INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE PROGRESS REPORT

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
CIA-RDP85S00362R000200140010-3
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
S
Document Page Count: 
5
Document Creation Date: 
December 14, 2016
Document Release Date: 
December 4, 2002
Sequence Number: 
10
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
April 24, 1951
Content Type: 
REPORT
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PDF icon CIA-RDP85S00362R000200140010-3.pdf198.44 KB
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? Approved For Release 2003/02/27: CIA-RDP85S00362 90O2903j4Q 10-3 IAC-PR-11 24+ April 1951 INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE PROGRESS REPORT A. Intelligence Estimates 1. NIE-19: Feasibility of Japanese Rearmament in Association With U. S. Published 20 April 1951- 2. NIE-26: Key Problems Affecting U.S. Efforts to Strengthen the Near East. Published 25 April 1951- 3, NIE-13: Prospects for the Creation of an Adequate Western European Defense. ? 0 PROJECTS IN PROCESS A. Intelligence Estimates 4. SE-4: Intelligence Implications of a Census and Verification of Armed Forces and Armaments. Priority: Urgent Estimated Date of Publication: 4 May 1951 Status: On 5 April the IAC directed the prepara- tion of a special estimate covering as much of the requirement as possible with the time limit of a week, A copy of the National Estimates Board draft together with the contributions of the IAC agencies were sent to Mr. Nitze on 13 April. A meeting of the IAC representatives was held on 18 April and on the 19th. Additional contributions, due on the 20th, were received on the 23rd. It is planned to circu- late a revised draft to the IAC representatives on the 26th. Note: Priorities used, in decreasing order of urgency, are: Crash, Urgent, High, Routine and Deferred, S -E -C -R -E -T IAC-PR-11 24 April 1951 Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP85S00362R000200140010-3 0 Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP85S00362R000200140010-3 S -E -C -R -E -T IAC-PR-i1 24 April 1951 5. NIE-23: India's Position in the East-West Conflict Priority: Routine Estimated Date of Publication: Middle May Status: Approved terms of reference were circu- lated to the IAC agencies on 27 March. The contri- butions of the IAC agencies were due on Tuesday, 17 April. The contributions of the Army, Navy, and Air Force were received on 16 April. State contribution is not expected until the 27th. Staff is drafting. 6. NIE-24: German Attitudes on Rearmament Priority: Routine Estimated Date of Publication: 28 April Status: On 23 April this draft estimate was circulated to the IAC and placed on the agenda of the meeting scheduled for Thursday, 26 April. 7. NIE-25: Soviet Capabilities and Intentions ____ority: Urgent Estimated Date of Publication: Late May or early June Status: The preparation of a draft on the basis of existing materials on hand has been referred to a committee of the National Estimates Board. 8. NIE-28: Likely Soviet Tactics in a Prospective CFM Priority: Deferred Estimated Date of Publication: Undetermined Status: The IAC representatives on 9 March agreed to postpone further review of this estimate until the Paris meeting of the Deputy Foreign Ministers had been concluded. 0 S -E -C -R-E -T IAC-PR-11 24 April 1951 -2- Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP85S00362R000200140010-3 ? ? ? Approved For Release 2003/02/27 CIA-RDP85SO0362R000200140010-3 S-E-C-R-E-T IAC-PR-11 24 April 1951 9. NIE-30: Soviet Capabilities to Interfere with U.S. Delivery of Atomic Weapons to Targets in the USSR 10. NIE-31: Priority: Deferred Estimated Date of Publication: Undetermined Status: The IAC on 23 April suspended action on this estimate and referred the matter to General Smith. Capability of the USSR for a Clandestine Attack on the United States with Weapons of Mass Destruction Priority: Routine Estimated Date of Publication: June Status: This estimate was scheduled by the IAC on 2 April at the request of ONI. CIA has consulted with the Chairman of ICIS and will keep in touch with him. 11. NIE-32: The Communist Military Position in Korea and Its Effect on Sino-Soviet Courses of Action in the Far East Priority: Deferred Estimated Date of Publication: No date Status: The National Estimates Board reviewed a revised draft on 11 April. On 12 April, the IAC authorized a redefinition of the problem. The IAC representatives met on 16 April and deferred action on NIE-32. 12. NIE-33: European Satellite Power Complex Priority: Routine Estimated Date of Publication: Undetermined S-E-C-R-E-T IAC-PR-11 24 April 1951 -3- Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP85SO0362R000200140010-3 0 Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP85SO0362R000200140010-3 S -E -C -R -E -T IAC-PR-11 24 April 1951 Status; The National Estimates Board on 2 April approved the scheduling of this estimate. Terms of reference were circulated to the IAC agencies on 13 April. A meeting of the IAC representatives was held on 18 April. Contributions by State, Army (coordinating Defense), and O/RR are due by 15 June. ? 13. NIE-34: Position of Spain in the East-West Conflict Priority: Routine Estimated Date of Publication: Undetermined Status: Pursuant to IAC action on 5 April, ONE is drafting terms of reference. B. Other Items of Concern to the Committee 14. Psychological Intelligence Support Problem: To recommend the necessary arrangements for interagency support of psychological warfare. Status: The problem has been discussed with all agencies concerned both from the planning or operating viewpoint and from the intelligence side. As a result of these conversations a tentative break- down has been made of the kinds of intelligence support that are required. The immediate need is: (a) to find out if this is an accurate, complete, and meaningful break- down; (b) to determine who will provide each type of intelligence, or what portion of each type, and the extent to which each requires interagency coordination; (c) to clarify agency responsibilities and to recommend appropriate ways of achieving necessary coordination. CIA has the responsibility and initiative to see that appropriate intelligence support is provided for psychological warfare and that the intelligence activities of government departments and agencies in this field are properly coordinated. S -E -C -R -E -T IAC-PR-11 24 April 1951 -4- Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP85SO0362R000200140010-3 ? ? 0 Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP85SO0362R000200140010-3 S-E-C-R-E-T IAC -PR-11 24 April 1951 15. Biographic Intelligence Problem: To suggest the most effective biographic facility for the Federal Intelligence System. Status: Tentative proposals based on an interagency survey are being discussed with the IAC Agencies on the working level. S-E-C-R-E-T IAC -PR -11 24 April 1951 -5- Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP85SO0362R000200140010-3 25X1