THE ISRAELI PRESENCE IN BLACK AFRICA

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CIA-RDP85S00317R000200010008-0
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S
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32
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December 22, 2016
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May 3, 2010
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8
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Publication Date: 
July 1, 1984
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REPORT
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 Directorate of Intelligence in Black Africa The Israeli Presence ALA 84-10068 July 1984 Copy 4 0 8 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 ,(1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 Directorate of Secret Intelligence The Israeli Presence in Black Africa 25X1 j This assessment was prepared by of the Office of African and Latin American Analysis with a contribution from f the Office of Near Eastern and out Asian Analysis Comments and queries are welcome and may be 25X1 directed to the Chief, Regional Issues Branch, Africa Division, ALA, 25X1 Secret ALA 84-10068 July 1984 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 Secret The Israeli Presence in Black Africa F_ Key Judgments Israel has been a pariah in Sub-Saharan Africa since the Arab-Israeli war Information available of October 1973, but Tel Aviv has never ceased to consider the region an as of 10 July 1984 important arena in which it could promote trade and security assistance, was used in this report. recoup political influence, and ultimately ease its diplomatic isolation. Prime Minister Yitzhak Shamir has long been among the principal champions of an active Israeli policy in Africa. This policy achieved a major breakthrough by the reestablishment of diplomatic ties with Zaire two years ago. Although Liberia followed Kinshasa's lead by resuming relations last August, since then Israel's diplomatic momentum in black Africa has stalled. Israel's official presence is thus limited to long-established diplo- matic ties with three states closely linked to South Africa-Malawi, Lesotho, and Swaziland-and to the recently reestablished relations with 'two countries closely associated with the United States: Zaire and Liberia. Tel Aviv has intensified its efforts for formal relations, particularly among pro-Western states in French-speaking West Africa, but we doubt that Israel will achieve significant success any time soon in its efforts to renew diplomatic links. Nonetheless, Tel Aviv has important informal economic and security ties with several African states, including Ivory Coast, Nigeria, Kenya, Ethiopia, Togo, Central African Republic, Cameroon, Gabon, Botswana, and Ghana. A number of factors weigh against Israel's chances of strengthening or expanding full-scale diplomatic relations: ? Arab and Islamic pressures, especially important among African states with large Muslim populations and those that are dependent on the Arabs for oil or desire Arab economic assistance. ? African disapproval of Israeli policies in the Middle East, particularly Israeli occupation of Arab lands and opposition to a Palestinian homeland. ? African resentment of Israel's ties with South Africa because of Pre- toria's systematic subordination of blacks. ? French resistance to the reestablishment of an Israeli diplomatic presence in Francophone Africa. ? Israel's economic problems, which limit Tel Aviv's ability to provide aid. Several factors are working in Israel's favor, but, in our judgment, they are insufficient to persuade more than one or two other African states to resume or expand official relations: iii Secret ALA 84-10068 July 1984 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 Secret ? African disillusionment with unfulfilled Arab promises of economic assistance and with fear of Libyan interference. ? Fond memories of Israeli technical and security assistance up to 1973. ? The lure of potential international Jewish investment and trade. ? The informal ties that Israel has already established in several black African countries through trade, technical and security assistance, and political contacts. In our judgment, Israel's diplomatic prospects are best in Ivory Coast and Togo. We believe that both would prefer to act as part of a larger group, however, rather than reestablish diplomatic relations with Israel individ- ually. Israel will continue to build upon its business and labor connections in Africa. Because of a persistent lack of economic assistance resources, the government will attempt to promote trade and private investment as alternatives to official aid. We believe that Tel Aviv will continue to look to Washington to play a key role in helping to restore Israel's presence in black Africa. The Israelis, in our view, will ask US diplomatic missions to continue to serve as channels of communication for them in countries where the United States has good access to the head of state. Tel Aviv will also want Washington to elicit French and Egyptian support for Israeli efforts to reestablish diplomatic ties. In addition, the Israeli economic situation probably will continue to impel Tel Aviv to request US help in financing military and development projects it hopes to provide African states. Zaire in particular has suffered a large net loss of Arab aid by renewing diplomatic ties and will be looking to Israel to make good the difference through what Kinshasa views as Tel Washington's close identification with Israel is likely to help US bilateral relations with pro-Western black African states who benefit from Israeli assistance, but US Embassy reporting indicates that this identification hinders relations with such states as Nigeria and Senegal where Islamic ties and anti-South African views both play major roles in foreign policy formulation. In such states as Zambia, Tanzania, and Zimbabwe, where Tel Aviv's close ties with South Africa are probably the decisive factor in opposition to Israel, Washington's identification with Israel could also damage US bilateral relations. 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 Secret Tel Aviv's Policy Apparatus for Africa Factors Affecting Israeli Prospects Implications for the United States 7 B. African Relations With Israel and the Arab States Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85S00317R000200010008-0 Secret importance, or influence with other black African states and the rest, according to the US Embassy in Tel Aviv. Of the important states, Tel Aviv believes that diplomatic progress is most likely in the near term in Ivory Coast, while among the less important countries it sees good prospects in Togo, Cameroon, and possibly Ghana and Guinea. In these countries, Tel Aviv is holding out the prospect of international Jewish investment and offering technical and security assistance in exchange for beginning a process that will lead to the reestablishment of diplomatic rela- tions. Because the other, more important states have shown little interest in formal ties, the Embassy believes Israel is content for now simply to maintain quiet lines of communication. Tel Aviv's Policy Apparatus for Africa The driving force behind Israel's policy toward Africa is Avi Primor, who heads the Foreign Ministry's Africa Division. We believe Primor has wide latitude in setting the strategy and tactics that support Israel's objectives in Africa. According to the US Embassy in Tel Aviv, Primor enjoys the full confidence of his superiors, including the Foreign Ministry's Director General, David Kimche, who shares Primor's keen interest in developing the Israeli presence in black Africa. In an effort to promote formal diplomatic ties, Primor has visited a number of African capitals over the past year to suggest ways in which they might benefit from Israeli security and technical assistance, according to reports from US Embassies in the region. The Foreign Ministry's leading role in formulating and executing Tel Aviv's policies in Africa is a recent development. While he was Defense Minister, Ariel .Sharon had taken the lead in Israeli activities in Africa, aggressively cultivating several Central Afri- can countries and dangling offers of security assist- ance to Zaire in return for the restoration of formal ties. Following Sharon's resignation as Defense Minis- ter, Yitzhak Shamir-then Foreign Minister-reas- serted the primacy of the Foreign Ministry over Tel Aviv's policies in Africa. We believe Shamir has remained actively involved in African policy since becoming Prime Minister last October. Foreign Ministry officials periodically have had to compete with colleagues in the Finance and Defense Ministries for the limited economic and military resources that are critical to Israel's diplomatic efforts in Africa. Primor has told US Embassy officers that he has no economic assistance budget. and that high- level officials have had to intervene personally to obtain even a limited amount of funding for one agricultural project in Zaire. Primor has a little more flexibility with respect to military assistance, but the Defense Ministry's own budgetary problems limit Israel's ability to offer sizable arms aid. We believe, however, that the Israeli services and the Foreign Ministry cooperate fully in efforts to train and devel- op the security services in several African countries. Outside the Horn of Africa, Israel maintains govern- ment-to-government contacts through the activities and travels of Israeli diplomats accredited to the five countries with which Tel Aviv has formal relations (Malawi, Swaziland, Lesotho, Zaire, and Liberia) or serving in Israeli Interests Sections in various Europe- an embassies in four other states (Ivory Coast, Togo, Ghana, and Kenya). The diplomat in charge of the Israeli Interests Section at the Belgian Embassy in Abidjan, for example, enjoys direct access to Ivorian President Houphouet-Boigny with greater frequency than some accredited ambassadors, according to the US Embassy there. He also is responsible for Tel Aviv's dealings with the Governments of Upper Volta, Guinea, Sierra Leone, and Gabon. Israel considers its stake in the Horn of Africa to be so sensitive that it has assigned the task of handling its relations with Ethiopia to the Israeli intelligence community rather than the Foreign Ministry, accord- ing to the US Embassy in Tel Aviv. The area is of major strategic importance to Israel because of the potential for Arab control of the Red Sea and Tel Aviv's need to ensure safe passage for its ships through the Bab al-Mandeb Strait. Tel Aviv has long encouraged trade and investment by private Israeli businessmen as an alternative to offi- cial assistance. As a result, Israeli business interests are an active force in developing relations in Africa. 