MINUTES OF MEETING HELD IN DIRECTOR S CONFERENCE ROOM, ADMIN BUILDING CIA ON 6 OCTOBER 1953

• Document Type: CREST
• Collection: General CIA Records
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): CIA-RDP85S00362R000200040033-9
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: S
• Document Page Count: 22
• Document Creation Date: December 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: January 6, 2003
• Sequence Number: 33
• Publication Date: October 6, 1953
• Content Type: MIN

Approved For Rele 2003/02/2E, 5500362R0.00040033-9
SECURITY WORM-A71-ON IAC -M-124
6 October 1953
INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE
Minutes of Meeting Held in Director's
Conference Room, Administration Building
Central Intelligence Agency, on 6 October 1953
Director of Central Intelligence
Allen W. Dulles
Presiding
?
Mr. W. Park Armstrong, Special Assistant, Intelligence,
Department of State
Major General Richard C. Partridge, Assistant Chief of
Staff, G-2, Department of the Army
Rear Admiral Carl F. Espe, Director of Naval Intelligence,
Department of the Navy
Major General John A. Samford, Director of Intelligence,
Headquarters, United States Air Force
Dr. Charles H. Reichardt, Atomic Energy Commission
Representative to the IAC
Brigadier General Edward H. Porter, Deputy Director for
Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Mr. Meffert W. Kuhrtz, acting for Assistant to the Director,
Federal Bureau of Investigation
25X1
Lt. General Charles P. Cabell, Central Intelligence Agency
Mr. Robert Amory, Jr., Central Intelligence Agency
Dr. Sherman Kent, Central Intelligence Agency
Dr. H. Marshall Chadwell, Central Intelligence Agency
Mr. H. D. Sheldon, Central'Intelligence Agency
Mr. Otto E. Guthe, Central Intelligence Agency
Mr. James Q. Reber, Central Intelligence Agency
Mr. Ludwell L. Montague, Central Intelligence Agency
1Central Intelligence Agency
Central Intelligence Agency
Central Intelligence Agency
Central Intelligence Agency
IAC -M -124
6 October 1953
C' Approved For Release 2003/02/2751 -R5SO0362R000200040033-9
 Approved For Rel~e 2003/02/?3jgcJ 85SO0362ROO00040033-9
TAr-AA_174
6 October 1953
Mr. William C. Trueheart, Department of State
Mr. Allan Evans, Department of State
Brigadier General John M. Willems, Department of the Army
Lt. Colonel T, C. Anderson, Department of the Army
Dr. Samuel McKee, Department of the Army
Captain Allan L. Reed, USN, Department of the Navy
Captain K. C. Hurd, USN, Department of the Navy
Colonel Donald H. Ainsworth, United States Air Force
Colonel John J. Morrow, United States Air Force
Colonel Robert Totten, United States Air Force
Colonel Charles F. Gillis, United States Air Force
Colonel George E. Perry, United States Air Force
Captain E. T. Layton, USN, The Joint Staff
Colonel Samuel M. Lansing, The Joint Staff
25X1
?
0
Secretary
IAC-M-124
6 October 1953
Approved For Release 2003/02/275 5SO0362R000200040033-9
 Approved For Rel?e 200310212J1 P85S00362R0.000409A?9 M-124
? SECURITY NF'O MA=N 6 October 1953
Approval of Minutes
1. Action: The Minutes of 29 September 1953 (IAC'-M-123)
were approved.
IAC Policy on Approval
of Appendices to NIEs
2. Action: The IAC (a) rescinded its action of 4 September
1952 relating to appendices (IAC-M-81 Revised, Item 2); (b) instructed
the Board and the IAC representatives to hold the use of appendices
and their length to a minimum consistent with the adequate presenta-
tion of estimates; and (c) agreed to act upon such appendices as are
found to be necessary in the same manner as upon any other part
of the estimate. The Board was further instructed to insure the
earliest practicable notice to the IAC agencies whenever the scope
of the intelligence requirement, particularly if levied by the NSC,
indicated a need for appendices.
