considered
*Priorities used in decreasing order of urgency
are: Crash, Urgent, High, Routine and Deferred.
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on 28 August. Part I.B., based on NIE-31, has been
incorporated in the revised text. The whole of Part I
was circulated to the IAC representatives on the 31st.
The FBI has been requested to coordinate through the
IIC the appropriate sections of the 30 August text.
Joint Staff contribution to Part II was received on
4 September. Part I is to be considered by the IAC
on 6 September.
7. SE-12: Possible Communist Intentions in Terminatinthe
Kaesong Negotiations.
Status: Coordinated with IAC representatives on
23 August. Deferred pending further developments.
8. NIE-33: European Satellite Power Complex.
Priority: Routine
Estimated Date of Publication: Undetermined
Status: Scheduled by the IAC. All contributions
have een received. Staff is drafting.
9. NIE-39: Ps cholo ical Im act of a Strate is Air Offensive
Against the USSR.
Priority: Urgent
Estimated Date of Publication: 15 September.
Status: Requested by the Special Assistant, Intelli-
gence, Department of State. A staff draft was con-
sidered by the Board of National Estimates on the
30th. Draft in p,.separation for circulation to the
IAC representatives.
10. NIE-40: Potential Military,_ Economic, and Scientific Accretions
to the USSR Resultin- from the Ac uisition of Western
Euro e Before Mid-1952.
Priorit,: Routine
Estimated Date of Publication: Undetermined
Status: Awaiting contributions which are due on
17 November.
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11. NIE-41: Probable Developments in the Kashmir Dispute to the
End of 1951.
Priority: High
Estimated Date of Publication: 10 September.
Status: Urgently requested by OIR. To be considered
by the IAC on 6 September.
12. NIE-42: The Current Situation in Albania, with Particular
Reference to Greek, Yugoslav, and Italian Interests
and Pretensions.
Priority: Routine
Estimated Date of Publication: Early October.
?
Status: Initiated by the Office of National Estimates
and authorized by the Director of Central Intelligence.
Proposed terms of reference circulated to the IAC
agencies on 13 August, and a meeting of their repre-
sentatives held on 17 August. Contributions are due
on 14 September.
13. NIE-43: The Strategic Importance of the Far East to the USSR
and Communist China.
Priority: Urgent
Estimated Date of Publication: Mid October
Status: Initiated by G-2 at request of General Ridgway
and authorized by the IAC on 23 August. Terms of
reference were considered by the Board of National
Estimates on 30 August. Staff is revising.
25X1
14.
Priority: High
Estimated Date of Publication: Undetermined
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Status: Initiated by the Office of National Estimates
and authorized by the DCI on 23 August. Revised terms
were circulated on the 29th for Board consideration.
15. NIE-45; Likelihood of a Soviet Attempt to Promote a Broad
Relaxation of Tensions.
Priority: Routine
Estimated Date of Publication; Undetermined
Status: Initiated by the Office of National Estimates
and authorized by the Director of Central Intelligence
on 29 August. Terms of reference were reviewed by the
Board on the 29th, and are in preparation for circula-
tion to the IAC agencies.
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