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85S00317R000200010008-0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 Secret the US Embassy in Tel Aviv. Israeli businessmen often serve as informal represent- atives of the government, meeting regularly with political leaders and diplomats. The vast majority of Israelis living in Africa-including the 2,500 in Nige- ria, 1,000 in the Ivory Coast, and several hundred in Kenya-are private Israeli businessmen, according to much of Africa, according to press reports. Tel Aviv's encouragement and support throughout Israel's trade union federation, the Histadrut, has an important role in maintaining and developing exten- sive Israeli ties in more than 20 African countries. Its Afro-Asian Institute provides training for some 250 African labor leaders a year in such subjects as management, cooperative movements, and leadership. The Histadrut also owns several companies such as the large conglomerate, Koor Industries, and the construction firm, Solel Boneh, which operate with influence of African-Arab relations. tages are overshadowed, however, by the dominant Factors Affecting Israeli Prospects Several factors work in Israel's favor in black Africa. These include Tel Aviv's record of effective and timely assistance over a period of years, early ties of friendship with several generations of African leaders, and the likelihood that some African states would be as pragmatic in seeking to restore relations as they were in breaking them earlier. The lure of potential international Jewish investment and trade is also strong. Finally, Israel can present itself as an ally and benefactor that is not a superpower and that is itself a small, recently created state. These clear-cut advan- African-Arab Relations. Potentially the most impor- tant factor supporting Israel's diplomatic return to black Africa is general African disillusionment with unfulfilled promises of Arab aid, trade, and invest- ment. Published trade and aid data indicate that Arab states and investors have not committed surplus oil revenues to African development projects at the level Africans had expected in return for their diplomatic break with Israel in 1973 and as compensation for the subsequent oil price spiral set off by the Arab oil embargo. As of 1983, Arab donors accounted for only 10 percent of total capital inflows to the region and ranked well below Western sources of official assist- ance, according to press reports. Moreover, Arab aid tends to be concentrated in a few states with sizable Muslim populations-especially Somalia, Senegal, and Guinea-and is channeled mainly into such projects as the construction of mosques and Islamic schools. Trade prospects between Arab and black 25X1 African states are poor because neither group pro- duces substantial quantities of manufactured goods, processed commodities, or foodstuffs for the other's markets. Moreover, apart from Muslim influence in certain African states, there is little cultural, political, or economic basis for African-Arab solidarity. African memories of Arab slaving and military interventions south of the Sahara in past centuries have stood in the way of closer relations even in the postindependence era, according to a number of press reports and academic studies. More recently, the Libyans' enthu- siastic support for Idi Amin in Uganda during the 1970s, Egyptian help for Somalia, Persian Gulf states' interference on behalf of Eritrean insurgents against Ethiopia, Libyan backing of Chadian rebels against the N'Djamena government, and the disarray in the OAU in the past five years have provoked public questions among African leaders as to the value of too close ties with the Arab states. In West and Central Africa, particularly, fears of Libyan subversion have enhanced the Israeli position as a supplier of internal security assistance, according to US Embassy reporting. Still, Africans have not rushed to supplant Arab ties by turning to Israel. Disappointment aside, we believe that the need for Arab aid, however paltry, and the continuing hope of receiving concessional terms on oil purchases-long promised but rarely realized, accord- ing to oil industry reports-remain for many black African countries disincentives to reestablishing ties 25X1 with Israel. Such hard-pressed states as Ghana and the Central African Republic continue to hope that the Saudis, Libyans, or other oil producers will sign long-term concessional agreements for oil, according to US Embassy reports. In particular, we believe West African countries with dismal economies find it difficult to turn away any potential donor even when Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 Secret past promises have been largely unfulfilled. For drought-plagued Senegal, for example, Arab financ- ing of two major dam projects is too important to jeopardize by moving closer to Israel, according to US Embassy sources. Fear of Arab economic reprisal is also a factor, in our judgment. Delegations from the Arab League, the Palestine Liberation Organization, and the Saudis and Tunisians have gone to a number of African states to urge the case against expanding ties with Israel, according to press and US Embassy reports. The Khartoum-based Arab Bank for Economic De- velopment in Africa, which had provided Kinshasa with $422.4 million in aid between 1974 and 1981, suspended its activities in Zaire. The Gulf Coopera- tion Council of Foreign and Economic Ministers,' which had supplied approximately $2 billion in aid to black African countries, announced that it would sever all relations-including economic-with govern- ments that resume ties with Israel. In our view, most African states will probably choose not to open up to Israel, citing the Israeli invasion of Lebanon, the Israeli military presence there, and the absence of progress toward resolving the Palestinian issue. We believe that for some African states, such as Niger and the Central African Republic, these rea- sons will be merely excuses; for others, such as Muslim-dominated Senegal, they are matters of deep conviction among intellectual, government, and politi- cal elites. Israel's Ties With South Arica. African leaders usually cite publicly Israel's relationship with South Africa as the principal reason for their unwillingness to renew diplomatic relations. Although Pretoria's . recent rapprochement with Mozambique may remove some of the stigma in some quarters, we believe that Tel Aviv's political, economic, and military ties with Pretoria will continue to complicate Israel's campaign to rebuild a diplomatic presence in black Africa. The Israeli-South African relationship has deep his- torical roots dating back to South African support for the Balfour Declaration in 1917 and to Pretoria's early recognition of Israel in 1948. The relationship rests in part on the countries' mutual identification as "pariah" states and on the influence of South Africa's Jewish community with its heavily Zionist leanings and extensive ties with Israel. Israeli President Her- zog made a point during his visits to Kinshasa and Monrovia early this year publicly to justify Tel Aviv's ties with Pretoria in terms of Israel's obligation to protect the Jewish communit in South Africa, which has about 120,000 members. grown considerably. Although relations cooled during the 1960s when Israel adopted an antiapartheid stance as part of its efforts to win black African allies, the rupture of Israeli relations with black Africa in the early 1970s apparently led Tel Aviv to conclude that it had little to lose from cultivating its relationship with Pretoria. Under Israeli governments since then-particularly that of Prime Minister Begin, who was once president of the Israeli-South African Friendship League- bilateral economic, scientific, and military links have For most black African leaders, Israel's economic relations with South Africa are a continuing provoca- tion. South Africa is Israel's leading commercial partner in Africa. The $245 million trade between them, according to Israeli statistics, is small in terms of each country's total trade, but we believe this figure is understated because it excludes diamonds and military equipment. South Africa provides Israel a market for high-grade chemicals, clothing, and sophisticated engineering products and is a major source of rough diamonds, ores, and metals for Israeli manufacturers. Black Africans tend to believe the worst about the Israeli-South African connection, according to Em- bassy and press assessments. They are convinced, for example, that scientific and military exchanges be- tween Israel and South Africa include secret coopera- tion in nuclear technology for weapons programs in both countries. African suspicions have been fueled further in the past year by a rash of rumors and Soviet disinformation efforts linking South Africa, Zaire, the 'The Gulf Cooperation Council is comprised of Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Qatar, Oman, Bahrain, and the United Arab Emirates. 