? Watch Committee
Indications Center
3. Action: Agreed to form a special committee to conduct a
thorough and prompt review of the watch process and prepare
recommendations for the IAC and, ultimately, the NSC. The com-
mittee will consider as an initial step a paper to be prepared and
circulated by CIA and thereafter such other papers, including the sub-
ject proposal tabled by General Willems, as the agencies submit.
The agencies are to nominate a highly placed officer to Mr. Huntington
Sheldon, CIA/OCI, who will call the first meeting, at which time the
committee will select a chairman and adopt its procedures.
4. Discussion: The DCI stated that he felt that the existing
Watch Committee was a great improvement over the situation prior
to its creation, but that developments over the past years (including
the atomic progress of the USSR, the increasing problem of conti-
nental defense, and the concurrent growth.in importance of economic
and political factors) made it desirable to reexamine the scope and
limitations of the watch process, how that process can best function,
IAC-M-124
6 October 1953
Approved For Release 2003/02/27SE 5SO0362R000200040033-9
 ?
?
Approved For Rel?e 2003/02/K~,h85SO0362ROO00040033-9
SECURITY INFORMATION IAC-M-124
6 October 1953
and what major problems are involved. It was the sense of the
meeting that such a reexamination was desirable.
General Samford said that the watching process is a most
difficult matter, and he was doubtful that we had even accurately
defined the problem. It seemed to him, he said, that since the
watching process inevitably transcends the ability of any one
agency or of the military services, the broad leadership of the
DCI was required. General Porter agreed that the leadership of
CIA was needed in this important intelligence function. Mr. Dulles
stated that he had no preconceived notions regarding the outcome
of the special committee but felt that General Samford's remarks
should be fully considered, along with other ideas, by that committee.
With respect to graphical or mathematical processing of
indications, it was believed that these should be explored, but the
danger of stressing such methods to the exclusion of analytical
appraisal of the indicators and their implications was pointed out.
General Cabell emphasized that a distinction must be preserved
between the process of watching and the process of estimating, and
.that, to assure that this distinction is maintained, clear terms-of-
reference and procedures must be provided the watch mechanism.
First Annual Progress
Report of the IWG
Program of NIEs for 1953.
(1 October Quarterly Revision)
25X1
IAC-M-124
? -2- 6 October 1953
Approved For Release 2003/02/27gEL t* 5SO0362R000200040033-9
 Approved For Rel* 2003/02/?3 ggq py85S00362Rw J0040033-9
SECURITY 6NFOBMAT9ON IAC-M-124
. 6 October 1953
Proposed NIE on Effects
of the Coming of an Era
of Atomic Plenty
7. Action: Approved in principle, and agreed that the memo-
randum circulated by Mr. Armstrong would be used by' the Board of
National Estimates in developing terms-of-reference for IAC con-
sideration at its meeting on 20 October.
Matters for NSC Briefing
8. Discussion: The Director requested the agencies to
provide him with any information on British Guiana available prior
to the Wednesday meeting of the Council.
/Secretary's Note:
?
1. All agencies having concurred in IAC-D-71,
3 September 1953 ("Proposed DCID No. 7/1")
the DCI issued this Directive 1 October 1953.
?
