INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE PROGRESS REPORT

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP85S00362R000200140012-1
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 5
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: December 4, 2002
• Sequence Number: 12
• Publication Date: May 22, 1951
• Content Type: REPORT

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S-E-C-R-E-T
IAC-PR-13
22 May 1951
INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE
PROGRESS REPORT
A.
Intelligence Estimates
1.
SE-4;
Intelligence Implications of a Census and Verification
of Armed Forces and Armaments. Published 12 May 1951.
2.
SE-5:
Vulnerabilities of Communist China. Published 22 May
1851.
3.
SE-6:
Current Developments in Iran. Published 22 May 1951?
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NIE-24:
German Attitudes on Rearmament. Published 15 May 1951.
B. Other Items of Concern to the Committee
? 5. Intelligence for Civil Defense (IAC-D-20, 20%1, 202)
Status: A memorandum identical with IAC-D-201 has been sent
to FCDA after all IAC members had concurred. A
memorandum from CIA, approving FCDA's security arrange-
ments, is being circulated as TAC-D-2U~2.
PROJECTS IN PROCESS
A. Intelligence Estimates
d. NIE-23: India's Position in the East-West Cpnflict
Priority:- Routine
Estimated Date of Publication: Early June
Note: Priorities used, in decreasing order of urgency, are:
Crash, Urgent, High, Routine, and Deferred.
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Status: Approved terms of reference were circulated to the
IAC agencies on 27 March. The contributions of the IAC agencies
were due on Tuesday, 17 April. The contributions of the Army,
Navy, and Air Force were received on 16 April; that of State on
the 30th. Staff .is drafting.
7. NIE-25: Soviet Capabilities and Intentions
Priority: Urgent
Estimated Date of Publication: Early June
Status: A draft on the basis of existing materials on hand is
now before the National Estimates Board.
8. NIE-28: Likely Soviet Tactics in a Prospective CFM
Priority: Deferred
Estimated Date of Publication: Undetermined
Status: The IAC representatives on 9 March agreed to postpone
further review of this estimate until the Paris meeting of the
Deputy Foreign Ministers had been concluded.
9. NIE-31: Capability of the USSR for a C:l.andestine Attaci~ on
the United States with Weapons of Mass Destruction
Priority:. Routine
Estimated Date of Publication: bate June
Status: This estimate Baas s~nhedu2ed by tote IAC on 2 April at
the requee~G of ONI. C3:A has consulted with. the Chairman of ICIS
and gill keep in taucl2 with him and the appropriate ICIS sub-
committee.
10. NIE-32: Effects of Operations in Korea on Communist China
Priority: Routine
Estimated Date of Publication: Early June
Status: Terms of reference were sent to the IAC representatives
on 1 May and approved on 3 May. Contributions were all in by
18 May. Staff is drafting.
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11. NIE-33: European Satellite Power Complex
Priority: Routine
Estimated Date of Publication: Undetermined
Status: The National Estimates Board on 2 April approved the
scheduling of this est7.ma~te. Terms of reference were circulated
to the IAC agencies on l3 April. A meeting of the IAC repre-
sentatives was held on 18 April. Contributions by State, Army
(coordinatinb Defense), and the Office of Research and Reports
are due by 15 July.
12. NIE-34: Position of Spain in the East-West Conflict
Priority: Routine
Estimated Date of Publication: Undetermined
Status: Pursuant to IAC action at its meeting on 5 April, the
Office of National Estimates drafted terms of reference. IAC
representatives reviewed terms of reference on l6 May. Contri-
butions are due on 6 June.
13. NIE-35: Indochina; ~`urrent Situation and Probable Develo ments
Pri_ ~o~rity: Routine
Estimated Date of Publication: Mid June
Status: Pursuant to a request from the Assistant Chief of Staff,
G- 2, GSUSA, and the recommendation of the National Estimates
Board, the IAC on 26 April approved the scheduling of an estimate
of the Indochina situation. The Board approved terms of refer-
ence and circulated these on 2 May to the IAC representatives
who met on 7 May. Contributions due on 21 May, have all been
received. Staff is drafting.
1~+. NIE-36: Burma: Prospects for Survival of the Present Regime
Priority: Urgent
Estimated Date of Publication: Mid June
Status: Pursuant to a request from the Special Assistant
Intelligence), Department of State, the IAC on 26 April
approved the scheduling of this estimate with "urgent" priority.
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S E C R E T
IAC -PR -13
22 May 1951
On 5 May, the National Estimates Board approved terms of
reference on basis of State request. The IAC representatives
reviewed terms of reference on 10 May. Contributions are due
on 25 May 1951.
11+. NIE-37: Likelihood of a Soviet Invasion of Japan during 1951
Priority: Urgent
Estimated Date of Publication: Undetermined
Status: Pursuant to IAC action on 10 May (see IAC-D-21), the
terms of reference were drafted and circulated to the IAC
agencies on 22 May. The IAC representatives are scheduled to
meet on these at 2:30 Friday, 25 May.
15. NIE-38: Prospect of Increased Soviet Activity
in the Spit2bergen Area
Priority: Routine
Estimated Date of Publication: Undetermined
Status: Terms of reference are being drafted. in the Office of
National Estimates pursuant to the recommenci.at:i.on of. the Assis-
tant Chief of Staff, G-2, Intelligence (See IAC-I)-5/3)
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IAC-PR-13
22 May 1951
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IAC-PR-13
22 May 1951
B. Other Items of Concern to the Committee
16. Psychological .Intelligence Support
No change since the last Progress Report (IAC-PR-12).
17. Biographic Intelligence
No change since the last Progress Report (IAC-PR-12).
25X1
lg. Requirements
Problem: To develop adequate arrangements for providing coor-
dinated requirements by priority for the various
collection units, particularly with respect to covert
collection.
Status: JCS Paper No. SM-626-51 containing G-2, ONI, and A-2
requirements (mainly for covert collection) has been
screened for possible collection by other than covert
means. The balance will now be analyzed for priority
handling. The State Department has prepared targets
of primary interest to it for correlation with the
JCS paper as may be necessary or useful.
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S-E-C-R-E-T
IAC-PR-13
22 May 1951
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