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85S00317R000200010008-0 Secret United States, and Israel in alleged plots to destabi- lize southern Africa, according to US Embassy re- porting. The Angolans, for example, are convinced that Israeli military advisers in Zaire are helping Jonas Savimbi's South African-backed National Union for the Total Independence of Angola according to Embassy reports. The Israelis will play a major role in the operation of an educational televi- sion service in Bophuthatswana and also in commer- cial television to a lesser degree, according to US Embassy sources (UNITA), according to press reports. In addition, Tel Aviv has been embarrassed by public- ity involving its relations with some of the black "homelands" that South Africa has created in support of apartheid-Pretoria's policy of systematic separa- tion of the races based on white supremacy. The homeland governments often distort the scope and significance of their dealings with Israel in their eagerness to exploit even the vaguest manifestation of legitimacy. Several homeland leaders have traveled to Israel on private visits that they have publicized as "official." Although Israeli representatives disavow official rec- ognition of the homelands and reaffirm Tel Aviv's official abhorrence of apartheid, Israel is providing security assistance to at least one homeland. Accord- ing to the US Embassy in Pretoria, Ciskei sent 24 pilot trainees to Israel last November, and private Israelis have tried to help Ciskei purchase six Mooney-type aircraft from the United States.' The Ciskei Armaments Corporation (Ciskor) was estab- lished last year with the assistance of Israel and West Germany, according to the US Embassy in Pretoria. Private Israeli firms are also active in the industrial and agricultural development of Ciskei and Bophuthatswana, according to US Embassy reporting from Pretoria. Ciskei President Sebe has also publi- cized Israeli investor interest in the homeland. This includes a $1.6 million clothing factory, a joint ven- ture involving two major Israeli companies. The Di- rector of the Ciskei People's Development Bank claims to have received applications for 13 other Israeli investment projects totaling about $6 million, Z According to Israeli press reports, Foreign Ministry Director General Kimche was particularly upset about the publicity given a visit to the Ciskei last October by a retired Israeli general who for years had been the military secretary to Prime Ministers Rabin and Begin. Ciskei's President, Lennox Sebe, told a news conference that a general, whom he did not identify by name, had come to evaluate Tel Aviv and Pretoria are both seeking to deempha- size the closeness of their relationship. US Embassy reports indicate South African officials are sympa- thetic to Israel's efforts to reestablish itself in black Africa because they would view Israel's return as an indicator of greater political pragmatism by the black African states. These officials see this as beneficial to South Africa in the long run by laying the ground- work for a similar growth of a South African presence in the region. 25X1 against resuming relations with Israel. The French. Kimche, Primor, and other key Israeli policymakers are concerned about what they perceive as an anti-Israel bias on the part of members of the 25X1 French Foreign Ministry, diplomatic service, and French communities in Africa, according to the US Embassy in Paris. Some of them suspect that key French officials regard Tel Aviv's activities in Franco- phone Africa as part of a thinly disguised US effort to displace or weaken the French presence there, accord- ing to the Embassy. The Israelis see French influence working against them particularly in Ivory Coast, Central African Republic, Gabon, and Togo. Accord- ing to the Israeli officials cited above, French pressure 25X1 on Tunisian President Bourguiba may have caused him to advise Ivorian leader Houphouet-Boigny We believe that France is wary of any group that might supplant its influence in Africa. According to US Embassy sources in the French Foreign Ministry and presidency, Paris does not favor the reestablish- ment of diplomatic relations between Francophone African states and Israel because French officials fear that such a move would cut off such states from Arab economic assistance and make them more dependent on France. Although our experience suggests that French commercial interests are hostile to any com- petitors in "their" African markets, the same French Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85S00317R000200010008-0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85S00317R000200010008-0 Secret officials insist that the French Government does not oppose the continuation of Israel's informal ties in Africa, particularly those involving trade and invest- ment. Furthermore, they even claim to welcome Tel Aviv's low-profile assistance programs as a supple- ment to French aid because of the constraints on France's own budget. impel those African leaders who may be considering a renewal of relations to postpone action. Any further progress in restoring diplomatic relations with Israel would probably have to be based on some form of joint action by two or more African leaders. In the near term, there seems little chance that such a group initiative will materialize because we believe Domestic Economic Constraints. Israel's economic problems' have forced Tel Aviv to reduce its assist- ance budget for Africa, causing the Foreign Ministry to seek funding for its development programs from third parties. Officials have. obtained supplemental aid from Canada, the Netherlands, and Sweden for Israeli-directed projects and encouraged international Jewish businesses to invest in programs for which Israel can provide the expertise. The most that the Israelis can offer to black Africa is technical assist- ance, and in each case the programs are small, employing only a handful of technicians. Only Kenya, Malawi, Lesotho, Swaziland, Liberia, and Zaire have received official Israeli technical assistance over the past few years, according to the US Embassy in Tel Aviv. The same economic constraints apply to military assistance. According to US Embassy reporting, Tel Aviv is embarrassed by its inability to furnish more than a token amount of the military assistance re- quested by Liberia and to fulfill its offer, quoted at various times as high as $10-20 million, to equip Zaire's Kamanyola Division in Shaba Region. Outlook In our judgment, Tel Aviv's official diplomatic rela- tions with black Africa will remain stalemated for at least the next several years. We believe that fear of Libyan retaliation, pressure from the Arab League- particularly from the Saudis-or disapproval of Israe- li military actions in the Middle East will continue to there are no compelling reasons to do so. Moreover, we estimate that even the present modest degree of African sympathy and friendship for Israel will weaken as members of the older generation of African leaders who are sympathetic toward Israel- such as Houphouet and Eyadema-pass from the scene. Even the thus-far sturdy tie with Malawi is likely to be lost when President Banda dies. The Israeli economic situation will, in our view, compel Tel Aviv increasingly to seek third-party participation in development schemes involving its technical expertise. If successful, this will limit Tel Aviv's flexibility and reduce even further the effec- tiveness of the Israeli tactic of offering technical and military support in exchange for diplomatic relations. Previous experience in Liberia and Zaire indicates, however, that third-party support is difficult to attract and usually limited to small ventures. by an export slump and debt servicing needs. Israeli commercial ties will probably also suffer from the worsening economic conditions in black Africa. Many African states are having to pare their imports because of shortages of foreign exchange brought on We believe Tel Aviv's links with South Africa will continue to complicate Israel's future in black Africa, particularly if their military and scientific exchanges receive publicity. Indeed, over the long run, Israel may have to choose between its substantial interests in South Africa and any hope of a diplomatic presence in black Africa Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85S00317R000200010008-0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85S00317R000200010008-0 Secret Implications for the United States We expect that Israel will continue to request US diplomatic help in restoring its position in black Africa. As in the past, Tel Aviv will be likely to ask US diplomatic missions to serve as channels of com- munication in countries such as Cameroon, Botswana, and Togo where the United States has good access to the head of state. Tel Aviv will also ask the United States to encourage other states, such as France and Egypt, to support the establishment of diplomatic ties. Moreover, Israel will look to the United States to be active on its behalf among black African governments during the yearly ritual of Arab and radical Muslim challenges to Israeli credentials before the United On the other hand, the close identification between Washington and Tel Aviv will continue to hamper African-US relations in states like Nigeria and Sene- gal where Islamic ties and anti-South African views both play major roles in foreign policy formulation. In such states as Zambia, Tanzania, and Zimbabwe, where Tel Aviv's close ties with South Africa are probably the decisive factor in opposition to Israel, Washington's identification with Israel is likely to damage US bilateral relations. Nations and other international organizations According to the US Embassy in Tel Aviv, Israel will continue to request US financial help for military and development projects it hopes to provide key African states, particularly Liberia and Zaire. Unless Israel is able to fulfill its commitments to Zaire and Liberia in the near future; those relationships will be increasing- ly stressful. Zaire in particular has suffered a large net loss of Arab aid by renewing diplomatic ties and will be looking to Israel to make good the difference through what Kinshasa views, according to US Em- bassy reporting, as Tel Aviv's influence in the United States. The close identification of Israel with the United States in the eyes of many black African leaders will have a positive effect on African-US relations where this identification is associated with welcome forms of bilateral assistance from either country. For some moderate states, Israel's strong connection with the United States is likely in itself to be an influential argument for establishing closer ties with Tel Aviv. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85S00317R000200010008-0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85S00317R000200010008-0 Secret Appendix A Israel in Africa: Country Surveys ? Long-Established Diplomatic Ties Only three black African states have maintained diplomatic links with Israel for the entire period since 1973-Malawi, Lesotho, and Swaziland. Each is far from the mainstream of black African politics. What they have in common, apart from their longstanding relationship with Israel, are close political or geo- graphic ties with South Africa. Malawi. Malawi, the only black African state that maintains full diplomatic relations with South Africa, is Israel's most consistent supporter in black Africa. Lilongwe's stance reflects the powerful personal influ- ence of President Banda, whose relationship with Tel Aviv goes back to Malawi's independence in 1964. Israel's interest in Malawi centers around the political value of diplomatic recognition but also includes small amounts of trade and aid. Because there is no signifi- cant public support for Israel in Malawi, we judge that Lilongwe's relationship with Israel is likely to change after Banda-who is in his eighties-dies or retires. Lesotho. Israel's relations with Lesotho were initially an adjunct of Israel's close ties with Pretoria and a reflection of Maseru's anti-Communist, pro-Western orientation. During the past year, however, partly in response to the South African attack in December 1982 on alleged safehouses of the African National Congress in Maseru, Prime Minister Jonathan has sought to establish Lesotho's nonaligned credentials by opening diplomatic relations with China, the Sovi- et Union, and North Korea. This move and the souring of Maseru's relationship with South Africa probably preclude any significant expansion of Leso- tho's ties with Israel. Jonathan backed away from entertaining Israeli President Herzog during the Tat- ter's trip to Africa in January 1984 to avoid security problems and unwelcome publicity, according to US Embassy reporting from Maseru. Israel's principal importance to Lesotho is as a suppli- er of arms and ammunition, which Maseru purchases 25X1 periodically on a cash-and-carry basis. The advantage to Maseru in this arrangement, apart from reasonable prices, is that Tel Aviv's close ties with Pretoria Swaziland. Like Malawi, Swaziland has a close work- usually enable Israel to facilitate the shipment of such 25X1 ing relationship with Pretoria and has no diplomatic goods through South African territory. Because of the relations with any Marxist government except its deterioration in Lesotho-South African relations neighbor, Mozambique. Israel has had relations with since the 1982 attack, however, Pretoria has held up and a resident diplomatic mission in Mbabane since Israeli shipments of armored cars, land rovers, heli- 1972; its Ambassador there is also accredited to copter spares, and small arms, according to the US Lesotho and responsible for informal Israeli relations Embassy in Pretoria. with Botswana and for courting Mozambique. "ecently Formalized Relationships Tel.Aviv provides a modest amount of technical training to the Swazis, and it has sold Mbabane two military transport aircraft. At least four Swazi pilots are training in Israel at Mbabane's expense, and the Israelis have also provided some aircraft maintenance instruction in Swaziland. In addition, several senior Swazi officials have visited Israel, including the pres- ent Prime Minister. Israel began to crack the diplomatic logjam in its relations with the rest of black Africa in 1982 as it prepared to end its military occupation of the Sinai. Tel Aviv assiduously cultivated Zaire and Liberia, which it regarded as among the most promising candidates for resuming relations because of their close ties with the United States and their need for Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85S00317R000200010008-0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85S00317R000200010008-0 Secret security assistance. According to the US Embassy sources in Tel Aviv, Israeli policymakers hoped that other black African leaders would follow suit once one or more sub-Saharan states took the lead. Zaire. Zaire became the first black African state to reestablish diplomatic ties with Israel in May 1982 because President Mobutu believed this would lead to increased levels of US aid as well as to Israeli assistance, according to the US Embassy in Kinshasa. At the time, members of the US Congress were calling for major cuts in US aid to Zaire because of human rights violations and corruption in the govern- ment. According to US Embassy reporting, the Israe- lis emphasized the alleged influence of "their" lobby on Capitol Hill as an important selling point in persuading Kinshasa of the advantages of reestablish- ing relations. Notwithstanding Tel Aviv's hints Kinshasa's hopes, US aid to Zaire has grown only slightly, from $31 million in 1982 to an estimated $37.5 million in 1984. According to the US Embassy in Kinshasa, Mobutu has been disappointed by the lack of US response. A desire for Israeli security assistance also played an important role in Mobutu's decision, according to the According to the Embassy, he was influenced by concern for his own safety and by fears of internal instability and of incursions by dissidents or mercenaries from across Zaire's borders. He asked for substantial Israeli assistance both in training and materiel for his personal bodyguard and for the troops protecting Shaba Region, the principal source of Zaire's copper wealth. One of Mobutu's closest advis- ers is an Israeli, and he trusts the Israelis enough to place them in positions of influence with his palace The US Embassy in Kinshasa reports that Israeli economic assistance to Zaire is limited to technical advisers and that Tel Aviv provides no financial assistance. Israeli agricultural experts have been working at Mobutu's presidential experimental farms near Lubumbashi, Gbadolite, and Kinshasa since before the establishment of diplomatic relations. The resumption of ties with Israel damaged Zaire's relations with a number of Arab states and cost it valuable financial support. Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates closed their embassies in Kinshasa and immediately cut their aid, which averaged more than $30 million a year through 1981. The Arab states of North Africa generally reacted more cautiously. Only Libya broke relations; it also stepped up support for anti-Mobutu dissident groups in exile. Kinshasa is looking for ways to restore Arab ties with an eye toward regaining Arab aid. The Zairian Foreign Minister urged his Egyptian and Sudanese counterparts to put Kinshasa back in touch with the ' An Israeli proposal to train a Chadian elite military force in Zaire has reached a dead end, according to US Embassy reporting. Funds have not been found for the program, and President Mobutu has not given it a clear endorsement. 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85S00317R000200010008-0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 Secret Arab Bank for Economic Development last Novem- ber, according to US Embassy reporting. The US Embassy in Kinshasa assumes that Mobutu also discussed renewing relations with Saudi Arabia dur- ing his meeting last summer with Saudi tycoon Ka- shoggi and that he probably also asked Egyptian President Mubarak for help during Mubarak's visit to Zaire earlier this year. Mobutu publicly urged Tel Aviv to modify its policy toward the Palestinians during the visit of Israeli President Herzog to Zaire in January. The future of Zaire's relations with Israel could well hinge on Israel's ability to secure additional financial aid for Kinshasa. Israel has tried to persuade the United States, West Germany, and possibly other Western governments to provide financial support for its assistance programs in Zaire, but these efforts have failed thus far, according to US Embassy report- ing. We believe that Mobutu will be watching US Congressional reaction to President Reagan's pro- posed assistance package of $59 million for Kinshasa for fiscal year 1985 as a sign not only of the future direction of US policy but also of the value of Israeli support. Liberia. Liberia's renewal of relations with Israel in August 1983 and Head of State Doe's visit to Jerusa- lem in the same month-the first by an African head of state in over a decade-were the result of a combination of factors. According to the US Embassy in Monrovia, Doe was anxious to obtain Israeli techni- cal and security assistance because of his fears of Libyan subversion; he also saw the move as a way of improving his image as an important actor in regional