25X1
IAC-M-124
-3- 6 October 1953
Approved For Release 2003/02/275 5S00362R000200040033-9
 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP85SO0362R000200040033-9
Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP85SO0362R000200040033-9
 Approved For Rel4 ~j8fff - M - 125
Security Information 13 October 1953
INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE
Minutes of Meeting Held in Director's
Conference Room, Administration Building
Central Intelligence Agency, on 13 October 1953
Deputy Director of Central Intelligence
Lt. Gen. Charles P. Cabell
Presiding
MEMBERS PRESENT
Mr. W. Park Armstrong, Special Assistant, Intelligence,
Department of State
Major General Richard C. Partridge, Assistant Chief of
Staff, G-2, Department of the Army
Rear Admiral H. C. Daniel, acting for Director of Naval
Intelligence, Department of the Navy
Brigadier General John B. Ackerman, acting for Director
of Intelligence, Headquarters, United States Air Force
Dr. Charles H. Reichardt, Atomic Energy Commission
Representative to the IAC
Brigadier General Edward H. Porter, Deputy Director for
Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Mr. Meffert W. Kuhrtz, acting for Assistant to the Director,
Federal Bureau of Investigation
25X1
*Mr. Allen W. Dulles, Central Intelligence Agency
Mr. Robert Amory, Jr . , Central Intelligence Agency
Dr. Sherman Kent, Central Intelligence Agency
Dr. H. Marshall Chadwell, Central Intelligence Agency
Central Intelligence Agency
Central Intelligence Agency
Central Intelligence Agency
entral Intelligence Agency
Central Intelligence Agency
Central Intelligence Agency
* Part of the meeting.
IAC-M-125
13 October 1953
Approved For Release 2003/02/27 :785S00362R000200040033-9
 Approved For Releo 2003/02/27 SJ 9 85S00362R0000040033-9
Security Information IAC-M-125
13 October 1953
Mr. William C. Trueheart, Department of State
Mr. R. M. Scammon,. Department of State
*Mr. Joseph Yager, Department of State
Colonel W. H. Hennig, Department of the Army
Lt. Colonel C. P. Sirles, Department of the Army
* Captain Allan L. Reed, USN, Department of the Navy
**Colonel Robert Totten, United States Air Force
Lt.. Colonel Arthur L. Cushing, United States Air Force
Lt. Colonel J. Z. Mims, United States Air Force
Colonel Samuel M. Lansing, The Joint Staff
Captain E. T. Layton, USN, The Joint Staff
* Captain P. C. Staley, USN, The Joint State
* Part of meeting.
** Acted for acting member.
25X1
Secretary
IAC-M-125
13 October 1953
Approved For Release 2003/02/27 SE JP85S00362R000200040033-9
 Approved For ReleS 2003/02/27 5JL4REff 85S00362R0000040033-9
Security Information IAC-M-125
13 October 1953
Approval of Minutes
1. Action: The Minutes of 6 October 1953 (IAC-M-124)
were approved.
Capabilities and Probable
Courses of Action of the
ROK with Respect to
an Armistice
2, Action: Approved as amended.
First Annual Progress
Report of the SEC
(IAC-D-74)
3. Action: Noted, and agreed to delete the last two sentences
of paragraph V.A. (The Secretary will disseminate a revised page 4).
4. Discussion: General Porter questioned that it would in
every instance be desirable to submit the scientific and technical
contributions to national intelligence to the SEC prior to submission
to ONE. He feared that this might restrict the agencies' access to
ONE. It was pointed out that the SEC's intended objective was to
improve the mechanism for implementing the direction (in paragraph
2c of DCID-3/4) that the SEC "integrate scientific and technical
intelligence, as and when required, for the production of national
intelligence," and synthesize departmental intelligence. It was the
sense of the meeting that it was desirable to maintain flexibility in
the developing procedures of the SEC.
Consideration of Release
of Intelligence Statements
on Atomic Activities
(IAC-D-45/51)
25X1
IAC-M-125
13 October 1953
Approved For Release 2003/02/27: ieIW85S00362R000200040033-9
 Approved For Rel* 2003/02/27 f P85S00362RO10040033-9
Security Information IAC-M-125
13 October 1953
6. Action: Agreed that the Department of State would
prepare an initial draft of terms of reference for an estimate.
on Tito's probable courses of action in the event of a turnover
and IAC representatives.
7. Discussion: Mr. Dulles stated that he had just briefed
the NSC on the short-range situation in Trieste. Several members
commented on the explosive nature of the situation and the necessity
of maintaining a close watch.