politics; and he believed that relations with Israel would provide a small counterbalance to the over- whelminc presence of the United States in Liberia. Although Monrovia obviously expected the United States to react positively to the reestablishment of relations with Israel, the Embassy believes that this was not the prime motivating factor. Most Liberians saw the move as an assertion of their sovereignty and their ability to find assistance from sources other than the United States, according to the Embassy. At the same time, the Embassy acknowledges that Doe's government would be pleased if the Jewish communi- ty in the United States were to respond positively to Monrovia's initiative and seek to invest in Liberia. We also believe that Doe would not react adversely if Tel Aviv were to support Liberia's pleas for greater US aid. Doe viewed President Herzog's state visit to Monrovia in January as a major diplomatic accomplishment, according to US Embassy sources, notwithstanding 25X1 Israel's embarrassment over its inability to provide more than a token amount of the military assistance Doe has requested. Liberia had approached Tel Aviv with a long list of military equipment, but US Embas- sy reports from Tel Aviv indicate that the Israelis thus far have ducked most of the request, claiming they must first consult their American colleagues. The US Embassy believes, however, that the Israelis promised some ammunition to Liberia during Herzog's visit. US officials have suggested that Israel's greatest contribution could come in police training, a field that US law bars from US foreign assistance. Twelve Liberian police officers went to Israel in January for a month's training in riot control. The Israelis have also agreed to provide training for Liberia's elite presiden- tial guard. Israel has also provided some intelligence assistance to the Liberian Government, but the extent of this cooperation is not clear. According to the US Embas- sy, the Liberians have an exaggerated fear of Libyan interference in Liberia's internal affairs and believe that the Israelis can help them guard against subver- sive threats. 25X1 Liberian officials are apparently pleased by recent Israeli interest in a number of private investment projects. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 Secret Monrovia is also looking to Israel for technical assist- ance, according to US Embassy reports. Several Israeli agricultural technicians are working at the Firestone plantation, and one or two Israelis work in the diamond business. The Liberians have requested aid in health care and are discussing with the Israelis the establishment of an ophthalmologic medical cen- ter. Finally, both the Governor of the National Bank of Liberia and the Finance Minister have visited Israel's Central Bank within the past year to obtain technical advice. Despite this flurry of activity, most Israeli assistance projects in 'Liberia are still in the planning stage, and US Embassy sources have reported Israeli frustration over the lack of progress. The Israeli community in Liberia probably still numbers less than 25 people.F two countries. them to counter any potential Muslim political threat, particularly one that might be associated with Libyan activity. The newly founded Liberian-Israeli Friend- ship Organization aims to promote ties between the Tel Aviv. Liberia's renewal of relations with Israel has had only slight effect on its relations with Arab states, from whom Monrovia had not received much aid even before 1973. Liberia is not directly dependent on Arab oil because it generally buys oil on the spot market through European brokers. No Arab states withdrew their missions, and Libya has done nothing to retaliate. Liberia feared for a time that the Arab states might boycott Liberian-flag vessels if Monrovia opened its Embassy in Jerusalem, but this pressure abated when Doe decided to locate the Embassy in Tel Aviv and Monrovia probably will continue to try to enlist US financial support for Israel's assistance program. The US response thus far has been limited to offers of equipment for the proposed Israeli-trained Executive Mansion Guard. We believe that Monro- via's requests will increase in urgency as the disparity grows between Liberia's needs and what Israel can afford. Countries of Major Interest to Israel Israel seeks to cultivate the friendship of a few particularly influential African states and to develop discreet contacts with them. Of the four discussed below, we believe that only Ivory Coast is a candidate for reestablishing relations any time soon. Ivory Coast. Aged President Houphouet-Boigny is one of Israel's most enduring and best friends in Africa. His close ties go back before Ivorian independence to the 1950s, and he was one of the last African leaders to break relations in 1973. Houphouet has for years given Tel Aviv indications of his willingness to rees- tablish formal ties and, on several occasions, has led Israeli representatives to believe that only the timing Even so, Monrovia's restoration of ties with Tel Aviv has met with widespread approval within Liberia, according to US Embassy sources. The most political- ly active segments of the population are conservative Christians who are concerned about Qadhafi's activi- ties in the region and the slow expansion of Islam in the interior. They believe that Israeli support will help of such a move remained to be decided. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 Secret Because Houphouet is one of Francophone Africa's influential senior statesmen, the Israelis are eager to gain his active support for their diplomatic campaign in Africa. They believe that other pro-Western Fran- cophone states would follow his lead if he would renew diplomatic relations. According to US Embassy reporting, Houphouet had planned to discuss the renewal of Israeli ties with other pro-Western African leaders-most likely the Presidents of Togo, Gabon, and Central African Republic-after the OAU sum- mit, which had been tentatively scheduled for Cona- kry in May. The death of Guinean President Toure and the subsequent military coup in Guinea have made the timing and venue of the next summit uncertain, however, and reduced the likelihood of Houphouet taking an initiative to organize a concert- ed diplomatic move toward Tel Aviv. The Israeli Interests Section at the Belgian Embassy in Abidjan is staffed by a senior diplomat, Benad Avital, who has the title of Second Secretary. He has been joined recently by an assistant, according to the US Embassy in Abidjan. Avital travels freely in and out of the country and within Ivory Coast. Houphouet himself meets periodically with senior Israeli officials during his visits to Western Europe, according to US Embassy reporting. He held secret talks-later re- ported in the British press-with Shamir in Geneva in July 1983, for example, when Shamir was Foreign Minister. A number of well-established economic links exist, between Israel and Ivory Coast. The Israeli communi- ty of about 1,000 is primarily involved in the construc- tion industry and export-import firms, according to US Embassy reports from Abidjan. Many are former technical advisers who stayed on after 1973 to work on contract for the Ivorian Government or in private business. Israel does not now provide technical assist- ance to Ivory Coast, but Tel Aviv has raised the possibility of establishing a program if diplomatic relations are resumed, the US Embassy in Abidjan reports. Security considerations also play a part in Hou- phouet's interest in developing formal ties with Israel, according to the US Embassy in Abidjan. Although Tel Aviv is providing some limited security assistance to Abidjan, Houphouet probably would welcome more Israeli aid. He is concerned about Libyan activities in neighboring Upper Volta and Ghana as well as else- where in the region, and we believe he would like to have a small counterbalance to the overwhelming French presence in Ivory Coast's security sector. There are already signs of increased interest in Ivory Coast among American investors that are at least 25X1 partially attributable to Abidjan's links with Israel, according to the US Embassy in Abidjan. A group of Jewish-American businessmen planned an investment mission to Ivory Coast in late 1983, but the visit was canceled at the last minute. According to the Embas- sy, the visit apparently will be rescheduled this year. Several factors complicate the Israeli effort to renew formal ties with Abidjan. First, Houphouet has close ties with the Arab-oriented states in Francophone 25X1 Africa that have significant Muslim populations. Sec- ond, we believe he continues to be troubled by what he views as aggressive Israeli actions and policies in the Middle East. Third, Ivorian Foreign Minister Ake is opposed to reestablishing formal ties with Tel Aviv and favors a Third World foreign policy orientation, according to the US Embassy. On the other hand, Abidjan has been able to ignore the most blatant Arab pressures against its dealings with Israel because it is nearly self-sufficient in oil. Houphouet has paid a price, however, for steadfastly refusing to accept a boycott of Israeli firms as a condition of Arab aid: construction of the Soubre Dam, the country's largest investment project, has been postponed indefinitely because of a shortfall in Arab funding. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 Secret As long as Houphouet is in power, Ivory Coast will remain one of Israel's best prospects for another diplomatic breakthrough. Houphouet's death or re- tirement would reduce Tel Aviv's chances in Abidjan, however, because a successor regime would probably wish to avoid controversial foreign policy ventures and concentrate on consolidating domestic support. Nigeria. Nigeria is of major interest to the Israelis because of its size, large market, and influence with other OAU states. As the region's principal oil pro- ducer and a prime mover behind the Economic Com- munity of West African States, Lagos carries consid- erable weight among its neighbors Nigeria has long been Israel's largest trading partner in black Africa, although Israeli businessmen are suffering because of Nigeria's economic crisis. In the past, Israel exported mainly chemicals, medicine, and agricultural products to Nigeria-totaling $43.3 mil- lion in 1982-and provided technical expertise An Israeli community of about 2,500 lives in the country. Most are businessmen primarily involved in trading and construction, many working on short- term contracts. Some companies are openly identified as Israeli, such as Solel Boneh or Dizengoff. Others, according to academic observers, are registered else- where-such as Reynolds Construction Company in the United States and Afro-Continental in Switzer- land-but are staffed almost entirely by Israeli per- sonnel. Israeli construction firms secured contracts worth $1 billion in 1981. According to information gathered by the US Embassy in Lagos, most contracts have been undertaken in Nigeria's southern states-for houses in and around Lagos, buildings for the government's ministeries and parastatals, and roads-but Solel Boneh has been awarded a substantial contract to work at Abuja, the site of the new federal capital in central Nigeria. Tel Aviv's strongest supporters in Nigeria have long been the predominantly Christian communities in the southern part of the country, according to published US academic studies. Pro-Israeli sentiment among them stems from personal ties that developed during the 1960s between southern Nigerian leaders and Tel Aviv in reaction against the Pan-Islamic links that had developed between Nigerian Muslims and Egypt. Until late last year, the two southern-based Nigerian parties-the Unity Party of Nigeria of Obafemi Awolowo and the Nigerian People's Party of Nnamde Azikiwe-favored renewing diplomatic relations with Israel. Nigeria's new military government has banned these parties, however, and greatly reduced the influ- ence of their leaders. According to US Embassy sources in Tel Aviv, Israeli officials believe, nonetheless, that the new military government may be more positively inclined toward Tel Aviv than its predecessor, even though it is also dominated by northern Muslims. The previous gov- ernment had taken a consistently firm public stand against diplomatic relations because of Israeli policies toward the Palestinians. We doubt that the military government will move closer to Israel, however, because it is trying to obtain loans from Saudi Arabia, to increase its official OPEC oil production quota, and to maintain support among the Muslim majority in northern Nigeria. The Nigerian Foreign Minister told the press in late January that it was not yet time to reestablish relations, particularly in light of Israel's trade and military exchanges with South Africa. Members of the Israeli community in Nigeria them- selves doubt the value of restoring diplomatic rela- tions, according to US Embassy reporting. They fear that it would endanger them personally and their business prospects by putting them in the spotlight. Kenya. There is a long history of close Kenyan-Israeli ties, particularly during the presidency, 1964-78, of the late Jomo Kenyatta. Kenyatta's personal links with Tel Aviv dated back before independence, and in 1973 he severed formal relations with the greatest reluctance. Afterward, Kenyatta allowed Israeli dip- lomats to maintain an Interests Section at the Danish Embassy in Nairobi 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 Secret The durability of the Kenyan-Israeli connection was dramatized in 1976 by Tel Aviv's use of the Nairobi airport during the operation that rescued Israeli hostages from Entebbe, Uganda, and by a subsequent step-up of Israeli military assistance. Kenya's Israeli connection cooled considerably after President Moi came to power in 1978. During Moi's chairmanship of the OAU, the organization roundly condemned Israel for its policies in the Middle East. Moi has concentrated on expanding Kenya's ties with Kenya last summer when Moi forced Constitutional Affairs Minister Charles Njonjo out of his govern- ment for reasons unrelated to Nionio's links with Tel Kenya, nonetheless, is one of Israel's largest commer- cial partners in black Africa, and several hundred Israelis live there, almost all connected with private business. According to IMF figures, Israeli exports to Kenya in 1982 were over $8 million, consisting princi- pally of chemicals, construction and agricultural equipment, and medicine. El Al has continued its air service to Nairobi, including stopovers for weekly flights to South Africa. 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 We believe that Nairobi is satisfied for now with the Ethiopia. Israel has had a long historical connection with Ethiopia, largely because of Tel Aviv's strategic 25X1 interest in the Horn of Africa. The Israelis developed a close relationship with prerevolutionary Ethiopia under the late Emperor Haile Selassie during the 1960s when Tel Aviv played an influential role in 25X1 25X1 training the Ethiopian Army, paramilitary police, and 25X1 intelligence service. About 50 Israeli military-security advisers served in the country during the late 1960s, 25X1 and Tel Aviv continued to maintain a small military advisory presence until 1977 despite the break in 25X1 relations in 1973, according to US press reports. Officials of Haile Selassie's government said privately to a US Embassy source that the main reason for the diplomatic break was that Tel Aviv had not done enough to get the United States to provide more military assistance to Addis Ababa, although we believe that a need to ensure Arab neutrality in the event of hostilities between Ethiopia and Somalia and 25X1 a desire to persuade the Arabs to stop assisting Eritrean dissidents were also factors. The Mengistu regime has been officially hostile to Tel 25X1 Aviv for years, but it has not cut off contact with Israel. The Israelis do a modest business with Ethiopia in a 25X1 variety of goods such as agricultural machinery and chemicals, soft drink bottles and blankets, communi- cations equipment, and spare parts for the Ethiopian Army, according to the US Embassy in Addis Ababa. 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 Secret Tel Aviv fakes a special interest in the well-being of Ethiopia's 25,000-member indigenous Jewish commu- nity, the "Falashas," whom Addis Ababa largely ignores. Several thousand Falashas have emigrated to Israel illegally through Sudan and other neighboring states, according to US press reporting. The Mengistu regime's close links with the Soviets, who are adamantly opposed to Israeli influence in Ethiopia, make a rapprochement between Tel Aviv and Addis Ababa unlikely any time soon. At the same time, Ethiopia's anger over Arab support for Eritrean dissidents and the continuity of Addis Ababa's long- standing links with Tel Aviv are factors that could work in Israel's favor over the longer term. Even now, some senior Ethiopian officials are surreptitiously friendly to Israel, and most of the influential Amharic population is unabashedly friendly, according to US Embassy reporting. Other Targets Tel Aviv believes that if any influential English- or French-speaking black African states-such as Ivory Coast, Nigeria, or Kenya-could be persuaded to resume relations with Israel, others would follow. It has expended considerable effort over the past year in cultivating a number of smaller African countries Togo. Togo has maintained informal ties with Israel since breaking relations in 1973. An Israeli diplomat stationed in the Israeli Interests Section at the Swiss Embassy in Ghana is attached formally to the Belgian Embassy in Lome and has good access to Togolese officials. In addition, Maurice Assor, a Jewish busi- nessman of Moroccan origin is one of President Eyadema's closest advisers on official and personal financial matters and, according to US Embassy sources, has been a valuable and sympathetic contact for Tel Aviv. Eyadema is a pragmatist who personally decides the government's foreign policy positions, but he has not made up his mind about restoring relations with Israel, according to the US Embassy in Lome. He is concerned about Libyan destabilization in the region and irritated that the moderate Arab states have done nothing to restrain Qadhafi, according to the US Embassy. He told US officials last October that he might join other pro-Western African leaders in a concerted action to renew ties with Tel Aviv. -Like Houphouet, he would prefer to postpone discussion of renewed Israeli ties until after the next OAU summit. Lome is less vulnerable than many African states to Arab pressure because Togo has diversified its sources of imported oil. The US Embassy in Lome reports that a group of American Jewish investors interested in promoting Togo-Israeli relations plan to investigate investment possibilities in Togo and elsewhere in West Africa this year. On the negative side, we believe that Eyadema would be reluctant to close the door on Arab trade and economic assistance or to provoke Libya. Togo sells cotton worth almost $5 million annually to Morocco and Tunisia and imports goods valued near $9 million annually from Arab states; by contrast, Israeli trade with Togo is inconsequential. An Arab League dele- gation left Lome last November convinced that Togo would not renew relations with Israel until the OAU rescinds the resolution under which members agreed to boycott Israel, according to US Embassy sources. In our view, such a withdrawal is unlikely. Moreover, the US Embassy reports that Eyadema believes that Tel Aviv wrongfully pursues a policy of hegemony in the Middle East, and he personally supports Palestin- ian self-determination. 25X1 with which it already had informal ties. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 Secret Central African Republic. With the overthrow of Emperor Bokassa in late 1979 and the installation of the David Dacko regime, the Israelis began to negoti- ate a renewal of their ties with Bangui, which had been severed in 1973. According to US Embassy sources, the two countries had tentatively agreed to exchange ambassadors, just before President Dacko was overthrown by General Kolingba in 1981. An Israeli delegation met with Kolingba a few weeks later, according to the US Embassy in Bangui, hoping to move ahead swiftly on reestablishing relations, but the new President demurred, pleading the insecurity of his position as a new head of state. Until recently, US Embassy reporting indicates a number of feelers put out by the Israelis have been met by consistent procrastination, although Kolingba has been willing to consider Tel Aviv's overtures in principle. We believe that Bangui's reluctance is based on apprehensions about Arab reactions to restored ties with Israel. Although Bangui is not dependent on the Arabs for oil-its main supplier is Gabon-the CAR is in dire economic straits and does not want to jeopardize Arab assistance. Moreover, we believe Bangui does not wish to give Libya any further pretext for stepping up subversion against the Kolingba government. Although US Embassy sources report Kolingba would like the Israelis to resume agricultural assistance and a youth training program and would welcome the establishment of a joint venture for the exploitation of diamonds in the CAR, the Israelis have tied these and other inducements-such as promises to attract pri- vate Jewish investment to the CAR-to a formal publicized announcement of renewed relations. We believe Kolingba, an extremely cautious and prudent person, has not found the incentives worth the risk. Cameroon. Since 1982, when a government dominat- ed by Muslim northerners was replaced by one led by Christian southerners, Israel has targeted Cameroon for special attention, according to US Embassy re- porting from Tel Aviv. Although President Biya's position is delicate following a failed coup attempt in April by the then Muslim-dominated Presidential Guard, the same sources indicate that Israeli officials speculate that the abortive coup might sharpen Cam- eroonian interest in obtaining security assistance from Tel Aviv. In our view, however, Biya or any other non- Muslim Cameroonian will have to proceed cautiously in exploring closer ties with Israel to avoid sowing further unrest among northern Cameroonians already fearful of domination by Christians in the south. Director General Kimche of the Israeli Foreign Min- istry made a secret visit, later reported in the Israeli media, to Yaounde in March to discuss possible cooperation in security, agriculture, and construction. Biya expressed concern about the loyalty of Muslim tribes in the north and about a possible threat of News of the meeting was leaked to the Israeli press, and a scheduled visit by a Cameroonian delega- tion to Tel Aviv in April was canceled by Yaounde, which was embarrassed by the publicity. Gabon. Israel hopes that President Bongo would follow Ivorian President Houphouet's lead should the latter decide to reestablish ties with Tel Aviv, accord- ing to the US Embassy in Libreville, but we believe Bongo's negative view of Israel's military presence in Lebanon makes an early resumption of relations impossible. Bongo has also publicly criticized Israel's position on the Palestinian issue and Jerusalem, al- though he supports the Camp David accords. More- over, we believe he does not want to give Libya any excuse to interfere in Gabon. Bongo is interested, however, in expanding Israel's role in Gabon's economic development, according to US Embassy reporting. Gabonese-Israeli trade has increased over the past few years, and Bongo would be likely to welcome Israeli investment and agricultural development. Although Saudi Arabia and Morocco have provided financial support for the trans-Gabon 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85S00317R000200010008-0 secret railroad and other development projects, Gabon is less vulnerable than most African states to Arab pressure because it is self-sufficient in oil production. Botswana. Tel Aviv's informal relations with Botswa- na are handled by the Israeli Ambassador in Swazi- land. The previous Ambassador in Mbabane, Em- manuel Galbar, had visited Botswana every three or four months but, according to the US Embassy, generally had been unable to obtain appointments with senior officials until 1982 when Washington suggested that Tel Aviv might be able to supply rifles to the country's national police force. Botswana had first requested such weapons from the United States, but US regulations prevented it from meeting Gabo- Notwithstanding this burgeoning relationship, the US Embassy in Gaborone doubts that Botswana will normalize relations with Tel Aviv unless a number of other OAU members, including some key states such as Nigeria or Kenya, take the lead. Botswana's Minister of External Affairs, Archie Mogwe, is an outspoken opponent of closer ties with Israel. For the present, according to US Embassy sources, Botswana prefers to maintain some distance between itself and Israel in order to establish credibility in Third World forums, particularly as Israel is perceived by many African countries to be working hand in glove with South Africa in the region. 25X1 rone's request. Gaborone reacted negatively to Galbar's rather ham- handed offer to exchange the rifles for normalizing relations, according to US Embassy reporting. Tel Aviv then backtracked and offered to give Gaborone the weapons with no strings attached. Galbar worked out the details with the help of the Israeli military attache in Pretoria. The deal led to an improved climate between Gabo- rone and Tel Aviv and made possible closer ties between Israel and the Botswana armed forces. Briga- dier Ian Khama, the Deputy Commander of the Army and the son of Botswana's first president-the late Seretse Khama-visited Israel in November 1983. The head of the Army, General Merafhe, is expecte to visit Israel later this year, according to the US Embassy. Discussions have also been conduct- ed about the possibility of the Botswana military receiving Israeli training in the use of mortars and commando tactics. According to US Embassy reporting from Gaborone, Tel Aviv has also offered scholarships to bring Bots- wanan students to Israel and has proposed programs for developing dry-land agriculture and irrigation techniques. The same sources report Israeli officials have also discussed assistance in desalinization, cloud seeding, and the extraction of mineral byproducts from mining. In addition, Tel Aviv is considering a Ghana. Israel's diplomatic prospects in Ghana have been poor since Flight Lieutenant Jerry Rawlings took power in 1981 and immediately developed ties with Libya. Although Libyan-Ghanaian relations have deteriorated recently, we doubt that Accra will break relations or turn to Israel any time soon. Moreover, Accra's continuing hope of obtaining low- priced petroleum from Libya or other Arab states makes a renewal of diplomatic relations with Tel Aviv unlikely. Nevertheless, longstanding informal links exist be- tween Ghana and Israel. Tel Aviv has maintained an Interests Section at the Swiss Embassy in Accra since Ghana severed relations in 1973. Zim Israel Naviga- tion Company, Ltd. (Zim Lines), a government-owned corporation, also has a representative in Accra, ac- cording to US Embassy reports. Zim Lines organized and supervised Ghana's shipping line, Black Star, from the time of the country's independence in 1957 until Accra broke diplomatic relations in 1973. Zim Lines was invited to renew its relationship with Black Star in 1981, but the Israelis turned down the offer, preferring to maintain the present level of operations in Ghana until diplomatic ties are renewed. Still, Israeli-flag vessels call in Ghana on an average of one request for construction of an eye clinic in Gaborone. 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 25X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85S00317R000200010008-0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85S00317R000200010008-0 Secret Other Israeli activity in Ghana includes investments by the firm of Dizengoff, which supplies communica- tions equipment to the government, and by Tahal, which is engaged in water and road construction projects with World Bank financing. Ghana's de- pressed economy has caused a sharp reduction in Israeli commercial operations and in the numbers of Israeli nationals based in Accra. Nonetheless, Israel provides short-term training in agriculture, shipping, and port management. When the Nigerians expelled large numbers of Ghanaian citizens in 1983, Tel Aviv provided advice and liaison assistance to them at Ghana's request through the Zim Lines office in Lagos, according to the US Embassy there. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85S00317R000200010008-0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 Secret Appendix B Broke relations in November 1973. None. Deals informally through Israeli Ambassador in Swaziland. Central African Broke relations in October 1973. Negligible. Republic Ethiopia Broke relations in October 1973. $4 million in 1982, including agri- $4.1 million in 1982, including ag- cultural products, engine parts. ricultural machinery, chemicals, manufactured goods, communica- tions equipment, and spare parts for the Ethiopian Army. Broke relations in October 1973. $10 million in 1982, chiefly wood $0.8 million in 1982, principally The Israelis maintained an Inter- and wood products. glass, tools, and parts. ests Section in Libreville until 1982; they are now represented by the Israeli Interests Section at the Belgian Embassy in Abidjan. Broke relations in October 1973. $0.3 million in 1982, principally $0.6 million in 1982, including ag- Israel maintains a one-man Inter- cocoa cake. ricultural products, medicines, and ests Section in the Swiss Embassy parts. in Accra. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317ROO0200010008-0 Secret $40 million soda ash mining and processing facility at planning stage. In 1982 Botswana received a total of $6.2 million in aid disbursements from OPEC states. Only Libya has a diplomatic mission, but it exercises only modest influence. Saudis and Kuwaitis have given concessionary assistance for airport con- struction and a coal project. Receiving development aid from Libya and negotiating for assistance from Algeria. The Abu Dhabi Fund, Kuwait, the Arab Development Bank, and the Saudis have provided modest levels of assistance. As of December 1983, the OPEC Development Fund has provided $6 million for road construction; Kuwait, $5.7 million for roads; BADEA, $3.4 million for cotton development and $1.5 million for roads; Egypt, $2 million for technical assist- ance; and Morocco, 1,012 scholarships yearly. Iraq promised an unknown amount of crude as balance-of-payments support, but none has been delivered. President Kolingba visited Khartoum and Cairo in May 1984 seeking further support. PLO maintains an office in Brazzaville with full diplomatic privileges. Total debt to Arab sources in 1983: Arab Develop- ment Fund, $280,000; Iraq, $360,168; Libya, $350,000; and OPEC Fund, $80,000. OPEC bilateral aid disbursements for 1982, $7.6 million; multilateral, $4.8 million. One businessman and his non- Addis Ababa is hostile to Egyptian military assistance to resident assistant. Somalia and to Sudanese and Saudi support for Eritrean insurgents, but trades with Arab neighbors. OPEC bilateral aid disbursements for 1982; $0.1 million. Zim Israel Navigation Company Around 10. continues to maintain its own rep- resentative in Ghana. Israeli ships call regularly at Tema. Dizengoff West Africa, a trading company, and Motorola (Israel) working in communications, operating out of Accra. The Israeli construction firm TAHAL is engaged in water and road projects with World Bank financing. Gabon is a member of the Islamic League; and President Bongo, a convert to Islam. Gabon has received Saudi financing for the trans-Gabon railway. OPEC bilateral aid disbursements in 1982, $0.7 million. The close Libyan connection has dimin-ished because of Ghana- ian disappointment with the level of Libyan assistance. OPEC bilateral aid disbursements in 1982 were $6.5 million; multilat- eral, $1.3 million. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317ROO0200010008-0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317ROO0200010008-0 Secret African Relations With Israel and the Arab States (continued) Guinea Broke relations in June 1967. Tel Negligible. $1.1 million in 1982, including dis- Aviv is now represented by the infectants and tires. Israeli Interests Section in the Bel- gian Embassy in Abidjan. Ivory Coast Broke relations in November 1973. $7.1 million in 1982, principally $2.7 million in 1982, chiefly insec- Israel maintains an Interests Sec- coffee, cocoa, and forest products. ticides and refrigeration and air tion in the Belgian Embassy in conditioning equipment. Abidjan. Kenya Broke relations in November 1973. $2.2 million in 1982, principally $8.5 million in 1982, chiefly agri- Israel has an Interests Section in agricultural products. cultural equipment, fertilizers, the Danish Embassy in Nairobi. medicines, chemicals, plastics, ve- hicles, and parts. Lesotho Diplomatic relations since indepen- None. Negligible. Some purchases of Bence in 1966. Israel is represented small arms and ammunition. by its Ambassador to Swaziland. Broke relations in November 1973. Negligible. $0.1 million in 1982, chiefly agri- Renewed diplomatic ties in August cultural and communications 1983. equipment and medicines. Maintained relations since inde- Negligible. $1 million in 1982, chiefly fertiliz- pendence in 1964. . ers, glass products, and medicines. Nigeria Broke relations in October 1973. Negligible. $43.3 million in 1982, principally food, animal feed, medicines, chemicals, fertilizers, plastics, as- bestos, rubber and glass products, equipment, and parts. Senegal Broke relations in October 1973. Negligible. $0.1 million in 1982, mostly food and machinery. Sierra Leone Broke relations in October 1973. Negligible. Israelis now represented by an In- terests Section in the Belgian Em- bassy, Abidjan. Swaziland A resident Israeli Ambassador Negligible. since 1972 also accredited to Leso- tho and keeps an eye on Botswana and Mozambique. Tanzania Broke relations in October 1973. $0.5 million in 1982, nuts, coffee, $4.3 million in 1982, chiefly agri- and spices. cultural products, medicines, and chemicals. Broke relations in September 1973. Negligible. $0.1 million in 1982, chiefly manu- Israel represented by Interests Sec- factured goods and agricultural tion in Belgian Embassy, Abidjan. products. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317ROO0200010008-0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 Secret None. None. The late President Sekou Toure was a leader of the Islamic Conference. Saudi Arabia recently completed one of the world's largest mosques in Guinea. In 1982 Guinea received $4.2 million in bilateral aid disbursements from OPEC countries and $1.8 million in multilateral disbursements. Around 1,000, most in con- In 1982 Ivorian exports of forest products, coffee, and cocoa to struction and export/import Arab countries (primarily Algeria, Morocco, and Tunisia) firms in capital city region. totaled nearly $55 million while Ivorian imports, mostly crude oil, from Arab states (primarily Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Libya) totaled $213 million or 10 percent of total Ivorian imports. Some construction contracts. Several hundred. OPEC bilateral aid disbursements for 1982 were about $5.7 million; multilateral disbursements, $8.5 million. None. Less than 10. Kuwait is continuing some $15 million support for Maseru's new international airport. Egypt is the only Arab state to maintain diplomatic relations. No major holdings. Less than 25. Receives little Arab assistance; in 1982 OPEC countries dis- bursed $1.5 million bilaterally and $3.9 million multilaterally, mostly in concessional oil from Kuwait. Malawi Less than 15. Negligible. None. Major investments primarily in About 2,500, mostly business- A member of OPEC and a major petroleum exporter. Saudis trading companies, engineering, men, technical and office per- provided $400 million loan last year. In 1982 over 80,000 and construction. Principal inves- sonnel, and families concentrat- Nigerians made a pilgrimage to Mecca. tors include Solel Boneh and ed in Lagos and Ibadan. Dizengoff. Unknown. Unknown. Senegal is one of the major beneficiaries of Arab aid in black Africa. In 1982 Senegal received $119 million in bilateral aid disbursements from OPEC countries, mainly to finance two major dams on the Senegal River. Negligible. Unknown. In 1982 Sierra Leone received $0.3 million in bilateral aid disbursements from the OPEC states and $1.1 million in multilateral disbursements. None. About 25. Tanzania is a staunch supporter of the PLO and increasingly dependent on Libya and Algeria for oil. Over the past two years, Tanzania has made a major effort to strengthen ties with Persian Gulf states, including Saudi Arabia. None. Less than 10. During the 1980s Libya has invested $3 million in Togo's fishing industry and built a mosque and cultural center. The Saudis have invested $16 million in construction and agricul- ture. The Saudis supply about 26 percent of Togo's heavy fuel oil needs. Unknown. Unknown. In 1982 the OPEC states provided $1.4 million in bilateral aid and nearly $5 million in multilateral aid. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317ROO0200010008-0 Secret African Relations With Israel and the Arab States (continued) Diplomatic Relations With Israel Exports to Israel Broke relations in October 1973. Reestablished relations in May 1982. Negligible. Zambia Broke relations in October 1973. $0.1 million in 1982, principally coffee. Never established relations. Imports From Israel $3.2 million in 1982, principally agricultural products, communica- tions equipment, and insulation. $4.7 million in 1982, principally farm machinery, chemicals, fab- rics, glass, and parts. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317ROO0200010008-0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317ROO0200010008-0 Secret Israeli Commercial Presence Israeli Residents Negligible. About 28 families. Middle Eastern Arab states broke relations and cut off aid in 1982 when Zaire resumed diplomatic ties with Israel. Of the North African Arab countries, only Libya broke relations. Negligible. About 40. In 1982 Zambia's largest sources of bilateral external assistance were the Saudi Arabia Fund for Development ($49 million) and Iraq ($48 million). Zambia is dependent on the Middle Eastern Arab states for oil. About 100, of which a number are successful businessmen, lawyers, and doctors. The government maintains close ties with the PLO. Zimbabwe buys nearly all its oil from Algeria and Persian Gulf Arab states. In 1982 OPEC states gave $44 million aid bilaterally and $10.1 million through multilateral organizations. Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317ROO0200010008-0 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0 Secret Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2012/02/10: CIA-RDP85SO0317R000200010008-0