IAC-M-125
13 October 1953
Approved For Release 2003/02/27: ( r5500362R000200040033-9
 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP85SO0362R000200040033-9
Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP85SO0362R000200040033-9
 Approved For RelS 2003/02/2-8EVft3RpP85S00362R0#0040033-9 -
Security Information IAC-M-126
20 October 1953
Minutes.of Meeting Held in Director's
Conference Room, Administration Building
Central Intelligence Agency, on 20 October 1953
* Director of Central Intelligence
Allen W. Dulles
Presiding
* Deputy Director of Central Intelligence
Lt. Gen. Charles P. Cabell
Mr. W. Park Armstrong, Special Assistant, Intelligence,
Department of State
*Major General Richard C. Partridge, Assistant Chief of
Staff, G-2, Department of the Army
Rear Admiral H. C. Daniel, acting for Director of Naval
Intelligence, Department of the Navy
Major General John A. Samford, Director of Intelligence,
Headquarters, United States Air Force
Brigadier General Edward H. Porter, Deputy Director for
Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Mr. Victor Keay, acting for Assistant to the Director,
Federal Bureau of Investigation
25X1
*Mr. Robert Amory, Jr., Central Intelligence Agency
Dr. Sherman Kent, Central Intelligence Agency
Dr. H. Marshall Chadwell, Central Intelligence Agency
Central Intelligence Agency
Central Intelligence Agency
Central Intelligence Agency
Central Intelligence Agency
Central Intelligence Agency
Central Intelligence Agency
*Part of Meeting
**The AEC representative was absent
IAC-M-126
20 October 1953
Approved For Release 2003/02/2~4WDP85S00362R000200040033-9
 ?
?
?
Approved For Reles 2003/02/27S.ERRpP85S00362ROO00040033-9
Security Information IAC -M -126
20 October 1953
Mr. William C. Trueheart, Department of State
Mr. Henry D. Owen, Department of State
***Lt. Colonel T. C. Anderson, Department of the Army
Lt. Colonel D. T. Vanderhoef, Department of the Army
Captain Allan L. Reed, USN, Department of the Navy
Brigadier General Millard Lewis, United States Air Force
Colonel Donald H. Ainsworth, United States Air Force
Colonel John J. Morrow, United States Air Force
Colonel Robert Totten, United States Air Force
Major John F. Allums, United States Air Force
Colonel Samuel M. Lansing, The Joint Staff
Colonel John J. Hussey, Jr., The Joint Staff
Part of Meeting
Acted for absent member
Secretary
IAC-M-126
20 October 1953
Approved For Release 2003/02/27. 4-]gP85S00362R000200040033-9
25X1
 Approved For ReId& 2003/02/2Y5 1R DP85S00362R0CS0040033-9
Security Information IAC-M-126
20 October 1953
Approval of Minutes
L. Action: The Minutes of 13 October 1953 (IAC-M-125)
were approved.
25X1
(NIE-90)
3. Action: Approved as amended.
4. Discussion: The Deputy Director for Intelligence, The
Joint Staff, observed that an estimate of this type, drawing as it
must on various existing estimates, and attempting in some
instances to paraphrase them, ran the risk of changing or appear-
ing to change the conclusions of those estimates. He felt that it
was a disservice to the planners to.have two sets of views current
and that the difficulty of avoiding that situation might make it
preferable not to produce National Estimates of this type. It was
pointed out that ONE had earlier produced several uncoordinated
estimates of the world situation,.and that IAC coordination had been
undertaken in this case at the request of the IAC agencies. Several
members commented on the progress achieved by thus compelling
a review of extant estimates and changing conclusions as warranted.
_
It was recognized that changed conclusions should be based on
new information or evaluation and not develop merely because of
faulty paraphrasing of underlying. estimates.
IAC-M--l26
20 October 1953
Approved For Release 2003/02/2PER-ZP85S00362R000200040033-9
 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP85SO0362R000200040033-9
Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP85SO0362R000200040033-9
 Approved For ReleS 2003/02/27: CIA-RDP85S00362R0000040033-9
28 October 1953
Pro sect amendment to minutes of IAC meeting of 20 October 1953 (TAC-M?126)
In paragraph 4:
1. After the second sentence, insert the following new sentences:
" It was recognized that any broad estimate of this
sort necessarily involves summary treatment of topics
treated at greater length in previous estimates, and that
such summaries may not give the full flavor of the
lengthier discussion. It was generally agreed, however,
that the present estimate fairly reflected the substance
of earlier estimates; and the amendments adopted at the
meeting made no changes in this respect."
2. Delete the last sentence.
Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP85S00362R000200040033-9
 Approved For Relea*003/02/27 : CIA-RDP85SO0362R000040033-9
lop, 14.4
Approved For Release 2003/02/27 CIA-RDP85SO0362R000200040033-9
 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP85SO0362R000200040033-9
Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP85SO0362R000200040033-9
 Approved For Rele92003/02/27S ,P85S00362R00(&0400I3'$Q-M -127
Security Information 3 November 1953
Deputy Director of Central Intelligence
Lt. Gen. Charles P. Cabell
Presiding
INTELLIGENCE ADVISORY COMMITTEE
Minutes of Meeting Held in Director's
Conference Room, Administration Building
Central Intelligence Agency, on 3 November 1953
Mr. W. Park Armstrong, Special Assistant for Intelligence,
Department of State
Major General Richard C. Partridge, Assistant Chief of
Staff, G-2, Department of the Army
Rear Admiral Carl F. Espe, Director of Naval Intelligence,
Department of the Navy
Major General John A. Samford, Director of Intelligence,
Headquarters, United States Air Force
Brigadier General Edward H. Porter, Deputy Director for
Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Dr. Charles H. Reichardt, Atomic Energy Commission
Representative to the IAC
Brigadier General Edward H. Porter, Deputy Director for
Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Mr. Victor Keay, acting for Assistant to the Director,
Federal Bureau of Investigation
25X1
Mr. Robert Amory, Jr., Central Intelligence Agency
Central Intelligence Agency
Dr. H. Marshall Chadwell, Central Intelligence Agency
Central Intelligence Agency
Central Intelligence Agency
Central Intelligence Agency
Central Intelligence Agency
* Part of Meeting,
IAC-M-l27
3 November 1953
Approved For Release 2003/02/27 SE85S00362R000200040033-9
 ?
Approved For Relea 2003/02/275?~P85S00362R000W040033-9
IAC-M-127
Security Information 3 November 1953
Mr. William C. Trueheart, Department of State
Lt. Colonel T. C. Anderson, Department of the Army
Captain Allan L. Reed, USN, Department of the Navy
Brigadier General Millard Lewis, United States Air Force
Colonel Donald H. Ainsworth, United States Air Force
Colonel John J. Marrow, United States Air Force
Colonel Charles F. Gillis, United States Air Force
Colonel Robert Totten, United States Air Force
Captain E. T. Layton, USN, The Joint Staff
25X1
Secretary
IAC-M-127
3 November 1953
Approved For Release 2003/02/2x, ftP85SO0362R000200040033-9
 ?
?
Approved For Rele, 2003/02/278I*211?P85S00362R0000491 3_ _ 127
Security Information 3 November 1953
Approval of Minutes
(IAC-M-126, 20 October)
1. Action: Approved, subject to the deletion of the last
sentence in item 4.
4. Action: Directed that the estimate be undertaken, using
the drafted terms of reference as broad and flexible guide lines.
Deferment of Estimate
on Trieste (Board
memo of 28 October)
5. Action: Agreed not to proceed with an estimate at this
time, lacking knowledge of possible alternative Iourses
of action, and recognized the possibility of a future request for a
crash estimate.
25X1
25X1
IAC-M-127
gember 1953
Approved For Release 2003/02/2-.BVPP85S00362R00020004bOTSy-
 25X1 Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP85SO0362R000200040033-9
Approved For Release 2003/02/27 : CIA-RDP85SO0362R000200040033-9